Aleksey Krylov Waterfall Analysis Case Study 7-21-2023

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Waterfall Analysis: Startup & VC Context

OCTOBER 28, 2020

Aleksey Krylov

• 20+ years of experience

• CFO for private/public companies with focus on strategic transactions (M&A, JV, fundraise)

• 12 years with 4 different family offices: VC, LBO, structured and distressed investing: 25 deals, $500M+ invested

• Started career in investment banking

• MBA Columbia Business School, BS Babson College, CFA Charterholder

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Waterfall analysis

TOC

Frequent structures

Example

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Waterfall

“As the name implies: The analysis showsthedistributionofvalueata liquidity event”

-AlekseyKrylov

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Liquidity Events

• IPO

• M&A

• Liquidation…

“Startups work hard and for a long time to strike goldonanIPOandM&A,andunfortunately liquidation can be forced on them quickly,”

-AlekseyKrylov

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Clear cut vs. contested

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TOC

Waterfall analysis Frequent structures Example

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Convertiblesnotes/SAFEs

Preferred

Options/warrants

Seniordebt/seniorsecured debt/debentures

“All securities have a role to play, and experience finance professional can use them skillfully to align interests of various stakeholders,”

-AlekseyKrylov

Securities
Common RSUs
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Founding “round”

Financing transactions –startups

Friends/family

Seed/angels – converts/safes

“Not all funding rounds follow this sequence,butthereisalogictothis progressionwhichreflectsthe company’s growth”

-AlekseyKrylov

Series A – preferred Series B – preferred Series XYZ… or IPO

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