GRI AFRICA
magazine
SAO TOME: THE BIRTH OF PARADISE Tony Kay
THE BIG INTERVIEW WITH PAUL ONWUANIBE
EAST VS. WEST Nick Langford
TIME TO INVEST IN MAGHREB? Fabrice Léger
West Africa GRI | GRI Africa Summit | East Africa GRI Africa GRI
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CONTENT 4
Resilience in the Urbanisation era by Mark Whyte
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The Maghreb region - Is now the time to invest? by Fabrice Léger
The Big Interview
Interview with Paul Onwuanibe
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The Improving Nigerian Tax Regime
by Gbolahan Elias
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West vs. East
Is there a shift of capital from West to East Africa? Interview with Nick Langford
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Africa GRI
The Island Nation of Sao Tome & Principe, Gulf
of Guinea, West Africa: The birth of Paradise By Tony Kay
EDITOR’S NOTE Despite African economies facing trying times, the real estate sector in Africa remains buoyant. The rapid growth of the middle class, the population boom in cities and the demand for housing means that the long-term outlook remains a positive one. GRI Africa Magazine again brings you the views and perspectives of some of the leading real estate figures in Africa as they share their insights on how real estate on the continent will prosper.
Neall De Beer Director - Africa Global Real Estate Institute PS If you would like to be part of the next edition, do let me know! neall.debeer@globalrealestate.org t: +44 20 7121 5094
In this edition we take a look at the investment opportunities in the Maghreb region and on the Island of Sao Tome. We also analyse the Nigerian tax regime, explore resilience in the urbanisation era and take a closer look at capital flows from West to East Africa. Our headline contribution is from Paul Onwuanibe of Landmark. Paul outlines the opportunities which exist in the midst of some of the chaos in Africa.
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SPECIALIST ADVISE
Resilience in the Urbanisation ERA By Mark Whyte, Senior Partner, Control Risks
Forecasts by the UN in its report on World Urbanisation
Prospects predict that the urban population of Africa will rise from 399m in 2010 to 661m in 2020 and 1.23bn by 2050; a similar picture exists in Asia Pacific and Latin America.
The UN also estimates that 60% of
of the future, making a key contribution
the area expected to be urbanised by
to the prosperity of the region.
2030 is yet to be built. Flagship projects
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such as Konza and Tatu cities in Kenya,
This exponential growth in urban areas,
and Eko Atlantic and Centenary cities
while presenting major opportunities
in Nigeria are at the forefront of this
for investors, developers, and contrac-
urbanisation movement and present
tors, comes with significant attendant
exciting visions
risk. They will face a range of societal,
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Africa GRI
SPECIALIST ADVISE
technological, political and security hazards and threats. This complex risk landscape has led to increasing interest in the subject of resilience. Resilience is commonly described as the ability of an entity to adapt and evolve to changing environments whilst minimising the probability and/or impact of all hazards and risk events.
Managing the risk It would be reasonable to state that
There is a tendency to focus on
questions of risk, resilience, and disaster
post-event remediation and crisis
risk reduction for new urban centres are
management in place of fully integrated
not particularly well understood. Risk is
resilience strategies that form a part
rarely approached and acted upon from
of initial feasibility studies and master
an all-hazard or whole-life perspective
plans. This is founded on an over
and this will have significant negative
reliance on the ability of civil defence
impacts through the project lifecycle.
and emergency service organisations to develop and implement contingency
The UN observes that, “there is little
plans to manage incidents.
evidence that the risk information proor disaster risk reduction. The produc-
Implementing resilience to deliver value
tion of risk information generally con-
A coordinated, integrated, and multi-
duced is really informing development
tinues to be supply-driven and is rarely translated into risk knowledge for potential end-users�.
stakeholder approach to resilience should be undertaken. This should be risk-led and outcome-focussed, Africa GRI
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SPECIALIST ADVISE
should recognise the importance of
E K O AT L A N T I C
crisis preparedness and response, and must address corruption risks. This will deliver value over the project lifecycle by addressing the problems that previously described. Such an approach should commence at a governmental level through the development of effective resilience frameworks. These should stem from effective national risk assessments that consider all hazards and threats (see Figure 1).
This approach is supported by the OECD, which recommends to:
plex and wide-ranging impacts
Establish and promote a comprehen-
Raise awareness of critical risks to mo-
sive, all-hazards and trans-boundary approach to country risk governance to serve as the foundation for enhancing national resilience and responsiveness Build preparedness through foresight analysis, risk assessments, and financing
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frameworks, to better anticipate com-
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Africa GRI
bilise households, businesses, and international stakeholders and foster investment in risk prevention and mitigation Develop adaptive capacity in crisis management Demonstrate transparency and accountability in risk-related decision-making by incorporating good
SPECIALIST ADVISE
governance practices and continually
consideration given to environmental,
learning from experience 3
economic, integrity, political, security, and cyber issues.
The resulting framework should provide a common understanding of risk and
This will help inform initial investment
serve to support the formulation of
decisions and the development of
resilience strategies at a regional and
mitigation options can then follow.
city level. It will provide a baseline for
These can then be assessed in terms of
the creation of an effective approach
cost and benefit and then factored into
for new urban development. Ideally,
project budgets. Such activities should
building resilience should commence
help drive investor confidence at these
as a multi-agency activity from the
critical early stages.
feasibility study stage of a project and be an integral part of a scheme master
Mark Whyte is Senior Partner at global
plan.
business risk consultancy Control Risks.
It must be based on a horizon-scanning, all-hazards risk assessment with due
WEST GRI AFRICA 2017 Connec ting African & Global Real Estate Leaders +44 20 7121 5060 | andreas.schonning@globalrealestate.org | www.globalrealestate.org/WestAfrica2017 Africa GRI
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REGIONAL SPOTLIGHT
THE
MAGHREB IS NOW THE TIME TO INVEST? By Fabrice LĂŠger, CEO JLL North Africa & Francophone Africa
Morocco, Algeria and Tunisia have no
ated with a lack of economic diversity,
shortage of assets in order to attract
complex legal considerations and social
foreign investors.
instability resulting from inequality. Despite these risks, real estate investors and
However, these countries are currently
developers continue to see the Magh-
hindered by numerous obstacles which
reb market as a huge opportunity.
the authorities are trying to improve. Actually, after an uncertain period of
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Governments are currently implement-
political turmoil in the region because
ing special measures and incentives as
of the Arab Spring, the authorities have
they recognize foreign investment as
taken special measures to develop the
a source of economic development,
private sector and promote foreign
modernization and growth.
direct investment (FDI).
Maghreb economies have grown im-
According to the United Nations Confer-
pressively since the turn of the millen-
ence on Trade and Development (UNC-
nium. The region has been long associ-
TAD), Morocco is the most attractive
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Africa GRI
REGIONAL SPOTLIGHT
country in Africa with 39% of FDI in real estate, 15% in tourism and 12% in industry. France remains the biggest investor in Morocco (21%) followed by UAE (13,3%) and Saudi Arabia (12,8%). The strengths of the country are the legal framework, the favorable
Fabrice Léger is the CEO of JLL’s North Africa & Francophone Africa business, advising on real estate, hospitality and infrastructure projects worth over $1 trillion in gross development value.
accompanying measures for investors and also political stability that presents the first attractiveness argument. In fact, the Moroccan government is making an effort to attract investors by
Morocco also provides particular aids
developing its infrastructure (highways,
especially for buildings and property
port of Tangiers Med, High Speed Line
acquisition (excluding agricultural areas).
HSL). Moreover, since 1995, the King-
Tax and customs benefits, free zone
dom has adopted the ‘Investment Char-
areas (Tanger, Kenitra, Dakhla, Laayoune,
ter’ which provides for tax exemption
Nador and others) and offshore banking
for five years. Morocco has also conclud-
regulations are positive points for foreign
ed bilateral agreements with 51 coun-
investors.
tries (including France, Italy and Spain) to protect investors from signatories
In addition to these measures, Morocco
countries.
has great growth potential and a young and abundant workforce.
“Morocco has great growth potential and a young and abundant workforce”
Several projects have been initiated to make the Kingdom a key crossroads between the European Union and Africa. Africa GRI
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REGIONAL SPOTLIGHT
CAS AB L AN CA FI N AN CE CI T Y - MO R O CCO
The real economic lung of Morocco is Casablanca, the country’s biggest city and Africa’s second largest financial centre after Johannesburg. The big project ‘Casablanca Finance City’ voted in by the Moroccan Parliament in 2010 and due to be delivered in 2018, will attract more than 100 companies and some 1 million square meters of office space. Casablanca Marina, whose offices are marketed by JLL Morocco, is the major project in the city. Composed of nine
European Investment Bank and the
office towers, a shopping centre, a hotel
European Bank of Reconstruction and
resort, luxury residences and a 3500-
Development (EBRD) are the principal
seat congress centre. The project will
financials of the project.
be fully delivered by the end of 2016. WHAT ABOUT ALGERIA ? In close proximity, there is another
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project developed over 12 hectares by
The opening of the Algerian economy
Wessal Capital, an alliance of several
has ensured significant growth in
funds from Gulf countries (Abu Dhabi,
recent years. Seeking to diversify
Qatar, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia) and
and modernize the economy, the
a Moroccan fund (Moroccan Tourism
government has embarked on a huge
Development Fund). The project will
challenge to attract foreign direct
consist of a new fishing port, a cruise
investment through plans and priority
terminal, offices, hotels and some luxury
initiatives programmed. The Algerian
residences. The World Bank, the
authorities are using various tools to
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Africa GRI
REGIONAL SPOTLIGHT
encourage and facilitate investments in
In Algeria, the acquisition of an
strategic sectors (hydrocarbons, agro
industrial building or a commercial unit
industry, real estate and chemistry).
is possible only if you have a reliable and eligible project. This needs to be
Forum El Djazair
presented to the government through the Local The pharmaceutical and
Unlike Morocco, the largest part of
biomedical industry is gaining visibility
foreign investment in Algeria comes
in Algeria. In fact, Constantine has 1,200
from the Gulf countries, especially in real
hectares dedicated to the sector with
estate and tourism. The major project in
20 factories in operation and a number
the Algerian capital is funded by Emiral
of others currently under construction.
an Emirati investor. It’s developed over 19 hectares and composed of residential
Algeria has claimed itself as an open
towers, offices, a mall and a 5 star hotel.
country to FDI, but is only willing to
Forum El Djazair is considered a luxury
consider investment which integrates
project.
its economy and which creates jobs and ensures the transfer of technology.
The Bab Ezzouar neighborhood located five minutes from Houari Boumediene International airport, along the highway
K S AR - ALGE R I A
linking the capital to the rest of the country is the new business district of Algiers. Located very close to the city downtown, this project is considered the new heart of Algeria. Many head offices of national and multinational companies and hotel chains were implanted there (Natixis, BNP Paribas, CMA-CGM, Ibis and Mercure amongst others). Africa GRI
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REGIONAL SPOTLIGHT
T U N I S’ AVE N U E H AB I B B O U R G UIBA
DIFFICULT WAY BACK FOR TUNISIA Therefore, several reforms have been implemented to attract foreign investment. Investors are exempt from customs duties on capital goods not being locally manufactured. The limitation of VAT at 10% on the importation of capital goods and exemption of reinvested earnings to the limit of 35% of the subject to tax are amongst these. On stand-by Like its neighbours, Tunisia has a skilled and productive workforce, with competitive salaries to attract more investors. The most attractive business neighborhood is “Les Bergers du Lac”, which hosts many international companies, is located in the capital Tunis. However, after the recent events that hit Tunis, brokers have observed a net decline in investment and a slowdown in the construction and completion of projects.
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Road to recovery The Emirati investors Gulf Finance House (GFH), Sama Dubai and Bukhatir Group completely stopped their projects in Tunis. However, by the start of 2016, some rumors were confirmed about a bilateral cooperation between Tunisia and United Arab Emirates.
“Like its neighbours, Tunisia has a skilled and productive workforce, with competitive salaries to attract more investors.”
REGIONAL SPOTLIGHT
GRI AFRICA
SUMMIT2016
20-21 OCTOBER JOHANNESBURG
Connec ting African & Global Real Estate Leaders
PARTICIPANTS INCLUDE:
BRONWYN CORBETT CEO MARADELTA PROPERTY HOLDINGS
DALE RAMSDEN Director RMB WESTPORT
WARREN VAN DER MERWE COO VANTAGE CAPITAL
GODFREY TAPELA Senior Investment Officer IFC
PETER LEVETT Managing Director OLD MUTUAL PROPERTY
PAGANI GROUP • LORDSHIP • AT TAFRICA • IFC • PYLOS GROUP STARWOOD HOTELS AND RESORTS • HYAT T INTERNATIONAL • JABILAKE LANDMARK GROUP • CDC GROUP
+44 20 7121 5060 | andreas.schonning@globalrealestate.org | www.griafrica.com
D I S C O V E R A L L G R I E V E N T S : A s i a • B r a z i l • B r i t i s h • C E E • C o l o m b i a • D e u t s c h e • D e u t s c h e Wo h n e n E a s t A f r i c a • E s p a ñ a • E u r o p e S u m m i t • Fr a n c e • I n d i a • I t a l y • M e x i c o • R e t a i l • R u s s i a • W e s t A f r i c a S i n c e 1 9 9 8 , G R I m e e t i n g s p r o v i d e a f o r u m f o r t h e w o r l d ’s l e a d i n g r e a l e s t a t e p l a y e r s t o d e v e l o p valuable relationships, find new business par tners, and strengthen their global networks.
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THE BIG INTERVIEW
The
BIG
Interview
The Big Interview with Paul Onwuanibe
Africa GRI Magazine caught up with Paul Onwuanibe, CEO of Landmark to chat about the current state of play in Nigeria, the prospects for Africa and why the glass is only 10% full right now. GRI: You recently concluded a deal
property market and we were seeking
with Vantage Capital, one of the
funding to expand our real estate
largest fund managers in Africa. Can
portfolio across the continent. they
you tell me a bit more about this?
took their time to truly understand the real estate market trends and the strong
PO: We started speaking to Vantage
supply dynamics in the region. They
in mid-2015 during one of their visits
reviewed our extensive track record
to Nigeria. Vantage were interested in
and believed in our vision to change
gaining exposure to the West African 14
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THE BIG INTERVIEW
the landscape with our Live. Work .Play mixed use concept. We were excited to partner with Vantage for a number of reasons, particularly their enthusiasm for the property market in West Africa, their financial and advisory capabilities. We agreed on a Mezzanine Finance structure over a 6 year period which affords us the flexibility we require to run our business. The $20 million facility provides the supplementary funding required to progress our large development schemes, such as the
Africa was very much an untapped
Landmark Village.
market with enormous opportunities
GRI: When you started Landmark it
facilities to the large corporates
was a European focussed business,
operating in the region.
but you have since changed your focus to Africa. Why? PO: The Landmark journey started in 1998 as a Serviced Office business. Our first office was in London and we expanded into Europe and the U.S. over the next 6 years. In 2003, i had a new vision for Landmark to become an African focused business, run by Africans, in Africa, for Africa.
to bring international standard office
GRI: How did the business develop in Africa? PO: Our first African office was in Lagos, the largest city in West Africa and we quickly expanded into other cities such as Accra, Nairobi and Johannesburg. Our strength is in maintaining high standards and strong client relationships and this has resulted in extremely loyal multinational clients that followed us Africa GRI
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THE BIG INTERVIEW
into our various offices across Africa. Although we soon became the second the largest Serviced Office company in Africa, we faced a lot of challenges. There was a huge shortage of quality grade commercial office facilities across West and East Africa which often made it difficult to acquire suitable serviced office space to meet our multinational
clients’
expectations.
Facilities management was poor, the leasing and regulatory environments were cumbersome. GRI: Is that what led you to property
under our own management, and
development?
60,000sqm is under development.
PO: Due to the challenges we faced
Our Property Company has a unique
finding the commercial grade buildings
one-stop-shop service offering, as our
we needed to run our business
experience has shown us that there
successfully, we made a tactical decision
are very strong commercial and lifestlye
to build them ourselves! We knew the
benefits for our users to be able to live,
African terrain and we understand
work and play, all within one secure
our clients’ needs, so in 2007 we
location.
established our Property Company and started acquiring land in strategic CBD
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completed commercial grade offices
All our buildings embody this mixed
locations.
use concept, with our Landmark Village
Today, we have over 130,000 sqm of
a 40,000sqm site. It’s designed to be
real estate, of which 30,000 sqm is
the Lagos equivalent of Canary Wharf
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Africa GRI
being an expression of this theme across
THE BIG INTERVIEW
in London, Rockefeller Centre in New York, Melrose Arch in Johannesburg and Victoria and Alfred in Cape town. It’s going to be quite special. GRI: The Nigerian economy seems to be struggling at this point, how do you see this evolving and what does it mean for real estate in the country? PO: There is a level of uncertainty in the Nigerian economy at the moment due to recent changes in the foreign exchange mechanisms and the devaluation of the
sustainable approach, that gives me
Naira. Understandably, this has got a lot
confidence in the future of Nigeria.
of people nervous. However, I believe that for the first time in Nigeria, the nation is moving in the right direction. Most people want to see immediate results with the policies. It is however important to note that this process is a
The exchange rate mechanism has now been resolved, so there is a lot more clarity on the value of the Naira against other foreign currencies, as well as comfort around the inflow and outflow
marathon, and not a race.
of these currencies in the country.
GRI: You seem optimistic?
GRI: Are you already seeing the
PO: I am optimistic because I believe they have the right objectives for the Nation, and they are ensuring that the proper and legitimate measures are being taken. This is a much more
results? PO:
Previously
skeptical
foreign
investors who were concerned about the flow of their investments in and out of the country are now feeling their Africa GRI
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THE BIG INTERVIEW
way back into the market. This means low cost foreign currency financing has become accessible again. We are also experiencing a rise in demand from multinationals making decisions they wouldn’t have made six months ago about expanding their office space needs in Nigeria. In short term it is still going to be a little tough, so there is a need to be more cost conscious. but in the medium to long term, I am confident that the market will experience significant growth.
We would then go back to the ways where there was 1sqm of space
GRI: Do you see the supply-demand
available for every 10sqm of demand.
imbalance correcting soon?
It takes a long time to build so now is the time to start constructing if you
PO: You look at the commercial real
have the foresight and understand the
estate in Lagos and there is probably
market. The demand isn’t going away.
100,000 sqm of investment grade office space on the market, of which 50% is vacant because demand has soften over the past one or two years. People tend to panic over the 50,000sqm of available space, however in reality this amount of space can easily be taken up by a couple of organizations resulting in a huge supply -demand gap. 18
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“I would say in the short term it is still going to be a little tough, so there is a need to be more cost conscious. but in the medium to long term, I am confident that the market will experience significant growth.”
THE BIG INTERVIEW
I personally know of at least 150,000sqm of office space that is required by multinationals in Lagos alone. These firms are not window shopping, they have serious needs and if the right spaces are not available, they are going to revert to residential accommodation or other similarly inappropriate accommodation until something better comes up. The market has to be ready to meet these needs. I think the future of commercial real estate is very secure. It takes three to five
PO: Before entering any sort of joint
years to develop a property properly,
venture, it is essential to do your
and unfortunately not everybody gets
research and have a clear plan on what
it right. If you fast forward five years
you are looking to achieve from the
there will probably only be a further
partnership. Prioritise your needs but
100,000sqm of quality space added
be realistic know your market and what
to the market during that time. This is
influences it, and understand your
unlikely to be sufficient for a city like
potential partner and what motivates
Lagos alone that has 20 million people
them.
and is still growing. As a developer, I am excited about the huge opportunities
In any market, but Nigeria particularly,
in this space.
there are a lot of moving targets so it’s important to work with an
GRI: You mentioned that you are
institutionalised real estate developer.
aware of a number of companies that
Avoid dealing with what i refer to
are currently looking at JV’s. What
as the ‘D.I.Y. developers and agents’
advice would you have for them? Africa GRI
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THE BIG INTERVIEW
because, while they usually have the best intentions, they don’t always understand
the intricate nature of
developing and managing commercial or high value real estate. GRI: Where do you see Africa in 10 years time? PO: Africa is probably the last bit of blue sky left in the world, because it is technically still virgin territory compared to the rest of the world. There is still so much to do and so much to learn There are many emerging economics in this whole collection of nations that is Africa. There is a lot to be achieved in terms of infrastructure, be it power supply, road networks, social infrastructure, schools, hardcore real estate infrastructure.
“I think the future of commercial real estate is very secure.... As a developer, I am excited about the huge opportunities in the space.” 20
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If a glass was to be filled to represent development in Africa, it is probably 10% full right now. In 10 years’ time with focus and investment, the African landscape will rival the Western countries. There really is no better place to do business.
EXPERT ANALYSIS
THE IMPROVING NIGERIAN
TAX REGIME By Gbolahan Elias, Principal Partner, G.Ellias
The Nigerian tax regime for foreign investors in real estate is not unfavourable and is improving. Nigeria is a Federation and the regime of federal taxes includes income tax, capital gains tax, value added tax and stamp duties. State taxes vary from state to state and
The overall tax burden on dispositions
include ground rent charges (applicable
of land today, although varying from
to both developed and undeveloped
state to state, tends to be between
land), neighbourhood improvement
3% and 15% of the open market value
charges (applicable to designated areas),
of the land. The 15% payable in the
land use charges (usually confined to
most expensive states is relatively high
developed land), “governor’s consent”
compared to the 8.3% average for Sub-
fees and registration fees. Most of these
Saharan Africa (stated in the World
taxes are calculated at ad valorem rates.
Bank’s Doing Business Economy Data Africa GRI
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EXPERT ANALYSIS
(2015) publication). The authorities ask for, value added tax on rental income from leases at 5 % of such income, but this is disputed as the applicable statute taxes are only “goods and services”, not money and not land. The overall tax burden has been falling over the years and it is expected that it would continue to do so. It used to be between 15 % and 30 % in the states with the strongest real estate markets. For example, Lagos State has
Four classes of relief on land taxes should
recently reduced its transfer taxes from
be borne in mind. First, investment in
an aggregate of about 13 % to 3 %.
real estate development is eligible for pioneer status incentive.
Other states are likely to follow suit seeking to generate revenue from the increased volume of transactions in the market rather than high rates. The vehicle and structure utilized to acquire land will determine the applicable tax. For instance, acquiring shares in a company or fund that holds real estate assets can be an efficient way to avoid some land transfer taxes that would otherwise arise on a direct transfer of the underlying real estate. 22
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“The overall tax burden has been falling over the years and it is expected that it would continue to do so.” This investment incentive exempts the investment company from income tax and shareholders of the company from tax on dividends for up to 5 years. Also,
EXPERT ANALYSIS
capital allowances which would have been enjoyed over the 5-year period will be deemed to have occurred on the first day after the end of the tax-free period. The allowances will then be deductible from tax. Second, foreigners making loan investments to Nigerians for at least 7 years in tenor with a 2-year moratorium will enjoy 100% tax exemption on interest accruing on such loans. Further, tax relief exists for foreigners resident in countries with which Nigeria
real estate developments backed by
has double-tax treaties.
foreign institutional investors.
Withholding tax payable on dividend,
The status confers on such projects
interest, and rent remitted to companies
complete exemption from all federal,
resident in tax treaty states is imposed
state and local government taxes, rates
at 7.5% rather than the usual 10%. The
and levies and duty-free importation of
states with which Nigeria has signed
capital goods and machinery.
double-tax treaties include Canada, Pakistan, Belgium, France, Romania, Netherlands, United Kingdom, China, South Africa, Italy, Philippines, Czech, and Slovakia. Lastly, the Federal government has granted free trade zone development status to a handful of major “new town”
“Further, tax relief exists for foreigners resident in countries with which Nigeria has double-tax treaties.” Africa GRI
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WEST VS. EAST
West
vs.
East
IS THERE A SHIFT OF CAPITAL FROM WEST TO EAST AFRICA?
Interview with Nick Langford
Africa GRI Magazine spoke to Rendeavour’s Nick Langford to gain his insight into the real estate market in both East and West Africa. GRI: You have worked in both West
fair and transparent, reduce the levels
and East Africa - how do the two
of corruption and impunity prevalent
compare?
throughout both societies, encourage the development of institutions and
NL: Both Ghana and Kenya have real
open the skies to low cost airlines.
opportunities to develop as the hubs
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of West and East Africa respectively,
Kenyans appear to be more focused on
but to do that they need to ensure
doing business in the traditional sense
their upcoming elections are peaceful,
but that may just be because our Tatu
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Africa GRI
WEST VS. EAST
project outside Nairobi has slightly more momentum than our Appolonia project outside Accra in the industrial and business sectors.
“Kenyans appear to be more focused on doing business in the traditional sense� GRI: In terms of global capital, do you believe there is currently shift
Nick Langford Kenya Country Head Rendeavour
in interest from West Africa to East
take a downturn on the international
Africa?
markets, the exchequer becomes short of funds which naturally causes negative
NL: Yes, there is a shift in interest and this
impact on the domestic economy.
is driven by very simple fundamentals. East Africa has two separate, but at the
Both countries have also struggled
same time related advantages over the
to invest in power production, with
West.
capacity unable to meet demand as the economy develops and urbanization
In West Africa, Nigeria and Ghana in
moves towards 40% of the population.
particular are commodity reliant, oil and gas in the case of Nigeria, palm oil, gas,
In East Africa the development of
gold and cocoa in the case of Ghana.
renewable energy, whether geothermal, wind or solar has been much higher
Neither country currently has the
than West Africa and although power
capacity to add value to these raw
shortages they are much shorter than
materials and when commodity prices
West Africa. Allied to a relatively stable Africa GRI
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WEST VS. EAST
currency, in turn due to less reliance on commodities, means investor interest has shifted to East Africa and Kenya in particular. GRI: Africa has a growing need for industrial real estate, how will we see this evolve over the next decade? NL: I can only really comment about Ghana and Kenya, but suffice to say there is very little supply of modern industrial and warehouse buildings; in fact you would be hard pushed to find
At Tatu Industrial Park we have interest
any at all.
from two developers in building speculative warehousing and another devel-
This is because economics just haven’t
oper that will construct and sell build
worked up until now. Tenants have
to suit premises for individual occupier
been happy to just accept sub-standard
needs.
building specifications and pay low rents. With no tenants willing to pay the $6.50/$7.00 per m2 per month rent (very low by international standards even in emerging markets) to trigger development of modern industrial/ warehouse space, there will be no development; but this is changing and changing fast.
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Africa GRI
“Africa has a growing need for industrial real estate, how will we see this evolve over the next decade?�
WEST VS. EAST
These developers have done their research and discovered that occupiers realise the benefits and economies of modern space with 12m high bays, power floated load bearing floors, loading bays and lack of congestion for quick turn around.
“What can you tell us about Rendeavour’s current projects?” Importantly they are prepared to pay for it. There is also huge demand from investors seeking to acquire modern buildings let to financially secure com-
plethora of similar projects as occupiers realise the benefits and investment funds find a safe haven for their money.
panies on international standard leases;
GRI: What can you tell us about
and they will buy such investments at
Rendeavour’s current projects?
the relatively low yields of 8.5 to 9.0%. NL: Both Appolonia outside Accra and The future is looking bright for the
Tatu outside Nairobi have now reached
industrial real estate in Africa, a sector
the stage where the projects possess
deemed less risky and volatile than the
real momentum in revenue from the
retail and office sectors.
sales of land for residential and industrial.
The completion of one successful
The investment in infrastructure over
development project will lead to a
the last three years; the physically
Africa GRI
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27
WEST VS. EAST
invisible investment in water, sewage and power is reaping its reward. We are experiencing such interest in Tatu from developers, individuals and operators of schools, hospitals and other institutional buildings, that in some sectors we have more interest than land available. Not far behind Tatu and Appolonia is Jigna in Abuja where there has already been sales of land ahead of the infrastructure investment planned
Each
project
for 2016 and 2017. The projects at Lekki
characteristics; one cannot just replicate
in Lagos, Kiswishi in Lubumbashi, DRC
the concept for each site in each city.
and King City in Takoradi, Ghana are
Whilst the fundamental philosophy is
all at the planning stage. Roma Park
the same; buy land, create a saleable
in Lusaka is the most advanced of our
legal
projects; and whilst almost complete it
approval, invest in bulk infrastructure
is the smallest of our developments.
and sell land, we have to respect the
interest,
has
very
obtaining
different
zoning
local site conditions, politics, ground
“What are the biggest obstacles you are currently facing in terms of your projects?� 28
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conditions, location relative to the capital cities and most important of all the current and anticipated demand. GRI: What are the biggest obstacles you are currently facing in terms of your projects?
WEST VS. EAST
NL: We have a very simple business
populations and assists in the alleviation
model. None of our projects have any
of congestion in the African cities
debt to service; this means that even if
adjacent to where we develop.
we are exposed to delays outside our direct control, we can afford to wait and
It is comforting to know that our
deal with them in a timely manner, not
investment in infrastructure will remain
forced to go for a compromise solution.
long after Rendeavour has developed and sold its real estate.
Whilst we invest hundreds of millions of US Dollars on infrastructure we
Nick Langford is the Country Head,
will always welcome more support
Kenya for Rendeavour. He is a Chartered
from government to provide power,
General Practise Surveyor with 25 years’
water and roads to our site perimeters.
experience of managing real estate
After all such investment assists in
development in the emerging markets
the development of satellite cities
of Eastern Europe, Africa and Asia.
that improve the lives of the local
Africa GRI
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29
REGIONAL SPOTLIGHT
The Island Nation of Sao Tome & Principe, Gulf of Guinea, West Africa:
THE BIRTH OF PARADISE
By Tony Kay, Shareholder, The Falcon Group
Situated in the equatorial Atlantic and
the Islands a tourist’s paradise. They
Gulf of Guinea the islands of Principe
have a large maritime economic zone
and Sao Tome lie about 300 km west off
with incredible marine resources plus a
the coast of Gabon.
potential multi-billion barrel oil reserve.
Discovered by Portuguese navigators
LOCATION, LOCATION, LOCATION
and a Portuguese colony until gaining
30
independence in 1975, Portuguese
From an economic point of view the
is still the official language of the
Islands’ physical position in the Gulf of
around the 195,000 inhabitants who
Guinea puts them in a position to be-
populate these islands. As part of an
come the financial maritime, oil industry
extinct volcanic chain of islands that
and regional airline, service centre to the
run from Mt Cameroon to St Helena
whole of West Africa. Sao Tome is ideal-
in the Southern Atlantic, both islands
ly suited to become a major airline hub.
have incredible natural beauty making
Presently there are regular flights from
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Africa GRI
REGIONAL SPOTLIGHT
Europe and Southern Africa. The airport is due for an upgrade which will make it one of the best in Africa. It could be said that the Islands are bang in the middle of the western world with short flight times to places like the UK, Middle East, Brazil and Johannesburg. Situated in the middle of shipping routes from North Africa to South Africa, Principe and Sao Tome is able to cater for the oil industry, ship and vessel repair needs. The fertile volcanic soils and ample In 2015 an MOU was signed between
rainfall provide an opportunity for high
the Sao Tome Government and the
value agriculture products like cocoa,
China Harbour Engineering Company
coffee, tropical fruits, vegetables and
(CHEC). CHEC undertook to invest $120m
flower potential for export to Africa and
to design and build the first phase of
Europe.
the $800 million deep water container transhipment port to handle large container vessels that cannot enter the shallow harbours of most West Africa countries.
“It could be said that the Islands are bang in the middle of the western world�
ECONOMICS The Islands have a stable and democratic Government with kind and caring people. Crime is relatively unknown. Sao Tome is a partner in the AGOA agreement with the USA and the EBA with the EU, providing preferential pricing to both the USA and EU markets.Most importantly, the Government is open for Africa GRI
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31
REGIONAL SPOTLIGHT
Business and their investment codes are in place to establish an attractive environment from investors. A new department has been established for registering a Company in 15 days or express 2 days. The Government offers benefits and incentives to investors, as part of its policy to reduce reliance on foreign aid. The number of hotel rooms and beds has doubled from 2010 to 2016 as did the tourism numbers.
mal potential. The Island Nation has a landing point connecting it to the high
ENERGY
speed and large bandwidth West Africa ACE fibre optic (French) cable which
Presently the Islands are reliant on
connects the Islands directly to Africa,
diesel generating units. This is a costly
Europe and the World.
electricity supply unit. The Government wants to change to renewable, hydro, solar and biomass to meet demand. The Islands have good reliable annual rainfall with potential for an additional 25MW of hydro-electric supply as studies indicate. The geothermal energy generation potential has as yet not been investigated but the Islands being of volcanic source should have geother32
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Africa GRI
“Most importantly, the
Government is open for
Business and their investment codes are in place to establish an attractive environment from investors�
REGIONAL SPOTLIGHT
PROPERTY
and more. It is the first of its kind, largely self-contained in services and to be de-
From a property perspective the
veloped in stages.
potential is good as with the development of key projects like the deep-water
The development of secondary resi-
port, airport, and related industry and
dences for high income individuals in
tourism the demand will grow. There is
West Africa is a highly viable investment
a definite lack of quality residential prop-
opportunity as Sao Tome is within two
erty around the capital city Sao Tome.
hours flying time of most West African
However, there are developments like
countries.
the 205 HA, land secured, residential estate with a possible extension to 300ha
Tony Kay is a shareholder for the Falcon
on the north west of Sao Tome at Lagoa
Group, whose Lagoa Azul development
Azul which are planned. This particular
is situated on the northern tip of Sao
residential development includes a ho-
Tome island
tel site, marina and 18-hole golf course
EAST GRI AFRICA 2016 Senior meeting for real estate investors, developers and lenders active in East Africa +44 20 7121 5060 | andreas.schonning@globalrealestate.org | www.globalrealestate.org/EastAfrica2016
Africa GRI
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GRI AFRICA
SUMMIT2016
20-21 OCTOBER JOHANNESBURG
Connec ting African & Global Real Estate Leaders
PARTICIPANTS INCLUDE:
BRONWYN CORBETT CEO MARADELTA PROPERTY HOLDINGS
DALE RAMSDEN Director RMB WESTPORT
WARREN VAN DER MERWE COO VANTAGE CAPITAL
GODFREY TAPELA Senior Investment Officer IFC
PETER LEVETT Managing Director OLD MUTUAL PROPERTY
PAGANI GROUP • LORDSHIP • AT TAFRICA • IFC • PYLOS GROUP STARWOOD HOTELS AND RESORTS • HYAT T INTERNATIONAL • JABILAKE LANDMARK GROUP • CDC GROUP
+44 20 7121 5060 | andreas.schonning@globalrealestate.org | www.griafrica.com
D I S C O V E R A L L G R I E V E N T S : A s i a • B r a z i l • B r i t i s h • C E E • C o l o m b i a • D e u t s c h e • D e u t s c h e Wo h n e n E a s t A f r i c a • E s p a ñ a • E u r o p e S u m m i t • Fr a n c e • I n d i a • I t a l y • M e x i c o • R e t a i l • R u s s i a • W e s t A f r i c a S i n c e 1 9 9 8 , G R I m e e t i n g s p r o v i d e a f o r u m f o r t h e w o r l d ’s l e a d i n g r e a l e s t a t e p l a y e r s t o d e v e l o p valuable relationships, find new business par tners, and strengthen their global networks.
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