LRWG Presentation to LHATF on Prescribed Default Costs 6-11-09

Page 13

Our 6th Example is Ba2 Sub Debt, and its Benchmark is thus the Threshold

Generic Component =

Baseline Default Cost for the Benchmark + Index XS Spread Adjustment

The Generic Component calculations are as follows:

Benchmark Rating by Moody's Benchmark Baseline Annual Default Cost Index XS Spread (i.e. Benchmark Current Index Spread - Mean Index Spread)

x X% (as prescribed) x =

F (i.e. the Factor that phases out the Adjustment over the prescribed 3 years) Index XS Spread Adjustment (i.e. Index XS Spread x X% x F) Generic Component (i.e. 70 CTE Default Cost + Index XS Spread Adjustment)

1

2

3

4

5

1.000

0.667

0.333

0.000

0.000

16.3

10.8

5.4

0.0

0.0

34.5

29.0

23.6

18.2

18.2

A3 18.2 65.0 25%

Copyright © 2009 by the American Academy of Actuaries LRWG Asset Subgroup Presentation June 11, 2009 13


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