economic_scenario_sept07

Page 9

16.2%

37.6 %

24.7 %

19.4 %

15.0 %

Short (y), Median

6.9%

5.2%

6.2%

6.8%

7.6%

Long (y), Median

3.1%

2.5%

2.9%

3.1%

3.3%

Diff Rates

0.73

0.65

0.67

0.68

0.69

Diff Log Rates

0.64

0.65

0.66

0.67

0.67

-0.23

-0.19

-0.18

-0.17

-0.17

Frequency (Average)

Stdev Diff Log Rates

Short/Long Correlations

Change Spread/Long

POINT IN TIME STATISTICS

Short (-year) Rate Min

0.82%

1.73%

0.50%

0.41%

0.01

1.07%

3.00%

1.43%

1.03%

0.99%

0.05

1.45%

3.52%

2.17%

1.85%

1.66%

0.1

2.35%

3.78%

2.60%

2.29%

2.14%

Median

5.43%

4.82%

4.52%

4.37%

4.30%

0.9

5.97%

7.07%

7.71%

8.33%

6.30%

8.07%

9.14%

10.19%

6.97%

10.33%

12.51%

14.90%

Max

9.39% 11.66 % 14.87 % 16.72 %

9.58%

17.54%

20.62%

21.32%

Avg

5.70%

4.86%

4.73%

4.79%

4.90%

Stdev

2.99%

0.86%

1.84%

2.34%

2.78%

Skew

1.01

0.27

0.94

1.37

1.70

Kurt

1.29

0.30

1.96

3.49

4.54

0.58

1.30

1.67

1.99

0.95 0.99

Dispersion 95th

0.40%

POINT IN TIME STATISTICS

Long (-year) Rate Min

2.57%

3.24%

0.01

2.64%

3.96%

3.12%

2.70%

2.45%

0.05

3.07%

4.26%

3.69%

3.36%

3.14%

0.1

3.75%

4.41%

4.02%

3.75%

3.53%

Median

4.97%

5.33%

5.42%

5.41%

5.58%

7.15%

8.05%

8.82%

5.78%

7.80%

9.24%

10.50%

6.28%

9.53%

12.21%

14.53%

Max

6.28% 10.62 % 12.06 % 13.88 % 15.13 %

7.83%

15.81%

20.27%

19.08%

Avg

6.66%

4.99%

5.50%

5.74%

5.90%

Stdev

2.65%

0.47%

1.32%

1.88%

2.37%

Skew

0.83

0.40

1.10

1.40

1.60

Kurt

0.41

0.99

3.08

3.69

3.94

0.31

0.77

1.09

1.36

0.9 0.95 0.99

Dispersion 95th

1.97%

1.71%

1.06%

POINT IN TIME STATISTICS

Spread (Long - Short) Min

-3.33%

-2.18%

0.01

-1.85%

-1.32%

-1.71%

-1.78%

-2.02%

0.05

-1.01%

-0.88%

-0.82%

-0.76%

-0.79%

9

-3.69%

-5.52%

-5.75%


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