The Need for Maritime Risk Reduction Based

Trends and visions for future maritime safety in the Baltic Sea - and potentially for other intencly trafficed sea areas

Trends and visions for future maritime safety

Shipping and Accidents

Godafoss Feb -2011

• 120-140 accidents every year • Slight increase of accidents albeit individual safety increase • Slight increase of accidents in the face of substancial decrease in the Gulf of Finland • More than half, and up to 2/3 of the accidents are due to the human factor

Världsnaturfonden, WWF

Shipping

•

2030 2020 2010

Expected to double by 2030

Wind Energy

•

2030 2020 2010

Expected to expand by 6,000%

Tourism and Recreation

•

45% increase in number of arrivals in hotels 2030

•

600% increase in cruise passengers by 2030

The challenge Commercial Fishing Shipping Dredging Oil and Gas Extraction Pipelines and Cables Physical Exploitations Marine Protected Areas Aquaculture Agricultural Runoff Nitrogen Phosphorous Tourism and Recreation Ports

2030 2020 2010

Wind Energy Industrial Pollution

Trends and visions for future maritime safety

Competition of space – increased pressure Increased pressure increases the need for environmental protection - Protected areas are not competition for space but a counterweight to non-environmental neutral activities

•Areas to be avoided/Protected areas •Safety and consideration

- Resilience and limits

Världsnaturfonden, WWF

Trends and visions for future maritime safety

Accident Frequency Reduction …and lower risk for serious spills

TSS MSP SSC TMS

Världsnaturfonden, WWF

Trends and visions for future maritime safety

Traffic Management Service -

Few operators

-

Spy anomalies early

-

Assistance to shippers / lessen work load

-

Back track possibility

-

Transboundry Cooperation

-

(Aid to maritime security)

V채rldsnaturfonden, WWF

Thank you! www.panda.org/baltic www.wwf.se/