Weatherbys Racing Bank Cheltenham Preview Night 2023

Cheltenham Preview Night

Thursday 2nd March • From 6.30pm

THE PANEL

Nicky Henderson

Danny Mullins

Jane Mangan

Paul Ferguson

Richard Hoiles (host)

For further information please contact:

Beth Sharkey (Newmarket): 07810 480706

Alec Moore (Newmarket): 07503 671649

Cameron Crawford-Smith (Swindon): 07557 447101

Charlie Denman (Swindon): 07818 565227

Farms

James Innes (Edinburgh): 07526 252857

Guy Baxter (Horsham): 07855 626086

Stephen Howard (Wellingborough): 07785 461459

Hamish Hardy (London): 07858 149007

I am delighted to welcome you to our 2023 Cheltenham Preview Night.

The Festival is less than two weeks away and I hope this evening’s event helps to whet your appetite, whilst giving you a few helpful pointers.

I would like to thank our panellists for joining us and providing their invaluable expert opinions, as well as wishing Nicky and Danny the very best of luck.

Finally, I hope you thoroughly enjoy tonight’s event, and I would like to personally thank you for your continued support of Weatherbys Racing Bank.

Best wishes,

Henry Taylor Head of Weatherbys Racing Bank

American Mike (IRE)

Gordon Elliott

Form: 124

Amir Kabir (GB)

Gordon Elliott

Form: 121

Atlanta Brave (IRE)

Kerry Lee

Form: 211

Authorised Speed (FR)

Gary Moore

Form: 115

Chasing

Olly Murphy Form: 111

Colonel Harry

Snowden

Form: 141

Dark Raven (IRE)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 1/-13

W. P. Mullins

Form: 61

Gordon Elliott Form: 213

Evan Williams

Form: 1-11

Facile Vega

W. P. Mullins

Form: 115

Fennor

John McConnell

Form: 311

Gaelic Warrior

W. P. Mullins

Form: 111

Hey Johnny

Form: 415

High Definition (IRE)

Joseph Patrick O’Brien

Form: 1U

Hunters Yarn (IRE)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 311

Il Etait Temps (FR)

W. P. Mullins

Imagine (FR)

222

Impaire Et Passe (FR)

W. P. Mullins Form: 1-11 In Excess (FR)

W. P. Mullins

Gary Moore

Form:

11-7

(GB)

Elliott

Henderson

Elliott Form:

Spirit of Legend (FR)

Form:

Tahmuras (FR)

Teddy Blue (GER)

Form: 313

11-7

Peter Fahey Form: 225

Luccia (GB) 11-0

Nicky Henderson

Form: 1-11

Key Trends

23 of the past 26 winners won last time out

Scriptwriter (IRE)

Milton Harris

Form: 112

8 of the past 10 winners were trained by Willie Mullins (5) or Nicky Henderson (3)

6 of the past 9 winners were rated 153+

6 of the past 10 winners won a Grade 1 on their previous start

18 of the past 20 winners were aged 5 or 6

10 of the past 11 winners had won a Graded novice hurdle

9 of the past 10 winners were sent off at single-figure odds (8 were sent off at 6-1 or shorter)

8 of the past 21 winners had contested a Graded bumper the previous spring

7 of the past 15 winners were unbeaten during the current campaign

4 of the past 12 winners had won an Irish Point-to-Point

4 of the past 10 winners had won the Tattersalls Ireland Novice Hurdle on their previous start (all trained by Willie Mullins)

Respect racecourse experience (both under Rules and P2P)

Respect horses rated 150 or higher

Only 1 of the past 15 winners failed to win twice over hurdles

Only 1 of the past 12 winners failed to win last time out

Only 1 of the past 12 winners returned at odds greater than 10-1

Only 1 of the past 10 winners was rated below 148

Only 2 of the past 20 winners were older than 6

Only 2 of the past 18 winners were outright favourite

4yo’s are 0-15 this century

Genuine ex-Flat horses have struggled in recent years

Be wary of Betfair Hurdle form

WILLIE MULLINS

Appreciate It (IRE)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 113

Ballybreeze (GB)

Samuel Drinkwater

Form: 23-1

Banbridge (IRE)

Joseph Patrick O’Brien

Form: 132

Bass Rock (FR)

Sandy Thomson

Form: 1-12

Boothill (IRE)

Harry Fry

Form: 212

Datsalrightgino (GER)

Jamie Snowden

Form: 342

Dysart Dynamo (IRE)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 514

El Fabiolo (FR)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 111

Fil Dor (FR)

Gordon Elliott

Form: 351

Final Orders (GB)

Gavin Cromwell

Form: 111

Flame Bearer (IRE)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 310

Key Trends

Ha d’Or (FR)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 214

Haddex des Obeaux (FR) 11-7

Gary Moore

Form: 211

Hollow Games (IRE) 11-7

Gordon Elliott

Form: 514

Jonbon (FR) 11-7

Nicky Henderson

Form: 111

Mortlach (GB)

Fergal O’Brien

Form: 321

Saint Roi (FR) 11-7

W. P. Mullins

Form: 21U

Sir Gerhard (IRE) 11-7

W. P. Mullins

Form: 1-31

Straw Fan Jack (GB) 11-7

Sheila Lewis

Form: 114

Unexpected Party (FR) 11-7

Dan Skelton

Form: 323

Visionarian (IRE) 11-7

Peter Fahey

Form: 226

Effernock Fizz (IRE) 11-0

Cian Collins

Form: 021

17 of the past 22 winners had won a Grade 1 or Grade 2 over fences

8 of the past 11 winners were trained by Nicky Henderson (4) or Willie Mullins (4)

6 of the past 10 winners had won a Grade 1 or Grade 2 over both hurdles and fences

Horses rated 160+ are 7-14 since 2012

24 of the past 31 winners were aged 6 or 7

18 of the past 22 winners won last time out (including the past 13 winners)

15 of the past 20 winners had run 3 or 4 times over fences

14 of the past 19 winners spent just one season hurdling

14 of the past 19 winners had run at the previous year’s Cheltenham Festival

13 of the past 17 winners had won at least twice over fences

9 of the past 15 winners were officially top-rated (BHA Ratings)

8 of the past 11 favourites have won

5yo’s are 0-16 since 2007

Only 2 of the past 21 winners had not already won a Grade 1 or Grade 2 (over hurdles or fences)

Only 2 winners this century had fallen earlier in the season

Only 2 winners this century were sent off at double figure odds

Only 3 winners this century had run more than 4 times over fences

Only 3 of the past 31 winners were older than 7

Paul Nicholls has struggled in recent years

Constitution Hill (GB) 11-10

Nicky Henderson

Form: 1-11

First Street (GB) 11-10

Nicky Henderson

Form: 133

I Like To Move It (GB) 11-10

Nigel Twiston-Davies

Form: 161

Jason The Militant (IRE) 11-10

Philip Kirby

Form: 3-40

Not So Sleepy (GB) 11-10

Hughie Morrison

Form: 5-35

Pied Piper (GB) 11-10

Gordon Elliott

Form: 154

Sharjah (FR) 11-10

W. P. Mullins

Form: 232

Key Trends

State Man (FR) 11-10

W. P. Mullins

Form: 111

Vauban (FR) 11-10

W. P. Mullins

Form: 123

Zanahiyr (IRE) 11-10

Gordon Elliott

Form: 0P5

Echoes In Rain (FR) 11-3

W. P. Mullins

Form: 2F1

Epatante (FR) 11-3

Nicky Henderson

Form: 221

Honeysuckle (GB) 11-3

Henry de Bromhead

Form: 132

Love Envoi (IRE) 11-3

Harry Fry

Form: 2-11

10 of the past 12 winners were unbeaten during the current season (record is 8-17 during the past 8 years)

Mares are 4-9 during the past 7 years

28 of the past 33 winners won last time out

28 of the past 40 winners were aged 6 or 7

14 of the past 24 winners had won at the festival previously

9 of the past 13 winners had run no more than 10 times over hurdles

9 of the past 14 winners were trained by Nicky Henderson (5) or Willie Mullins (4)

8 of the past 12 winners were outright favourite

6 of the past 11 winners were second-season hurdlers

6 of the past 13 winners were owned by JP McManus (9 winners in total)

6 of the past 14 winners contested the Christmas Hurdle

4 of the past 11 winners finished in the first 3 of the previous year’s Supreme or Ballymore

5yo’s are 2-111 during the past 36 years

10yo’s (or older) are 0-30 during the past 40 years

Only 2 of the past 24 winners had not run at the Cheltenham Festival previously

Only 2 of the past 12 winners had run more than 12 times over hurdles

Only 1 of the past 46 winners regained their crown

Only 1 of the past 19 winners was aged 9

International (Bula) Hurdle winners are 0-13 during the past 19 years

It is 52 years since the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle winner won the Champion Hurdle the following season

CONSTITUTION HILL

Champion Hurdle Favourite

HONEYSUCKLE

LOVE ENVOI

Followed up victory in the Weatherbys

Jane Seymour Mares’ Novices’ Hurdle by winning at the Festival.

Queen of Cheltenham

Ailie Rose (IRE) 11-5

S. R. B. Crawford

Form: 3F6

Anna Bunina (FR) 11-5

John McConnell

Form: 042

Bop Bop Bobbin (IRE) 11-5

Luke Comer

Form: 335

Brandy Love (IRE) 11-5

W. P. Mullins

Form: 21-3

Echoes In Rain (FR) 11-5

W. P. Mullins

Form: 2F1

Holly Hartingo (IRE) 11-5

Alastair Ralph

Form: 130-

Honeysuckle (GB) 11-5

Henry de Bromhead

Form: 132

Indefatigable (IRE) 11-5

Paul Webber

Form: 603

Love Envoi (IRE) 11-5

Harry Fry

Form: 2-11

Marie’s Rock (IRE) 11-5

Nicky Henderson

Form: 1-11

Key Trends

Midnight Ginger (GB) 11-5

Andrew Martin

Form: 315

Molly Ollys Wishes (GB) 11-5

Dan Skelton

Form: 352

Queens Brook (IRE) 11-5

Gordon Elliott

Form: 121

Royale Margaux (FR) 11-5

Tom Symonds

Form: 455

Shewearsitwell (IRE) 11-5

W. P. Mullins

Form: 411

Telmesomethinggirl (IRE) 11-5

Henry de Bromhead

Form: 212

West Balboa (IRE) 11-5

Dan Skelton

Form: 2-21

Epatante (FR) 11-5

Nicky Henderson

Form: 221 Need Supplementing

Theatre Glory (IRE) 11-5

Nicky Henderson

Form: U31 Need Supplementing

13 of the 15 winners had won against geldings (10 of which came in Grade 1 or Grade 2 company)

12 of the 15 winners were trained in Ireland

12 of the 15 winners won last time out

12 of the 15 winners were aged 5-7

9 of the 15 winners were rated 153+

9 of the 15 winners were trained by Willie Mullins

9 of the 15 winners were French-bred

8 of the 15 winners started at 9-4 or shorter

8 of the 15 winners had won or placed at the festival previously

Respect form over further

Only 1 of the 15 winners had failed to win over at least 2m4f

Only 1 of the 15 winners had failed to finish in the first 4 of a Grade 1 or Grade 2

Only 1 of the past 8 winners was outright favourite

Only 3 of the 15 winners were rated below 147

Only 4 of the 15 winners were sent off at odds greater than 6-1

Be wary of ex-Flat performers

Quevega is the only winner older than 7

Abbeydale (FR)

Gordon Elliott

Form: 245

Absolute Notions (IRE)

Gordon Elliott

Form: 132

Affordale Fury (IRE)

Noel Meade

Form: 1F6

American Mike (IRE)

Gordon Elliott Form: 124

Atlanta Brave (IRE)

Kerry Lee Form: 211

Attacca (IRE)

Nicky Henderson Form: 113

Authorised Speed (FR)

Gary Moore

Form: 115

Bob Cigar (IRE)

Gordon Elliott

Form: 24

Caldwell Diamond (FR)

Gordon Elliott

Form: 100

Champ Kiely (IRE)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 141

Churchills Boy (IRE)

Nick Gifford

Form: P11

Cool Survivor (IRE)

Gordon Elliott Form: 124

Cruz Control (FR)

Tom Lacey Form: 0-10

Dark Raven (IRE)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 1/-13

Dawn Rising (IRE)

Joseph Patrick O’Brien

Form: 113

Decorated (GB)

Oliver Signy

Form: 521

Doctor Bravo (FR)

Gordon Elliott

Form: 213

Doctor Brown Bear (IRE)

Martin Brassil

Form: 0-56

Doyen Star (IRE)

Evan Williams

Form: 1-11

Facile Vega (IRE)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 115

Favori de Champdou (FR)

Gordon Elliott

Form: 111

Firm Footings (IRE) 11-7

Gordon Elliott

Form: 331

Gaelic Warrior (GER) 11-7

W. P. Mullins

Form: 111

Ginny’s Destiny (IRE) 11-7

Tom Lacey

Form: 123

Givega (FR) 11-7

Gary Moore

Form: 1P1

Good Land (FR) 11-7

Barry Connell

Form: U11

Grangeclare West (IRE) 11-7

W. P. Mullins

Form: 156

Hermes Allen (FR) 11-7

Paul Nicholls

Form: 111

Hermino Aa (FR) 11-7

Gary Moore

Form: 231

High Definition (IRE) 11-7

Joseph Patrick O’Brien

Form: 1U

Ho My Lord (FR) 11-7

W. P. Mullins

Form: F1

Hurricane Highway (IRE) 11-7

Evan Williams

Form: 1-51

Il Etait Temps (FR) 11-7

W. P. Mullins

Form: 121

Imagine (FR) 11-7

Gordon Elliott

Form: 222

Impaire Et Passe (FR)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 1-11

In Excess (FR) 11-7

W. P. Mullins

Form: 2/-21

Inthepocket (GB) 11-7

Henry de Bromhead

Form: 112

Irish Point (FR) 11-7

Gordon Elliott

Form: 224

Itswhatunitesus (IRE) 11-7

Gordon Elliott

Form: 116

Joe Dadancer (IRE) 11-7

Ben Pauling

Form: 042

L’Astroboy (GER) 11-7

Evan Williams

Form: 1-12

Landrake (GB) 11-7

Gordon Elliott Form: 11F

Marble Sands (FR)

Fergal O’Brien

Form: 151

Master Chewy (IRE) 11-7

Nigel Twiston-Davies

Form: 226

Monty’s Star (IRE) 11-7

Henry de Bromhead

Form: 4-21

Nemean Lion (GER) 11-7

Kerry Lee

Form: 123

Parmenion (GB)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 32

Persian Time (GB)

Nicky Henderson

Form: 2-12

Quais de Paris (FR)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 3-10

Regal Blue (IRE)

Jonjo O’Neill

Form: 4-11

Sa Fureur (IRE)

Gordon Elliott

Form: 111

Saint Davy (FR)

Jonjo O’Neill

Form: 1-11

Santonito (FR) 11-7

Gordon Elliott

Form: 215

Key Trends

Seabank Bistro (IRE) 11-7

W. P. Mullins

Form: 321

Serious Operator (IRE) 11-7

Lucinda Russell

Form: 516

Shanbally Kid (IRE) 11-7

W. P. Mullins

Form: 1-41

Shomen Uchi (FR) 11-7

Sam Thomas

Form: 16-2

Spirit of Legend (FR) 11-7

Henry de Bromhead

Form: 12B

Tahmuras (FR) 11-7

Paul Nicholls

Form: 111

Twinjets (IRE) 11-7

Milton Harris

Form: 112

Weveallbeencaught (IRE) 11-7

Nigel Twiston-Davies

Form: 310

Kateira (GB) 11-0

Dan Skelton

Form: 111

You Wear It Well (GB) 11-0

Jamie Snowden

Form: 121

Horses who have won an Irish Point, a bumper and a Graded novice hurdle are 7-14 during the past 13 years

12 of the past 14 winners were top- or second-top-rated (official BHA Ratings)

11 of the past 14 winners had won a Graded novice hurdle (7 of them had won a Grade 1)

22 of the past 28 winners won last time out

17 of the past 23 winners were aged 6

The past 13 winners had won at least 1 bumper

13 of the past 24 winners were unbeaten that season

9 of the past 13 winners had won an Irish Point-to-Point

8 of the past 9 winners were trained in Ireland

8 of the past 14 winners won their previous start over 2m – 2m2f

6 of the past 11 favourites have won (including the past 3)

5 of the past 15 winners were trained by Willie Mullins

Respect horses rated 150+

Respect strong bumper form

Only 1 of the past 32 winners failed to finish 1st or 2nd last time out

Only 1 of the past 17 winners hadn’t won a bumper

Only 2 of the past 11 winners returned at odds greater than 9-2

Challow Novices’ Hurdle winners are 0-20

Ex-Flat horses are 0-30 during the past 17 years

Amirite (IRE) 11-7

Henry de Bromhead

Form: 3U3

Bear Ghylls (IRE) 11-7

Nicky Martin

Form: 304

Bronn (IRE) 11-7

W. P. Mullins

Form: 421

Drumbear (GB)

John McConnell

Form: 21U

Gaillard du Mesnil (FR)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 213

Gerri Colombe (FR)

Gordon Elliott

Form: 111

I Am Maximus (FR) 11-7

W. P. Mullins

Form: 224

Idas Boy (IRE) 11-7

Noel Meade

Form: 12P

Iron Bridge (IRE)

Jonjo O’Neill

Form: 151

James du Berlais (FR) 11-7

W. P. Mullins

Form: 2-16

Kilcruit (IRE)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 135

McFabulous (IRE)

Paul Nicholls

Form: 12P

Key Trends

Mighty Potter (FR) 11-7

Gordon Elliott

Form: 111

Minella Crooner (IRE) 11-7

Gordon Elliott

Form: 132

Ramillies (IRE) 11-7

W. P. Mullins

Form: 612

Sir Gerhard (IRE) 11-7

W. P. Mullins

Form: 1-31

Stage Star (IRE) 11-7

Paul Nicholls

Form: 211

Thedevilscoachman (IRE) 11-7

Noel Meade

Form: 1F1

The Real Whacker (IRE) 11-7

Patrick Neville

Form: 011

Thunder Rock (IRE) 11-7

Olly Murphy

Form: 133

Thyme Hill (GB) 11-7

Philip Hobbs

Form: 121

Galia des Liteaux (FR) 11-0

Dan Skelton

Form: 1P1

Telmesomethinggirl (IRE) 11-0

Henry de Bromhead

Form: 212

The past 21 winners had contested a Graded novice chase

15 of the past 16 winners had finished 1st or 2nd in a Grade 1 or Grade 2 novice chase

6 of the past 13 winners contested the previous year’s Albert Bartlett Novices’ Hurdle

The past 25 winners had made their chasing debut before the turn of the year

23 of the past 27 winners spent just one season over hurdles

20 of the past 22 winners had between 3-5 chase starts

18 of the past 23 winners were aged 7

12 of the past 20 winners won last time out

11 of the past 19 winners were trained by Mullins, Henderson or Nicholls

10 of the past 11 winners were sent off at single figures

10 of the past 16 winners had won a bumper and/or a Point-to-Point

The past 8 winners were rated 150+

7 of the past 13 winners were beaten on chase debut

5 of the past 8 favourites have won

4 of the past 7 winners had fallen once over fences

Second-season chasers are 4-14 this century

2 of the past 7 winners were British-bred

Only 2 winners this century failed to finish 1st or 2nd last time out

Only 2 of the past 13 winners failed to run over hurdles at the previous year’s festival

Only 3 of the past 28 winners were younger than 7

Only 1 winning French-bred in the past 16 years

Only 1 of the past 8 winners returned at odds greater than 4-1

Be wary of top-class staying hurdlers

No Kauto Star winner has ever won this race (form often reversed)

PAUL NICHOLLS

RACHAEL BLACKMORE

Sir Gerhard and Rachael Blackmore after winning The Weatherbys Champion Bumper

EDWARDSTONE

Last year’s Arkle winner

ENERGUMENE

Won last year’s Queen Mother Champion Chase.

Blue Lord (FR) 11-10

W. P. Mullins

Form: 112

Captain Guinness (IRE) 11-10

Henry de Bromhead

Form: 412

Chacun Pour Soi (FR) 11-10

W. P. Mullins

Form: 233

Coeur Sublime (IRE) 11-10

Henry de Bromhead

Form: 2F4

Editeur du Gite (FR) 11-10

Gary Moore

Form: 311

Edwardstone (GB) 11-10

Alan King

Form: 1U2

Key Trends

Energumene (FR) 11-10

W. P. Mullins

Form: 113

Funambule Sivola (FR) 11-10

Venetia Williams

Form: 451

Gentleman de Mee (FR) 11-10

W. P. Mullins

Form: 461

Greaneteen (FR) 11-10

Paul Nicholls

Form: 123

Nube Negra (SPA) 11-10

Dan Skelton

Form: 3-12

7 of the past 12 Arkle winners (from the previous season) to run have won

Nicky Henderson has won 5 of the past 11 renewals

13 of the past 22 winners had won at the festival previously

28 of the past 36 winners were aged 7-9

16 of the past 18 winners had run 2-3 times earlier that season

14 of the past 21 winners won last time out

13 horses have won the race more than once since 1960

13 of the past 20 winners were second-season chasers

11 of the past 23 winners were trained by Nicky Henderson or Paul Nicholls

9 of the past 11 winners returned at 6-1 or shorter

8 of the past 14 winners had run no more than twice that season

7 of the past 11 winners contested the Clarence House Chase (6 finished 1st or 2nd)

6 of the past 9 winners contested the Shloer Chase

5 of the past 14 winners were unbeaten that season

3 of the past 7 winners hadn’t run since Christmas (or earlier)

Horses who are 1-1 for that season are 4-8 since 1999

3 of the past 12 winners were trained by Henry de Bromhead

Respect the winner of the Tingle Creek and Desert Orchid

Only 1 of the past 18 winners had run more than 3 times that season

Only 1 of the past 11 winners returned at double figure odds

Only 1 mare has ever won the race

Only 2 of the past 24 winners hadn’t won a race earlier in the season

Only 3 of the past 48 winners were aged 6 or younger

Only 3 previous winners have regained their crown

Only 5 of the past 36 winners were aged 10 or older

5 odds-on favourites have been beaten in the past 7 years

A fall earlier in the season is a negative

The record of the Dublin Chase winner stands at 0-4

Paul Nicholls

Form: 12P

(IRE) 11-7

Mighty Potter (FR) 11-7

Gordon Elliott

Form: 111

Mortlach (GB) 11-7

Fergal O’Brien

Form: 321

Notlongtillmay (GB) 11-7

L J Morgan

Form: 111

Sir Gerhard (IRE) 11-7

W. P. Mullins

Form: 1-31

Stage Star (IRE) 11-7

Paul Nicholls

Form: 211

Straw Fan Jack (GB) 11-7

Sheila Lewis

Form: 114

Unexpected Party (FR) 11-7

Dan Skelton

Form: 323

Fil Dor (FR) 11-5

Gordon Elliott

Form: 351

Key Trends

11 of the 12 winners contested a Graded novice chase on their previous start

9 of the 12 winners were trained in Ireland

7 of the 12 winners were Grade 1 winning novice hurdlers (from just 20 runners)

11 of the 12 winners had run 9 times or less over hurdles

11 of the 12 winners were aged 6 or 7

11 of the 12 winners were sent off at single figure odds (9 returned 4-1 or shorter)

11 of the 12 winners were Irish or French-bred

10 of the 12 winners had run over hurdles at the previous year’s Cheltenham Festival (4 had won)

8 of the 12 winners had won a Graded novice chase last time out (from just 31 runners)

7 of the past 8 winners were rated 151+

6 of the past 7 winners were Irish-bred

6 of the past 7 winners won a Point-to-Point and a bumper

Willie Mullins has won the race 4 times

Gigginstown House Stud have won 3 of the past 11 renewals

Gordon Elliott-trained runners are 2-3

JP McManus has won 2 of the past 4 renewals

Only 1 of the 12 winners was older than 7

Only 1 of the 12 winners failed to finish 1st or 2nd last time out

Only 2 of the 12 winners had run less than 3 times over fences

Only 3 of the 12 winners were unbeaten over fences

British-bred horses are 0-9

5yo’s are 0-7

DANNY MULLINS

Danny Mullins after Flooring Porter wins The Paddy Power Stayers’ Hurdle

JOHNNY BURKE

ENVOI ALLEN

SHISHKIN

Dual winner at the Cheltenham Festival

Winner of the 2019 Weatherbys Champion Bumper

Allaho (FR) 11-10

W. P. Mullins

Form: 11-1

Angels Breath (IRE) 11-10

Sam Thomas

Form: 11//-P

Blue Lord (FR) 11-10

W. P. Mullins

Form: 112

Chacun Pour Soi (FR) 11-10

W. P. Mullins

Form: 233

Conflated (IRE) 11-10

Gordon Elliott

Form: 2-31

Envoi Allen (FR) 11-10

Henry de Bromhead

Form: 310

Fakir d’Oudairies (FR) 11-10

Joseph Patrick O’Brien

Form: 213

Fanion d’Estruval (FR) 11-10

Venetia Williams

Form: 034

French Dynamite (FR) 11-10

M. F. Morris

Form: 252

Funambule Sivola (FR) 11-10

Venetia Williams

Form: 451

Key Trends

5 of the past 7 winners were trained by Willie Mullins

The past 9 winners were French-bred

Fury Road (IRE) 11-10

Gordon Elliott

Form: 133

Ga Law (FR) 11-10

Jamie Snowden

Form: 31F

Hitman (FR) 11-10

Paul Nicholls

Form: 1P2

Janidil (FR) 11-10

W. P. Mullins

Form: F-P1

Lifetime Ambition (IRE) 11-10

Mrs J. Harrington

Form: 234

Millers Bank (GB) 11-10

Alex Hales

Form: 265

Saint Calvados (FR) 11-10

Paul Nicholls

Form: 1-24

Sceau Royal (FR) 11-10

Alan King

Form: 243

Shishkin (IRE) 11-10

Nicky Henderson

Form: P-31

All 15 winners (since the race became a Grade 1) had won over a minimum of 2m4f

16 of the 18 winners were in the top 3 of the betting

Horses rated 170+ are 4-5

14 of the 18 winners had won at Cheltenham previously

12 of the past 15 winners had won or placed at a previous festival

12 of the 18 winners had run 11 times or less over fences

The past 11 winners were aged 9 or younger

11 of the past 15 winners had already won a Grade 1

11 of the past 15 winners finished 1st or 2nd in a Grade 1 or Grade 2 last time out

7 winners between 2008 and 2016 were beaten in the King George

6 of the past 10 winners were second-season chasers

6 of the past 10 winners were outright favourite

7 of the past 9 winners hadn’t run for 47+ days

5 of the past 14 winners hadn’t run since Christmas

Only 1 of the past 14 winners was aged 10

Only 2 of the past 18 winners returned at odds greater than 8-1

Yet to win over 2m4f (or further)

No previous course form

No winner older than 10

Ashdale Bob (IRE)

Mrs J. Harrington

Form: 342

Asterion Forlonge (FR)

W. P. Mullins

Form: F40-

Beacon Edge (IRE)

Noel Meade

Form: P43

Blazing Khal (IRE)

Charles Byrnes

Form: 11-1

Botox Has (FR)

Gary Moore

Form: 104

Buzz (FR)

Nicky Henderson

Form: 52/1-

Chacun Pour Soi (FR)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 233

Dashel Drasher (GB)

Jeremy Scott

Form: 222

Flooring Porter (IRE)

Gavin Cromwell

Form: 2-44

Goshen (FR)

Gary Moore

Form: 123

W. P. Mullins

Form: 4F2

John Joseph Hanlon

Form: 1U1

Form: r11

Key Trends

7 of the past 9 winners were second-season hurdlers

Klassical Dream (FR)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 122

Langer Dan (IRE)

Dan Skelton

Form: 300

Paisley Park (IRE)

Emma Lavelle Form: 213

Saint Sam (FR)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 615

Sharjah (FR) 11-10

W. P. Mullins

Form: 232

Sire du Berlais (FR) 11-10

Gordon Elliott

Form: 5P4

Sir Gerhard (IRE) 11-10

W. P. Mullins

Form: 1-31

Summerville Boy (IRE) 11-10

Henry de Bromhead

Form: 5-42

Teahupoo (FR) 11-10

Gordon Elliott

Form: 611

Zanahiyr (IRE) 11-10

Gordon Elliott

Form: 0P5

Indefatigable (IRE) 11-3

Paul Webber

Form: 603

Marie’s Rock (IRE) 11-3

Nicky Henderson

Form: 1-11

8 of the past 16 winners contested the Cleeve Hurdle on their previous start

20 of the past 23 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out

17 winners this century were sent off at single figure odds

15 of the past 26 winners had won or placed at the festival previously

13 of the past 18 winners won last time out

12 of the past 16 winners were rated 160+

7 of the past 19 winners were British-bred

3 of the past 10 winners were ex-Flat horses

Focus on those aged 6-8

Respect form over shorter

Respect those who like to be ridden patiently

Respect last year’s winner

Only 1 of the past 49 winners was older than 9

Only 3 of the past 33 winners were aged 9

Be wary of those beaten in the race previously

No 5yo has ever won the race

Active Duty (FR)

Ben Pauling

Form: 343

Afadil (FR)

Paul Nicholls

Form: 116

Almuhit (IRE)

Denis G. Hogan

Form: 266

Ascending (IRE)

Henry de Bromhead

Form: 24

Bad (FR)

Ben Pauling

Form: 2-21

Blood Destiny (FR)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 2-11

Bo Zenith (FR)

Gary Moore

Form: 1-31

Comfort Zone (IRE)

Joseph Patrick O’Brien

Form: 311

Elogio (IRE)

Tom Lacey

Form: 122

Fils de Roi (FR)

Fergal O’Brien

Form: 1F3

Gust of Wind (FR)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 15

Highland Frolic (FR)

Milton Harris

Form: 300 Hypotenus (GB)

John McConnell

Form: 31

P. Hennessy

Form: 606

Jazzy Matty

Gordon Elliott Form: 154

Jourdefete (FR)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 300

Jupiter du Gite

Gary Moore

Form: 3-16

McTigue (IRE)

Emmet Mullins

2

152

W. P. Mullins

Form: 1

DAY FOUR Race 1 1.30 JCB TRIUMPH HURDLE (CLASS 1)(Grade 1) 2m 179y

Key Trends

6 of the past 8 winners started their careers in France (5 were French-bred)

9 of the past 14 winners were unbeaten

7 of the past 11 winners contested the Spring Juvenile Hurdle (3 were successful, including the past 2 winners)

19 of the past 25 winners won last time out

14 of the past 18 winners started at single figures (12 returned at 13-2 or shorter)

9 of the past 11 winners had run by the turn of the year

7 of the past 10 winners were trained in Ireland

7 of the past 14 winners were top- or second top-rated on official BHA Ratings

Nicky Henderson has trained 7 winners

Respect horses rated 150+

Respect Gordon Elliott-trained runners

Only 1 of the past 13 winners didn’t contest a Graded race on their previous start

Only 2 of the past 18 winners were sent off at odds greater than 12-1

The past 8 Adonis winners to have run have been beaten (all 8 finished unplaced)

COMFORT ZONE

Winning the Finale Hurdle at Chepstow.

Noel Meade Form: 1F6

Gordon Elliott Form: 124 Bob Cigar (IRE)

Gordon Elliott Form: 24

Chianti Classico (IRE)

Kim Bailey Form: 111

Churchills Boy

Nick Gifford Form: P11

Collectors Item

Jonjo O’Neill Form: 512

Lucinda Russell

Form: 115

W. P. Mullins

Form: 241

Favori

Gordon Elliott Form: 111

Feel Good Inc

Neil Mulholland Form: 310

Elliott

331

Lacey

110

156

Archie Watson Form: 1-11

Heezer Geezer

213

Nicholls

de Bromhead

112

3-10 Regal Blue (IRE)

Jonjo O’Neill

Form: 4-11 Rock My Way (IRE)

Syd Hosie Form: 121 Saint Davy (FR)

Jonjo O’Neill

Form: 1-11 Saint Palais (FR)

Richard Bandey Form: 1-5F

Sandor Clegane (IRE)

Paul Nolan

Form: 213

Santonito (FR)

Gordon Elliott

Form: 215

Scarface (IRE)

Joe Tizzard

Form: 1P4

Seabank Bistro (IRE) 11-7

W. P. Mullins

Form: 321

Search For Glory (IRE) 11-7

Gordon Elliott

Form: 133

Serious Operator (IRE) 11-7

Lucinda Russell

Form: 516

Shanbally Kid (IRE) 11-7

W. P. Mullins

Form: 1-41

Shomen Uchi (FR) 11-7

Sam Thomas

Form: 16-2

Stay Away Fay (IRE) 11-7

Paul Nicholls

Form: 1-12

Storminhome (IRE) 11-7

Ben Pauling

Form: 231

Technology (IRE) 11-7

Alan King

Form: 3-52

Thecompanysergeant (GB) 11-7

Denis G. Hogan

Form: 113

Thomas Mor (IRE) 11-7

David Pipe

Form: 1P1

Three Card Brag (IRE) 11-7

Gordon Elliott

Form: 321

Twinjets (IRE) 11-7

Milton Harris

Form: 112

Well Dick (IRE) 11-7

Charlie Longsdon

Form: 214

Key Trends

Weveallbeencaught (IRE) 11-7

Nigel Twiston-Davies

Form: 310

Eabha Grace (IRE) 11-0

W. P. Mullins

Form: 210

Harmonya Maker (FR) 11-0

Gordon Elliott

Form: 31U

Jungle Prose (IRE) 11-0

Gordon Elliott

Form: 140

Princess Zoe (GER) 11-0

Anthony Mullins

Form: 1

Walk In The Brise (GB) 11-0

W. P. Mullins

Form: 431

You Wear It Well (GB) 11-0

Jamie Snowden

Form: 121

16 of the 18 winners had won or placed in a Graded novice hurdle

7 of the 18 winners had won the Hyde, Bristol or Classic earlier in the season (from 23 runners)

Horses rated 152+ are 3-5

Willie Mullins has trained 3 of the past 6 winners

15 of the 18 winners contested a Graded novice hurdle last time out

15 of the past 17 winners were aged 6 or 7

14 of the 18 winners finished 1st or 2nd last time out

12 of the 18 winners had won at least twice over hurdles

11 of the 18 winners had run 4 times or more over hurdles

10 of the 18 winners had won over 2m7f+ over hurdles

9 of the past 12 winners had won or placed in at least one bumper

7 of the past 11 winners had won an Irish Point-to-Point

7 of the past 9 winners were trained in Ireland

4 of the past 14 winners had run in the Dorans Pride Novice Hurdle at Limerick

3 of the past 9 winners had run in a bumper at the Punchestown Festival

3 of the past 8 winners wore a tongue-tie

Respect horses rated 150+

Jonjo O’Neill is 2-2

Only 1 of the 18 winners was an ex-Flat horse

Only 1 of the 18 winners ran in a Graded bumper

Only 1 of the past 17 winners was aged 5

Only 1 of the past 13 winners was rated below 140 (last year’s winner wasn’t rated)

Only 1 of the past 10 winners started at odds shorter than 11-1

Only 3 of the past 15 winners had yet to race beyond 2m5f

Nicky Henderson is 0-14 since 2012

Gordon Elliott is 0-9

Ahoy Senor (IRE) 11-10

Lucinda Russell

Form: 351

Angels Breath (IRE) 11-10

Sam Thomas

Form: 11//-P

A Plus Tard (FR) 11-10

Henry de Bromhead

Form: 21-P

Bravemansgame (FR)

Paul Nicholls

Form: 4-11

Capodanno (FR)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 4-13

Conflated (IRE)

Gordon Elliott

Form: 2-31

Coole Cody (IRE)

Evan Williams

Form: 150

Eldorado Allen (FR)

Joe Tizzard

Form: 245

Envoi Allen (FR)

Henry de Bromhead

Form: 310

Franco de Port (FR)

W. P. Mullins

Form: 545

Fury Road (IRE)

Gordon Elliott

Form: 133

Ga Law (FR)

Jamie Snowden

Form: 31F

Key Trends

20 of the past 23 winners had 12 or less chase starts

Galopin des Champs (FR) 11-10

W. P. Mullins

Form: 1-11

Galvin (IRE) 11-10

Gordon Elliott

Form: 146

Hewick (IRE) 11-10

John Joseph Hanlon

Form: 1U1

Minella Indo (IRE) 11-10

Henry de Bromhead

Form: 2-P1

Noble Yeats (IRE) 11-10

Emmet Mullins

Form: 113

Protektorat (FR) 11-10

Dan Skelton

Form: 4-14

Royale Pagaille (FR) 11-10

Venetia Williams

Form: 55-2

Shishkin (IRE) 11-10

Nicky Henderson

Form: P-31

Sounds Russian (IRE) 11-10

Ruth Jefferson

Form: 422

Stattler (IRE) 11-10

W. P. Mullins

Form: 1-22

The Real Whacker (IRE) 11-10

Patrick Neville

Form: 011

18 of the 22 winners this century had won or placed at the festival previously

Every winner this century spent just one season hurdling

13 of the past 21 winners had won a Graded novice hurdle over 2m – 2m4f

Placed horses from the Supreme Novices’ Hurdle this century are 6-7

22 of the past 23 winners were aged 7-9

Every winner this century had already won a Grade 1

16 of the past 22 winners won last time out

15 of the 22 winners this century returned at odds of 7-1 or shorter

13 of the past 18 winners had not won beyond 3m½f

11 of the past 22 winners were second-season chasers

10 of the past 20 outright favourites have won

7 of the past 9 winners were trained in Ireland

6 of the past 16 winners were French-bred (this includes 3 of the past 4 winners)

5 of the past 12 winners had run in the Brown Advisory the previous year

4 of the past 10 winners were 1-1 that season

4 of the past 16 winners won the Denman Chase last time out

No winner this century older than 9

No winner since 2000 contested the Cotswold Chase

Only 1 winning 6yo since 1964

Only 1 winning 10yo since 1993

Only 2 of the 22 winners this century had won over further than 3m2f

Only 2 of the 22 winners this century returned at double figure odds

Only 2 of the past 15 winners ran more than 3 times earlier in the season

Only 3 of the 22 winners this century had placed in the race previously

Only 3 of the 22 winners this century failed to finish 1st or 2nd last time out

Only 3 of the past 18 winners had won a Point-to-Point

Be wary of heavy ground form

BRAVEMANSGAME

The winner of six of his seven chase starts

AHOY SENOR