2019 STRIVE Symposium

#1

RETAIL TEAM IN THE SOUTHWEST 835+ TRANSACTIONS | OVER $3 BILLION SOLD

SPONSORS

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Not to be a success, but to be of Value

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WE ARE ALL OVERWHELMED BY EMAIL

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BACK TO THE BASICS

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Team JENNIFER PIERSON

JASON VITORINO

ADAM GOTTSCHALK

BRYCE GISSLER

RON SWEEDYK

Managing Partner

Managing Partner

Vice President

Senior Associate

Financial Consulting

SHANNON NETTLES

GREG HOLLEY

SASHA MAHAN

MIKE MULCAHY

JARED HARRISON

STEPHANIE HARGRAVE

Transaction Coordinator

High Street Capital

Marketing Coordinator

Marketing Coordinator

Financial Analyst

Administrative Assistant

MASON REITER

ANNE MARTIN

CHADD BOSSOW

WILL MERRITT

KYLE ROZELL

Associate - STNL

Associate - STNL

Associate - STNL

Associate - STNL

Associate - STNL

JAMES ANDERSON

SAM HOUSE

DANIEL WENZ

JAKE DUTSON

WILL MEACHUM

DANIEL BYBEE

Associate – Multi-Tenant

Associate – Multi-Tenant

Associate – Multi-Tenant

Associate – Multi-Tenant

Associate – Multi-Tenant

Associate – Multi-Tenant

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ON EVERY PROPERTY WE SELL, EVERYONE GETS PAID

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BACK TO THE BASICS

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OUR REACH IS VAST

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WE KNOW TEXAS

63% OF BUYERS FOR TX PROPERTIES LIVE IN TX

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SPONSORS

Jeff Montgomery Johnny Begzos

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COMPANY STATS LAST 2 YEARS

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COOPERATION

37%

40% 63%

60% STRIVE TEAM MEMBER

STRIVE TEAM MEMBER

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STNL TRANSACTIONS - 2018

Costar Criteria: • • • • • • • • • •

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TRANSACTIONS PER REGION

DFW WEST TEXAS CENTRAL

EAST TEXAS

AUSTIN SA

HOUSTON

VALLEY

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TRANSACTIONS PER MARKET 2ND/3RD

DFW

AUS/SA HOUSTON

DFW

SECONDAY/TERTIARY

AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO HOUSTON

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WHERE ARE TODAY’S BUYERS COMING FROM WA

OR

MA

MI

NY CT

IL

NV

OH

UT CO CA AZ

KS

VA

MO

NJ

NM AL TX

GA

LA FL

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WHERE ARE TODAY’S BUYERS COMING FROM EAST COAST MIDWEST WEST COAST

SOUTHEAST TEXAS & SURROUNDING

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SPONSORS

Alex Brauer

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MT TRANSACTIONS - 2018

Costar Criteria: • • • • • • • • • •

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TRANSACTIONS PER REGION

DFW WEST TEXAS CENTRAL

EAST EAST TEXAS TEXAS

AUSTIN SA

HOUSTON

VALLEY

Symposium

TRANSACTIONS PER REGION 2ND/3RD

DFW

AUS/SA HOUSTON

DFW

SECONDAY/TERTIARY

AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO HOUSTON

Symposium

WHERE ARE TODAY’S BUYERS COMING FROM WA MA

OR

NY

IL

OH

DE VA

CA NC OK

AZ

AR GA

TX FL

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WHERE ARE TODAY’S BUYERS COMING FROM EAST COAST MIDWEST WEST COAST

SOUTHEAST TEXAS & SURROUNDING

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SPONSORS

Mike Polley

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MT TRANSACTIONS

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STNL TRANSACTIONS

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ALL RETAIL TRANSACTIONS

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MARKET INSIGHT

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i

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MULTI-TENANT

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MULTI-TENANT

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RETAIL STRIP

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SHADOW ANCHORED

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STNL

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STNL

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FAST FOOD

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FAST FOOD

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DOLLAR STORES

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DRUG STORES

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STRATEGIC PARTNERS Not Just brokers

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SPONSORS

Roy Canino Christie Mains

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Mark Dotzour Symposium

The Economic Outlook for Real Estate Investors

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Clear Sailing Ahead

A Year Ago Symposium

2018 Has Emerged into an Economic Boom

Six months ago

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Beginning our Initial Approach for this Flight

Now Symposium

Still at high altitude at rapid speed, starting a gradual descent

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Why 2019 Will Be Slower • • •

• • •

• •

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Why 2019 Will Be Slower • • •

•

•

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States with Most Employment Growth

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States with Least Employment Growth

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Net Domestic Migration

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Population Projection: DFW-A Metro Area

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Dallas Business-Cycle Index

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Index of Leading Economic Indicators

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Cass Freight Index

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Aug-00 Feb-01 Aug-01 Feb-02 Aug-02 Feb-03 Aug-03 Feb-04 Aug-04 Feb-05 Aug-05 Feb-06 Aug-06 Feb-07 Aug-07 Feb-08 Aug-08 Feb-09 Aug-09 Feb-10 Aug-10 Feb-11 Aug-11 Feb-12 Aug-12 Feb-13 Aug-13 Feb-14 Aug-14 Feb-15 Aug-15 Feb-16 Aug-16 Feb-17 Aug-17 Feb-18 Aug-18

Consumer Confidence Index 150

140

130

120

110

100

90

80

70

60

50

40

30

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Household Net Worth

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Monthly Increase in Jobs

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Rate of Wage Growth

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Job Openings in America

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Corporate Profits

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Small Business Confidence:

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Small Business Confidence: 30 25 20 15 10 5 0

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Large Corporate Hiring Plans:

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Longest U.S. Economic Expansions

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Longest U.S. Economic Contractions

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Revenue Act of 1964 • •

•

•

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Percentage Change in Employment After the Kennedy Tax Cuts

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Tax Reform Act of 1986 • •

•

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Index of Leading Economic Indicators After Reagan Tax Cuts

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Where Do Interest Rates Go From Here?

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The Bond Market Super-Cycle

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End of the Bond Market “Super Cycle”

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Tension Between White House and Fed • • • • • •

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The Neutral Rate of Interest

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Conclusions • •

• • • •

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