2018
CONTENTS:
mid-year review
Recent Sales
Greater Boston Market
About UMF
Market Overview
Who We are Since its inception in 1998, UMF has successfully completed 1,200 transactions of investment properties resulting in $1.8 Billion in total investment sales. With direct experience in the acquisition, management, development and finance of investment properties, the UMF team is supported by the latest marketing technology, sophisticated market research, and comprehensive training. UMF Analysts and Associates apply their varied experiences in real estate, with their extensive knowledge of local and national investment trends, to a pricing and disposition strategy that yields the highest maximum value for clients.
our deal management We CREATE a due diligence file with all relevant property and financial data. This helps us speed up the due diligence process by providing investors information up front making the timeline of the sale much easier for all parties involved.​We do all of this while working with only the most qualified investors and doing it in a manner that ensures no tenants and/or staff find out about the sale until the deal is closed.
Rich Cawley
Kurt Cawley
Jack Creahan
President
Senior Director
Director
617.529.1141
617.875.1073
617.842.0141
rcawley@umf.com
kcawley@umf.com
jcreahan@umf.com
Multifamily, Commercial:
Multifamily, Commercial:
Multifamily: Boston North
Greater Boston & RI
Greater Boston
Shore
how we market To get you the highest price we do things the right way. We spend the time and money to present your property in the best possible way.
we brand
we Maximize
we feature
each property we market with it’s
exposure by utilizing regional trade
your property on our website and
own unique landing page and custom
journal advertising and provide
create an individualized email blast
domain. Our deals are marketed with
additional deal exposure to millions
which goes out to our proprietary list
drone/professional imagery and full
of investors nationwide through the
of 10,000+ investors.
marketing brochures.
most popular commercial real estate sites including Loopnet & CoStar.
E-blast
Interested in selling your property? Want to get the highest possible price in the shortest period of time? To find out what your property could sell for in today’s market and how we would market your property please contact Rich Cawley at 617-529-1141 or email rcawley@umf.com.
Landing Page
2018 Mid-Year Review
Greater Boston MULTIFAMILY Sales volume Providence
Essex
$54,090,674
$46,287,800
# of Transactions
Worcester
Bristol
$148,330,000
$59,200,000
Suffolk
$334,681,100
Norfolk $286,925,000
7.9%
$168
$128,383
Bristol
4
7.7%
$100
$120,301
Plymouth
3
7.9%
$163
$173,722
Suffolk
14
5.5%
$435
$310,151
Norfolk
8
5.2%
$252
$268,713
Middlesex
24
5.6%
$284
$248,446
Worcester
6
9.6%
$119
$140,906
Providence
10
8.2%
$100
$82,530
Total/Avg.
84
6.8%
$239
$203,017
The Boston Metro Multi-family market remains white-hot as rent growth continues to climb in Boston’s urban core and surrounding suburbs. It may be difficult to remain on this kind of pace as Boston has not seen this many units under construction since the 1980s. With such a robust pipeline, the general consensus is that vacancies in the area are expected to trend upwardly at a tolerable rate for much of the forecast. The metro area’s strong renter base is expected to keep the demand buzzing, but the big question right now on the minds of many market players is “how much is too much?”. Will the steady rent growth in the Class B/C multifamily product continue with all
Market Indicators $2,500 $2,000
these new construction deliveries? In Worcester, there is expectation of long-term growth in the multi-family sector due to over a half billion dollar revitalization of downtown’s CitySquare. After having one of the highest unemployment rates in the country from 2011 to 2013, Providence has bounced back and now has an unemployment rate that is in line with the US average. With a record number of units under construction and one of the lowest vacancy rates in New England, watch for this multi-family market to improve alongside its economy.
Units Under Construction Units Under Construction 5.0% 330
4.4% 4.4%
3.6% 3.6%
$1,500
1,416
4.0% 3.4% 3.4%
3.0%
1.0%
$1,388
$500
$1,382
2.0% $2,238
$1,000
$0
Avg. Price Per Unit
15
$9,295,000
$328,468,000
Avg. Price PSF
Essex
Plymouth
Middlesex
Avg. Cap Rate
Boston Metro
Worcester
Providence
Average Rent
18,848
0.0%
Vacancy Rate
Copyright 2018 United Multi Family│Data Provided by CoStar
Boston Metro
Worcester
Providence
2018 Mid-Year Review
Greater Boston office Sales volume Providence $46,514,961
# of Transactions
Avg. Cap Rate
Avg. Price PSF
Essex
8
7.3%
$124
Bristol
4
9.3%
$165
Plymouth
6
8.1%
$178
Suffolk
15
4.7%
$449
Norfolk
16
7.5%
$202
Middlesex
36
7.3%
$218
Worcester
8
9.6%
$120
Providence
12
7.5%
$120
Total/Avg.
105
7.3%
$218
Essex $45,375,824 Bristol
Worcester
$37,630,000
$19,343,469
Plymouth $27,813,494
Middlesex $795,480,123
Suffolk $1,300,450,940
Norfolk $291,009,309
The Boston Metro Office market is as strong as it’s ever been as developers continue to build dynamic new office space capable of attracting major corporations and tech tenants. While construction ticks up, office vacancies have been consistently falling since 2010 and are now the lowest they have been in over a decade. The city’s strong fundamentals call for continued rent growth throughout the next few years. While it’s unknown the decision on Amazon’s HQ2, the city continues to impress new companies with innovative space in desirable locations. Vacancies have also compressed in Worcester to the point where they are comparable with the Boston metro area largely because there has
Market Indicators
SF Under Construction
Office
10.0%
$40.00
$30.00
7.9%
not been much new construction activity over the past five years. However, rent growth has not correlated as expected for this type of vacancy shrinking but long-term hope does exist for this market due to the City’s downtown revitalization efforts. The key to growth in this market is the retention of millennials who contribute to the young population attending the nine universities that are located here. A sluggish Providence market has new hope based off a local government sparked trend of incoming companies due to tax credits and other incentives. So far over 20 companies have taken advantage of these incentives and set up shop in the market.
154,000
288,000
8.0%
7.8% 3.6%
5.5%
$20.00
6.0% 4.0%
$10.00 $35.44
$19.02
$19.67
$0
Boston Metro
Worcester
Providence
Average Rent/ SF
2.0% 5,000,000
0.0%
Vacancy Rate
Copyright 2018 United Multi Family│Data Provided by CoStar
Boston Metro
Worcester
Providence
2018 Mid-Year Review
Greater Boston retail Sales volume
# of Transactions
Avg. Cap Rate
Avg. Price PSF
Essex
19
6.8%
$182
Bristol
19
7.1%
$148
Plymouth
23
8.3%
$164
Suffolk
21
5.4%
$368
Norfolk
16
5.7%
$314
Middlesex
34
7.0%
$324
Worcester
14
8.1%
$155
Providence
38
6.4%
$157
Total/Avg.
184
6.8%
$228
Providence $88,420,482 Essex
Worcester
$91,833,976
$60,111,754
Bristol $51,885,623
Suffolk
Middlesex $334,681,100 Middlesex
$328,468,000
$107,307,892 Suffolk Norfolk $87,430,558 $286,925,000
Plymouth $54,778,782
Norfolk $31,083,686
The Boston Metro Retail market is experiencing a significant amount of new transit-oriented retail development with strong lease-up rates upon completion. Even with all the new major developments coming on-line vacancy rates remain low. With so much new inventory it appears the downward trend on cap rates since the end of 2009 is now apparent. Nevertheless, the metro area contains only 5.3 SF of neighborhood center space per resident as compared to 7.8 SF nationally, which should help mitigate any risk associated with the large amount of supply that is under construction. The fears of demise for brick and mortar retail is much less in a metro like Boston with such strong fundamentals.
Market Indicators
SF Under Construction
Office
5.0%
$30.00 4.4%
$25.00
3.9%
4.0%
2.0% $24.30
$14.65
$15.29
$0
100,000
3.0%
2.7%
$10.00 $5.00
163,000
3.6%
$20.00 $15.00
Worcester has added more inventory since 2015 than any other New England market, and the vacancy rate still sits more than 50 basis points below the national average. Compared to the Boston metro area rate of 2%, Worcester’s inventory growth since the beginning of 2015 has been 3.5%. Vacancies in Providence are at a cyclical low, but rent growth has not correlated as expected. Stock growth has been absent in Providence as the market already contains the second largest inventory in New England. However, the market is quite active coming in at 3rd place in the region with a 13% turnover rate over the trailing 5 years.
Boston Metro
Worcester
Providence
Average Rent/ SF
1.0% 1,400,000
0.0%
Vacancy Rate
Copyright 2018 United Multi Family│Data Provided by CoStar
Boston Metro
Worcester
Providence
2018 Mid-Year Review
Recent Sales by UMF
Saugus, MA 69 Units $14,025,000
Quincy, MA 18 Units $3,420,000
Easton, MA 12 Units $1,384,256
z
Interested in selling your property? Want to get the highest possible price in the shortest period of time? To find out what your property could sell for in today’s market and how we would market your property please contact Rich Cawley at 617-529-1141 or email rcawley@umf.com.
Rich Cawley
Kurt Cawley
Jack Creahan
President
Senior Director
Director
617.529.1141
617.875.1073
617.842.0141
rcawley@umf.com
kcawley@umf.com
jcreahan@umf.com
Multifamily, Commercial:
Multifamily, Commercial:
Multifamily: Boston North
Greater Boston & RI
Greater Boston
Shore
INSIDE: Market Overview Recent Sales About UMF