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Trinity News Vol. 69 Issue 7

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Tuesday 28 February 2023

Ireland’s Oldest Student Newspaper

Vol. 69, Issue. 7

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WO DOOR DINEMA CLUB WILL HEADLINE this year’s Trinity Ball, Trinity Ents has announced this morning. Trinity Ent’s revealed this year’s line-up through their Instagram yesterday morning, with acts such as Monjola, Somebody’s Child and Hannah Laing to feature on the bill. Often described as “Europe’s largest private party”, Trinity Ball will take place on campus on Friday April 14. This may be the last Trinity Ball on campus for at least the next few years, with Trinity College Dublin Students’ Union (TCDSU) telling Trinity News in January that construction works associated with the Old Library Redevelopment Project will mean access to two main ;/53-5<2.&/5&=+>2&?@@

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POLL CONDUCTED BY TRINITY NEWS indicates a likely victory for László Molnárfi in the race for Trinity College Dublin Students’ Union (TCDSU) President with a significant margin. The poll also shows a significant lead for Olivia Orr in the Ents race, though less decisive than Molnárfi’s. The share of votes to re-open nominations (RON) in multiple uncontested elections is noticeably higher than is usual, indicating a heightened interest in this option after last year saw the

first ever return of a RON result in a TCDSU election. Carried out between 21 and 25 February, the poll uses a representative sample of 509 students. The margin of error is plus or minus 4.0%. President In the presidential race, László Molnarfi leads overwhelmingly with 58.4% of first preference votes, a greater share than all other candidates combined, including the option to re-open nominations (RON). Incumbent Education Officer Zöe Cummins and outside candidate Tilly Schaaf are almost tied on 18.3% and 18% of the vote respectively, while 4.9% of first preferences went to RON. A 4% margin of error indicates

that Molnárfi’s true lead is somewhere between 36 and 44 percentage points. Though the proportion of undecided voters is not insignificant at 28.1%, it is the lowest in any race, and is unlikely to affect results significantly when voting opens on Tuesday. The elimination and later reinstatement of Cummins on the ballot is likely to have hurt her electoral prospects – it is important to note that she was eliminated for the majority of the time the poll was live – but the data indicate that it is not Molnarfi, but Schaaf, who gained from this. Among 146 responses (with a margin of error of 8%) submitted between the launch of the poll and the announcement that Cummins had been disqualified, Molnarfi

gained 63.6% of first preferences, Cummins 26.2%, and Schaaf 9.3%. Schaaf ’s subsequent 8-point rise likely came at the expense of Cummins’ 8-point drop, while Molnarfi’s share decreased rather than inflated. With Cummins back on the ballot, it is possible that she will see a boost in numbers – however, a 45.2% plurality of Schaaf voters’ second preference currently go to Molnárfi, compared to only 16.1% for Cummins, indicating that Schaaf ’s elimination would likely cement his win. Education Polling at 80.6%, Deputy AHSS Convenor Catherine Arnold is set for a straightforward win in her ;/53-5<2.&/5&=+>2&?@@


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