No 902 Monday 17th - Sunday 23rd January 2022
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Keeping people safe and informed for over 18 years - The Costa Blanca’s oldest ‘FREE’ English language newspaper
SIXTH WAVE OF VIRUS TO SHOW SHARP DROP BY END OF MONTH
he decrease in cases due to the omicron variant will be faster than in the previous spikes in infections, so that at the beginning of February the incidence could fall from 3,000 to around 300.
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The sixth wave of coronavirus continues to rise and pulverize all previous records during the pandemic, with the latest omicron variant currently responsible for this massive contagion. However, the trend of positive cases, which began to rise before the Christmas holidays, will peak between the middle and the end of next week. This is forecast by the models handled by analyst and mathematician, Santiago García Cremades, from Elche’s Miguel Hernández University. "The infections continue to rise, but the rate of rise seems to be slowing down," says García Cremades. He also says that the downward trend of the wave in the Valencian Community, will be similar to the models and the experiences seen by other countries, such as England and South Africa, where the majority omicron variant is now dropping quickly and fairly dramatically. If these forecasts are correct “at the end of January we will be left with only a moderate pandemic situation and, at the beginning of February, the incidence could be around 300 cases per 100,000 inhabitants. At the moment, both the Valencian Community and the Spanish average exceed an incidence of 3,000 cases, a figure that, in the opinion of the UMH mathematician, may not accurately reflect the true reality of the situation. “There are many people who take home antigen tests and when they test positive they do not notify the Health Department, as they spend their isolation at home, so they are not officially counted in the statistics.”
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