Professor prediction Thursday, November 5, 2020
Political science professor explains what may happen in the 2020 election
Ryan Novozinsky Despite the general election occurring and polls closing on Nov. 3, the United States still doesn’t have an answer on its next president. The O’Colly recently Claire Boomer spoke to Dr. Chad Hankinson, a former politiStillwater residents line up at the Stillwater Community Center to vote on cal science professor at the first day of early voting in Oklahoma on October 29, 2020 in Stillwater, Oklahoma State UniOklahoma.
versity who left OSU to work at Virginia Tech this semester. Hankinson was able to share his insight on who could potentially win the election: Hankinson on what Biden has to his advantage: “This is a tough call. When I really try to think about this through the more traditional measures, there’s definitely things that bode well for Joe Biden in terms of these markers of
how he fairs on the issues that people really think are important. Looking at the polls coming into the election, he’s been doing pretty well nationally, pretty well in a lot of competitive states and even turning some states that seemed uncompetitive just a few months ago to being in the conversation as being competitive states.” See Predictions on page 2
Trump, Biden locked in closer race than expected. What to take away from the results so far By Alex Roarty and David Catanese
McClatchy Washington Bureau WASHINGTON — A tumultuous election night yielded no definitive result between President Donald Trump and Joe Biden, with both candidates locked in razor-thin races in a slate of battleground states that were expected to continue tallying votes into Wednesday and possibly beyond. Contests in North Carolina, Georgia, Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin were all uncalled as of early Wednesday morning, with officials scrambling to count both ballots cast Nov. 3 and a surge of ballots sent through the mail. Of the major swing states, The Associated Press had called Florida for Trump and Arizona for Biden early Wednesday. The AP also called Iowa, Ohio and Texas for the president and Minnesota for Biden, though those states were considered second-tier battlegrounds. Biden also flipped the electoral vote in Nebraska’s 2nd Congressional District, according to the AP, which could be pivotal in a close race. Election officials said they expected delayed results in many states, especially in Pennsylvania, Michigan and Wisconsin, three Midwestern states that could ultimately determine the outcome. In some Pennsylvania counties, for instance, local
officials said they planned to not even begin counting those ballots until Wednesday morning. “We believe we’re on track to win this election,” Biden told a drivein crowd in Wilmington, Delaware, early Wednesday morning. “We’re confident about Arizona, that’s a turnaround. We’re still in the game in Georgia, although that’s not what we expected.” He added, “We’re going to win Pennsylvania.” That Biden did not immediately appear the victor, as polls indicated he might, is a deep disappointment to Democrats. And it will bolster Republican arguments that Trump was never as big an underdog as was widely believed, even as his path to reelection remained narrow. Speaking from the White House, Trump went further, falsely claiming that ballots still being counted were fraudulent and declaring victories in states that had not yet been called by a news outlet. “We were getting ready to win this election,” he declared, complaining about the lack of full results, even though election officials have warned for weeks that counting in certain states would take days. “Frankly, we did this election,” the president incorrectly added. There’s still a long way to go before the results are finalized, but here are three takeaways from the initial returns: NO BLUE WAVE (OR RED WAVE) While a 2020 presidential election victor remains unclear, it’s now
Claire Boomer A sign reads 'Vote Here' on the Wes Watkins' doors on November 3, 2020 in Stillwater, Oklahoma.
readily apparent that the results won’t create the blue wave that Democrats were increasingly hoping for entering Tuesday. It will not prove to be a red wave, either. It’s another closely contested national election that defied polling, surprised analysts but tracked closely with what most Americans are getting used to: A
relatively evenly split country, divided by deep blue cities and increasingly reddening rural areas. Whereas Trump held onto several key states he carried in 2016, like Florida, Iowa and Ohio, battlegrounds like Georgia, Arizona and Wisconsin remained too close to call, with just a few percentage points separating the candi-
dates While it was not the evening of numbers some Democrats were anticipating, it could still turn out to be a significant victory. It will just take days to know.
See Locked In on page 2
Page 2 Thursday, November 5, 2020
News
O’Colly
Predictions... Continued from page 1 Hankinson on what Trump has to his advantage: “There are other things that you look at on a historical level like (President Trump) and his approval ratings, while not incredibly high, they remain within a margin of acceptability. Where his approval is now kind of hasn’t gone below this threshold of where we think presidents are in danger so he still has the support of a lot of Americans out there. The economy is not working necessarily to the president’s favor, but I think with some of the circumstances of COVID, he’s not being held responsible for that.” “Some things out there like the early returns make it all the more difficult to. Joe Biden may be underperforming in a place like Miami-Dade county which could mean he ultimately loses Florida.” Hankinson’s final prediction: “If I had to make a prediction, I would very cautiously say that there are more of these markers that bode well for Biden. But man, this is just gonna be a pretty close contest here and I’m hard pressed to give any kind of firm or clear prediction for any of the candidates.” news.ed@ocolly.com
Locked In... Continued from page 1
But Republicans can take solace in avoiding the downballot wipeout some were privately bracing for. The GOP had escaped election night clinging to its tiny advantage in the Senate and it avoided deeper losses in the U.S. House. POLLING MISFIRES Stop us if you’ve heard this before: Polls of the presidential race were wrong. In a development eerily similar to the one that shook the political world in 2016, a battery of battleground polls in select states appear to have misjudged Trump’s level of support, painting a much more bearish picture for the president’s reelection chances in the run-up to Election Day than was actually true. That was no more true than in Florida, where an array of surveys found Biden holding a small but persistent lead. In reality,
Trump appeared to easily win an outright majority in the state, with more than 95% of the vote in, with a million more raw votes cast for him than 2016. He led by more than 3 percentage points over Biden. The FiveThirtyEight polling average, meanwhile, showed Biden with a 2-point edge heading into Tuesday, a net difference of 5 points. Polls also missed their mark in Ohio, where Trump won decisively despite a polling average that showed the race neck and neck. Results are still being tabulated, but even many Democrats are skeptical that the roughly 8-point national lead Biden held in polls will ultimately hold up when all the votes are counted. To an industry already reeling from after 2016, it’s yet another blow to its credibility. DEMOCRATS’ HISPANIC
VOTER FLOP IN FLORIDA Arguably the biggest disaster for Democrats on election night was the crumbling of their vote share in Miami-Dade County, where more than two-thirds of residents are Hispanic. Biden won just 53% of the traditional Democratic stronghold, a collapse of 10 points from Hillary Clinton’s 2016 performance, dooming his chances to swipe Florida’s 29 electoral votes from the GOP’s column. The reason was immediately apparent: Trump’s appeals to the Hispanic community broke through, especially on digital and social media, where his campaign branded the Democratic ticket as socialists — a message particularly resonant with the Cuban community. “We kept saying we had to push back but completely missed the boat,” said a Biden
aide working the state, who was granted anonymity to speak candidly. “On social targeting ... we just keep getting hit under the radar. We got worked with the socialism narrative. New immigrants are more conservative and open to Trump’s message.” Two other casualties of the failure were a pair of Miami-area Democratic congresswomen: Reps. Donna Shalala and Debbie Mucarsel-Powell, who were favored to win reelection. While Republicans were quick to cite Trump’s rising Hispanic support as a crucial overlooked component to his reelection path, it wasn’t immediately clear how widespread the problem was. Biden still held a comfortable lead in Arizona early Wednesday morning, where nearly 20% of eligible voters are Hispanic.
O’Colly
Thursday, November 5, 2020 Page 3
lifestyle
Humans of OSU: Sydney Weiser
“
“I am a junior at OSU studying arts administration with a minor in theatre and dance, so it is basically my way of saying that I am going to be on Broadway. I am super into the arts in every single way and that is kind of what my life revolves around honestly. Coming to college I thought that I was going to be a business major or something along those lines, but the summer before my freshman year I taught a children’s theatre camp. I had always loved being a dance teacher and just the arts in general. Teaching that camp I realized that there is something about it that just made me so happy. I realized that is what I want to do with my life. There is just something absolutely spectacular about performing. I am such an introvert deep down and I love being alone doing sudoku, just chilling, but getting up on a stage and taking over another character or performing, bringing other people joy, that’s just something irreplaceable. I have found so much happiness through performing. The OSU Theatre Community is definitely a pretty tight-knit community. Even if you are not super involved in the theatre department you still belong there. I mean the slogan for the theatre department is ‘You belong in OSU theatre.’ We really strive to push for the fact that you belong and that everyone has a place. We try to give students a voice as much as possible. Most of the theatre majors and minors will hang out in the Green Room in the Seretean Center in between their classes. It is a really nice community.” - Sydney Weiser, arts administration junior with minors in theatre and dance. By Ellen Slater
Ranger the Little Cowboy in:
Election day By Annemarie Chaney
Page 4 Thursday, November 5, 2020
O’Colly
Special surprises sports
Mike Gundy gets into special teams issues from Saturday
John Clanton Tulsa World
Oklahoma State's Dillon Stoner is chased by Tulsa's defense as he returns a punt during their first game of the season at Boone Pickens Stadium in Stillwater on Saturday, September 19, 2020. JOHN CLANTON, TULSA WORLD
Jared A’Latorre Turnovers were not the only burden to watch on Saturday for the Cowboys. After a touchdown to take an 11-point lead, Texas kickoff returner D’Shawn Jamison took the following kickoff to the end zone. Along with a roughing the punter penalty that gave the Longhorns an automatic first down
later in the game, those two special teams players affected the contest. The game was definitely slowing down for the Cowboys after that, but coach Mike Gundy said he knows that it’s something to work on. And the Cowboys already have. “We had two guys out of position, the area to correct on that is the two guys out of the position,” Gundy said. “The scheme was fine, we gotta get that corrected with the players, which we did last night.” Without a penalty on the punt, the Cowboys
would’ve likely been in better position to control the possession in the middle of the fourth quarter. Gundy said that his special teams unit was just in a bad position, it wasn’t worrying about the penalty itself. “On the punt block situation, he kind of got pushed down, he got pushed on the ground,” Gundy said. “I can’t blame the young man for it, he’s given effort, it was just a bad situation, he just got into an area and they decided to make it a personal foul.” OSU got burned on
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special teams this time around, but it’s interesting because the Cowboys used to be dominant in the special teams receiving game. Of course, that was when they also had NFLcaliber talent on that side of the ball, which is also rare to have. “Great returners, whether it’s a punt or a kickoff, can make coaches look a lot better and all of a sudden, you become a really good special teams unit,” Gundy said. “When you go back to Gilbert, Perrish Cox, Dez Bryant, you’re talking about NFL players, and you have an
NFL player that’s returning kicks and punts, you all of a sudden become a better coach.” Whether or not teams have a good special teams unit, it’s definitely a plus to see that category being filled in the manner in which it should. “In most cases, special teams fall over a period of a season based on where you’re at with your ability to have a returner in the game that could potentially be athletic enough to play in the NFL,” Gundy said. sports.ed@ocolly.com
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Thursday, November 5, 2020 Page 5
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Daily Horoscope By Nancy Black Tribune Content Agency Linda Black Horoscopes Today’s Birthday (11/05/20). Communication is your golden key this year. Disciplined creative practices can unlock unimagined opportunities. Strategize with your partner to pivot to new markets this winter, before a lucrative surge. Prepare for summer income slowdowns, before a shared endeavor picks up steam. Your creative expression flourishes. To get the advantage, check the day’s rating: 10 is the easiest day, 0 the most challenging. Aries (March 21-April 19) — Today is a 7 — Take care of family matters. Handle household chores and clean messes. Care for children, animals and your garden. Practice domestic arts. Cook up something delicious. Taurus (April 20-May 20) — Today is a 7 — Focusing on refining and editing communications rather than taking actions that could backfire. Launch your initiative after it’s ready. Study, revise and polish. Gemini (May 21-June 20) — Today is a 7 — Don’t gamble with the rent. Stick to practical financial priorities. Discuss possibilities. An opportunity is worth pursuing. Take charge for the results you want. Cancer (June 21-July 22) — Today is a 9 — Things could feel personal. You may want to rush full speed into a fight; hold back. Consider longterm consequences. Plan carefully for growth and win. Leo (July 23-Aug. 22) — Today is a 6 — Slow down and think. Wait for developments. Stay practical or invite trouble. Privacy soothes ruffled nerves. Savor routines and rituals. Consider the future you want. Virgo (Aug. 23-Sept. 22) — Today is an 8 — Coordinate with your team. The stakes could seem high. Reconvene to share options and possibilities. Communication gets farther than action now. Together, you’ve got this. Libra (Sept. 23-Oct. 22) — Today is a 7 — Your work is gaining attention. While the obstacles you face are real, you can navigate them with calm professionalism, patience and persistence. Maintain momentum. Scorpio (Oct. 23-Nov. 21) — Today is an 8 — Explore and investigate, although barriers block the road. Monitor conditions and adapt plans to suit. Stay flexible. What can you learn from this experience? Sagittarius (Nov. 22-Dec. 21) — Today is an 8 — Adapt to shifting financial conditions by monitoring shared accounts closely. Strategize and plan for growth, while staying flexible. Collaborate for common gain. Capricorn (Dec. 22-Jan. 19) — Today is a 7 — Consider the impacts of your words and actions before leaping into a mess with your partner. It’s easier to avoid than clean it up. Relax. Aquarius (Jan. 20-Feb. 18) — Today is an 8 — Take a walk when stress rises. Physical action provides a release valve. Slow for curves. Don’t push things, or risk accidents. Nurture yourself. Pisces (Feb. 19-March 20) — Today is a 7 — A romantic challenge could arise. Fun plans could get interrupted. If so, postpone what you can to adapt. Prioritize love, beauty and family.
Edited by Rich Norris and Joyce Lewis
ACROSS 1 Competition prize 6 “Sistas” and “Being Mary Jane” cable channel 9 Toaster, often 14 Like Lindbergh in the Spirit of St. Louis 15 Former boxer Laila who wrote “Food for Life” 16 Ancient Greek physician 17 *Helmet part 19 Pick at the polls 20 In __: as found 21 Tate Modern collection 22 Taj Mahal location 23 *Diamond protectors 28 Chip raw material 30 Hosp. areas 31 Half a cocktail 32 Neat as __ 33 Artist Yoko 34 Scuttlebutt 35 *Unlikely roles for mimes 39 Pol. units until 1991 40 “The Sign” pop group __ of Base 41 Start to commute? 42 Previously 43 Polished off 44 Sign usually seen at night 46 *Crustacean catchers 49 Teases 50 Golfer Poulter or Woosnam 51 Hybrid Jamaican fruit 55 Pickling solution 57 Nursery rhyme guy whose last name inspired the answers to starred clues? 59 Gulps down 60 Boat on a 40-day mission 61 Clinton running mate 62 Halley’s __ 63 Grill fuel 64 Ski resort that shares its name with a tree
11/5/20
By Jerry Edelstein
DOWN 1 Brits’ raincoats 2 Pre-college, briefly 3 “Stop stalling!” 4 Recurring payments 5 Article in Elle France 6 Spanish district 7 Get a big grin out of 8 Money left on the table 9 Expels 10 Former first daughter 11 Proof of legal ownership 12 Continental trade gp. 13 Sinus doc 18 1920s chief justice 22 __ in the bucket 24 Grammy 25 Word with Beach or Island 26 Grammatically analyzed 27 Convene 28 One way to earn $200 29 Cause of disgrace
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Wednesday’s Puzzle Solved
©2020 Tribune Content Agency, LLC
33 Number of Eagles’ Super Bowl wins 34 Play the part of in costume 36 Beckinsale and Winslet 37 Bakery employee 38 Resting on 39 Cantina condiment 43 Ideally 44 Finally spills the beans
11/5/20
45 Slender 47 Burn a bit 48 Crown 52 Golf lesson subject 53 Country road 54 Hwy. through San Antonio and Houston 55 Email option, briefly 56 Pi follower 57 Beemer rival 58 Reggae kin
4
11/5/20
Solution to Wednesday’s puzzle
Complete the grid so each row, column and 3-by-3 box (in bold borders) contains every digit, 1 to 9. For strategies on how to solve Sudoku, visit sudoku.org.uk
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sports
George scores first OSU goal in Cowgirls’ 2-1 win Jacob Sturm Charmé Morgan had the ball at her feet outside the Texas Tech box. In Oklahoma State’s 2-1 win against Texas Tech, the moment turned an urgent situation into a manageable one. When she looked up, OSU midfielder Camy Huddleston made a run into the box. Morgan lofted a pass toward her, drawing Texas Tech keeper Madison White off her line as she went to punch the ball. Then the crash happened. Huddleston and White met at the peak
of the jump. The ball cannoned away from the goal directly to OSU sophomore Rebekah George, who hit it into the top right corner. White wasn’t near her net and was helpless as the ball crossed the goal line. George said she was both happy and relieved when the goal happened. She recalled her thoughts when the moment came. “Camy Huddleston did a great job of pressing them and putting the pressure on them,” George said. “And it just happened to get tipped and drop right in front of me and it felt like the game was almost in slow motion. And I just was watching the ball come at me and I was like just doing a repeat in my head, ‘Don’t miss this, don’t miss this, don’t miss this’ and then it went
Alicia Young OSU midfielder Rebekah George goes for a header during the Oklahoma State vs. Texas Tech soccer match on Friday, October 30, 2020 at Neal Patterson Stadium in Stillwater.
in.”
George took advantage of her playing time after being used off the bench to re-
Alicia Young
OSU defender Charmé Morgan shoots during the Oklahoma State vs. Texas Tech soccer match on Friday, October 30, 2020 at Neal Patterson Stadium in Stillwater.
place Megan Haines. George made her first start the past week against Texas. Her first OSU goal didn’t go unnoticed. “I was really excited for her,” OSU coach Colin Carmichael said. “We talked after the Texas game, you know that was her first start, and she has just worked really hard and deserved that opportunity I thought…I’m just really proud of her. She’s worked to develop the parts of the game that we’ve encouraged her to try to improve upon for the last two years, and she’s getting rewarded for that.” The goal evened the score at one, securing the OSU score line that took the
game into overtime. On senior night at Neal Patterson Stadium, the sophomore made the difference. Senior wingback Hannah Webb said she thought the goal boosted George’s confidence. “I was so proud of Rebekah,” Webb said. “She has really developed into such an awesome player. I’ve really seen her take a lot of constructive criticism and really develop her play and I was just so proud of her to finally get that goal.” With a goal to her name, expect the success to continue.
sports.ed@ocolly.com
ACTIVE FAITH! (Part #1) “Now faith is being sure of what we hope for and certain of what we do not see. This is what the ancients were commended for.” (Heb.11: NIV) By faith, Abel was commended by God for his offering.(fat portions from his flock) He offered the best he had to God. Cain, was unaccepted, because he offered some of the fruit of the land. In his day, Abel was sure and certain in his knowledge of God, and acted accordingly. (Gen 4:1-5) In his day Enoch believed God existed and he rewarded those who sought him. The Bible tells us that he walked with God! (Gen 5:21-24) Why did he walk with God when others did not? Because he was sure and certain about what he knew of God, and therefore sought and found God real. He had a steady fellowship with the Almighty. We can do the same in our day! It seems so easy to fall into a historical
faith, believing the truth and actions of those in the past, but lacking a present, active trust. Yet the Bible encourages us continually to pursue a God that is real today and can be found. We can offer our best to him and we can personally walk with God. Jesus died and rose again to show us that God loves us. Trusting Christ, we are free from the guilt and power of our sins, so we can fellowship and walk with God. We can offer to him our best, and we can be led by him into a continual relationship. It is very real. We can personally know him We can know his will for our lives and prepare ourselves for eternity with him. Historical faith can be very empty, passive, and unimportant. Personal, present and active faith in a real and living God, brings us to a reality and purpose with one who loves us and is faithful to us.
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