Blue & Orange November 15, 2014

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PREDICTIONS

TABLE OF CONTENTS

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NOVEMBER 15, 2014

2014

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NOVEMBER 15, 2014

HOW THE GAME WILL GO

Broncos should win a shootout Nate Lowery

Sports & Rec Editor

Boise State’s weaknesses in defending the run were on full display Saturday night. New Mexico, owners of a 3-6 record, were able to run wild over a Broncos defense that struggled to make tackles.

The Lobos dashed up and down the Boise State defense for 505 yards and had two scoring runs of 75 yards.

Against San Diego State, the Broncos can not allow the same thing to happen.

Aztec quarterback Quinn Kahler has tossed seven touchdowns to eight interceptions and should be no trouble for a Boise State secondary that has succeeded at forcing turnovers.

The trouble for Boise State will be running back Donnel Pumphrey.

Pumphrey has rushed for 1,216 yards this season to go along with his 13 touchdowns. The talented sophomore from Las Vegas, Nevada is first in the MW in rushing yards.

After starting the season off with one of the nation’s best units in run defense, the Broncos have struggled over the past five weeks to slow

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teams down.

The defense has allowed 10 plays of 50 yards or more this season. The main reason for this is tackling and missed assignments.

Linebackers and defensive lineman have either blown their assignment leaving a hole in the defense or have not been able to wrap the ball carrier up and bring them to the ground.

For Boise State to avoid a third straight upset at the hands of San Diego State, the defense will need to tighten up. The Broncos offense has been able to keep pace with every team they’ve faced not named Ole’ Miss or Air Force.

Because of Grant Hedrick and Jay Ajayi’s ability to keep Boise State in the game when the defense falters, you can expect this Saturday to be a shoot-out.

Just as Boise State’s games against Nevada and New Mexico have proven, when the Broncos defense can not contain an elite rusher, the offense increases the tempo to stay in the game.

Boise State- 41 San Diego State- 36

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BLACK OUT against SDSU

NOVEMBER 15, 2014

4 items to mark in your pregame notebook Nate Lowery

Sports & Rec Editor

Broncos move up in the polls

Boise State has slowly been moving up the polls.

The Broncos have seven points in the Amway Coaches Poll and one point in the AP Poll. The team is still unranked, but has gained ground with each passing week.

Marshall is the highest ranked team from the non-Power 5 conferences, but has been left off the College Football Playoff Committee’s rankings the past two weeks due to their weak schedule.

Two members of ESPN — Mark Schlabach and Brett McMurphy — have the Broncos projected to play Arizona State in the Vizio Fiesta Bowl.

Hedrick’s big game

Boise State’s 60-49 win over New Mexico may have been ugly, but it would have been a whole lot uglier if not for the performance of

quarterback Grant Hedrick.

Hedrick had 498 yards through the air and on the ground, and totaled six touchdowns.

Hedrick’s performance earned him a spot on the Capital One Impact Performers team for the week.

Since being benched following his four-interception performance against Air Force, Hedrick has tossed 11 touchdowns to only two interceptions.

The redshirt senior from Independence, Oregon sits at second in the nation in completion percentage.

Ajayi no. 2 in the nation

Boise State running back Jay Ajayi is ranked second in the nation in yards from scrimmage. The redshirt junior from Plano, Texas averages 173.8 yards per game— just shy of Wisconsin running back Melvin Gordon at 176.0 yards per game.

Ajayi showed off his dual-threat ability with 161 yards on the ground against New Mexico, as

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well as a 75 yard touchdown reception in the first half.

Ajayi is still in contention for the Doak Walker Award given to the nation’s best running back.

Ajayi is ranked No. 14 in the nation in rushing yard with 1,146 yards. His 14 touchdowns are good for sixth in the nation.

November is the coldest month

Since 2010, Boise State has gone 11-4 in the month of November.

Albeit a winning record, November has spelled doom for the Broncos the past four seasons. The four losses in November either removed the Broncos from BCS bowl contention or ruined Boise State’s chances at a conference title.

The Broncos managed to start November off with a win after a 60-49 comeback victory over New Mexico, but still have games left against Utah State and Wyoming.

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KEY PLAYERS AGAINST SDSU Nate Lowery Sports & Rec Editor

Despite being listed as a linebacker on the roster, the unit Lee provides the most spark for is special teams. Wielder of “The Hammer”—the hammer the special teams player of the week carries as the Broncos come out of the tunnel—in two games this season, Lee has thrilled fans with brutal hits on kickoffs.

San Diego State has managed to beat Boise State the past two seasons due to their ability to win the game of special teams. For the Broncos to have any chance to reverse their downward trend against the Aztecs, special teams is where Boise State is going to have to improve.

Lee could be the answer to that.

The sophomore from Susanville, California is going to be needed to limit San Diego State on kickoff returns. This will cause the Aztecs to start with bad field position and give the Broncos’ shaky defense more room to work with.

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No. 44 Darren Lee Soph. LB

No. 82 Thomas Sperbeck Soph. WR

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In the absence of Matt Miller, many expected Sperbeck to be the next man up in the Broncos rotation at wide receiver.

What few predicted, however, is how much of a vital cog to the Boise State offense Sperbeck would become.

Over the past two games, Sperbeck has hauled in 15 passes for 312 yards and a touchdown. The difference that Sperbeck provides over the Broncos other receivers is his ability to make crucial plays.

Against New Mexico, Sperbeck was able to haul in passes on third downs to move the chains and set up a Boise State comeback.

There will be little separation on the scoreboard between these two teams. This means those deep, downfield shots Sperbeck miraculously manages to contain are going to be all the more critical.

There should be no shock with this selection—Goodale was the difference maker last season against the Aztecs, and he’ll most likely end up as the difference maker this season.

In 2013, as regulation expired at Qualcomm Stadium, Goodale missed a 43yard field goal that would have won the game.

Instead of the Broncos flying back to Boise with a berth in the inaugural MW Championship Game, Boise State lost in overtime for their second conference loss in the season.

This game should be a close one throughout. Every single chance Boise State has to put points up on the board—be it a field goal or a touchdown — they will need to capitalize in order to avenge two straight losses to San Diego State.

Look for Goodale to have another chance to clinch the game for the Broncos.

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No. 41 Dan Goodale Sr. K

NOVEMBER 15, 2014

WT CLASS 213 SR 193 SO 182 SO 189 FR 198 SR 185 FR 158 JR 195 FR 183 JR 190 FR 168 FR 190 FR 203 FR 178 SO 186 SO 174 JR 203 JR 181 FR 179 FR 174 SO 202 SR 199 FR 174 JR 185 FR 200 SO 194 FR

No. NAME 39 David Mckinzie 41 Dan Goodale 42 Matt Cota 46 Kevin Keane 49 Tyler Rausa 52 Andrew Tercek 56 Troy Bacon 57 Tennessee Su’esu’e 59 Mason Hampton 60 Kellen Buhr 63 Sitini Kauvaka 66 Mario Yakoo 68 Jake Templeton 70 Steven Baggett 71 Rees Odhiamo 72 Marcus Henry 73 Travis Averill 74 Archie Lewis 75 Eli McCullough 76 Jerhen Ertel 77 RJ Thorne 78 Andres Preciado 80 D.J. Dean 81 Dallas Burroughs 82 Thomas Sperbeck 84 Jake Hardee 85 Holden Huff

POS HT WR 6-0 K 5-10 LS 6-1 LS 6-0 K 5-9 OL 6-1 OL 6-3 OL 6-1 OL 6-3 OL 6-1 OL 6-2 OL 6-4 OL 6-2 OL 6-3 OL 6-4 OL 6-3 OL 6-3 OL 6-3 OL 6-5 OL 6-6 OL 6-2 OL 6-6 WR 6-1 WR 5-9 WR 6-0 TE 6-3 TE 6-6

WT CLASS 166 FR 185 SR 189 FR 207 JR 192 SO 280 FR 291 FR 289 FR 274 FR 290 SO 287 FR 339 SO 275 FR 289 SO 310 JR 286 JR 298 SO 283 FR 288 FR 271 JR 295 FR 258 FR 195 FR 169 SR 173 SO 238 JR 222 JR

OFFENSE ROSTER

No. NAME POS HT 2 Matt Miller WR 6-3 3 Thomas Stuart QB 5-11 6 Chaz Anderson WR 5-10 8 Sean Modster WR 5-11 9 Grant Hedrick QB 6-0 10 Cory Young RB 5-10 11 Shane Willliams Rhode WR 5-6 13 Jeremy McNichols RB 5-9 14 Troy Ware WR 6-2 15 Ryan Finley QB 6-4 16 Blake Gonzalez K 5-9 16 Anthony Upshaw QB 6-0 18 Alex Ogle QB 6-3 19 Taylor Pope WR 6-0 19 Sean Wale P 6-2 20 Terrell Johnson WR 5-9 21 Jack Fields RB 5-9 23 Tanner Shipley WR 6-1 24 Dusty Fisher WR 6-2 26 Devan Demas RB 5-8 27 Jay Ajayi RB 6-1 28 A.J. Richardson WR 6-0 29 Rick Smith WR 5-9 31 Skyler Seibold RB 6-1 35 Charles Bertoli RB 5-11 37 Ryan Wolphin RB 5-8

86 87 88 89 91 93

Chase Blakley Alec Dhaenens Jake Roh Connor Peters David Lucero Brennyn Dunn

TE TE TE TE TE TE

6-4 6-3 6-3 6-4 6-5 6-3

234 239 228 251 213 215

F FR FR SR FR SO

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NOVEMBER 15, 2014

What a win would mean for Boise State Nate Lowery

Sports & Rec Editor

The 2007 Fiesta Bowl put Boise State on the map and defined the Broncos as a football power. Since winning the 2010 Fiesta Bowl, however, the Broncos have fallen from national prominence and have not had an undefeated season.

With the BCS system now gone forever, Boise State’s chances of making it into the national championship have decreased, but their chances of making it into a marquee bowl game have actually in-

creased.

The Cotton, Peach and Fiesta Bowls have all been reserved for the highest ranked team from one of the non-Power 5 conferences (MWC, Sun Belt, AAC, C-USA, MAC).

Currently, that team would be Colorado State, but because of Boise State’s win over the Rams earlier this season, they would get the nod.

Only a conference champion from the non-Power 5 conferences may clinch a spot in the New Year’s Day bowl.

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Closer to a New Year’s Day Bowl

Where a loss would leave the Broncos There’s nothing left this season for the Broncos Nate Lowery

Sports & Rec Editor

Yes, Boise State would still have three games left this season, but the Broncos’ goal this season was to win the MW title.

If Boise State loses to San Diego State, they fall behind Colorado State in the standings.

Currently, both teams have one conference loss, but the Broncos hold an advantage over the Rams based on their 37-27 win earlier this season.

DATE

OPPONENT

If San Diego State wins, that win over Colorado State would be meaningless and the Rams and Utah State would pass the Broncos in the conference standings.

A three-loss season is a vast improvement over the disastrous

five-loss season of 2013, but few within the program would like to be five years removed from the team’s last outright conference title.

The farther Boise State moves from outright conference titles, the farther the team moves away from the national spotlight and credibility.

Ole Miss

LOCATION

Atlanta, Georgia

TIME

RESULT

Sept. 6

Colorado State

ALBERTSONs stadium

8:15 p.m.

W, 37-24

Sept. 13

Connecticut

East Hartford, Conn.

10 a.m.

W, 38-21

Sept. 20

Lousiana-Lafayette

ALBERTSONs stadium

8:30 p.m.

W, 34-9

Sept. 27

Air Force

Colorado Springs, Colo.

6 p.m.

L, 28-14

Oct. 4

Nevada

Reno, Nev.

8:30 p.m.

W, 51-46

Oct. 17

Fresno State

ALBERTSONs stadium

6 p.m.

W, 37-27

Oct. 24

BYU

ALBERTSONs stadium

7 p.m.

W, 55-30

Nov. 8

New Mexico

Albuquerque, New Mexico

5 p.m.

W, 60-49

Nov. 15

San Diego State

ALBERTSONs stadium

8:15 p.m.

TBD

Nov. 22

Wyoming

Laramie, Wyoming

8:15 p.m.

TBD

Nov. 29

Utah State

ALBERTSONs stadium

TBA

TBD

Aug. 28

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6 p.m.

L, 35-13

NOVEMBER 15, 2014

DEFENSE

No. NAME 1 Douglas Bryan 3 Cleshawn Page 4 Darian Thompson 5 Donte Deayon 7 Joe Martarano 8 Kamalei Correa 9 Mercy Maston 10 Jeremy Ioane 13 Blake Renaud 14 Kaleb Hill 17 Brandon Beau 20 Tanner Vallejo 22 Chanceller James 24 Taylor Loffler 25 Chris Santini 28 Dillon Lukehart 29 Dylan Summer-Gardner 30 Jonathan Moxey 31 Zavior Hoxie 32 Rondell McNair 33 Gabe Perez 34 Jaxon Pryor 36 Tyler Gray 37 Cameron Hartsfield 38 Corey Bell 40 Armand Nance

POS HT WT CLASS CB 5-9 175 SR CB 5-9 178 SR S 6-2 208 JR CB 5-9 152 JR LB 6-3 234 FR DL 6-3 247 SO CB 5-11 197 SR S 5-10 192 SR LB 6-2 255 SR DE 6-1 229 FR S 5-11 194 FR LB 6-1 228 SO LB 6-1 216 SR S 6-3 219 JR LB 6-1 221 SO S 6-1 208 JR S 6-1 196 FR CB 5-10 187 SO CB 5-11 184 FR DE 6-2 242 JR STUD 6-4 231 SO DB 5-9 205 FR LB 6-4 229 JR CB 5-10 186 FR N 5-11 203 SR DT 6-0 301 JR

No. NAME POS HT WT CLASS 43 Joe Provenzano LB 5-11 205 FR 44 Darren Lee LB 6-1 224 SO 45 Travis Saxton LB 6-1 228 SR 47 Eric Yates CB 5-9 161 FR 48 David Moa DL 6-3 249 FR 50 Nick Terry DT 6-3 282 FR 51 Ben Weaver LB 6-0 235 SO 53 Beau Martin DE 6-2 258 SR 54 Mat Boesen STUD 6-4 219 FR 55 Tutulupeatau Mataele DT 6-3 294 JR 58 Robert Ash DT 6-3 286 JR 69 Tyler Horn DT 6-5 273 SR 90 Justin Taimatuia DT 6-0 287 SR 88 Jake Roh TE 6-2 210 FR 89 Connor Peters TE 6-4 250 JR 90 Justin Taimatuia DT 6-0 281 JR 92 Paul Semons DT 6-3 249 FR 94 Sam McCaskill DE 6-3 250 SO 95 Leighton Esch Vander LB 6-4 215 FR 96 Elliot Hoyte DL 6-4 271 SO 97 Austin Silsby DE 6-3 221 FR 98 Antoine Turner DT 6-1 290 FR 99 Dereck Boles DT 6-2 294 FR

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