DIGITAL FUTURE

This book is printed on acid free paper Copyright c 2013 Stanley Santoso. All rights reserved.

Published simultaneously in United States of America.

No part of this publication may be reproduced stored in a retrieval system or transmitted in any form or by any means, electronic, mechanical, photocopying, recording, scanning, or otherwise, as except as permitted. Request to the publsher for the permission should be addressed ro Stanley Santoso, 627 Moscow Street, San Francisco, CA, 94112, (925) 219-7683 Email: stanleypramana@gmail.com Santoso, Stanley.

DIGITAL FUTURE - less paper, more screens

Includes conference at glance, travel map, and colophon.

DEDICATED TO ALL DESIGNERS, TECHNOLOGY USERS, FUTURE THINKERS

01/55

INTRODUCTION

PAPER ARE DYING INVENTED

DEATH

2TH CENTURY AD

21ST CENTURY AD

IT’S BEEN MORE HUNDREDS OF YEARS SINCE MANKIND INVENTED PAPER. EVER SINCE A LOT OF CREATIVITY STARTED FROM PAPER. WHAT HAPPENS WHEN IT IS GONE FROM EXISTENCE? One of the central visions of the wireless industry aims at ambient intelligence: computation and communication always available and ready to serve the user in an intelligent way. This requires that the devices are mobile. Mobile devices together with the intelligence that will be embedded in human environments – home, office, public places – will create a new platform that enables ubiquitous sensing, computing, and communication. Core requirements for this kind of ubiquitous ambient intelligence are that the devices are autonomous and robust. They can be deployed easily, and they survive without explicit management or care. Mobility also implies limited size and restrictions on the power consumption. Seamless connectivity with other devices and fixed networks is a crucial enabler for ambient intelligence systems – this leads to requirements for increased data rates of the wireless links. Intelligence, sensing, context awareness, and increased data rates require more memory and computing power, which together with the size limitations leads to severe challenges in thermal management. All these requirements combined lead to a situation which can not be resolved with current technologies. As we see in the rest of the paper and in other literature, nanotechnology could provide solutions for sensing, actuation, radio, embedding intelligence into the environment, power efficient computing, memory, energy sources, human–machine interaction, materials, mechanics, manufacturing, and environmental issues. Nanotechnology is a field of science and technology of controlling matter on a scale between 1-100 nanometers. It is a highly multidisciplinary field, bringing together many fields, including electrical and mechanical engineering, physics, chemistry, and biosciences. Nanotechnology will radically affect all these disciplines and their application areas. Economic impact is foreseen to be comparable toinformation technology and telecom industries. The vision of Nokia Research Center is to become the global leader of open innovation for human mobility systems of the fused physical and digital world, giving birth to the growth of business for Nokia. In this paper we will give an overview of how nanotechnology can help to realize this vision, and in particular what is the impact for wireless communication technologies.

END OF PAPER

END OF ‘TURN YOUR PAPERS OVER NOW’: HANDWRITTEN EXAMS REPLACED

BY ONLINE TESTS WITHIN A DECADE. BY 2023 ALL EXAMS WILL BE COMPLETED USING COMPUTERS, DAVID HANSON SAYS. HEAD OF INDEPENDENT ASSOCIATION OF PREP SCHOOLS SAYS LESSONS MUST ADAPT. ‘ADAPTIVE’ ONLINE TESTS MAKE QUESTIONS HARDER FOR BRIGHTER PUPILS Victorian-style handwritten exams will be consigned to history within a decade, a leading schools chief predicts. Pen and paper tests will be scrapped and replaced with online questions which get gradually harder if students are not being challenged. David Hanson, chief executive of the Independent Association of Prep Schools, will use a speech next week to predict that by 2023 online testing will be the norm. ¶ If exams are carried out using computers, it is likely that lessons in classrooms will also rely much less on pen, paper and textbooks. Some schools have already faced criticism for demanding parents buy expensive tablets for use in lessons. There are also concerns that pupils will not develop handwriting skills and become too reliant on technology, including spell checkers. ¶ But Mr Hanson will argue that the system of students completing paper-based exams which are then sent for marking during the summer is inefficient, expensive and out-dated. He will tell a conference of the IAPS next week: ‘By looking at the past and by tracking forward current trends, I predict that in 10 years’ time (2023) maths, English and science will still be core subjects but technology will have been completely embraced and will be used extensively by a generation of teachers who grew up with it. ‘Assessment will be by on-line adaptive tests.’ ¶ In the adaptive tests computers analyse the answers children give and if they are finding some too easy will start presenting tougher questions to give them chance to achieve higher grades. It is argued the move to embrace technology will also prevent a repeat of the marking rows in which papers have to be re-graded. Ahead of the conference, Mr Hanson said: ‘We’re being forced to live with a system that we’ve had for more than a century, with children being sat down on a hot summer’s day and writing on an exam paper which is then dispatched to someone who spends their summer holiday marking it. ‘That’s not necessary. It’s expensive and it’s subject to all sorts of variables, not least human failure. That whole system is just out of step with technology and I think it’ll be consigned to history soon,’ he told the Telegraph. ‘Fundamentally, we all want an assessment and examinations system that we can believe in and it is clear confidence is being lost in the current system,’ he said. ¶ ‘It is no longer fit for purpose; it’s hugely expensive and results are unreliable because it’s too dependent on individuals sitting down and marking.’ by matt chorley

END OF PAPER

TOPâ „PAST: Traditional pen and paper exams could disappear within a decade, according to private schools chief David Hanson LEFT/FUTURE: With tests completed using computers, pupils will become more reliant on technology in lessons

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NO PAPER FUTURE

The future is full of data drives, backups, often made of Organic Technology or crystal, and holographic terminals. No paper though, even if we still have trees around. The danger of having no hard copies of information seems lost on folks. This vision of an entirely digital future hearkens back to the 70s and 80s, when the increasing popularity of the home computer and email led many to believe that soon paper would be made obsolete by the ability to transfer and access hundred-page documents instantly on portable computing devices. Ironically, as the years went on the growing use of fax machines and printers meant paper was in higher demand than ever before. However by the 2000s the growing trends was towards everything being digital, and the rise of e-books threatens to make a No Paper Future a reality (despite the no hard copies risks). ¶ Another way to tell it’s the future is to make money ‘weird’, if not get rid of it. This is a Justified Trope at this point, since now many some of us really do pay with cards for any sizable amount of money when possible (and preferable). For now it’s still more practical to bring money for smaller transactions, to save the 20 or 30 seconds to sign a receipt or key PIN; yet even now, swipe-and-go smart cards that can be much faster than handling messy physical change are spreading. ¶ This whole trope presumes the complete elimination of the Black Market or illegal transactions, as, obviously, drug dealers are not going to be interested in transactions that leave a paper data trail. Ditto for people arranging transactions to evade or avoid taxes or purchase something they’d rather not admit to; cash has no trail, electronic money does. But then the government decides how money is done, so who cares about the criminals?

TITLE

01/55

THE PROGRESS OF THE DEVELOPMENT OF TECHNOLOGY IN COMMUNICATION. The chart shows the progression of technology since the first cellphone ever made. the first cellphone only has a keypad to dial a number. Years after years, companies have been developing this technology to be create the best device that can be used by anyone. Features other than calling are added to the phone and it became a multi function device. Companies added screen, color, camera, and games for entertainment. The chart shows that the first cellphone was empty and the latest handheld device has everything.

FACE RECOGNITION FINGER PRINT TOUCH SCREEN FRONT CAMERA CAMERA COLOR SCREEN KEYPAD YEAR

NEW PAPER

IT’S COMING

01/55

IT’S COMING

REPLACEMENT FOR PAPER

WHETHER OR NOT NOTESLATE EVER PRODUCES A REAL PRODUCT, NO BARRIERS REMAIN TO A COMPETITOR BUILDING A TABLET PURPOSE-BUILT FOR SKETCHING AND NOTE-TAKING. The NoteSlate sketching tablet is coming, even if it’s not going to be built by NoteSlate. ¶ The notoriously secretive, English language-challenged, and so far entirely vaporware company NoteSlate just rumbled to life on its Twitter account, announcing that the company had finally discovered the technology required to realize its vision. Unfortunately, the technology would mean exceeding the device’s originally planned price of $99. ¶ The fact that this makes the company, which is apparently nothing more than a website set up by 29-year-old Czech product and furniture designer Martin Hasek, no more likely to ever release a working version of its inexpensive note-taking tablet is irrelevant. Hasek has already completed all the market research any competitor would ever need to justify coming out with a working clone of his vision, and they will. ¶ To understand the forces at work here, it helps to understand Bill Buxton’s concept of the “long nose” of innovation. The metaphor here is that the “next big thing” is already with us, and it’s just slowly poking its nose out before it comes fully into view. Technologies that will be disruptive in the next 10 years are all around us at the research and development stage, because that’s how long it takes to perfect a technology and get it to market. ¶ Many other e-paper displays with similar refresh rates are already on their way.

What’s significant about e-paper that refreshes fast enough to play video is that it could also be fast enough to respond in a realistic manner, which is exactly what tablets already accomplish, albeit at a much coarser resolution. ¶ Other examples of this technology have already materialized in the form of the countless styluses and note-taking apps for the iPad, the LiveScribe pen computer, and even a ginned-up Magna Doodle for gadget-obsessed adults calling itself the e-note. ¶ What all of these efforts suggest is that there is a very real market desire to digitize absolutely everything, even that last bastion of analog functionality, the blank sheet of paper and the writing device of your choice. Nothing quite satisfies, yet the technology to accomplish the recording and transmission of our every doodle more or less exists already. All that’s left is for an OEM to distill those parts into just the device for which consumers have already demonstrated a desire. ¶ And the already visible “nose” of a viable, inexpensive technology required to realize a tablet that could fully replace paper was just highlighted by Hasek. ¶ Most e-paper has abysmally low refresh rates, far too slow to trace the movement of a stylus on a tablet. But as Hasek pointed out in response to questions from eager fans, the Bridgestone QR-LPD e-paper technology is more than fast enough to do the trick. ¶ So far, Bridgestone’s e-paper efforts have gotten a bum rap on account of the company’s attempts to sell their screens as an admittedly washed-out alternative to other color e-paper technology. But in grayscale mode, it appears that QR-LPD might be more than adequate for a device like the NoteSlate. What’s more, its refresh rate, in evidence at 0:19 in the following video, is more than fast enough to accommodate note-taking and sketching. by christoper mims

TECHNOLOGY IN THE FUTURE IS CRAZY In the future, technology will develop really fast. Faster than we ever thought of, Devices in the future will be self-powered, power efficient, space efficient, multifunction, really fast, secure, portable, useful, light weight, and really really intelligent. Technology will be very smart and strong. they will be very intelligent they may outsmart human-kind.

FOREST AND INNOVATION DIRECTOR, SOCIAL AFFAIRS DIRECTOR, CONFEDERATION OF EUROPEAN PAPER INDUSTRIES (CEPI).

When considering the future of paper, the most commonly heard opinion is usually pessimistic, as it tends to just regard paper as the medium to convey printed information, like in books, magazines and newspapers. ¶ It is true that this segment – let’s call it “graphic paper” – is in trouble. The economic downturn has led to reduced spending in publicity in the press, and therefore to less paper consumption.

Also, the abundant information available through electronic media is a serious competitor to the printed press. And this competition is likely to become even stronger. ¶ But paper is also used in other products. In the hygiene sector, paper is increasingly used for its simplicity and its clean and healthy qualities. In Europe and North America, with their ageing populations, the future of hygiene products made of paper looks very promising, and Europe counts some of the world’s leading companies in that segment. ¶ Also, as consumption patterns change, the need is growing for flexible, lightweight and recyclable packaging. Online shopping, smaller food portion packaging, etc. offer splendid opportunities for the paper and board packaging sectors. From bulk packaging in corrugated board to luxury boxes wrapping a bottle of champagne or perfume, paper and board are still the options of choice. And designers love inventing ever new ways of folding and wrapping that only paper can deliver. ¶ Fascinating new ways to use paper are currently being developed in the laboratories. Surprising applications are just around the corner! by bernard de galembert.

THE FUTURE OF PAPER

CHART: Taken from previous or next pages and blown up.

MORE MEMORY

ALREADY TODAY MOBILE PHONES REQUIRE A CONSIDERABLE AMOUNT OF STORAGE CAPACITY TO RETAIN PICTURES, VIDEO, MUSIC, AND DATA FROM DIFFERENT APPLICATIONS. Taking into account wider usage of different tools allowing users to create their own content and fast wireless links for loading of external content, we can easily expect that mobile phones will require up to 10 GB internal mass memory for short term and 50-100GB for mid and long terms. ¶ Memories for mobile devices should meet very tough requirements.

Low power consumption is required for both active and standby modes. Battery energy is limited (typically 500-1500 mAh) and small factor of products have limited maximum heat dissipation (2-4 W) due to safety and reliability. Low voltage is needed because of power limitations, battery voltage development, and system design. Currently 1.8 V core and I/O is a standard in the mobile industry, and we expect a transition to 1.2 V within 3-5 years. More functionality is needed in system ASICs, but terminals are not getting any bigger - thus low pin count is an issue. Limited PWB area and package/module height dictates small form factor. Share of memories out of total Bill-Of-Material of the product is significant. So low cost is a key requirement. So far Flash memory has been the most reliable storage technology for portable devices. However, visible limitations for future Flash cell scaling include power consumption, charge storage requirements of the dielectrics, reliability issues, and capacitive coupling between adjustment cells. ¶ A lot of innovation has been proposed to get over the limitations in Flash, using system management technique and fabrication technology improvements (e.g. high-k dielectrics, nanocrystal storage medias, and Fin-FET). ¶ While there are no doubts that Flash will remain the dominant non-volatile memory technology at least down to 45 nm node, the world is currently taking a hard look at where there might be a better way. Even today semiconductor industry, which produces transistors with critical dimensions well below 100 nm, uses achievements of nanotechnology. However much more can be expected by usage new materials structures at the nanoscale and utilizing new ways to storage information. ¶ A range of new memory technologies have been explored: ferro-electric RAM (FeRAM), magnetic RAM (MRAM), ferro-electric polymer FeRAM, phase change memory (PCM), resistive RAM (RRAM), probe storage, carbon nanotube memory (CNT), molecular memory, and many others. The concept for some of these technologies has been around for years, and even reached product phase like FeRAM, MRAM and PCM. A few are completely new. ж All the memory technologies mentioned have different levels of maturity. Taking into consideration the requirements for mass storage, The use in portable devices, the size limitations, and the status of the development of the technologies, the most promising choices are probe storage memories and PCM. However, a lot of research and development should be done before they will be able to compete with Flash. by nokia reserach center

MORE MEMORY

01/55

MATERIALS

MORE POSIBILITIES WITH NEW MATERIALS THE WISH TO HAVE HIGH-PERFORMANCE DEVICES WITH “ALL THE FEATURES” IN SMALL SIZE AND BEING EASY TO USE AND CARRY, Enhanced user experiences created via new, useful device features and functions, good design and usability, and attractive personalized look and feel are major drivers for the development of future communication devices. Sets high requirements for several technologies. Materials technology is in key role in the development of many areas such as device mechanics, core electronics, advanced user interfaces, displays, energy sources, and data storage, as discussed above. ¶ Currently the device miniaturization is mainly driven by constant miniaturization of the electronic components.

As this trend continues, it will also allow designing the device architectures in a new way, more effectively applying novel materials and manufacturing techniques. Rigid thin wall structural parts, effective integration of electronics to device mechanics, and optimized design with multifunctional materials (ref. e.g. thermal management, optimal RF performance) are examples of the current challenges where nanotechnology might bring new solutions (e.g. novel nanocomposites, hybrid materials, printed electronics). ¶ The wish to have transformable devices (easy to carry and use) leads the way from foldable, sliding, and bendable devices towards more wearable electronics. Textiles and fabrics enable flexibility and softness, providing also nice look and feel and a way to customize the products hiding the hard technology. Fibres and fabrics with high strength, wear and chemical resistance, self-cleaning features, electrical conductivity, pressure sensitivity or other sensing properties are examples of existing enablers for wearable devices and advanced user interfaces. A major challenge is however, how to protect the core electronics and achieve good reliability, i.e., “washable electronics”. Nanotech research has already resulted in, e.g., super-tough carbon nanotube fibres suitable for weaving, and coatings with anti-microbial or superhydrophobic properties, but still much more is expected to be seen in near future. ¶ When looking a bit deeper at the nano science, the future looks attractive. Today’s material scientists are playing with biomaterials (proteins, lipids, DNA etc), synthetic block-copolymers, inorganic (insulating or semiconductive) or metallic nanoparticles (conductive or magnetic), carbon nanomaterials (carbon nanotubes and fibres, fullerene and 2- dimensional graphene), and many others to create novel hybrid materials. Utilizing self-assembly and molecular recognition, different molecular scale “building blocks” may be combined together to tailor active, smart materials via bottom-up manufacturing. Such active materials, which in some cases can be thought as simple devices, can bring novel functions to electronics devices enabling adaptive, sensing, responsive, or strong but light structures - and boosting the design freedom to a new level. This field, which is still in its infancy, may bring totally new solutions for future communication devices and systems during the next 10-15 years. Deeper understanding on biomaterials, their manipulation and application potential for engineering purposes might also pave the way towards more sustainable material solutions. However, multi-disciplinary research is still needed to exploit the full potential of nanotechnology. by christpoer mims.

TITLE

THIN, FLEXIBLE DEVICE TO REDEFINE TABLET

One of the many things I love about old media such as magazines and newspapers is their flexibility. You can roll ‘em up, stick em’ in your back pocket, bang ‘em around and even use ‘em to swat house flies. ¶ New media tablets, on the other hand, require almost a custodial reverence when it comes to ownership. Cases and sleeves are a must for transport and safe keeping, lest it get scratched or shattered. And you can forget about rolling one up in your back pocket or swatting house flies. Unless you want gashes in your drywall. ¶ Potentially bridging this gap is a team from Canada’s Queen’s University. They’re collaborating with Intel Labs and Plastic Logic to redefine the tablet’s form as a flexible, paper-like touchscreen computer called PaperTab. ¶ But PaperTab’s flexible form isn’t its only innovation.

Unlike tablets, which switch between apps on a single display, multiple PaperTabs are designed to be used together.

Each tab acts as a window for separate applications, but they still interact with each other. ¶ For example, when a PaperTab is placed beyond reaching distance, it reverts to a thumbnail overview of the document, like icons on a desktop computer. When the tab is picked back up or touched, it switches back to a full screen view, like opening a new window. ¶ Additionally, PaperTab’s interface allows functions simply by tapping tabs together. For example, a photo can be sent via email simply by tapping a tab of a draft email together with a tab of a photo. Even cooler, when that email is ready to go, it can be sent by bending the top corner of the display. Also, placing tabs side by side can create a larger display surface. ¶ Designers say these functions emulate the natural handling of multiple sheets of paper.

This may sound like a cluttered step back, but think how long it takes to back track through a tablet to close out or switch apps as opposed to picking up a piece of paper that’s right in front of you. ¶ “Using several PaperTabs makes it much easier to work with multiple documents,” Roel Vertegaal, Director of Queen’s University’s Human Media Lab said on the university’s website. “Within five to ten years, most computers, from ultra-notebooks to tablets, will look and feel just like these sheets of printed color paper.” by nick haverson

01/55

NEWSPAPER ARE IN TROUBLE

CIRCULATION IS DROPPING, DISPLAY AND CLASSIFIED AD REVENUE IS DRYING UP, AND THE INDUSTRY HAS EXPERIENCED AN UNPRECEDENTED WAVE OF LAYOFFS. Big metro papers like the Rocky Mountain News and Seattle Post-Intelligencer have gone under, and even bigger newspaper companies like the Tribune Co. are in bankruptcy. ¶ And where are newspaper readers going? To the web.

A recent study by the University of Southern California’s Annenberg Center for the Digital Future found that Internet users read online newspapers for an average of 53 minutes per week in 2008. That’s the highest level recorded in the eight years the study has been done. ¶ The bad news for newspapers? The study found that 22 percent of users said they stopped their subscription to a printed paper or magazine because they could access the same content online. ¶ Gloomy business considerations aside, the dead-newspaper people say the Internet is just a better place to get the news. ¶ “On the Web, newspapers are live, and they can supplement their coverage with audio, video, and the invaluable resources of their vast archives,” says Jeffrey I. Cole, director of USC’s s Digital Future Center. “For the first time in 60 years, newspapers are back in the breaking news business, except now their delivery method is electronic and not paper.” ¶ One of the unfortunate aspects of the global economic downturn is that newspapers are folding at an increasing rate. Advertising revenue is down significantly and newspapers are being forced to take significant steps to align their costs with the new economic reality. by tony rogers.

BECAUSE…

FUTURE PAPER THE ELEVATOR PITCH FOR THE FUTURE PAPER The paper industry is in the midst of monumental worldwide change. The combination of reduced demand in North America along with the increased supply (and demand) of cheap paper from overseas has dealt great harm to a formerly-powerful North American industry. The North American and EU paper markets are being hard-hit by low-price imports, primarily from Asia. ¶ The decline in demand for certain grades of papers, particularly newsprint, is causing economic disruption in the paper manufacturing industry, the effects of which spill over into other papers as well. ¶ With the decline in the consumption of printed materials there has been a commensurate drop in pricing. The effect compounds. Paper manufacturing is a demanding, capital-intensive and low-margin industry, and when prices drop too low, it is simply no longer cost-effective to manufacture paper. (Industries with higher margins and different cost structures can manufacture at cost, just to cover overhead. This is not the reality for the paper manufacturing business.) ¶ Like most other industries, paper manufacturing is now concentrated among a relatively small number of companies, and so the negative effects spread rapidly and mostly evenly across the board. There are no young and innovative firms in this industry, and perhaps modest opportunities for innovatively addressing the current challenge. ¶ The supply of paper, in its many different types and grades, has become uncertain. Print publishers find themselves increasingly challenged to know how to price their product, confirm their publication schedules – indeed how to operate their businesses in a profitable and predictable fashion. The secondary effect is to encourage publishers to print overseas, particularly in China. ¶ There is an enormous groundswell toward the use of “eco-friendly” papers in the printing industry, and concomitant with that trend is an ongoing exploration of more broadly reducing paper consumption, through reduced trim sizes, lower press runs, and less expensive stocks. by ted mcilroy.

FUTURE PAPER

The future is full of data drives, backups, often made of Organic Technology or crystal, and holographic terminals. No paper though, even if we still have trees around. The danger of having no hard copies of information seems lost on folks. This vision of an entirely digital future hearkens back to the 70s and 80s, when the increasing popularity of the home computer and email led many to believe that soon paper would be made obsolete by the ability to transfer and access hundred-page documents instantly on portable computing devices. Ironically, as the years went on the growing use of fax machines and printers meant paper was in higher demand than ever before. However by the 2000s the growing trends was towards everything being digital, and the rise of e-books threatens to make a No Paper Future a reality (despite the no hard copies risks). ¶ Another way to tell it’s the future is to make money ‘weird’, if not get rid of it. This is a Justified Trope at this point, since now many some of us really do pay with cards for any sizable amount of money when possible (and preferable).

For now it’s still more practical to bring money for smaller transactions, to save the 20 or 30 seconds to sign a receipt or key PIN; yet even now, swipe-and-go smart cards that can be much faster than handling messy physical change are spreading. ¶ This whole trope presumes the complete elimination of the Black Market or illegal transactions, as, obviously, drug dealers are not going to be interested in transactions that leave a paper data trail. Ditto for people arranging transactions to evade or avoid taxes or purchase something they’d rather not admit to; cash has no trail, electronic money does. But then the government decides how money is done, so who cares about the criminals?

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E 7-8

PAGE 1-2

PAGE 3-4

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FUTURE PAPER (SUMMARY)

FUTURE PAPER

SUMMARY OF THE FUTURE PAPER

IN THE LAST FIVE YEARS AS DEMAND FOR PAPER HAS DROPPED PRECIPITOUSLY IN NORTH AMERICA AND EUROPE. I think we all have a pretty good idea of what paper is, but why not start out with some basic information, pulled from The Canadian Encyclopedia: “The pulp and paper industry comprises manufacturing enterprises that convert cellulose fiber into a wide variety of pulps, papers and paperboards. About 95% of their fiber comes from wood from forests, the balance from wastepaper and a very small quantity of linen and cotton rags. Wood is reduced to fiber by mechanical means or by cooking in chemicals. The fibers are then mixed with water, adhering to one another as the water is removed by pressure and heat. This is the fundamental principle of papermaking, discovered by the Chinese nearly 2000 years ago and brought to Spain by the Moors, probably during the 12th century. ¶ “Papermaking today is a large, capital-intensive industry, characterized by high-speed machines and complex systems of control for manufacturing to close tolerances thousands of products vital to education, communications, marketing, packaging, construction, etc. Canada today ranks second to the US in pulp and paper manufacture, and first in pulp and paper exports…” ¶ It must sound obvious to say, “Paper is the lifeblood of the traditional publishing industry” As obvious as it is, I know from my years in publishing that too many in the industry overlooked the fortunes of this precious commodity as they pondered other issues impacting their future in the publishing business. ¶ All of this has changed in the last five years as demand for paper has dropped precipitously in North America and Europe. Traditional the Western nation consumed far more than their share of paper. According to the Worldwatch Institute (PDF file) the average U.S. citizen uses more than 300 kilograms of paper annually…People in developing countries, in contrast, use only 18 kilograms of paper a year on average—in India, the figure is 4 kilos, while in 20 countries in Africa, it’s less than 1 kilo.” Meanwhile, as reported in The New York Times, “In the richest countries, (paper) consumption fell 6 percent from 2000 to 2005, from 531 to 502 pounds a person.” While demand in India and (to a lesser extent) China is exploding, this is not sufficiently offsetting the decreasing demand of the paper hogs in the West. by ted mcilroy.

summary

01/55

PAPERTAB ML123 FR CABINET PART NUMBER: BN96-148821A

PANEL LCD PANEL PART NUMBER: BN95-00395A SUBSTITUTION: BN07-00940A

JN012 UNAVAIBLAE

U191 MAIN PCB PART NUMBER: BN96-03366J

MH34 SPEAKER ASSEMBLY PART NUMBER: BN96-12965D SUBSTITUTION: BN96-12965A

ML881 UNAVAILABLE

WB123 GUIDE STAND PART NUMBER: BN61-06119A

N128 STAND ASSEMBLY PART NUMBER: BN96-13020A SUBSTITUTION: BN96-13020C

PAPERTAB

YOUR COMPUTER MIGHT RESEMBLE A STACK OF PAPER A group of Canadian researchers, working with Intel and Plastic Logic, is showing off a brand new computing paradigm at CES 2013 in Las Vegas, constructed out of a new gadget called the PaperTab. ¶ Each PaperTab is a flexible, 10.7-inch e-ink touchscreen display, powered by a Core i5 processor.

Instead of using it like a normal tablet, though, the idea is that you have lots of PaperTabs — 10 or more, spread out on a table in front of you — with each tablet representing a single app. One tab might be your browser, another might be your email, another might be a calculator, and so on. ¶ The most interesting aspect of this new paradigm, though, is that each PaperTab is aware of other PaperTabs in its proximity. You might push two PaperTabs together to extend an app onto two screens, or you could attach a file to an email by simply tapping one PaperTab on another. ¶ Now, unfortunately for us — this being ExtremeTech and all — there’s almost no information about how Queen’s University, Plastic Logic, and Intel are actually performing this demo. We know something about the displays — they’re flexible, e-ink displays made by Plastic Logic — but very little beyond that. Judging by the huge amount of tethering, it’s almost guaranteed that there’s a big desktop computer underneath the desk, doing all of the work — and the tethers are probably providing power to the displays, too (flexible batteries are coming along nicely, but still have some way to go). ¶ The proximity detection technology is quite neat, but we’re probably just talking about a fairly basic use of NFC — and NFC/RFID is one tech that is flexible. ¶ All in all, we’re really just talking about a tech demo — a cool tech demo with an appealing video, but a tethered pipe dream demo nonetheless.

It will be a few years yet until we have processors and batteries that are thin enough and flexible enough to create a real PaperTab. ¶ But perhaps I’m being unfairly critical. Another possibility would be an intermediate step — a flexible display, tethered to a smartphone in your pocket. It probably wouldn’t be worth the effort though: You might as well just use your smartphone, or, in a few years, a head-up display of some kind.

PAPERTAB

Intel®, Plastic Logic and Queen’s University work together to revolutionise tablet computing. Watch out tablet lovers – a flexible paper computer developed at Queen’s University in collaboration with Plastic Logic and Intel Labs will revolutionise the way people work with tablets and computers. ¶ The PaperTab tablet looks and feels just like a sheet of paper. However, it is fully interactive with a flexible, high-resolution 10.7” plastic display developed by Plastic Logic, a flexible touchscreen, and powered by the second generation Intel® CoreTM i5 Processor. Instead of using several apps or windows on a single display, users have ten or more interactive displays or “PaperTabs”: one per app in use. ¶ Ryan Brotman, Research Scientist at Intel elaborates “We are actively exploring disruptive user experiences. The ‘PaperTab’ project, developed by the Human Media Lab at Queen’s University and Plastic Logic, demonstrates innovative interactions powered by Intel Core processors that could potentially delight tablet users in the future.” ¶ “Using several PaperTabs makes it much easier to work with multiple documents,” says Roel Vertegaal, Director of Queen’s University’s Human Media Lab. “Within five to ten years, most computers, from ultra-notebooks to tablets, will look and feel just like these sheets of printed color paper.” ¶ For example, PaperTab’s intuitive interface allows a user to send a photo simply by tapping one PaperTab showing a draft email with another PaperTab showing the photo. The photo is then automatically attached to the draft email. The email is sent either by placing the PaperTab in an out tray, or by bending the top corner of the display. Similarly, a larger drawing or display surface is created simply by placing two or more PaperTabs side by side.

PaperTab thus emulates the natural handling of multiple sheets of paper by combining thin-film display, thin-film input and computing technologies through intuitive interaction design. ¶ PaperTab can file and display thousands of paper documents, replacing the need for a computer monitor and stacks of papers or printouts. Unlike traditional tablets, PaperTabs keep track of their location relative to each other, and the user, providing a seamless experience across all apps, as if they were physical computer windows. For example, when a PaperTab is placed outside of reaching distance it reverts to a thumbnail overview of a document, just like icons on a computer desktop. When picked up or touched a PaperTab switches back to a full screen page view, just like opening a window on a computer. ¶ PaperTabs are lightweight and robust, so they can easily be tossed around on a desk while providing a magazine-like reading experience. By bending one side of the display, users can also navigate through pages like a magazine, without needing to press a button. ¶ “Plastic Logic’s flexible plastic displays are completely transformational in terms of product interaction. They allow a natural human interaction with electronic paper, being lighter, thinner and more robust compared with today’s standard glass-based displays. This is just one example of the innovative revolutionary design approaches enabled by flexible displays.” explains Indro Mukerjee, CEO of Plastic Logic. ¶ Plastic Logic and the Queen’s University’s Human Media Lab will reveal PaperTab to the press at the International Consumer Electronics Show (CES 2013) in Las Vegas on January 8.

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ELECTRONIC PAPER KB128 KR CABINET PART NUMBER: BN96-1412BJ1A

PANEL LCD PANEL PART NUMBER: B12D5-01225A SUBSTITUTION: BN07-0072VA

AB122 UNAVAIBLAE

AB192 MAIN PCB PART NUMBER: BP76-08316J

JB189 SPEAKER ASSEMBLY PART NUMBER: BV16-12525D SUBSTITUTION: AG56-12923G

BB129 UNAVAILABLE

KJ910 PART NUMBER: B121-0123GA

MK180 STAND ASSEMBLY PART NUMBER: B1N6-11305D SUBSTITUTION: B016-13012H

PL124 COVER PART NUMBER: B016-118392A

ELECTRONIC PAPER

ELECTRONIC PAPER ANTICIPATED APPLICATIONS

BY LEVERAGING THE FEATURES OF THIS TECHNOLOGY, A WIDE VARIETY OF APPLICATIONS CAN BE ENVISIONED FOR NEW ELECTRONIC PAPER AS A DIGITAL MEDIUM THAT CAN BE HANDLED LIKE PAPER. Transit advertising on trains, information displays on curved surfaces, and other public display applications that could take advantage of its light weight and flexibility. Information displayed can be updated based on the time of day, enabling more effective advertising and informational signage. ¶ Electronic shelf display tags, point-of-purchase displays, restaurant menus, and other in-store uses. Can also be used for pricing displays or product information displays that stand out in full color and can be readily updated. ¶ Operating manuals, work orders, and other short-term information displays, facilitating the trend toward paperless offices or factories. ¶ Text or images from mobile phones or other mobile devices can be transferred wirelessly to larger displays for easy viewing. ¶ Use in the home can offer more convenient digital-media devices that can be carried from room to room. by ted mcilroy.

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