Builders Outlook 2020 Issue 6

www.elpasobuilders.com

VOL 2020 ISSUE 6

BuildersOutlook PUBLISHED BY THE EL PASO ASSOCIATION OF BUILDERS: NATIONAL, STATE AND LOCAL HOME BUILDING INDUSTRY NEWS

Covid closures force 2020 Sunbelt Show cancellation

By Ray Adauto

This is the kind of news that is hard to get but under the current situation with Covid-19 it is not unexpected. On Monday, June 29 the official notice of the cancelation of the Sunbelt Builders Show was delivered.

“This is a blow to all of us who really like this show and looked forward to having it and our meetings,” said Randy Bowling, TAB President. The sudden upsurge in Covid confirmations in the Fort Worth area played a significant role in the cancelation. On the previous Friday Texas Governor Greg Abbott and Vice President Mike Pence met in the DFW Metroplex to go over the Texas Covid surge. In that meeting the Governor made the decision to slow down the reopening of Texas by going back to closing bars and reduce restaurant capacity to 50% again. Clearly the show and meetings couldn’t go on with those restrictions.

Here is the reprint of the official announcement.

Dear TAB Members: Due to the most recent developments in Texas concerning the COVID-19 pandemic and Governor Greg Abbott's directives and executive orders , we regret to inform you that we must once again cancel the upcoming TAB board and committee meetings as well as the Sunbelt Builders Show™ and Conference planned for next month.

As the health and safety of our TAB membership, staff, sponsors, exhibitors, attendees and other partners is our utmost concern, the Senior Management Committee has made the difficult decision to once again suspend all inperson Association meetings until further notice.

Rest assured, TAB staff will continue to work with your elected association senior leadership and committees as we continue to operate the dayto-day functions of the Association and work with our

membership, the National Association of Home Builders and our 27 local home builders associations to meet the needs of our members during this challenging time.

We very much appreciate the commitment and support from our exhibitors, sponsors, vendors and especially our membership that were all hopeful and optimistic that the 20th Anniversary Sunbelt Builders Show™ and TAB summer meetings could proceed as planned. Unfortunately, circumstances have dictated that is not to be the case. We look forward to hosting our 20th anniversary show next year in conjunction with TAB's 75th

anniversary in Dallas.

As of this print we have no indication of when or if the show will be rescheduled but the reality is that something like this takes years of planning and logistics. The safety of all concerned is paramount and the hard decision is the only decision TAB could make. Our thoughts are with all of the staff, sponsors, volunteers and exhibitors but the show will return. That’s what Texan’s do.

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GET MOVING! JOIN US AUGUST 15

T N E V E

R E B M E M

B A P E

E V I EXCLUS This highly promoted event is an ideal opportunity to identify first time home buyers and offer your services as they begin their search for a new home.

A special grand prize sweepstakes promotion will be featured in all event advertising to help encourage a great turn-out. Visitors can play to win $100,00. Game courtesy of Sierra Title.

By participating in First Home Saturday, you will have the opportunity to meet first time home buyers at your exhibitor booth and receive contact data for visitors entering our sweepstakes.

First Home Saturday is specifically designed for affordable home builders and those who wish to reach this valuable target market.

LOCATION Bassett, with its central location and ample parking, is a perfect location for First Home Saturday. Recent demographic data indicates that this is an ideal venue to target first time buyers.

SHOWTIME The First Home Saturday Event will open Augist 15 at 10:00 AM and conclude at 4:00 PM. Exhibitors will be allowed to set up their booths starting at 4:00 PM June 26 and Saturday August 14 between 8:00AM - 9:30AM. ADVERTISING A media plan with radio, television, and print advertising wil begin prior to the event and run until Show Day. A social media campaign will also be launched two weeks before the event.

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Join us in promoting home ownership in El Paso. Experts will be on hand to help first time buyers get started on the path to their new home!

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EPAB President’sMessage

2020 has brought unexpected challenges

PRINT & INTERNET PUBLISHING SOCIAL MEDIA & WEBSITE CONTENT MANAGEMENT

Edgar Garcia President El Paso Association of Builders

When I became President, I had no idea what the year would bring but I didn’t expect to be here. What a challenging time we are in. I remember when we went to Las Vegas for the IBS and the feeling was that this was going to be a good year even as we got word of the virus. I remember thinking that we would be busy and all, but never would I have thought we’d be in this.

Still it has not been easy to have to do meetings online, ours as well as TAB’s. I like the idea of getting in the trenches and hearing from my fellow builders and associates about what they are doing, how they are doing it and what they might be doing.

Person to person has value especially in leadership.

Sometimes I hear that coming from others like Randy Bowling who has the difficult job of being President of such a large group as TAB. But let me also say that we’re all in when safety comes in to play. My background in firefighting tells me that when something like this virus is around then we need to be better at keeping away from it. Our members have done an excellent job overall. I see it when we are working in the field, when we meet customers, when we are at a closing. Doing what’s right and safe is what I see.

I want to thank all of our sponsors for the golf. You all hung in there with us and from the looks of it everyone was having fun. I got the chance to see firsthand what you golfers

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E-MAIL NEWSLETTERS

see, fun, sun, friendship and challenge. Heck I may end up playing some day. I would like to thank Sam Shallenberger and Ray and Margaret for making this happen, and thank Bobby Bowling IV for making the Coronado Country Club work. It wasn’t always sure if we could do this but everyone hung in there including the teams, sponsors, players. Thank you again.

So, as we move into summer, we wish for everyone to be safe, to sell a lot, and to also take some time to rewind. It may not seem that important, but we are not guaranteed tomorrow, so keep that in mind today.

I really appreciate your support and the support you are giving the association.

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Executive’sMessage

Return to Phase 2, road construction provide barriers

Ray Adauto Executive Vice President El Paso Association of Builders

“Covid didn’t shut me down yet, but TX Dot might.” That is a sign I saw on Mesa Street where the Coffee Emporium had used the strip malls sign to show its dire consequence. In the last few months anyone traveling up Mesa, or on most other major highways or streets has seen orange barrels after orange barrels going up or staying up from construction on the roads.

Frankly most of these repairs or replacements were long overdue, however how lousy is the timing for the businesses affected? It’s hard on all fronts but really hard on the smaller mom and pops shops. Try getting into one of their places is a challenge. For sure some of our members are

experiencing this frustration.

Whether it’s a bank, credit union, lighting store, hardware or paint store, etc. these businesses have gotten the short end of a long stick this year.

Covid is not going away as of now. It is increasing in detection because more people are getting tested for sure. But the fact is that too many people, especially in the 20­40­year old’s, just aren’t taking precautions. Two local bars made headlines when they were shut down by TABC for having too many people in the bars. Maybe other violations as well, but those two bars were just the ammunition that led to bars being closed by the Governor. It affects a lot of my

friends’ businesses and frankly some won’t be around when this is over. So why the resistance to facemasks and social distancing?

A whole book could be written on this but suffice it to say that while these age groups get Covid they aren’t dying from it. Not in enough numbers to scare them into compliance. But that is changing and fast. We have lost two elderly aunts to Covid, gotten reports of friends and other family testing positive. Yet I’m also seeing Facebook postings from family members enjoying bars and outings, especially in Arizona.

Meanwhile back here we are now in a return to phase 2, with bars closed and restaurants at

50% allowances. As our members continue to work through this, we must stay vigilant and safe.

You can and must run your businesses like you are dealing with death because you are. You can’t take a chance to get something and pass it along to your moms, dads, grandpa’s or grandma’s. Nope you can’t have that incident at work. So, what are you to do? Do what you feel is right for you and others. The EPAB wants everyone to survive this and come out the other end better than we were. This too shall pass.

NAHB

El Paso Disposal

Housing Shows Strength as Sales and Permits Rise

772-7495

NAHB

The following excerpts were recently published in NAHB’s biweekly e-newsletter Eye On the Economy by Chief Economist Robert Dietz: ...new home development under constructionConsistent with NAHB’s forecast, home building data are showing signs of leading an emerging economic rebound. While risks to the outlook remain, particularly in the form of local, rising virus spread and ongoing layoffs, the recession appears to have taken a short and sharp downturn‌ ‌[In] May, single-family starts held at a flat annual rate of 675,000; however, single-family permits expanded by 12%.

Multifamily permits for properties of five units or more are down more than 10% thus far in 2020, as concerns within the rental market continue due to elevated unemployment levels.

For home sales, new singlefamily home contracts jumped in May (676,000), posting a 13% year-over-year gain after a significant downward revision for the April estimate (revised to 580,000, marking a 25% decline from the pre-recession peak in January). Inventory fell to a salesadjusted level of a 5.6-month supply. Levels below a 6-month supply generally support growth for new home building.

The increase in builder confidence, permits and sales all suggest construction gains are on the horizon. However, a mediumterm concern for the housing market is whether the current strength in demand is an unlocking of deferred demand from early spring, or reflects the emerging trend for home buying as a growing number of prospective buyers are looking in small metro and exurban locations.

To subscribe to the Eye on the Economy e-newsletter, email communications@nahb.org.

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Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac Extend Forbearance for Multifamily Properties The Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) has announced that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the Enterprises) are allowing servicers to extend forbearance agreements for multifamily property owners with existing forbearance agreements for up to three months, for a total forbearance of up to six months.

While the properties are in forbearance, the landlord must suspend all evictions for renters unable to pay rent. The forbearance extension is available for qualified properties with an Enterprise-backed multifamily mortgage experiencing a financial hardship due to the coronavirus national emergency.

If a forbearance is extended, once the forbearance period concludes the borrower may qualify for up to 24 months to repay the missed payments.

Additionally, if the forbearance is extended, the repayment schedule is modified, or a new forbearance agreement is executed, the borrower is required to provide the following tenant protections during the repayment period: • Give the tenant at least a 30-day notice to vacate; • Not charge the tenant late fees or penalties for nonpayment of rent; and • Allow the tenant flexibility to repay back rent over time and not in a lump sum.

ORIGINAL PRESS RELEASE: 6/29/2020 Washington, D.C. – Today, to help renters in multifamily properties stay in their homes and to support multifamily property owners during the coronavirus national emergency, the Federal Housing Finance Agency (FHFA) announced that Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac (the Enterprises) are allowing servicers to extend forbearance agreements for multifamily property owners with existing forbearance agreements for up to three months, for a total forbearance of up to six months.

While the properties are in forbearance, the landlord must suspend all evictions for renters unable to pay rent. The forbearance extension is available for qualified properties with an Enterprise-backed multifamily mortgage experiencing a financial hardship due to the coronavirus national emergency.

If a forbearance is extended, once the forbearance period concludes the borrower may qualify for up to 24 months to repay the missed payments. Additionally, if the forbearance is extended, the repayment schedule is modified, or a new forbearance agreement is executed, the borrower is required to provide the following tenant protections during the repayment period:

•

Give the tenant at least a 30-day notice to vacate; • Not charge the tenant late fees or penalties for nonpayment of rent; and • Allow the tenant flexibility to repay back rent over time and not in a lump sum.

“During the pandemic, FHFA has been focused on protecting renters and borrowers while ensuring the mortgage market functions as efficiently as possible," said Director

Mark Calabria. “The multifamily mortgage forbearance extension announced today will help renters stay in their homes and help property owners retain their properties."

FHFA will continue to monitor the coronavirus' impact on renters, borrowers, and the mortgage market and update policies as needed. To understand the protections and assistance the government is offering, please visit the joint Department of Housing and Urban Development, FHFA, and the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau website at cfpb.gov/housing.

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Industry Health Mental Wellbeing Becoming Increasingly Important for Construction Workers

A construction worker offering helping words to anotherThe coronavirus pandemic has put a strain on the mental health of nearly everyone in the world. Economic uncertainty, forced solitude and worries about contracting the virus have increased stress levels in most adults.

But even before the pandemic, construction workers were particularly susceptible to mental health issues and suicide. More construction workers die by suicide each day than all workplace-related fatalities combined with a rate of 43.5 suicides per 100,000 workers, second only to the

mining and oil/gas extraction industry.

Following a multi-year initiative to combat opioid misuse in home building, NAHB is launching a new effort focused on member mental wellbeing. Recent research suggests that industry associations have been overlooked as an agent for change, and that they have a role to play in promoting the importance of worker health and wellbeing to their member organizations.

To kick off this initiative, at the recent virtual Spring Leadership Meetings, Cal Beyer, Vice President of Workforce Risk & Worker Wellbeing at construction risk management firm CSDZ, spoke to members of the Construction Liability, Risk Management, and Building Materials Committee and the Construction Safety & Health Committee, which are spearheading the initiative. During his presentation, “Focus on Workforce Wellbeing: What’s Under the Hardhat,” Beyer described some risk factors that may explain why construction workers are more prone to mental health issues and suicide.

Many skilled trade workers are perfectionists, a trait important to successful work performance. But when combined with deadlines and a physically demanding work

environment, it can lead to escalating stress. Construction workers are also traditionally stoic about mental and physical health issues as it may lead to missed work and missed paychecks.

Long hours, the cyclical and transient nature of the work, and financial pressure can also lead to mental strain.

While the health of the worker is the primary concern, mental wellbeing should be on the radar of company owners and managers. Stress can lead to illness and absenteeism and, of particular concern, presenteeism – being physically present at work but distracted and “half there.” A distracted worker is not a safe worker, to themselves and others. Beyer talked about understanding the different signs of stress – physical, psychological and behavioral.

Unfortunately, many construction companies have yet to incorporate mental health, substance abuse, addiction recovery, and suicide prevention into safety, health, and wellness culture and programs. A major reason for this gap is due to stigma. Beyer concluded his remarks, however, by highlighting some of the positive steps the industry is taking to the promote workplace mental health awareness and reduce the stigma

attached to mental health. Beyer and CSDZ have created resources for the construction industry to deal with stress and mental health issues, including resources for employers, a toolbox talk on self-care and suicide prevention resources.

Beyer and other mental health experts advise employers to create a workplace that promotes respect and to offer specific recommendations to all workers, including: • Encouraging workers to talk to their families, friends and other trusted people in their lives about their problems • Staying hydrated on the job site • Eating well-balanced meals • Spending leisure time in nature • Setting limits on digital information intake, especially political news Above all, employers should be open to listening to any concerns raised by workers about their stress levels or mental health issues.

NAHB has also joined the Construction Industry Alliance for Suicide Prevention (CIASP) in an effort to raise awareness of the prevalence of suicide in the construction industry.

More information on the efforts of the Alliance and NAHB’s member mental wellbeing initiative will be forthcoming.

Outlook on the scene After months of delay Spring golf returns in Summer The news wasn’t good, and worse yet it may not get better. That was what we thought and said to our sponsors and players for the annual spring golf tournament. It was concerning because we had no idea what Covid would do, cancel, delay or shut down golf. While we worked our way with Covid another and more deadly blow came our way, Butterfield Trail golf club was being closed permanently. That news from the city of El Paso was absolutely a shocker.

Closing the premier public course just didn’t make sense. At least to us golfers.

But the city did close it down, putting a couple of dozen people out of work and letting a $28 million investment go down the tubes without any forethought. It was devastating news for us.

Our presenting partner Haskins Electric didn’t falter, instead said see what you can do, we’re with you. Same thing from Morrison Supply, HUNT, and WestStar and StrucSure Home Warranty. And so, we turned to Past President Bobby Bowling IV, immediate past president at Coronado Country club for help. And Bobby delivered. We ventured out to Coronado, got the date set, and waited for Covid to go away. That was something none of us had ever had to deal with, so we were treading new waters.

All the golf teams stayed, and we got lots of calls from interested golfers, but we had sold out and no one was leaving.

What a great position to be in and we thank all our team sponsors. Our hole and tee box sponsors also stayed except one, remarkable. So, on June 25 our event took place. We made changes to the event, concentrating on safety first.

The day was beautiful, the golf was good, and everyone was happy to finally get a chance to get some fresh air.

Our thanks to our partners, to our players, and to the goodie bag donors: Masonite golf towels, Builders Source snacks, Mitsubishi golf balls, StrucSure Home Warranty hand sanitizer, WestStar Title bag & clips, 2­10 Home warranty tees, Emser Tile key holders, First Light FCU cell phone holders, Sarabias pens and keychains, Ferguson ball markers, Lone Star Title bottle opener pack. Our bag stuffers were Patricia Martinez, Sandra Lucero, Josie Ledesma and Margaret. Thanks to all for making it a great outing.

2020 ISSUE6

EPAB congratulates Scholarship Winners

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EPABMembers&Services Builder-DeveloperMembers Althon Investments, LLC Jose Luis Martin 915-532-3100 Bain Construction Scott Bain 915-852-8620 Bella Vista Custom Homes, Inc. Edgar Garcia 915-433-4854 BIC Homes, LLC Sergio Cuartas 915-855-8236 Blue Sage Homes, LLC Jaime E. Gonzalez 915-787-9175 Blue Star Construction Carlos Villasana 915-217-6003 CS Custom Homes, LLC Steve Gonzalez 915-346-1107 Carefree Homes Richard Aguilar 915-590-8511 Casas De Leon, LLC Nick Bombach 915-584-5050 Cisco Homes LLC Francisco Arroyos III 915-633-8002 Classic American Homes Priscilla Hernandez 915-593-7707 Crown Heritage Homes Lydia Mlouhi 915-252-8193 Cullers & Caldwell Builders John Cullers 915-584-560

Cullers Homes Jason R. Cullers 915-584-5600 Dawco Home Builders Walter O. Lujan 915-587-5267 Deal-2-Deal Custom Homes dba Deal2Deal,LLC Delton Deal 915-217-9233 Del Rio Engineering, Inc. Sal Masoud 915-833-2400 Diamond Homes, LLC Valerie Baquera 915-449-9044 E.P.V.W. LLC Jim Volk 915-525-0478 E. Valencia Land Development LLC Eddie Valencia 915-855-0622 Eclat Homes & Design Veronica Guerra 915-630-6729 Edward's Homes, Inc. Eduardo Fernandez 915-849-8819 EPT Bella Custom Dream Homes, LLC Leti & Javier Navarette 915-779-4553 EPT Land Communities David Bogas 915-838-8100

AssociateMembers 3RD PARTY INSPECTIONS Vision Consultants, Inc. Kelly Sorenson 915-227-2100 ALARM SYSTEMS ADT Security Veronica Vazquez 915­258­3870 APPLIANCE DISTRIBUTORS Builders Source Appliance Gallery Sandra Lucero 915-775-1000 Morrison Supply Sam Shallenberger 915-778-3086 APPLIANCES GE Appliances Christine R. Villanueva 806-252-3683 Whirlpool Gwen Walker 505-220-3915 ASPHALT PAVING Alpha Asphalt Gabriel Chavez 915-252-6244 ASSOCIATION El Paso Mortgage Bankers Association Brenda Aguirre 915 204-3867 Greater El Paso Assoc. of Realtors Jason Sanchez 915-779-3521 Greater El Paso Chamber of Commerce David Michael Jerome 915-534-0522 ATTORNEY F B K N Law Firm Victor Firth 915-532-7500 AUDIO VIDEO/HOME THEATER DESIGN El Paso Audio Video Joe Gutierrez 915-346-9118 BANKS/BANKING SERVICES Bank of Texas Ray Owen

Everest Homes Edmundo Dena, Jr. 915-352-8721 Fortune Custom Homes Javier Andrade 915-856-7795 Gaddy Construction Charles Gaddy 915-581-3966 Guel Construction Rudy Guel 915-595-0979 Hakes Brothers LLC Ryan O'Hea 575-373-1120 Hanson Asset Management, LP Russell Hanson 915-842-0111 Hunt Communities, LLC Kathy Parry 915-298-0490 ICON Custom Home Builder, LLC Carlos Garcia 915-859-3713 Industrial Realty Group Inc. Brent D. Harris 915-877-4300 JER Custom Homes, LLC Jorge E. Rodriguez 915-249-6320 Lloyd Hamilton Contruction Lloyd Hamilton, III 915-588-8558 Loyalty Homes Gustavo Loy 915-471-1894

M A Builders & Design, LLC Mustafa Ali 915-587-9566 Maravilla Homes Victor Robles 915-328-8599 Metro Homes Judith Arrunada, Fernando Torres 915-231-6060 Pacifica Homes, Inc. Juan Jose Vasquez 915-857-1855 Padilla Homes Misael Navarrete 915-833-3839 Palo Verde Homes Edgar Montiel 915-584-9090 Pointe Homes Carlos Villalobos 915-790-1515 Punto Living,LLC Uriel Miramontes 915-309-4963 R.C. Baeza & Associates Robert C. Baeza 915-857-1818 R.E. Welch Contractor Gordon Welch 915-778-9977 Rassette Homes, Inc. Donald Rassette 915-585-3330 Santana Homes Fernando Santana 915-694-4256

Southwest Land Development Serv.

Doug Schwartz 915-592-0290 Spanish Oaks Custom Homes Juan R. Saenz 432-238-3090 The Heritage Group David Bingham 915-598-6606 Trejo Construction Co. Juan Trejo 915-637-5193 Tropicana Building Corp.

Bobby Bowling IV 915-821-3550 Tropicana Development Greg Bowling 915-757-1802 Tropicana Homes Randy Bowling 915-821-3550 Tropicana Properties Demetrio Jimenez 915-755-9113 Uptown Homes Residential, Inc. Francisco Baquera 915-240-4996 Veliz Company Carina Popoca 915-219-4000 Winton/Flair / Accent Homes Herschel Stringfield 915-584-8629 ZIA Homes of El Paso LLC Preston Brown 915-490-9525

Appears Alphabetically by Service or Product

915-313-6720 City Bank Texas Bob Kotarski 915-833-0267 Citizens Loan Center Jim Easley 915-275-0715 Sunflower Bank Ernesto Avila 915-881-6702 Vantage Bank Josie Cantu 915-594-3404 Western Heritage Bank Kathy Carrillo 915-782-2400 WestStar Bank David Osborn 915-747-1640

L & P Building Supply Denise McConnell 575-527-8000 Foxworth Galbraith Lumber Dan Villarreal 915-779-7777 Winsupply El Paso Rene Tirres 915-637-2106

BATHROOM RENOVATIONS Rebath of El Paso/Las Cruces Lisa Walling 915-633-8101

CIVIL ENGINEERS Moreno Cardenas Inc. Roberto Moreno 915-532-2091

BRICK Acme Brick Company Brent Smith 915-859-9171

COMMERCIAL REAL ESTATE SERVICES: NAI El Paso Max Prestridge 915-345-2095

BUILDING MATERIALS BMC Select David Quintana 915-218-5816 Boise Cascade Mike Flores 915-525-6037 DWS Building Supply Sabrina Voorhies 915-351-7300 E.F. Building Materials, Inc Efren Fraire 915-593-1301 El Paso Building Materials Ken Wade 915-549-1170 Franklin Building Materials Cristina Sheldon 915-855-3859 Simpson Strong-Tie Company, Inc. Ken Donham 505-991-4719 McCoy's Building Supplies Doug Danner 915-751-8261

CABINET MANUFACTURING J. B. Laminates Gina Rodriguez 915-886-5510 CABINETS Cabinet Masters Mike Robles 915-256-5012

CONCRETE Oropeza Concrete Angel Oropeza 915-873-7391 CONCRETE & LANDSCAPING MATERIAL GCC Sun City Materials, LLC Antonio “Tony “ Chavez 915-565-4681 Jobe Materials, LP Charlie Tellez 915-298-9900 Mini Concrete Materials Joe Soto 915-852-4468 MTI Ready Mix, Inc. Tony Mullen 915-859-5767

CONCRETE ACCESSORIES & MASONRY-LANDSCAPE Border Construction Specialties Ricardo Yvellez 915-566-1688

GECU- Greater El Paso Credit Union Danny Galindo 915-774-4733 TFCU Rick Pustejovsky 915-926-2550

CONCRETE WORK-POST TENSION J & H Concrete & Post Tension Jorge Herrera ‘ 915-581-3103

DISPOSAL HAULING Demcon Disposal Management, LLC Ryan Robles 915-577-9477

CONCRETE WORK Galindo Concrete Alfredo Galindo 915-355-0896

DOOR SHOP/ MILLWORK SUPPLIER Trim Team Juan Hernandez 915-856-0791

CONSULTING, COACHING AND TRAINING Senpai Training and Development Leonardo Corral 915-303-0743

DOORS Franklin Door and Trim Jesse C. Brown 940-210-0450 Masonite International Bob Westby 408-271-5553

CONSTRUCTION SUPPLIES: Silicone Specialties Inc. Robert Romero 915-591-6800 CONSULTING/ENGINEERING LOI Engineers Bernardino Olague 915-781-1532 915-871-1190 CORPORTATE RETIREMENT PLANS Bukaty Financial Companies Group Ruth Rivera 512-796-1205 CPA Beasley, Mitchell & Co., LLP Brad Beasley 575-528-6700 James L. Ellis, CPA, PC Jim Ellis 915-593-7070 915-598-8631 SBNG, P.C. Tyler Smith 915-544-6770 Randall Smith, CPA Randall Smith 915-225-5200 915-533-8266 CREDIT UNION First Light Federal Credit Union Lorenzo Revelez 915-225-0581

DRYWALL Candy Rodriguez 915-282-4544 DUMPSTER RENTAL/SPRAY FOAM INSULATION 915 Siteworks, LLC Miguel Chavez 915-859-3713 ELECTRICAL CONTRACTORS Castillo Electric Joe Castillo 915-877-3335 Haskins Electric Charles B. Haskins, Jr. 915-629-9196 IES Residential Joshua Garnica 915-356-5644 Allbrite Electric Carlos Nunez 915-630-9432 ENERGY STAR RATER Senercon Javier Ruiz 915-892-0547.

2020Issue6 ENGINEERING CEA Engineering Group Jorge L. Azcarate 915-544-5232.

Conde, Inc. Conrad Conde 915-592-0283.

TRE & Associates Linda Troncoso 915-852-9093.

EXTERIOR FOIL SHEATHING Powerfoam Insulation 972-299-5556 EXTERIOR PATIO PRODUCTS Modern Exteriors Hector Macias 915-857-5126 FIREPLACES/INSTALLATION Jack White Building Specialties Claudia Lardizabal 915-855-8630 FLOORING Bordertown Carpets Brian M. Abraham 915-522-8993 FOAM INSULATION New Era Foam George Tollen 915-861-6683 FRAMERS Herrera’s Construction Sergio Herrera 915-328-6024 GARAGE DOORS Steven Escandon Garage Doors Steve Escandon 915-329-9188 Garage Doors And More Miguel Moran 915-831-9828 GLASS AND MIRROR Luxor Glass And Mirror Maria E. Leon 915-519-8827 GRANITE/QUARTZ COUNTERTOPS Stone City Rocks Chris Baca 915-246-7614 Quality Granite Hector Porras 915-234-2410 HOME & AUTO INSURANCE State Auto/Association Insurance Solution Danner Bethel 512-203-2910 HOME FURNISHINGS Copenhagen Imports Flemming Carlsen 915-581-8897 915-584-7769 HOME WARRANTY 2-10 Home Buyers Warranty Leslie Schey 361-739-7739 Centricity Brent R. Morgan 800-749-0381X4790 Home of Texas Amanda Eason 210-540-7891 StrucSure Home Warranty Scott Whisenant 210-232-3947 HVAC A C Refrigeration, LLC Angel Cabrera 915-820-8503 Startech Heating and Air Conditioning Luis Procter 915-757-1982 Wolf Air Arturo Alcantar 915-694-8214 HVAC DUCTLESS MINI SPLIT Mitsubishi Electric Trane HVA 505-228-4264 HVAC EQUIPMENT Lennox Industries Brandon Walker 818-932-5063 Goodman Mfg. Jorge Guajardo 915-219-3896 HVAC SALES/INSTALLATION Belmont's Air Conditioning, Inc. Rafael Belmonte 915-778-7399 El Paso 4 Tech A/C Services Enrique Hernandez 915-877-0122

BuildersOutlook HVAC Supplies Hercules Industries John Chaney 915-778-9377 I T SUPPORT/PREWIRE All Tech Systems LLC Javier Terrones 915-777-2585 I T & WEB DESIGN Cognent, Inc. Martin Paredes 407-809-4417.

INSURANCE Bundle Bee Insurance Agency Victoria Dominguez 915-598-3500 Great American Insurance Group Julie Tomlinson 513-412-4921 INSURANCE - RISK MANAGEMENT HUB International Luis Rosas 915-206-6023 INSURANCE AND BONDING C. D. Lee/Britton Insurance & Bonding Anthony Landavazo/Lisa Daniels 915-595-3393 IRON WORK PRODUCTS Area Iron & Steel Works, Inc. Fred L. Edmonston Jr. 915-833-9494 LEGAL SERVICES/TITLE COMPANY David J. Ellis Fee Office for Sierra Title David J. Ellis 915-566-2666. 915-566-0111 KITCHEN CABINETS Marcel Sierra Kitchens Marcela Villarreal 915-892-3008 LIGHTING City Lights Thomas Brown 915-533-6045. 915-533-6096 Designer's Mart Valerie Edmiston 915-778-9223 LIGHTING & BATH FIXTURES Ferguson Enterprises Inc. Albert Holguin 915-231-5836. 915-231-9357 LOW VOLTAGE WIRING Prewire of El Paso, Inc. Steven Drury 915-598-4937 Southwerstern Prewire Joe Trejo 915-549-2611 LUMBER 84 Lumber Ernie Chavez 915-584-8447 MIRROR, SHOWER DOOR, STOREFRONT,AUTOMATIC DOORS & CURTAIN WALLS Performance Glass & Aluminum Hector Hernandez 915-592-5583 MOLDING & LUMBER Adams Moulding & Lumber Tom Swahlen 915-584-1440 MORTGAGE COMPANIES Cadence Lending Group Carolyn De Leon 915-779-1633 915-706-2649 Patriot Mortgage Randy Bowling 915-757-9500 Rocky Mountain Mortgage Company Justin Hahn 915-593-3111 Supreme Lending Lisa Wren 601-549-6768 Commerce Mortgage Stephen Sepulveda, Gilbert Pedregon 915-493-8977 NEW CONSTRUCTION EQUIPMENT & SUPPLIES ProCon Shane Davis, 575-524-1671

COOLER SERVICE Coffee Break Joe Petty 915-314-4248 PAINT DISTRIBUTOR Dunn-Edwards Paints Sandra Nieves 915-855-7535 915-855-8168 Sherwin Williams Paint Cruz Lopez 915-532-6921.

PAYROLL SERVICES Paylocity Corporation Andy Moran 915-471-9846 PLUMBING J & L Vega Plumbing Co. Flavio Vega 915-867-5954 Big O Plumbing Alex Olmeda 915-412-1821 Q Martins Plumbing Jose Martinez 915-240-5218.

PLUMBING & IRRIGATION SUPPLIES-DISTRIBUTORS Sun City Winnelson Dean Moore 915-532-1600 El Paso Winnelson Rene Goldfien 915-778-4640.

W.W. Sales Eric Hoppes 505-463-8204 WinSupply West El Paso David Trammell 915-886-3697 PORTABLE RESTROOMS Sarabias Blue Sanitation Monica Brown 915-544-9022. 915-533-3108 Porta- Jons POST TENSION Post Tension Steel Dennis Moore 915-474-0180. 915-532-0119 PUBLICATIONS Homes of El Paso Riley Stephens 915-585-1000 PUBLISHING SERVICES Snappy Publishing, LLC Ted Escobedo 915-820-2800 READY MIX MTI Ready Mix, Inc. Tony Mullen 915-859-5767 REAL ESTATE SERVICES Home Pros Real Estate Group Penny Moore.

915-585-8806 Legacy Real Estate Services Patrick Tuttle 915-231-9994.

Century 21 The Edge Scott Kesner 915-772-0553 Harris Real Estate Group Lane Harris 915-443-8423 Bella Vista Realty Grisel Ortega 915-491-2056 The Real Estate Agency Jesus Villanueva 915-412-9503 New Beginnings Real Estate Gordon Sather 915-241-6500 RES. & COMM BUILDING PRODUCTS Massey Johnson Josie Ledesma 915-487-3359 ROLL OFF DUMPSTERS Red Box Plus Steven St. Andre 915-226-9664 ROOFING HP Roofing Heriberto Prieto 915-727-2461 Imperial Roofing Alejandro Garcia 915-222-3838 USA General Contractors Javier Olmos 915-633-3339

NEWSPAPER El Paso Times Sal Hernandez, Justin Riley 915-546-6244. 915-546-6406

ROOFING PRODUCTS ABC Supply Co., Inc. Larry Eck 915-533-0645 Eagle Roofing Products Scott Aguilar 928-220-3899.

OFFICE COFFEE & WATER

SHOWER ENCLOSURES

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Complete Glass Company Alonso Torres 915-408-2521 SIDING, WINDOWS, PATIO COVERS,CARPORTS Modern Exteriors Hector Macias 915-857-5126 SOLAR PANELS Border Solar Javier Ruiz 915-613-4168 Solar Smart Living Larry Perea 915-400-2995 STORMWATER/SAFETY ESS Environmental and Safety Solutions Jose L. Garcia Ramirez 915-775-1171 915-775-1174 STUCCO FINISHER Alvarado Plastering & Stucco Enrique Alvarado 915-691-3870 SURVEYING ENGINEERING Barragan & Associates Benito Barragan 915-591-5709 TESTING & ENGINEERING CQC Testing and Engineering,LLC Jaime Rojas 915-771-7766 TILE AND CARPET DF Tile & Carpet, Inc. David Finnegan 915-525-8954 TILE & NATURAL STONE Emser Tile Tim Collins 915-629-9317 Floor & Decor Pedro (Peter) Ramirez 915-407-5599 Interceramic Tile & Stone Gallery David Holguin 915-593-7357

TILE INSTALLATION Cano’s Tile Miguel Cano 915-226-2148 CMF Tile Maria Munoz 915-633-3517

WASTE DISPOSAL El Paso Disposal Irma Parsons 915-772-7495

TITLE & ESCROW COMPANIES Del Sol Title Co. Hector Phillips 915-838-8000 Lone Star Title Co. of El Paso Andy Quintana 915-545-2222 Prosperous Title Janette Coon 915-288-2462 Sierra Title Company Angelique Roman, Marielsa Pulido 915-544-3322 Stewart Title of El Paso Cindy Bilbe 915-225-8200 WestStar Title Kristine Johnson 915-849-5537 Texas Title Company Steve Raney 915-593-3400

WATER SOFTENERS El Paso Water Softeners Rebecca Estrada 915-307-9183 WATER REMOVAL Jimmy Garza Emergency Water Removal Jimmy Garza 915-562-1123 WINDOW TREATMENTS Gotcha Covered Sophie Soudaiha Agraz 915-201-2192 Southwest Décor El Paso Corporation Chris Matthews 915-594-9240 WINDOWS Pella Windows Jason Bates 915-833-3066

TOTAL OFFICE SOLUTION SOURCE Spectrum Technologies Miled Daou 915-781-2000. 915-781-2288

TRUSS El Paso Truss Luis Mendiola 915-751-0025 Franklin Building Materials, Cristina Sheldon, 915-855-3859 UTILITY Texas Gas Services Maria Ortiz 915-680-7288 VEHICLE DEALERSHIP Rudolph Chevrolet Mike Ruffin 915-544-4321

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2020Issue6

MarketOutlook Digging out of economic recovery in coming months Elliot Eisenberg Economic & Policy Blog

In 2010/11, US cities grew 1.07% while suburbs grew 0.91%, a difference of 0.16 percentage points. That gap peaked at 0.25 in 2011/12 when cities grew 1.17% and suburbs 0.92%. The growth gap persisted for three more years but narrowed. By 2014/15, cities grew 1.03% while suburbs expanded by 0.95%. Since then suburbs have steadily bested cities and by steadily widening margins.

In 2018/19 cities grew 0.31%, suburbs by 0.65%.

While US equities continue recovering lost ground, markets may be discounting two key risks.

The first, a powerful fall Covid­19 wave, let alone the current rise in new case counts in AZ, CA, FL, TX and elsewhere. Second, markets

appear to be ignoring polls suggesting Democrats will almost certainly keep the House but now have a 50/50 chance of picking up the Senate and better odds on 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue.

Between 3/1/20­5/31/20, 79 million student loans entered forbearance, up from 18.2 million between 3/1/20­4/30/20. Over the same periods, deferred auto loans rose to 7.3 million from 3.6 and credit card deferrals hit 11.5 million from 8. Mortgages increased to 5.5 million from 3.6; personal loan deferments doubled to 1.3 million. Excluding student loans, total deferments increased to 25.6 million from 15.6 million a month earlier. This sizeable increase is concerning.

We are currently digging out of an economic recession and a suppression of economic activity resulting from government mandated Sheltering­in­Place.

With suppression ending, the first part of the recovery, the most powerful part, is now occurring.

But weakened corporate and

personal balance sheets, rising bankruptcies, higher savings rates, and massive worker dislocation will make the second part of the recovery slower and weaker. A check mark recovery remains most likely.

Since QE1’s arrival during the Great Recession, the Fed has guided interest rates by buying bonds and offering forward guidance about when they expect

to raise rates. The Fed is now considering adding another tool, yield curve control, where they promise to buy/sell enough bonds to guarantee a given rate for a specific bond duration. The key, credibility. If markets believe the promise, the Fed can probably stop buying bonds.

Dr Elliott Eisenberg, Graphs&Laughs © 2020

2020Issue6

BuildersOutlook

13

MembershipOutlook Upcoming Events JULY 9

VIRTUAL TOWN HALL MEETING WITH DR. HEATHER WILSON 10:30 A.M.

AUGUST 13 VIRTUAL BOARD MEETING 10:30 A.M.

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2020Issue6

o s a P l E f o s e Hom ofElPaso.com

X S XA TE ASSOCIATION OF

Homes

BUILDERS

2019-2021

TA B C O N T R A C T S TE XAS ASSOCIATI T ON OF BUILDERS IS HERE TO HEL LP PROTECT YOU! The 2019-2021 Texas Residential a Construction Contracts reflect the most recent legislative changes affecting the homebuilding industr y in Texas. Overall, more than 50 enhancements have been made to the various contracts and aggreements, including arbitration procedures, latent defect claim issues, code compliance matters and attorney ’s fees.

Here are a few eye-catching upddates that will be included in the 2019-2021 contracts package.

New Flood Notice Requiremeents.

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BuildersOutlook

15

DESIGN WITH NATURAL GAS IN MIND. Nothing is more attractive to homebuyers than the right mix of comfort and value. You can provide both when you build homes that have natural gas.

Natural gas furnaces, water heaters and clothes dryers offer greater efficiency and lower operating costs than their electric counterparts, and natural gas kitchens sell themselves.

Let us help you plan for natural gas right from the start.

For more information: ElPasoNewBusiness@TXGas.com William Nieves: 915-496-6126 Jorge Sejera: 915-680-7216 Please continue to direct service line and meter set requests to the Texas Gas Service Builder atslimgas-metroElPaso@onegas.com slimgas­metroElPaso@onegas.comoror 1­866­206­9587.

Builder Services Hotline at 1-866-206-9587.

2020Issue6

BUILDERS OUTLOOK 2020 ISSUE 5