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2026 Q3 / Mission Bay Condo Report

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2026 Q3

Mission Bay Condo Report

PAUL HWANG | RANKED #1 BROKER 415.216.8746 | PAUL@SKYBOXREALTY.COM


Skybox Realty 2026 Q3 Report

Dear Neighbors, An AI-driven economic transformation is underway, with San Francisco at its epicenter, reshaping the local real estate market. Talent and capital from around the world continue to concentrate in the city, creating a noticeable increase in energy, activity, and demand throughout the local market. In Mission Bay, year-over-year sales activity increased a dramatic 50%, while the average sales price increased 19% and the average price per square foot rose 15%. These gains point to stronger demand among buyers in the local market. At the same time, average days on market fell to 13 days—a 76% decline year over year. The rental market has also strengthened, with rents increasing as much as 30% for certain units, surpassing prepandemic highs. With major AI companies such as Anthropic and OpenAI potentially entering the public markets, we believe the continued growth of the AI sector could support housing demand in San Francisco through 2027 and beyond. If you are considering selling, now is an excellent time to begin developing your strategy. We would be pleased to provide a professional assessment of your property and discuss the opportunities we see in today’s market. We look forward to being of service to you. Best Regards, Paul Hwang, Ranked #1 Broker | 415.216.8746 This document has been prepared by Skybox Realty for advertising and general information only. Skybox Realty makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Skybox Realty excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from.

All Data From SFARMLS


Paul Hwang | 415.216.8746 | paul@skyboxrealty.com

Table of Contents

Mission Bay 2026 Q3 Snapshot

5

235 Berry

6-9

255 Berry

10 - 13

Arterra

14 - 17

Park Terrace

18 - 21

The Beacon

22 - 25

Madrone

26 - 29

Radiance

30 - 33

Arden

34 - 37

One Mission Bay

38 - 41

Q3 Sales

42 - 45

Who You Work With Matters

46 - 47

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

3


Oracle Park E N TH CO A BE

Ch in a Ba sin Pa rk

Caltrain BE

R

ST

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5 23 RRY BE

ONE BAY MISSION

5 25 RRY BE

0 30 RRY BE

N

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IS B

M IS SI O N BA Y

ST

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FRA

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MADRONE RA

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BR ID GE VI EW W

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ID

E

3R D ST

EN

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BR

N

RY A

CH

ST

EL

TER

I

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4T H ST

5 32 RRY BE

M

I SS

CR

AY

MISSION BAY SO UT H ST O W EN S ST

UCSF Mission Bay

The Chase Center

I 280

16 TH ST

TE NN ES S

M ISS ISS IP PI ST

M ar ip os a Pa rk M AR IP O SA ST

ILL IN OI S ST

UCSF Medical Center


Paul Hwang | 415.216.8746 | paul@skyboxrealty.com

Mission Bay 2026 Q3 # of Transactions

27

50% YOY /

16% QOQ

Average Sales Price

$1,345,730 19% YOY /

4.2% QOQ

* Median Price $1,467,000

Average Price per Square Foot

$1,197 15% YOY /

4.8% QOQ

Average Days on the Market

13

76% YOY /

48% QOQ

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

5


235 Berry

607 | $1,800,000 (2BR) $1314/sf

115 | $1,975,000 (3BR) $1034/sf

All Data From SFARMLS


OFF MAR KET

SOL D

ACTI V E

IN CONTRACT

314 | $1,575,000 (2BR) $1092/sf

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

7


235 Berry

# of Transactions

3

200% YOY /

200% QOQ

Average Sales Price

$1,775,000 53% YOY /

.73% QOQ

* Median Price $1,800,000

Price Per SF Q3

$1,146/SF

Q2

$1,094/SF

A VG $/ S F

MED I A N $/S F

Q1 Q4

$1,122/SF $900

$1000

$1100

$1200

All Data From SFARMLS


235 Berry

Average Days on Market

Average $/SF

20

$1,146 22% YOY /

4.7% QOQ

84% YOY /

Buyer Demographic

CASH

122% QOQ

LO A N

UN K N O WN

N o Sa les in 2 0 2 6 Q1

2 0 2 6 Q1

2026 Q 2

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

2026 Q 3

9


255 Berry

507 | $940,000 (1BR) $1077/sf 320 | $1,300,000 (2BR) $1238/sf

All Data From SFARMLS


OFF MAR KET

SOL D

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

ACTI V E

IN CONTRACT

11


255 Berry

# of Transactions

2

100% YOY / ---- QOQ

Average Sales Price

$1,062,500 29% YOY /

19% QOQ

* Median Price $1,062,500

Price Per SF Q3

$1,157/SF

Q2

$1,003/SF

A VG $/ S F

MED I A N $/S F

Q1 Q4 $900

$1000

$1100

$1200

All Data From SFARMLS


255 Berry

Average Days on Market

Average $/SF

11

$1,157 6.1% YOY /

15% QOQ

58% YOY /

Buyer Demographic

CASH

70% QOQ

LO A N

UN K N O WN

N o Sa les in 2 0 2 6 Q1

2 0 2 6 Q1

2026 Q 2

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

2026 Q 3

13


Arterra

709 | $695,000 (1BR) $1164/sf

All Data From SFARMLS


OFF MAR KET

SOL D

ACTI V E

IN CONTRACT

1610 | $1,495,000 (2BR) $1479/sf

1204 | $875,000 (1BR) $1028/sf

554 | $1,500,000 (3BR) $1175/sf

118 | $830,888 (1BR) $936/sf

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

15


Arterra

# of Transactions

2

100% YOY /

50% QOQ

Average Sales Price

$1,165,444 100% YOY /

51% QOQ

* Median Price $1,165,444

Price Per SF Q3

$1,055/SF

Q2

$1,016/SF

Q1

$1,169/SF

Q4

$1,043/SF $500

A VG $/ S F

$700

MED I A N $/S F

$9 00

$1100

All Data From SFARMLS


300 Berry

Average Days on Market

Average $/SF

11

$1,055 100% YOY /

3.8% QOQ

100% YOY /

Buyer Demographic

2 0 2 6 Q1

CASH

2026 Q 2

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

45% QOQ

LO A N

UN K N O WN

2026 Q 3

17


Park Terrace

306 | $895,000 (1BR) $998/sf 107 | $1,485,000 (2BR) $911/sf

All Data From SFARMLS


OFF MAR KET

SOL D

ACTI V E

IN CONTRACT

712 | $960,000 (1BR) $1135/sf 527 | $1,799,000 (2BR) $----/sf

114 | $1,798,000 (2BR) $1217/sf

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

19


Park Terrace

# of Transactions

3

100% YOY /

50% QOQ

Average Sales Price

$1,113,333 100% YOY /

27% QOQ

* Median Price $960,000

Price Per SF Q3

$1,015/SF

Q2

$1,072/SF

A VG $/ S F

MED I A N $/S F

Q1 Q4

$979/SF $800

$900

$1000

$1100

All Data From SFARMLS


325 Berry

Average Days on Market

Average $/SF

1

$1,015 100% YOY /

5.4% QOQ

100% YOY /

Buyer Demographic

CASH

98% QOQ

LO A N

UN K N O WN

N o Sa les in 2 0 2 6 Q1

2 0 2 6 Q1

2026 Q 2

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

2026 Q 3

21


The Beacon

572 | $1,039,000 (2BR) $908/sf

All Data From SFARMLS


OFF MAR KET

SOL D

ACTI V E

IN CONTRACT

1005 | $1,558,000 (2BR) $1047/sf

679 | $1,020,000 (2BR) $1024/sf 555 | $739,000 (1BR) $995/sf

1602 | $1,599,000 (2BR) $1083/sf 1512 | $915,000 (1BR) $985/sf 1210 | $799,000 (1BR) $972/sf 1112 | $839,000 (1BR) $932/sf 1004 | $499,000 (1BR) $850/sf 958 | $1,348,000 (2BR) $1109/sf 722 | $1,210,000 (2BR) $1075/sf 500 | $1,350,000 (2BR) $1107/sf

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

23


The Beacon

# of Transactions

5

17% YOY /

37% QOQ

Average Sales Price

$1,135,600 79% YOY /

21% QOQ

* Median Price $1,210,000

Price Per SF Q3

$1,028/SF

Q2

$891/SF

Q1

$864/SF

Q4

$833/SF $700

A VG $/ S F

$800

MED I A N $/S F

$9 00

$1000

All Data From SFARMLS


250 / 260 King

Average Days on Market

Average $/SF

26

$1,028 25% YOY /

15% QOQ

73% YOY /

Buyer Demographic

2 0 2 6 Q1

CASH

2026 Q 2

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

30% QOQ

LO A N

UN K N O WN

2026 Q 3

25


Madrone

511 | $1,795,000 (2BR) $1298/sf 411 | $1,750,000 (2BR) $1265/sf 316 | $1,467,000 (1BR) $1616/sf 120 | $899,000 (1BR) $969/sf

All Data From SFARMLS


OFF MAR KET

SOL D

ACTI V E

IN CONTRACT

917 | $1,495,000 (1BR) $1151/sf

529 | $1,495,000 (2BR) $----/sf 406 | $1,125,000 (1BR) $1190/sf 336 | $1,560,000 (2BR) $1252/sf 341 | $1,798,000 (2BR) $1258/sf

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

27


Madrone

# of Transactions

3

25% YOY / ---- QOQ

Average Sales Price

$1,384,000 3.8% YOY /

4.8% QOQ

* Median Price $1,467,000

Price Per SF Q3

$1,353/SF

Q2

$1,244/SF

Q1

$1,385/SF

A VG $/ S F

MED I A N $/S F

Q4 $1100

$1200

$1300

$1400

All Data From SFARMLS


420 / 480 Mission Bay, 435 China Basin

Average Days on Market

Average $/SF

23

$1,353 23% YOY /

8.8% QOQ

28% YOY /

Buyer Demographic

2 0 2 6 Q1

CASH

2026 Q 2

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

109% QOQ

LO A N

UN K N O WN

2026 Q 3

29


Radiance

509 | $1,225,000 (1BR) $1258/sf 402 | $1,083,000 (1BR) $1122/sf

All Data From SFARMLS


OFF MAR KET

SOL D

ACTI V E

IN CONTRACT

805 | $998,000 (1BR) $1113/sf

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

31


Radiance

# of Transactions

1

100% YOY / ---- QOQ

Average Sales Price

$1,098,000 100% YOY /

47% QOQ

* Median Price $1,098,000

Price Per SF Q3

$1,122/SF

Q2

$1,272/SF

A VG $/ S F

MED I A N $/S F

Q1 Q4

$1,016/SF $900

$1000

$1100

$1200

All Data From SFARMLS


330 Mission Bay, 325 China Basin

Average Days on Market

Average $/SF

46

$1,122 100% YOY /

12% QOQ

100% YOY /

Buyer Demographic

CASH

282% QOQ

LO A N

UN K N O WN

N o Sa les in 2 0 2 6 Q1

2 0 2 6 Q1

2026 Q 2

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

2026 Q 3

33


Arden

611 | $1,777,000 (2BR) $1460/sf 506 | $1,748,000 (2BR) $1292/sf

All Data From SFARMLS


OFF MAR KET

SOL D

ACTI V E

IN CONTRACT

908 | $1,650,000 (2BR) $1460/sf

214 | $1,700,000 (2BR) $1237/sf

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

35


Arden

# of Transactions

3

50% YOY /

40% QOQ

Average Sales Price

$1,648,667 5.3% YOY /

24% QOQ

* Median Price $1,700,000

Price Per SF Q3

$1,344/SF

Q2

$1,471/SF

Q1

$1,447/SF

Q4

$1,248/SF $900

A VG $/ S F

$1100

MED I A N $/S F

$1300

$1500

All Data From SFARMLS


708 / 718 Long Bridge

Average Days on Market

Average $/SF

14

$1,344 1.5% YOY /

8.7% QOQ

61% YOY /

Buyer Demographic

2 0 2 6 Q1

CASH

2026 Q 2

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

23% QOQ

LO A N

UN K N O WN

2026 Q 3

37


One Mission Bay

1305 | $1,680,000 (2BR) $1379/sf 1204 | $1,650,000 (2BR) $----/sf

812 | $1,728,812 (2BR) $1355/sf

811 | 2,250,000 (3

417 | $998,000 (1BR) $1384/sf 327 | $1,100,000 (1BR) $1240/sf 208 | $699,000 (0BR) $1384/sf

320 | $1,498,000 (

All Data From SFARMLS


OFF MAR KET

SOL D

ACTI V E

IN CONTRACT

1005 | $1,199,000 (1BR) $1364/sf

3BR) $1543/sf

807 | $1,450,000 (1BR) $1489/sf

(2BR) $1266/sf

430 | $725,000 (0BR) $1348/sf 312 | $700,000 (0BR) $1378/sf

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

39


One Mission Bay

# of Transactions

6

50% YOY / ---- QOQ

Average Sales Price

$1,359,469 16% YOY /

5.4% QOQ

* Median Price $1,474,000

Price Per SF Q3

$1,351/SF

Q2

$1,291/SF

Q1

$1,172/SF

Q4

$1,168/SF $1100

A VG $/ S F

$1200

MED I A N $/S F

$1300

$1400

All Data From SFARMLS


1000 3rd, 110 Channel

Average Days on Market

Average $/SF

27

$1,351 11% YOY /

4.6% QOQ

36% YOY /

Buyer Demographic

2 0 2 6 Q1

CASH

2026 Q 2

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

13% QOQ

LO A N

UN K N O WN

2026 Q 3

41


Skybox Realty 2026 Q3 Report

2026 Q3 Sales Address

BR / BA

SQFT

250 King 1004 110 Channel 312 300 Berry 118 325 Berry 306 255 Berry 507 325 Berry 712 260 King 679 330 Mission Bay 402 110 Channel 327 420 Mission Bay 406 250 King 722 255 Berry 320 250 King 500 1000 3rd 807 480 Mission Bay 316 325 Berry 107 110 Channel 320 300 Berry 554 235 Berry 314 435 China Basin 336 250 King 1602

1/1 0/1 1 / 1.5 1/1 1/1 1/1 2/2 1 / 1.5 1/2 1/1 2/2 2/2 2/2 1 / 1.5 1/1 2 / 2.5 2/2 3/2 2/2 2/2 2/2

587 508 888 882 873 846 996 965 887 945 1,126 1,050 1,219 974 908 1,630 1,183 1,277 1,420 1,246 1,476

All Data From SFARMLS


Paul Hwang | 415.216.8746 | paul@skyboxrealty.com

* Only showing sold homes in buildings featured in this book. Does not include new construction or bmrs.

Sale Price

$/SF

% Sale/List

$499,000 $700,000 $830,888 $880,000 $940,000 $960,000 $1,020,000 $1,083,000 $1,100,000 $1,125,000 $1,210,000 $1,300,000 $1,350,000 $1,450,000 $1,467,000 $1,485,000 $1,498,000 $1,500,000 $1,550,000 $1,560,000 $1,599,000

$850 $1,378 $936 $998 $1,077 $1,135 $1,024 $1,122 $1,240 $1,190 $1,075 $1,238 $1,107 $1,489 $1,616 $911 $1,266 $1,175 $1,092 $1,252 $1,083

100% 108% 104% 98% 111% 107% 113% 99% 100% 102% 97% 102% 108% 112% 134% 99% 100% 111% 98% 104% 100%

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

43


Skybox Realty 2026 Q3 Report

2026 Q3 Sales cont... Address

BR / BA

SQFT

708 Long Bridge 908 1000 3rd 1305 718 Long Bridge 214 1000 3rd 812 708 Long Bridge 611 235 Berry 607 235 Berry 115

2/2 2/2 2/2 2/2 2/2 2/2 3/3

1,237 1,218 1,374 1,276 1,217 1,370 1,910

All Data From SFARMLS


Paul Hwang | 415.216.8746 | paul@skyboxrealty.com

* Only showing sold homes in buildings featured in this book. Does not include new construction or bmrs.

Sale Price

$/SF

% Sale/List

$1,650,000 $1,680,000 $1,700,000 $1,728,812 $1,777,000 $1,800,000 $1,975,000

$1,334 $1,379 $1,237 $1,355 $1,460 $1,314 $1,034

100% 99% 100% 102% 111% 106% 101%

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

45


Skybox Realty 2026 Q3 Report

Paul Hwang

Paul Hwang Activity (2021-2026 Sales) # of Transactions

156+ Sold Volume

$265,619,650+ All Data From SFARMLS


Paul Hwang | 415.216.8746 | paul@skyboxrealty.com

*

Call me to find out how we can feature your off market listing to all of our prospective buyers in our Quarterly Reports!

Paul Hwang Leasing Activity 2025 # Leased

61+

2026 Leased to Date

56+

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

47


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RANKED #1 BROKER

Paul Hwang 415.216.8746 | DRE 01371169 PAUL@SKYBOXREALTY.COM

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