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2025 / Mission Bay Annual Condo Report

Page 1

Paul Hwang | 415.216.8746 | paul@skyboxrealty.com

Mission Bay

Condo Report 2025

Paul Hwang | Ranked #1 Broker 415.216.8746 | paul@skyboxrealty.com

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

1


Skybox Realty 2025 Annual Report

All Data From SFARMLS


Paul Hwang | 415.216.8746 | paul@skyboxrealty.com

Hello Neighbors! 2025 began slowly but gained significant momentum throughout the year. Mission Bay assumed an important world standing with offices leased to Nvidia, OpenAI, etc. Mission Rock matured with some of the best restaurants in the city. Newly opened China Basin Park flourished. Fueled by growth in AI companies, increased corporate office leasing, and new city leadership, the residential leasing sector became exceptionally competitive, with inventory becoming extremely limited by December. Similarly, available condominium inventory was rapidly depleted by Christmas. Class A office space improved from 60% to 70% leased, with effective space usage potentially rising from 25% to 80%, effectively tripling actual office occupancy. Indeed, San Francisco is at an inflection point. Much like a molten piece of glass ready to be formed into something intricate and magical. Put into clumsy hands it may become something horrible and disfigured or simply dropped and shattered into a million pieces. I believe we are at the start of a new upward cycle for income and population growth, and I expect sales prices to grow by 5-7% in 2026. Experience has shown that being too early is the same as being wrong. I am advising clients to hold and reassess in 2027. Best Regards, Paul Hwang, Ranked #1 Broker | 415.216.8746 This document has been prepared by Skybox Realty for advertising and general information only. Skybox Realty makes no guarantees, representations or warranties of any kind, expressed or implied, regarding the information including, but not limited to, warranties of content, accuracy and reliability. Any interested party should undertake their own inquiries as to the accuracy of the information. Skybox Realty excludes unequivocally all inferred or implied terms, conditions and warranties arising out of this document and excludes all liability for loss and damages arising there from.

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

3


Skybox Realty 2025 Annual Report

All Data From SFARMLS


Paul Hwang | 415.216.8746 | paul@skyboxrealty.com

Table of Contents

Mission Bay 2025 Snapshot

7

235 Berry

8 - 11

255 Berry

12 - 15

Arterra

16 - 19

Park Terrace

20 - 23

The Beacon

24 - 27

Madrone

28 - 31

Radiance

32 - 35

Arden

36 - 39

One Mission Bay

40 - 43

2025 Q4 Solds

44 - 45

Who You Work With Matters

46 - 47

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

5


Oracle Park E N TH CO A BE

Ch in a Ba sin Pa rk

Caltrain BE

R

ST

RY

5 23 RRY BE

ONE BAY MISSION

5 25 RRY BE

0 30 RRY BE

N

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AN

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BL VD NO RT H

IS B

M IS SI O N BA Y

ST

NCO

CH IN A BA SI N

FRA

G

DIANCE

MADRONE RA

ST

BR ID GE VI EW W

N

ID

E

3R D ST

EN

D

AR

LO

G

BR

N

RY A

CH

ST

EL

TER

I

O

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4T H ST

5 32 RRY BE

M

I SS

CR

AY

MISSION BAY SO UT H ST O W EN S ST

UCSF Mission Bay

The Chase Center

I 280

16 TH ST

TE NN ES S

M ISS ISS IP PI ST

M ar ip os a Pa rk M AR IP O SA ST

ILL IN OI S ST

UCSF Medical Center


Paul Hwang | 415.216.8746 | paul@skyboxrealty.com

Mission Bay 2025 Snapshot * Does not include new construction.

# of Transactions

76

3.8% YOY Average Sales Price

$1,177,104 6.2% YOY

* Median Price $1,106,500

Average Price per Square Foot

$1,034 3.1% YOY

Average Days on the Market

48

30% YOY

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

7


235 Berry

307 | $1,160,000 (2BR) $939/sf

All Data From SFARMLS


OFF MAR KET

SOL D

ACTI V E

IN CONTRACT

417 | $1,200,000 (2BR) $1122/sf

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

9


235 Berry

Price Per SF Q4

$1,122/SF

Q3

$939/SF

A VG $/ S F

MED I A N $/S F

Q2 Q1 $900

$1000

$1 100

$1200

Buyer Demographic

CA S H B UYER LO A N B UYER UN K N O WN

2024

2025

All Data From SFARMLS


Paul Hwang | 415.216.8746 | paul@skyboxrealty.com

# of Transactions

2

---- YOY

Average $/SF

$1,030 4.4% YOY

Average DOM

69

214% YOY

Average Sales Price

$1,180,000 .64% YOY

2025 $/SF Distribution

$643/SF

* Median Price $1,180,000

S T A N D A R D D EV I A TI O N = $128.86

$1030/SF

$1417/S F

Listings Days on Market

D I D N ’T S ELL S O LD > 45 D A YS S O LD < 45 D A YS

2024

2025

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

11


255 Berry

701 | $1,489,000 (2BR) $1091/sf 611 | $1,700,000 (2BR) $900/sf

All Data From SFARMLS


OFF MAR KET

SOL D

ACTI V E

IN CONTRACT

514 | $1,500,000 (2BR) $978/sf 310 | $1,379,000 (2BR) $951/sf

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

13


255 Berry

Price Per SF

A VG $/ S F

MED I A N $/S F

Q4 Q3

$1,091/SF

Q2

$965/SF

Q1

$900/SF $900

$1000

$1 100

$1200

Buyer Demographic

CA S H B UYER LO A N B UYER UN K N O WN

2024

2025

All Data From SFARMLS


Paul Hwang | 415.216.8746 | paul@skyboxrealty.com

# of Transactions

4

---- YOY

Average $/SF

$980 3.4% YOY

Average DOM

20

4.8% YOY

Average Sales Price

$1,517,000 27% YOY

2025 $/SF Distribution

$ 7 3 8 / SF

* Median Price $1,494,500

S TA N D A R D D EV I A TI O N = $80.54

$980/SF

$1222/S F

Listings Days on Market

D I D N ’T S ELL S O LD > 45 D A YS S O LD < 45 D A YS

2024

2025

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

15


Arterra

914 | $648,000 (1BR) $976/sf 721 | $750,000 (1BR) $1014/sf

419 | $628,000 (1BR) $936/sf

All Data From SFARMLS


OFF MAR KET

SOL D

ACTI V E

IN CONTRACT

911 | $975,000 (2BR) $1073/sf

611 | $950,101 (2BR) $1027/sf 413 | $945,000 (2BR) $1011/sf

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

17


Arterra

Price Per SF Q4

A VG $/ S F

MED I A N $/S F

$1,043/sf

Q3 Q2

$1,027/SF

Q1

$973/SF $800

$900

$1 000

$1100

Buyer Demographic

CA S H B UYER LO A N B UYER UN K N O WN

2024

2025

All Data From SFARMLS


Paul Hwang | 415.216.8746 | paul@skyboxrealty.com

# of Transactions

5

50% YOY

Average DOM

39 49% YOY

Average $/SF

$1,012 8.6% YOY

Average Sales Price

$849,260 12% YOY

2025 $/SF Distribution

$ 8 6 4 / SF

* Median Price $945,000

S TA N D A R D D EV I A TI O N = $49.23

$1012/SF

$1160/S F

Listings Days on Market

D I D N ’T S ELL S O LD > 45 D A YS S O LD < 45 D A YS

2024

2025

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

19


Park Terrace

715 | $850,000 (1BR) $1005/sf

328 | $1,685,000 (2BR) $1015/sf

All Data From SFARMLS


OFF MAR KET

SOL D

ACTI V E

IN CONTRACT

617 | $770,000 (1BR) $1039/sf

325 | $840,000 (1BR) $952/sf

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

21


Park Terrace

Price Per SF Q4

A VG $/ S F

MED I A N $/S F

$979/sf

Q3 Q2

$1,015/SF

Q1

$1,039/SF $900

$1000

$1 100

$1200

Buyer Demographic

CA S H B UYER

N O SALES IN 2 0 2 4

2024

LO A N B UYER UN K N O WN

2025

All Data From SFARMLS


Paul Hwang | 415.216.8746 | paul@skyboxrealty.com

# of Transactions

4

100% YOY

Average DOM

63

100% YOY

Average $/SF

$1,003 100% YOY

Average Sales Price

$1,036,250 100% YOY

2025 $/SF Distribution

$893/SF

* Median Price $845,000

S TA N D A R D D EV I A TI O N = $36.59

$1003/SF

$1113/S F

Listings Days on Market

D I D N ’T S ELL

NO SALES IN 2 0 2 4

2024

S O LD > 45 D A YS S O LD < 45 D A YS

2025

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

23


The Beacon

1107 | $848,888(1BR) $947/sf

853 | $505,000 (1BR) $804/sf 741 | $668,000 (1BR) $782/sf 637 | $640,000 (1BR) $780/sf 529 | $495,000 (1BR) $825/sf 483 | $465,000 (1BR) $845/sf 261 | $699,000 (1BR) $724/sf

1304 | $549,000 (1BR) $935/sf

1014 | $710,000 (1BR) $738/sf 914 | $710,000 (1BR) $738/sf 880 | $905,500 (2BR) $866/sf 622 | $890,000 (2BR) $790/sf 538 | $579,000 (1BR) $891/sf 372 | $585,000 (1BR) $778/sf

All Data From SFARMLS


OFF MAR KET

SOL D

ACTI V E

IN CONTRACT

1411 | $740,000 (1BR) $914/sf

865 | $890,000 (2BR) $822/sf 631 | $596,000 (1BR) $860/sf 507 | $640,000 (1BR) $714/sf 449 | $1,055,000 (2BR) $857/sf

627 | $780,000 (2BR) $841/sf 557 | $838,000 (1BR) $759/sf

683 | $468,000 (1BR) $851/sf

271 | $612,500 (1BR) $793/sf

1508 | $709,000 (1BR) $901/sf

1104 | $499,000 (1BR) $851/sf 1008 | $625,000 (1BR) $794/sf 952 | $2,290,000 (3BR) $935/sf 856 | $720,000 (1BR) $835/sf 734 | $600,000 (1BR) $789/sf 668 | $630,000 (1BR) $792/sf 536 | $603,000 (1BR) $843/sf

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

502 | $1,198,000 (2BR) $845/sf

25


The Beacon

Price Per SF Q4

$833/SF

Q3

$826/SF

Q2

$848/SF

Q1

$788/SF $700

A VG $/ S F

$800

MED I A N $/S F

$9 00

$1000

Buyer Demographic

CA S H B UYER LO A N B UYER UN K N O WN

2024

2025

All Data From SFARMLS


Paul Hwang | 415.216.8746 | paul@skyboxrealty.com

# of Transactions

25 17% YOY

Average DOM

72 15% YOY

Average $/SF

$817 4.1% YOY

Average Sales Price

$752,680 8.6% YOY

2025 $/SF Distribution

$ 6 4 7 / SF

* Median Price $640,000

S TA N D A R D D EV I A TI O N = $56.67

$817/SF

$987/S F

Listings Days on Market

D I D N ’T S ELL S O LD > 45 D A YS S O LD < 45 D A YS

2024

2025

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

27


Madrone

1504 | $1,800,000 (2BR) $1351/sf

611 | $1,550,000 (2BR) $1306/sf 527 | $1,330,000 (2BR) $1139/sf 311 | $1,578,800 (2BR) $1131/sf

All Data From SFARMLS


OFF MAR KET

SOL D

ACTI V E

IN CONTRACT

708 | $1,535,000 (2BR) $1198/sf 631 | $1,825,000 (3BR) $1146/sf

327 | $1,320,000 (2BR) $949/sf 205 | $1,325,000 (2BR) $1118/sf

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

29


Madrone

Price Per SF

A VG $/ S F

MED I A N $/S F

Q4 Q3

$1,104/SF

Q2

$1,268/SF

Q1 $1000

$1100

$1 200

$1300

Buyer Demographic

CA S H B UYER LO A N B UYER UN K N O WN

2024

2025

All Data From SFARMLS


Paul Hwang | 415.216.8746 | paul@skyboxrealty.com

# of Transactions

7

50% YOY

Average DOM

44 38% YOY

Average $/SF

$1,174 6.7% YOY

Average Sales Price

$1,561,257 22% YOY

2025 $/SF Distribution

$ 7 7 9 / SF

* Median Price $1,550,000

S T A N D A R D D EV I A TI O N = $131.62

$1174/SF

$1569/S F

Listings Days on Market

D I D N ’T S ELL S O LD > 45 D A YS S O LD < 45 D A YS

2024

2025

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

31


Radiance

416 | $1,770,000 (2BR) $1058/sf 310 | $1,212,000 (2BR) $946/sf

All Data From SFARMLS


OFF MAR KET

SOL D

ACTI V E

IN CONTRACT

515 | $1,400,000 (2BR) $1081/sf 312 | $1,145,000 (2BR) $974/sf

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

33


Radiance

Price Per SF Q4

A VG $/ S F

MED I A N $/S F

$1,016/SF

Q3 Q2

$946/SF

Q1

$1,081/SF $900

$1000

$1 100

$1200

Buyer Demographic

CA S H B UYER LO A N B UYER UN K N O WN

2024

2025

All Data From SFARMLS


Paul Hwang | 415.216.8746 | paul@skyboxrealty.com

# of Transactions

4

100% YOY

Average DOM

86

169% YOY

Average $/SF

$1,015 2.8% YOY

Average Sales Price

$1,381,750 25% YOY

2025 $/SF Distribution

$ 8 2 0 / SF

* Median Price $1,306,000

S TA N D A R D D EV I A TI O N = $64.98

$1015/SF

$1210/S F

Listings Days on Market

D I D N ’T S ELL S O LD > 45 D A YS S O LD < 45 D A YS

2024

2025

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

35


Arden

1508 | $1,800,000 (2BR) $1480/sf 1411 | $1,525,000 (2BR) $1498/sf

717 | $1,980,000 (2BR) $1380/sf 517 | $1,745,000 (2BR) $1293/sf 411 | $2,100,000 (2BR) $1360/sf 317 | $1,610,000 (2BR) $1231/sf 215 | $1,655,000 (2BR) $1203/sf

All Data From SFARMLS


OFF MAR KET

SOL D

ACTI V E

IN CONTRACT

1401 | $1,676,500 (2BR) $1454/sf

1002 | $1,805,000 (2BR) $1274/sf 714 | $1,650,000 (2BR) $1507/sf 705 | $1,870,000 (2BR) $1184/sf 506 | $1,649,000 (2BR) $1219/sf 220 | $949,000 (1BR) $1201/sf 207 | $1,600,000 (2BR) $1085/sf

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

37


Arden

Price Per SF Q4

$1,248/SF

Q3

$1,364/SF

Q2

$1,403/SF

Q1

$1,252/SF $900

A VG $/ S F

$1100

MED I A N $/S F

$1 300

$1500

Buyer Demographic

CA S H B UYER LO A N B UYER UN K N O WN

2024

2025

All Data From SFARMLS


Paul Hwang | 415.216.8746 | paul@skyboxrealty.com

# of Transactions

11 13% YOY

Average DOM

24 ---- YOY

Average $/SF

$1,313 4.8% YOY

Average Sales Price

$1,760,591 6.5% YOY

2025 $/SF Distribution

$ 9 1 2 / SF

* Median Price $1,745,000

S T A N D A R D D EV I A TI O N = $133.53

$1313/SF

$1714/S F

Listings Days on Market

D I D N ’T S ELL S O LD > 45 D A YS S O LD < 45 D A YS

2024

2025

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

39


One Mission Bay Resales

1207 | $2,250,000 (3BR) $1373/sf

809 | $1,740,000 (2BR) $1348/sf

532 | $1,068,000 (1BR) $1204/sf 426 | $937,000 (1BR) $1122/sf 314 | $919,500 (1BR) $1275/sf

424 | $1,320,000 ( 413 | $939,000 (1 420 | $1,585,000 (

All Data From SFARMLS


OFF MAR KET

SOL D

ACTI V E

IN CONTRACT

1505 | $1,680,000 (2BR) $1379/sf

(2BR) $1116/sf 1BR) $1168/sf (2BR) $1440/sf

605 | $1,498,000 (2BR) $1286/sf 513 | $1,168,000 (2BR) $1163/sf 431 | $575,000 (1BR) $1162/sf 306 | $1,488,000 (2BR) $1391/sf 324 | $1,030,000 (1BR) $1236/sf

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

41


One Mission Bay

Price Per SF Q4

$1,168/SF

Q3

$1,263/SF

Q2

$1,274/SF

Q1

$1,262/SF $1000

A VG $/ S F

$1100

MED I A N $/S F

$1 200

$1300

Buyer Demographic

CA S H B UYER LO A N B UYER UN K N O WN

2024

2025

All Data From SFARMLS


Paul Hwang | 415.216.8746 | paul@skyboxrealty.com

# of Transactions

13 44% YOY

Average DOM

29 34% YOY

Average $/SF

$1,246 4.7% YOY

Average Sales Price

$1,284,577 19% YOY

2025 $/SF Distribution

$ 9 0 5 / SF

* Median Price $1,168,000

S T A N D A R D D EV I A TI O N = $113.72

$1246/SF

$1587/S F

Listings Days on Market

D I D N ’T S ELL S O LD > 45 D A YS S O LD < 45 D A YS

2024

2025

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

43


Skybox Realty 2025 Annual Report

2025 Q4 Sales Address

BR / BA

SQFT

260 King 631

1/1

693

260 King 637

1/1

820

300 Berry 721

1/1

740

325 Berry 325

1/1

882

325 Berry 715

1/1

846

1000 3rd 413

1/1

804

300 Berry 911

2/1

909

260 King 449

2/2

1,231

325 China Basin 312

2/2

1,231

235 Berry 417

2/2

1,070

207 King 402

2 / 2.5

1,675

718 Long Bridge 215

2/2

1,384

708 Long Bridge 517

2/2

1,482

325 China Basin 416

2/2

1,388

All Data From SFARMLS


Paul Hwang | 415.216.8746 | paul@skyboxrealty.com

* Only showing sold homes in buildings featured in this book. Does not include new construction.

Sale Price

$/SF

% Sale/List

$596,000

$860.03

97.87

$640,000

$780.49

98.61

$750,000

$1,013.51

107.30

$840,000

$952.38

98.94

$850,000

$1,004.73

97.14

$939,000

$1,167.91

97.91

$975,000

$1,072.61

108.45

$1,055,000

$857.03

100.67

$1,145,000

$973.64

95.58

$1,200,000

$1,121.50

109.09

$1,300,000

$776.12

96.30

$1,655,000

$1,202.76

104.09

$1,745,000

$1,292.59

99.77

$1,770,000

$1,057.98

98.44

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

45


Skybox Realty 2025 Annual Report

Paul Hwang

Paul Hwang Activity (2021-2025 Sales) # of Transactions

139+ Sold Volume

$235,929,650+ All Data From SFARMLS


Paul Hwang | 415.216.8746 | paul@skyboxrealty.com

*

Call me to find out how we can feature your off market listing to all of our prospective buyers in our Quarterly Reports!

Paul Hwang Leasing Activity 2024 # Leased

70+

2025 # Leased

61+

© Skybox Realty Inc, 2026

47


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Ranked #1 Broker

Paul Hwang 415.216.8746 | dre 01371169 paul@skyboxrealty.com

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2025 / Mission Bay Annual Condo Report by Skybox Realty - Issuu