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ter (about 41 trillion gallons
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León, D-Los Angeles, will bring almost unparalleled
Still, Brown and Senate President Pro Tem Kevin de in the state Assembly shied away. vertising campaign in opposition, and some Democrats dropped after the oil industry launched a vigorous ad use in motor vehicles in half by 2030. That idea got
Most contentious of all was a bid to slash petroleum
1990 levels by 2050. levels by 2030 and 80 percent below reductions of 40 percent below 1990 Executive orders require emissions
2020. cap-and-trade program, which may otherwise expire in
They also failed to extend the state’s carbon-limiting deep greenhouse gas emissions cuts by the year 2050. lawmakers halted a bill that would have mandated
In the legislative session that ended on Sept. 11,
“And I think we’re making tremendous progress.” of our industrial economy,” Brown said in September.
“This is a long trek forward to change the very basis emissions. as part of a far-reaching effort to slash greenhouse gas electric cars on the road and increased use of biofuels executive orders and regulations. That will mean more achieve much of what the Legislature rejected through its share of renewable energy. Brown also hopes to cally less electricity and the power grid will increase nia’s homes and buildings are expected to use dramati
In coming years, the new legislation means Califor
Californians. T he Legislature may have scuttled the centerpiece of Gov. Jerry Brown’s climate change plans, but it still approved ambitious new environmental policies that will affect the economy and lives of
By Kate Galbraith // CALmatters
half by 2030. That portion got removed from the final the state to cut petroleum usage in motor vehicles in
The third leg of de León’s bill would have required fected as well as homes, he said.
Churches, schools and office buildings will be afcient than most other states. noted that the state already was far more energy-effi U.S. Green Building Council’s California branch, who
“It is a very big goal,” said Dennis Murphy of the to tighten. standards for electronic appliances may also continue like rebates to make homes more efficient. Energy-use It is also likely to be easier to find and use incentives usage, a helpful tool for homebuyers, among others. to get more information about their homes’ energy cient by 2030. This means that Californians can expect the state to become, collectively, twice as energy effi Oct. 7, also calls for new and existing buildings across
The renewable energy bill, which Brown signed on be effectively used to integrate renewable resources.” new technologies like storage and electric vehicles can woman, said the marginal cost should be minimal “if ers’ electric rates. Terrie Prosper, a commission spokes studied how the 50 percent target might affect consum
The state Public Utilities Commission has not yet than 20 percent of its electricity from renewables. Edison and San Diego Gas & Electric — each gets more state — Pacific Gas & Electric, Southern California structure. Currently, the three major utilities in the scale solar plants as well as new transmission infra providers must invest in more wind farms and large
The renewable energy goal means that electricity states. 2020). It is a target that is stricter than in all but a few 2030 (currently, they are required to get 33 percent by get half of their electricity from renewable sources by Senate Bill 350, to require electric power providers to the governor a landmark measure carried by de León,
Early in September, lawmakers passed and sent to change conference in Paris in December. accomplishments to a major international climatefind some tie to air emissions … that would result in a MacBride, Squeri & Day. “They would have to try to an attorney with the San Francisco firm Goodin, a direct ability to reduce petroleum,” said Brian Cragg, over air emissions, but I don’t think that translates into
The Air Resources Board “has pretty broad authority directly, in the absence of legislative action. the air board may not be able to enact petroleum cuts
Indeed, despite Brown’s fury at the oil companies, originally outlined. the order, in other words, of what de León and Brown Mui of the Natural Resources Defense Council — on a close to 50 percent cut in petroleum use, said Simon with the executive orders, that should effectively mean
But assuming the air board crafts policies to comply tion. may not follow those orders the way they would legisla Berkeley and Los Angeles. He added that some groups the law schools of the University of California in both said Ethan Elkind, a climate expert affiliated with
“It’s not really set in stone. It’s an executive order,” succeeds Brown as governor. would preserve the goal in the statute no matter who
A bill would have codified those goals into law, which greenhouse gas output. industrial plants and even perhaps farms to cut their cuts will have impacts for many sectors, prompting 2030 and 80 percent below 1990 levels by 2050. These sions reductions of 40 percent below 1990 levels by Schwarzenegger. The executive orders require emis orders issued by Brown and his predecessor, Arnold greenhouse gas emissions cuts to comply with executive
The air board is already planning for long-term ted to backing them up.” is committed to that 50 percent goal, and I am commitin law of a 50 percent goal,” Brown said. “But the ARB
“The only thing we don’t have is a formal statement petroleum future anyhow. mandate had it passed, would work toward a lowerBoard, which would have taken charge of the petroleum bill. But Brown said that the California Air Resources how California’s Capitol works and why it matters. nonprofit journalism venture committed to explaining
CALmatters is a Sacramento-based nonpartisan,
agency, Lapsley said. sion, will also take a more active role in overseeing the curbing the air board’s power during the recent ses
Lawmakers, some of whom toyed with the idea of ley, president of the California Business Roundtable. don’t think they’re fair and balanced,” said Rob Laps tion, to be able to address [regulatory] decisions, if we strategies that we have available, including, like, litiga
“There’s going to be a lot more attention paid to what the agency. and the Assembly will now each appoint one member of petroleum. New legislation provides that the Senate have yet to be determined, including those that affect as it embarks on more ambitious policies whose costs creased scrutiny from both businesses and lawmakers gubernatorial appointees, is also likely to face in
But the air board, which is overseen by a panel of expect to meet in time. sions to 1990 levels by 2020 — a goal that state officials which sought to slash California’s greenhouse gas emis under a landmark piece of legislation passed in 2006,
The air board operates some of its key programs California economy. program, which limits carbon across nearly the entire to Californians. The board also runs the cap-and-trade and rewarding automakers that sell electric vehicles fuels, regulating the emissions from cars and trucks, policies that include reducing the carbon content of ready in place, Clegern said. The air board has crafted izing goals announced this year by the governor are al
The major programs needed to meet the decarbon create new regulations,” he said. not expand ARB’s authority, nor was it a directive to ever, “broadly we would note that Senate Bill 350 did that the agency does not comment on legislation. How
Air board spokesman Dave Clegern said in an e-mail reduction.”
Despite some setbacks, state still barrels ahead with goals to reduce emissions What's Left of California's Climate Change Policy? A Lot.
A Chinook helicopter from the California National Guard prepares for a water drop during the Rocky Fire near Clearlake, Calif. Photo by U.S. Army National Guard Sgt. Jason Beal In four years, costs for Bay Area residences dwarfed other expenses PAGE B8
GRAPHIC: HOUSING PRICES SHOW NATIONAL STATISTICS ARE NOT USEFUL HERE
One proposal to bridge the digital divide: offer free citywide Wi-Fi PAGE B7
DIGITAL DIVIDE LEAVES 100,000 S.F. RESIDENTS WITHOUT HOME INTERNET
Riding the bus is cheaper than driving, but only if Muni arrives on time PAGE B7
AFFORDABLE TRANSIT’S HIDDEN COST: SLOW SERVICE HITS LOW-INCOME RIDERS
Shops catering to sophisticated palates mask food insecurity PAGE B5
EVEN IN FOODIE PARADISE, MANY FAMILIES STRUGGLE TO PUT DINNER ON TABLE
Mid-Market stores are worlds apart, a sign of rapid change PAGE B4
TWO CENTRAL CITY GROCERIES CONTRAST BASIC AND UPSCALE FOOD
section B
San Francisco offers many programs; activists call for more PAGE B3
CITY SEEKS SOLUTIONS FOR HELPING RESIDENTS LOWER THEIR BILLS
Outdated poverty measure means some no longer qualify PAGE B2
PARENT TRAP: CHILD-CARE COSTS SOAR, OUTSTRIPPING SUBSIDIES
Covers families not poor enough for free clinic-based care PAGE B2
S.F. EXPANDS HEALTH INSURANCE AID TO CLOSE AFFORDABILITY GAP
similar food. price points for apart, different At markets blocks
A1_v6.indd
tation overall, since car ownership is option
San Franciscans enjoy cheaper transpor dies beyond the Affordable Care Act. low- and moderate-income residents subsi health-care safety net. It also plans to offer the nation’s most comprehensive municipal including Healthy San Francisco, perhaps
The city has made costly investments, policies just prune the edges of the problem. fordability crisis, but existing and emerging
San Francisco leaders are tackling the af crunch is most acute within city limits. is ample evidence showing that the housing Area spent over the last 15 years, and there growth in what consumers across the Bay
Housing accounts for about half the be considered poor here. would be middle class anywhere else should that more than 10 percent of residents who fordable for everyone else. Studies suggest is making living here increasingly unaf residents than any other U.S. city. That I n the drive to build a robust technologydriven local economy, San Francisco has attracted droves of high-income earn ers, giving it a larger share of wealthy
STORIES BEGIN ON PAGE B1

housing prices anytime soon. these modest efforts are unlikely to affect thousands of affordable apartments, so
Yet the need is often pegged in tens of this fall promises to build 775 units. $310 million bond issue that voters passed teachers by 2020. The mayor’s ambitious city announced a plan to house 500 school increase the housing supply, in October the tions are at risk of losing their homes. To control, subsidized housing or other protec
San Franciscans not sheltered by rent reflect the city’s economic reality. or regionwide inflation statistics that do not and low-cost housing, are based on national adjustments for wages, welfare guarantees
But many policies, including cost-of-living nutrition assistance on top of food stamps. free citywide Wi-Fi); low-cost child care; and price of Internet service (including a plan for
The city and state offer help to reduce the limits job and shopping opportunities. gain for low-income residents if slow service al. But a $2.25 one-way Muni fare is no bar
Rising local housing costs throw many into poverty
TO AID CITY’S PINCHED MIDDLE CLASS CONSUMER PRICES OUTPACE EFFORTS
2015: $3,950 2010: $3,000 2005: $2,000 Mission 800 sq. ft.

PUBLIC PRESS WINTER 2016 ISSUE 18 san francisco public press 44 page st., suite 504 • san francisco, ca 94102 THE COST OF LIVING HERESPECIAL REPORT S

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PLUS: Public Press receives journalism awards; year-end pledge drive; crossword PAGE A2

emissions and boost efficient power for homes and businesses PAGE A8
Despite failed effort to regulate fuel use, new California laws will cut greenhouse gas Climate Change Legislation Limited, but Still Powerful
half a century to release PAGE A6 the police estimate that records would take Access to crime statistics is limited because
A Police Tragi-Comic The 5-Decade Audit:
groundwater, nor can it stop PAGE A7
State cannot afford to keep pumping
Drought Conundrum California’s Costly

slow down drivers near school PAGE A6 Transportation measure funds signals that
Promises Safer Streets Traffic-Calming Test
might exacerbate urban displacement PAGE A6
State and regional efforts to protect environment
Across the Bay Area Mapping Gentrification
truly succeed PAGES A4–5 assumptions about what it takes for students to performing schools and challenged her own documenting one of San Francisco’s lowest
Author Kristina Rizga spent four years Teachers Defy Experts Mission High Students,

The Giants’ proposed $1.6 billion Mission Rock lies in possible future flood plain PAGE A3
Shoreline Building vs. Sea Rise: Not If, but When

Local press struggled to cover an election that seemed a foregone conclusion PAGE A3 With Mayor Far Ahead in Polls, Issues Got Left Behind
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5California now is pumping water that is 20,000 years old. Groundwater levels have been at historic lows in most of the state since 2008, according to the California Department of Water Resources. People are drilling so deep to find water — sometimes thousands of feet — that the water water Management Act, which went into effect last year, will not require farmers to report their groundwater use until around 2022 or later. And even then, the new law requires water officials to keep farmers’ groundwater use secret, shielding gluttonous users from public scrutiny. have water problems of their own. Reveal is a project of the Center for Investigative Reporting, which seeks to engage and empower the public through investigative journalism and ground-breaking storytelling to spark action, improve lives and protect our democracy. farmland was sinking at a record pace. By the late 1970s, some areas had sunk about 30 feet. It cost the state more than $1 billion to fix just some of the damage, which included sinking bridges, cracking canals and buckling highways, according to one estimate. The sinking took off again in 2008, and farmland now is dropping at a record pace. At least one agricultural area in the Central Valley is on pace to sink 30 feet — the equivalent of a threestory building — by 2030. 3 It will take at least 50 years for the Central Valley’s aquifers to naturally refill, according to the U.S. Geological Survey. But only if everyone stops pumping groundwater immediately. That’s because the aquifers naturally refill at a rate of about 2 million acre-feet a year (650 billion gallons) as rain and snowmelt from the mountains seep underground, according to Claudia Faunt, a government hydrologist. But she stressed that this was only an estimate. Since California doesn’t consider ground water a public good, no government agency is closely monitoring it, including exactly how many years it will take to replace all that drained water, she said. Even so, no one believes it’s economically prudent or humanely advisable to immediately stop pumping groundwater so the aquifers can refill. That is because researchers studying the drought at the University of California, Davis, determined this year’s water shortage, which equates to 2.5 million acre-feet, will cost the state $2.7 billion. If California farmers, who produce almost half of all the fruits, nuts and vegetables grown in the United States, stopped pumping groundwater, it almost certainly would send food prices soaring. And what happens when food prices go up? People around the world starve. 4 California has permanently lost about 18 million acre-feet (6 trillion gallons) of water during the past century, accord ing to the U.S. Geological Survey. Aquifers partially collapsed as they were drained and forever reduced the state’s capacity to store water underground. So even if the state’s aquifers are miraculously refilled, it will be with 6 trillion fewer gallons, enough to give every human who has ever lived a 55-gallon drumful of water. being pumped to the surface seeped underground when California was home to mastodons, an ancient creature that resembled modern elephants. 6 A great swath of the Central Valley is desert. Some of the bright-green farmland in the San Joaquin Valley gets only about 5 inches of rain a year — that’s just an inch more than Riyadh, Saudi Arabia. Before irrigation, much of the Central Valley was parched ground, cactuses and slow-growing shrubs. Now it’s increasingly covered in nut trees like pistachios and almonds, or thirsty grapevines, which are water-intensive crops and incapable of being fallowed during drought years. Overall, the Central Valley does not get much rain. So as these water-intensive crops have been planted during the past decade, demands on water have surpassed the capacity of the massive irrigation canals built more than 50 years ago. The result? See No. 1 and No. 2 above. 7 No one knows how much groundwater California has left. No one even knows how much the state currently is pump ing from the ground. Researchers at UC Davis estimate that close to 60 percent of the state’s water sup ply comes from groundwater, while hydrologists at the U.S. Geological Survey say 65 percent, and a NASA researcher told The New York Times that it is 75 percent. How is it possible that no one knows? California does not require farmers to report how much groundwater they pump. Many other states do. California’s Sustainable Ground 8 Every time California drains its aquifers during a drought, it makes the next drought worse. The late Joseph Poland, a legendary hydrologist with the U.S. Geological Survey who helped develop many of to day’s scientific theo ries of groundwater and subsidence, discovered that dur ing the California drought of 1976–77, groundwater levels dropped 10 to 20 times faster than during a drought a decade earlier. It was not because farmers were pumping more water. It was because there was less water underground. The aquifers were smaller. They had partially collapsed during that previous drought. (See No. 4 above.) With less water underground, the same amount of pumping resulted in the water tables falling much, much faster. This happened again during the 1987–92 drought, and it is hap pening now. (See No. 5 above.) 9 The electricity needed to pump groundwater now is about 5 percent of the state’s total energy use. That is an increase of 40 percent over normal years — or enough electricity to power every home in San Francisco for three years, according to a Reveal analy sis. In Saudi Arabia, an economist calculated that the country used about 10 percent of its electricity to pump groundwater. Now Saudi Arabia is nearly out of water. It became the first wellpublicized example of a country depleting its aquifers to near exhaustion. Its 30 million people are drinking mostly desalinated seawater, which is too expensive to use for irriga tion. At one point in the mid-1990s Saudi Arabia was pumping so much groundwater that it transformed its deserts into farmland and became the world’s sixth-largest exporter of wheat. But because its aquifers are depleted, the Saudi government an nounced that 2016 will be the last year the country produces wheat. It is importing most of its crops from overseas — from places such as Arizona and California, which now It will take at least 50 years for the Central Valley’s aquifers to naturally refill, but only if everyone stops pumping groundwater immediately. California does not require farmers to report how much groundwater they pump.
Back in the 1960s, Central Valley experienced costly subsidence, too.
California in the 1930s. It primar ily affects farmland, since farmers use about 80 percent of the state’s water, although cities such as San Jose and San Luis Obispo have H.D. McGlashan measures streamflow in the Merced River in Yosemite National Park, circa 1920. Velocity and water-depth measurements along a stream cross section are used to calculate the volume of water passing a certain location in cubic feet per second. U.S. Geological Survey photos scary. It first was documented in this subsidence. Most people call it the removed water. Scientists call to partially fill the space left by aquifers are drained, the land sinks last year. As the below-ground his land sank more than 18 inches 2 California is sinking at a record pace — one farmer in the Central Valley reported
historic average. past decade is more than double the rate of aquifer depletion during the water seems to be worsening. The tunately, this reliance on ground supply of drinking water. Unfor person on Earth with a 30-year enough fresh water to provide every of Lake Erie or, put another way, equivalent of draining about a third U.S. Geological Survey. That is the 1920 and 2013, according to the from the Central Valley between 1 Californians drained about 125 million acre-feet of groundwa ter (about 41 trillion gallons)

water as they want.
Landowners may pump as much water as it does surface water. good. It does not regulate ground sider groundwater part of the public reservoirs, the state does not con unlike with its rivers, lakes and of California’s water supply. But now accounts for about 60 percent is keeping the state hydrated. It W ith an alarmingly dry winter and reservoirs’ water levels dropping fast, groundwater increasingly
By Nathan Halverson // Reveal