SMa.r.t.

Every City faces periodic interruptions to its normal life. Some interruptions in our City are minor and predictable such as gridlock on Lincoln Blvd every afternoon. Because of their relatively small scale and predictability, they are not even considered an interruption and are considered “normal”. Other interruptions are not exactly predictable but not unusual either such as the power failure that hit the west quarter of our city several weeks ago. Typically they have slightly greater impact and disruption. As the scale and unpredictability of these events increases, they become more dangerous: for example, a landslide on PCH or an urban riot that trashes the downtown and interrupts tourism, or the Covid epidemic that causes even greater disruption, financial losses and loss of life.

Black swans

Finally we reach major disastrous events such as a tsunami (or its big brother sea level rise), the collapse of our regional water supply, a 115 degree heat wave (or its big brother global warming), a 7.5 earthquake, or a dirty bomb terrorist attack. These very unpredictable threats, are known to exist with a low probability: however their impact is so huge that they are not just interruptions but can become existential threats to our City. Such random events are sometimes called “black swan” events or are described as a “perfect storm”. Even though we are “protected” by their rarity, they actually do happen. We just don’t know where, when or to what magnitude. Regardless of their statistical rarity, we can generate a historical probability for most of these disasters.

For example many of our readers were here in 1994 when we experienced the 6.7 Northridge earthquake that severely damaged the Northeast quadrant of our City and resulted in 57 deaths mostly in the San Fernando Valley. The USGS has estimated the probability of a Los Angeles earthquake in the next 30 years to be:

Northridge 2.0

In other words, there is more than a 50% chance in the next 30 years that we get hit by a repeat of the Northridge quake, but even larger quakes are also waiting their turn with exponentially larger impacts but fortunately lower probabilities. The recent Turkish quakes were rated at 7.8 and 7.5, so their death toll has been an unimaginable 50,000+ particularly from their poorly reinforced concrete buildings. While such a death toll is unimaginable, In Santa Monica terms, that would correspond approximately to a quake that killed every Santa Monican living from about 18th Street to the ocean.

While we have not felt a big one in almost three decades: statistically every year that goes by without one, brings us closer to the certainty of being slammed by the next Big One. Statistically we get hit with a big quake about every 20 years (33’, ’52, ’72, ’94) We are now 9 years “overdue”. Therefore, there is an urgency to use this “grace” period of unknown duration to actively prepare for the inevitable. A significant aspect of preparation consists of completing an All Hazards Mitigation Plan (AHMP).This comprehensive document shows how the City will respond to a triggering event. Naturally, first responders would be deployed, but there are many situations that would require the coordinated planned response by many other departments of the City and even outside the City (SCE, So Cal gas, LA County Sheriffs etc.) to contain the ripple effects of a substantive event. Prudent businesses, like individuals, of course, can make their own independent disaster response plans and preparations. But most substantial disasters require a large collective response SM.a.rt, see page 7

SMa.r.t, from page 6 that transcends the response capacities of individuals.

All Hazards Mitigation Planning

The AHMP as its name implies, accounts not just for earthquakes but a myriad of other disaster contingencies. For example, the City’s response to the November 2018 Malibu Woolsey fire is an example that would be covered by such a hazard plan, even though we were only indirectly impacted by it. The document can cover not just how departments are supposed to respond but also communication protocols, command hierarchies, adjacent event spillover, early warning systems, resident preparation, contingency alternatives and even the use of practice drills to see, in a small way, if all this planning can withstand even a modest stress test. Apart from the mechanics of disaster response, there is one other equally important benefit of the AHMP: it can become a critical source of federal funds to deal both with the crisis and its aftermath.

Most significant disasters are way beyond the financial capacity of local municipalities to deal with. For example the Woolsey fire did $6 billion of damage about 10 times our City’s annual budget. Likewise the Turkey earthquakes are estimated to have lowered the GDP of an entire 86 million person country by about 4%. No local, state, county or city can set aside enough contingency funds and staff to adequately respond to the type of known random disasters it will inevitably encounter. So the federal government becomes the “lender of last resort” in backing up local agencies with funds and staff responding to these crisis. In effect FEMA and its attendant programs become an insurance company to spread out the risk to any one community by drawing resources from an entire country.

But like any insurance policy you have to apply and pay the premiums regularly. In this case the premium that is due from cities and even school and college districts is ridiculously cheap. You just need to submit your local AHMP every five years for federal approval. Its like the property insurance company insisting that your property have smoke detectors before they write your fire insurance policy. In other words the federales want to know that you have already started mitigating potential hazards by planning for them before they give you what will probably be a blank check. You submit your AHMP for federal approval and then you are in line for federal assistance in the event of a major disaster. The last time our City submitted our approved AHMP was in 2017.

A year of Exposure

That means that our latest AHMP expired in 2022, and for the last year we have been going bare, being effectively uninsured. Paradoxically not having a federally approved AHMP is analogous to, but is the exact opposite of not having a California Housing and Community Development approved housing element. When you don’t have a State approved housing element, developers can build anything anywhere (the so-called Builder’s Remedy) with no local recourse. While when you don’t have a federally approved AHMP, a disaster can destroy any building or infrastructure anywhere in your City and you have no repair recourse.

Both the City and the School District and the College District need to submit and get their federally approved AHMPs as soon as possible. Going bare is not a prudent strategy when for example, our water treatment plant, is knocked out by a large earthquake or a 747 on the flight path for LAX (one of which goes directly over our City) crashes into one of our neighborhoods. All those 30 year quake probabilities we discussed earlier, should not provide a false sense of security: they actually mean that the Big One can happen tomorrow. As has been said many times, failure to plan is to plan to fail. Our City needs to act now. The Office of Emergency Management, which has limited staff, should get a boost to finish and submit our All Hazards Mitigation Plan as soon as possible.

By Mario Fonda-Bonardi AIA and Dan Jansensen

S.M.a.r.t Santa Monica Architects for a Responsible Tomorrow

Thane Roberts, Architect, Robert H. Taylor AIA, Architect, Dan Jansenson, Architect & Building and Fire-Life Safety Commission, Samuel Tolkin Architect & Planning Commissioner, Mario Fonda-Bonardi AIA & Planning Commissioner,, Michael Jolly, AIRCRE.

For previous articles see www. santamonicaarch.wordpress.com/writing

SUPERIOR COURT OF CALIFORNIA COUNTY OF LOS ANGELES

ORDER TO SHOW CAUSE FOR CHANGE OF NAME

Case No. 23SMCP00093

Superior Court of California, County of Los Angeles 1725 Main St. | Santa Monica, CA 90401

Petition of: Carolina Bezerra Eisenman, by and through Carolina Bezerra Eisenman for change of name. ORDER TO SHOW CAUSE FOR CHANGE OF NAME

To all interested persons Carolina Bezerra Eisenman

Petitioner: filed a petition with this court for a decree changing names as follows: a Carolina Bezerra Eisenman to Carolina Eisenman

The court orders that all persons interested in this matter appear before this court at the hearing indicated below to show cause, if any, why the petition for change of name should not be granted. Any person objecting to the name changes described above must file a written objection that includes the reasons for the objection at least two court days before the matter is scheduled to be heard and must appear at the hearing to show cause why the petition should not be granted. If no written objection is timely filed, the court may grant the petition without a hearing.

NOTICE OF HEARING:

Date: 07/02/21 | Time: 8:30AM | Dept: K

A copy of this ORDER to SHOW CAUSE shall be published at least once a week for four successive weeks prior to the date set for hearing on the petition in the following newspaper of general circulation, printed in this county: SANTA MONICA MIRROR | Dated: March 2, 20223 Judge Lawrence Cho Published: 03/03/2023, 03/10/23, 03/17/2023, and 03/24/2023

Council Priorities, from page 1

: Supporting public, free, art and cultural programming and events through the Art of Recovery program; further restoring library hours and services; increasing capacity of youth programs; continue funding Playground Club ; establishing RRR low-income rate program; creating a Small Business Tenant Improvement Fund; restoring planning and economic development staffing to support economic development; and designate 2% of earnings from the out of home wayfinding agreement to a diversity, equity and inclusion fund.

“As we plan for the Fiscal Year 2023-2025 Biennial Budget, we want to ensure our budget reflects Santa Monica’s priorities and values,” said City Manager David White. “As Santa Monica continues to recover, we will allocate resources and realign the organization to meet the challenges and priorities of our time.”

The next steps in the budget process include the Sustainability Report Card and Sustainable City Plan Updates at the March 14 Council Meeting; FY 2022-23 Midyear Budget Review at the April 11, 2023, Council Meeting; a Diversity, Equity and Inclusion Update at the April 25, 2023, Council Meeting; the Annual Report on Homelessness at the May 9, 2023, Council Meeting; followed by the publication of the Proposed FY 2023-25 Biennial Operating Budget and FY 2023-24 Proposed Capital Improvement Program Budget at the May 15, 2023, Council Meeting; followed by the FY 2023-25 Budget Study Session at the May 23, 2023 Council Meeting; and concluding with budget adoption at June 27, 2023 Council Meeting.

FICTITIOUS BUSINESS NAME STATEMENT FILE NUMBER: 2023047903 ORIGINAL FILING This statement was filed with the County Clerk of LOS ANGELES ON 03/03/2023. The following person (persons) is (are) doing business as 1. First Wave Health Advocates. The full name of registrant(s) is/are:

IN ACCORDANCE WITH SUBDIVISION (a) OF SECTION 17920, A FICTITIOUS NAME STATEMENT GENERALLY EXPIRES AT THE END OF FIVE YEARS FROM THE DATE ON WHICH IT WAS FILED IN THE OFFICE OF THE COUNTY CLERK, EXCEPT, AS PROVIDED IN SUBDIVISION (b) OF SECTION 17920, WHERE IT EXPIRES 40 DAYS AFTER ANY CHANGE IN THE FACTS SET FORTH IN THE STATEMENT PURSUANT TO SECTION 17913 OTHER THAN A CHANGE IN THE RESIDENCE ADDRESS OF A REGISTERED OWNER. A NEW FICTITIOUS BUSINESS NAME STATEMENT MUST BE FILED BEFORE THE EXPIRATION. THE FILING OF THIS STATEMENT DOES NOT OF ITSELF AUTHORIZE THE USE IN THIS STATE OF A FICTITIOUS BUSINESS NAME IN VIOLATION OF THE RIGHTS OF ANOTHER UNDER FEDERAL, STATE, OR COMMON LAW (SEE SECTION 14411 ET SEQ., BUSINESS AND PROFESSIONS CODE). SANTA MONICA MIRROR to publish 03/10/2023, 03/17/2023, 03/24/2023,