9ژﺍﻧﻮﻳـــﻪ 2013
ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺍﺳــﺘﺮﺩﺍﺩ ﺍﺳــﺮﺍﻯ ﺟﻨﮕﻰ ﻃﻰ ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺘﺨﺎﺻﻢ ﺍﻣﺮﻯ »ﻋﺎﺩﻯ« ﺗﻠﻘﻰ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ،ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺩﺍﺩ ﭘﺎﺳﺪﺍﺭﺍﻥ ﺯﻧﺪﺍﻧﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ ،ﺍﺯ ﺍﺑﻌﺎﺩ ﺁﺷــﻜﺎﺭ ﻭ ﻧﻬﺎﻥ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﺮﺧﻮﺭﺩﺍﺭ ﺷــﺪﻩ .ﺍﺯ ﻳﻚﺳــﻮ ،ﺷﺒﻜﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺧﺒﺮﺳﺎﺯﻯ ﻭ ﺳﺨﻦﭘﺮﺍﻛﻨﻰ ﻭﺍﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﻭ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﻰ ﺳــﻌﻰ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﻣﺒﺬﻭﻝ ﺩﺍﺷــﺘﻪﺍﻧﺪ ﺗﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ »ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺩﺍﺩ« ﺭﺍ ﻧﺸﺎﻧﻪﺍﻯ ﺑﺎﺭﺯ ﺍﺯ ﻫﻤﻜﺎﺭﻯ ﻭ ﻫﻤﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺁﺧﻮﻧﺪﻯ ﺑﺎ ﺑﺸــﺎﺭ ﺍﺳﺪ ﻣﻌﺮﻓﻰ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ .ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻮﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ،ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ »ﺗﺒﺎﺩﻝ« ﺍﺳــﺮﺍﻯ ﺗﺒﻌﺔ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﻰ ﺑﺎ ﻋﻮﺍﻣﻞ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺩﻭ ﻛﻔﺔ ﺗﺮﺍﺯﻭ ،ﻧﺸــﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻌﻀﻰﻫﺎ ﺗﻤﺎﻳﻞ ﺩﺍﺭﻧﺪ ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺁﻧﻜﺎﺭﺍ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺩﻭ ﺟﻨﺎﺡ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻒ ﺟﺎﺳــﺎﺯﻯ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪ .ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺍﺣﺖ ﺑﮕﻮﺋﻴﻢ ،ﺍﻳﻦ ﺟﺎﺳﺎﺯﻯﻫﺎ
ﺑﻪ ﻣﻌﻨﺎﻯ ﺩﺍﺩﻥ »ﺁﺩﺭﺱﻋﻮﺿﻰ« ﺑﻪ ﻣﺨﺎﻃﺐ ﺍﺳــﺖ .ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺭﺍﺳﺘﺎ ،ﺭﺍﺩﻳﻮﻓﺮﺩﺍ، ﻣﻮﺭﺥ 20ﺩﻯﻣﺎﻩ ﺳﺎﻟﺠﺎﺭﻯ ،ﺑﻪ ﻧﻘﻞ ﺍﺯ »ﭘﺮﺱ ﺗﻰﻭﻯ« ﻣﻰﻧﻮﻳﺴﺪ: »] [...ﭼﻬﺎﺭ ﺗﻦ ﺍﺯ ﺯﻧﺪﺍﻧﻴﺎﻥ ﺁﺯﺍﺩ ﺷــﺪﻩ ﺍﺯ ﺳــﻮﻯ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ،ﺗﺒﻌﺔ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ«. ﺩﺭ ﻧﺘﻴﺠــﻪ ،ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﭙﺬﻳﺮﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻧﻪ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻳﺎﺭﺍﻥ ﻭ ﻫﻤﻜﺎﺭﺍﻥ ﺭژﻳﻢ ﺑﻌﺚ ﺳــﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺍﺳــﺖ ،ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺴﻴﺮ ﻫﻤﻜﺎﺭﻯ ﺑﺎ ﺩﻣﺸﻖ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﺎ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮ ﻧﻮﻋﻰ ﺗﺨﺎﺻﻢ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺷــﺪﻩ! ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﮕﻮﺋﻴﻢ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺧﺒﺮﺳــﺎﺯﻯ ﺩﺭ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺍﺭﺍﺋﺔ ﺗﺼﻮﻳﺮ ﻭﺍژﮔﻮﻥ ﺍﺯ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ »ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ـ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ« ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺍﺳﺖ ،ﻧﻪ ﺧﺒﺮﺭﺳﺎﻧﻰ. ﺑﺎﺭﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻭﺑﻼگ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻛﺮﺩﻩﺍﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺭژﻳﻢ ﺳــﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﻣﺎﻣﻮﺗﻰ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﺑﺪﻫﻴﺒﺖ، ﺑﺎﺯﻣﺎﻧﺪﻩ ﺍﺯ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ ﭘﻮﺳــﻴﺪﺓ ﺩﻭﺭﺍﻥ »ﺟﻨﮓ ﺳﺮﺩ «.ﻭ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺭژﻳﻢ ﺍﻋﻤﺎﻝ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﻭ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ ـ ﻃﻰ ﺩﻭﺭﺍﻥ ﻃﻮﻻﻧﻰﺍﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺣﺰﺏ ﺑﻌﺚ ﻭ ﺧﺎﻧﻮﺍﺩﺓ ﺍﺳــﺪ ﺑﺮ ﺳــﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺷﺪﻩﺍﻧﺪ ـ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﭼﺎﺭﭼﻮﺏ ﻳﻚ ﺑﺮﺧﻮﺭﺩ ﺍﻧﺴﺎﻧﻰ ﺗﻮﺟﻴﻪ ﺷﻮﺩ .ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ،ﻳﻚ ﻧﮕﺮﺵ ﺍﻧﺴﺎﻧﻰ ﻭ ﭘﮋﻭﻫﺶﮔﺮ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺳﺌﻮﺍﻝ ﺭﺍ ﻣﻄﺮﺡ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﭼﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻘﻄﻊ ﻭﻳﮋﻩ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﺎ ﺷــﻴﻮﻩﻫﺎﻯ »ﻣﺨﺼﻮﺹ« ﺍﻳﺎﻻﺕ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﻭ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ »ﺷﻜﺎﺭ« ﺑﺸﺎﺭ ﺍﺳﺪ ﺭﻓﺖ؟ ﭼﺮﺍ ﺩﻳﺮﻭﺯ
ﻛﻪ ﺍﻣﺜﺎﻝ ﻛﺎﺭﻟﻮﺱ ﻭ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺗﺮﻭﺭﻳﺴــﺖﻫﺎﻯ »ﻧﺎﻣﺪﺍﺭ« ﻭﺍﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺷﺒﻜﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺻﻄﻼﺡ »ﻣﺒﺎﺭﺯﻩ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻣﭙﺮﻳﺎﻟﻴﺴــﻢ« ﺩﺭ ﻛﻨــﺎﺭ ﺟﻨﺎﻳﺘﻜﺎﺭﺍﻥ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺩﻭﻡ ،ﺩﺭ ﺳــﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺧﻴﻤﻪ ﺯﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ ،ﺍﺣﺪﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ »ﺧﺎﻧﺪﺍﻥ« ﺷــﻜﺎﻳﺖ ﻧﻤﻰﻛﺮﺩ؟ ﺩﺭ ﻭﺍﻗــﻊ ،ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳــﻦ ﻣﻘﻄﻊ ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺨﻰ ،ﺟﻬﺖ ﺧﺮﻭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﺍﺳــﺘﺒﺪﺍﺩ ﺳــﻨﺘﻰ ﻭ ﺍﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎﺭﻯ ،ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺩﻧﻴﺎﻯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﺭﺍ ﻛﻪ ﭘﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﺑﺮ ﺑﻮﻡ »ﺟﻨﮓ ﺳﺮﺩ« ﻧﻘﺎﺷﻰﺍﺵ ﻣﻰﻛﺮﺩﻧﺪ ،ﻭ ﺑﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ ﺍﺻﻞ »ﺑﺒﻴﻦ ﻭ ﻧﭙﺮﺱ« ﺭﻧﮕﺶ ﻣﻰﺯﺩﻧﺪ، ﻳﻚ ﺑﺎﺭ ﻭ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻫﻤﻴﺸﻪ ﻛﻨﺎﺭ ﮔﺬﺍﺷﺘﻪ ،ﭘﺎﻯ ﺑﻪ »ﺩﻭﺭﺍﻥ ﻧﻮﻳﻦ« ﺑﮕﺬﺍﺭﻳﻢ .ﺩﺭ ﺩﻭﺭﺍﻥ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ،ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﻧﻪ ﻭﺳﻴﻠﺔ ﺍﻧﺘﻘﺎﻡﺟﻮﺋﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻓﻼﻥ ﻭ ﺑﻬﻤﺎﻥ ﺍﺳﺖ ،ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﺍﺑﺰﺍﺭﻯ ﺟﻬﺖ ﻟﺸﻜﺮﻛﺸﻰ ﺧﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻰ ﻭ ﻫﺘﺎﻛﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺍﻧﺸﮕﺎﻩ ﻭ ﻛﻮﭼﻪ ﻭ ﺑﺎﺯﺍﺭ. ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﺍﻫﺮﻣﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺩﺳﺘﻴﺎﺑﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻫﺪﺍﻓﻰ ﭘﺎﻳﺪﺍﺭ ،ﻣﻤﺘﺪ ،ﺭﻭﺷﻦ ﻭ ﺻﺮﻳﺢ .ﻭ ﺍﻳﻦ »ﺻﺮﺍﺣﺖ« ﺩﺭ ﻧﺨﺴﺘﻴﻦ ﻣﺮﺣﻠﻪ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺷﻴﻮﺓ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺷــﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﺼﺔ ﻇﻬﻮﺭ ﺑﺮﺳﺎﻧﺪ .ﺍﮔﺮ ﺩﺭ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﻫﻮﻟﻬﻮﻟﻜﻰ ﻭ ﺳــﺮﻫﻢﺑﻨﺪﻯ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺑﺨﻮﺍﻫﻴﻢ ﺑﻪ »ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ« ﺩﻟﺨﻮﺍﻩ ﺑﺮﺳﻴﻢ ،ﺭﺍﻩ ﺑﺠﺎﺋــﻰ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﻴﻢ ﺑﺮﺩ .ﻧﻪ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺭژﻳﻢﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻼﺋﻰ ﻫﻤﭽﻨﺎﻥ ﺑﺮ ﻣﺎ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨــﺪ ﻣﺎﻧﺪ ،ﻛﻪ ﺑــﺎ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺑﺮ ﺗﺠﺮﺑﺔ ﻫﻮﻟﻨﺎﻙ ﻛﻮﺩﺗــﺎﻯ 22ﺑﻬﻤﻦ ،57 ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﺮ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻣﺎﻥ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦﻫﺎ ﻫﻢ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺮﺍﺗﺐ »ﺑﺪﺗﺮ« ﺷﻮﺩ.
ﭘﺲ ﺩﺭ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺍﺯ ﺑﺮﺭﺳــﻰ ﭘﺎﻳﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺭژﻳﻢ ﻣﻼﺋﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ ﺁﻏﺎﺯ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻴﻢ. ﺩﺭ ﭼﺎﺭﭼﻮﺏ ﺩﺍﺩﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﻏﻴﺮ ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﺗﺮﺩﻳﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺗﺤﻮﻻﺕ 22ﺑﻬﻤﻦ 57ﺩﺭ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﺍﺳﺖ ،ﻏﻮﻏﺎﻯ ﺁﺧﻮﻧﺪﻯ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺑﺮ ﺍﻫﺮﻡﻫﺎﻯ ﻭﺍﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﺎﻻﺕ ﻣﺘﺤــﺪ ،ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ﺍﺭﺗﺶ ﺷﺎﻫﻨﺸــﺎﻫﻰ ﻭ ﺳــﺎﻭﺍﻙ ﺩﺭ ﺻﺤﻨﺔ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﺁﻥ ﺭﻭﺯ ﻓﻌــﺎﻝ ﺷــﺪﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ ،ﺑﻪ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﻳﺎﺑﺪ .ﻭ ﺍﮔﺮ ﺑﻪ ﻓــﺮﺽ ﻣﺤﺎﻝ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﻗﺪﺭﺕﻧﻤﺎﺋﻰﺍﻯ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﻣﻰﮔﺮﻓﺖ ،ﺍﻣﺘﺪﺍﺩﻯ ﺳﻪ ﺩﻫﻪﺍﻯ ﺑﺮ ﺁﻥ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﻣﺘﺼﻮﺭ ﺑﺎﺷــﺪ .ﺩﺭ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ» ،ﺁﻗﺎﻳﺎﻥ« ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ،ﭼﻪ ﺁﻧﺎﻥ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﻧﺸﺴــﺘﻪﺍﻧﺪ ﻭ ﭼﻪ ﺁﻧﺎﻥ ﻛﻪ »ﻣﺴــﺘﻔﺮﻧﮓ« ﺷــﺪﻩ ،ﺩﺭ ﺧﺎﺭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻓﺮﻭﺵ »ﺩﻣﻜﺮﺍﺳــﻰ ﻣﻌﻨﻮﻯ« ﻣﺸﻐﻮﻝﺍﻧﺪ ،ﺟﻤﻠﮕﻰ ﻧﻮﻛﺮﺍﻥ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ .ﻋﺮﺑﺪﻩﻫﺎﻯ »ﻣﺮگ ﺑﺮ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ« ﺩﺭ ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎ ،ﻭ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﻰﺭﻧﮓ ﻫﻤﭙﺎﻟﻜﻰﻫﺎﻯﺷﺎﻥ ﺍﺯ »ﺩﻣﻜﺮﺍﺳﻰ« ﺩﺭ ﺧﺎﺭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺗﺤﺖ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﺑﻪ ﺭﺍﻩ ﺍﻓﺘﺎﺩﻩ! ﺣﺎﻝ ﻧﮕﺎﻫﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺳــﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺩﺍﺷــﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷــﻴﻢ .ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺩﻭﺭﺍﻥ ﭘﺴﺎﺟﻨﮓ ﺍﻭﻝ ﺑﺮ ﻣﺮﺩﻩﺭﻳﮓ »ﭘﺮﻭﺗﻜﺘﻮﺭﺍﻯ« ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻮﻳﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺭﻭﺋﻴﺪ. ﻭﻟــﻰ ﭘــﺲ ﺍﺯ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺩﻭﻡ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ،ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ ﭘﺎﺭﻳﺲ ﺩﺭ ﺟﺒﻬﺔ »ﺑﺎﺯﻧﺪﮔﺎﻥ« ،ﭘﺮﻭﺗﻜﺘﻮﺭﺍﻯ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻮﻳﺎﻥ ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ژﻧﺮﺍﻝ ﺩﻭﮔﻞ ﺩﻭﺩﺳﺘﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺗﺤﻮﻳــﻞ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﺷــﺪ .ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻨﺮﻭ» ،ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺑﻌﺚ« ﻧﻴﺰ ﺧــﺎﺭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﺗﻮﺍﻓﻘﺎﺕ ﭘﺎﻳﻪﺍﻯ ﺑﻴﻦ ﺩﻣﺸﻖ ﻭ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴــﺖ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺧﺎﺭﺟﻰ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ .ﭼﭗﻧﻤﺎﺋﻰﻫﺎﻯ ﺧﺎﻧﺪﺍﻥ »ﺍﺳــﺪ« ﺑﻪ ﻛﻨﺎﺭ ،ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚ ﺩﻣﺸــﻖ ﺑﺎ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺩﻩﺗﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﻛﺴــﻰ ﺑﺘﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﻴﺴﻰ ﺑﻮﺩﻥ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ »ﺑﻌﺚ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ« ﺗﺮﺩﻳﺪﻯ ﺭﻭﺍ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ .ﺩﺭ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ،ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﺭژﻳﻢﻫﺎﻯ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﺮ ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺩﻣﺸــﻖ ،ﺍﺯ ﻣﻨﻈﺮ ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺨﻰ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺴﺖ ﺍﻫﺪﺍﻑ »ﻣﺸﺘﺮﻛﻰ« ﻣﻰﺩﺍﺷــﺘﻨﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﺗﺮﺩﻳﺪ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ؛ ﻫﺮ ﺩﻭ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﻭ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻧﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺧﻮﺭﺩﻧﺪ؛ ﺍﻫﺪﺍﻑﺷﺎﻥ ﻣﺸﺘﺮﻙ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺭﻭﻧﺪ ﻛﺎﺭﺷﺎﻥ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺵ ﻓﺎﺷﻴﺴﻢ ﻭ ﺳﺮﻛﻮﺏ. ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄــﻮﺭ ﻛﻪ ﺩﻳﺪﻳﻢ ،ﺗﺎ ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻴﻜﻪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﭘﺎﻯ ﭘﻴﺶ ﻧﮕﺬﺍﺷــﺘﻪ ﺑﻮﺩ ،ﻛﺴﻰ ﺑﺎ ﺁﻗﺎﻯ ﺑﺸﺎﺭ ﺍﺳﺪ »ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮﻯ« ﻧﺪﺍﺷﺖ .ﺍﻳﺸﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﺎﻡ ﻳﻚ »ﺩﻳﻜﺘﺎﺗﻮﺭ« ﺗﺤﺼﻴﻞﻛﺮﺩﺓ ﻏﺮﺏ ،ﻫﻤﺴــﺮ »ﺗﺤﺼﻴﻞﻛﺮﺩﻩ« ﻭ ﺯﻳﺒﺎﻯ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺩﺭ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﻣﻼﻗﺎﺕ ﻣﻰﻓﺮﻣﺎﻳﻨﺪ ﻭ ﻳﻚﺩﻝﻧﻪﺻﺪ ﻋﺎﺷــﻖ ﺍﻳﺸــﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﻧﺪ .ﺑﻪ ﻗﻮﻝ ﻭﻻﺩﻳﻤﻴﺮ ﭘﻮﺗﻴﻦ ،ﺗﻌﻄﻴﻼﺕﺷﺎﻥ ﺭﺍ ﻫﻢ ﻫﻤﻴﺸﻪ ﻳﺎ ﺩﺭ ﭘﺎﺭﻳﺲ ﻣﻰﮔﺬﺭﺍﻧﺪﻧﺪ ﻭ ﻳﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ! ﺣﺎﻝ ﭼﻄﻮﺭ ﺷــﺪﻩ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻚﺑﺎﺭﻩ ﺑﺎﺭﺍﻙ ﺍﻭﺑﺎﻣﺎ ﻣﻰﮔﻮﻳﺪ» ،ﺑﺸــﺎﺭ ﺍﺳــﺪ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﺮﻭﺩ؟!« ﭼﻪ ﺷــﺪﻩ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻳﻚ ﭼﺸــﻢ ﺑﻬﻢ ﺯﺩﻥ ،ﻟﺸﻜﺮﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻭﺑﺎﺵ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﮕﺮﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺭﺍﻩ ﻣﻰﺍﻓﺘﺪ ﻭ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺳﺖ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺗﺮﻙ ،ﻋﺮﺍﻗﻰ ،ﻟﺒﻨﺎﻧﻰ ﻭ ... ﺗﺤﺖ ﻓﺮﻣﺎﻧﺪﻫﻰ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻮﻳﺎﻥ ﻭ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﻴﺴﻰﻫﺎ ﻭ ﻏﻴﺮﻩ ،ﻫﻤﻪ ﺭﻭﺯﻩ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺑﺎ ﻓﺮﻳﺎﺩ »ﺍﷲ ﺍﻛﺒﺮ« ﻏﻮﻏﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺭﺍﻩ ﻣﻰﺍﻧﺪﺍﺯﻧﺪ؟ ﺑﻪ ﭼﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺩﺭ ﺳــﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﺁﻏﺎﺯ ﺷﺪﻩ ،ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﭼﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻣﻘﺎﻣﺎﺕ ﺑﻠﻨﺪﭘﺎﻳﺔ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﻭ ﭘﺎﺭﻳﺲ ﻭ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﺍﺯ »ﺗﺮﺟﻴﻊ ﺑﻨﺪ« ﻣﻀﺤﻚ »ﺑﺸﺎﺭ ﺍﺳﺪ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﺮﻭﺩ« ﺩﻝ ﺑﺮ ﻧﻤﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ؟ ﺍﻳﻦﻫﺎ ﺳﺌﻮﺍﻻﺗﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺴﻠﻤﺎً ﺟﻮﺍﺏ ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﻭ ﻗﺎﻃﻊ ﺑﺮﺍﻯﺷﺎﻥ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﺍﺭﺍﺋﻪ ﺩﺍﺩ ،ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ ﺩﻧﻴﺎﻯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺗﺤﻮﻝ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ ﺳــﻴﺎﻝ .ﺩﺭ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ،ﺁﻧﭽﻪ ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ »ﺩﻟﻴﻞ« ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ، ﺷــﺎﻳﺪ ﻓﺮﺩﺍ »ﺑﻰﺩﻟﻴﻞ« ﺑﺎﺷــﺪ .ﭘﺲ ﺑﻬﺘﺮ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﺑﺠﺎﻯ ﻭﺭ ﺭﻓﺘﻦ ﺑﺎ ﺷــﺎﻳﻌﺎﺕ ﻭ
ﺧﺒﺮﻫﺎﻯ ﭘﺮﺍﻛﻨﺪﻩ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺮﺭﺳــﻰ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﻛﻼﻥ ﺑﭙﺮﺩﺍﺯﻳﻢ ،ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻯﻫﺎ ﺑﺮ ﺧﻼﻑ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﺎﺭﻯ ﺗﺪﺍﻭﻡ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ﻭ ﻣﻨﺴﺠﻢ ﺍﺳﺖ. ﺑﻪ ﺍﺳﺘﻨﺒﺎﻁ ﻣﺎ ،ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻯ ﻛﻠﻴﺪﻯ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ ﺑﻴﻦﺍﻟﻤﻠﻠﻰﺍﺵ ﭼﻴﺰﻯ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ ﺟﺰ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﻛﻪ ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﺑﺎﺭﻫﺎ ﻭ ﺑﺎﺭﻫﺎ ﺭﺳﻤﺎً ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ .ﻫﻤﻜﺎﺭﻯ ﺑﺎ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺩﻭﻟﺖﻫﺎ ،ﺩﺭ ﻣﺴﻴﺮ ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺵ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ! ﺩﺭ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ،ﺩﺭ ﺩﻛﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﻓﺪﺭﺍﺳــﻴﻮﻥ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ،ﺣﺪﺍﻗﻞ ﺗﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻟﺤﻈﻪ ،ﺟﺎﺋﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷﺎﻧﻰ ﻭ ﻛﻮﺩﺗــﺎ ﻭ ﺟﺎﻳﮕﺰﻳﻨﻰ ﻭ »ﻣﻠﺖﺁﻓﺮﻳﻨﻰ« ﻭ »ﺍﻧﻘــﻼﺏ« ﺩﺭ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﻧﻈﺮ ﭘﻴﺶﺑﻴﻨﻰ ﻧﺸــﺪﻩ .ﺩﻳﺪﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﺣﺘﻰ »ﺳﺎﻛﺎﺷــﻮﻳﻠﻰ« ﺭﺍ ﻫﻢ ﺑﺎ ﺁﻥ ﺑﺴﺎﻁ ﻭ ﺟﻨﮓﺳﺎﺯﻯﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻭ ﺳﺮ ﻫﻢ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ »ﺟﺎﺑﺠﺎ« ﻧﻜﺮﺩ؛ ﺳﺎﻛﺎﺷــﻮﻳﻠﻰ ،ﻋﺮﻭﺳﻚ ﺩﺳﺖﻧﺸﺎﻧﺪﺓ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺩﺭ ﮔﺮﺟﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺪﺭﻳﺞ ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺁﺭﺍﻣﺶ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻧﺰﻭﺍﻯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﺭﺍﻧﺪﻩ ﺷــﺪ ،ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ ﻫﻨﻮﺯ ﺩﺭ »ﻣﻘﺎﻡ« ﺭﻳﺎﺳﺖ ﺟﻤﻬــﻮﺭﻯ ﺟﺎ ﺧﻮﺵ ﻛــﺮﺩﻩ! ﺧﻼﺻﻪ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺩﺭﻳﺎﻓﺖ ﺩﻗﺎﻳﻖ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﻭ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﺧﺎﻭﺭﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ،ﺍﺯ ﺷﻨﺎﺳﺎﺋﻰ ﺻﺮﻳﺢ »ﻣﻨﻄﻖ« ﻧﻮﻳﻦ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﮔﺮﻳﺰﻯ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ. ﺩﺭ ﻋﻤــﻞ ،ﻳﻜــﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻻﺋﻠﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎﺭﺍﻙ ﺍﻭﺑﺎﻣﺎ ﺑﺎ ﻓﺮﻳﺎﺩ »ﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﺮﻭﺩ ،ﻭ ﺁﻥ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﻴﺎﻳﺪ« ﭘﺎﻯ ﺑﻪ ﻛﺎﺥﺳــﻔﻴﺪ ﮔﺬﺍﺭﺩﻩ ،ﺍﻳﺠــﺎﺩ ﻣﺰﺍﺣﻤﺖ ﻭ ﺍﻣﻮﺍﺝ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻒ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺴــﻴﺮ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﺑﻮﺩ .ﻃﺒﻴﻌﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻴﻜﻪ ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﺧﻮﺍﺳــﺘﺎﺭ »ﺁﺭﺍﻣﺶ« ﺟﻬﺖ ﺑﻬﻴﻨﻪ ﻛﺮﺩﻥ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷــﺪ ،ﻭﺍﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﺟﻬﺖ ﻣﺨﺪﻭﺵ ﻛﺮﺩﻥ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ »ﺍﻧﻘﻼﺑﻴﮕﺮﻯ« ﻭ ﻏﻮﻏﺎﺳــﺎﻻﺭﻯ ﻭ »ﺑﻬﺎﺭﺳــﺎﺯﻯ« ﺩﺭ ﭘﻴﺶ ﮔﻴﺮﺩ .ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷﺎﻧﻰ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﭘﻮﺷــﺎﻟﻰ ﻭ ﺩﺳﺖﻧﺸــﺎﻧﺪﺓ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻭ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴــﺘﺎﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﻟﻴﺒﻰ ﻭ ﺗﻮﻧﺲ ﻭ ﻣﺼﺮ ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﺑﻮﺩﻳﻢ ،ﻭ ﺩﻳﺪﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻋﻠﻴﺮﻏﻢ ﺍﺩﻋﺎﻯ »ﻣﺮﺩﻣﻰ« ﺑﻮﺩﻥ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﮕﺮﺍﻳﺎﻥ، ﺩﻭﻟﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﮕﺮﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳــﻦ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﺍﺯ ﺗﺄﻣﻴﻦ ﺣﺪﺍﻗــﻞ ﻧﻈﻢ ﻭ ﺁﺭﺍﻣﺶ ﻭ ﻛﺴﺐ ﻣﺸﺮﻭﻋﻴﺖ ﺩﻭﻟﺘﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺟﻮﺍﻣﻊ ﺧﻮﺩ ﻋﺎﺟﺰﻧﺪ! ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺭﺳﻰ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﺍﺷﺘﺒﺎﻩ ﻧﻜﻨﻴﻢ .ﺩﺭ ﻋﻤﻞ ،ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻗﺼﺪ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ﻋﺠــﺰ ﻭ ﻧﺎﺗﻮﺍﻧــﻰ ﺩﻭﻟﺖﻫﺎﻯ »ﺑﻬﺎﺭﺯﺩﻩ« ﺭﺍ ﻛﻪ ﻧﻬﺎﻳــﺖ ﺍﻣﺮ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻮﻋﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻫﻢ ﮔﺴــﻴﺨﺘﮕﻰ ﺍﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻰ ﻭ ﺗﺸــﻜﻴﻼﺗﻰ ﻣﻨﺠﺮ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ ،ﺗﺤﺖ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ »ﺩﻣﻜﺮﺍﺳــﻰ« ﺑﻪ ﺍﺭﺯﺵ ﺑﮕﺬﺍﺭﺩ! ﻭﻟﻰ ﺍﮔﺮ ﻣﻠﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻋﺮﺏ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻧﺒﻮﺩ ﺗﺠﺮﺑﺔ ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺨﻰ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻔﺎﻫﻴﻢ ﻫﻨﻮﺯ ﺁﻧﻘﺪﺭﻫﺎ ﺁﺷﻨﺎ ﻧﻴﺴﺘﻨﺪ ،ﻣﺎ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻧﻴﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﻧﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ »ﺩﻣﻜﺮﺍﺳــﻰ« ﻧﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺭﺃﻯﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ ﺻﻨﺪﻭﻕﺷﻜﺴﺘﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﻳــﻚ ﺣﻜﻮﻣــﺖ ﻣﺤﺪﻭﺩ ﻣﻰﺷــﻮﺩ ،ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﺁﺷــﻮﺏ ﻭ ﺍﻏﺘﺸــﺎﺵ ﻭ »ﻫﺮﻛﻪﻫﺮﻛﻪ« ﻭ ﺧﺮﺗﻮﺧﺮ ﺭﺍ »ﺩﻣﻜﺮﺍﺳﻰ« ﻧﺎﻣﻴﺪ» .ﺩﻣﻜﺮﺍﺳﻰ« ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﻗﻮﺍﻧﻴﻦ ﺍﻧﺴــﺎﻥﻣﺤﻮﺭ ،ﻣﻨﺒﻌﺚ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻋﻼﻣﻴﺔ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺣﻘﻮﻕ ﺑﺸــﺮ ﺍﺳﺖ .ﻭ ﺑﻪ
ﺍﻧﺴــﺎﻥﻫﺎ ﺍﻣﻜﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ ﺩﺭ ﭼﺎﺭﭼﻮﺏ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻗﻮﺍﻧﻴﻦ ﺍﺯ ﺯﻧﺪﮔﻰ ﺍﻧﺴــﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﺮﺧﻮﺭﺩﺍﺭ ﺑﺎﺷــﻨﺪ .ﺍﻳﻦ ﺷــﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ »ﺩﻭﻟﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﻬﺎﺭﻯ« ﺩﺭ ﺟﻬــﺎﻥ ﻋﺮﺏ ﺑﻪ ﻭﺟــﻮﺩ ﻧﻴﺎﻣﺪﻩ ،ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺧﺎﻧﻢ ﻫﻴــﻼﺭﻯ ﻛﻠﻴﻨﺘﻦ ،ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﺍﻣﻮﺭ ﺧﺎﺭﺟﺔ ﻳﻨﮕﻪﺩﻧﻴﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻫﺮ ﻣﻮﻋﺪ ﺍﺯ ﮔﺴــﺘﺮﺵ »ﺩﻣﻜﺮﺍﺳــﻰ« ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎ ﺩﺍﺩ ﺳﺨﻦ ﺑﺪﻫﻨﺪ. ﺣﺎﻝ ﺑﺎ ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺸﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﺮ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﻭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﭼﻨﺪ ﻣﺴﺌﻠﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ ﺻﺮﺍﺣﺖ ﻣﻄﺮﺡ ﻛﺮﺩ .ﻧﺨﺴــﺖ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ،ﺍﮔﺮ ﺩﺭ ﺳــﺎﻝﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﻏﺎﺯﻳﻦ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ،ﻫﻤﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﻭ ﻫﻤﻜﺎﺭﻯ ﺑﻴﻦ ﺩﻣﺸﻖ ﻭ ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻭﺍﺑﺴﺘﮕﻰ ﻫﺮ ﺩﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺧﻴﻤــﺔ »ﻏﺮﺏ« ﻭ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺩﻭ ﺭژﻳﻢ ﺍﺯ ﺁﺗﺶﺍﻓﺮﻭﺯﻯ ﺩﻭﻟﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﭘﻴﺎﭘﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺗﻞﺁﻭﻳﻮ ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﺩﺭﻙ ﻣﻰﺑﻮﺩ ،ﺑﺎ ﺣﺮﻛﺖ ﻧﻮﻳﻦ ﺩﻳﭙﻠﻤﺎﺗﻴﻚ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷﻰ ﺍﺗﺤﺎﺩ ﺷــﻮﺭﻭﻯ ،ﺍﻳﻦ »ﻫﻤﺎﻫﻨﮕﻰ« ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺴــﺖ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ ﭘﻴﺪﺍ ﻛﻨﺪ .ﺍﺯ ﻗﻀﺎﻯ ﺭﻭﺯﮔﺎﺭ ﺻــﻮﺭﺕ ﻧﻮﻳــﻦ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ ﻣﺎﺳــﺖ؛ ﻫﻢ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺳــﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﻭ ﻫﻢ ﻣﻼﻳﺎﻥ ﺟﻤﻜﺮﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺭﺳﺎﻧﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺷﺪﻩﺍﻧﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻭﺳﺘﺎﻥ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ! ﻭﻟــﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻋﻤﻞ ،ﺍﻳــﻦ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖﻫﺎ ﻫﻤﭽﻮﻥ ﺳــﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﺩﺍﺭﻯ ﻏــﺮﺏ ﺩﺭ ﭼﺎﺭﭼﻮﺏ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﻮﻳﻦ ﺳــﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﺩﺍﺭﻯ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺨﻤﺼﻪ ﺍﻓﺘﺎﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ .ﺍﺯ ﺟﻤﻜﺮﺍﻥ ﺁﻏــﺎﺯ ﻛﻨﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻭﺍﺑﺴــﺘﮕﻰ ﺑــﻪ ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ ﺍﻟﻬﺎﻡ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﺧــﻮﺩ ،ﻫﻢ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺎﻥ »ﺧﻮﺩﺷــﻴﺮﻳﻨﻰ« ﻭ ﺷﺮﻛﺖ ﻓﻌﺎﻝ ﺩﺭ ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷــﺎﻧﻰ ﺩﻭﻟﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﺍﺯ ﻗﺒﻴﻞ ﺑﺸﺎﺭ ﺍﺳﺪ ﻭ ﺣﺴﻨﻰ ﻣﺒﺎﺭﻙ ﻭ ...ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ،ﻭ ﻫﻢ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻫﻤﺴﺎﻳﮕﻰ ﺑﺎ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ، ﺩﺭ ﻭﺣﺸــﺖ ﺭﻭﺯﺍﻓﺰﻭﻥ ﺍﺯ ﻋﻜﺲﺍﻟﻌﻤﻞﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﺷــﺐ ﻭ ﺭﻭﺯ ﺑﺮﺍﻯﺍﺵ ﻧﻤﺎﻧﺪﻩ. ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺗﺮﺟﻴﺢ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ ﻫﺮ ﭼﻪ ﺯﻭﺩﺗﺮ ﻓﻠﻨﮓ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﺑﺮﻭﺩ ﻭ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ »ﺍﻣﺎﻡ ﺯﻣﺎﻥ« ﺍﻳﺎﻻﺕ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺑﺴــﭙﺎﺭﺩ؛ ﻭﻟﻰ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ ﺍﻳﻦ ﮔﺮﻳﺰ ﺍﺯ ﻣﺴﺌﻮﻟﻴﺖ ﻗﺪ ﻋﻠﻢ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ. ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ﺷــﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺍﺳﻔﺒﺎﺭﺗﺮ ﺍﺳﺖ .ﺧﺼﻮﺻﺎً ﻛﻪ ،ﺑﺮ ﺧﻼﻑ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ،ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﻣﻼﻳﺎﻥ ﺍﺯ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻭ ﻋﻠﻨﻰ ﺳﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﭘﻴﻤﺎﻥ ﺁﺗﻼﻧﺘﻴﻚ ﺷــﻤﺎﻟﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻰﺑﻬﺮﻩ ﻣﺎﻧﺪﻩ .ﺑﻪ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺕ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ،ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﺳــﺘﻴﺰﻯ »ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺸــﻰ« ﻭ ﺧﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧــﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺩﻳﺮﻭﺯ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻣﻼﻳﺎﻥ »ﺑﺮگ ﺑﺮﻧﺪﻩ« ﺷــﺪﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ ،ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﻳﺎﺭﻭﺋﻰ ﺑﻰﭘﺮﺩﻩ ﺑﺎ ﻣﺴــﺎﺋﻞ ﻣﻨﻄﻘــﻪﺍﻯ ﺑﻪ »ﺯﻫﺮ ﻫﻼﻫﻞ« ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺷــﺪﻩ .ﻳﻜﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻻﺋﻞ ﭼﺮﺧﺶ ﻣﻘﺎﻡ ﻣﻌﻈﻢ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺳﻮﻯ »ﻓﻴﺲ ﺑﻮﻙ« ﻭ »ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ ﻋﻠﻨﻰ« ﺑﺎ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺑﻦﺑﺴــﺘﻰ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﺋﻰﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻣﺘﺤﻤﻞ ﺷــﺪﻥ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﺍﺳــﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻧﺎﭼﺎﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺩﺳﺖﻧﺸﺎﻧﺪﮔﺎﻥﺷﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﻪ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺁﻭﺭﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ .ﻭﻟﻰ ﻃﺒﻴﻌﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﻮﻉ ﭼﺮﺧﺶﻫﺎ ،ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﭘﻴﺎﻣﺪﻫﺎﻯ »ﺍﺳــﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ« ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧــﺪ ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﺗﺄﺋﻴﺪﺍﺕ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻗﺪﺭﺕﻫــﺎﻯ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ـ ﻫﻨﺪ، ﭼﻴﻦ ﻭ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ـ ﺍﺟﺮﺍﺋﻰ ﺷﻮﺩ. ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ »ﻣﻘﺎﻡ ﻣﻌﻈﻢ« ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ ﺗﺤﻮﻻﺕ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ »ﺁﻟﻮ« ﺩﺭ ﺩﻫﺎﻥ ﻣﻘﺪﺱﺷــﺎﻥ ﺍﻧﺪﺍﺧﺘﻪﺍﻧﺪ؛ ﺻﺪﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﺸﺎﻥ ﻧﻤﻰﺷﻨﻮﻳﺪ! ﮔﻮﻳﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺁﺭﺯﻭﻯ ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻯ ﻋﻤﻮﺳــﺎﻡ ﺁﻟﻮ ﻣﻰﻣﻜﻨﺪ ﻭ ﻓﻘﻂ ﺑﺎ »ﻓﻴﺲﺑﻮﻙ« ﺭﺍﺯ ﻭ ﻧﻴﺎﺯ ﺷــﺒﺎﻧﻪ ﺩﺍﺭﻧﺪ.
ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ ،ﻫﻢ ﺩﺭ ﭼﺎﺭﭼﻮﺏ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴــﻦ ﻭﺍﻧﻤﻮﺩ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺭژﻳﻢ ﺑﺸــﺎﺭ ﺍﺳــﺪ ﻫﻤﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﻭ ﻫﻤﻜﺎﺭﻯ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ،ﻭ ﻫﻢ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻋﺠﺰ ﻭ ﻧﺎﺗﻮﺍﻧﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻬﺎﺭ ﺗﺸﻜﻴﻼﺕ ﺩﺳﺖﻧﺸﺎﻧﺪﺓ »ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ـ ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ« ،ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﺍﻋﺰﺍﻡ ﻫﻤﻪ ﺭﻭﺯﺓ ﺗﻔﻨﮕﭽﻰ ﻭ ﺯﺍﺋﺮ ﻭ ﻟﺶﻭﻟﺸــﻮﺵﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﺎﻧﺨﻮﺭ ﺟﻤﻜﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺳــﻮﺭﻳﻪ ،ﻣﺼﺮ ،ﻟﺒﻨﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﻭ ﺍﻓﻐﺎﻧﺴــﺘﺎﻥ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺁﺗﺶﺍﻓﺮﻭﺯﻯ ،ﺑﻤﺐﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯ ﻭ ﺁﺩﻣﻜﺸــﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ! ﺧﻼﺻﻪ، ﺳﻔﻴﻨﺔ ﺟﻤﻜﺮﺍﻧﻰﻫﺎ ﻫﻤﺰﻣﺎﻥ ﺑﺎﺩﺑﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺴﻴﺮ ﺩﻭ ﺑﺎﺩ ﺑﺮﺍﻓﺮﺍﺷﺘﻪ ،ﺑﺎﺩ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻭ ﺗﻮﻓﺎﻥ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ! ﺁﺧﺮ ﻭ ﻋﺎﻗﺒﺖ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﻮﻉ »ﺳﻔﻴﻨﻪ« ﺍﺯ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺭﻭﺷﻦ ﺍﺳﺖ. ﺣﺎﻝ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺍﺧﺘﺘﺎﻡ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺷــﺘﺎﺑﺰﺩﻩ ،ﺑﻬﺘﺮ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻧﻴﻢ ﻧﮕﺎﻫﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺤﻮﻻﺕ ﺍﻳﺎﻻﺕ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺩﺍﺷــﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﻴﻢ .ﺍﺯ ﺷــﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﺮ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺑﺮﻣﻰﺁﻳﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺟﺒﻬﺔ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ ﭼﻴﻦ ﻭ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ »ﭘﺬﻳﺮﻓﺘﻪ!« ﻭ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮﺍﺕ ﻛﺎﺑﻴﻨﺔ ﺍﻭﺑﺎﻣﺎ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﺎﻻﺕ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﻫﺮ ﭼﻪ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﺭﻭﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺟﺎﻧﺐ »ﺍﻧﺰﻭﺍﮔﺮﺍﺋﻰ« ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﮔﺬﺍﺭﺩﻩ .ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺨﭽﺔ ﺍﻳﻦ »ﺍﻧﺰﻭﺍﮔﺮﺍﺋﻰ« ﻧﺰﺩ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﺋﻰﻫﺎ ﭘﻴﺸــﺘﺮ ﻣﻄﺎﻟﺒﻰ ﺁﻭﺭﺩﻩﺍﻳﻢ؛ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺳــﺘﻨﺒﺎﻁ ﻣﺎ ﺟﻨﺎﺡ ﺑﺴــﻴﺎﺭ ﻗﺪﺭﺗﻤﻨﺪﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺣﺰﺏ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻳﺨﻮﺍﻩ ﺩﺭ ﻗﻔﺎﻯ ﺍﻳﻦ »ﻣﻮﺿﻊﮔﻴﺮﻯ« ﻧﺸﺴــﺘﻪ .ﺍﺯ ﻣﻨﻈــﺮ ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺨﻰ ،ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﻮﻫﻢ ﺩﺭ ﺫﻫــﻦ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﺋﻰ ﺟﺎﻯ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﻛﻪ ﺍﮔﺮ ﺩﺭ ﻭﺭﺍﻯ ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎ ﺷﻜﺴــﺖ ﺧﻮﺭﺩ ،ﻫﻤﻴﺸﻪ ﻣﺄﻭﺍﺋﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺭﻭﻥ ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺳﻨﮕﺮﺳﺎﺯﻯ ﻭ ﺗﻬﺎﺟــﻢ ﺩﻭﺑﺎﺭﻩ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺣﻔﻆ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊﺍﺵ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺩﺍﺷــﺖ .ﻣﺄﻭﺍﺋﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ ﺍﻣﺮ ﺍﻣﻜﺎﻥ ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺸﺖ ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻣﻨﺪﺍﻧﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻴﺪﺍﻥ ﻣﺼﺎﻑ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺭﺍ ﻓﺮﺍﻫﻢ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ. ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻗﺒﻮﻝ ﻛﺮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺷــﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﻃﺒﻴﻌﻰ »ﻛﺸــﻮﺭﻗﺎﺭﺓ« ﺍﻳﺎﻻﺕ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺑﻪ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺁﻭﺭﺩﻥ ﺍﻳــﻦ »ﺗﺼﻮﻳــﺮ« ﺁﻧﻘﺪﺭﻫــﺎ ﺑﻰﺗﺄﺛﻴــﺮ ﻧﺒــﻮﺩﻩ .ﻭﻟﻰ ﺁﺭﺍﻳــﺶ ﻣﻬﺮﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺳــﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﻄﻊ ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻰ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﻧﺸــﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺩﻫــﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺟﺎﺋﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺸــﺖ ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻣﻨﺪﺍﻧﻪ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺩﺍﺷــﺖ .ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ ﻧﺎﻛﺎﻣﻰ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﻛﺎﺥﺳﻔﻴﺪ ﭘﻴﺮﺍﻣﻮﻥ »ﺑﻬﺎﺭ ﻋﺮﺏ« ،ﻭ ﺑﺮ ﺑﺎﺩ ﺭﻓﺘﻦ ﺍﻣﻴﺪﻫﺎﻯ ﻳﺎﻧﻜﻰﻫﺎ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺩ ﺗﻼﻃﻢ ﻭ ﺁﺷﻔﺘﮕﻰ ﭘﻴﮕﻴﺮ ،ﺑﺎ ﺗﻼﺵﻫﺎﻯ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ،ﭼﻴﻦ ﻭ ﻫﻨﺪ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺟﻠﻮﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﺍﺯ ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷــﻰ ﺩﻭﻟﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﭘﻮﺷــﺎﻟﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻳﺎ ﺑﺎﺯﻣﺎﻧﺪﮔﺎﻥ »ﺟﻨﮓﺳﺮﺩ« ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﻭ ﻳﺎ ﻣﺮﺩﻩﺭﻳــﮓ »ﺑﻬــﺎﺭﺯﺩﻩ« ،ﺗﻘﺎﺭﻥ ﺯﻣﺎﻧــﻰ ﭘﻴﺪﺍ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ .ﺑﻪ ﻋﺒــﺎﺭﺕ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ،ﺍﻳﻦ ﻫﻤﺰﻣﺎﻧﻰ ،ﺧﻼء ﻣﻨﺘﺞ ﺍﺯ ﻋﻘﺐﻧﺸﻴﻨﻰ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻫﻨﺪ ،ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﻭ ﭼﻴــﻦ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺭﺗﻰ ﭘﺎﻳﺪﺍﺭ ﭘﺮ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ .ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻨﺮﻭ ﺍﻣﻴﺪﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻳﺎﻻﺕ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺸﺖ ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻣﻨﺪﺍﻧﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ »ﻭﺍﻫﻰ« ﺍﺳﺖ.