3ژﻭﺋــﻦ 2012
ﺩﺭ ﻭﺑﻼگ »ﻛﺎﺭ ﺭﻭﻛﺎﺭ« ﺑﻪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴــﻪ ،ﺧﺼﻮﺻﺎً ﺩﺭ ﺭﺍﺑﻄﻪ ﺑﺎ ﭘﺪﻳﺪﺓ ﮔﻨﮓ ﻭ ﻧﺎﻣﻌﻠﻮﻣﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻧﺎﻡ »ﺍﻧﻘﻼﺏ ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﻰ« ﺍﺷــﺎﺭﻩﺍﻯ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩﻳﻢ .ﺑﺎ ﮔﺬﺷــﺖ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺭﻭﺯ ﺍﺯ ﺭﻳﺎﺳــﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻮﺍ ﺍﻭﻻﻧﺪ، ﻭ ﺍﺩﺍﻣﺔ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎ ﻭﺑﻼگ ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺮﺭﺳــﻰ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺧﻂ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ
ﺍﺧﺘﺼــﺎﺹ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﻴﻢ .ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺭﺍﺳــﺘﺎ ،ﭘﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ﺍﺩﺍﻣﺔ ﻣﻄﻠﺐ ﻻﺯﻡ ﺍﺳﺖ ﭘﻴﺮﺍﻣﻮﻥ ﺧﻴﻤﻪﺷﺐﺑﺎﺯﻯﺍﻯ ﻛﻪ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺗﺤﺖ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ »ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﺍﺕ ﻫﺴــﺘﻪﺍﻯ« ﺑــﻪ ﺭﺍﻩ ﺍﻧﺪﺍﺧﺘﻪ ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻃــﺮﺍﻑﺍﺵ ﺧﺒﺮﭘﺮﺍﻛﻨﻰ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ ﺗﻮﺿﻴﺤﺎﺗﻰ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﺷﻮﺩ. ﺩﺭ ﻳﺎﺩﺩﺍﺷــﺖﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺧﻮﺍﻧﻨــﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﺍﺭﺟﻤﻨﺪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻭﺑﻼگ ﺍﺭﺳــﺎﻝ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ ،ﻧﮕﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺣﻤﻠﺔ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻭ ﻳﺎ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ،ﻧﮕﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻭﺿﻌﻴﺖ »ﻧﻴﺮﻭﮔﺎﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺗﻤﻰ« ﻭ ﺍﻧﻔﺠﺎﺭﺍﺕ ﻭ ﺣﻮﺍﺩﺙ ﻭ ﻏﻴﺮﻩ ﻭ ...ﻛﻢ ﺑﻪ ﭼﺸﻢ ﻧﻤﻰﺧــﻮﺭﺩ .ﻧﮕﺮﺍﻧﻰﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﺎً ﺷــﺎﻳﻌﺎﺕ ﺳــﺎﺧﺘﻪ ﻭ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺘﺔ ﻧﻈﺎﻡ ﺭﺳﺎﻧﻪﺍﻯ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺍﺳﺖ .ﻧﺨﺴﺖ ﺑﮕﻮﺋﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ 5ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﻋﻀﻮ ﺩﺍﺋﻢ ﺷــﻮﺭﺍﻯ ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺖ ﺳﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﻣﻠﻞ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻼﻭﺓ ﺁﻟﻤﺎﻥ ـ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺩﺑﻴﺎﺕ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﮔﺮﻭﻩ ﺑﺎ ﻧﺎﻡ » «1+5ﻳﺎﺩ ﻣﻰﺷــﻮﺩ ـ ﻫﻴﭽﮕﻮﻧﻪ ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﻩﺍﻯ ﺑﺎ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺩﺳﺖﻧﺸﺎﻧﺪﺓ ﺳﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﺳﻴﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﻧﺪ .ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﻰ
ﻗﺪﺭﺕﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﮔﺮﺩ ﻫﻢ ﻣﻰﺁﻳﻨﺪ ﺗﺎ ﺑﺎ ﻣﺸــﺘﻰ ﻣﻼ ﻭ ﺁﺧﻮﻧﺪ ﺑﻪ »ﺗﻮﺍﻓﻖ« ﺑﺮﺳــﻨﺪ ،ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﺍﻧﺪﺍﺯﻩ ﻣﺴــﺨﺮﻩ ﻭ ﻣﻀﺤﻚ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺳﺘﻘﻼﻝ ﺁﻗﺎﻯ ﺧﻤﻴﻨﻰ ﻭ ﺳﭙﺎﻩ ﭘﺎﺳﺪﺍﺭﺍﻥ! ﻣﺴﺌﻠﻪﺍﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺗﺤﺖ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ »ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﺍﺕ ﻫﺴﺘﻪﺍﻯ« ﺩﺭ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺍﻭﻓﺘﺎﺩﻩ، ﺩﺭ ﻭﺍﻗــﻊ ﻧﻪ ﺑﺎ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﮔﺎﻩ ﻭ ﺑﻤــﺐ ﺍﺗﻢ ﺍﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ،ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺣﻤﻼﺕ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺍﻳﺎﻻﺕ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﻭ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺑﺮ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﻣﻠﺖ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ .ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ ﺭﺍ ﺷــﺒﻜﺔ ﺧﺒﺮﭘﺮﺍﻛﻨﻰ ﺑﻪ ﭘﺮﻭﻧﺪﺓ ﺍﺻﻠــﻰ »ﺍﻓﺰﻭﺩﻩ« ﺗﺎ ﺍﺑﻌﺎﺩ ﻭﺍﻗﻌﻰ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﺍﺕ ﺍﺯ ﭼﺸــﻢ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻧﻴﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻭﺭ ﺑﻤﺎﻧﺪ .ﻗﻀﻴﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺍﺳــﺖ :ﺩﺭ ﺷﺒﻜﻪﺍﻯ ﻛﻪ ﻏﺮﺏ ﻃﻰ ﻳﻜﺼﺪ ﺳﺎﻝ ﺍﺧﻴﺮ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺭﻭﻥ ﺁﻥ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻣﻠﺖ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ،ﺷــﺎﻩ ﻭ ﻣﻼ ﻭ ﻓﺮﻣﺎﻧﺪﻩ ﻭ ﺳﺮﺩﺍﺭ ﻭ ﺍﺭﺗﺸﺒﺪ
ﺑﻴﺮﻭﻥ ﻣﻰﻛﺸــﺪ ،ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻻﺋﻞ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺷﺮﻛﺖ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ. ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺭﻭﺷﻦ ﺍﺳﺖ. ﺩﺭ ﻓﺮﺩﺍﻯ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺍﻭﻝ ،ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻭﺝ »ﺍﻧﻘﻼﺏ ﺍﻛﺘﺒﺮ« ،ﺑﻠﺸﻮﻳﻚﻫﺎ ﺷﺒﻜﺔ ﻧﻔﻮﺫﻯ ﺗﺰﺍﺭﻫﺎ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﭼﺎﺭﭼﻮﺏ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎﻥ »ﻓﺮﻭﺧﺘﻨﺪ!« ﺍﻭﺝ ﮔﻴﺮﻯ »ﻋﻈﻤﺖ« ﺭﺿﺎﻣﻴﺮ ﭘﻨﺞ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻳﻚ ﻛﺎﺳﻪ ﺷﺪﻥ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺷﺒﻜﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻔﻊ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺑﻮﺩ .ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ، ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷــﻰ ﺍﺗﺤﺎﺩ ﺷــﻮﺭﻭﻯ ،ﻭ ﺑﺎ ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺸﺖ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺮﺍﻭﺩﺍﺕ »ﺟﻬﺎﻥ ﺁﺯﺍﺩ« ،ﺩﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﺍﺯ ﺷﺒﻜﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺩﻭﻟﺖﺳﺎﺯ ﻭ ﺷﺎﻩﺳﺎﺯ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺭﻭﻥ ﺳــﺎﺧﺘﺎﺭ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻭﺭ ﻣﺎﻧﺪﻩ ﻭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺴــﺌﻠﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﮔﺮﺍﻥ ﺗﻤﺎﻡ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ. ﻧﻤﻰﺑﺎﻳــﺪ ﻓﺮﺍﻣﻮﺵ ﻛﺮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺎً ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ »ﻧﻔﻮﺫ« ﺳــﺎﺧﺘﺎﺭﻯ ﻭ ﺗﺸــﻜﻴﻼﺗﻰ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷــﺪ ،ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺭﺟﺔ ﻧﺨﺴــﺖ ﻫﻤﺴﺎﻳﺔ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻭ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺩﺓ ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺨﻰ ﺑﻴﻦ ﺩﻭ ﻣﻠــﺖ ،ﺧﺼﻮﺻــﺎً ﺩﺭ ﭼﺎﺭﭼﻮﺏ ﺣﻔﻆ ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺖ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺷﺒﻜﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺍﻟﺰﺍﻣﻰ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ .ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺛﺎﻧﻰ ،ﺭﺍﻩ ﺩﺳﺘﻴﺎﺑﻰ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﺑﻪ ﺷﺒﻜﺔ ﺁﺑﺮﺍﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﺗﺠﺎﺭﺕ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺏ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪﻛﻪ ﺩﺭﻭﺍﺯﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺭﻭﻯ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﺑﺎﺯ ﺷــﻮﺩ .ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﻗﻀﺎﻯ ﺭﻭﺯﮔﺎﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ »ﮔﺸــﺎﻳﺶ« ﺑﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨــﻮﺍﻥ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎﺯﺗــﺎﺏ ﻧﻤﻰﺩﻫﺪ .ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻣﺮﺗﺒﺎً ﺷــﺎﻫﺪ ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﻃﺮﻑﻫﺎﻯ ﺭﻭﺳﻰ ﻭ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﺑﺮ ﺳﺮ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻫﺴــﺘﻴﻢ .ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮﻯﺍﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ،ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ،ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ،ﺳــﻮﺭﻳﻪ ،ﻭ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭﻯ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺴﻴﺮ ﺗﺠﺎﺭﺕ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺷﺎﻣﻞ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ. ﺷــﺒﻜﺔ ﺗﺒﻠﻴﻐﺎﺗﻰ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻳﻦ »ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮﻯ« ﻭ ﺷﺎﺥﺗﻮﺷــﺎﺥ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ »ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﺍﺕ ﻫﺴــﺘﻪﺍﻯ« ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﮔﺰﻳﺪﻩ! ﺩﺭ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ،ﺧﺪﻣﺖ ﺁﻧﺪﺳــﺘﻪ ﺍﺯ ﻫﻢﻣﻴﻬﻨﺎﻥ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺮﺗﺒﺎً ﭘﻴﺮﺍﻣﻮﻥ ﺣﻤﻼﺕ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻭ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ،ﻭ ﺁﻣﺎﺩﮔﻰ »ﭘﺎﻧﻪﺗﺎ« ﻭ ﻃﺮﺡﻫﺎﻯ ﺣﻤﻠﺔ ﺷــﺒﺎﻧﻪ ﻭ ﻧﻴﻤﻪﺷــﺒﺎﻧﻪ ﻭ ﻏﻴﺮﻩ ﺣﻜﺎﻳﺖ ﻭ ﺩﺍﺳﺘﺎﻥ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻣﺎ ﻣﻰﻧﻮﻳﺴﻨﺪ ﻋﺮﺽ ﻛﻨﻴﻢ ،ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺍﮔﺮ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺣﻤﻠﻪ ﻛﻨﺪ ،ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﺭﻭﺯﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺟﺮﺝ ﺑﻮﺵ ،ﺍﺣﻤﺪﻯﻧﮋﺍﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺁﻏﺎﺯ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺍﺯ ﺻﻨﺪﻭﻕﻫﺎ ﺑﻴﺮﻭﻥ ﻛﺸﻴﺪ ﻛﺎﺭ ﺭﺍ ﺗﻤﺎﻡ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ؛ ﻣﺎ ﻫﻢ ﻣﻰﺷﺪﻳﻢ »ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺩﻭﻡ!« ﻭﻟﻰ ﺁﺭﺍﻳﺶ »ﻛﻼﻥ ـ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ« ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻛﺎﺥ ﺳــﻔﻴﺪ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺍﺟﺎﺯﻩﺍﻯ ﻧﺪﺍﺩ .ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﺍﮔﺮ ﻛﺸــﻮﺭﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺣﻤﻠﻪ ﻛﻨﺪ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﺍﺳــﺖ ،ﻭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺴﺌﻮﻟﻴﺖ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺗﻤﺎﻡ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ ،ﺑﻌﺪ ﻫﻢ ﺧﺎﻙ ﺍﺳــﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﻭ ﺩﻳﮕــﺮ ﻣﺘﺤﺪﺍﻥ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﻳﺎﻧﻜﻰﻫــﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺧﺎﻭﺭﻣﻴﺎﻧــﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ ﻣﻮﺷــﻚ ﺑﻪ ﺗﻮﺑﺮﻩ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺸــﻴﺪ ،ﻭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ ﺭﺍ ﻫﻢ ﺑﻪ ﻧﺎﻡ ﺳــﭙﺎﻩ »ﻗﺪﺭﺗﻤﻨﺪ« ﭘﺎﺳــﺪﺍﺭﺍﻥ ﻣﻰﻧﻮﻳﺴﺪ.
ﺧﻼﺻــﻪ ،ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻫﻤــﺎﻥ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ ،ﻛﻪ ﻃﻰ ﺟﻨﮓ 33ﺭﻭﺯﻩ ﺑﺎ ﺍﺳــﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺩﺭ ﻟﺒﻨﺎﻥ ﻛﺮﺩ ،ﻭ ﺁﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺳــﻢ »ﺣﺰﺏﺍﷲ« ﻧﻮﺷﺖ. ﺁﻧﭽﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺎﻻ ﺁﻣﺪ ،ﺍﺯ 6ﺳﺎﻝ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺩﺭ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻭﺑﻼگ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻓﻌﺎﺕ ﻣﺘﻌــﺪﺩ ﺑﻪ ﻗﻠﻢ ﺁﻭﺭﺩﻩ ﺷــﺪﻩ ،ﻭ ﭘﻴﺮﺍﻣــﻮﻥ ﺁﻥ ﺗﻮﺿﻴﺤﺎﺕ ﻣﻔﺼﻞ ﺩﺍﺩﻩﺍﻳﻢ .ﺭﻭﺯﻯ ﻫﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﮔﺎﻩ ﺑﻮﺷــﻬﺮ ﺭﺳﻤﺎً ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺷﺪ »ﺍﻓﺘﺘﺎﺡ« ﺷــﻮﺩ ،ﺩﺭ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻭﺑﻼگ ﻧﻮﺷﺘﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺤﺪﻭﺩﻳﺖ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺑﻴﺸــﺘﺮ ﺷﺎﻣﻞ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷــﺪ ﺗﺎ ﻏﺮﺏ .ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻨﻤﻮﺭﺩ ﻧﻴــﺰ ﺗﻮﺿﻴﺤﺎﺗــﻰ ﺑﻌﺪﺍ ً ﺍﺿﺎﻓﻪ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻴﻢ ﻛــﺮﺩ .ﺩﺭ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ،ﺗﻮﺻﻴﺔ ﻣﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻢﻣﻴﻬﻨﺎﻥ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻰﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺑــﻪ ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻝ ﻋﻤﻠﻪ ﻭ ﺍﻛﺮﺓ ﻳﺎﻧﻜﻰﻫﺎ ﻭ ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﺍﺕ ﺑﻐﺪﺍﺩ ﻭ ﺁﻧﻜﺎﺭﺍ ﻭ ﻏﻴﺮﻩ ﻧﺪﻭﻧﺪ .ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﺍﺟﺎﺯﻩ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺩﺍﺩ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺸﺘﻰ ﮔﺮﻭﻫﺒﺎﻥ ﺍﺭﺗﺶ ﻧﺎﺗﻮ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺧﺒﺮﭼﻴﻦﻫﺎﻯ ﺭﻳﺶ ﻭ ﭘﺸﻤﻰ ﻭ ﺁﺧﻮﻧﺪﻙﻫﺎﻯ ﻋﺮﺍﻗﻰﺍﻻﺻﻞ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻧﻰﻧﻤﺎ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ »ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ـ ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ« ﺭﺍ ﺗﺤﺖ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﺩﻭﻟﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺩﺳﺖﻧﺸﺎﻧﺪﺓ ﺁﻧﻜﺎﺭﺍ ﻭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ »ﺗﻌﻴﻴﻦ« ﻛﻨﻨﺪ .ﺍﻳﻦ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻨﻈﺮ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﺗﻌﻴﻴﻦ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷــﺪ؛ ﻧــﻪ ﺟﺎﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ .ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﻫﻔﺘﻪﻫﺎ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﺭﺳــﻤﺎً ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺑــﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ »ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﺍﺕ ﻫﺴﺘﻪﺍﻯ« ﺍﻣﺴﺎﻝ ﺗﺎﺑﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ »ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ« ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺭﺳﻴﺪ؛ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪﺍﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺣﺘﻤﺎﻝ ﺯﻳﺎﺩ ﻃﻰ ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﺍﺕ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ ،ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺁﻣﺪ. ﺣــﺎﻝ ﻛﻪ ﺗﺎ ﺣﺪﻭﺩﻯ ﺑــﻪ »ﺍﺭﺯﺵ« ﻭﺍﻗﻌﻰ ﻣﺬﺍﻛــﺮﺍﺕ ﺁﺧﻮﻧﺪﻫﺎ ﻭ ﺟﻮﺟــﻪ ﺁﺧﻮﻧﺪﻫﺎ ﻭ ﻧﻘﺶ ﺳﺮﻧﻮﺷﺖﺳــﺎﺯ ﺍﻳﻨﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻧﺸﺴــﺖﻫﺎﻯ » «1+5ﭘﻰ ﺑﺮﺩﻳﻢ ،ﻧﮕﺎﻫﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﻴﺎﻧﺪﺍﺯﻳﻢ .ﺑﺎ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﻃﺮﺡﻫﺎﻯ ﺳﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﻧﺎﺗﻮ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ،ﻭ ﻋﺪﻡ ﺍﺳﺘﻘﺒﺎﻝ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺑﻪ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺭﺳﻴﺪﻥ ﺍﺳﻼﻡﮔﺮﺍﻳﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﺸﻮﺭ، ﭼﺮﺧﺶ ﺗﻨﺪﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻪ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺁﻣﺪﻩ .ﺍﻳﻦ ﭼﺮﺧﺶ ﺭﺍ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﻴﺸــﺘﺮ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷﻰ ﺳــﺎﺧﺘﺎﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎﺭﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﻭ ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ ﺍﻣﺮ ﺩﺭ ﻟﺒﻨﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﻧﺴﺖ .ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮﺭﻫﺎ ،ﺑﺮﺧﻼﻑ ﺁﻧﭽﻪ ﻧﻈﺎﻡ ﺭﺳــﺎﻧﻪﺍﻯ ﺗﻔﻬﻴﻢ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ،ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴــﻪ ﺑــﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻛﺎﺭﮔﺰﺍﺭ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎﻥ ،ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺘﮕﺰﺍﺭ ﺍﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﺻﻠﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺷﻤﺎﺭ ﻣﻰﺭﻭﺩ .ﻭ ﺍﮔﺮ ﭘﺎﺭﻳﺲ ﺩﻭﺳﺖ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻮﻝﻫﻮﻟﻜﻰ ﺑﺸﺎﺭ ﺍﺳﺪ ﺭﺍ ﺳﺮﻧﮕﻮﻥ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺪ، ﻓﻘﻂ ﻭ ﻓﻘﻂ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺁﻥ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎﺭ ﺍﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎﺭﻯ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﺟﻮﺍﺑﮕﻮﻯ ﻧﻴﺎﺯﻫﺎﻯ »ﻧﻮ ـ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ« ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻪ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ.
ﺍﮔﺮ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺑﺸــﺎﺭ ﺍﺳــﺪ ﺩﺭ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﺑﻤﺎﻧﺪ ،ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺸــﺖ ﻧﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎﻫﻮ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻴﺰ ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﺍﺕ ﺑﺎ ﻓﻠﺴــﻄﻴﻨﻰﻫﺎ ﻏﻴﺮﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﺍﺟﺘﻨﺎﺏ ﺍﺳــﺖ ،ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺷــﺮﺍﻳﻄﻰ ﻧﺘﻴﺠــﺔ ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﺍﺕ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻣﻨﺎﻓــﻊ ﭘﺎﺭﻳﺲ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎﺯﺗﺎﺏ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫــﺪ ﺩﺍﺩ .ﻭﻟــﻰ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺴــﺎﺋﻞ ﺑﺮﺧﻼﻑ ﺁﻧﭽﻪ ﺑــﻪ ﺧﻮﺭﺩ ﺧﻠﻖﺍﷲ ﺩﺍﺩﻩﺍﻧــﺪ ،ﻧﻪ ﻃﻰ ﻣﺴــﺎﻓﺮﺕ ﺍﺧﻴﺮ ﭘﻮﺗﻴﻦ ،ﻛــﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﺍﺕ ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﺍﻣﻮﺭﺧﺎﺭﺟﺔ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴــﺘﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ »ﻛﻠﻴﺪ« ﺧﻮﺭﺩ .ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﺑﺎﺯﻧﺪﺓ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺩﻭﻡ ﻃﺮﻑ ﺻﺤﺒﺖ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ ،ﻣﺬﺍﻛﺮﺍﺕ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﻧﻔﻮﺫ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴــﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮﺩ ،ﺑﻌﺪﺍ ً ﺑﻪ ﭘﺎﺭﻳﺲ ﺍﺑﻼﻍ ﻣﻰﺷــﻮﺩ .ﺁﻗﺎﻯ ﺍﻭﻻﻧﺪ ﻫﻢ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻛﺴــﺐ ﺍﺟــﺎﺯﺓ »ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺏ« ﺑﻪ ﻣﻘﺎﻡ ﺭﻳﺎﺳﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻪ ﻣﺠﺒﻮﺭ ﺷﺪﻧﺪ ،ﻧﻪ ﻳﻚ ﺑﺎﺭ ﻛﻪ ﺩﻭ ﺑﺎﺭ ﺯﺣﻤﺖ ﻣﺴﺎﻓﺮﺕ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﺑﺮ ﺧﻮﺩ ﻫﻤﻮﺍﺭ ﺳﺎﺯﻧﺪ .ﻛﺴﻰ ﻫﻢ ﻧﭙﺮﺳﻴﺪ، ﺍﻳﺸــﺎﻥ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﺭﺋﻴﺲ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴــﻪ ﺑﺸــﻮﻧﺪ ﺑﻪ ﭼﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺩﺭ ﮔﻴﺮﺍﮔﻴﺮ ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ ﺩﻭ ﺳــﻔﺮ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪﺷــﺎﻥ ﮔﻨﺠﺎﻧﺪﻩﺍﻧﺪ! ﺣﺎﻝ ﺑﺎ ﺩﻭ ﻻﻳﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺑﻬﺘﺮ ﺁﺷﻨﺎ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﻳﻢ. ﻻﻳﺔ ﻧﺨﺴــﺖ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺭﺳــﻤﻰ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﺍﺯ ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺸﺖ ﺳﻠﻄﻨﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺷــﺎﻣﻞ ﻣﻰﺷــﻮﺩ ،ﻛﻪ ﻃﻰ ﻳﻚ ﺳــﺎﻝ ﻭ ﭼﻨﺪ ﻣﺎﻩ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺭ ﻣﺨﺘﻠــﻒ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺶ ﮔــﺬﺍﺭﺩﻩ .ﺍﻭﻟﻴﻦ ﭘﺮﺩﻩ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ »ﮔﺰﻳﻨﺶ« ﺑﺎ ﺳــﺨﻨﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﺭﺿﺎ ﭘﻬﻠﻮﻯ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﻋﻮﺍﻡ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴــﺘﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺭﻭﻯ ﺻﺤﻨﻪ ﺭﻓــﺖ ،ﻭ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﺭﻭﺯﻫــﺎ ﮔﻔﺘﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳــﻦ ﻋﻤﻞ ﻣﻮﺿﻌﮕﻴﺮﻯ ﻏﻴﺮﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﺑﺮﮔﺸــﺘﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺻــﻮﺭﺕ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ .ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻮﺿﻊﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ ﺍﻣﺮ ،ﺑﺎ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ »ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ« ﺭﻳﺎﺳــﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ،ﻭ ﻋﻘﺐﻧﺸﻴﻨﻰ ﺟﻨﺎﺡ »ﺧﻂ ﺍﻣﺎﻡ« ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﻋﻮﺍﻣﻞ ﻣﺎﺭﻙﺩﺍﺭ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺷﻤﺎﺭ ﻣﻰﺭﻭﻧﺪ، ﻭ ﺷــﺎﻣﻞ ﺧﺎﺗﻤﻰ ،ﻣﻮﺳﻮﻯ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮﺭ ﻛﻠﻰ »ﺍﺻﻼﺡﻃﻠﺒﺎﻥ« ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ، ﺑﺎﺭ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻭﺍﺑﺴﺘﮕﻰ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﺑﻪ ﮔﺰﻳﻨﺔ ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺸﺖ ﺳﻠﻄﻨﺖ ﺭﺍ ﺟﺪﻯﺗﺮ ﻛﺮﺩ. ﺑﺴﺘﻦ ﺳــﻔﺎﺭﺗﺨﺎﻧﺔ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻛﻪ ﺗﻮﺳــﻂ ﻋﻮﺍﻣﻞ ﻭﺍﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﻴﺲ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ ،ﻭ ﺍﺧﺮﺍﺝ »ﺳﺮ« ﺳﺎﻳﻤﻮﻥ ﮔﺎﺱ ﺍﺯ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﻛﻪ ﺁﻧﻬﻢ ﺗﻮﺳﻂ »ﺳﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﻧﺎﺗﻮ« ﻭ ﺗﺤﺖ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ »ﻣﺄﻣﻮﺭﻳﺖ« ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﺍﻳﺸﺎﻥ ﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ ﭘﺬﻳﺮﻓﺖ ،ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺍﺣﺖ ﻧﺸــﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺗﻌﻤﺪ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺧﺮﻭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﺣﻴﻄﺔ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﺳــﻨﺘﻰﺍﺵ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺯﻳﺮﺟﻠﻜﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺷﻴﻮﻩﺍﻯ ﺟﺪﻯ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺑﺎﺯﺑﻴﻨﻰ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ. ﺍﺯ ﺳــﻮﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ،ﻫﻤﺰﻣﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯ ﻧﺸﺴﺖ ﻣﻌﺮﻭﻑ »ﺑﻴﻠﺪﺭﺑﺮگ« ﻭ ﺣﻀﻮﺭ ﺭﺿﺎ ﭘﻬﻠﻮﻯ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺸــﻮﺭ ﻫﻠﻨﺪ ﻳﻚ ﺑﺎﺭ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺑﺮ ﺍﻳﻦ ﮔﺰﻳﻨﻪ ﻣﻬﺮ »ﺗﺄﺋﻴﺪ« ﮔﺬﺍﺷــﺖ .ﻳﺎﺩﺁﻭﺭ ﺷﻮﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺳــﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﺩﺍﺭﻯ ﻭ ﺩﺭﺑﺎﺭ ﻫﻠﻨﺪ ﺍﺯ
ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﺑﻪ ﺁﻧﮕﻠﻮﺳﺎﻛﺴﻮﻥﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎﺳﺖ ،ﻭ ﺣﻀﻮﺭ ﺭﺿﺎ ﭘﻬﻠﻮﻯ ﺩﺭ ﻫﻠﻨﺪ ﻧﺸﺎﻧﺪﻫﻨﺪﺓ ﭘﻴﺸﺒﺮﺩ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﮔﺰﻳﻨﺔ ﺳﻠﻄﻨﺖ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﻨﺒﺎﺭ ﻧﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺧﺎﻙ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴــﺘﺎﻥ ،ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﻫﻠﻨﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺶ ﮔﺬﺍﺷــﺘﻪ ﺷــﺪﻩ .ﺟﺎﻟﺐ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ،ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﺎﺳــﺒﺖ ﺑﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯ ﻧﺸﺴــﺖ ﺍﺧﻴﺮ ﺑﻴﻠﺪﺭﺑﺮگ ﺩﺭ ﻫﻠﻨﺪ ،ﺳﺎﻳﺖ »ﻓﺎﺭﺱﻧﻴﻮﺯ« ،ﻣﻮﺭﺥ 3ژﻭﺋﻦ ،2012ﺑﺎ ﺍﻧﺘﺸــﺎﺭ ﺧﺒﺮﻯ ﻫﻮﻝﻫﻮﻟﻜﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﮔﺮﺩﻫﻤﺎﺋﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ »ﻧﺸﺴــﺖ ﺷﺎﻩﺳﺎﺯﺍﻥ« ﺳﺨﻦ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ ﻭ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺩ ﻛﻪ ﮔﺰﻳﻨﺔ »ﺷﻴﺦﻭﺷــﺎﻩ« ﺗﺎ ﭼﻪ ﺣﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎﺭ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺭﻳﺸﻪ ﻭ ﭘﺎﻳﻪ ﺑﺮﺧﻮﺭﺩﺍﺭ ﺍﺳﺖ. ﺍﮔﺮ ﻻﻳﺔ ﻧﺨﺴﺖ ﻳﻌﻨﻰ ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺮﺩﺍﻧﺪﻥ »ﺳﻠﻄﻨﺖ ﻛﻮﺩﺗﺎﺋﻰ« ،ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ ﺍﻣﺮ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺑﻪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﺟﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴــﺘﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺷــﺪﻩ ،ﻻﻳﺔ ﺩﻭﻣــﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ ﺟﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮﺩ ،ﻭ ﺩﺭﺳــﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻳﻚ ﻗﺪ ﻋﻠﻢ ﻛــﺮﺩﻩ! ﺍﺯ ﻗﻀﺎﻯ ﺭﻭﺯﮔﺎﺭ ﻻﻳﺔ ﺩﻭﻡ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴــﺘﺎﻥ ﻭ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﺳــﺖ .ﺍﻳﻦ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺻﻄﻼﺡ »ﻧﻮﻳﻦ« ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ »ﺳﻮﺳﻴﺎﻟﻴﺴﺖ« ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺭﺃﺱﺍﺵ ﻧﺸﺴــﺘﻪ ،ﻭ ﺳﻔﺮ ﺍﺧﻴﺮ ﺳــﻨﺎﺗﻮﺭ »ﻣﻴﺸﻞ ﺭﻭﻛﺎﺭ« ﺑﻪ ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ ﻧﻤﺎﺩﻯ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ .ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ،ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺍﺯ ﭘﺪﻳﺪﺓ »ﺍﻧﻘﻼﺏ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ« ﻧﻘﺸــﻰ ﻓﺮﺍﮔﻴﺮ ﺑﺎﺯﻯ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ ،ﻭ ﺍﺻﻞ ﺑﺮ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻭﻓﺘﺎﺩﻩ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ »ﺍﻧﻘﻼﺏ« ﻭ »ﻧﺎﺟﻴﺎﻥ« ﺁﻥ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﻛﺮﺩ! ﺣــﺎﻝ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺳــﺌﻮﺍﻝ ﭘﻴﺶ ﻣﻰﺁﻳــﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﭼﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺩﻭ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﻣﺘﻔــﺎﻭﺕ ﺍﺯ ﻳﻚ ﻣﻨﺒﻊ ﻭﺍﺣﺪ ﺗﻐﺬﻳﻪ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ .ﻧﺨﺴــﺖ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﻰ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﺟﻬﺎﻥ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎﺭﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﻓﻌﺎﻝ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ .ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮﺭ ﻣﺜﺎﻝ ،ﺩﺭ ﺍﻭﺍﺧﺮ ﺩﻫﺔ ،1940ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﻫــﻢ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﺳــﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺭﺍ ﭘﺎﻳﻪﺭﻳﺰﻯ ﻧﻤﻮﺩ ﻭ ﻫﻢ ﺟﻬــﺖ ﭘﺎﻳﻪﺭﻳﺰﻯ ﺳــﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﺁﺯﺍﺩﻳﺒﺨﺶ ﻓﻠﺴــﻄﻴﻦ ﻣﻘﺪﻣــﺎﺕ ﻛﺎﺭ ﺭﺍ ﻓﺮﺍﻫــﻢ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ. ﺍﻳﻨﻬﻤﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺩﻭﻟﺖﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ »ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯ« ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺑﻤﺎﻧﺪ ،ﻭ ﺩﻳﺪﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻋﻠﻴﺮﻏﻢ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺳﺮﺩ ﻭ ﻓﻌﺎﻝ ﺷــﺪﻥ ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻧﺎﺕ ﭼﭗﮔﺮﺍﻯ ﻭﺍﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ،ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺖ ﺑﺎ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﻴﺴﻰ ﺍﺳــﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺤﺼﺎﺭ ﺳــﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﻴﺴﻰ »ﺍﻟﻔﺘﺢ« ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﻣﺎﻧــﺪ .ﺍﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎﺭ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺑﻌﺎﺩﻯ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺮﺍﺗﺐ ﻭﺳــﻴﻊﺗﺮ ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻝ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ .ﺷﺎﻩﺳﺎﺯﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺍﻣﺎﻡﺳﺎﺯﺍﻥ ﻫﺮ ﺩﻭ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﻴﺴــﻰ ﻭ ﺍﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎﺭﮔﺮﺍﻧﺪ؛ ﻭ ﺗﻼﺵ ﺟﻬﺖ ﻭﺍﺭﺩ ﻛﺮﺩﻥ ﻋﻮﺍﻣﻞ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎﺭ »ﻫﻤﮕﻦ« ،ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺭﺗﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﺩﺭﺍﺯﻣﺪﺕ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺭﺍ ﻣﺨﺘﻞ ﻛﻨﺪ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭ ﻣﺸﻜﻠﻰ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ.
ﻭﻟﻰ ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮﺭ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎﺯ ﻫﻢ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻄﺎﻟﺐ ﭘﻴﺸــﻴﻦ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻛﺮﺩﻩﺍﻳﻢ ،ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﺑﺎ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺴﻴﺎﺭ ﺗﻔﺎﻭﺕ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ؛ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﻔﺎﻭﺗﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎﺭﻯ ،ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﻛﻼﻥﺷــﺎﻥ ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﺑﻪ ﻗﺒﻮﻝ ﺁﻥ ﻧﻴﺴــﺘﻨﺪ، ﻣﮕﺮ ﺑﻪ ﺿﺮﺏ ﺯﻭﺭ ﻭ ﺷﻜﺴــﺖ ﻣﻔﺘﻀﺤﺎﻧﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﺔ ﻣﻴﺪﺍﻥ ﺍﺳــﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ. ﺑــﻪ ﻃﻮﺭ ﻣﺜــﺎﻝ ﺩﻳﺪﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻃﻰ ﻏﺎﺋﻠــﺔ »ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ« ﺭﻳﺎﺳــﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﺟﻤﻜﺮﺍﻥ ،ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﭼﮕﻮﻧﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺣﻔﻆ »ﺧﻂ ﺍﻣﺎﻡ« ﺍﺯ ﺟﺎﻥ ﻭ ﺩﻝ ﻣﺎﻳﻪ ﻣﻰﮔﺬﺍﺷﺖ؛ ﺍﮔﺮ ﻋﻘﺐ ﻧﺸﺴﺖ ﻓﻘﻂ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﭼﺎﺭﺓ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ ﺑﺮﺍﻯﺍﺵ ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﻧﻤﺎﻧﺪﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ .ﺩﺭ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ،ﺩﺭ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﻣﺸﻜﻞ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﺍﻧﺘﻈﺎﺭ ﺗﺠﺪﻳﺪﻧﻈﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺳﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﺯ ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﻭ ﻳﺎ ﻭﺍﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺍﺷــﺖ؛ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ﺁﻧﭽﻪ ﺣﺎﺋﺰ ﺍﻫﻤﻴﺖ ﻣﻰﺷــﻮﺩ ﻣﻮﺿﻊﮔﻴﺮﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﺍﺳﺖ. ﺑﺎﻻﺗﺮ ﺍﺷــﺎﺭﻩ ﻛﺮﺩﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﻓﺎﻗﺪ ﺧﻂ »ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺘﮕﺰﺍﺭﻯ« ﺩﺭ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎﺭ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ،ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺧﻄﻰ ﺭﺍ ﻓﻌﺎﻝ ﻛﻨﺪ ،ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺑﺎﻻﺟﺒﺎﺭ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺍﺯ ﻭﻳﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰﺍﻯ ﻛــﻪ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮﺵ ﻣﻰﮔﺴــﺘﺮﺍﻧﺪ »ﮔﺰﻳﻨﺔ« ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﻗﺒﻮﻝ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﻣﺸــﺨﺺ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺪ .ﺍﻳﻦ ﻭﻳﺘﺮﻳﻦ ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﺳﻪ »ﻛﺎﻻﻯ« ﺳﻠﻄﻨﺖ ﻛﻮﺩﺗﺎﺋــﻰ ،ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺘﻰ »ﺍﺣﻤﺪﻯﻧﮋﺍﺩﻯ« ،ﻭ ﻳﺎ ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺸــﺖ »ﺧﻂ ﺍﻣﺎﻡ« ﻭ ﺗﻮﺩﻩﺍﻯﻫــﺎﻯ ﻧﻔﺘﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺶ ﮔﺬﺍﺭﺩﻩ .ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻧﺠﺎ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻳﺮﺑﺎﺯ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺏ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺳﺮﻧﻮﺷﺖﺳــﺎﺯ ﺑﻮﺩﻩ ،ﺍﻳﻨﺒﺎﺭ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﻧﻈﺮ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺍﺑﺮﺍﺯ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ .ﺍﺳﺘﻨﺒﺎﻁ ﻣﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺎً ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﻭﺍﭘﺲﻣﺎﻧﺪﻩﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﻭ ﻧﺎﻛﺎﺭﺁﻣﺪﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﮔﺰﻳﻨﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺏ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ ،ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ »ﻣﻴﻜﺮﻭﺏ« ﻭ »ﻃﺎﻋﻮﻥ« ﻫﺮ ﭼﻪ ﺿﻌﻴﻒﺗﺮ ،ﺑﻬﺘﺮ. ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ،ﺍﮔﺮ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺑﻪ ﺧﻴﺎﻝ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﻰ ﺷﺎﻧﺲﻫﺎ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﺮﻓﻨﺪﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻴﺪﺍﻥ ﺧﻮﺩ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻈﺮ ﻣﺎ ﺳﺨﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺷﺘﺒﺎﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ .ﺳﺮﺍﺯﻳﺮ ﺷﺪﻥ ﺳــﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﺩﺍﺭﻯ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺳﻮﻯ ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﻨﻮﺑﻰ ،ﻧﻪ ﺭﻭﻳﺎﺳﺖ ،ﻧﻪ ﮔﺰﺍﻓﻪ ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﭘﻴﺸــﮕﻴﺮﻯ .ﺩﺭ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩﺍﻯ ﺑﺴــﻴﺎﺭ ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﺤﺮﻙ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ ﻭ ﻏﺮﺏ ﻗﺎﺩﺭ ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮﺵ ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺖ ﻛﻨﺪ .ﺧﻼﺻﺔ ﻛﻼﻡ ،ﮔﺴــﺘﺮﺵ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪﻯ ،ﺧﺪﻣﺎﺗﻰ ﻭ ﺗﺠﺎﺭﻯ ﻛﻪ ﭘﻴﺮﺍﻣﻮﻥ ﺍﻳﻦ
ﺣﺮﻛﺖ »ﺳــﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪ« ﺷﺮﻭﻉ ﺑﻪ ﺭﺷــﺪ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻧﻤﻮﺩ ﻏﻴﺮﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﺍﺟﺘﻨﺎﺏ ﺍﺳــﺖ .ﻏﺮﺏ ﻃﻰ ﺳﺎﻝﻫﺎﻯ ﺩﺭﺍﺯ ﭘﻴﺶﻓﺮﺽﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺗﻮﺟﻴﻪ ﻧﻈﺎﻡ ﺳــﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﺩﺍﺭﻯ ﺧــﻮﺩ ﺑﻪ ﺧــﻮﺭﺩ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻴﺎﻥ ﻭ ﺧﺼﻮﺻﺎً ﺩﺍﻧﺸــﮕﺎﻫﻴﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﺩ .ﭘﻴﺶﻓﺮﺽﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻣﺒﻨﻰ ﺑﺮ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ »ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮓ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﺩﺍﺭﻯ«، ﻭ ﺳﺎﺯﻭﻛﺎﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪ ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ ﻭ ﺑﺎﺯﺗﺎﺏﻫﺎﻯ »ﻃﺒﻴﻌﻰ« ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤــﺮﺍﻩ ﺧﻮﺍﻫــﺪ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ ﻭ ...ﻭ ﺣﺎﻝ ﻣﻌﻠﻮﻡ ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ ﺑﻪ ﭼﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺻﻮﺭﺗﺒﻨﺪﻯﻫﺎﻯ »ﺟﺎﺩﻭﺋﻰ« ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺻﻄﻼﺡ ﻋﻠﻤﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ »ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮓ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﺩﺍﺭﻯ« ﻭ ﺳﺎﺯﻭﻛﺎﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﻧﻤﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺻﺪﻕ ﻛﻨﺪ! ﺧﻼﺻــﻪ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻴﻢ ،ﺍﮔﺮ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺻﻮﺭﺗﺒﻨﺪﻯﻫــﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﺓ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ ﺑﻴﻦ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ »ﺻﺪﻕ« ﻛﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺧﻄﺮ ﻋﻘﺐﻧﺸــﻴﻨﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺣﺘﻤــﻰ ﺍﺳــﺖ ،ﻭ ﺍﮔﺮ ﺻﺪﻕ ﻧﻜﻨﺪ ﺗﺎﺯﻩ ﻣﻌﻠﻮﻡ ﻣﻰﺷــﻮﺩ ﺑﺴــﺎﻁ »ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮓ ﺳــﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﺩﺍﺭﻯ« ﻭ ﻧﻈﺮﻳﻪﭘﺮﺩﺍﺯﻯ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺍﺯ ﭘﺎﻳﻪ ﻭ ﺍﺳــﺎﺱ ﺟﻔﻨﮓ ﺑﻮﺩﻩ ﻭ ﺳــﺎﺧﺘﻪ ﻭ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺘﺔ ﺳــﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥﻫﺎﻯ ﺗﺒﻠﻴﻐﺎﺗﻰ ﺍﺳــﺖ. ﺩﺭ ﻫﺮ ﺣﺎﻝ ،ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳــﻦ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ﻳﺎ ﻛﺎﺭﺕ »ﺍﻋﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻧﻈﺮﻯ« ﻏﺮﺏ ﺑﺎﺯﻧﺪﻩ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ ،ﻳﺎ ﻛﺎﺭﺕ »ﺍﻋﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰﺍﺵ «.ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺩﻳﺪ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺩﺭ ﭼﻪ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻄﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻧﺎﭼﺎﺭ ﺑﺎ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺳﻨﺘﻰ ﺍﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎﺭﻯﺍﺵ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺧﺪﺍﺣﺎﻓﻈﻰ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﻭ »ﺟﺎﻡ ﺯﻫﺮ« ﺭﺍ ﺳﺮ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺸﻴﺪ.