19ﻣــﻪ 2012
ﺩﺭ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻄﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺟﻨﮓ »ﻧﺮﻡ« ﻭ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺸﻰ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻫﻤﭽﻨﺎﻥ ﺍﺩﺍﻣﻪ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ،ﻭ ﺧﺼﻮﺻﺎً ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺑﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯ »ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ« ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﺗﺰﺋﻴﻨﻰ ﺑﻮﺩ ،ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻧﺘﺼﺎﺏ »ﺑﺮﺍﺩﺭﺍﻥ« ﻫﻤﻜﺎﺭ ﻭ ﻫﻢﻓﻜﺮ ﻣﻨﺘﻬﻰ ﺷﺪ، ﺷﺎﻫﺪﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ »ﺁﺭﺍﻣﺶ« ﺑﺮ ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺷﺪﻩ .ﺍﺯ ﻗﺪﻳﻢ ﮔﻔﺘﻪﺍﻧﺪ،
»ﺁﺭﺍﻣﺶ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﻃﻮﻓﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺁﻳﺪ!« ﻭﻟﻰ ﺍﻳﻨﺒﺎﺭ ﻗﻀﻴﻪ ﻣﺘﻔﺎﻭﺕ ﺍﺳﺖ؛ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﻮﻉ »ﺁﺭﺍﻣﺶ« ﭘﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ﻃﻮﻓﺎﻥ ﺑﺮﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺷﺪﻩ. ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺭﻭﺷﻦ! ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻫﺮ ﮔﻮﻧﻪ ﺍﺑﺘﻜﺎﺭ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺩﺭ ﺯﻣﻴﻨﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻰ ،ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮕﻰ ،ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﻭ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﺭﺍ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ .ﺩﺭ ﺩﺍﺧﻞ ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎ ،ژﺳــﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺘﻤﺪﻧﺎﻧﺔ ﺍﺣﻤﺪﻯﻧــﮋﺍﺩ ﻛﻪ ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ ﺍﻣﺮ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ »ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥﻫﺎﻯ« ﺣﺠﺎﺏﭘﺮﺳﺘﻰ ﻭ »ﺑﺪﺣﺠﺎﺏﮔﻴﺮﻯ«، ﺳﺎﺧﺘﻪ ﻭ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺘﺔ »ﺧﻂ ﺍﻣﺎﻡ« ﻭ ﺑﺎﻧﺪ »ﻣﻮﺳﻮﻯ ـ ﺧﺎﺗﻤﻰ« ﻣﻘﺎﻭﻣﺖ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﻭ ﺗﺎ ﺣﺪﻭﺩﻯ ﺁﺭﺍﻣﺶ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺮﺩﺍﻧﺪ ،ﺑﺎ ﺍﺭﺯﺵ ﺍﺳﺖ. ﻭﻟﻰ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻋﻤﻠﻴــﺎﺕ ﻭ ﺟﻠﻮﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﺍﺯ »ﺭﺳــﺎﻧﻪﺍﻯ« ﻛﺮﺩﻥ »ﻭﻗﺎﺣﺖ« ﺩﺭ ﺳــﻄﺢ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ ﻣﺴــﻠﻤﺎً ﺟﻬﺖ ﺧﺮﻭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﻣﺠﻤﻮﻋــﻪ ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋــﻰ ،ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮕﻰ ﻭ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯﺍﻯ ﻛﻪ ﮔﺮﻳﺒﺎﻥ ﻛﺸــﻮﺭ ﺭﺍ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﻛﻔﺎﻳــﺖ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫــﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ .ﺩﻭﻟــﺖ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ،ﻃﻰ ﭼﻨــﺪ ﻣﺎﻫﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﭘﺎﻳــﺎﻥ ﺩﻭﺭﻩﺍﺵ ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﻣﺎﻧــﺪﻩ ،ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﭼﻨﺪﻳﻦ ﻭ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺩﺳــﺘﺎﻭﺭﺩ
ﭘﺎﻳﻪﺍﻯ ﻭ ﺍﺳﺎﺳــﻰ ﻛﺴــﺐ ﻛﻨﺪ .ﻭ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﭼﻨﻴــﻦ ﻛﺎﺭﻯ ﻧﻪ ﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﻛﺎﻓﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ،ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻣﻜﺎﻧﺎﺕ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﺑﺮﺧﻮﺭﺩﺍﺭ ﺍﺳــﺖ .ﺩﺭ ﻧﺘﻴﺠــﻪ ،ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﻛﺎﺭ ﺩﻭﻟــﺖ ﺍﺣﻤﺪﻯﻧﮋﺍﺩ ،ﻳﺎ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺳﻜﻮﺕ »ﻣﺮﮔﺒﺎﺭ« ﻛﻪ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﺩﻭﺩﻟﻰ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﺍﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎﺭﻯ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ »ﺳﺮﻧﻮﺷــﺖ« ﻣﻠﺖ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﺳــﺖ ،ﺩﻭﺑﺎﺭﻩ ﺑﺮ ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷــﺪ ،ﻭ ﻳﺎ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﭘﺎﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥ ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺩﺓ ﺍﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻰ ﻭ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﻣﻰﮔﺬﺍﺭﺩ .ﺍﺯ ﺁﻧﺠﺎ ﻛﻪ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﻣﺴــﺎﺋﻞ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻣﻨﺘﻈــﺮ ﻋﻜﺲﺍﻟﻌﻤﻞﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﻴﻦﺍﻟﻤﻠﻠﻰ ﺑﺎﺷــﻴﻢ ،ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺗﻌﻠﻴﻖ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﺭﻫﺎ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺮﺭﺳﻰ »ﭼﺸﻢ ﻃﻮﻓﺎﻥ« ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻴﻢ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺖ .ﻃﻮﻓﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻪ ﻭ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺭﺍﻩ ﺍﻓﺘﺎﺩﻩ. ﺳﺮﺍﻧﺠﺎﻡ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺭﺳﻴﺪ ﻭ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺳﺎﻝﻫﺎ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﺑﻼﻣﻨﺎﺯﻉ ﺭﺍﺳﺘﮕﺮﺍﻳﺎﻥ ﻭ ﮔﻠﻴﺴﺖﻫﺎ ،ﺣﺰﺏ ﺳﻮﺳﻴﺎﻟﻴﺴﺖ ﺑﺮ ﺍﺭﻳﻜﺔ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﻧﺸﺴﺖ .ﺗﻔﺎﻭﺕﻫﺎ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺩﻭﻟﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺭﺍﺳﺖﮔﺮﺍ ﻭ ﭼﭗﮔﺮﺍ ﺩﺭ
ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻪ ﺷﺎﻳﺪ ﺁﻧﻘﺪﺭﻫﺎ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻣﺨﺎﻃﺐ ﻓﺎﺭﺳﻰ ﺯﺑﺎﻥ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻫﻤﻴﺖ ﺑﺮﺧﻮﺭﺩﺍﺭ ﻧﺒﺎﺷــﺪ ،ﺩﺭ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ﺳــﺨﻦ ﮔﻔﺘﻦ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺍﻳﻦ »ﺗﻔﺎﻭﺕﻫﺎ« ﺑﻴﺸــﺘﺮ ﺍﺗﻼﻑ ﻭﻗﺖ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺑﻮﺩ ﺗﺎ ﺑﺮﺭﺳﻰ .ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ،ﻧﻤﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻓﺮﺍﻣﻮﺵ ﻛــﺮﺩ ﻛﻪ »ﭼﺎﺭﭼﻮﺏ« ﭼﭗﮔﺮﺍﺋﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺨﭽﺔ ﺣﺰﺏ ﺳﻮﺳﻴﺎﻟﻴﺴــﺖ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴــﻪ ،ﻫﻤﭽﻮﻥ ﺍﻏﻠﺐ ﺍﺣﺰﺍﺏ ﺳﻮﺳــﻴﺎﻝ ﺩﻣﻜﺮﺍﺕ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ، ﺁﻧﻘﺪﺭﻫﺎ ﻣﺸــﺨﺺ ﻭ ﻣﻌﻴﻦ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ .ﺍﻳﻦ ﺣﺰﺏ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺑﺎ ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻧﺎﺗﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺭﺍﺳــﺖﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺗــﺎ ﭼﭗﻫﺎﻯ »ﺗﻨﺪﺭﻭ« ﻫﻤــﻜﺎﺭﻯ ﻭ ﻫﻤﺮﺍﻫﻰ ﻣﻘﻄﻌﻰ ﺩﺍﺷــﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷــﺪ ،ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻮﺭژﻭﺍﺯﻯ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺩﺭ ﻋﻤﻞ »ﻛﺖ« ﻫﻤﺔ ﺍﻳﻨﺎﻥ ﺭﺍ ﻣﺤﻜﻢ ﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﻭ ﺧﺎﺭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﺻﻼﺡﺩﻳﺪ ﺭﺃﺱ ﻫﺮﻡ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﻫﻴﭻ ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻤﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﺸــﻮﺭﻫﺎ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷــﺪ .ﺑﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ، ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺸﺖ ﺳﻮﺳﻴﺎﻟﻴﺴــﺖﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺩﺭ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﺸﻪ ﺑﺎ ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺵ ﻧﻮﻋﻰ ﻧﮕﺮﺵ »ﺍﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻰ« ﺗﻮﺃﻡ ﺑﻮﺩﻩ؛ ﻧﮕﺮﺷﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺗﺨﺎﻟﻒ ﺁﺷﻜﺎﺭ ﺑﺎ ﺭﺍﺳﺖﮔﺮﺍﺋﻰ ﻭ ﮔﻠﻴﺴﻢ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮﺩ. ﺣﺎﻝ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﺒﻴﻨﻴﻢ ،ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﺑﻮﺭژﻭﺍﺯﻯ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴــﻪ ﺑﻪ ﭼﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﭘﺮﻭﺳﻪﻫﺎﻯ »ﺳــﻮﺩﺟﻮﺋﻰ« ﻭ »ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﺩﻭﺳﺘﻰ« ﻣﺘﺪﺍﻭﻝ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ ﻧﻮﻋــﻰ ﻧﮕﺮﺵ ﺍﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻰ ﻭ ﺭﻓﺎﻫﻰ ﺟﺎﻳﮕﺰﻳﻦ ﻛﻨﺪ .ﭘﺮﻭﺳــﻪﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻛﻪ »ﺭﺍﺳــﺖﮔﺮﺍﻳﺎﻥ« ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ،ﻃﻰ ﺳﺎﻝﻫﺎﻯ ﺩﺭﺍﺯ ﻣﺒﻠﻐﺎﻥ ﺳﻴﻨﻪﭼﺎﻙﺍﺵ ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ؟ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺳــﺘﻨﺒﺎﻁ ﻣﺎ ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥ »ﺳــﺎﺧﺘﮕﻰ« ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ،ﻛﻪ ﺳــﺎﺧﺘﻪ ﻭ ﭘﺮﺩﺍﺧﺘﺔ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﺑﻮﺭژﻭﺍﺋﻰ ﺍﺳــﺖ ،ﻭ ﺑﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ ﺁﻥ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺑﻮﺩ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎ ﻓﺸــﺎﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﮔﺴــﺘﺮﺩﻩﺍﻯ ﺑﺮ ﻃﺒﻘﺔ ﻣﺘﻮﺳﻂ ﺍﻋﻤﺎﻝ ﺷﻮﺩ ،ﺑﻪ ﻧﺘﺎﻳﺠﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢﮔﻴﺮﻧﺪﻩ ﻭ ﭘﺸــﺖﭘﺮﺩﻩ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﻈﺎﺭﺵ ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ ﻧﻴﺎﻧﺠﺎﻣﻴــﺪﻩ .ﺧــﺎﺭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﺗﻤﺎﻣــﻰ ﺑﺤﺚﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺮﺑﻮﻁ ﺑــﻪ ﺍﻣﻮﺭ ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ﻭ ﻧﻘﺪﻳﻨﮕــﻰ ،ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮﺭ ﻣﺜﺎﻝ ،ﺑﺎ ﺍﻋﻤﺎﻝ ﻓﺸــﺎﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻓﺰﺍﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﺑﺮ ﻳﻮﻧﺎﻥ، ﺍﻳﺘﺎﻟﻴﺎ ﻭ ﺍﺳــﭙﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﻧﻪ ﺗﻮﻟﻴﺪ ﻧﺎﺧﺎﻟﺺ ﻣﻠﻰ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻛﺸــﻮﺭﻫﺎ ﺑﺎﻻ ﺭﻓﺖ؛ ﻧﻪ ﻧﺮﺥ ﺑﻴﻜﺎﺭﻯﺷــﺎﻥ ﭘﺎﺋﻴﻦ ﺁﻣــﺪ؛ ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴــﺖ ﻣﻄﺎﻟﺒﺎﺕ ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺩﺓ ﻋﻤﻮﻣﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮﺭ ﻣﻄﻠﻮﺏ ﻭ ﻣﻤﺘﺪ »ﺳﺮﻛﻮﺏ« ﻛﻨﺪ! ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻧﺠــﺎ ﻛــﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺑــﻰ ﻫﻨﻮﺯ ﻛﻮﺩﺗﺎﻯ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻭ ﺳــﺮﻛﻮﺏ ﻋﻤﻮﻣــﻰ »ﻣــﺪﺭﻭﺯ« ﻧﺸــﺪﻩ ،ﻭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﻮﻉ ﺳــﺮﻛﻮﺏﻫﺎ ﻓﻘﻂ ﺍﺯ ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺸــﺖ ﺑﻪ »ﻓﺮﺍﻧﻜﻴﺴــﻢ« ﻭ ﻓﺎﺷﻴﺴــﻢ ﺍﻣﻜﺎﻧﭙﺬﻳﺮ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ،ﻇﺎﻫﺮﺍ ً ﺑﻮﺭژﻭﺍﺯﻯ ﺯﻳﺎﻥ ﺍﺩﺍﻣﺔ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻨﻔﻌﺖﺷﺎﻥ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﺍﺯ ﺗﺤﺮﻛﺎﺕﺍﺵ ﺑﺮﺩﺍﺷــﺘﻪ؛ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴــﻮﺍ ﺍﻭﻻﻧﺪ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ ﺷﻌﺎﺭﻫﺎﻯ »ﺭﻓﺎﻩ ﻋﻤﻮﻣﻰ« ﺍﺯ ﺻﻨﺪﻭﻕ ﺑﻴﺮﻭﻥ ﻛﺸﻴﺪﻩ! ﺑﻠــﻪ ،ﺳــﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﺩﺍﺭﻯ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﻫﺪﻑ ﺍﻳﺠــﺎﺩ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ ﺍﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻰ ﻭ ﺍﻗﺘﺼــﺎﺩﻯ »ﻧﻮﻳﻦ« ﺩﺭ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻝ ﺗﺤﻜﻴــﻢ ﺍﻟﮕﻮﻫﺎﻯ »ﭼﻴﻨﻰ« ﻭ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎﻯ ﺷــﺮﻗﻰ ﭘﺴﺎﺷــﻮﺭﻭﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺍﺳــﺐﺍﺵ ﺭﺍ ﺯﻳﻦ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ
ﺑــﻮﺩ ،ﺑﻪ ﺩﻻﺋﻠﻰ ﻛــﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺎﻻ ﺁﻭﺭﺩﻳﻢ ﻣﻮﺟﻮﺩﻳﺖﺍﺵ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺎ ﺧﻄﺮﺍﺕ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺟﺪﻯﺗﺮﻯ ﺭﻭﺑﺮﻭ ﺩﻳﺪ .ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻫﻤﭽﻮﻥ ﻣﺎﺷــﻴﻦ ﻣﺸــﺘﻰﻣﻤﺪﻟﻰ »ﺩﻧﺪﻩ ﻋﻘﺐ« ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ،ﺑﺎ ﺩﻭﺩ ﻭ ﺑﺨﺎﺭ ﻭ ﺳﺮﻭﺻﺪﺍﻯ ﻓﺮﺍﻭﺍﻥ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﺷﻌﺎﺭﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻗﺼﺪ ﺣﺬﻑﺷﺎﻥ ﺍﺯ ﺻﺤﻨﺔ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺍﺷــﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺗﻴﺘﺮ ﻧﺨﺴﺖ ﺭﺳــﺎﻧﻪﻫﺎ ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺮﺩﺍﻧﺪ. ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻯ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻮﺍ ﺍﻭﻻﻧﺪ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﺳﺮﭼﺸﻤﻪ ﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮﺩ. ﺍﻣﺎ ﺣﻀﻮﺭ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻮﺍ ﺍﻭﻻﻧﺪ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺎﺥ ﺭﻳﺎﺳﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻪ ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ ﺩﻳﮕــﺮﻯ ﻧﻴــﺰ ﺩﺭ ﻗﻔﺎﻯ ﺧﻮﺩ ﭘﻨﻬﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ .ﺧــﺎﺭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﺑﺎﺯﻧﮕﺮﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺳﻨﺘﻰ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴــﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺧﺎﻭﺭﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ﻭ ﺁﺳﻴﺎﻯ ﻣﺮﻛﺰﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﺷــﺘﺎﺑﺰﺩﻩ ﺩﺭ ﻭﺑﻼگ »ﻛﺎﺭ ﺭﻭﻛﺎﺭ« ﻣﻄﺮﺡ ﺷﺪ ،ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻪ ﺩﺭ ﮔﺎﻡ ﻧﺨﺴــﺖ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳــﺪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﻮﻳﻨﻰ ﺑــﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﺗﺤﺎﺩﻳﺔ ﺍﺭﻭﭘــﺎ ﺗﺪﻭﻳﻦ ﻛﻨﺪ .ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮﺭ ﻣﺜﺎﻝ ،ﺍﻳــﻦ ﺍﺗﺤﺎﺩﻳﻪ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﺯﻳﺮ ﺳﺒﻴﻞ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﻣﻮﺵﺩﻭﺍﻧﻰ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ،ﻣﻄﺎﻟﺒﺎﺕ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻭ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﻭ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ »ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺗﺤﺎﺩﻳﻪ« ﻭ ﻳﺎ ﺁﺭﺍﻯ ﻋﻤﻮﻣﻰ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎﺋﻴﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺧﻮﺭﺩ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﺑﺪﻫﺪ .ﻣﺴــﻠﻤﺎً ﺩﺭ ﭼﺎﺭﭼﻮﺏ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺗﺠﺪﻳﺪ ﻧﻈﺮﻫﺎ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﺎﺯﻧﮕﺮﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺳــﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺳﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﻧﺎﺗﻮ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎﻯ ﺷﺮﻗﻰ ،ﺧﺼﻮﺻﺎً ﺩﺭ ﺍﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺑﺎ ﻛﺸــﻮﺭﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻣﺪ ﻧﻈﺮ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﮔﻴﺮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺣﺴﺎﺳــﻴﺖ ﺷــﺪﻳﺪ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﻣﻰﺍﻧﮕﻴﺰﻧــﺪ .ﺑﻰﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﻠﺒﺸــﻮ ،ﻭﺿﻌﻴﺖ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﻛﺸــﻮﺭ ﻳﻮﻧﺎﻥ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻥ ﺍﻛﺜﺮﻳﺖ ﺑﺎ ﺍﺭﺗﺪﻭﻛﺲﻫﺎﺳﺖ ﺗﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺣﺪ »ﻗﻤﺮ ﺩﺭ ﻋﻘﺮﺏ« ﺷﺪﻩ! ﺩﺭ ﭼﺎﺭﭼﻮﺏ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺑﺎﺯﺑﻴﻨﻰﻫﺎ ،ﺍﺯ ﺁﻧﺠﺎ ﻛﻪ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷﻰ ﺩﻳﻮﺍﺭ ﺑﺮﻟﻦ ،ﻫﺮ ﮔﺎﻩ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﻳﻚ ﮔﺎﻡ ﺑﻪ ﭘﻴﺶ ﮔﺬﺍﺷﺘﻪ ،ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﮔﺎﻣﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻘﺐ ﺑﺮﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ،ﭘﺮ ﻭﺍﺿﺢ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎﺯﺑﻴﻨﻰ ﻧﻮﻳﻦ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺁﻏﺎﺯ ﻛﺎﺭ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺳﻮﺳﻴﺎﻟﻴﺴﺖ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻪ ﭘﺎﻳﻪﺭﻳﺰﻯ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ ،ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻧﻘﺸــﻰ ﻣﺘﻔﺎﻭﺕ ﺑﺎ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻧﻈﺮ ﮔﻴﺮﺩ .ﺷﺎﻳﺪ ﻣﻨﺒﻌﺪ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺍﺯ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ،ﻧﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻳﻚ ﻣﺮﻛﺰ ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﺍﺳــﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ،ﻛﻪ ﻓﻘﻂ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻳﻚ ﭘﺎﻳﺘﺨﺖ »ﻛﻼﻥ ﺳــﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪﺩﺍﺭﻯ« ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﺳﺨﻦ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ .ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮﺭ ﺧﻼﺻﻪ ،ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﺧﻮﺍﺑﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺳــﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻫﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﺩﻳﺪﻩ ﺑﻮﺩﻧﺪ ،ﻭ ﺑﺮ ﺍﺳﺎﺱ ﺁﻥ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺑﻮﺩ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﺸﻮﺭ ﺍﺯ ﺭﺗﺒﺔ »ﺍﺑﺮﻗﺪﺭﺗﻰ« ﺑﻪ ﺟﺎﻳﮕﺎﻩ ﻳﻚ ﻛﺸــﻮﺭ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎﺋﻰ ﭘﺮﺗﺎﺏ ﺷــﻮﺩ، ﺍﻳﻨــﻚ ﺩﺭ ﻣــﻮﺭﺩ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ »ﺗﻌﺒﻴﺮ« ﺷــﺪﻩ .ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺳــﺎﺩﮔﻰ! ﺑﺎ ﺑﺎﺯﮔﺸــﺖ ﭘﻮﺗﻴﻦ ﺑﻪ ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ،ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎ ﻭ ﻣﻄﺎﻟﺒﺎﺕ »ﺁﺳﻴﺎﺋﻰ ـ
ﺍﻗﻴﺎﻧﻮﺳﻴﺔ« ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﺑﺎﺭ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺩﺭ ﺭﺃﺱ »ﺗﻘﻮﻳﻢ ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ« ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﻭ ﻣﺸﻜﻞ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺟﺎﺋﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺴﻴﺮ ﻣﺘﺼﻮﺭ ﺷﺪ.
ﺁﻥ ﺷﻜﻢ ﻭ ﻛﻠﻪﭘﺎﭼﻪ ﻭ ﺳﻴﺮﺍﺑﻰ ،ﻣﻤﻜﻦ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻧﻴﻜﻮﻻ ﺳﺮﻛﻮﺯﻯ ﺯﻳﺮ ﺩﻭﺧﻢ ﺍﻭﻻﻧﺪ ﺭﺍ ﺑﮕﻴﺮﺩ ،ﻳﺎ »ﻓﺘﻴﻠﻪﭘﻴﭻﺍﺵ« ﻛﻨﺪ.
ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻓﺸــﺎﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﺑﺮ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﻳﺎﻓﺘﻪ ،ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛــﻪ ﺩﻣﻜﺮﺍﺕﻫﺎ ﻣﻌﻤﻮﻻً ﺑﻪ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﻧﺰﺩﻳﻚﺍﻧــﺪ ،ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺍﺯ ﻗﺒﻮﻝ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻫﻤﺎﻫﻨﮕﻰﻫﺎ ﺳــﺮ ﺑﺎﺯ ﻣﻰﺯﻧﻨــﺪ .ﺩﺭ ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻟﺔ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻓﺸﺎﺭﻫﺎﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺩﻳﺪﺍﺭ ﻣﻘﺎﻣﺎﺕ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﻭ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻋﻤ ً ﻼ ﺑﻪ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺗﻌﻠﻴﻖ ﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪﻩ ،ﻭ ﻛﺸــﻮﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺗﺤﺎﺩﻳﺔ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎ ،ﺩﺭ ﺭﺃﺱﺷﺎﻥ ﺁﻟﻤﺎﻥ ،ﺗﻤﺎﻣﻰ ﺗﻼﺵ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑــﻪ ﺧﺮﺝ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﻨﺪ ﺗﺎ ﺍﺯ ﺣﻀﻮﺭ ﻓﻮﺗﺒﺎﻟﻴﺴــﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺴــﺎﺑﻘﺎﺕ »ﻳﻮﺭﻭ «2012ﻛﻪ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻭﻛﺮﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭ ﺷــﻮﺩ ﺟﻠﻮﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺁﻭﺭﻧﺪ! ﺑﻬﺎﻧﻪ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺭﻭﺷﻦ ﺍﺳﺖ :ﻳﻚ ﻧﺨﺴﺖﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﺳــﺎﺑﻖ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻭﻛﺮﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻻﺋﻠﻰ ﺯﻧﺪﺍﻧﻰ ﺷــﺪﻩ ﻭ ﺍﻳﻨﺎﻥ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺍﺳﺘﺪﻻﻝ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨــﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳــﻦ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺻﺤﻴﺢ ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ! ﻭﻟﻰ ﺑﺎ ﺷــﻨﺎﺧﺘﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻧﺴﺎﻧﺪﻭﺳﺘﻰ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺟﻤﺎﻋﺖ ﺩﺍﺭﻳﻢ ،ﻭ ﺩﻳﺪﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﭼﮕﻮﻧﻪ ﻫﺰﺍﺭﺍﻥ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺗﻮﺳــﻂ »ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺍﻥ ﺧﻂ ﺍﻣﺎﻡ« ﺩﺭ ﺯﻧﺪﺍﻥﻫﺎ ﺳــﺮ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ ﻛﺮﺩﻧﺪ ﻭ ﻛﻚﺷــﺎﻥ ﻫﻢ ﻧﮕﺰﻳﺪ ،ﺯﻧﺪﺍﻧﻰ ﺷــﺪﻥ ﺧﺎﻧﻢ »ﺗﻴﻤﻮﺷــﻨﻜﻮ« ﺁﻧﻘﺪﺭﻫﺎ ﻋﺮﻕ ﺑﻪ ﭘﻴﺸــﺎﻧﻰ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﻧﻴﺎﻧﺪﺍﺧﺘﻪ ،ﺍﺻﻞ ﻣﺴــﺌﻠﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺟﺎﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﭘﻴﮕﻴﺮﻯ ﻛﺮﺩ.
ﻣﺴــﺌﻠﺔ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺴــﻠﻤﺎً ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ﺳﻮﺳﻴﺎﻟﻴﺴــﺖ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻪ ﺑــﺎ ﺁﻥ ﺭﻭﺑﺮﻭ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷــﺪ ،ﻣﻌﻀــﻞ ﺟﺒﻞﺍﻟﻄﺎﺭﻕ ﺍﺳــﺖ .ﺟﺒﻞ ﺍﻟﻄﺎﺭﻕ ،ﻳﻜــﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﺁﺑﺮﺍﻩﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﻬﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺷــﻤﺎﺭ ﻣﻰﺭﻭﺩ ﻭ ﻫﻤﭽﻮﻥ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺷــﺎﻫﺮگﻫﺎﻯ ﺣﻴﺎﺗﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﺍﺭﺗﺶ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺍﺳــﺖ .ﺳﺮﺯﻣﻴﻦ ﺟﺒﻞﺍﻟﻄﺎﺭﻕ ﺍﺯ ﺳــﺪﻩﻫﺎ ﭘﻴﺶ ﻗﺴﻤﺘﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺧﺎﻙ ﺍﺳﭙﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﺑﻮﺩ ،ﻭﻟﻰ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺑﺎ ﺷﻌﺎﺭ» ،ﻣﺎﻝ ﺧﻮﺩﻡ ﻣﺎﻝ ﺧﻮﺩﻡ ،ﻭ ﻣﺎﻝ ﻫﻤﻪ ﻫﻢ ﻣﺎﻝ ﺧﻮﺩﻡ« ،ﺍﻳﻦ »ﺁﺑﺮﺍﻩ« ﺭﺍ ﭘﺸﺖ ﻗﺒﺎﻟﺔ ﻋﻠﻴﺎﺣﻀﺮﺕ ﺍﻧﺪﺍﺧﺘﻪ .ﻭ ﻳﻜﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻻﺋﻠﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺭﺍﺳــﺖﮔﺮﺍﻳﺎﻥ ﺍﺳﭙﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﺑﺎ »ﻗﺪﺭﺕ« ﺗﻤﺎﻡ ﺩﺭ »ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ« ﺍﺧﻴﺮ ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯ ﺷــﺪﻧﺪ ،ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﻗﻮﻟﻰ ﺣﺘﻰ »ﺯﺍﭘﺎﺗﻪﺭﻭ« ،ﻧﺨﺴﺖ ﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﺳﺎﺑﻖ ﺳﻮﺳﻴﺎﻟﻴﺴﺖ ﺍﻳﻦﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ ﺁﻥﻫﺎ ﺭﺃﻯ ﺩﺍﺩ ،ﻓﻘﻂ ﻭ ﻓﻘﻂ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﺑﺪﺍﻧﺪ ﻭ ﺁﮔﺎﻩ ﺑﺎﺷــﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺟﺒﻞﺍﻟﻄﺎﺭﻕ ﻣﺎﻝ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﻜﻴﺴﺖﻫﺎﺳﺖ؛ ﻭ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﻜﻮ ﻫﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﻧﻴﻢ ﻧﻮﻛﺮ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﻴﺲ ﺑﻮﺩﻩ!
ﻣﺸــﻜﻞ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺯﻧﺪﺍﻧﻰ ﺷــﺪﻥ ﺍﻳﺸﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻋﻤﻞ ،ﭘﺮﻭﺳﺔ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻚ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎﻯ ﺷﻤﺎﻟﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺯﻳﺮ ﺳﺌﻮﺍﻝ ﺑﺮﺩﻩ .ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺭﺃﺱ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺧﺎﻧﻢ ﺗﻴﻤﻮﺷــﻨﻜﻮ ﻭﺭﻭﺩ ﺍﻭﻛﺮﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺗﺤﺎﺩﻳﺔ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎ ﻭ ﺳــﺎﺯﻣﺎﻥ ﻧﺎﺗﻮ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ .ﺍﻫﺪﺍﻓﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ »ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ« ﺳــﺎﻝ 2010ﻭ ﺭﻳﺎﺳﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ »ﻭﻳﻜﺘﻮﺭ ﻳﺎﻧﻜﻮﻭﻳﭻ« ﺑﻪ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺗﻌﻠﻴﻖ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻣــﺪ .ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﻌﻠﻴﻖ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ ﻣﺎﺳــﺖ :ﻋﻘﺐ ﻧﺸﺴــﺘﻦ ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﻭ ﺷــﺎﺧﻚﻫﺎﻯﺍﺵ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺗﺤﺎﺩﻳﺔ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ. ﺣﺎﻝ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴــﻮﺍ ﺍﻭﻻﻧﺪ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﻴﻦ ﭘﺮﻭﺳــﺔ ﻣــﻮﺭﺩ ﻧﻈﺮ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﻭ ﻣﻄﺎﻟﺒﺎﺕ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ،ﺩﺭ ﻗﻠــﺐ ﺍﺗﺤﺎﺩﻳﺔ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎ ﻧﻮﻋــﻰ ﻫﻤﺎﻫﻨﮕﻰ ﺍﻳﺠﺎﺩ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺪ .ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮﺭﻳﻜﻪ ﻧﻪ ﺳــﺒﻴﻞ ﻗﺰﺍﻕﻫﺎ ﺑﺴــﻮﺯﺩ ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﺷﻌﻠﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﺗﺶ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺍﻣﻦ ﻋﻠﻴﺎﺣﻀﺮﺕ ﺑﻴﺎﻓﺘﺪ! ﺑﻪ ﻋﺒﺎﺭﺕ ﺳــﺎﺩﻩﺗﺮ ،ﺑﻮﺭژﻭﺍﺯﻯ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﺷﺎﻧﺴﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺭﺍﺳﺖﮔﺮﺍﻳﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ﻧﻤﻰﺩﻳﺪ ،ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻧﻴﺰ »ﺍﻭﻻﻧﺪ« ﺭژﻳﻢ ﻻﻏﺮﻯ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ .ﻳﺎﺩﺁﻭﺭ ﺷﻮﻳﻢ ﺍﻳﺸﺎﻥ ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻴﻜﻪ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺷــﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻘﺎﻡ ﺭﻳﺎﺳﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ »ﻧﺎﺋﻞ« ﺁﻳﻨﺪ ﺳﺮﻳﻌﺎً ﺭژﻳﻢ ﻻﻏﺮﻯ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻨﺪ! ﻭ ﻋﻴﻦ ﻛﺸﺘﻰﮔﻴﺮﻫﺎ »ﻭﺯﻥ ﻋﻮﺽ« ﻛﺮﺩﻧﺪ ﺗﺎ ﺷﺎﻧﺲ ﺩﺳﺘﻴﺎﺑﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺪﺍﻝ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﻨﺪ؛ ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺁﻥ ﻫﻴﺒﺖ ﻋﺠﻴﺐ ﻭ ﻏﺮﻳﺐ ﻭ ﺍﺿﺎﻓﻪ ﻭﺯﻥ ﻣﺸــﻜﻞ ﻣﻰﺷﺪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯﺷــﺎﻥ ﺭﺃﻯ ﺟﻤﻊ ﻛﺮﺩ .ﺭﻭﺷﻦﺗﺮ ﺑﮕﻮﺋﻴﻢ ﺑﺎ
ﻭﻟﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻧﺒﺮﺩ ﺍﺳــﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻜﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﻨﻚ ﺩﺭ ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻥ ﺍﻭﻓﺘﺎﺩﻩ »ﻗﻀﻴﻪ« ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺳــﺎﺩﮔﻰﻫﺎ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺭﻓﻊ ﻭ ﺭﺟﻮﻉ ﺷــﻮﺩ .ﺩﺭ ﻋﻤﻞ ﻳﻜﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻻﺋــﻞ »ﺑﺤــﺮﺍﻥ ﻓﺰﺍﻳﻨﺪﺓ« ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﻳﻮﻧﺎﻥ ﻗــﺮﺍﺭ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺠﻤﻊﺍﻟﺠﺰﺍﻳﺮ ﺑﺮ ﺳﺮ ﺭﺍﻩ ﻭﺭﻭﺩ ﻛﺸﺘﻰﻫﺎﻯ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺭﻭﻥ ﻣﺪﻳﺘﺮﺍﻧﻪ ﺍﺳــﺖ .ﺍﮔﺮ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ »ﻭﺭﻭﺩ« ﺍﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﺘﻰﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺪﻳﺘﺮﺍﻧﻪ ﺍﻳﻨﻬﻤﻪ ﮔﻮﺳــﻔﻨﺪ ﺩﺭ ﻳﻮﻧﺎﻥ ﻗﺮﺑﺎﻧﻰ ﺷﻮﺩ ،ﺑﺒﻴﻨﻴﺪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺗﺄﻣﻴﻦ ﺭﺍﻩ ﺧﺮﻭﺝ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﺘﻰﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺟﺒﻞﺍﻟﻄﺎﺭﻕ ﭼﻨﺪ ﮔﻠﻪ ﮔﺎﻭ ﻗﺮﺑﺎﻧﻰ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷــﺪ! ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺳــﻔﺮ ﺍﺧﻴﺮ »ﭘﺮﻧﺲ ﺍﺩﻭﺍﺭﺩ« ﺑﻪ ﺟﺒﻞﺍﻟﻄﺎﺭﻕ »ﺧﺸــﻢ« ﻣﻠﻜﺔ ﺍﺳــﭙﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺍﻧﮕﻴﺨﺖ ،ﻭ ﺍﻳﺸﺎﻥ ﻳﺎﺩﺷــﺎﻥ ﺁﻣﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺁﺑــﺮﺍﻩ ﺍﺻ ً ﻼ ﻣﺘﻌﻠﻖ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺳﭙﺎﻧﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ،ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺑﺎ ﺩﺭﺑﺎﺭ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﻗﻬﺮ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ،ﺑﻪ ﺩﻋﻮﺕ ﻋﻠﻴﺎﺣﻀﺮﺕ ﺍﻟﻴﺰﺍﺑﺖ ﺩﻭﻡ ﺟﻮﺍﺏ »ﺭﺩ« ﺩﺍﺩﻧﺪ! ﻭﻟــﻰ ﻫﻤﻪ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﻧﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﻟﻨــﺪﻥ ﺑﺮ ﺟﺒﻞﺍﻟﻄﺎﺭﻕ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻭﺍﺋﻞ ﻗــﺮﻥ ﻫﺠﺪﻫﻢ ﺑﺎﺯ ﻣﻰﮔﺮﺩﺩ ،ﺑﻪ ﺩﻭﺭﺍﻥ ﻛﺮﻛﺮﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴــﺘﺎﻥ ﻭ ﺟﻨﮓﻫــﺎﻯ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺭﻭﭘﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ .ﺣﺎﻝ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﭘﺮﺳــﻴﺪ ،ﭼﺮﺍ ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﻣﻠﻜﻪ »ﺳــﻮﻓﻰ« ﻳﺎﺩ ﺍﻳــﻦ »ﺻﺨﺮﺓ« ﻋﺰﻳﺰ ﺍﻓﺘﺎﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ؟ ﻭ ﭼﺮﺍ ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﭘﺸﺖ ﭼﺸﻢﺷــﺎﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻟﻴﺰﺍﺑﺖ ﺩﻭﻡ »ﻧﺎﺯﻙ« ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ؟ ﻋﻠﻴﺎﺣﻀﺮﺗــﺎ! ﻣﮕﺮ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺟﺒﻞﺍﻟﻄﺎﺭﻕ ﺑــﺎ ﺁﻥ ﻗﺪﻳﻤﻰ ﺗﻔﺎﻭﺕ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ؟
ﻣﻌﻠﻮﻡ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺗﻔﺎﻭﺗﻰ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ؛ ﺁﻧﭽﻪ ﺗﻔﺎﻭﺕ ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺟﺒﻞﺍﻟﻄﺎﺭﻕ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ، ﻭﺿﻌﻴﺖ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﺎﻥ ﺑﺮ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺻﺨﺮﻩ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻚ ﭘﺎﻯﺷــﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻫﻮﺍﺳــﺖ. ﺩﺭ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ﻛﺴــﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻟﻴﺰﺍﺑﺖ ﺩﻭﻡ »ﻧﺮ...ﺩﻩ« ﺑﻮﺩ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻣﻠﻜﻪ ﺳــﻮﻓﻰ ﻭﺭﭘﺮﻳﺪﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ! ﺍﻳﺸﺎﻥ ﻫﻢ ﻛﺮﺩﻧﺪ ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻜﻪ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﺍﻥ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ! ﺑــﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ،ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮﺭ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻭﺑﻼگﻫﺎﻯ ﭘﻴﺸــﻴﻦ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻓﻌﺎﺕ ﺗﻮﺿﻴﺢ ﺩﺍﺩﻩﺍﻳﻢ ،ﺧﺎﺭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﺩﺍﺩﻥ ﭼﻴﻦ ﻭ ﻣﺎﺋﻮﺋﻴﺴــﺖﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻨﮕﻨﻪ ،ﺍﻋﻤﺎﻝ ﻓﺸــﺎﺭ ﺑﺮ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴــﺘﺎﻥ ﺍﻣﻜﺎﻧﭙﺬﻳﺮ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷــﺪ .ﺧﺼﻮﺻﺎً ﺩﺭ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻘﻰ ﻛﻪ ﭼﻴﻦ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﺳــﻨﺘﻰ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻣــﻜﺎﻥ ﻋﻤﻞ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻭ ﺍﻃﻼﻋﺎﺗﻰ ﮔﺴــﺘﺮﺩﻩ ﺑﺮﺧــﻮﺭﺩﺍﺭ ﺍﺳــﺖ ،ﻭ ﺍﺯ ﻗﻀﺎﻯ ﺭﻭﺯﮔﺎﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ،ﻛﺮﻩ ﺷــﻤﺎﻟﻰ ،ﺁﺳــﻴﺎﻯ ﻣﺮﻛﺰﻯ ﻭ ﺍﻗﻴﺎﻧﻮﺳــﻴﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻧﺠﻤﻠﻪﺍﻧﺪ .ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﺎﻻﺕ ﻣﺘﺤــﺪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﺟﺘﻨﺎﺏ ﺍﺯ ﺗﻘﺎﺑﻞ ﺩﻳﭙﻠﻤﺎﺗﻴﻚ ﺑﺎ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ،ﮔﺮﻳﺒﺎﻥ ﭼﻴﻦ ﺭﺍ ﻣﻰﮔﻴــﺮﺩ ﻭ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺻــﻮﺭ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ ،ﺣﺘﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻇﺎﻫﺮ ﻫﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺷــﺪﻩ ،ﺗﺤﺖ ﻓﺸــﺎﺭ ﻣﻰﮔﺬﺍﺭﺩ ،ﻭ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﻛﺮﻩ ﺷﻤﺎﻟﻰ ﺭﺍ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻋﻤﻞ ﻭﺍﺑﺴــﺘﮕﻰ ﺑﻰﻗﻴﺪ ﻭ ﺷــﺮﻁ ﺑﻪ ﭘﻜــﻦ ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ﻣﻮﺭﺩ ﺗﻬﺎﺟﻢ ﺩﻳﭙﻠﻤﺎﺗﻴﻚ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﻣﻰﺩﻫﺪ .ﺩﺭ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺭﺍﺳــﺘﺎ ،ﻣﻮﺷﻚ ﻛﺮﺓ ﺷﻤﺎﻟﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺎﻫﻮﺍﺭﻩﺍﺵ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻮﺍ ﻣﻰﺑﺮﺩ ﺳــﻘﻮﻁ ﻛﺮﺩ ،ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﺁﻧﻜﻪ ﺍﺣﺪﻯ ﻣﺴﺌﻮﻟﻴﺖ ﺁﻥ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮ ﻋﻬﺪﻩ ﮔﻴﺮﺩ .ﭘﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ﺑﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯ ﻧﺸﺴﺖ »ژ «8ﻧﻴﺰ ﺍﻳﺎﻻﺕ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﻣﺮﺗﺒﺎً ﺧﻮﺍﺳﺘﺎﺭ ﺑﺮﺧﻮﺭﺩ ﺟﺪﻯ ﺑﺎ »ﺍﻟﻬﺎﻣﺎﺕ ﻫﺴﺘﻪﺍﻯ« ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻛﺮﻩ ﺷﻤﺎﻟﻰ ﺷــﺪﻩ ،ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﺎﻃﻌﻰ ،ﺣﺘﻰ ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻴﻢ ﺑﻴﻦ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻭ ﭘﻜﻦ ﺩﺭ ﺯﻣﻴﻨﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ،ﻣﺎﻟﻰ ﻭ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﻣﻠﻤﻮﺱ ﺍﺳــﺖ .ﺍﻳﻦ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ ﺍﻳﺬﺍﺋﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻓﺮﻭﺵ 67ﻓﺮﻭﻧﺪ ﺟﺖ ﺟﻨﮕﺪﻩ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺎﻳﻮﺍﻥ ،ﻛﻪ ﺣﺴﺎﺳﻴﺖ ﭘﻜﻦ ﺭﺍ ﺑــﻪ ﻫﻤﺮﺍﻩ ﻣﻰﺁﻭﺭﺩ ،ﺗﺎ ﻣﺎﻧﻊ ﺗﺮﺍﺷــﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺭﺍﻩ ﺻــﺪﻭﺭ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﻛﺎﻻﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﭼﻴﻦ ﺍﻣﺘﺪﺍﺩ ﻣﻰﻳﺎﺑﺪ ﻭ ﺑﺠﺰ ﺍﺛﺒﺎﺕ ﺣﺴﻦ ﻧﻴﺖ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻥ ﻧﻤﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻫﺪﻓﻰ ﺟﺴﺖ. ﺍﻳﻨﺠﺎﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻭﺿﻌﻴﺖ ﻭﻳﮋﻩﺍﻯ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴــﻮﺍ ﺍﻭﻻﻧﺪ ﻭ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴــﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﺁﻣﺪﻩ .ﺳــﻔﺮ ﺳــﻨﺎﺗﻮﺭ »ﺭﻭﻛﺎﺭ« ﺑﻪ ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﺍﺯ »ﺗﺄﺋﻴﺪﻯ« ﺩﺍﺭﺩ ﺍﺯ ﺟﺎﻧــﺐ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴــﻪ ﻣﺒﻨﻰ ﺑﺮ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ »ﻋﻘﺐﻧﺸــﻴﻨﻰ« ﭼﻴﻦ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺗﻮﺳــﻂ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﺍﻥ »ﺟﺒﺮﺍﻥ« ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷــﺪ! ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﻧﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﭘﺎﺭﻳﺲ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺿﻌﻰ ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺧﻼء ﺭﺍ ﭘﺮ ﻛﻨﺪ ﻭ ﻭﺍﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻭ ﺍﻧﮕﻠﺴــﺘﺎﻥ ﻫﻢ ﺩﺳﺖﺷﺎﻥ ﻛﻮﺗﺎﻩ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻭ ﺧﺮﻣﺎ ﺑﺮ ﻧﺨﻴﻞ! ﺧﻼﺻﻪ ﺯﻳﺮ ﭘﺎﻯ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﻰ ﺷﻞ ﺷﺪﻩ! ﻭ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻪ ﻣﻰﻛﻮﺷﺪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺟﺒﺮﺍﻥ ﺍﻳﻦ »ﻣﺼﻴﺒﺖ« ﭼﺎﺭﻩﺍﻯ ﺑﻴﻨﺪﻳﺸﺪ .ﺗﺄﻛﻴﺪﺍﺕ ﭘﻴﮕﻴﺮﺍﻧﺔ ﺍﻭﻻﻧﺪ ﻣﺒﻨﻰ ﺑﺮ ﺧﺮﻭﺝ ﺍﺭﺗﺶ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻓﻐﺎﻧﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻋﻤﻞ ﻳﻜﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ »ﺩﺭ ﺑﺎﻍﺳﺒﺰﻫﺎﺳﺖ!« ﻭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻇﻬﺎﺭﺍﺕ »ﭼﺮﺍﻍ ﺳــﺒﺰ« ﺑﻪ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ .ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻌﻨﺎ
ﻛــﻪ ﻧﻘﺶ »ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ« ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴــﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻓﻐﺎﻧﺴــﺘﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺧﺘﻴﺎﺭ ﻣﻼﻳﺎﻥ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﮔﻴﺮﺩ .ﻭﻟﻰ ﺭﻭﺷــﻦ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺷﻮﺭﻭﻯ ﺳﺎﺑﻖ ،ﻧﻪ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻪ ﺗﺼﻤﻴﻢﮔﻴﺮﻧﺪﻩ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﺟﻤﻜﺮﺍﻥ. ﺩﺭ ﻫﻤﻴــﻦ ﺭﺍﺳﺘﺎﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﭘﻴﺸــﺘﺮ ﻧﻴــﺰ ﮔﻔﺘﻴﻢ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳــﺪ ﻣﻨﺘﻈﺮ ﻋﻜﺲﺍﻟﻌﻤﻞ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮ ﻋﻘﺐﻧﺸﻴﻨﻰ ﻓﺮﺍﻧﺴﻪ ﺑﻮﺩ .ﭘﻮﺗﻴﻦ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﺑﻪ ﺷــﺮﻛﺖ ﺩﺭ ﻧﺸﺴــﺖ »ژ «8ﺩﺭ ﻭﺍﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻧﺸﺪ ،ﻭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻛﺎﺭ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺪﻭﺩﻑ ﺳــﭙﺮﺩ؛ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺭﺍ ﻓﻘﻂ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﻧﻮﻋﻰ ژﺳــﺖ ﻣﻮﻫﻦ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺗﻠﻘﻰ ﻛﺮﺩ .ژﺳﺘﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺩﻧﺒﺎﻟﻪﺍﺵ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻣﻨﺘﻈﺮ ﻋﻜﺲﺍﻟﻌﻤﻞﻫﺎﻯ ﺗﻨﺪﺗﺮ ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﺩﺭ ﻋﻤﻖ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﻴﻢ .ﺑﺎ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﮕﺮﺍﺋﻰﻫﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ،ﺍﻳﻦ ﻋﻤﻖ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺍﺯ ﭘﺎﻳﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺴﺘﺤﻜﻢﺗﺮﻯ ﺑﺮﺧﻮﺭﺩﺍﺭ ﺷﺪﻩ ،ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺪﺭﻳﺞ ﻣﻰﺭﻭﺩ ﺗﺎ ﻳﻮﻧﺎﻥ ،ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺭﺍ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﮔﻴﺮﺩ.