saeed saman

‫‪ 6‬ﻣــﺎﺭﺱ ‪2012‬‬

‫ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﻓﺮﻭﻧﺸﺴﺘﻦ ﺍﻟﺘﻬﺎﺏ »ﺑﻬﺎﺭ ﻋﺮﺏ« ﺩﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ‪ ،‬ﻛﻪ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻴﻢ‬ ‫ﺩﺧﺎﻟﺖ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ‪ ،‬ﻫﻨﺪ ﻭ ﭼﻴﻦ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺍﺿﻊ ﺍﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎﺭﻯ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﻏﺮﺏ ﺑﻪ ﻧﺎﭼﺎﺭ‪ ،‬ﺩﺳﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻘﺐﻧﺸﻴﻨﻰ ﮔﺎﻡ ﺑﻪ ﮔﺎﻡ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻮﺍﺿﻊ‬ ‫ﻣﻌﻤﻮﻝ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺯﺩﻩ‪ .‬ﺑﺎﺯﺗﺎﺏ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻋﻘﺐﻧﺸــﻴﻨﻰ ﺭﺍ ﻧﺨﺴــﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺨﻨﺮﺍﻧﻰ‬

‫ﺑــﺎﺭﺍﻙ ﺍﻭﺑﺎﻣــﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺤﻔﻞ »ﺁﻳﭙــﻚ« ﻣﻰﺑﻴﻨﻴــﻢ‪ .‬ﺍﻭﺑﺎﻣﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻧﺸﺴــﺖ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻭﺳﺘﻰ ‪ 60‬ﺳﺎﻟﺔ ﻣﻠﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻭ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺳﺨﻦ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ؛ ﺍﺯ ﺗﻌﻬﺪﺍﺕ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺣﻔﻆ ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺖ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﻣﺴــﺘﻤﻌﻴﻦ ﺣﻜﺎﻳﺖ ﮔﻔﺖ؛ ﺍﺯ ﺗﻼﺵﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺩﺳﺘﻴﺎﺑﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺻﻠﺢ »ﻗﺼﻪﻫﺎ« ﻧﻘﻞ ﻛﺮﺩ؛ ﺍﺯ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺻﻄﻼﺡ »ﺗﻬﺪﻳﺪ« ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ‬ ‫ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﻰ ﺑﺮ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺩﺍﺳﺘﺎﻥ ﺳﺮ ﻫﻢ ﻧﻤﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﺍﻳﻨﻬﻤﻪ ﻓﻘﻂ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻓﻘﻂ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺁﻧﻜﻪ ﺩﺭ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺑﮕﻮﻳﺪ‪:‬‬ ‫»ﻣــﺎ ﭘﻴــﺶ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳــﻦ ﻧﻴــﺰ ﺩﺭ ﺟﺮﻳــﺎﻥ ﭼﻨﻴــﻦ ﻣﻮﻗﻌﻴﺖﻫــﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﭼﺎﻟﺶﺑﺮﺍﻧﮕﻴــﺰﻯ ﻗــﺮﺍﺭ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺑﻮﺩﻳﻢ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻭ ﺍﺳــﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻧﻬﺎﻳــﺖ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴــﺘﻨﺪ ﺑﺎ ﻳﻜﺪﻳﮕﺮ ﻛﻨــﺎﺭ ﺁﻣﺪﻩ ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻛﻨــﺎﺭ ﻫﻢ ﺑﺎﻗﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﻤﺎﻧﻨﺪ‪«.‬‬

‫ﺍﻣﻴﺪﻭﺍﺭﻳﻢ ﺑﺎﺭﺍﻙ ﺍﻭﺑﺎﻣــﺎ ﻭ ﺑﻨﻴﺎﻣﻴﻦ ﻧﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎﻫﻮ ﺑﻪ ﭘﺎﻯ ﻫﻢ »ﭘﻴﺮ«‬ ‫ﺷــﻮﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺑــﺎﺭﻯ‪ ،‬ﺍﻭﺑﺎﻣــﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷــﻰ ﺍﺳــﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻯﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺟﻨﮓﻃﻠﺒﺎﻧﺔ ﻭﺍﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ‪ ،‬ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻯﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻗﺎﻋﺪﺗﺎً‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺴــﺖ ﺯﻣﻴﻨﺔ ﺗﻨﺶ‪ ،‬ﺟﻨﮓ ﻭ ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﮔﺴــﺘﺮﺩﻩﺗﺮ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻭﺭﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ﻓﺮﺍﻫﻢ ﺁﻭﺭﺩﻩ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺣﻖ »ﺟﻨﮓﺍﻓﺮﻭﺯﻯ«‬ ‫ﺗﺄﻣﻴﻦ ﻛﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﺑﺎﻻﺟﺒﺎﺭ ﻳﻚ ﮔﺎﻡ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻘﺐ ﭘﺮﻳﺪﻩ‪ .‬ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﻛﺎﺭ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ‬ ‫»ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ـ ﺗﻞﺁﻭﻳﻮ« ﺑﺠﺎﺋﻰ ﺭﺳﻴﺪﻩ ﻛﻪ »ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﻣﺎﻧﺪﻥﺷﺎﻥ« ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻛﻨﺎﺭ ﻳﻜﺪﻳﮕﺮ ﺩﺭ ﮔﺮﻭ ﺗﺮﻙ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻳﭙﻠﻤﺎﺳﻰ »ﺟﻨﮓﺍﻓﺮﻭﺯﻯ«‬ ‫ﺍﺳــﺖ! ﺧﻼﺻــﺔ ﻛﻼﻡ‪ ،‬ﺍﻳــﻦ ﺩﻳﭙﻠﻤﺎﺳــﻰ ﻧﻔﺮﺕﺍﻧﮕﻴﺰ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﺭﺍﻥ ﺑﺤــﺮﺍﻥ ﻛﺎﻧﺎﻝ ﺳــﻮﺋﺰ‪ ،‬ﻭ »ﺟﻨﮓﻫــﺎﻯ« ﻧﺎﺻﺮ ﺑﺎ ﺍﺭﺗﺶ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻧﺎﻥﺁﻭﺭ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺦ ﻣﺼﺮﻑﺍﺵ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺍﺣﺖ ﺑﻪ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺭﺳﻴﺪﻩ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ‬

‫ﺩﺭ ﻓﺮﺻﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﺍﺳــﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﻣﺴــﻠﻤﺎً ﺩﺭ ﭼﺎﺭﭼﻮﺏ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ ﻧﻮﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻣﻨﻄﻘــﻪﺍﻯ ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﺍﺗــﻼﻑ ﻭﻗﺖ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺁﻣﺎﺩﺓ ﺻﻠﺢ ﺑﺎ ﻫﻤﺴــﺎﻳﮕﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺍﻫــﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ‪ .‬ﭘﺮ ﻭﺍﺿﺢ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻛــﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺯﺍء ﺗﺄﻣﻴــﻦ ﺍﻳﻦ »ﺻﻠﺢ«‬ ‫ﺍﺟﺒﺎﺭﻯ ﻗﺴــﻤﺖ ﻋﻤــﺪﻩﺍﻯ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﻭﺍﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ‪ ،‬ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﻭ ﺗﻞﺁﻭﻳﻮ‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ‪» .‬ﻏﻢ ﻭ ﻏﺼﺔ« ﺁﺷﻜﺎﺭ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻴﻤﺎﻯ ﺑﻨﻴﺎﻣﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﻧﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎﻫﻮ‪ ،‬ﻧﺨﺴﺖﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﺋﻰ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺩﺭ ﺩﻳﺪﺍﺭ ﺍﺧﻴﺮﺵ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ ﺑﺎﺭﺍﻙﺍﻭﺑﺎﻣﺎ ﺭﻳﺸﻪ ﺩﺭ »ﺻﻠﺢ« ﺩﺍﺭﺩ!‬ ‫ﺣــﺎﻝ ﺍﮔﺮ ﺑــﻪ ﺳــﻨﺎﺭﻳﻮﻯ ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷــﻰ ﺍﺳــﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﻏــﺮﺏ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺳــﻮﺭﻳﻪ‪ ،‬ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺏ ﻛﻢﺩﺭﺩﺳــﺮ ﭘﻮﺗﻴﻦ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻘﺎﻡ ﺭﻳﺎﺳــﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ‬ ‫ﻓﺪﺭﺍﺳــﻴﻮﻥ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﺭﺍ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺍﺿﺎﻓﻪ ﻛﻨﻴﻢ‪ ،‬ﻗﻮﺯﻯ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎﻻﻯ‬ ‫ﻗــﻮﺯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺭﻓﺖ‪ .‬ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﻭﺍﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻧﻴﻚ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﻧﺴــﺖ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﭘﻮﺗﻴــﻦ ﺑﺎﺭ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ »ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺏ« ﻣﻰﺷــﻮﺩ؛ ﻣﺴــﺌﻠﻪ ﺍﻳــﻦ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﺗﻜﻴــﻪ ﺑﺮ ﻫﻴﺎﻫﻮ‪ ،‬ﺍﻭﺑﺎﺵﺳــﺎﻻﺭﻯ ﻭ ﺯﻭﺯﻩ ﻭ ﻋﺮﺑﺪﺓ »ﺁﺯﺍﺩﻳﺨﻮﺍﻫﺎﻧﺔ«‬ ‫ﺍﻧﻘﻼﺑﻰﻫــﺎﻯ ﺣﺮﻓﻪﺍﻯ‪ ،‬ﻏﺮﺏ ﺗﺎ ﻛﺠــﺎ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﻫﻢ ﺍﻳﻦ ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻯ‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻳﻨــﺔ ﺭﺳــﺎﻧﻪﻫﺎ »ﻣﺨــﺪﻭﺵ« ﻭﺍﻧﻤﻮﺩ ﻛﻨــﺪ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﻫﻢ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﺭﺩ ﺁﻭﺭﺩﻥ ﺿﺮﺑﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ »ﻛﺎﺭﻯ« ﺗــﺎ ﭼﻪ ﺣﺪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﮔﺮﻭﻩ ﻭﻻﺩﻳﻤﻴﺮ ﭘﻮﺗﻴﻦ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺑﻬﻴﻨﻪ ﻛﺮﺩﻥ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ »ﺑﺎﺝﮔﻴﺮﻯ« ﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻭﺍﻗﻌﻰ »ﺁﺯﺍﺩﻳﺨﻮﺍﻫﻰ«‬ ‫ﻳﺎﻧﻜﻰﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ‪ .‬ﺍﮔﺮ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻭﺍﻗﻌﺎً ﺧﻮﺍﺳﺘﺎﺭ ﺑﺮﻗﺮﺍﺭﻯ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ‬ ‫»ﺩﻣﻜﺮﺍﺗﻴﻚﺗﺮﻯ« ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﻣﻰﺑﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﺍﻣﻜﺎﻥ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺩﺭ ﺟﺒﻬﻪﻫﺎﺋﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻣﺮﺍﺗﺐ ﺳﺎﺯﻧﺪﻩﺗﺮ ﻭ ﺳﺮﻧﻮﺷﺖﺳﺎﺯﺗﺮ ﺍﺯ »ﺧﻴﺎﺑﺎﻥ« ﺭﺍ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ‪ .‬ﻭﻟﻰ‬ ‫ﮔﺮﺑﻪ ﺭﻗﺼﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻮﺳــﻞ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻣﺜﺎﻝ ﻛﺎﺳﭙﺎﺭﻭﻑ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ ﺩﻳﺎﻓﺮﺍﮔﻢ‬ ‫ﺩﻭﺭﺑﻴﻦﻫﺎ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﺍﺭﺍﺋﺔ ﺗﺼﻮﻳﺮ »ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻒ ﭘﻮﺗﻴﻦ« ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﺸــﺎﻥ ﻓﻘﻂ ﺑﺎﻋﺚ‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺒﺴﺎﻁ ﺧﺎﻃﺮ ﺗﻤﺎﺷﺎﭼﻴﺎﻥ ﺷﺒﻜﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺗﻠﻮﻳﺰﻳﻮﻧﻰ ﺷﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺧﻼﺻﻪ ﺁﻥ ﺟﻤﺎﻋﺖ ﺧﻮﺵﺑﺎﻭﺭﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻫﺮ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻰ‪ ،‬ﻳﺎ ﻏﻴﺮ‬ ‫ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻰ‪ ،‬ﺍﺯ ﭘﻮﺗﻴﻦ ﺩﻝﺧﻮﺷﻰ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻯ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ‪ ،‬ﺑﺎﺗﻮﻡ‬ ‫ﻭ ﻛﺘﻚ ﻧﻮﺵﺟﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﺑﻰﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺩﻝﺷــﺎﻥ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ »ﻳﻨﮕﻪﺩﻧﻴﺎ«‬ ‫ﻣﻰﻃﭙﺪ‪ .‬ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ ﺩﻝ ﻳﻨﮕﻪﺩﻧﻴﺎ ﺑﺎ ﺁﻥﻫﺎ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ؛ ﺩﺭ ﮔﺮﻭ ﺩﻻﺭﻫﺎﺋﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻛﺘﻚﺧﻮﺭﺩﻥ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺁﻗﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﻭ ﺧﺎﻧﻢﻫﺎ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺟﻴﺐ ﺑﺰﻧﺪ! ﭘﺲ ﻧﻮﺵ ﺟﺎﻥﺷــﺎﻥ! ﺣﺎﻝ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻛﺘﻚ ﺭﺳﻴﺪﻳﻢ‬ ‫ﺑﺒﻴﻨﻴﻢ »ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ« ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﻛﺎﺭﺵ ﺑﻪ ﻛﺠﺎ ﻛﺸﻴﺪﻩ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺍﮔــﺮ ﺑﺎ ﭼﺸــﻢ »ﺑﻴﻨﺎ« ﺑــﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑــﺎﺕ ﺑﻨﮕﺮﻳــﻢ‪ ،‬ﺁﻧﻘﺪﺭﻫﺎ ﻫﻢ‬ ‫ﺑﻰﺍﺭﺯﺵ ﻧﺒﻮﺩﻩ؛ ﺧﻴﻠﻰ ﭼﻴﺰﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻫﻴﺎﻫﻮ ﺑﻪ ﻭﻗﻮﻉ ﭘﻴﻮﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ‬

‫ﺩﺭ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﻋﺎﺩﻯ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴــﺖ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺁﻳﺪ‪ .‬ﻧﺨﺴﺖ ﺑﻰﺁﺑﺮﻭﺋﻰ‬ ‫ﻫﺮ ﭼﻪ ﺑﻴﺸــﺘﺮ ﺟﻨــﺎﺡ ﻣﺤﻤﺪ ﺧﺎﺗﻤﻰ ﻭ ﺩﺍﺭﻭﺩﺳــﺘﺔ ﺳــﺒﺰﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺑﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻨﺎﻥ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺣﺴــﺎﺏ ﺧﻮﺩﺷــﺎﻥ ﻫﻢ »ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ« ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﻧﺨﺴﺘﻴﻦ ﺑﺎﺭ ﻃﻰ ﺑﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻪ ﺩﻫﻪ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﻓﺎﺷﻴﺴﻢ ﺩﻳﻨﻰ ﺑﺮ‬ ‫ﻛﺸــﻮﺭﻣﺎﻥ »ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻢ« ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﻫﻢ ﺧﺎﺗﻤﻰ ﺭﺍ ﻓﺮﺳﺘﺎﺩﻧﺪ‬ ‫ﺩﻡ ﺻﻨﺪﻭﻕﻫﺎﻯ ﺭﺃﻯ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﻫﻢ ﺩﺭ ﻋﻤﻞ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺩﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺑﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﺎﻥ »ﻣﺮﺩﻣﻰ« ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯﺷﺎﻥ ﺳﻴﻨﻪ ﻣﻰﺯﻧﻨﺪ ﺁﻧﻘﺪﺭﻫﺎ ﻃﺮﻓﺪﺍﺭ‬ ‫ﻧﺪﺍﺭﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ‪» ،‬ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﻛﺬﺍ« ﺑﺎﺯ ﻫﻢ ﺷــﺮﻛﺖ ﻛﺮﺩﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻗﻮﻝ ﺭﻭﺯﻯﻧﺎﻣﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺘﻰ »ﺣﻤﺎﺳﻪ« ﺁﻓﺮﻳﺪﻧﺪ!‬ ‫ﺗﻮ ﮔﻮﺋــﻰ ﺍﺻ ً‬ ‫ﻼ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﺔ »ﺟﻨﺒﺶﺳــﺒﺰ« ﻭ »ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻥ ﺍﻧﺤﺮﺍﻓﻰ« ﻭ‬ ‫»ﺟﺮﻳــﺎﻥ ﻓﺘﻨــﻪ« ﻭ ‪ ...‬ﺍﺯ ﺑﻴﺦﻭﺑــﻦ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻧﺪﺍﺷــﺘﻪ‪ .‬ﻣﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻣﻴﻌﺎﺩ ﺑﻪ ﺳــﻬﻢ ﺧﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﻰ ﻭﺍﺑﺴــﺘﮕﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻧﺎﺕ‬ ‫»ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ« ﺗﺒﺮﻳﻚ ﻭ ﺗﺴﻠﻴﺖ ﻣﻰﮔﻮﺋﻴﻢ‪ .‬ﺗﺒﺮﻳﻚ‪ ،‬ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻻﺧﺮﻩ ﻧﺸــﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺩﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺑﻴﺖﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ ﻭ ﻭﻻﻳﺖ ﻣﻄﻠﻘﺔ ﻓﻘﻴﻪ‬ ‫ﻭﺍﺑﺴــﺘﻪﺍﻧﺪ؛ ﺗﺴــﻠﻴﺖ ﻫﻢ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﺎﺏ ﻛﻪ ﺩﻳﮕــﺮ ﺩﺭ ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻧﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺁﻳﻨﺪﺓ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺟﺎﺋﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯﺷﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻧﻈﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺎﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﻭﻧــﺪ ﭘﻬﻠﻮﻯ »ﺧﺎﻭﺭﻯ« ﺩﺭ ﻳﺦﻫــﺎﻯ ﻛﺎﻧﺎﺩﺍ ﭼﺎﺩﺭ ﺑﺰﻧﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﺧﺎﻧــﺔ »ﻣﻜﺶﻣﺮگﻣﺎﺋﻰ« ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﭘﻮﻝﻫﺎﻯ ﺩﺯﺩﻯ ﺧﺮﻳﺪﻩ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﭘﻴﺸﺨﺪﻣﺘﻰ ﻣﺸﻐﻮﻝ ﺷﻮﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑــﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻭﺟــﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﺍﻓﻼﺱ ﺑــﻪ ﺩﺍﺭﻭﺩﺳــﺘﺔ ﺍﺻﻼﺡﻃﻠﺐ ﻣﺤﺪﻭﺩ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻰﺷــﻮﺩ! »ﺑﺮﻧﺪﮔﺎﻥ« ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﻛﺬﺍ ﻫــﻢ ﺣﻜﺎﻳﺖ »ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﻴﭽﺎﺭﻩ« ﺭﺍ ﺗﺪﺍﻋﻰ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪» .‬ﻋﻠﻰ ﺑﻴﭽﺎﺭﻩ« ﺍﺯ ﺩﻭﺭ ﻗﺎﻓﻠﺔ ﺷﺘﺮ‬ ‫ﺩﻳــﺪ ﻭ ﺑﺲ ﺷــﺎﺩﻯ ﻛﺮﺩ؛ ﻧﮕﻮ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻧﻨﻪﻋﻠﻰ ﻳﻚ ﺧﻮﺍﺳــﺘﮕﺎﺭ‬ ‫»ﺑﭽﻪﺑﺎﺯ« ﺍﺯ ﺭﺍﻩ ﺭﺳــﻴﺪﻩ‪ .‬ﺑﻠﻪ‪» ،‬ﺑﺮﻧﺪﮔﺎﻥ« ﺑﺪﺍﻧﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺍﮔﺮ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺟﻤﻜﺮﺍﻥ ﻫﻴﭻ »ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻥ« ﺷــﻨﺎﺧﺘﻪ ﺷــﺪﻩﺍﻯ ﭘﺎﻯ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﺠﻠﺲ »ﺩﻋﺎ ﻭ ﺛﻨﺎ« ﻧﮕﺬﺍﺷــﺖ‪ ،‬ﺩﻟﻴﻠﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ »ﻣﺠﻠﺴﻚ« ﺑﻰﺍﻋﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻧﺘﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﺰﺭگ‬ ‫ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ »ﭘﺘﻜﻰ« ﺷﻮﺩ ﻫﻮﻟﻨﺎﻙ ﻭ ﺑﺮ ﻣﻼﺝ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﺎﻥ ﻓﺮﻭﺩ ﺁﻳﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺷﺎﻫﺪﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺣﻀﺮﺕ ﺧﺎﻣﻨﻪﺍﻯ ﺁﻧﭽﻨﺎﻥ ﮔﻨﺪ ﻛﺎﺭﺷﺎﻥ ﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪﻩ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺣﺘﻰ ﺧﻮﺩﺵ ﻫﻢ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺧﺎﻣﻨﻪﺍﻯ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ »ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ« ﻗﺒﻮﻝ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ‬ ‫ﻛﺮﺩ‪ .‬ﻫﻤﻪ ﭼﻴﺰ ﻇﺎﻫﺮﻯ ﺷــﺪﻩ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﭘﺲ ﺻﺤﻨﻪﺳــﺎﺯﻯﻫﺎ‬

‫ﻭ ﺁﺭﺍﻳﺶﻫﺎﻯ ﺭﺳــﺎﻧﻪﺍﻯ ﮔﺮﻭﻩﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﺳــﻌﻰ ﺩﺍﺭﻧــﺪ ﭘﺪﻳﺪﻩﺍﻯ ﺑﻪ ﻧﺎﻡ‬ ‫»ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﻰ« ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺑﻮﻕ ﺑﻴﺎﻧﺪﺍﺯﻧــﺪ‪ .‬ﻭﻟﻰ »ﺑﺎﺯﻯ«‬ ‫ﻗــﺪﺭﺕ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﻰ ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻰ ﻣﻌﻨﺎ ﻭ ﻣﻔﻬﻮﻡ ﺩﺍﺷــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺭﺑﺎﺏ‬ ‫ﺍﺻﻠﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴــﺖ ﺍﺯ ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ﻫﻞﻣﻦﻣﺒﺎﺭﺯﻃﻠﺒﻰﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﺍﺳــﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ‪ .‬ﺣﺎﻝ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﻭﺍﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﮔﺮﻩ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺎﺭﺵ ﺍﻓﺘﺎﺩﻩ‪ ،‬ﺭﻧﮓﻭﺭﻭﻏﻦ ﺯﺩﻥ ﺑﻪ »ﻗﺎﻓﻠﺔ‬ ‫ﺷــﺘﺮ« ﻣﺸﻜﻞ »ﻋﻠﻰ« ﺭﺍ ﺣﻞ ﻧﻤﻰﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺧﻮﺍﺳﺘﮕﺎﺭ »ﻧﻨﻪﻋﻠﻰ« ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﺮ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺍﺯ ﺭﺍﻩ ﻣﻰﺭﺳــﺪ ﻭ ﺍﻳﺸــﺎﻥ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺭﻭﻯ ﺳــﺮ ﺩﺍﻣﺎﺩ ﻭ ﻧﻨﻪﺷﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﻗﻨﺪ ﻫﻢ ﺑﺴﺎﺑﻨﺪ!‬

‫ﺑــﻪ ﺭﺍﻩ ﺍﻓﺘﺎﺩﻩ ﺭﻭﺑﺮﻭ ﺷــﻮﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺸــﻜﻞ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺗﺎ ﻣﺮﺣﻠﺔ‬ ‫ﻧﺎﺑﻮﺩﻯ ﺳــﺎﺧﺘﺎﺭﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻛــﻪ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﺍﻳــﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻃﻰ ‪80‬‬ ‫ﺳــﺎﻝ ﮔﺬﺷــﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺁﻥﻫﺎ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﻛﺮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺭﻭﺩ‪ .‬ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎﺭﻫﺎ ﻳﺎﺩﮔﺎﺭ ﺑﺪﻩﺑﺴــﺘﺎﻥﻫﺎﻯ ﭘﺴﺎﺟﻨﮓ ﺍﻭﻝ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﻣﻘﻄﻌﻰ‪ ،‬ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﺑﺎ ﺧﻮﺍﻧﺪﻥ ﻧﻤﺎﺯ ﺟﻤﺎﻋﺖ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﻋﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻣﻨﻪﺍﻯ ﺑﺎ ﺯﺩﻥ »ﻧﻌﻞﻭﺍﺭﻭﻧﻪ« ﻭ ﺑﺴﺘﻦ »ﭼﻔﻴﺔ« ﻳﺎﺳﺮ ﻋﺮﻓﺎﺗﻰ‬ ‫ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴــﺖ ﺳﺮ ﻭ ﺗﻪ ﻗﻀﻴﻪ ﺭﺍ ﻫﻢ ﺑﻴﺎﻭﺭﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﻛﺎﺭ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮﺍﺗﻰ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺸــﻴﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑــﻪ ﻣﺮﺍﺗﺐ ﺍﺯ ﻳﻚ ﻛﻮﺩﺗﺎﻯ ﺯﭘﺮﺗﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﺯ ﻗﻤﺎﺵ »ﺍﻧﻘﻼﺏ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ« ﻭ ﻳﺎ »‪ 28‬ﻣﺮﺩﺍﺩ« ﻓﺮﺍﺗﺮ ﻣﻰﺭﻭﺩ‪.‬‬

‫ﺍﺯ ﺳــﻮﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ‪ ،‬ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺏ ﭘﻮﺗﻴﻦ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ‪ ،‬ﺍﮔﺮ ﺍﺯ ﭘﻴﺶ ﻣﻌﻠﻮﻡ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮﺭ ﻛﻪ ﮔﻔﺘﻴﻢ ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﺩﻋﻮﺍ ﻭ ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﻣﻔﺼﻞ‬ ‫ﺧﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭ ﺷــﺪ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭ ﻧﺘﻴﺠــﻪ‪ ،‬ﺍﻣﺘﻴﺎﺯﺍﺗﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻳﺎﻧﻜﻰﻫﺎ ﺍﺯ ﻗﺒﻞ‬ ‫ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺖﻫﺎﻯ »ﺁﺯﺍﺩﻳﺨﻮﺍﻫﺎﻧﺔ« ﻋﻮﺍﻣﻞﺷﺎﻥ »ﺍﻧﺘﻈﺎﺭ« ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻨﺪ ﺗﺤﺼﻴﻞ‬ ‫ﻧﺸﺪ‪ .‬ﻭ ﺑﺎﺯﺗﺎﺏ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺑﻰﺳﺮﻭﺻﺪﺍ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﺎﻥ ﻭﺍﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻏﺮﺏ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﻨﻮﺑﻰ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ‪ ،‬ﻳﻌﻨﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﺮ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴــﻪ ﻭ ﺍﻳــﺮﺍﻥ ﻓﺎﺟﻌﻪﺑﺎﺭ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ .‬ﺍﮔﺮ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ‪ ،‬ﺑﺎ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺑﺮ‬ ‫ﺣﻤﺎﻳــﺖ ﺍﺭﺗﺶ ﻧﺎﺗﻮ‪ ،‬ﺍﺯ ﺁﻏﺎﺯ ﻛﺎﺭ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﻗﻴﻢ »ﺍﻧﻘﻼﺏ ﺳــﻮﺭﻳﻪ«‬ ‫ﺟﺎ ﺯﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﻰ ﻧﻌﻞ ﻭﺍﺭﻭﻧﻪ ﻣﻰﺯﺩ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺯﻯﻧﺎﻣﻪﻫﺎ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺣﺎﻣﻰ ﺑﺸــﺎﺭ ﺍﺳــﺪ ﻣﻌﺮﻓﻰ ﻣﻰﻧﻤﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﺯﻳﺮﺟﻠﻜﻰ ﻻﺕﻭﭼﺎﻗﻮﻛﺶ ﺑﻪ ﺷــﻬﺮﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﺷﻮﺏﺯﺩﺓ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ‬ ‫ﺍﻋﺰﺍﻡ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﺷــﺖ ﺗﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺗﻨﺶﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻰ ﺩﺍﻣﻦ ﺑﺰﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﻭﺍﻗﻌﻴﺖ ﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﺑﺨﻮﺍﻫﻴــﻢ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺟﻤﻜﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨــﻮﺍﻥ ﻧﻪ ﻃﺮﻓﺪﺍﺭ ﺭژﻳﻢ ﻻﺋﻴﻚ‬ ‫ﺳــﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺑــﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴــﺖ ﺑــﺎ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺭژﻳﻤﻰ ﻫﻢﺳــﺎﺯﻯ ﻭ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﻜﺎﺭﻯ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪.‬‬

‫ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﺩﺍﺩﻥ ﻳﻚ ﭼﺸــﻢﺍﻧﺪﺍﺯ ﻛﻠﻰ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﻣﺴــﺎﺋﻞ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﺓ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‪ ،‬ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻫﻢ ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥﻫﺎﻯ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﺩﻧﺒــﺎﻝ ﻛﺮﺩ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﻫﻢ ﺭﺍﻫﻜﺎﺭﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺭﺳــﻰ ﻧﻤﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﺎﻻﺕ‬ ‫ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺣﻔﻆ ﺳــﻴﺎﺩﺕ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﺧﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﺩﺳﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﺍﺳــﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺮﺣﻠﺔ ﺍﺟﺮﺍ ﺩﺭﻣﻰﺁﻭﺭﺩ‪ .‬ﺑــﻪ ﻃﻮﺭ ﺧﻼﺻﻪ‪ ،‬ﺑﺮﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ‪ ،‬ﻣﺸــﻜﻼﺕ ﺩﺭﻭﻥ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﺗﺎ ﺣﺪ ﺯﻳﺎﺩﻯ ﻣﺎﺩﻯ‬ ‫ﻭ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﺍﺳــﺖ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﭘﻮﺗﻴﻦ ﺗــﺎ ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻴﻜﻪ ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﻧﻔﺖ‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﺑــﻪ ﺑﻬﺎﻯ ﺑﺸــﻜﻪﺍﻯ ﺑﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ﻳﻜﺼﺪ ﺩﻻﺭ ﺑﻪ ﺧﻴﻚ ﻋﻤﻮﺳــﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺑﺴﺘﻪ‪ ،‬ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﺍﺯ ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ﺻﺎﺩﺭﺍﺕ ﻣﻮﺍﺩ ﺧﺎﻡ ﻭ ﺑﺎﻻ ﺑﺮﺩﻥ‬ ‫ﺳــﻄﺢ ﺯﻧﺪﮔﻰ ﺗﻮﺩﻩﻫﺎ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭ »ﻛﻮﺗﺎﻩ ﻣﺪﺕ« ﺑﺮ ﻣﺸــﻜﻼﺕ ﻓﺎﺋﻖ‬ ‫ﺁﻳﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ »ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻤﺪﺕ« ﻭ »ﺩﺭﺍﺯﻣﺪﺕ« ﻣﺴﻠﻤﺎً‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺎﺯﻣﻨﺪ ﺭﺍﻫﻜﺎﺭﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺮﺍﺗﺐ ﭘﻴﭽﻴﺪﻩﺗﺮ ﺍﺳﺖ‪ ،‬ﻭﻟﻰ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺑﺤﺚ ﻣﺎ ﺟﺎﺋﻰ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪ ،‬ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ ﻋﻤﺮ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﻭﺭﻩﻫﺎ ﻭﺻﺎﻝ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺩﺍﺩ‪ .‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ »ﻧﻔﺖ ﮔﺮﺍﻧﻘﻴﻤﺖ«‬ ‫ﻭ ﺗﺰﺭﻳــﻖ ﺩﻻﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﻔﺘﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧــﺪ ﺣﺪﺍﻗﻞ ﺗﺎ ﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﺩﻫﺔ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺍﺩﺍﻣﻪ ﻳﺎﺑﺪ ﻭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻓﺮﺻﺖ ﺭﺍ ﻣﺴــﻠﻤﺎً ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻰﺩﻫﺪ‪.‬‬

‫ﺣــﺎﻝ ﻛــﻪ ﺭژﻳﻢ »ﺑﻌﺚ« ﻫﻨﻮﺯ ﺑﺮ ﺳــﺮ ﻛﺎﺭ ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﻣﺎﻧــﺪﻩ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﺣﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﺍﮔــﺮ ﺟﺎﻯ ﺧــﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺭژﻳﻢ ﺩﻳﮕــﺮﻯ ﺑﺴــﭙﺎﺭﺩ ﺁﻟﺘﺮﻧﺎﺗﻴﻮﺵ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ‬ ‫»ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﮕﺮﺍ« ﻭ ﺭﻳﺶﻭﭘﺸــﻤﻰ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫــﺪ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﺗﻜﻠﻴــﻒ ﺭژﻳﻢﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺗﺮﻛﻴــﻪ ﻭ ﺟﻤﻜﺮﺍﻥ ﻧﺎﻣﻌﻠﻮﻡ ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﻣﻰﻣﺎﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ‪ ،‬ﭘﻮﺗﻴﻦ ﺑﺎﺭﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﻭ ﺑﺎﺭﻫﺎ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﺩﺍﺷــﺘﻪ ﻛــﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺬﻫﺒﻰ ﻭ ﻣﺬﻫﺐﮔﺮﺍﺋﻰ‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﻫﻴﭻ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﻣﻤﻜﻦ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻤﻞ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ‪ .‬ﻭ ﺍﮔﺮ ﻃﻰ‬ ‫ﻫﻔﺘﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ‪ ،‬ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮﻯ ﭼﺸﻢﮔﻴﺮ ﺩﺭ ﺩﻳﭙﻠﻤﺎﺳﻰ ﻭ ﺧﻂﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ‬ ‫ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﭘﻴﺶ ﻧﻴﺎﻳﺪ‪ ،‬ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﮕﺮﺍﻳﺎﻥ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﺋــﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻧﻜﺎﺭﺍ ﻭ ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﻣﺸــﻜﻞ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴــﺖ ﺑﺎ ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺯﻳﺮﮔﻮﺵﺷﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ‬

‫ﺩﺭ ﻧﺘﻴﺠــﻪ‪ ،‬ﺩﺭ ﺍﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺑــﺎ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‪ ،‬ﻳﻚ ﺍﺻــﻞ ﻏﻴﺮﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﺗﺮﺩﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺷــﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺁﻥ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ‪ ،‬ﺳــﻴﺎﺩﺕ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻫﺮ ﮔﺎﻡ‬ ‫ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻳﺎﻓﺖ ﻭ ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺵ »ﻫﮋﻣﻮﻧﻰ« ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺟﻨﻮﺑﻰﺍﺵ ﺑﺮ ﺭژﻳﻢﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺗﺄﺛﻴﺮ ﻣﺴــﺘﻘﻴﻢ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ‬ ‫ﮔﺬﺍﺷﺖ‪ .‬ﻧﺨﺴﺘﻴﻦ »ﺗﺄﺛﻴﺮ« ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﭘﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ‬ ‫ﻛﺮﺩﻳﻢ‪ :‬ﻋﻘﺐ ﻧﺸﺴــﺘﻦ ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﮕﺮﺍﻳﺎﻥ ﻭ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻭﺍﺑﺴــﺘﮕﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ‬

‫ﻭﺍﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﺍﺯ ﻗﺪﺭﺕﻫﺎﻯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﻭ ﺗﺸــﻜﻴﻼﺗﻰ‪ .‬ﻭﻟﻰ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﻃﻰ‬ ‫ﺳــﺎﻝﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺧﻴﺮ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺍﺣﺖ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻮﺿﻊﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻴﻢ ﻭ‬ ‫»ﻣﺴﺌﻮﻻﻧﻪ« ﭘﻴﺮﺍﻣﻮﻥ ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ »ﺟﻬﺎﻥ ﺍﺳﻼﻡ« ﺑﻪ ﺷﺪﺕ ﺣﺬﺭ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻭ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺭﻭﺷﻦ ﺍﺳﺖ‪.‬‬

‫ﺑﺮ ﺻﻨﺪﻟﻰﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺟﻤﻜﺮﺍﻥ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﺯﺩ! ﻛﺴــﺎﻧﻴﻜﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﺴــﻠﻤﺎً ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺣﻔﻆ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺻﺒﺎﺡ »ﺁﻗﺎﺋﻰ ﺍﺳــﺘﻴﺠﺎﺭﻯ« ﺩﺳﺖ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﺮ ﺧﻮﺩﻓﺮﻭﺧﺘﮕﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻣﻰﺯﻧﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‪ :‬ﺭﺳﻮﺍﺋﻰ ﻫﻤﻪ ﺟﺎﻧﺒﻪ!‬

‫ﺗﺠﺮﺑﺔ ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺨﻰ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﺍﺭﺗﺶ ﺳــﺮﺥ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻓﻐﺎﻧﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺯﺧﻤﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻨــﻮﺯ ﺍﻟﺘﻴﺎﻡ ﻧﻴﺎﻓﺘﻪ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎﻯﺍﺵ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﮕﺮﺍﻳﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻣﺒﺎﺣﺚ »ﺍﺳﻼﻡ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ« ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺻﺮﺍﺣﺖ ﺑﮕﻮﺋﻴﻢ‪ ،‬ﺩﻟﻴﻠﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ‪.‬‬

‫ﻭ ﺩﻗﻴﻘﺎً ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ »ﻇﺎﻫﺮ« ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺷــﻮﺭﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﻰ ﺑﺮﺧﺎﺳــﺘﻪ ﺍﺯ »ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ« ﺍﺧﻴﺮ‪ ،‬ﻋﻤ ً‬ ‫ﻼ ﻓﺎﻗﺪ ﻫﺮ ﮔﻮﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﺮﻛﻴﺐ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺷﻨﺎﺧﺘﻪ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺯ ﻛﺎﺭ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻰﺁﻳﺪ؛ ﻧﻪ »ﺧﻂ ﺍﻣﺎﻡ«‬ ‫ﺩﺭ ﺁﻥ ﺩﻳﺪﻩ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﻧﻪ »ﺍﺻﻼﺡﻃﻠﺐ!« ﻧﻪ ﺟﻨﺎﺡ »ﺍﻧﺤﺮﺍﻓﻰ«‬ ‫ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ »ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ« ﻣﻨﺘﺨﺐ ﻣﻰﺑﻴﻨﻴﻢ ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﮔﺮﻭﻩ ﻣﻮﺳﻮﻡ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫»ﻓﺘﻨﻪ« ﺭﺍ! ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﻣﺸﺘﻰ ﺍﻓﺮﺍﺩ ﻓﺎﻗﺪ »ﺧﻂ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ« ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻋﻨــﻮﺍﻥ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﻣﻠﺖ ﺑﺮ ﺻﻨﺪﻟﻰﻫﺎ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﺯﺩ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﺗﺘﻤﺔ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻯ ﺍﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎﺭﻯ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺑﻮﻕﻫــﺎ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﺩﻣﻴﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﻰﺩﻟﻴﻞ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻮﻕﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ »ﺟﻤﺎﻋــﺖ« ﺑﻰﺧﺒﺮ ﺍﺯ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﻪ ﺟﺎ ﺗﺤﺖ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ »ﺍﺻﻮﻟﮕﺮﺍﻳﺎﻥ« ﻳﺎﺩ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ! ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﭘﺮﺳﻴﺪ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﻦ ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺟﻤﺎﻋﺖ ﻧﺎﺷــﻨﺎﺧﺘﻪ ﻛﺪﺍﻡ »ﺍﺻﻮﻝ« ﺭﺍ‬ ‫ﺩﻳﺪﻩﺍﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺻﻮﻟﮕﺮﺍ ﺧﻄﺎﺏﺷــﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ؟ ﺩﺭ ﺷــﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻭﺍﺑﺴــﺘﮕﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺧﺎﻣﻨﻪﺍﻯ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﺣﺪﻯ ﺁﺏ ﻭ ﻧﺎﻥ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ‬ ‫ﺩﺍﺷﺖ؛ ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ ﺧﺎﻣﻨﻪﺍﻯ ﺧﻮﺩﺵ ﻫﻢ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ »ﺍﺻﻮﻟﮕﺮﺍ« ﻧﻴﺴﺖ!‬

‫ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﺑﻮﺩﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﻛﻮﺩﺗﺎﻯ ﻧﺎﻓﺮﺟﺎﻡ ﻣﻼﻣﻤﺪ ﺧﺎﺗﻤﻰ‪ ،‬ﻛﻪ ﺗﺤﺖ‬ ‫ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ »ﺍﺻﻼﺡﻃﻠﺒﻰ« ﺑﻪ ﺭﺍﻩ ﺍﻓﺘﺎﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﺑﺠﺎﻯ ﻧﻘﺶﭘﺬﻳﺮﻯ‬ ‫ﻓﻌﺎﻻﻧﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ‪ ،‬ﺧــﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻈﺎﺭﻩﮔﺮ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﻳﺬﺍﺋﻰ ﻳﺎﻧﻜﻰﻫﺎ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﻛﺮﺩ‪ .‬ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﻛﻮﺩﺗﺎﻯ »ﺍﺻﻼﺡﻃﻠﺒﻰ«‪،‬‬ ‫ﺷــﺎﻫﺪ ﻟﺸﻜﺮﻛﺸﻰ ﻳﺎﻧﻜﻰﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻓﻐﺎﻧﺴــﺘﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺑﻮﺩﻳﻢ‪ ،‬ﺑﻌﺪ ﻫﻢ‬ ‫ﺍﺣﻤﺪﻯﻧــﮋﺍﺩ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ »ﺭﺋﻴﺲ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭ« ﺟﻤﻜﺮﺍﻥ ﺳــﺮﻭﻛﻠﻪﺍﺵ ﭘﻴﺪﺍ‬ ‫ﺷــﺪ؛ ﺑﺎﺯ ﻫﻢ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﻋﻜﺲﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﻰ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﻧﺪﺍﺩ! ﺳﺮﻭﺻﺪﺍﻯ ﺍﺑﻠﻬﺎﻧﺔ‬ ‫»ﺳﺎﻳﻤﻮﻥ ﮔﺎﺱ« ﻭ ﺗﻼﺵ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻛﻮﺩﺗﺎﻯ ﺳﺒﺰ ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﺑﺎﻧﺪ ﻣﻴﺮﺣﺴﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﻣﻮﺳﻮﻯ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺍﺯ ﺟﺎﻧﺐ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺑﻰﺗﻮﺟﻬﻰ ﻛﺎﻣﻞ ﺭﻭﺑﺮﻭ ﺷﺪ! ﻭ ﺍﻳﻨﻚ‬ ‫»ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ« ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺸــﻰ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﮔﺮﺑﻪﺭﻗﺼﺎﻧﻰﻫﺎ ﺍﺿﺎﻓﻪ ﺷﺪﻩ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻭﻟﻰ ﺑﺎﺯ ﻫﻢ ﺍﺯ ﻃﺮﻑ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﭘﺎﺳــﺦ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺎﺭ ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ‪ .‬ﺍﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺳــﻜﻮﺕ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺧﺎﺭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﻳﻚ ﺻﻮﺭﺗﺒﻨﺪﻯ ﻛﻠﻰ ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻭ ﺁﻥ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ‪ ،‬ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺭﺍ ﺟﻬﺖ ﻻﺕﺑﺎﺯﻯ ﺑﺎﺯ‬ ‫ﮔﺬﺍﺷــﺘﻪ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻣﻴﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻧﺒﻮﺩ ﭘﺸﺘﻮﺍﻧﺔ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻻﺯﻡ‪ ،‬ﺍﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺗﺤــﺮﻛﺎﺕ ﻓﻘﻂ ﻳﻚ ﻧﺘﻴﺠــﺔ ﻣﻠﻤﻮﺱ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺎﺭ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ‪ ،‬ﺭﺳــﻮﺍﺋﻰ ﻫﺮ ﭼﻪ‬ ‫ﻭﺳــﻴﻊﺗﺮ ﻛﺎﻧﺎﻝﻫﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻧﻴــﺎﻥ‪ .‬ﻭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪﺍﻯ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮﻣﺎﻥ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺭژﻳﻢ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﺮ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮﺭ ﻛﻠﻰ ﻣﺮﺩﻩ‪ ،‬ﻭ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻫﻴﭻ ﺍﻣﻴﺪﻯ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺑﺎﺯﻳﺎﺑﻰ ﺣﻴﺎﺕ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﺁﻥ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﺩﺍﺷــﺖ‪ .‬ﺁﻥﻫﺎ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻤﭽﻮﻥ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﻤﺪ ﺧﺎﺗﻤﻰ‪ ،‬ﺍﺣﻤﺪﻯﻧﮋﺍﺩ ﻭ ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻥ »ﺍﻧﺤﺮﺍﻓﻰ« ﻣﻨﺴﻮﺏ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻭ‪ ،‬ﻭ‬ ‫ﺣﺘﻰ ﻣﻴﺮﺣﺴﻴﻦ ﻣﻮﺳﻮﻯ ﻭ »ﺧﻂﺍﻣﺎﻡ«‪ ،‬ﻣﻰﺧﻮﺍﺳﺘﻨﺪ ﺗﺤﺖ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ‬ ‫ﻛﺎﻧﺎﻝﻫﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺮﺩﺓ ﺑﻰﺭﻭﺡ ﺭژﻳﻤﻰ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻭ ﺳﺮﺯﻧﺪﻩ ﺑﻴﺮﻭﻥ‬ ‫ﺑﻜﺸﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﻫﻤﮕﻰ ﭘﺎﻯﺷﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﭘﻮﺳﺖ ﮔﺮﺩﻭﻯ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺭژﻳﻢ ﺑﻰﺩﺭﻭﭘﻴﻜﺮ‬ ‫ﻓﺮﻭﺍﻓﺘــﺎﺩ ﻭ ﺷﻜﺴــﺖ‪ .‬ﺭﻫﺮﻭ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﻧﻤﺎﻧــﺪﻩ‪ ،‬ﺟﺰ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ‬ ‫ﺑﻰﻧﺎﻡ ﻭ ﻧﺸــﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺑــﻪ ﺍﺻﻄﻼﺡ »ﺁﺭﺍء ﻋﻤﻮﻣﻰ« ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺏ ﺷــﺪﻩ ﻭ‬

‫ﺩﺭ ﭼﻨﻴــﻦ ﺷــﺮﺍﻳﻄﻰ ﺍﮔــﺮ ﻏﺮﺏ ﻓﻘــﻂ ﺑﺮ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﺷــﺎﺧﻚﻫﺎﻯ‬ ‫ﺳــﻨﺘﻰ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ﻛﺎﻣ ً‬ ‫ﻼ‬ ‫ﺭﻭﺷﻦ ﺍﺳــﺖ‪ :‬ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷﻰ ﺗﺪﺭﻳﺠﻰ ﺳﻴﺎﺩﺕ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻭ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﺩﺭ‬ ‫ﻣﻨﻄﻘــﺔ ﺧﺎﻭﺭﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ! ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷــﻰﺍﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺷــﺮﻭﻉ‬ ‫ﺷــﺪﻩ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﺳﺮﺍﻳﺖ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ‪ .‬ﺣﺎﻝ ﻳﻚ ﺳﺌﻮﺍﻝ‬ ‫ﻣﻄــﺮﺡ ﻣﻰﺷــﻮﺩ‪ ،‬ﭘﺎﻳﺘﺨﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ‪ ،‬ﺟﻬﺖ ﺣﻔﻆ ﺳــﻴﺎﺩﺕ‬ ‫ﺍﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎﺭﻯﺷﺎﻥ ﻛﺎﺭﺕﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﺪﻳﺪﻯ ﺭﻭﻯ ﻣﻴﺰ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﮔﺬﺍﺭﺩ ﻳﺎ‬ ‫ﺧﻴﺮ؟ ﺍﮔﺮ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﻭ ﻭﺍﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻛﺎﺭﺕ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺳﺖ ﻧﺪﺍﺷﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﺷــﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻗﺒﻮﻝ ﻛﺮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻧﺨﺴــﺘﻴﻦ ﺑﺎﺭ ﻃﻰ ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺦ‬ ‫ﻣﻮﺟﻮﺩﻳﺖ ﻛﺸــﻮﺭ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ‪ ،‬ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﻨﻮﺑﻰ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺑﻪ ﺭﻭﻯ‬ ‫ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﺑﺎﺯ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ‪.‬‬