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‫‪ 31‬ﻣــﻪ ‪2010‬‬

‫ﭘﺲ  ﺻﺪ ﺑﻴﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﺗﻬﺮ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﻫﻤﻜﺎ »ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ  ﺑﺮﻳﻞ« ﺑﺮ ﺑﺤﺮ ﻫﺴــﺘﻪ ﺳﺖﺳــﺎ‬ ‫ﻳﺎﻻ‪ /‬ﻣﺘﺤﺪ  ﻛﺸﻮﻣﺎ ﻧﻘﻄﺔ ﭘﺎﻳﺎ ﮔﺬﺷﺖ‪ ،‬ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﻣﻮﺿﻊﮔﻴﺮﻫﺎ ﺗﻨﺪ  »ﻗﺎﻧﻮ ﻣﻨﺪ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﺎ«  ﻃﺮ‪ :‬ﻣﺤﻔﻞ ﻛﻠﻴﻨﺘﻦﻫﺎ  ﺣﺎﻣﻴﺎ ﭘﺎﺋﻰﺷﺎ ﺑﻮﻳﻢ‪ .‬ﻃﻰ ﻫﻔﺘﺔ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺣﺖ‬ ‫ﻳﺪﻳــﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻦ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﭼﮕﻮﻧﻪ ﺑﺎ ﭘﻨﺎ= ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ  ﭘﺲ »ﻣﻘﺎﻟﻪﻧﺎﻣﻪﻫﺎ« ﺑﻴﻦﻟﻤﻠﻠﻰ  ﻗﻊ‬ ‫ﻗﻮﻧﻴﻦ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ  ﺑﻪ ﻳﺮ ﭘﺎ ﻣﻰﮔﺬﻧﺪ  ﮔﺮ ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﻗﺎ ﻧﻤﻰﺑﻮ ﻛﻪ  ﻏﻴﺮﻫﺴﺘﻪ ﺷﺪ ‬ ‫ﻛﺸــﻮﻣﺎ  ﻋﺮﺻــﺔ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺻﻮ‪ /‬ﻫﺪ‪ ،‬ﻳﻦ ﻣﺤﺎﻓــﻞ ﻇﺎﻫﺮ ً »ﻗﺎﻧﻮ ﻣﺪ«‪ ،‬ﺗﺎ‬ ‫ﭘﺎ ﺗﺤﻤﻴﻞ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺑﺮ ﻳﺮﻧﻴﺎ ﻳﺴﺘﺎ= ﺑﻮﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﻳﻦ ﻣﻮ‪» E‬ﺑﺤﺮ ﺳﺎ« ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎﺗﺎﺑﻰ ﺳﺖ‬


‫ ﻣﺠﻤﻮﻋــﻪ ﻧﻴﺎﻫﺎ ﺳــﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﻏﺮ‪  H‬ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ‬ ‫ﺧﺎﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ  ‪M‬ﺳﻴﺎ ﻣﺮﻛﺰ ﻣﺴﻠﻤﺎً ﺑﻪ ﻳﻦ ﺳﺎﮔﻰﻫﺎ‬ ‫ ﭘﺎ ﻧﺨﻮﻫﺪ ﻓﺘﺎ‪ .‬ﺷــﺎﻫﺪﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻨﻮ ﻫﻢ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ  ﭘﻰ ‪ P‬ﻧﮕﺎ=ﺷﺘﻦ ﺗﻨﻮ‬ ‫ﺑﺤﺮ ﻫﺴــﺘﻪ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ   ﻃﺮ‪ R‬ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ  ﻣﻮ‬ ‫ﺧﻠﻰ ﻳﺮ ‪M‬ﺷﻜﺎ ﺧﺎﻟﺖ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ ﺳــﻮ ﻳﮕﺮ‪ ،‬ﻃﻰ ﻫﺎ ﺧﻴﺮ‪ ،‬ﻣﻮﺿﻊﮔﻴﺮ‬ ‫ﻋﺠﻮﻻﻧﺔ »ﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ ـ ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ« ﻟﺖ ﺣﻤﺪﻧﮋ‬ ‫  ﺗﺒﺎ‪ S‬ﺑﺎ ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﺷــﺎﻫﺪ ﺑﻮﻳــﻢ‪ .‬ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ  ﻣﻄﻠﺐ »ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ  ﺳﻮﺗﻪﻻ « ﺗﻮﺿﻴﺢ ﻳﻢ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺷﺖ ﻟﺖ ﺗﻬﺮ  ﺧﺪﻫﺎ ﺧﻴﺮ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺣﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﻐﺎﻟﻄﻪ‪M‬ﻣﻴﺰ ﺳــﺖ‪  ،‬ﻧﻤﻰﺗــﻮ  ‪ M‬ﻧﻜﺘﺔ ﻗﺎﺑﻞ‬

‫ﺗﻜﺎﺋﻰ  ﻣﻨﻈﺮ ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﭘﻴﺪ ﻛﺮ‪ .‬ﻟﺖ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ‬ ‫ﻳﺮ ﺑﺮ ‪M‬ﻧﻜﻪ ﺑﺘﻮﻧﺪ  ﻛﻨﺎ ﻗﺪ‪/‬ﻫﺎ ﺑﺰگ‬ ‫ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﻗﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ‪ ،‬ﻫﺮ‪Z‬ﻫﺎ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﻏﺮ‪H‬‬ ‫ ﺗﻮﺳــﻂ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺟﺎﺑﺠﺎ ﻛﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﻧﺨﺴﺖ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺎﻣﻨــﺪ ﻓﺎﺻﻠــﻪ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ  ﻟﺰﻣﺎ‪ /‬ﺳــﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﻏﺮ‪ H‬ﺳﺖ! ﻧﻴﺎ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺴﺘﻠﺰ‪ Z‬ﺑﺎﻧﮕﺮ ﺳﺎﺳﻰ‬ ‫ ﭘﺎﻳﻪ  ﺑﺴــﻴﺎ  ﺳــﺮﻓﺼﻞﻫﺎ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﺧﻠﻰ  ﺧﺎﺟﻰ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ‪  ،‬ﻳﻦ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﮔﻰﻫﺎ ﻣﻜﺎﻧﭙﺬﻳﺮ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ ﮔﺎ‪ ` Z‬ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻳﻦ ﺻﻞ   ﻧﻈﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﻟــﺖ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ  ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ  ﺟﺎﺑﺠﺎﺋﻰﻫﺎ  ﺗﺤﻮﻻ‪/‬‬


‫ﺗﻨــﺪ  ﺧﻮﻧﻴﻦ  ﻓﺮﮔﻴﺮ  ﻣﺮﻫــﺎ‪ a‬ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ‬ ‫ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺻﻮﺗﺒﻨﺪ ﺳــﺎ=ﺗﺮ  ‪ M‬ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﻧﻤﺎﻳﺪ؛ ﻟﺖ ﺳﻴﻪ ﮔﺮ  ‪M‬ﻣﺶ  ﻣﺮﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺧﻮ ﺑﺮﺧﻮ ﻧﺒﺎﺷﺪ‪ ،‬ﻗﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺤﻤﻴﻞ ﺗﻨﺶ ﺑﻪ ﻃﺮ‪:‬‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ‪ .‬ﺳــﻴﻪ  ﺻﻮ‪ /‬ﭘﺬﻳﺮ‪ a‬ﺑﺤﺮ ‬ ‫ ﻣﺮﻫﺎ‪  a‬ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﻫﺮ‪ Z‬ﺗﺤﻤﻴﻞ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﻫﻤﺎ ﻳﺠﺎ ﺗﻨﺶ  ﻣﺮﻫﺎ ﻃﺮ‪ :‬ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‬ ‫ﻣﺤــﺮ‪ Z‬ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﻣﺎﻧﺪ!  ﻋﻤــﻞ ﻳﻜﻰ  ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﭘﻴﺮﻫﺎ ﺳــﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎ  ﺳﭙﺲ ﻳﺎﻻ‪/‬‬ ‫ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﻣﺪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﺑﻮ=‪ .‬ﻳﻨﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ‬ ‫ﻧــﺰ ﺟﻐﺮﻓﻴﺎﺋﻰ  ﻃﺒﻴﻌﻰ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﻧﺤﻮ  ﻧﺤﺎء ﺑﺮ‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﺑﺤﺮ  ﺗﻨﺶ  ﻣﺮﻫﺎﺷﺎ ﻛﺴﻴﻨﻪ ﺷﺪ=‬ ‫ﺑﻮﻧﺪ! ﮔﺮ ﺗﻨﺶﺋﻰ  ﻣﺮﻫﺎ  ﻳﻜﻰ  ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮﻳﻦ‬ ‫=ﻫــﺎ  ﻧﺪ ﺗﺤﻤﻴﻞ ﺳــﺘﺮﺗﮋ ﺑــﻪ »ﻗﺒﺎ« ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺷــﻤﺎ ‪M‬ﻳﻢ‪ ،‬ﻫــﻢ ﻟﻴﻞ ﻧﺸــﺖ ﻏﻴﺮﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﺗﺮﻣﻴﻢ‬ ‫ﻧﻔﺖﺧــﺎ‪  Z‬ﺧﻠﻴﺞ ﻣﻜﺰﻳﻚ  ﺑﻬﺘﺮ ‪ e‬ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻴﻢ‪،‬‬ ‫ ﻫﻢ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺣﺖ ﻣﻰﺑﻴﻨﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﭼﺮ ﺳــﻴﻪ ﺳــﻌﻰ‬ ‫  ﻳﺠﺎ ﺗﻨﺶ  ﻣﺮﻫﺎﻳﺶ ﭘﻴﺸﮕﻴﺮ ﻛﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻣﺎﻧﻴﻜــﻪ ﻳﻮ‪M g‬ﻫﻨﻴﻦ ﭘﻴﺮﻣﻮ ﺑﻠﺸﻮﻳﺴــﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻋﺎ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﻏﺮ‪ H‬ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺴــﺖ ﺳــﻴﻠﻪ ﺟﻬﺖ‬ ‫ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ  »ﺳﻮﺳﻴﺎﻟﻴﺴــﻢ ﻋﻠﻤﻰ« ﺗﻠﻘﻰ ﻣﻰﺷــﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ ﻫﻢ ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷــﻴﺪ »ﻳﻮ‪ g‬ﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ ﻣﺮﻫﺎ« ﻛﺸﻮ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮ ﻛﻠﻰ ﭘﺎ  ﮔﺮﮔﻮﻧﻰ ﮔﺬﺷﺖ‪ .‬‬ ‫ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺳﺘﺎﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻳﮕﺮ ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ ﻫﻤﭽﻮ ‬ ‫ﮔﺬﺷــﺘﻪ  ﻣﻮ ‪M‬ﻧﭽﻪ  ﻳــﺮ ﺗﻔﺎ‪ R‬ﻣﻰﻓﺘﺪ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﺧﺖﭘﺎﺧﺖ ﺑﺎ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﺑﺴﻨﺪ= ﻛﺮ=‪ ،‬ﭼﺸﻢ‬ ‫ﺑﺮ ﺗﺤﻮﻻ‪ /‬ﺑﺒﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﭘﻴﺸــﺘﺮ ﺗﻮﺿﻴﺢ = ﺑﻮﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﻮﻻ‪ /‬ﺑﺮ‪MR‬ﺳــﺎ  ﻣﺮﻫﺎ ﻳﻚ ﺑﺮﻗﺪ‪ /‬ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﭽﻮ ﺗﺤﺎ ﺷــﻮ ﺳــﺎﺑﻖ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﻧﺴﺖ ﺑﺪ ‬ ‫ﺻﻼﺣﺪﻳﺪ  »ﭼﺮ‪ P‬ﺳــﺒﺰ« ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﺗﻮﺳــﻂ ﻳﺎﻻ‪/‬‬ ‫ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﻫﺒﺮ ﺷﻮ‪ .‬ﺧﺎ‪  E‬ﻛﻮﺗﺎ ﻣﻴﺮﭘﻨﺞ ﻛﻪ‬

‫ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ﺿﻌﻒ ﻓﺰﻳﻨﺪ‪ g‬ﺳــﻴﻪ ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﻋﻤﺎ` ﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎ ‬ ‫ ﻳــﺮ ﻋﻤﻠﻰ ﺷــﺪ‪ ،‬ﭘﺲ  ﭘﺎﻳــﺎ ﺟﻨﮓ ‪ Z‬ﻃﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﺤﺮ ﻫﺎ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ  ﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻰ‪ ،‬ﺧﺼﻮﺻﺎً ﺑﺤﺮ ﺳﺎ‬ ‫ﻣﺼﺪ‪ ،R‬ﻛﻮﺗﺎ ‪ 28‬ﻣﺮ‪ ،‬ﻧﻘﻼ‪ H‬ﺳﻔﻴﺪ  ﻛﻮﺗﺎﻫﺎﺋﻰ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ  ‪ 22‬ﺑﻬﻤﻦ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮ ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ  ﻛﺸﻮ ﺻﻮ‪ /‬ﮔﺮﻓﺖ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻧﻈﺮ ﻣﺴﺎﻋﺪ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﭘﻴﺶ  ﻫﺮ ﻗﺪﻣﻰ  ﺟﺎﻧﺐ ﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﻣﻰﺷــﺪ‪ .‬ﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﻣﺮ ﻫﻀﻢ ﻳﻦ ﻣﺴــﺌﻠﻪ ﺑﺮ‬ ‫»ﻫﻤﻴﺎ « ﺗﺤﺎ ﺷــﻮ ﺳــﺎﺑﻖ‪ ،‬ﻫﻤﺎ ﻫﺎ ﻛﻪ ﭼﺸﻢ‬ ‫ﻣﻴﺪﺷــﺎ ﺑﻪ »ﭘﻮﻟﻴﺖﺑﻮ« ﺧﺘﻪ ﺷﺪ= ﺑﻮ ﺑﺴﻴﺎ ﺛﻘﻴﻞ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ‪ ،‬ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺳﺘﻨﺒﺎ‪ S‬ﻣﺎ ﺗﺎﻳﺦ ﻳﻦ ﺗﺤﻮﻻ‪/‬‬ ‫ ﻧﻴﺰ ‪M‬ﻧﻄﻮ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ  ﺷﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺛﺒﺖ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺳﺎﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺳﺘﺎﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﭘﺲ  ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷﻰ ﺗﺤﺎ ﺷﻮ‬ ‫ﺷﺎﻫﺪ »ﺑﻰﻋﺘﻨﺎﺋﻰ« ﻇﺎﻫﺮ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺤﺮ ﺳﺎﻫﺎ‬ ‫»ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑــﺎ‪ «/‬ﺟﻤﻜــﺮ ﻣﻰﺷــﻮﻳﻢ‪M .‬ﻗﺎ ﻣﻮﺳــﻮ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺻﺮﺣﺖ ﻣﻰﻧﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﭘﺎ  ﭼﻪ ﻣﻴﺪﻧﻰ ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪﻧﺪ؛‬ ‫ﺧﻮ ﻳﺸــﺎ ﻃﻰ  ﻫﺸﺖﺳــﺎﻟﺔ ﻧﺨﺴﺖﻳﺮ ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺳــﺘﮕﺎ= ﺳﺮﻛﻮﺑﮕﺮ   ﻗﻠﺐ ‪/‬ﻛﺸﻮ ﺟﺎﻳﮕﻴﺮ ﻛﺮ=‬ ‫ﺑﻮﻧﺪ    ﺻــﺪ‪ /‬ﺑﺎ ﺣﻀﺮ‪ /‬ﺧﺎﻣﻨﻪ  ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﺑﻴــﺶ  ‪ 90‬ﺻــﺪ ‪M‬ء  ﺻﻨﺪ‪R‬ﻫﺎ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ »ﻧﻈﺎ‪«Z‬‬ ‫ﺑﻴﺮ ﻛﺸﻴﺪ= ﺑﻮﻧﺪ‪  .‬ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ‪ ،‬ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻰ ﺑﻮ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻴﺎﻫﻮ‬ ‫ﻣﻴﺮﺣﺴﻴﻦ ﻣﻮﺳﻮ  ﻣﻨﻈﺮ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﻓﻘﻂ ﻳﻚ ﺻﺤﻨﻪ‪M‬ﺋﻰ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﺷﺪ  ﺗﻼﺷــﻰ ﺗﻠﻘﻰ ﺷﻮ  ﻃﺮ‪ :‬ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺟﻬﺖ ﻧﮓﻏﻦ  ﺑﻪ ﻣﻬﺮ=ﻫﺎ ﭘﻮﺳــﻴﺪ=  ﻓﺮﺳﻮ=‬ ‫ ﺻﺤﻨﺔ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﻛﺸــﻮ ﻳﺮ ‪ .‬ﻫﺪ‪ :‬ﻏﺮ‪ H‬ﻛﺎﻣ ً‬ ‫ﻼ‬ ‫ﺷــﻦ ﺑﻮ؛ ﺣﺎ` ﻛﻪ ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷﺎﻧﻰ  ﻛﻮﺗﺎ  ﻏﻮﻏﺎﺳﺎﻻ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮ‪ /‬ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﻣﻜﺎﻧﭙﺬﻳﺮ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪ ،‬ﭼﻪ ﺑﻬﺘﺮ ﻛﻪ ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺖ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ  ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ  ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ ﻏﻮﻏﺎﺳﺎﻻﻫﺎﺋﻰ  ﻧﻮ‪ r‬ﻳﮕﺮ‬ ‫‪M‬ﻟﻮ= ﻛﻨﻴﻢ  ﺟﺎ= ﻧﺪﻫﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺳــﻴﺮ ﺗﺤﻮﻻ‪ /‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ‬ ‫ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ  ﻋﻤﺎ` ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎ ﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎ ﻳﺠﺎ ﻛﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫‪M‬ﻧﭽﻪ ﻣﻮﺳــﻮ  ﻛﺮﺑﻰ ﻧﺠﺎ‪ Z‬ﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﻋﺒﺎ‪ /‬ﺳﺎ=ﺗﺮ‬


‫ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳــﺪ »ﺗﺎﺟﮕﺰ« ﻋﻮﻣﻞ ﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎ  ﻣﺴــﻴﺮ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ‪M‬ﻳﻨﺪ‪ g‬ﻛﺸــﻮ ﻋﻨﻮ ﺷــﻮ‪ .‬ﻟﻰ ﻳﻨﻜﻪ‬ ‫ﻳــﻦ »ﺗﺎﺟﮕﺰ« ﻣﻴﻤﻮ ﺗﺎ ﻛﺠﺎ ﺑﺮ ﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎ ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﺑﺴــﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ‪» M‬ﻧــﺎ  ‪ «HM‬ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﺮ= ‪،M‬‬ ‫ﻣﻄﻠﺒﻰ ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻓﻘﻂ ﺳﻴﺮ ﺗﺤﻮﻻ‪M /‬ﻳﻨﺪ= ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ‬ ‫‪M‬ﻧﺮ ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﻛﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﭘﺲ  ﻫﻴﺎﻫﻮﺳــﺎﻻﻫﺎ »ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ« ﻛﻪ  ﻗﻊ‬ ‫ﺗﺒﺎﻃﻰ ﻫﻢ ﺑﺎ »ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎ‪ «/‬ﻧﺪﺷﺖ  ﻫﻨﻮ ﻫﻢ ﻧﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺷﺎﻫﺪﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻟﺖ ﺣﻤﺪﻧﮋ ﺣﺘﻰ ﺳﻴﻊﺗﺮ  ‪g‬‬ ‫ﻧﺨﺴﺖ‪» ،‬ﺑﺎﻻﺟﺒﺎ« ﭘﺎ  ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎ ﺗﻨﺶﺋﻰ‬ ‫ﮔﺬﺷــﺘﻪ‪ .‬ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺳﺖ  ﺳﺖ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ‬ ‫‪M‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﺋﻰ ﺳﻌﻰ  ﺑﻪ ﻧﺰ ﻛﺸﺎﻧﺪ ‪M‬ﻧﺪﺳﺘﻪ  ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ‬ ‫ ﻏــﺮ‪  H‬ﻛﻪ ﺑﻬﺮ=ﺑــﺮ  ﺗﻨﺶﻫﺎ ﻇﺎﻫﺮ ً‬ ‫»ﻫﺴــﺘﻪ«  ﻳﺮ ‪  ،‬ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖﻫﺎ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺸــﻰ ‬ ‫ﻟﺖ ﺳــﺮﺋﻴﻞ  ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ  ﻫﺪ‪:‬ﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﺗﻠﻘــﻰ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﻣﺎ=ﻫﺎ ﭘﻴــﺶ‪  ،‬ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺑﻼگ‬ ‫ﮔﻔﺘﻴــﻢ ﻛﻪ ﮔﺮ »ﺻﻼﺣﺎﺗﻰ«  ﻳﻦ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺑﺘﻮﻧﺪ‬ ‫ ﻗﻊ ﻋﻤﻠﻰ ﺷــﻮ ﻓﻘﻂ ﺑﻪ ﺳﺖ ﺑﺎﻧﺪ ﺣﻤﺪﻧﮋ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻟﻴﻞ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺷﻦ ﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ  ﺟﻤﻜﺮ ‬ ‫ ﺳﺖ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﮔﺮ= ﺑﻪ ﺻﻄﻼ‪» t‬ﻓﺮﻃﻴﻮ « ﺑﺴﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰﻫﺎ  ﺳــﭙﺎ= ﭘﺎﺳــﺪ ﻗــﺮ ‪ ،‬ﻳﮕﺮ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﺣﺘﻰ ﮔﺮ ﻧﮓ  ﻏﻦ »ﻣﺎ‪Z‬ﺳــﺘﻰ« ﻧﻴﺰ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺧﻮ = ﺑﺎﺷــﻨﺪ‪  ،‬ﻫﻤﺎ ﺑﻴﺎ‪M /‬ﺧﻮﻧﺪ ‬ ‫ﺣﻜﻢ  ﺻﻴﻐﻪﻧﺪ! ﻛﺴــﻰ ﺑﺮ ﺣﺮ‪ :‬ﻳﻨﺎ ﺗﺮ=‬ ‫ﺧــﺮ ﻧﺨﻮﻫﺪ ﻛﺮ‪ .‬ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ‪ ،‬ﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ  ﺑﺎﻧﺪ‬ ‫ﭼﻤﺎ‪R‬ﻛﺶﻫﺎ ﻟﺘــﻰ‪ ،‬ﻳﻌﻨﻰ ﻫﻤﺎ ﻣﻴﺮ‪ u‬‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ »ﺟﺎﻳﺪﺷــﺎ=«  ﺟﺎﻳﺪ ﻫــﺎ ﻋﻠﻴﺤﻀﺮ‪/‬‬ ‫ﻫﺴــﺘﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ  ﻳﻦ ژﻳﻢ ﻧﻴــﺰ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ »ﺻﻼﺣﺎ‪«/‬‬ ‫ﻛﺬ  ﺑﻪ ﭘﻴﺶ ﻧﻨﺪ! ‪ g‬ﺷﻮ‪» Z‬ﺻﻼﺣﺎ‪ «/‬ﻛﻪ ‬ ‫ﺣﻠﻘﻮ‪ Z‬ﻣﺜﺎ` ﺧﺎﺗﻤﻰ‪ ،‬ﻣﻮﺳــﻮ  ﻛﺮﺑﻰ ﺑﻪ ﮔﻮ‪a‬‬

‫ﻣﻰﺳﺪ‪ ،‬ﻓﻘﻂ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻌﻨﺎ ﺳﺘﻐﺎﺛﻪ  ﮔﺮ=ﻫﺎ ﺳﺮﻛﻮ‪H‬‬ ‫ﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﻳﻨﺎ ﺗﻘﺎﺿﺎ ﻧﺪ ﮔﺮ=ﻫﺎ ﺳﺮﻛﻮ‪ H‬ﭘﺎ ﭘﻴﺶ‬ ‫ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ژﻳﻢ ﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﻣﻜﺎ ﻫﻨﺪ ﺗﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺑﻬﺎﻧﺔ ﺣﻔﻆ‬ ‫»ﺗﻘﺪ‪y‬ﻫﺎ«  ﻫﺮ ﮔﻮﻧﻪ ﺻﻼﺣﺎ‪  /‬ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ‪  /‬ﻛﺸــﻮ‬ ‫ﭘﻴﺸــﮕﻴﺮ ﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﺔ ‪M‬ﻗﺎ ﻣﻮﺳﻮ  ﻛﺮﺑﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺟﺰ‬ ‫ﻳــﻦ ﻧﺒﻮ=‪ .‬ﺻﻮﻻً ﭼﮕﻮﻧﻪ ﻃﺮﻓﺪ ﻣﻮ‪ E‬ﺳــﺒﺰ ﻧﻤﻮ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺜﺎ` ﺧﺎﺗﻤﻰ‪ ،‬ﭘﺲ  ﺗﺠﺮﺑﺔ ‪ 8‬ﺳﺎﻟﺔ ﻟﺖ‬ ‫»ﺻﻼﺣﺎ‪ «/‬ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﻨﺪ ﻫــﻮ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ‪ /‬ﻣﻜﺮﺗﻴﻚ ‬ ‫ﺳﻄﺢ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﻨﺪ‪  ،‬ﻳﺎ  ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﭘﺘﺎﻧﺴﻴﻠﻰ ﺑﺮﺧﻮ‬ ‫ﺷﻮﻧﺪ؟‬ ‫ ﺳــﺘﺎ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻄﻼ‪» t‬ﺻﻼﺣﺎ‪  «/‬ﺟﺎﻣﻌﺔ‬ ‫ﻳﺮ ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ‪  /‬ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ  ﻧﻴﺰ ﻧﺒﺎ`‬ ‫ﻛــﺮ‪ .‬ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻠﻰ  ﻏﺮ‪ H‬ﺑﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨــﻮ  ‪M‬ﻧﭽﻪ ﻣﺮ‬ ‫ ﻳﺮ ﻣﻰﮔﺬ ﺿﻰ ﻧﻴﺴــﺘﻨﺪ؛ ﺟﺎﻟﺐ ﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﺗﺎ ﭘﻴﺶ‬ ‫ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ‪ /‬ﭘﺎﻳﻪ  ﺳــﺘﺮﺗﮋﻫﺎ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ‪ ،‬ﻳﻌﻨﻰ‬ ‫ﭘﻴﺶ  ‪M‬ﻧﻜﻪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺗﻰ ﻗﺪﺗﻤﻨﺪﻧﻪ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻌــﺎﻻ‪ /‬ﻣﻨﻄﻘــﻪ ﺑﺎﮔﺮ‪ ،‬ﻳﻦ ﻣﺤﺎﻓــﻞ  ﺟﻤﻠﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﻬﺮﻫﻤﻨــﺪ ﺻﻠــﻰ  ﻛﻮﺗﺎ ‪ 22‬ﺑﻬﻤﻦ  ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷــﻰ‬ ‫ژﻳﻢ ﺳــﻠﻄﻨﺘﻰ  ﻳﺮ ﺑﻮ=ﻧــﺪ‪  .‬ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﭼﺎﭼﻮ‪H‬‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺗﺤﻮﻻﺗﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻃﻰ ﻫﻔﺘﺔ ﮔﺬﺷــﺘﻪ ﭘﻴــﺶ ‪M‬ﻣﺪ= ﻧﮕﺎﻫﻰ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﻧﺪﻳﻢ‪ .‬ﻣﺴﻠﻤﺎً  |‪ y‬ﻳﻦ ﺗﺤﻮﻻ‪ /‬ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ  ﺳﻔﺮ‬ ‫ﻏﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺮﻳﻞ ﻧﺎ‪ Z‬ﺑﺮ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻗﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ ﺟﺐ ﻏﺎ ‪  ،‬ﻣﻘﺎ‪ Z‬ﺋﻴﺲ ﻟﺖ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ‬ ‫ ﻳﻜﻰ  ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﻣﻬﺮ=ﻫﺎ ﺳﺎﻣﺎ ‪M‬ﺗﻼﻧﺘﻴﻚ ﺷﻤﺎﻟﻰ‬ ‫ ﺧﺎﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ  ﭘﺎ ﺷــﺮﻗﻰ  ﻛﻨﺎ »ﺑﻴﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﺗﻬﺮ «‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺣﺖ ﻧﺸــﺎ  ﻛﻪ ﺣﺪﻗﻞ ﺷــﺎﺧﻪ  ﺣﺎﻣﻴﺎ ‬ ‫ﻳﻦ ﺑﻴﺎﻧﻴﻪ  ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ  ﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﺟﺴــﺘﺠﻮ ﻛﺮ‪ ،‬ﻫﺮ‬ ‫ﭼﻨﺪ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﺻﻠﻰ ‪ M‬ﻣﺴــﻠﻤﺎً ﻧﺼﻴﺐ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻟــﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺣﺖ ﻳﺪﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﭼﮕﻮﻧــﻪ ﻫﻴﻼ ﻛﻠﻴﻨﺘﻦ ‬ ‫ﺑــﺎ ﻣﺤﻔﻞ ﺟﻨﮓﻃﻠﺐ  ﺣﺰ‪ H‬ﻣﻜﺮ‪ /‬ﺑﺎ ﻳﻦ ﺑﻴﺎﻧﻴﻪ‬


‫ ﺳﺮ ﻧﺎﺳﺎﮔﺎ  ‪M‬ﻣﺪ  ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ  ﺑﻴﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﺗﻬﺮ ‬ ‫ﻏــﺎ  ﺋﻴﺲ ﻟﺖ ﺑﺮﻳﻞ  ﻛﻪ ﻫﺮ  ﺳﺖﻧﺸــﺎﻧﺪ‪g‬‬ ‫ﭘﻨﺘﺎﮔﻮ ﻧﺪ ﺳﻤﺎً ﺳﺮﻧﺶ ﻛﺮ‪ .‬ﺑﺎ ﻳﻦ ﺟﻮ‪ ،‬ﻫﻴﭽﻜﺪ‪ Z‬‬ ‫ﻳﻨﺪ  ﺑﺮﺑﺮ ﺣﻤﻼ‪ /‬ﻛﻠﻴﻨﺘﻦ ﻋﻘﺐ ﻧﻨﺸﺴــﺘﻨﺪ   ﻣﻮﺿﻊ‬ ‫ﺗﺨﺎ} ﺷــﺪ= ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻤﻞ ‪M‬ﻧﺪ! ﻛﻨﺶ ﻏﺮ‪ H‬ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻳﻦ ﺷﺮﻳﻂ ﻧﺎﻣﻄﻠﻮ‪ H‬ﺗﻬﺎﺟﻢ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺑﻪ »ﻧﺎ‪ «M‬ﺑﻮ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﺤﺮﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮ ﻣﺤﻮ ﺳــﺎ` ﻳﻚ ﻛﺸــﺘﻰ ﺣﺎﻣﻞ ﻛﻤﻚﻫﺎ‬ ‫»ﻧﺴﺎﻧﺪﺳﺘﺎﻧﻪ« ﺑﻪ ﺑﻨﺎ ﻏﺰ= ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ »‪ .  .‬ﺟﻰﻫﺎ«‬ ‫ﺑﺮ ﭘﺎ ﺷﺪ‪ ،‬ﭘﺎﺳﺦ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﺑﺎﻧﺪ= ﺑﻪ »ﺑﻴﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﺗﻬﺮ « ‬ ‫ﺳﺨﻨﺎ ﺧﻴﺮ ﺑﺎ‪ e‬ﺑﺎﻣﺎﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ  ‪» M‬ﻣﻨﻴﺖ ﺳﺮﺋﻴﻞ«‬ ‫ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﻛﺎ~ ﺳﻔﻴﺪ ﺗﻀﻤﻴﻦ ﺷﺪ= ﺑﻮ! ﻋﻜﺲﻟﻌﻤﻞ ﺑﺎﻧﺪﮔﺎ ‬ ‫ﻛﺎﻣ ً‬ ‫ﻼ ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ‪ e‬ﺳــﺖ‪ .‬ﮔﺮ ﻳﺎﻻ‪ /‬ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﻣﻨﻴﺖ ﺳــﺮﺋﻴﻞ‬ ‫ ﺗﻀﻤﻴﻦ ﻛﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﻣﻴﻨﺔ ﺑﺤﺮ ﺳــﺎ ﺑﺮ ﻣﺤﻮ ﺳــﻼ‪t‬ﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﻫﺴﺘﻪ »ﻓﺮﺿﻰ« ﺳﺮﺋﻴﻞ  ﻣﻴﺎ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﻓﺖ‪ .‬ﻣﻰﻧﻴﻢ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺳﺮﺋﻴﻞ ﺳﻼ‪ t‬ﻫﺴﺘﻪ ﻧﺪ؛ ﻳﻦ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﺑﻴﻦﻟﻤﻠﻠﻰﻧﺪ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺗﺤﺖ ﻋﻨﻮ ﻣﺴــﻠﺢ ﺑﻮ ﺳــﺮﺋﻴﻞ ﺑﻪ ﺳﻼ‪ t‬ﻫﺴﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﻬﺪﻳﺪ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﻛﺸــﻮﻫﺎ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ  ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎ »ﻗﻴﺐ«‬ ‫ﻋﻤﺎ` ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺳﺎ=ﺗﺮ‪ ،‬ﻳﻨﺎ ﻫﺮ ﮔﺎ=  ﻣﻌﺎﻻ‪/‬‬ ‫ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺑﻦﺑﺴــﺖ ﺑﺮﺧﻮ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﺟﻬﺖ ﺑﺎ‪E‬ﮔﻴﺮ‪M ،‬ﻧﺎً‬ ‫ﻋﻠﻢ ﺗﻬﺪﻳﺪ ﻫﺴﺘﻪ ﺳﺮﺋﻴﻞ  ﺑﻪ ﻫﻮ ﻣﻰﺑﺮﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﺎ »ﺗﻀﻤﻴﻦ ﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ« ﺑﺎﻣﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺳﺮﺋﻴﻞ‪ ،‬ﺳﺘﻔﺎ‪ g‬ﺗﺒﻠﻴﻐﺎﺗﻰ ‬ ‫»ﻗﺪ‪ /‬ﻫﺴﺘﻪ« ﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮ ﻳﮕﺮ  ﻣﻴﺎ ﻓﺘﻪ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﻟﻴﻞ ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻛﺸــﺘﻰ »ﻧﺴﺎﻧﺪﺳﺘﺎﻧﺔ« ﻛﺬ ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ‬ ‫ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ  ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ »ﺑﺎﮔﻴﺮ« ﻣﻰﺷﻮ‪  ،‬ﺳﺎﻳﺖ »ﻳﻮﻓﺮ«‪،‬‬ ‫ﻣﻮ~ ‪ 10‬ﺧﺮﻣﺎ= ‪ 1389‬ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﻣﻰﻧﻮﻳﺴﺪ‪:‬‬ ‫» ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻛﻪ ﺟﻤﻌﻴﺖ ﺧﻴﺮﻳﻪ ﺳــﻼﻣﻰ ‪ [...] M‬ﺳﻬﻢ ﻣﻬﻤﻰ‬ ‫  ﺗﺪ‪ e‬ﻛﺎ ﻳﺎﺋﻰ ﻛﻤﻚﺳــﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻏﺰ= ﺷــﺖ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺧﺸــﻤﮕﻴﻨﺎﻧﻪﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﻛﻨــﺶ  ﺑﻪ ﻳﻦ ﻣﻮﺿﻮ‪ r‬ﻧﺸــﺎ =‬ ‫ﺳﺖ‪«.‬‬

‫ﺑﻠﻪ‪ ،‬ﻛﺎﻣ ً‬ ‫ﻼ ﺷﻦ ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺳﺖ ﭼﻪ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻠﻰ  ﻛﺎ ‪M‬ﻣﺪ=!‬ ‫ﻳﻨــﻚ ﺟﺐ ﻏﺎ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻫﺰﻳﻨﺔ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ  ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ‬ ‫»ﻣﺪ‪ :‬ـ ﺑﺎﻣﺎ«  ﺑﻪ ﻧﺰ ﻛﺸﺎﻧﺪ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﺟﻨﮓﻃﻠﺐ‬ ‫ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ   ﻛﻮﭼﻪ  ﺧﻴﺎﺑﺎ ﻫﺎ ‪M‬ﻧﻜﺎ ﺑﭙﺮ‪ .‬ﻟﺒﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﻂ ﻟﺖ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺳــﺮﺋﻴﻞ ﺑﻄﻰ ﺳــﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺗﻠﻘﻰ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﺷــﻮ؛ ﺗــﺶ  ﻧﻴﺮﻫﺎ ﻧﺘﻈﺎﻣــﻰ  ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻫﺮ ‬ ‫ﻛﺸــﻮ  ﺑﺴــﺘﮕﺎ ﺑﻪ ﭘﻴﻤﺎ ‪M‬ﺗﻼﻧﺘﻴﻚ ﺷﻤﺎﻟﻰ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ‬ ‫ ﺗﺤــﺖ ﻧﻈﺎ‪ /‬ﭘﻨﺘﺎﮔــﻮ ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺖ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨــﺪ‪  .‬ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ‬ ‫»ﮔﻴﺮ« ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﺳﺮﺋﻴﻞ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺗﻰ‬ ‫»ﻧﺎﺑﺠﺎ« ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺷــﻮ‪ .‬ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ  ﻳﻚ ﺳﻮ ﻣﺠﺒﻮ ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫»ﻫﻮ« ﻻ‪/‬ﷲ  ﺣﺰ‪H‬ﷲ ﺷــﻬﺮ  ﺷــﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪  ،‬‬ ‫ﺳــﻮ ﻳﮕﺮ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﻂ ﺧﻮ  ﺑﺎ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ  ﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻧﺤﻮ ﺳﺮﺳــﺎﻣﺎ ﻫﺪ ﻛﻪ ‪ g‬ﻣﻮ ﻛﺸﻮ  ﺳﺘﺶ‬ ‫ﺧﺎ‪ E‬ﻧﺸﻮ‪ .‬ﻳﻮ ﻓﺮ ﻣﻰﻧﻮﻳﺴﺪ‪:‬‬ ‫» ﻧﺨﺴــﺘﻴﻦ ﺳﺎﻋﺎ‪ /‬ﺑﺎﻣﺪ ﺷــﻨﺒﻪ ﺗﻈﺎﻫﺮ‪ /‬ﮔﺴﺘﺮ‪g‬‬ ‫ﻣﺮﻣﻰ ﺑﺎ ﺷــﻌﺎﻫﺎ ﻣﺮگ ﺑﺮ ﺳــﺮﺋﻴﻞ  ﺳــﺘﺎﻧﺒﻮ` ‬ ‫ﺟﺮﻳﺎ ﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺗﻈﺎﻫﺮ‪ /‬ﻣﺮﻣﻰ ﺑﻪ ‪M‬ﻧﻜﺎ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻛﺸﻴﺪ= ﺷﺪ=‬ ‫  ﺑﺮﺑﺮ ﺳﻔﺎ‪ /‬ﺳﺮﺋﻴﻞ  ‪M‬ﻧﻜﺎ ﻣﻪ ‪«.‬‬ ‫ﮔﺮ=ﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻛﺸﺘﻰ ﻛﺬ   ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ = ﻧﺪﺧﺘﻨﺪ‪ ،‬‬ ‫ﺟﻨﺎ‪t‬ﻫﺎﺋــﻰ ﻛﻪ  ﺑﻨﺎ ﺳــﺮﺋﻴﻞ ﺗﺮﺗﻴﺒﻰ ﻧﺪ ﺗﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻛﺸﺘﻰ »ﺣﻤﻠﻪ« ﺷــﻮ‪ ،‬ﻫﻤﺎ ﻫﺎ ﻫﺴﺘﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺗﻈﺎﻫﺮ‪ /‬ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻗﻮ` »ﻳﻮﻓﺮ« ﻣﺮﻣﻰ   ‪M‬ﻧﻜﺎ‪ ،‬ﺳــﺘﺎﻧﺒﻮ`‪ ،‬ﺑﻴﺮ‪/‬‬ ‫ ﻳﮕﺮ ﺷــﻬﺮﻫﺎ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺑﻪ = ﻧﺪﺧﺘﻪﻧﺪ‪  .‬ﻳﻦ ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺮ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﻣﺬﻛﻮ  ﻫﺪ‪ :‬ﺻﻠﻰ ﻣﻄﺮ‪ t‬ﺳــﺖ‪ .‬ﻧﺨﺴﺖ‬ ‫ﻳﺠﺎ ﺗﺰﻟﺰ`  ﻣﺤﻮ »ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ـ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ـ ﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ« ﺧﻮﻫﺪ‬ ‫ﺑﻮ‪  .‬ﺻﻮﺗﻴﻜﻪ ﻳﻨﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻫﺪ‪:‬ﺷــﺎ ﺑﺮﺳــﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﭘﻴﺎﻣﺪ‬ ‫ﻳﻦ »ﺗﺰﻟﺰ`« ﺷــﻦ ﺳﺖ‪ :‬ﻋﻘﺐ ﻧﺸﻴﻨﻰ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ  ﺑﺮﻳﻞ‬ ‫ ﻣﺔ »ﺑﺤﺮ ﻫﺴــﺘﻪ«  ﻳﺮ !  ﮔﺎ‪ Z‬ﺑﻌﺪ ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﺳﻌﻰ ﺧﻮﻫﻨﺪ ﺷﺖ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﺧﺎﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ﻛﺎ~‬


‫ﺳــﻔﻴﺪ  ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻰﻋﺘﺒﺎ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪  ،‬ﻧﺸــﺎ ﻫﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺮﺋﻴﻞ  ﺷﺮﻳﻂ ﺟﻐﺮﻓﻴﺎﺋﻰ ﺧﻄﺮﻧﺎﻛﻰ ﻗﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ‬ ‫ ﺑﻪ ﺷــﺪ‪» /‬ﻣﻨﺰ« ﺳــﺖ‪  ،‬ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ »ﺗﺴــﻠﻴﺢ ﺗﺒﻠﻴﻐﺎﺗــﻰ ﺗﻞ‪M‬ﻳﻮ« ﺑﻪ ﺳــﻼ‪t‬‬ ‫ﻫﺴﺘﻪ ﻫﻤﭽﻨﺎ ﻣﻪ ﻳﺎﺑﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮ ﻣﺜﺎ` ﻣﻰﻧﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ  ﺗﺒﻠﻴﻐﺎ‪ /‬ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻒﻧﻤﺎﻳﺎ ‬ ‫ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺳــﻼﻣﻰ‪ ،‬ﺳــﺎﻳﺖ »ﻓﺎ‪ y‬ﻧﻴﻮ« ﻳﻜﻰ ‬ ‫ﻃﺮﻓــﺪ ﻟﺖ ﺣﻤﺪﻧــﮋ ﻣﻌﺮﻓﻰ ﻣﻰﺷــﻮ!‬ ‫ﻳــﻦ  ﺣﺎﻟﻰ ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺎ ﺑﺎﻫﺎ ﻋﻨــﻮ ﻛﺮ=ﻳﻢ‪،‬‬ ‫»ﻃﺮﻓــﺪ « ﻟــﺖ ﺣﻤﺪﻧــﮋ  ﻧﻤﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ‬ ‫ﺳــﺎﺧﺘﺎﻫﺎ ﺷﻨﺎﺧﺘﻪ ﺷــﺪ‪ g‬ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺳﻼﻣﻰ  ﻳﺎ‬ ‫ﻣﺠﻤﻮﻋﻪﻫﺎ ﻣﺘﺸﻜﻞ ﻧﺒﺎ` ﻛﺮ‪ .‬ﻳﻦ ﻟﺖ ﻓﺎﻗﺪ‬ ‫»ﻃﺮﻓﺪ« ﺑﻪ ﻣﻌﻨﺎ ﻣﻌﻤﻮ` ﻛﻠﻤﻪ ﺳﺖ‪   ،‬ﻋﻤﻞ‬ ‫ﻛﺎﮔﺰ ﻣﺴــﺘﻘﻴﻢ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﺧﺎﺟﻰ  ﺑﺮ ﻋﻬﺪ=‬ ‫‪  .‬ﺣﺎ` ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﺗﻮﺿﻴﺢ ﺑﻴﺸــﺘﺮ  ﻳﻨﻤﻮ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻰﻫﻴﻢ ﭼﺮ ﻛﻪ ﺳــﺨﻦ ﺑﻪ  ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﻛﺸــﻴﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻟــﻰ ﭘﺲ  ﻫﻴﺎﻫﻮﺋﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺷــﺒﻜﺔ ﻣﺨﺎﻟــﻒ »ﺑﻴﺎﻧﻴﺔ‬ ‫ﺗﻬﺮ «  ﺳﻄﺢ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺑﻪ = ﻧﺪﺧﺖ‪ ،‬ﻧﺨﺴﺘﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺰ ﻛﻪ ﻳﺨﺘﻦ ﻏﻦ ﺑﺮ  ‪M‬ﺗﺶ  ‪M‬ﻏﺎ‬ ‫ﻛﺮ‪ ،‬ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺳــﺎﻳﺖ »ﻓﺎ‪y‬ﻧﻴﻮ« ﺑﻮ! ﺟﺎﻟﺐ ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺗﻨﺪﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﺑﻴﺎﻧﻴﻪ  ﻣﺤﻜﻮﻣﻴﺖ ﺣﻤﻠﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻛﺎ »ﻧﺴﺎﻧﺪﺳﺘﺎﻧﻪ«  ﺟﺎﻧﺐ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﻓﺮﻣﺎﻳﺸﻰ‬ ‫ﺟﻤﻜﺮ ﺻﺎ ﺷــﺪ=‪ .‬ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﺎ ﻳﻦ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻄﻼ‪t‬‬ ‫ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﻛﻪ  ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﻰ ﻓﻘﻂ ﺷــﻜﻢﭼﺮﻧﻰ  ﭼﺮ‪/‬‬ ‫  ﺻﻨﺪﻟﻰﻫــﺎ ﮔﺮ‪  Z‬ﻧﺮ‪  Z‬ﺷــﻨﺎﺧﺘﻪﻧﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻳﻚﺑﺎ= ﺗﺐ »ﻧﻘﻼ‪H‬ﺳﻼﻣﻰﺷﺎ « ﺷﻌﻠﻪ ﺷﺪ=‬ ‫ﻓﺮﻳﺎ ﺑﺮ‪=M‬ﻧﺪ‪:‬‬ ‫»ﺟﻨﺎﻳﺖ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ ژﻳﻢ ﺻﻬﻴﻮﻧﻴﺴــﺘﻲ ﻋﻼ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫]ﺑﻪ[ ﻫﻤﻪ ﺟﻬﺎ ﺳﺖ!«‬ ‫ﻓﺎ‪y‬ﻧﻴﻮ‪ 10 ،‬ﺧﺮﻣﺎ= ‪1389‬‬

‫ﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﺑﺎ  ﻧﻈﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ ﻣﻄﺎﻟﺒﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎﻻﺗﺮ ﺗﻮﺿﻴﺢ ﻳﻢ‪،‬‬ ‫ﭘﺮﺿــﺢ ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ  ﭘــﺲ ﻳــﻦ »ﻧﻘﻼﺑﻰﻧﻤﺎﺋﻰﻫﺎ«‬ ‫ﭼــﻪ ﻫﺪﻓﻰ ﻧﺸﺴــﺘﻪ‪ .‬ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﺎ ﻳﻦ ﺑــﻪ ﺻﻄﻼ‪t‬‬ ‫»ﻣﺠﻠــﺲ«‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﺮ= ﺋﻴﺲﺷــﺎ ‪ ،‬ﻋﻠﻰ ﻻﻳﺠﺎﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﺎ ﻫــﺎ ﻫﺴــﺘﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻃﻰ ﺳــﻪ ﻫﻪ  ﺑﺪﻧﺔ ﺷــﺒﻜﺔ‬ ‫ﺟﺎﺳﻮﺳــﻰ ﺟﻨﺒﻰ  ﺳــﺮﻛﻮ‪ H‬ﻣﻠﺖ ﻳــﺮ ﺟﺎ ﺧﻮ‪a‬‬ ‫ﻛــﺮ=  ﺟﺰ ﻗﺎﭼﺎﻗﭽﻰﭘﺮ‪M ،‬ﻣﻜﺸــﻰ  ﺳــﺮﻛﻮ‪H‬‬ ‫ﻣﻠــﺖ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻤﻠﻰ ﺻﻮ‪ /‬ﻧﺪ=ﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺣﺎ` ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻳﺪ ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺷــﺒﻜﻪ ﻛﻪ  ﺟﺮﻳﺎ »ﻣﺒﺎ‪ /‬ﺳﻼﻣﻰ« ﺧﻮ ﺳﺖ‬ ‫ ﺳــﺖ ﻻ‪/‬ﷲ  ﺣﺰ‪H‬ﷲ ﻫﻤﻪ = =ﻫﺎ ﻳﺮﻧﻰ ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻗﺘﻞ ﺳﺎﻧﺪ  ﺧﻢ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺮ ﻧﻴﺎ‪ ،‬ﭼﻪ ﺷﺪ= ﻛﻪ ﺗﺎ ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺣﺪ  ﻛﺸﺘﻪ ﺷﺪ »ﻓﺮﺿﻰ«  ﺗﺒﻠﻴﻐﺎﺗﻰ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺗﻦ ﺗﺒﺎ‪r‬‬ ‫ﺧﺎﺟﻰ  ﺳــﻮﺣﻞ ﻏﺰ= ﻳﻨﭽﻨﻴﻦ ﺧﻮ ‪ a‬ﺑﻪ ﺟﻮ‪a‬‬ ‫‪M‬ﻣﺪ=؟  ﻗﺪﻳﻢ ﮔﻔﺘﻪﻧﺪ‪ :‬ﭼﺮﻏﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﺰ` ﺳﺖ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻣﺴﺠﺪ ﺣﺮ‪ Z‬ﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﺎ ﻳﻦ ﺟﻮ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﺳــﺘﻨﺒﺎ‪ S‬ﻣﺎ ﺑﺤﺮ ﺳﺎﻫﺎ ﺧﻴﺮ‬ ‫ ﻣﻮﺿﻊ ﺿﻌﻒ ﺻﻮ‪ /‬ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ‪  ،‬ﻧﻤﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﺮﺷــﺎ ‬ ‫‪ a‬ﻛﺎﺑﺮ  ﺳﻄﻮ‪ t‬ﻳﭙﻠﻤﺎﺗﻴﻚ  ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻗﺎﺋﻞ‬ ‫ﺷــﺪ‪ .‬ﻳﻦ ﺻﺤﻨﻪ ﻳــﻚ ﻫﻴﺎﻫﻮ ﺗﺒﻠﻴﻐﺎﺗﻰ ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺳــﺮﻋﺖ ﺗﻮﺳــﻂ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﺻﻠﻰ ﻫﻀﻢ ﺷــﺪ= ﺻﺤﻨﺔ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﻣﻨﻄﻘــﻪ  ﺗــﺮ‪ e‬ﺧﻮﻫــﺪ ﮔﻔــﺖ‪ .‬ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺻﺤﻨﻪ‪M‬ﺋﻰﻫــﺎ  ﻋﻤــﻞ ﻧﻮﻋــﻰ »ﺳــﻨﺠﺶ« ﻣﻴﻨﺔ‬ ‫ﺑﺤﺮ ﺳــﺎ ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ  ﻃﺮ‪ :‬ﺣﺰ‪ H‬ﺗﺎ= ﺑﻪ ﻗﺪ‪/‬‬ ‫ﺳــﻴﺪ‪» g‬ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻈﻪﻛﺎ« ﻧﮕﻠﺴــﺘﺎ ﺻــﻮ‪ /‬ﭘﺬﻳﺮﻓﺘﻪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻟﻰ  ﻳﻦ ﻣﻴﺎ ﻧﻘﺶ‪M‬ﻓﺮﻳﻨــﻰ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﺧﻠﻰ‬ ‫ ﺧﺎﺟــﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺣﺖ ﻧﺸــﺎ  ﻛﻪ ﻃﺮﻓﺪ ﻳﺠﺎ‬ ‫»ﺗﺰﻟﺰ`«  ﻣﻮﺿﻊ »ﺑﻴﺎﻧﻴﺔ ﺗﻬﺮ «  ﺗﻤﺎﻣﻰ ﻛﺸﻮﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﺧﻮ  ﺟﻬﺖ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺖ ﺑﺎ ﻳﻦ »ﻣﺴﻴﺮ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ« ‪M‬ﻣﺎ=‬ ‫ﻛﺮ=ﻧــﺪ‪  .‬ﻳــﻦ ﻣﻄﻠﺒﻰ ﺳــﺖ ﻛــﻪ  ‪M‬ﻳﻨﺪ= ﻣﻮ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺳﻰ ﻗﺮ ﻣﻰﻫﻴﻢ‪.‬‬


ناو و آزادي  

وبلاگ سعيد سامان دهم خردادماه 1389

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