Issuu on Google+

‫‪ 5‬ﻣـﻪ ‪2009‬‬

‫ﺑـﺰﻧﮕﺎ ﻳـﺎﺋـﻰ!‬ ‫ﺑﺪ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ ﻛﻤﻰ ﻫﻢ  ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺳﻼﻣﻰ  ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻠﻰ ﺳﺨﻦ ﺑﮕﻮﺋﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ  ﺗﺒﺎ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﻳﻦ »ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎ« ﻗﺮ ﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮ‪ .‬ﻣﻰﻧﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﭼﻨﺪ ﻫﻔﺘﺔ ﻳﮕﺮ ﻗﺮ ﺳــﺖ ﻣﻠﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻄﻼ‪$‬‬ ‫»‪ 34‬ﺑﺪﻫﺪ!«  ﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﻳﻦ ﭼﻪ ﻧﻮ‪34 5‬ﮔﻴﺮ‪ 3‬ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ ﺑﺎﺷــﺪ‪  ،‬ﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﺷــﺮﻛﺖ  ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺧﻴﻤﻪﺷــﺐﺑﺎ‪ 3‬ﻓﻘﻂ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻌﻨﺎ‪ 3‬ﺗﺄﺋﻴﺪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﻳﻚ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺳــﺮﻛﻮﺑﮕﺮ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻫﺎ  ﺑﺎﻫﺎ  ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺑﻼگ ﻣﻄﺎﻟﺒﻰ ﻧﻮﺷﺘﻪﻳﻢ‪ .‬ﻟﻰ ﺑﺎﻻﺟﺒﺎ ﺑﺎ ﻫﻢ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ  ﻫﻤﻴﻨﺠﺎ‬ ‫ﺗﻜﺮ ﻛﻨﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ  ﺑﺎ‪  3‬ﻣﻴﻦ ﻳﻚ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎ‪ ،3‬ﺑﻪ ﻫﺮ ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ﻣﻤﻜﻦ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﺟﺘﻨﺎ‪ K‬ﻛﺮ‪ .‬ﻳﻦ ﺑﺤﺚ ﮔﺴﺘﺮ‪ H‬ﺳﺖ‪   ،‬ﻛﻤﺎ‪ G‬ﺗﺄﺳﻒ ﺟﺎﺋﻰ  ﻳﻚ ﺑﻼگ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ‬ ‫ﺷــﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪ ،‬ﻟﻰ ﺳﺎ‪H‬ﻧﮕﺎ‪  3‬ﺑﺤﺚ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ‪ ،‬ﻣﺎﻟﻰ  ﻗﺘﺼﺎ‪ 3‬ﻫﻤﺎ‪L‬‬

‫ﻧﺘﺎﻳﺞ ﻫﻮﻟﻨﺎﻛﻰ  ﺑﺮ‪ 3‬ﻣﻠﺖ ﻳﺮ‪ L‬ﺑﻪ ﻣﻐﺎ‪ L‬ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ‪ Q‬ﻛﻪ  ‪ 28‬ﻣﺮ  ‪ 22‬ﺑﻬﻤﻦ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺳﺖ ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻛﺴــﺎﻧﻴﻜﻪ ﻣﺮ ﺣﻀﻮ ﻣﺮ‪  V‬ﭘﺎ‪ 3‬ﺻﻨﺪ‪T‬ﻫﺎ‪»  34 3‬ﺳﺮﻧﻮﺷﺖﺳــﺎ« ﺗﻮﺻﻴﻒ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨــﺪ‪ ،‬ﻳﻦ ﺻﻞ  ﺑــﻪ ﻃﻮ ﻛﻠﻰ  ﻧﻈﺮ  ﻧﮕﺎ‪ H‬ﺷــﺘﻪﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻦ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ‬ ‫ﻋﻤﻞ ﺛﺎﺑﺖ ﻛﺮ‪ H‬ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﻣﺮ‪  V‬ﻟﻬﺎﻣﺎ ﻣﺮ‪ V‬ﻫﻴﭻ ﻛﺎ‪ 3‬ﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﻇﻴﻔﺔ ﻳﻦ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ‬ ‫ ﭼﺎﭼﻮ‪ K‬ﺳــﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﻟﺒﻴﻚ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻴﺎﻫﺎ‪Q 3‬ﺷﻜﺎ  ﭘﻨﻬﺎ‪ L‬ﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ‪   ،‬ﭼﺎﭼﻮ‪K‬‬ ‫ﺧﻠــﻰ ﺳــﺮﻛﻮ‪  K‬ﺗﺤﻤﻴﻞ ﺧﻔﻘــﺎ‪ L‬ﻓﺮﻫﻨﮕﻰ‪ ،‬ﻗﺘﺼﺎ‪ ،3‬ﻋﻠﻤــﻰ‪ ،‬ﻫﻨﺮ‪  3‬ﺑﻰ ‬


‫ﻛﺸــﻮ  ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ ﻣﺮ ﻓﺮﻫﻢ ‪ LQ‬ﻣﻴﻨﺔ ﭼﭙﺎ‪ G‬ﻣﻠﺖ ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪ‪ 3‬ﻏﺮ‪K‬‬ ‫ﺳــﺖ‪ .‬ﻣﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻢﻣﻴﻬﻨﺎ‪ L‬ﻋﺰﻳﺰ ﻃﻤﻴﻨﺎ‪ L‬ﻣﻰﻫﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻫﺮ ﻛﺲ‪ ،‬ﺣﺘﻰ ‪Q‬ﻧﺎ‪ L‬ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﻤﺎً ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺎ‪ L‬ﻳﻦ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺷﻤﺎ ﻣﻰﻧﺪ ﮔﺮ  ﭼﺎﭼﻮ‪ K‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺎ‪ V‬ﻳﺎﺳــﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮ‪  3‬ﻳﺎ ﺣﺘﻰ »ﻻﻳﺖ ﻓﻘﻴﻪ«  ﻳﻦ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺳﺖ ﻳﺎﺑﻨﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻣﺴــﺎﺋﻞ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨﻮ‪ L‬ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ ﻧﺨﻮﻫﺪ ﻛﺮ  ﻫﻴﭻ ﻣﺸــﻜﻠﻰ ﺣﻞ ﻧﺨﻮﻫﺪ‬ ‫ﺷﺪ‪  .‬ﺑﺎﻻﺟﺒﺎ  ﻫﻤﻴﻨﺠﺎ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻋﻨﻮ‪ L‬ﻛﻨﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﮔﺮ ﻛﺴﺎﻧﻰ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﻟﻘﺎﺋﺎﺗﻰ‬ ‫ﻧﺪ‪  ،‬ﻛﻤﺎ‪ G‬ﺗﺄﺳﻒ ﺳﻮءﻧﻴﺘﻰ  ﻛﺎ ﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﻴﺮ‪ L‬ﻛﺸﻴﺪ‪ L‬ﭼﻨﺪ »ﭼﻬﺮ‪«e‬‬ ‫ﺷــﻨﺎﺧﺘﻪ ﺷﺪ‪  H‬ﻳﺎ ﻧﺎﺷﻨﺎ‪  h‬ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ‪Q‬ﻧﺎ‪ L‬ﺑﻪ »ﻧﺎﻣﺰﻫﺎ‪ «3‬ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ  ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻦ‬ ‫ﭼﻨــﺪ ﺟﻤﻠﺔ ﻛﻠﻴﺪ‪  3‬ﻫﺎ‪ L‬ﻫﺮ ﻳﻚ  ﻳﻨﺎ‪ L‬ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ ﻣﺸــﻜﻼ ﻳﻚ ﻣﻠﺖ ‬ ‫ﻳﻚ ﻛﺸــﻮ  ﺣﻞ ﻛﻨﺪ؛ ﻳﻦ ﻣﻠﺖ  ﻛﺸــﻮ ﻫﺮ ﭼﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ  ﻳﻦ ﺻﻞ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ‪3‬‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺟﻮ ﻧﺨﻮﻫﺪ ‪Q‬ﻣﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺷــﺒﺨﺘﺎﻧﻪ ﻣﺮ ﻣﻠﺖ ﻳﺮ‪ L‬ﺗﺠﺮﺑﺔ ﻣﻔﺘﻀﺤﺎﻧﺔ ﺳﻴﺪﺧﻨﺪ‪   L‬ﺳﺮ ﮔﺬﻧﺪ‪.H‬‬ ‫ﻣﺎﻧﻴﻜﻪ ﺳﻴﺪﻣﺤﻤﺪ ﺧﺎﺗﻤﻰ ﻫﻴﺎﻫﻮ    ﻓﺮﻳﺎ »ﻣﻜﺮﺳﻰ«  »ﻣﺮ‪V‬ﺳﺎﻻ‪«3‬‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ‪ H‬ﻧﺪﺧﺘﻪ ﺑﻮ‪ ،‬ﻣﺎ  ﻣﺜﺎ‪ G‬ﻣﺎ ﻛﻢ ﻧﻤﻰﻧﻮﺷﺘﻴﻢ‪ ،‬ﻟﻰ  ﻏﻴﺎ‪ K‬ﺷﺒﻜﺔ ﻓﺮﮔﻴﺮ‬ ‫ﻳﻨﺘﺮﻧﺖ‪ ،‬ﻧﺎﻣﻪﻫﺎ  ﺧﺒﺮﺳﺎﻧﻰﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻢ ﻣﺮ  ﻃﺮ‪ k‬ﻳﻦ »ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎ«‬ ‫ﺳــﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺎ‪3‬ﻫــﺎ‪ 3‬ﻣﺮﻣﻔﺮﻳﺒﺎﻧﻪ ‪H‬ﻧــﺪ‪ ،‬ﺻﺪ‪ 3‬ﻣﺎ  ﺑﻪ ﮔــﻮ‪ l‬ﻫﻢﻃﻨﺎ‪L‬‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻰﺳــﺎﻧﺪﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﻣــﺮ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﻰ ﺳــﻌﻰ ﺧﻮ  ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑــﻪ ﻫﺮ ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ‬ ‫ﻧﻌﻜﺎ‪ h‬ﻧﻈﺮﻳﺎ ﻣﺎ  ﻫﻤﻔﻜﺮ‪ L‬ﻣﺎ ﺟﻠﻮﮔﻴﺮ‪ 3‬ﺑﻪ ﻋﻤﻞ ‪Q‬ﻳﺪ‪ .‬ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻳﻦ ﺳــﺌﻮ‪G‬‬ ‫ ﻣﻄــﺮ‪ $‬ﻛﺮ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻦ ﭼﻪ ﻧﻮ‪Q» 5‬ﻳﺨﻮﻫﻰ« ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ »ﻛﻠﻴﺪژ‪ «e‬ﺻﻠﻰ ‪LQ‬‬ ‫ﺟﻠﻮﮔﻴﺮ‪  3‬ﺳﺨﻦ ﮔﻔﺘﻦ ﻳﮕﺮ‪ ،L‬ﻣﻤﺎﻧﻌﺖ  ﺑﺮﺧﻮ ‪Q‬ء  ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ ﻣﺮ ﺗﺤﻤﻴﻞ‬ ‫ﺳــﻜﻮ ﺑﺮ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺎ‪ L‬ﺳــﺖ؟ ﻣﺴــﻠﻤﺎً ‪Q‬ﻧﺎ‪ L‬ﻛﻪ  ﺑﺮ‪o‬ﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﻋﺎ‪ o‬ﺧﻮ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺑﺮ‬ ‫ﻻﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﺑﺎ‪ eQ‬ﻧﻔﺘﻰ  ﺧﺎ‪  o‬ﺧﻞ ﻛﺸــﻮ  ‪  3Q» H‬ﻣﻜﺮﺳﻰ«‬ ‫ﻣﻄﻠﻮ‪K‬ﺷــﺎ‪ L‬ﻋﺮ‪ T‬ﻣﻰﻳﺰﻧﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻳﻦ ﭘﺮﺳﺶ ﭘﺎﺳﺨﻰ ﻧﺨﻮﻫﻨﺪ ‪ ،‬ﭼﺮ ﻛﻪ ﺻﻞ‬ ‫ﻛﻠﻰ  ﻳﻦ »ﺑﺴﺎ«  ﻣﻌﺮﻛﻪﮔﻴﺮ‪ 3‬ﺟﻠﻮﮔﻴﺮ‪  3‬ﺣﻀﻮ  ﻛﻼ‪ V‬ﻳﮕﺮ‪ L‬ﺷﺪ‪.H‬‬ ‫ ﻳﻨﺠﺎ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺳــﺨﻦ  ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋ‪3‬ﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﺮ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﻛﺸﻮ ﻳﺮ‪ L‬ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻴﺎ‪ L‬ﺑﻴﺎﻳﻢ؛ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋ‪3‬ﻫﺎﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺮ ﺷﻜﺎ‪k‬ﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﻇﺎﻫﺮ‪  3‬ﺑﻄﻦ‬ ‫ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺳــﻼﻣﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺟﻮ ‪  ،HQ‬ﺟﺎﻣﻌﻪ  ﻳﻨﭽﻨﻴﻦ ﺳــﺘﺨﻮ‪ l‬ﺗﻼﻃﻤﺎ‬

‫ﺳــﺎﺧﺘﮕﻰ ﻛﺮ‪  .H‬ﭘﺲ ﭘﺮ‪ e‬ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ‪ ،‬ﻫﺮ ﻛﺪ‪  V‬ﻳﻦ »ﺗﻼﻃﻤﺎ«‪،‬‬ ‫‪Q 3‬ﻧﭽﻪ  ﻇﺎﻫﺮ ﻣﻰﻧﻤﺎﻳﺎﻧﺪ ﻣﻌﻨﺎ  ﻣﻔﻬﻮﻣﻰ ‪ .‬ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷــﻰ ﺗﺤﺎ ﺟﻤﺎﻫﻴﺮ‬ ‫ﺷــﻮ‪  3‬ﻣﺮﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﺷــﻤﺎﻟﻰ ﻳﺮ‪ L‬ﭘﺪﻳﺪ‪ e‬ﺑﻰﻫﻤﻴﺘﻰ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﺎﻫﺎ  ﻣﻄﺎﻟﺐ‬ ‫ﺧﻮ ﺑﻪ »ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷﻰ ﻳﻮ‪H‬ﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﻣﻨﻴﺘﻰ« ﻛﻪ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﻳﻦ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ  ﺗﺤﻮ‪ G‬ﺳﺖ ﺷﺎ‪H‬‬ ‫ﻛﺮ‪H‬ﻳــﻢ‪ .‬ﻟﻰ  ﻛﻤﺎ‪ G‬ﺗﻌﺠﺐ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﻰ ﻧﻮﻳﺴــﻨﺪﮔﺎ‪  L‬ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞﮔﺮ‪ L‬ﻳﺮﻧﻰﻧﻤﺎ ‬ ‫ﺣﺘﻰ ﻧﻮ‪ 5‬ﺧﺎﺟﻰ‪  ،‬ﺑﺮﺳــﻰ ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ ﻳﺮ‪  L‬ﺣﻀﻮ ﺳﻴﺔ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻳﻪ‪ 3‬‬ ‫ﺷــﻤﺎ‪ G‬ﻛﺸــﻮ »ﻓﺎﻛﺘﻮ« ﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮﻧﺪ! ﻳﻦ ﻧﻮ‪» 5‬ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ«  ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ ﻛﺸﻮ ﻳﺮ‪،L‬‬ ‫ﻓﻘــﻂ ﺑــﻪ ﻣﻌﻨﺎ‪ 3‬ﻫﺎﻧﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻳﺮﻧﻴــﺎ‪  L‬ﺑﻰ‪ l‬ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ ﻓــﻜﺎ ﻋﻤﻮﻣﻰ  ﻧﺶ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻧﺰ ﺻﺎﺣﺐﻧﻈﺮ‪  L‬ﺟﻮﻧﺎ‪ L‬ﻛﺸﻮﻣﺎ‪ L‬ﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ ﺗﺎﻳﺨﭽﺔ ﺧﺪﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﻣﻌﺎﺻﺮ ﻛﺸــﻮ‪ ،‬ﻳﺎ ﺣﺪﻗﻞ ‪Q‬ﻧﺪﺳــﺘﻪ ﺧﺪﻫﺎ ﻛﻪ ﭘﺲ‬ ‫ ﻧﻘﻼ‪ K‬ﻛﺘﺒﺮ ﺗﺤﺖ ﻧﻈﺮ ﻧﮕﻠﺴــﺘﺎ‪  L‬ﺳــﭙﺲ ﻳﺎﻻ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ  ﻳﺮ‪ L‬ﺑﻪ ﻗﻮ‪5‬‬ ‫ﭘﻴﻮﺳــﺖ‪  ،‬ﺗﺴﻠﺴﻠﻰ ﺿﺪ ﻳﺮﻧﻰ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺳﻠﻄﻨﺖ ﺳﻨﺘﻰ  ﻛﺸﻮ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻳﻚ ﻓﺎﺷﻴﺴــﻢ »ﻧﻮﮔﺮ« ﺷــﺪ‪ .‬ﻟﻰ ﻧﻤﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺷــﺘﺒﺎ‪ H‬ﻛﻨﻴﻢ‪ ،‬ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ‬ ‫ﺧﻮ  ﺳﺘﺎ‪ 3‬ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻓﺎﺷﻴﺴﻢ ﻗﺮ ﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮ‪ .‬ﺑﻰﻟﻴﻞ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻋﻤ ً‬ ‫ﻼ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﻰ‬ ‫ﺻﺎﺣﺐﻧﻈﺮ‪ L‬ﺣﻮ‪H‬ﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﻋﻠﻤﻴﻪ ﭘﺲ  ﻳﻦ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻄﻼ‪» $‬ﻧﻘﻼ‪ K‬ﺳﻼﻣﻰ« ﻇﺎﻫﺮ ً‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﺳــﺖ ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺎ‪   L‬ﻗﻊ ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﻛﻮﺗﺎﭼﻴﺎ‪» L‬ﺗﺮ« ﺷﺪ‪H‬ﻧﺪ‪  ،‬ﻳﺎ ﻫﻤﭽﻮ‪L‬‬ ‫ﻣﺜﺎ‪ G‬ﻣﻨﺘﻈﺮ‪  3‬ﺑﺴــﻴﺎ‪ 3‬ﻳﮕﺮ ﺧﺎﻧﻪﻧﺸﻴﻦﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﻣﻴﺪ‪ L‬ﺑﻪ ﺳﺖ ﻛﺴﺎﻧﻰ ﻓﺘﺎ‪H‬‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺣــﺪ‪  3‬ﺣﻮ‪H‬ﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﻋﻠﻤﻴﻪ ﺑﺮ‪3‬ﺷــﺎ‪ L‬ﻣﺮﺟﻌﻴﺖ  ﻫﻤﻴــﺖ ﺣﻮ‪ 3‬ﻗﺎﺋﻞ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺧﻼﺻﻪ ﻣﻰﮔﻮﺋﻴﻢ‪ ،‬ﮔﺮ ﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎ  ﻓﺮ‪ 3‬ﻛﻮﺗﺎ‪ 3‬ﻣﻴﺮﭘﻨﺞ‪ ،‬ﺟﻬﺖ ‪H‬ﮔﺸﺎﺋﻰ‬ ‫ﺑــﺮ‪» 3‬ﺟﻌﻞ« ﻳﻚ ﻃﺒﻘﺔ ﺷــﺮﻓﻰﻧﻤﺎ‪ ،‬ﻃﺒﻘﻪ‪ 3‬ﻛﻪ ﻣﻴﺮﭘﻨــﺞ  ‪ LQ h4‬ﻗﺮ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﮔﺮﻓﺖ ﺳــﺖﻧﺪﻛﺎ ﻧﺎﺑﻮ‪ 3‬ﻃﺒﻘﺎ ﻋﻴﺎ‪  L‬ﺷــﺮ‪ k‬ﺷﺪ‪ ،‬ﭘﺲ  ﻛﻮﺗﺎ‪3‬‬ ‫‪ 22‬ﺑﻬﻤﻦ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺳــﺖ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻛﺎ  ﻛﺮ‪ .H‬ﻳﻚ ﻃﺒﻘﺔ ﺟﻌﻠﻰ »ﺣﺎﻧﻰ«  ﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎ ﺣﻮ‪ 3‬ﺳــﺎﺧﺘﮕﻰ ﺟﺎﻳﮕﺰﻳﻦ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺷﺪ‪ .H‬ﻣﺸﺘﻰ ﻻ ‬ ‫ﻟﻮ ﻳﻚ ﺷــﺒﻪ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﺑﻪ ‪Q‬ﻳﺖﷲ  ﺣﺠﺖﻻﺳــﻼ‪ V‬ﺷﺪﻧﺪ  ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻔﺎ‪L‬ﺷﺎ‪  L‬ﻧﻴﺰ‬


‫ﺑﻪ ﺷﺪ ﺳﺮﻛﻮ‪ K‬ﻛﺮ‪H‬ﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﻳﮕﺮ ﺳﺎ‪H‬ﺗﺮ  ﻳﻦ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮ‪ L‬ﺗﺼﻮﻳﺮ‪  3‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﺮ ‪ e‬ﻣﻌﺎﺻﺮ ﻛﺸﻮ ﺗﺮﺳﻴﻢ ﻛﺮ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻟﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ﻫﻤﺎ‪ L‬ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷــﻰ ﺗﺤﺎﺷــﻮ‪ 3‬ﻛﻪ ﻛﺜــﺮ »ﺻﺎﺣﺐﻧﻈﺮ‪ «L‬ﺣﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﺣﻤــﺖ ﺑﺮﺳــﻰ ﭼﻨﺪ  ﭼــﻮ‪  LQ L‬ﻫﻢ ﺑﻪ ﺧﻮ ﻧﻤﻰﻫﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎ ﻳﮕﺮ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﻧــﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮ ﻇﺎﻫﺮ‪ 3‬ﻳﻦ ﺳــﺎﺧﺘﺎﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﺟﻌﻠﻰ  ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺳــﺖ ﻋﻮﻣﻞ‬ ‫ﺧﻮ ﺑــﺮ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﺔ ﻳﺮ‪ L‬ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﻛﺮ‪ ،H‬ﻫﻤﭽﻮ‪ L‬ﮔﺬﺷــﺘﻪ   ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺣﺮﻛﺖ‬ ‫ﺑﺮ‪QT‬ﺳــﺎ ﻳﻚﺷــﺒﻪ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮ ﻫﺪ‪ .‬ﭘﺮژ‪H‬ﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﻛﻮﺗﺎ‪ ،‬ﻧﻘﻼ‪ ،K‬ﻓﻮ‪V‬ﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﻋﻤﺎ‪G‬‬ ‫ﺷــﺪ‪  H‬ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ‪ h4‬ﻫﺮ‪ V‬ﻗﺪ‪ ...  ،‬ﻳﮕﺮ ﻛﺎﺳــﺎ ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ‪ ،‬ﭼﺮ ﻛﻪ ﺳﻴﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻫﺎ  ﺑﺎﻫﺎ ﺳــﻤﺎً ﻋﻨﻮ‪ L‬ﻛﺮ‪ H‬ﻛﻪ  ﻣﻮ ﻳﺮ‪» L‬ﻣﻌﺎﻣﻠﻪ« ﻧﺨﻮﻫﺪ ﻛﺮ‪ .‬ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻇﻬﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺣﺖ ﺷــﻦ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ »ﺗﺤﻮﻻ« ﺑﺮ‪QT‬ﺳﺎﺋﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺎ ﻣﻠﺖ ﻃﻰ‬ ‫‪ 8‬ﻫﻪ  ﻛﺸــﻮ ﺷــﺎﻫﺪ ﺑﻮﻳﻢ ﻫﻤﮕﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ﺳﻜﻮ ﺗﺤﺎ ﺟﻤﺎﻫﻴﺮ ﺷﻮ‪3‬‬ ‫ ﺑﺮﺑﺮ ﺗﻮﻃﺌﻪﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﻏﺮ‪ K‬ﺑﺮ ﻛﺸﻮ ﻳﺮ‪ L‬ﺗﺤﻤﻴﻞ ﻣﻰﺷﺪ‪  .‬ﺑﻪ ﻧﺒﺎ‪G‬‬ ‫ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺧﻄﻮ ﻧﻮﻳﻦ ﺳــﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﭘﺮژ‪» e‬ﺳﻴﺪ ﺧﻨﺪ‪«L‬‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺰ ﻣﻰﺷــﻮﻳﻢ‪ .‬ﻳﻦ ﭘﺮژ‪ H‬ﺑﺮ ﺧﻼ‪ k‬ﺗﻤﺎﻣﻰ ﺳــﺨﻦﭘﺮ‪3‬ﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻧﺎﻧﺨﻮﻫﺎ‪3‬‬ ‫ﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎ  ﻃﺮ‪ LQ k‬ﺑﺎ‪ K‬ﻛﺮ‪  H‬ﺑﻪ ‪ H‬ﻧﺪﺧﺘﻪﻧﺪ  ﻗﻊ ﺑﺎﺳﺎ‪ 3‬ﻓﺎﺷﻴﺴﻢ‬ ‫ﺳﻼﻣﻰ  ﻛﺸﻮ ﺑﻮ‪   .‬ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ‪ LQ‬ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺴﺖ ﻣﻴﻨﺔ ﺑﻪ ﻗﺪ ﺳﻴﺪ‪ L‬ﻳﻚ‬ ‫ﺳﺘﺒﺪ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ  ﻗﺪﺗﻤﻨﺪ  ﺗﺤﺖ ﺷﻌﺎﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﻧﻮﻳﻦ ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﻣﻰﺑﻮﻳﻢ!‬ ‫ﻟــﻰ ﻳﻦ ﺗﻮﻃﺌﻪ ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛﻪ ﻳﺪﻳﻢ ﺑﺎ ﺷﻜﺴــﺖ ﺑﺮ ﺷــﺪ  ﺑﻪ ﻧﺒﺎ‪ G‬ﻫﻤﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﺷﻜﺴــﺖ ﺑﻮ ﻛﻪ ﺣﻮ‪ 11 w‬ﺳــﭙﺘﺎﻣﺒﺮ‪ ،‬ﺣﻤﻠﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻓﻐﺎﻧﺴــﺘﺎ‪ ،L‬ﺷــﻐﺎ‪ G‬ﻋﺮ‪،T‬‬ ‫ﺷﻜﺴــﺖ ﺗﺶ ﺳﺮﺋﻴﻞ  ﻟﺒﻨﺎ‪ ،L‬ﺑﻪ ﻗﺪ ﺳــﻴﺪ‪ L‬ﺳﻼ‪V‬ﮔﺮﻳﺎ‪  L‬ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ‪،‬‬ ‫ ﻣــﺮ ﺑﺤﺮ‪ L‬ﮔﺴــﺘﺮ‪  H‬ﺑﻄﻦ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﭘﺎﻛﺴــﺘﺎ‪  L‬ﺷــﺎﻫﺪﻳﻢ‪ .‬ﺧﻼﺻﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﮔﻮﺋﻴﻢ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﻰ ﺳــﺘﺮﺗﮋ‪3‬ﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﻳﺮﭘﺎ‪ 3‬ﻏﺮ‪  K‬ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﺧﺎﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ  ‪Q‬ﺳــﻴﺎ‪3‬‬ ‫ﻣﺮﻛﺰ‪  3‬ﻋﻤﻞ  ﭘﺎﻳﻪ  ﺳــﺎ‪ h‬ﻳﮕﺮﮔﻮ‪ L‬ﺷﺪ‪ .H‬ﻣﺮ ﻏﺮ‪ K‬ﻣﺸﻜﻞ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ‬ ‫ﺑﺪ‪ L‬ﺗﻬﺪﻳﺪ ﻣﺴــﺘﻤﺮ ﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻮﺳــﻞ ﺑﻪ ﺑﻨﻴﺎﮔﺮﻳﺎ‪ L‬ﺳﻼﻣﻰ‪ ،‬ﺣﺘﻰ ﺳﻴﺎ‬

‫ﺧﻮ  ﺑﺮ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﺧﺎﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ  ‪Q‬ﺳﻴﺎ‪ 3‬ﻣﺮﻛﺰ‪ 3‬ﺣﻔﻆ ﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﻟﻰ  ﻣﻮ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻧﻮ‪» 5‬ﺗﻬﺪﻳﺪ« ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﺴﻴﺎ ﻣﺤﺘﺎ ﺑﻮ‪ ،‬ﻏﺮ‪ K‬ﺟﺮ‪ 4‬ﺑﻪ ﺧﻄﺮ ﻧﺪﺧﺘﻦ ﺳﻴﻪ ‬ ‫ﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛﻪ ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷﻰ ﺗﻤﺎ‪  V‬ﻛﻤﺎ‪ G‬ﻣﭙﺮﺗﻮ‪ 3‬ﻏﺮ‪  K‬ﺟﻬﺎ‪ L‬ﺳﻼ‪Q V‬ﻧﻘﺪﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮﺧﻰ ﻓﻜﺮ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻔﻊ ﺳﻴﻪ ﺗﻤﺎ‪ V‬ﻧﻤﻰﺷﻮ‪.‬‬ ‫ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﭼﺸــﻢﻧﺪ‪ 3‬ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ‪Q‬ﻳﻨﺪ��� e‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻳﺮ‪  L‬ﺗﺮﺳﻴﻢ ﻛﺮ‪ ،‬ﻧﻪ ‬ ‫ﺳــﺘﺎ‪ 3‬ﻋﺪ‪H‬ﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ ﻳﻚ ﺷﻴﺦ ﻓﺎﺳﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻤﻜﺎ ﻣﺜﺎ‪ G‬ﺷﻬﺮ‪ V‬ﺟﺰﻳﺮ‪ 3‬ﺑﻮ‪،H‬‬ ‫ ﻳﺎ ﻇﻬﺎ ﻳﻚ ﻧﺨﺴــﺖﻳﺮ ﺳﺎﺑﻖ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻨﻮ ﻣﺴﺌﻮﻟﻴﺖ ﻗﺘﻞ ﭼﻨﺪﻫﺰ ﺟﻮ‪ L‬ﻳﺮﻧﻰ‬ ‫  ﻧﺪ‪L‬ﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﻛﺸﻮ ﺑﺮ ‪  . l‬ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﭼﺸﻢﻧﺪ‪ 3‬ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ‪Q‬ﻳﺶ‬ ‫ﺟﺪﻳــﺪ ﻧﻴﺮﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﻣﻮ ﻧﻈﺮ ﻗــﺮ ﮔﻴﺮ‪  ،‬ﻧﻪ  ﭼﺎﭼﻮ‪ K‬ﺳــﺘﺮﺗﮋ‪3‬ﻫﺎ‪3‬‬ ‫ﻧﺦﻧﻤﺎ  ﻣﻀﺤﻚ ﮔﺮ‪H‬ﻫﺎﺋﻰ  ﻗﻤﺎ‪ l‬ﺣﺰ‪K‬ﺗﻮ‪ ،H‬ﻧﻬﻀﺖ ‪  3Q‬ﺑﺴــﻴﺎ‪ 3‬ﻳﮕﺮ ‬ ‫ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻧﺎ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻨﻮ  ﺑﻄﻦ ﺑﻂ ﺟﻨﮓﺳــﺮ »ﻳﺦ« ‪H‬ﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﻗﺴﻤﺖ ﻋﻤﺪ‪e‬‬ ‫ﭘﻮﻳﺴــﻴﻮ‪ L‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺳــﻼﻣﻰ  ﻋﻤﻞ ﻫﻨﻮ ﻣﻮﺿﻊ ﺟﻨﮓﺳﺮ  ﻧﺒﺎ‪G‬‬ ‫ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ؛ ﻳﻨﺎ‪ L‬ﻓﻜﺮ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ‪ 3‬ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺳﻴﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻚ »ﭼﺮ{ﺳﺒﺰ«  ﻳﻦ  ﻳﺎ‬ ‫‪ LQ‬ﻣﺤﻔﻞ‪ ،‬ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ ﮔﺮ‪H‬ﻫﺎﺋﻰ  ﺑﺮ ﺗﺤﻮﻻ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻳﺮ‪ L‬ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﻛﻨﺪ! ﻳﻦ ﻳﺪ‪H‬ﻫﺎ‬ ‫ﻳﮕﺮ ﭘﻮﺳﻴﺪ‪ .H‬ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ  ﭼﺎﭼﻮ‪ K‬ﻳﻚ ﺗﺤﻮ‪ G‬ﻓﺮﮔﻴﺮ  ﺑﻨﻴﺎﻳﻦ  ﻣﻴﺪ‪ L‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ‬ ‫ﻛﺸﻮ ﭘﺮژ‪H‬ﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﻋﻤﻠﻰ  ﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻰ ﺋﻪ ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻓﺮﺳﺘﺎ‪ L‬ﻣﺜﺎ‪ G‬ﺧﺎﺗﻤﻰ  ﻳﺎ ﻣﻴﺮﺣﺴﻴﻦ ﻣﻮﺳﻮ‪ 3‬ﺑﻪ ﻛﺎ| ﻳﺎﺳﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮ‪ ،3‬ﭘﺮژ‪3H‬‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺑﺴﻴﺎ‪  3‬ﻧﺎﻧﺨﻮﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎ  ‪ LQ‬ﺑﺎ ‪  KQ‬ﺗﺎ‪ K‬ﻓﺮ‪ L‬ﺳﺨﻦ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻴﺎ‪ L‬ﻣﻰ‪Q‬ﻧﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻣﺸــﻜﻞ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﺑﻬﺘﺮ‪Q  3‬ﻧﭽﻪ ﭘﻴﺸــﺘﺮ  ﻃﻰ  ‪ H‬ﻳﺎﺳــﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮ‪3‬‬ ‫ﺧﺎﺗﻤــﻰ ﺑﺮ‪ 3‬ﻣﻠﺖ ﻳﺮ‪ L‬ﺗﺄﻣﻴﻦ ﻛﺮ‪ ،H‬ﺑﻪ ﺳــﺖ ﻫﺪ‪ .‬ﺻﻼ‪$‬ﻃﻠﺒﺎ‪  L‬ﭼﺎﭼﻮ‪K‬‬ ‫ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ‪  ،‬ﺳــﺎﺧﺘﺎ ﻗﺪ  ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺑﻬﺮ‪ 3H‬ﻧﺪﻧﺪ؛ ﻳﻨﺎ‪ L‬ﺑﺮ‪3‬‬ ‫ﺗﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﻳﻦ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎ  ﻳﺠﺎ ﻳﻚ ﺑﻨﻴﺎ ﻧﻮﻳﻦ ﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎ‪ 3‬ﭘﺎ‪ 3‬ﺑﻪ ﻣﻴﺪ‪ L‬ﮔﺬﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﻮﻧﺪ‬ ‫ ﻣﺎﻧﻴﻜﻪ ﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎ ﻧﺘﻮﻧﺴــﺖ ﻳﻦ ﻣﻴﻨﻪ  ﺑﺮ‪3‬ﺷــﺎ‪ L‬ﺗﺄﻣﻴﻦ ﻛﻨﺪ ﻣﻴﻦﮔﻴﺮ ﺷﺪﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻣﺮ ﻧﻴﺰ  ﺑﺮ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﭘﺎﺷﻨﻪ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﭼﺮﺧﻴﺪ‪.‬‬


‫ ﻃــﺮ‪ k‬ﻳﮕﺮ ﺗﻤﺪﻳﺪ ‪ e‬ﻟﺖ ﺣﻤﺪ‪3‬ﻧﮋ ﻳﻚ ﻫﻦﻛﺠﻰ  ﺗﻮﻫﻴﻦ  ﺷــﻨﺎ‪ V‬ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﺎﻳﺦ  ﻣﻠﺖ ﻳﺮ‪ L‬ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ‪ .‬ﺣﻤﺪ‪3‬ﻧﮋ ﺑﺮ‪ 3‬ﻓﺮﻫﻢ ‪ LQ‬ﻣﻴﻨﺔ ﺷﻐﺎ‪ G‬ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ‬ ‫ﻧﻔﺘﻰ ﻳﺮ‪ L‬ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﺗﺶ ﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎ‪ L‬ﭘﺎ‪ 3‬ﺑﻪ ﻛﺎ| ﻳﺎﺳﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮ‪ 3‬ﮔﺬﺷﺖ‪ .‬ﭘﺮژ‪3H‬‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﻳﮕﺮ ﻛﻔﻦ‪ l‬ﻧﻴﺰ ﭘﻮﺳﻴﺪ‪ .H‬ﻳﻦ ﻓﺮ ﺣﺘﻰ  ﺑﻄﻦ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﺑﺎ‪ l‬ﺟﻤﻜﺮ‪ L‬ﻧﻴﺰ‬ ‫ ﺟﻤﻠﻪ »ﺑﺎ‪ «l‬ﺑﻪ ﺷــﻤﺎ ﻣﻰ‪  .‬ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻰ ﻣﻰﻧﻤﺎﻳﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻓﺮ ﻳﮕﺮ‪ 3‬‬ ‫ﻃﺮ‪ k‬ﻳﻦ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﭘﺎ‪ 3‬ﺑﻪ ﻣﻴﺪ‪ L‬ﻳﻦ »ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎ« ﺑﮕﺬﻧﺪ‪  .‬ﻏﻴﺮ ﻳﻨﺼﻮ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ‬ ‫ﻗﺒﻮ‪ G‬ﻛﺮ ﻛﻪ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺳﻼﻣﻰ  ﺑﻦﺑﺴﺖ ﻛﺎﻣﻞ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻗﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ‪ .‬ﺑﻦﺑﺴﺘﻰ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺧﻼ‪ k‬ﻧﻤﻮﻧﻪﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﺗﺎﻳﺨﻰ ‪ LQ‬ﺑﻪ ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷﻰ ﺳﺮﻳﻊ  ‪Q‬ﻧﻰ ﻣﻨﺠﺮ ﻧﺨﻮﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻫﺮ ﺗﻘﺪﻳﺮ‪Q ،‬ﻳﺶ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﻫﺮ ﭼﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪ ،‬ﻃﻰ ﻫﺎ‪Q 3‬ﻳﻨﺪ‪ H‬ﻳﻦ ﻣﻠﺖ ﻳﺮ‪ L‬ﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﮔﺎ‪ V‬ﺑﻪ ﮔﺎ‪ V‬ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺳﺖﻧﺸﺎﻧﺪ‪  H‬ﺑﻪ ﻋﻘﺐ ﻧﺸﻴﻨﻰ  ﻣﻮﺿﻊ ﺿﺪ ﻳﺮﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﺧﻮ  ﻛﻨﺪ‪  .‬ﻳﻦ ﻣﺴــﻴﺮ ﻣﺴــﻠﻤﺎً ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ  ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ﺷــﺮﻛﺖ ﻓﻌﺎ‪  G‬ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺸﻰ ﺟﻤﻜﺮ‪ L‬ﻋﻤﻠﻰ ﺷﻮ‪ .‬ﻧﺎﻣﺰﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﻳﻦ »ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎ« ﻫﻤﮕﻰ  ﺟﻤﻠﻪ ﺑﺴﺘﮕﺎ‪L‬‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﮔﺮ‪H‬ﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﺳﺮﻛﻮ‪K‬ﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﻛﺎ ﻳﺎ‪ 3‬ﻫﻢ ﺑﺎ »ﻣﺮ‪»  «V‬ﻣﻜﺮﺳﻰ« ﻧﺪﻧﺪ!  ﻃﺮ‪k‬‬ ‫ﻳﮕﺮ ﺷــﻴﻮ‪ e‬ﺷــﻤﺎ‪  l‬ﺗﺜﺒﻴﺖ ‪Q‬ء  ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ ﻣﺮ ‪Q‬ﻧﭽﻪ ﺗﺤﺖ ﻋﻨﻮ‪» L‬ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎ ﻗﺪ«‬ ‫ ﺑﺎﻻ ‪Q‬ﻳﻢ‪ ،‬ﻫﺮ ﮔﻮﻧﻪ ﻣﻴﺪ‪ 3‬ﺑﻪ ﺗﺤﻮﻻ ﺳﺎﻧﺪ‪  H‬ﭘﻰ ﺑﺮﮔﺰ‪ 3‬ﻳﻦ »ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎ«‬ ‫  ﻣﻴــﺎ‪ L‬ﺑﺮﻣــﻰ‪ .‬ﻣﻴﺎ‪ L‬ﻳــﻦ ﻧﺎﻣﺰﻫﺎ  ﺣﺘﻤﺎﻻً ‪Q‬ﻧﺎ‪ L‬ﻛﻪ ﺑﻌﺪﻫــﺎ ﭘﺎ‪ 3‬ﺑﻪ ﻣﻴﺪ‪L‬‬ ‫»ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎ« ﻣﻰﮔﺬﻧﺪ ﺑﺎ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺷــﻜﺎﻓﻰ ﺟﻮ ﻧﺪ؛ ﺷﻜﺎ‪ k‬ﻗﻌﻰ ﺑﻴﻦ ﻣﺮ‪ V‬‬ ‫ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﺳﺖ‪  .‬ﻳﻦ ﻣﺮ‪V‬ﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ  ﻳﻦ ﻓﺮﺻﺖ ﺳﺘﻔﺎ‪ H‬ﻛﺮ‪ ،H‬ﺗﺎ ﺣﺪ ﻣﻜﺎ‪L‬‬ ‫ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎ ﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎ‪   3‬ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ ﻣﻄﺎﻟﺒﺎ ﻗﻌﻰ‪ ،‬ﻣﻠﻤﻮ‪ ،h‬ﺻﻨﻔﻰ‪ ،‬ﻣﺎﻟﻰ‪ ،‬ﻗﺘﺼﺎ‪،3‬‬ ‫ﻣﻄﺒﻮﻋﺎﺗﻰ‪ ،‬ﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻰ  ‪  ...‬ﺑﻪ ﻋﻘﺐﻧﺸــﻴﻨﻰ ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪  .‬ﻳﻦ ﻓﺸﺎ  ﺗﻮ‪H‬ﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﻣﺮ‪V‬‬ ‫ﻓﻘﻂ  ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ﻋﺪ‪ V‬ﺷــﺮﻛﺖ  ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎ »ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺸﻰ« ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﻨﺪ ﺑﺮ ﻟﺖ ﺳﺖﻧﺸﺎﻧﺪ‪H‬‬ ‫ﻋﻤﺎ‪ G‬ﻛﻨﻨﺪ‪.‬‬

‫ ﻏﻴﺮﻳﻨﺼﻮ ﺿﻌﻴﺖ ﻧﺎﺑﺴــﺎﻣﺎ‪ L‬ﻓﻌﻠﻰ‪ ،‬ﺿﻌﻴﺘﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ   ﺷﺮﻳﻂ‬ ‫»ﭘﺎﻫﻮ« ﻧﮕﺎ‪ H‬ﺷــﺘﻪ  ﻛﺸــﻮ ﻳﺮ‪ L‬ﺑﺎ ﻫﻢ ﺑــﺮ‪ 3‬ﻣﺪﺗﻰ »ﺗﻤﺪﻳﺪ« ﺧﻮﻫﺪ‬ ‫ﺷــﺪ‪ .‬ﺧﻼﺻــﻪ ﻣﻰﮔﻮﺋﻴﻢ‪LQ ،‬ﻫﺎ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺮ‪  V‬ﺑﻪ ﺷــﺮﻛﺖ  ﻳــﻦ »ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎ«‬ ‫ﻋﻮ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ ﭼﺸــﻢ ﻣﻴﺪﺷــﺎ‪ L‬ﺑﻪ ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﻏﺮ‪ K‬ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻃﻰ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺻﺒﺎ‪$‬‬ ‫‪Q‬ﻳﻨﺪ‪ H‬ﺷــﺮﻳﻂ ﮔﺬ »ﺑﺮ‪QT‬ﺳــﺎ« ﺑﻪ ﻳﻚ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﺳﺖﻧﺸــﺎﻧﺪ‪ e‬ﻧﻮﻳﻦ  ﻓﺮﻫﻢ‬ ‫‪ .Q‬ﻟــﻰ  ﻫﻤﻴﻨﺠﺎ ﺑﮕﻮﺋﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻦ ﻳﺎ ﻳﮕﺮ ﻋﻤﻠﻰ ﻧﺨﻮﻫﺪ ﺷــﺪ‪ .‬ﻳﺮ ﻳﺎ‬ ‫ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺗﺸــﻜﻴﻼ ﺑﺴــﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﻗﻌﻰ ﮔﺮ‪H‬ﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻰ‪ ،‬ﺻﻨﻔﻰ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻣﻄﺒﻮﻋﺎﺗﻰ‪ ،‬ﺣﺮﻓﻪ‪  ...  3‬ﺑﺮﺑﺮ ﻟﺖ ﺳﺖﻧﺸــﺎﻧﺪ‪ H‬ﻗﺪﻋﻠﻢ ﻛﻨﺪ  ﻣﻄﺎﻟﺒﺎ‬ ‫ﺧﻮ  ﭘﻴﺶ ﺑﺮﻧﺪ‪  .‬ﻳﻦ ﺻﻮﺑﻨﺪ‪ 3‬ﻳﮕﺮ ﮔﺮﻳﺰ‪ 3‬ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ ﺻــﻮ ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻢ ﻓﺮﮔﻴﺮ ﻳﻦ ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎ »ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺸــﻰ« ﻣﺮ‪ V‬ﻳﺮ‪ L‬ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﻨﺪ ﭘﻴﺎ‪V‬‬ ‫ﺷــﻨﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺣﺎﻣﻴﺎ‪ L‬ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎ‪ 3‬ﺑﺪﻫﻨﺪ‪  ،‬ﻣﺴﻠﻢ ﺑﺪﻧﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﺑﺮ‪ 3‬ﺣﻔﻆ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﺧﻮ ﻫﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺷﺪ‪Q ،H‬ﻧﻬﻢ  ﻣﺮﻫﺎ‪ 3‬ﺳﻴﻪ‪ ،‬ﺳﺮﻳﻌﺎً  ﺑﺮﺑﺮ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﺳــﺖﻫﺎ  ﻣﻄﺎﻟﺒﺎ ﻋﻤﻮﻣﻰ ﺳــﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻘﺐﻧﺸــﻴﻨﻰ ﺧﻮﻫــﺪ ‪  .‬ﻗﻀﺎ‪3‬‬ ‫ﮔﺎ ‪Q‬ﻧﺎ‪ L‬ﻛﻪ ﻣﺮ ﺑﻪ ﻃﺮ‪ T‬ﻣﺨﺘﻠﻒ  ﺷــﺮﻛﺖ ﻣﺮ‪  V‬ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎ »ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ«‬ ‫ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ  ﻗﻊ ‪ KQ‬ﺑﻪ ‪Q‬ﺳــﻴﺎ‪ K‬ﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎ ﻣﻰﻳﺰﻧﺪ‪  ،‬ﻗﺼﺪ ﻧﺪ ﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎ ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻫﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮ ﮔﺬ‪  ،‬ﺑﻦﺑﺴــﺘﻰ ﻛﻪ  ﺑﺮﺑﺮ ﻣﻄﺎﻟﺒﺎ ﻗﻌﻰ ﻣﺮ‪ V‬ﺑﺎ ‪LQ‬‬ ‫ﺑﺮ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ‪ ،‬ﻧﺠﺎ ﻫﻨﺪ‪.‬‬


سعيد سامان