Page 1

‫‪ 28‬ﻓـﻮﻳﻪ ‪2009‬‬

‫  ﻫﺎ ﺑــﺰگ!‬ ‫ﺑــﺎ ﺑﺎﻣﺎ ﻛﻪ ﻃﻰ ﻣﺴــﺎﺑﻘﺎ ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ  ﻳﺎﻻ ﻣﺘﺤــﺪ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮ »ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻒ«‬ ‫ﺻﻠﻰ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻋﺮ‪ ' ,‬ﻣﻮﺟﻰ * ﻧﺎﺿﺎﻳﺘﻰﻫﺎ' ﻋﻤﻮﻣﻰ ﺳﻮ ﺷﺪ‪  ،‬ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ ﻣﺮ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻘﺎ‪ 9‬ﻳﺎﺳﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮ ‪8‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺳﺖ ﻳﺎﻓﺖ‪ ،‬ﭼﻨﺪ ﻫﻔﺘﻪ ﭘﺲ *  ﺑﻪ ﻛﺎ‪ 2‬ﺳﻔﻴﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫* ﮔﺬﺷــﺘﻪ‪ 27 ،‬ﻓﻮﻳﻪ‪ ،‬ﻃﻰ ﺳــﺨﻨﺮﻧﻰ  ﻳﻚ ﭘﺎﮔﺎ ﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻴﺮ'ﻫﺎ'‬ ‫ﻳﺎﺋﻰ ﻳﺎﻻ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ  ﻛﺎﻟﻴﻨﺎ' ﺷــﻤﺎﻟﻰ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺣﺖ * ﭘﺎﻳﺎ  ﺑﻪ ﺟﻨﮓ‬ ‫ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﺳﺨﻦ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻴﺎ ‪ ' .8‬ﻋﻨﻮ ﻛﺮ ﻛﻪ ﺗﺎ ﻣﺎ‪ 2010  E‬ﺑﻪ ﺣﻀﻮ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ‬ ‫ﺗﺶ ‪8‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺧﺎﺗﻤﻪ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ‪ ،‬ﻟﻰ ﺗﺎ ﭘﺎﻳﺎ ﺳﺎ‪ 2011 J‬ﺣﻀﻮ ﻧﺰﻳﻚ ﺑﻪ ‪50‬‬ ‫ﻫــﺰ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ‪8‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﺋﻰ‪ ،‬ﺟﻬﺖ ‪8‬ﻧﭽﻪ ' »ﺗﻌﻠﻴﻢ« ﻧﻴﺮﻫﺎ' ﻋﺮﻗﻰ ﻧﺎﻣﻴﺪ‪  ،‬ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻛﺸﻮ ﻟﺰﻣﻰ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ‪.‬‬


‫ ﻫﻤﻴﻨﺠﺎ ﻋﻨﻮ ﻛﻨﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻋﻠﻴﺮﻏﻢ ﻫﻴﺎﻫﻮ' ﻓﺮ  ﻣﻮ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪﻫﺎ' ﺿﺪﺟﻨﮓ ﺑﺎﻣﺎ‪،‬‬ ‫ﻳﻦ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪ ﻗﻴﻘﺎً ﻫﻤﺎ ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺟﻤﻬﻮ'ﺧﻮﻫﺎ ﭘﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﻛﺮ‪ E‬ﺑﻮﻧﺪ‪  ،‬ﺣﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﺧﻄــﻮ‪ Y‬ﺻﻠﻰ ‪ 8‬ﻧﻴﺰ ﺗﺤﺖ ﻧﻈﺎ ﺟﺮ‪ X‬ﺑﻮ‪ W‬ﺗﻨﻈﻴﻢ ﺷــﺪ‪ E‬ﺑــﻮ‪  .‬ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ﺑﺎﻣﺎ ﻓﻘﻂ‬ ‫ﺳﻮ ﺑﺮ ﻣﻮ‪ X‬ﻧﺎﺿﺎﻳﺘﻰ ﺷﺪ‪   ،E‬ﻋﻤﻞ ﺣﻀﻮ '  ﻛﺎ‪2‬ﺳﻔﻴﺪ ﺳﺘﺎ ﺟﺪﻳﺪ' ﺑﺮ'‬ ‫ﻣﻠﺖ ‪8‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ  ﻣﻴﺪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﻛﺸﻮ ﻧﺨﻮﻫﺪ ﺷﺖ‪ * .‬ﻃﺮ^ ﻳﮕﺮ‪ ،‬ﺑﺎ ‪8‬ﻧﭽﻪ »ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﺔ«‬ ‫ﻛﺎ‪2‬ﺳــﻔﻴﺪ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺧــﺮ‪ * X‬ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﻋﻼ‪ 9‬ﻣﻰﺷــﻮ‪ ،‬ﻓﻘﻂ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ  ﺣﺪ ﻳــﻚ »ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪ«‬ ‫ﺑﺮﺧﻮ ﻛﺮ‪ .‬ﭼﻪ ﺑﺴﺎ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻦ »ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﻪ« * ﭘﺎﻳﻪ  ﺳﺎ‪ b‬ﻓﻘﻂ ﻳﻚ »ﺗﺒﻠﻴﻐﺎ« ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪  ،‬ﻳﺎ‬ ‫ﻳﻨﻜﻪ ‪8‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺣﺘﻰ  ﺻﻮ ﺗﻤﺎﻳﻞ ﻗﻌﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺧﺮ‪ * X‬ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﺑﻪ ﻻﺋﻞ ﺳــﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﻗﺎ‬ ‫ﻧﺒﺎﺷﺪ * ﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮ ﭘﺎ' ﺑﻴﺮ ﮔﺬ‪ .‬ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎﻫﺎ  ﻳﻦ ﺑﻼگ ﻋﻨﻮ ﻛﺮ‪E‬ﻳﻢ‪،‬‬ ‫»ﺟﻨﮓ« ﻳﻚ ﺣﺮﻛﺖ ﮔﺴــﺘﺮ‪ f‬ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ'  ﻳﺎ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺳــﺖ‪ .‬ﺷــﺮ‪  e‬ﭘﺎﻳﺎ ‪  8‬ﻧﻴﺰ‬ ‫ﻧﻤﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ  ﻣﺤﺪ‪ f‬ﺗﻤﺎﻳﻼ ﻳﻚ  ﻳﺎ  ﻛﺸﻮ ﮔﻴﺮ ﺑﺮﺳﻰ ﻛﺮ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻻﺋﻞ ﺟﻨﮓ ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﻣﺴــﻠﻤﺎً ﻣﺘﻌﺪ ﺳــﺖ  ﻃﻴﻒ ﮔﺴﺘﺮ‪ * 'E‬ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ   ﺑﺮ ﻣﻰﮔﻴﺮ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺧﻼﺻﻪ ﮔﺴــﺘﺮ‪E‬ﺗﺮ * ‪ 8‬ﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ  ﻳﻦ ﻣﻘﺎ‪ J‬ﺑﮕﻨﺠﺪ‪ .‬ﻟﻰ ﻣﺮ*‪  ،‬ﺷــﺮﻳﻄﻰ ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﺳﺎ‪J‬ﻫﺎ * ‪8‬ﻏﺎ* ﻳﻦ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎ' ﻣﻰﮔﺬ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺣﺖ ﻣﻰﺗﻮ ﺧﻄﻮ‪ Y‬ﺻﻠﻰ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﺮ‬ ‫ﻳﻦ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎ'  * ﻧﺰﻳﻚ ﻣﺸﺎﻫﺪ‪ E‬ﻛﺮ‪ .‬ﺧﻂ ﺻﻠﻰ ﻫﺒﺮ'  ﻳﻦ ﺟﻨﮓ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺗﺎﻳﺦ ﻛﺸﻮ ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﺑﺎ* ﻣﻰﮔﺮ‪ .‬ﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮ ﻛﻪ  ﺗﺎﻳﺦ ﻣﻌﺎﺻﺮ‪ ،‬ﭘﺲ * ﺗﺠﺰﻳﺔ ﻣﭙﺮﺗﻮ'‬ ‫ﻋﺜﻤﺎﻧﻰ   ﭘﺴــﻴﻦ *ﻫﺎ' ﺟﻨﮓ ‪ J‬ﭼﺸــﻢ ﺑﻪ ﺟﻬﺎ ﮔﺸــﻮ‪ ،‬ﻃﻰ ﭼﻨﺪﻳﻦ ﻫﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻮﺟﻮﻳﺖ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﺧﻮ ﻧﺘﻮﻧﺴــﺖ ‪8‬ﻧﭽﻪ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺣﻔﻆ ﻧﻄﻔﺔ ﺻﻠﻰ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﺿﺮ' ﺑﻮ‬ ‫ ﺑﻄﻦ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﺔ ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﺟﺎﻳﮕﻴﺮ ﻛﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮ ﻫﻤﭽﻮ ﻳﮕﺮ ﻛﺸﻮﻫﺎ' ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ * ﭼﻨﺪﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻃﺎﻳﻔــﻪ  ﻣﺬﻫﺐ  ﻗﻮ‪  9‬ﻗﺒﻴﻠﻪ ﺗﺸــﻜﻴﻞ ﺷــﺪ‪ ،E‬ﻟﻰ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻳﻚ * ﻳــﻦ ﻗﺒﺎﻳﻞ  ﻣﺬﻫﺐ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﭽــﻮ ﻧﻤﻮﻧﺔ ﻳﮕﺮ ﻛﺸــﻮﻫﺎ   ﻣﺮ*ﻫﺎ' ﻋﺮ‪ * ,‬ﻛﺜﺮﻳﺖ ﭼﺸــﻢﮔﻴﺮ ﺑﺮﺧﻮ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪ .‬ﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﺷﻴﻌﻴﺎ  ﻛﺜﺮﻳﺖﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﻟﻰ ﻳﻦ ﻛﺜﺮﻳﺖ ﻧﻪ ‪8‬ﻧﻘﺪﻫﺎ ﭼﺸﻢﮔﻴﺮ ﺳﺖ‪  ،‬ﻧﻪ‬ ‫ ﺷــﺮﻳﻂ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ  ﻗﺘﺼﺎ' ﺟﺎﻣﻌﺔ ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﻗﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺟﺒﺮ ﻛﻤﺒﻮ ﻧﻄﻔﺔ ﻣﺮﻛﺰ' ﺣﺎﻛﻢ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ‪ .‬ﭼﺮ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ﺳﻨﺖﻫﺎ' ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﺮ ﺑﻂ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻣﻴﺎ ﻣﭙﺮﺗﻮ' ﻋﺜﻤﺎﻧﻰ‬ ‫ ﺳــﻨﻰﻫﺎ‪ ،‬ﺷــﻴﻌﻴﺎ ﻛﻪ ﻧﺰ ﻳﺎ' ﻣﭙﺮﺗﻮ' ﻃﻰ ﺳﺪ‪E‬ﻫﺎ »ﻧﺠﺲ«  ﺧﺎﺋﻦ  ﺟﺎﺳﻮ‪b‬‬ ‫ﻓﺎ‪b‬ﻫــﺎ ﻣﻌﺮﻓﻰ ﻣﻰﺷــﺪﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﻫﻴﭽﮕﺎ‪ E‬ﻃﺮ^ ﺻﺤﺒﺖ ﻗﺪﻫﺎ' ﻣﻨﻄﻘــﻪ' ﻧﺒﻮ‪E‬ﻧﺪ‪* .‬‬ ‫ﺳﻮ' ﻳﮕﺮ‪ ،‬ﺳﻨﻰﻫﺎ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺧﻮ ﺑﻪ  ﮔﺮ‪ E‬ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻒ ﺗﻘﺴﻴﻢ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﻧﺪ‪ :‬ﻋﺮ‪  o‬ﻛﺮ!  ﻫﺮ‬ ‫ﻳﻚ ﺳﺎﻳﺔ ﻳﮕﺮ'  ﺑﺎ ﺗﻴﺮ ﻣﻰ*ﻧﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻫﻤﭽﻨﻴــﻦ ﻃــﻰ ﻫﻪﻫــﺎ' ﻣﺘﻤــﺎ' ﻛﺸــﻮ ﻋــﺮ‪ ,‬ﻗﺮﺑﺎﻧــﻰ ﻣﺴــﺎﺋﻞ ﺳــﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ ‬ ‫ﻣﺼﻠﺤﺖﻧﺪﻳﺸــﻰﻫﺎ' ﻳﮋ‪ f‬ﻗﺪﻫﺎ' ﺑﺰگ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺷــﺪ‪ E‬ﺳــﺖ‪ * .‬ﻳﻚ ﺳــﻮ ﻣﭙﺮﺗﻮ'‬ ‫ﺑﺮﻳﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎ ﻛﻪ ﭘﺲ * ﺟﻨﮓ ‪ ،J‬ﺧﻮ   ﻣﻘﺎ‪ 9‬ﻣﻴﺮ‪q‬ﺧﻮ ﻣﭙﺮﺗﻮ' ﻋﺜﻤﺎﻧﻰ  ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﻌﺮﻓﻰ ﻣﻰﻛﺮ‪ * ،‬ﺳﺎ‪J‬ﻫﺎ ﭘﻴﺶ ﻃﺮ‪ r‬ﮔﺴﺘﺮ‪ 'E‬ﺟﻬﺖ ﻳﺠﺎ ﻳﻚ »ﻣﺤﻮ *ﻣﻴﻨﻰ« ﺑﻴﻦ‬ ‫ﺧﻠﻴﺞﻓﺎ‪  b‬ﻳﺎ' ﺳــﺮ‪  2‬ﺷﺖ‪  .‬ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻟﻴﻞ ﺑﻮ ﻛﻪ ﭘﺲ * ﭘﺎﻳﺎ ﺟﻨﮓ ‪،J‬‬ ‫ﺷــﻴﺦﻫﺎ' ﺑﺴــﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻗﺒﻴﻠﺔ »ﻫﺎﺷﻤﻰ«   ﺳﻪ ﻛﺸــﻮ ﻋﺮ‪   ،,‬ﺣﺘﻰ ﻋﺮﺑﺴﺘﺎ‬ ‫ﺳــﻌﻮ' ﺑﻪ ﻗﺪ ﺳــﺎﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﺟﺎ' ﺗﻌﺠﺐ ﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﻟﻰ ‪t‬ﺳــﺎ' ﻳﻦ ﺳــﻪ ﻛﺸــﻮ ﭘﺲ *‬ ‫ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷــﻰ ﻣﭙﺮﺗﻮ' ﻋﺜﻤﺎﻧﻰ ﻫﺮ ﺳﻪ ﻧﻪ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺑﺴــﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎ ﺑﻮﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﻳﻜﺪﻳﮕﺮ‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺰ ﺧﻮﻳﺸﺎﻧﺪ' ﺷﺘﻨﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺮﺷﺖ ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎ  ‪* 8‬ﻫﺎ‪  ،‬ﺷﺮﻳﻂ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ‬

‫ﻛﺎﻣ ً‬ ‫ﻼ ﺷــﻦ ﺳــﺖ‪ :‬ﺣﻔﻆ ﻳﻚ ﺧﻂ »ﺗﺒﺎ‪* Y‬ﻣﻴﻨﻰ« ﻣﻴﺎ ﺧﻠﻴﺞﻓﺎ‪ ،b‬ﻳﺎ'‬ ‫ﺳــﺮ‪  ،2‬ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ ﻣﺮ ﻣﺪﻳﺘﺮﻧﻪ‪ .‬ﺧﻄﻰ ﻛﻪ ﭘﺸــﺘﻴﺒﺎﻧﻰ ﻟﻮژﻳﺴﺘﻴﻚ ﻣﺴﻴﺮ ﻛﺸﺘﻰﻧﻰ‬ ‫ﻣﭙﺮﺗﻮ' ﻧﮕﻠﻴﺲ  ﺑﺮ' ﻧﻴﺮﻫﺎ' ﻳﻦ ﻛﺸــﻮ ﻛﻪ  ﻳﻦ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺣﻀﻮ ﺷﺘﻨﺪ‪،‬‬ ‫ﺗﺄﻣﻴﻦ ﻣﻰﻛﺮ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻟﻰ ﺷﺮﻳﻂ ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﻃﻰ ﺟﻨﮓ ‪ 9‬ﻛﺎﻣ ً‬ ‫ﻼ ﻳﮕﺮﮔﻮ ﺷﺪ‪ .‬ﻧﻔﻮ‪ w‬ﺳﻴﻪ  ﺑﺮﺧﻰ‬ ‫ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎ*‪ f‬ﺧﺎﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ﻛﻪ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷــﻰﻫﺎ' ﻧﺎﺷﻰ * ﮔﻴﺮ' ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ‬ ‫ﻣﻴﺎ ﻛﺸــﻮﻫﺎ' »ﻣﺤــﻮ«  »ﻣﺘﻔﻘﻴﻦ«  ﻳﻦ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺑــﻮ ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ ﻣﺮ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ‬ ‫ﻧﮕﻠﺴــﺘﺎ  ﺑﻪ ﻳﻦ ﺻﺮﻓﺖ ﻧﺪﺧﺖ ﻛﻪ * »ﺧﻂ ﺳــﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ« ﻛﺬ ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺳﺖ‬ ‫ﺑــﺮ‪ .‬ﺑــﺎ ﻳﻦ ﺟﻮ ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ ﮔﺴــﺘﺮ‪ f‬ﻧﻔﺖ  ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﻳﮋ‪ * 'E‬ﻛﺸــﻮ ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﻣﺮ* ﻛﻮﻳﺖ ﺧﻮﻧﺪ‪ E‬ﻣﻰﺷﻮ‪ ،‬ﻳﮓ ﻃﻤﻊ ﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎ  ﺑﻪ ﺟﻮ‪ E8 W‬ﺑﻮ‪ .‬ﻛﻮﻳﺖ‬ ‫ﻃﻰ ﺳــﺎ‪J‬ﻫﺎ' *' ﻛﻪ ﺗﺤﺖ ﺷــﻐﺎ‪ J‬ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺳــﺮ ﻣﻰﺑﺮ‪ ،‬ﻧﻪ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻌﻨﺎ'‬ ‫ﻗﻌﻰ ﻛﻠﻤﻪ ﭼﭙﺎ‪ J‬ﻣﻰﺷﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺗﺪﻳﺞ ﻧﻮﻋﻰ »ﺗﺎﻳﺦﺳﺎ*'« ﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎ' ﻧﻴﺰ ﺷﺎﻣﻞ‬ ‫ﺣﺎ‪ WJ‬ﺷــﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺮ ﺳــﺎ‪ b‬ﻳﻦ »ﺗﺎﻳﺦ«‪ ،‬ﻛﻮﻳﺖ * ﺳﺎ‪J‬ﻫﺎ' ‪ 1600‬ﻣﻴﻼ' ﺻﻮﻻً‬ ‫ﻛﺸﻮ' »ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻞ«  ‪8  *8‬ﺑﺎ ﺑﻮ‪!E‬‬ ‫ ﺟﺎ' ﺗﻌﺠﺐ ﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺳــﺖ ﭘﺲ * ‪8‬ﻏﺎ* ﻧﻔﻮ‪ w‬ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺗﺤﺎ ﺷﻮ'  ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ‬ ‫ﻋﺮ‪  ,‬ﺳــﻮﻳﻪ‪ ،‬ﺷﺎﺧﻚﻫﺎ' ﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎ' ﻧﮕﻠﺴــﺘﺎ ‪8‬ﻧﺎً ﺗﺮﺗﻴﺒﻰ ﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻛﻮﻳﺖ ‬ ‫ﭼﺎ‪E‬ﻫﺎ' ﻟﺒﺮﻳﺰ * ﻧﻔﺖ ﻳﻦ ﻛﺸــﻮ »ﻣﺴــﺘﻘﻞ« ﺷــﻮ! ﻟﻰ * ﻧﻈﺮ ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﻳﻦ‬ ‫»ﺳــﺘﻘﻼ‪ «J‬ﻣﻌﻨﺎ' ﻳﮕﺮ' ﻫﻢ ﺷﺖ؛ ﺗﺒﺎ‪ Y‬ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻴﻢ ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﺑﺎ ﺧﻠﻴﺞﻓﺎ‪ b‬ﻗﻄﻊ‬ ‫ﺷــﺪ!  ﻳﻦ ﻣﺴــﺌﻠﻪ‪ ،‬ﻫﻢ ﺑﺮ' ﺗﺤﺎ ﺷﻮ' ﺑﺴﻴﺎ ﻧﺎﺧﻮ‪8W‬ﻳﻨﺪ ﺑﻮ  ﻫﻢ ﻣﺮﺗﺒﻪ ‬ ‫ﻣﻮﺿﻊ ﺳــﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ  ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ' ﻋﺮ‪  ,‬ﺑﻪ ﺷــﺪ ﺗﻀﻌﻴﻒ ﻛﺮ‪ .‬ﺗﺠﺰﻳﺔ ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬‬ ‫ﻋﻤﻞ ﻣﺘﺪ ﺟﻐﺮﻓﻴﺎ' ﻧﺴــﺎﻧﻰ ﻣﻠﺖ ﻋﺮ‪  ,‬ﺑﺎ ﻳﮕﺮ »ﺳﺎﺣﻞﻧﺸﻴﻨﺎ« ﺧﻠﻴﺞﻓﺎ‪b‬‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮ ﻛﻠﻰ ﻗﻄﻊ ﻛﺮ‪  ،‬ﺑﻦﺑﺴــﺖ ﺟﻐﺮﻓﻴﺎ' ﻧﺴــﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺮ* ﻛﺸﻮ ﻋﺮ‪8  ,‬‬ ‫ﺳﺖ  ﭘﺎ ﻣﻰ*ﻧﺪ ﺗﺎ ﺣﺪ *ﻳﺎ' ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺗﺠﺰﻳﻪ ﺳﺖ‪ .‬ﻋﺮ‪ * ,‬ﻧﻈﺮ ﺟﻐﺮﻓﻴﺎﺋﻰ‬ ‫ ﻧﺰ' ﻣﻄﻠﻖ ﻓﺘﺎ‪  ،‬ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛﻪ ﻳﺪﻳﻢ ﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎ ﻧﮕﻠﺴــﺘﺎ ﺗﺮﺗﻴﺒﻰ  ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﮔﻴﺮ'  ﺗﺨﺎﺻﻢ ﺑﻴﻦ ﻳﺮ  ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺗﻰ ﺗﻘﺮﻳﺒﺎً ﻫﻤﻴﺸــﮕﻰ ﺑﺮﻗﺮ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ‪ .‬‬ ‫ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ‪» E‬ﺗﻨﻔﺲ« ﻗﺘﺼﺎ'  ﺗﺠﺎ' ﻛﺸﻮ ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﺑﻪ ﺑﻂ ﻳﮋ‪ f‬ﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮ ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ ﻫﺎﺷﻤﻰ  ﻳﺎ' ﺳﺮ‪ 2‬ﻣﺤﺪ ﻣﺎﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻘﻰ ﻛﻪ * ﻫﻪﻫﺎ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺗﺤﺖ ﺷﻐﺎ‪J‬‬ ‫ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻧﮕﻠﺴﺘﺎ ﻗﺮ ﺷﺖ‪.‬‬


‫ﻧﻬﺎﻳﺖ ﻣﺮ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ﺷﺮﻳﻂ ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﻛﻪ  ﺑﺎﻻ ﺑﻪ ‪ 8‬ﺷﺎ‪ E‬ﻛﺮﻳﻢ‪ ،‬ﺑﻪ ﻗﺪ ﺳﻴﺪ‬ ‫ﺳﻮﺳﻴﺎﻟﻴﺴﺖﻫﺎ' ﺣﺰ‪» o‬ﺑﻌﺚ«  ﻋﺮ‪ ،,‬ﻛﻪ ﺧﻮ   ‪8‬ﻏﺎ* ﺗﺎ ﺣﺪ *ﻳﺎ' ﺗﺤﺖ ﻟﻬﺎﻣﺎ‬ ‫ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴــﻦ ﭼﭗﮔﺮ ﻣﻌﺮﻓﻰ ﻣﻰﻛﺮﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﺑﺮ' ﻧﮕﻠﺴــﺘﺎ  ﺑﻌﺪﻫﺎ ﻳﺎﻻ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﻛﻮﭼﻚﺗﺮﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﺧﻄــﺮ'  ﻣﻨﻄﻘﺔ ﻧﻔﺘﺨﻴــﺮ ﺧﻠﻴﺞﻓﺎ‪ b‬ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤــﺮ‪ E‬ﻧﻴﺎ‪  .‬ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴــﻞ ﻣﺤﺎﺻﺮ‪ f‬ﻛﺎﻣﻞ‬ ‫ﺟﻐﺮﻓﻴﺎﺋﻰ ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﺗﻮﺳــﻂ ﻟﺖﻫﺎ' ﺳﺖﻧﺸﺎﻧﺪ‪ f‬ﻏﺮ‪  o‬ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ‪ ،‬ﺳﻮﺳﻴﺎﻟﻴﺴﻢ ﺑﻌﺚ ﻧﻴﺰ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﻻﺟﺒﺎ ﺧﻮ   ﺧﻂ ﺟﺎﺋﻰ »ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﺷﺮ‪ ,‬ـ ﻗﺘﺼﺎ ﻏﺮ‪ «o‬ﻗﺮ ‪ .‬ﻋﻀﺎء ﺣﺰ‪o‬‬ ‫ﻛﻤﻮﻧﻴﺴــﺖ  ﺑﺴﻴﺎ' ﻃﺮﻓﺪ ﺷﺮ‪ ,‬ﺑﻪ ﺳﺮﻋﺖ  ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﺗﻴﺮﺑﺎ ﺷﺪﻧﺪ‪ ،‬ﻛﺮﻫﺎ ﻛﻪ ‬ ‫‪* 8‬ﮔﺎ ﺗﺤﺖ ﻟﻬﺎﻣﺎ ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﻗﺮ ﺷﺘﻨﺪ ﺑﺎ ﻫﻤﻜﺎ' ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ  ﻟﺖ ﺳﻠﻄﻨﺘﻰ ‬ ‫ﻳﺮ ﺑﻪ ﺷــﺪ ﺳﺮﻛﻮ‪ o‬ﺷﺪﻧﺪ‪  ،‬ﻛﺸــﻮ ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﭘﺎ' ﺑﻪ *ﻧﺪﻧﻰ ﮔﺬﺷﺖ ﻛﻪ  *ﻧﺪﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﻣﺘﻔﺎ ﺷــﺖ‪ :‬ﻣﺤﺎﻓﻞ ﻗﺘﺼﺎ' ﻏﺮ‪  ،o‬ﺣﺎﻣﻴﺎ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﺷﺮ‪ !,‬ﻳﻦ  ﺑﺴﺘﮕﻰ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﭽــﻮ  ﻟﺒﺔ ﺗﻴﺰ ﻗﻴﭽﻰ ﻫﺮ‪ 9‬ﮔﻮﺷــﺖ ﻣﻠﺖ ﻋﺮ‪  ,‬ﻣﻰﺑﺮﻳﺪ   ﺳــﻔﺮ‪ f‬ﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎ‬ ‫ﻣﻰﻧﺪﺧــﺖ؛  ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﺑﻌــﺚ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺑﺮ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﻳﻨﺎ ﻧﻮﻋﻰ ﻛﻴﺶ ﺷــﺨﺼﻴﺖ ‬ ‫ﻓﺮﭘﺮﺳﺘﻰ  ﺗﺤﺖ ﻋﻨﻮ »ﺳﻮﺳﻴﺎﻟﻴﺴﻢ ﺑﻌﺚ« ﺑﺮ ﺟﺎﻣﻌﺔ ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﻛﺮ‪ E‬ﺑﻮ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻟﻰ ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﻧﻴﻢ ﺑﺎ* ﻫﻢ ﺷﺮﻳﻂ ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﭼﺎ ﻳﮕﺮﮔﻮﻧﻰ ﭘﺎﻳﻪ' ﺷﺪ‪  ،‬ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷﻰ‬ ‫ﺗﺤﺎ ﺷــﻮ' ﻳﻚ ﺷــﺎﺧﺔ ﺣﺎﻣﻰ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﺣﺰ‪ o‬ﺑﻌﺚ  ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮ ﻛﻠﻰ * ﻣﻴﺎ ﺑﺮﺷﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻋﻜﺲﻟﻌﻤﻞ * ﺟﺎﻧﺐ ﺑﻐﺪ ‪8‬ﻧﻰ ﺑﻮ‪ :‬ﺣﻤﻠﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻛﻮﻳﺖ! ﺳﭙﺲ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺸﻨﺎﻣﻪ' ﺑﻪ ﻓﺮﻣﺎﻧﺪﻫﻰ‬ ‫ﺟﺮ‪ X‬ﺑﻮ‪) W‬ﭘﺪ(  ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ ﺑﻪ ' ﺻﺤﻨﻪ ﺑﺮ‪ E‬ﺷــﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺟﻨﮓ ‪» J‬ﺧﻠﻴﺞ« ﻣﻌﺮ^‬ ‫ﺳــﺖ‪ .‬ﺣﺰ‪ o‬ﺑﻌﺚ ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷــﻰ ﺗﺤﺎ ﺷــﻮ'  * ﺳــﺖ  ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ‪  ،‬ﺗﻨﮓﺗﺮ ﺷﺪ ﻣﻨﮕﻨﺔ ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ ﻗﺪﻫﺎ' ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ﻳﮕﺮ ﻗﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺔ ﺣﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﻧﺒــﻮ‪ * ،‬ﻧﻈﺮ ﻫﺒﺮ ﺑﻌﺚ ﺷــﻐﺎ‪ J‬ﻛﻮﻳﺖ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ‪ E‬ﻣﻤﻜﻦ ﺟﻬــﺖ ﻓﺮﻫﻢ ‪ 8‬ﻣﻜﺎﻧﺎ‬ ‫ﺧﺮ‪ * X‬ﺑﻦﺑﺴﺖ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﻣﻰﺷﺪ! ﻟﻰ ﻣﻰﻧﻴﻢ ﻛﻪ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﺑﺴﻴﺎ * ﻗﻌﻴﺎ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ  ﻣﻰﻣﺎﻧﺪ‪ .‬ﭼﺮ ﻛﻪ ﺣﺘﻰ ﭘﺲ * ﺷﻐﺎ‪ J‬ﻛﻮﻳﺖ‪ ،‬ﺗﻼ‪ W‬ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﺑﺮ' ﮔﻮﺷﻪ ﭼﺸﻢ ﻧﺸﺎ‬ ‫ ﺑﻪ ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ  ﺗﻠﻘﻴﻦ ﻳﻦ ﺻﻞ ﻛﻪ  ﻳﻦ ﺷــﺮﻳﻂ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ ﺑﺮ' ﭼﭙﺎ‪ J‬ﻣﻨﺎﺑﻊ ﻧﻔﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﻛﻮﻳﺖ ﻧﻴﺰ »ﺣﺴــﺎﺑﻰ« ﺟﺪﮔﺎﻧﻪ ﺑﺎ* ﻛﻨﺪ‪ ،‬ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ'  ﻛﻪ ﻋﺮ‪  ,‬ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻧﺒﺎ‪ 8 J‬ﻣﻰﮔﺸﺖ ﺣﺎﺻﻞ ﻧﻜﺮ‪ .‬ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﻋﺮ‪  ,‬ﻧﺰ' ﻛﺎﻣﻞ ﻗﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻳﻦ ﻧﺰ ﺑﻪ ﻻﺋﻞ ﺑﺴﻴﺎ ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﻣﺘﺪ ﻧﺒﻮ‪ ،‬ﻫﻤﺎ ﻻﺋﻠﻰ ﻛﻪ  ﭘﺎ ﻧﺰ' ﻳﻮﮔﺴﻼ'‪،‬‬ ‫ﭼﻚﺳــﻠﻮﻛﻰ  ‪8‬ﻟﺒﺎﻧﻰ  ﻏﻴﺮﻣﻤﻜﻦ ﻛﺮ‪ E‬ﺑﻮ‪  ،‬ﺟﻨﮓﻫﺎ' ﺑﺎﻟﻜﺎ   ﭘﺎ' ﺷﺮﻗﻰ‬ ‫ﺑــﻪ ‪ E‬ﻧﺪﺧــﺖ! ﻟﻰ  ﻣﻮ ﻋﺮ‪ ،,‬ﻣﻬﻢﺗﺮﻳﻦ ﻳﻦ ﻻﺋﻞ ﻧﻘﺸــﻰ ﺑــﻮ ﻛﻪ  ﺻﻮ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ*ﮔﺸــﺖ ﻗﺪﻣﺪﻧﺔ ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺤﻨﺔ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ‪ ،‬ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺴﺖ ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﺑﺮ‬ ‫ﻣﺤﻮ ﺗﺠﺎ ﻧﻔﺖﺧﺎ‪ 9‬ﺑﻪ ﻣﻮ ﺟﺮ ﮔﺬﺷــﺘﻪ ﺷــﻮ‪ .‬ﺗﺼﻮ ﺣﻀﻮ ﻳﻚ ﻟﺖ ﺑﻌﺚ ‬ ‫ﺑﻐﺪ‪  ،‬ﻧﺰﻳﻜﻰﻫﺎ' ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﺑﺎ ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ‪*  ،‬ﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺑﻪ ‪ 150‬ﻻ  ﺑﺸــﻜﻪ‬ ‫ﺳــﻴﺪ ‪8‬ﻧﻘﺪﻫﺎ ﻛﺎ ﻣﺸــﻜﻠﻰ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪  .‬ﻋﻤﻞ‪ ،‬ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﻗﺮﺑﺎﻧﻰ ﺣﺸﺘﻰ ﺷﺪ ﻛﻪ ﻏﺮﺑﻰﻫﺎ *‬ ‫ﺑﺎ*ﮔﺸــﺖ ﻗﺪﺗﻤﺪﻧﺔ ﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎ' ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺷﺘﻨﺪ‪  .‬ﻳﺪﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﻛﺸﻮﻫﺎ'‬ ‫ﻳﻮﮔﺴﻼ'‪ ،‬ﭼﻚﺳﻠﻮﻛﻰ  ‪8‬ﻟﺒﺎﻧﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ  ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻣﺪ ﻗﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻨﺪ‪.‬‬ ‫ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺑﺎ ﺷﻜﺴــﺖ ﻏﺮ‪  o‬ﺟﻨﮓ ﻟﺒﻨﺎ  ﺳــﭙﺲ ﮔﺮﺟﺴــﺘﺎ ﺑﺮ ﻳﻦ ‪ f‬ﻓﺘﺮ ‬ ‫ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﻧﻘﻄﺔ ﭘﺎﻳﺎ ﮔﺬﺷــﺘﻪ ﺷــﺪ‪ ،‬ﻟﻰ ﺣﻤﻠﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﻧﻴﻢ‬ ‫ﺳﺎ‪J‬ﻫﺎ ﭘﻴﺶ * ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷﻴﺪ ﺟﺒﻬﺔ ﻏﺮ‪  o‬ﻟﺒﻨﺎ  ﮔﺮﺟﺴﺘﺎ ﺻﻮ ﮔﺮﻓﺖ‪.‬‬

‫ﺣﺎ‪ J‬ﺑﺎ ﺑﺎ*ﮔﺸــﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻮﺿﻮ‪ e‬ﺻﻠﻰ ﻳﻦ ﺑﻼگ ﻧﮕﺎﻫﻰ ﺧﻮﻫﻴﻢ ﺷﺖ ﺑﻪ ﮔﺰﻳﻨﻪﻫﺎﺋﻰ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺑﺎﻣﺎ ﺑﺎ  ﻧﻈﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ ‪8‬ﻧﭽﻪ  ﺑﺎﻻ ‪8‬ﻳﻢ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ  ﺑﺮﺑﺮ ﺧﻮ ﺷﺘﻪ‬ ‫ﺑﺎﺷــﺪ‪ .‬ﺑﺎﻣﺎ  ﺻﻮﺗﻰ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ * ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﺧﺎ‪ X‬ﺷﻮ ﻛﻪ ﻳﻦ ﻋﻤﻞ ﻓﺮﭘﺎﺷﻰ ﻟﺖ‬ ‫ﻣﺮﻛﺰ'  ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﺮ‪ E‬ﻧﻴﺎ‪ .‬ﺑﻪ ﻋﺒﺎ ﻳﮕﺮ‪ ،‬ﮔﺮ ﻫﺮ ﮔﻮﻧﻪ ﺑﺤﺮ ﺳﻴﻌﻰ  ﺧﻞ‬ ‫ﺧﺎ ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﻳﺠﺎ ﺷــﻮ‪ ،‬ﭘﻴﺎﻣﺪ ‪ 8‬ﺗﻬﺪﻳﺪ' ﻣﺴــﺘﻘﻴﻢ ﺑﺮ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﺷﺎﻫﺮگﻫﺎ' ﻧﻔﺘﻰ‬ ‫ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺷــﺪ‪ .‬ﻣﻰﺑﻴﻨﻴﻢ ‪8‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻛﻪ * * ﻧﺨﺴﺖ‪ ،‬ﺑﺮ ﺳﺎ‪ b‬ﻟﮕﻮﻫﺎ' ﺑﺎﻟﻜﺎ‪ ،‬ﺑﺮ'‬ ‫ﺗﺠﺰﻳﺔ ﻛﺸﻮ ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﭘﺎ' ﺑﻪ ﻳﻦ ﻣﻴﺪ ﮔﺬﺷﺖ ﻣﺮ* ﺧﻮ * ﺣﺎﻣﻴﺎ ﺣﻔﻆ »ﺣﺪ‬ ‫ﻋﺮﻗﻰﻫﺎ« ﺷــﺪ‪ !E‬ﺑﺎ ﻳﻦ ﺟﻮ ﺣﻔﻆ ﻳﻦ »ﺣﺪ«  ﺷــﺮﻳﻂ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ﻛﺎ ﺳﺎ‪'E‬‬ ‫ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ‪ .‬ﻣﻀﺤﻜﺔ ﺗﺎﻳﺦ ﻳﻨﺠﺎﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ‪8‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ  ﮔﺎ‪ 9‬ﻧﺨﺴﺖ ﺑﺎ ﺷﻐﺎ‪ J‬ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﺗﻼ‪W‬‬ ‫ﺷﺖ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ  * ﺑﺎ*' ﻛﺮ ﺑﺎ ﻣﻬﺮ‪E‬ﻫﺎ' ﺣﺘﻤﺎﻟﻰ ﺧﻮ  ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ  ﻧﮕﺎ‪، E‬‬ ‫ﻟﻰ ﻣﺮ* ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ »ﺷــﻐﺎ‪ ،«J‬ﺳﺖ ﻛﺎ‪2‬ﺳﻔﻴﺪ ﺣﺪﻗﻞ  ﻣﺴﺌﻠﺔ ﻋﺮ‪* ,‬ﻳﺮ‬ ‫ﺳﻨﮓ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﻓﺘﺎ‪.E‬‬ ‫* ﻃﺮ^ ﻳﮕﺮ ﻣﺴــﺌﻠﺔ ﻧﮕﻠﺴــﺘﺎ‪ ،‬ﺳﺮﻣﺪ ﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ' ﻧﻴﺰ ﻣﻄﺮ‪ r‬ﺳﺖ‪.‬‬ ‫ﻧﮕﻠﻴﺲ ﺑﻪ ﻟﻴﻞ ﺳــﺎﺑﻘﺔ ﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎ' ﻛﻬﻦ  ﻛﺸﻮ ﻛﻮﻳﺖ‪ ،‬ﺷــﺎﻳﺪ ﺣﺘﻰ ﺑﻴﺶ *‬ ‫‪8‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﻣﺎﻟﻰ  ﺗﺠﺎ' ﺷــﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷــﺪ‪  ،‬ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨﻮ ﺟﻨﻮ‪o‬‬ ‫ﻋﺮ‪  ,‬ﺑﻪ ﺳــﺖ ﻧﻴﺮﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﺑﺴــﭙﺎ ﻛﻪ * ﻟﻬﺎﻣﺎ  ﺑﺴﺘﮕﻰﻫﺎ'ﺷــﺎ ﻃﻤﻴﻨﺎ‬ ‫ﻛﺎﻣﻞ  ﺳﺖ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ‪ .‬ﺑﺎ  ﻧﻈﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻦ ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻠﻰ ﻛﻪ  ﺑﺎﻻ ‪8‬ﻳﻢ‪ ،‬ﺷﻌﺒﺪ‪E‬ﺑﺎ*'‬ ‫»ﺷــﻐﺎ‪»  «J‬ﻣﻜﺮﺳــﻰ«  ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ ﻫﻪﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮ‪ J‬ﺑﻴﺎﻧﺠﺎﻣﺪ‪  ،‬ﺷﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﻟﻴﻞ ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻣﺮ*‪ ،‬ﻗﻴﺐ ﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺗﻰ ﺑﺎﻣﺎ‪ ،‬ﺟﺎﻣﻚ ﻛﻴﻦ‪ ،‬ﻇﻬﺎ '‬ ‫ ﻣﻮ ﺧﺮ‪ * X‬ﻋﺮ‪  ,‬ﺑﺴﻴﺎ »ﺧﻮﺷﺒﻴﻨﺎﻧﻪ« ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﻛﺮ‪.‬‬ ‫ﺧﺮ‪ * X‬ﻋﺮ‪  ,‬ﮔﻴﺮ ﭼﻨﺪ ﻋﺎﻣﻞ ﺻﻠﻰ ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﻣﻰﻣﺎﻧﺪ‪  ،‬ﺧﺎ‪ * X‬ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ ﺳﺘﺮﺗﮋﻳﻚ‬ ‫ ﻧﻈﺎﻣﻰ ﻣﺴﻠﻤﺎً ﻃﻰ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺳﺎ‪8 J‬ﻳﻨﺪ‪ ،E‬ﭘﺎﺋﻴﻦ ‪ 8‬ﺻﺪ ﺑﺴﺘﮕﻰ ﻗﺘﺼﺎ ﻏﺮ‪o‬‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺗﻰ ﺗﺎ ﺣﺪ'  ﻳﻦ *ﻣﻴﻨﻪ ﻛﺎﺳﺎ* ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺑﻮ‪ .‬ﻳﻨﻬﻤﻪ ﮔﺮ ﺗﺎ ﺳﻴﺪ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ »ﻓﻖ ﺷــﻨﻰ« ﺗﻔﺎﻫﻢ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ  ﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ  ﻣﻮ ﺷﻐﺎ‪ J‬ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﻫﻤﭽﻨﺎ‬ ‫ﭘﺎﺑﺮﺟﺎ ﺑﻤﺎﻧﺪ! ﺧﻼﺻﺔ ﻛﻼ‪ 9‬ﺑﺮ ﺧﻼ^ ﺳــﻜﻮ ﺳﺎﻧﻪ' ﺑﺮ ﻣﺤﻮ ﻛﺸﻮ ﻋﺮ‪ ،,‬ﻳﻦ‬ ‫ﻛﺸــﻮ ﺑﺸــﻜﺔ ﺑﺎﺗﻰ ﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻫﺮ ‪ 9‬ﺑﻴﻢ ﻧﻔﺠﺎ ‪ 8‬ﻣﻰ‪ ،‬ﻧﻔﺠﺎ' ﻛﻪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﻧﺪ‬ ‫ﺗﻤﺎﻣﻰ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ‪ ،‬ﺧﺼﻮﺻﺎً ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﭼﻨﺪﻣﻠﻴﺘﻰﻫﺎ  ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺣﺖ ﺑﻪ ﺧﻄﺮ ﺑﻴﺎﻧﺪ*‪ .‬ﺟﺮ‪X‬‬ ‫ﺑﻮ‪ W‬ﺑﺎ ﺷﻐﺎ‪ J‬ﻋﺮ‪ ,‬ﻧﻪ ﺗﻨﻬﺎ ﻣﺸﻜﻠﻰ  ﺣﻞ ﻧﻜﺮ‪ E‬ﻛﻪ ﻣﺸﻜﻼ ﻳﮕﺮ' ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﺮ ‪W‬‬ ‫ﻫﻴﺌﺖ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻪﻫﺎ' ‪8‬ﻳﻨﺪ‪8  E‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻗﺮ ‪  .E‬ﭼﺎﭼﻮ‪ o‬ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ‪8‬ﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ »ﺑﺎﻋﺮ‪«,‬‬ ‫ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺷﺮﻳﻄﻰ ﻣﺸﻜﻞ ﺑﻪ ﺳﺮ ﻣﻨﺰ‪ J‬ﻣﻘﺼﻮ ﺧﻮﻫﺪ ﺳﻴﺪ‪.‬‬

Saeed_Saman_09_02_28  

{ c‫ﻓﺘﺮ‬ ÇÁ{ ‫ﻳﻦ‬Y ‫ﺑﺮ‬ ½‫ﮔﺮﺟﺴــﺘﺎ‬ ‫ﺳــﭙﺲ‬ Á ½‫ﻟﺒﻨﺎ‬ ‫ﺟﻨﮓ‬ { [‫ﻏﺮ‬ ‫ﺷﻜﺴــﺖ‬ ‫ﺑﺎ‬ ‫ﻋﻤﻞ‬ { ‫ﻧﻴﻢ‬Y{ ‫ﻣﻰ‬ ‫ﻛﻪ‬ ‫ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮ‬ ©Y‫ﻋﺮ‬ ‫ﺑﻪ‬ ‫ﺣﻤﻠﻪ‬ ‫ﻟﻰ‬...

Read more
Read more
Similar to
Popular now
Just for you