Figure 8: City of Temple and ETJ Population Pyramid (2019 and 2045

Temple MMP Study Area Age & Sex

The 2019 study area population was relatively young, with a median age of 38, and the overall age distribution was comparable to that of the United States as a whole. Figure 8 compares 2019 and 2045 population by age cohort, with shaded areas representing growth and red outlines representing decline that is expected to occur if the City continues to grow at the current rate. Looking closer at Figure 8, three distinct patterns emerge:

1. A small but growing elderly population (65 years and older). 2. A growing middle-aged population (25 – 39 years old). 3. A declining older adult population (40 – 54 years old).

As is the reality in most U.S. cities, the elderly population is growing, which is shown by the projected growth in almost all age groups 65 and over. There is also expected growth shown in the bars representing age groups between 25 and 39. Contrastingly, there is expected to be significant decline in older adults ages 40 to 54. The consistency in the City’s young population is represented by the largely unchanging structure of the lower portion of the chart. Contextualizing age and transit users, the American Public Transportation Association (APTA) has found that 79% of transit riders fall within the 25 to 54 age range (Clark, 2017). A large portion of the population (43%) within the Temple MMP study area falls within the highest transit users prime age range. Looking into the future, this age group declines by roughly 3% --a majority of which occurs within the older adult category.

Figure 8: City of Temple and ETJ Population Pyramid (2019 and 2045)

85+ 80 - 84 75 - 79 70 - 74 65 - 69 60 - 64 55 - 59

Age Cohort

50 - 54 45 - 49 40 - 44 35 - 39 30 - 34 25 - 29 20 -24 15 - 19 10 - 14 5 - 9 0 - 4

8.00% 6.00% 4.00% 2.00% 0.00% 2.00% 4.00% 6.00% 8.00% Percent of Total Population

Females 2045 (Decline) Males 2045 (Decline) Females 2019 Males 2019 Females 2045 (Growth) Males 2045 (Growth)

Source: ACS 5 YR (2019), Decennial Census (2010)