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Passenger Transport: June 2, 2023

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FO EV RT ER NI Y GH T

ISSUE 290 2 JUNE 2023

NEWS, VIEWS AND ANALYSIS FOR A SECTOR ON THE MOVE

Net Zero targets ‘offer huge opportunities’

Transport analyst Chris Cheek sees opportunity for enormous growth as efforts to reduce car use prompt modal shift towards public transport Net Zero targets offer huge opportunities for bus operators from modal shift. That was the message from Chris Cheek to members of the Young Bus Managers Network at their meeting in Birmingham last week. The transport analyst said that in 2019 534 billion kilometres were driven by cars, vans and taxis in Great Britain, and that equates, because of vehicle occupancy, to about 740 billion passenger kilometres. The UK Climate Change Act’s Sixth Carbon Budget assumes a 9% reduction in car miles by 2035 and 17% by 2050. “The reduction targets mean you have to strip 66 billion

[car passenger] kilometres out by 2035, taking traffic back to 2001 levels, and 125 billion by 2050, taking it back to 1993 levels,” explained Cheek. “So what would that mean for buses? A 9% switch [by 2035], which if it all came to bus - it won’t but it’s an interesting figure to mull over - would be a 203%

“You have to strip 66 billion kilometres out by 2035” Chris Cheek

[bus] patronage increase. If it’s a 17% switch [by 2050], it would be a 384% increase in bus demand. “I’ll leave you to think about where we get all the drivers to cover that. It is a huge challenge, but on the other hand, I think it’s a challenge we’d all rather have than the challenges of the last two or three years.” Cheek added that each 1% of modal shift from car to bus could bring an 1.3 billion extra bus passenger journeys: “That’s the scale of the challenge and it’s the scale of the opportunity which might present itself to the industry over the next 10 to 15 years.” CONTINUED ON PAGE 9

NEWS EXTRA

‘Motor City’ will be ‘Public Transport City’

04

Birmingham’s buses are making progress

COMMENT

Let’s shout about public transport!

16

Norman Baker on Better Transport Week

COMMENT

Ditch Wi-Fi their brains are buffering!

18

Alex Warner laments ‘idiotic’suggestion

SPECIAL REPORT

RIDE2RAIL boosts multimodal travel

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UITP-led project for seamless journeys

ROAD TO ZERO

HELP FOR UKRAINE A bus donated by Swindon’s Bus Company, part of the Go-Ahead Group, has been converted into a field hospital for use in treating casualties of the war in Ukraine. Go-Ahead boss Christian Schreyer, said: “I hope this bus will make a small contribution towards Ukraine’s war effort, and towards ... those injured on the front line.”

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Zemo reflects on 20 years

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Our 12-page special on the ‘Road to Zero’

31/05/2023 16:41


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Passenger Transport: June 2, 2023 by Passenger Transport Publishing Ltd - Issuu