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LMD March 2025

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Riding Herd Saying things that need to be said. March 15, 2025 • www.aaalivestock.com

Volume 67 • No. 3

by LEE PITTS

Color The Cracked Crystal Ball The of Tractors LEE PITTS

F

or years we’ve all been reading or hearing predictions from self-appointed “scientists” that were so absurd to the point of being comical. I’ve always referred to such scientists as “Chicken Littles” because their predictions were no better than the crackpot chicken who claimed “the sky was falling.”

The Great Die Off I first became interested in the ridiculous remarks made by so-called scientists when I read a book called The Population Bomb written by a Stanford biologist named Paul Erlich. In the 1960s when Erlich was writing his book, famine was the big fad with the hippie crowd. (Keep in mind as you read Erlich’s predictions that when The Population Bomb came out the world had a population of 3.5 billion people compared to today’s 8.2 billion.) Back then Erlich made the following comments:

■■ “The battle to feed all of

humanity is over. In the 1970s hundreds of millions of people will starve to death in spite of any crash programs embarked upon now. At this late date nothing can prevent a

substantial increase in the world death rate.”

■■ Erlich told the New York

Times in the 70’s, “We must realize that unless we are extremely lucky, everybody will disappear in a cloud of blue steam in 20 years.”

■■ Mademoiselle

magazine carried this Erlich prediction: “Population will inevitably and completely

years.”

■■ “Since more than nine-

tenths of the original tropical rainforests will be removed in most areas within the next 30 years or so [by 2005], it is expected that half of the organisms in these areas will vanish with it.”

■■ “Two-hundred

thousand Americans will die in 1973 during smog-disasters in New York and Los Angeles,” Erlich stated emphatically. “In 1970 “air pollution is certainly going to take hundreds of thousands of lives in the next few years alone.”

Live a good honorable life. Then when you get older and think back, you’ll enjoy it a second time outstrip whatever small increases in food supplies we make. The death rate will increase until at least 100-200 million people per year will be starving to death during the next ten

■■ Audubon Magazine went

all-in on Erlich as one might expect. “DDT and other chlorinated hydrocarbons may have substantially reduced the life expectancy of people

Demand for Protein Outpaces Snack Category Innovation Protein snacks reached $24 billion in sales and are growing at three times the rate of the overall snacking category.

NEWSPAPER PRIORITY HANDLING

BY INDUSTRY NEWS / PROVISIONERONLINE.COM COURTESY OF CHOMPS

New research from Chomps reveals a major imbalance in the US snacking market: While consumers actively seek protein in 36 percent of snacking occasions, protein snacks currently make up only 19 percent of retail sales — leaving billions in untapped opportunity. Despite this gap, protein-forward snacks are outpacing the overall snacking category three times in growth within the $126 billion snacking industry, with protein snacks accounting for $24 billion — yet the retail landscape and product innovation pipeline have struggled to keep pace with shifting consumer habits.

Key findings from the study:

■■ Protein demand versus fulfillment gap:

The US snacking market includes seven core need states, with protein playing a major role in 36 percent of snacking occasions, particularly for “efficient nutrition,” “healthy fuel” and “grazing satisfaction.” However, protein is only being fulfilled in 19 percent of purchases, leaving a major opportunity for brands and retailers to continued on page 3

born since 1945,” wrote Erlich. “Americans born since 1946 now had a life expectancy of only 49 years.” He also predicted that if current patterns continued, this expectancy would reach 42 years by 1980 when it might level out.” (Life expectancy today in our country is 78.6 years).

Whoops!

■■ In a 1969 essay titled

Eco-Catastrophe! Erlich wrote, “Most of the people who are going to die in the greatest cataclysm in the history of man have already been born. By 1975 some experts feel that food shortages will have escalated the present level of world hunger and starvation into famines of unbelievable proportions. Other experts, more optimistic, think the ultimate food-population collision will not occur until the decade of the 1980s.” continued on page 2

Conservation Groups Launch Suit Against Fish & Wildlife Service For Impairing Species Recovery, Ignoring Science

T

wo conservation groups are launching a suit against the U.S. Fish & Wildlife Service (FWS) over the “blanket rule” that disregards science and hinders habitat restoration efforts under the Endangered Species Act. The Rocky Mountain Elk Foundation (RMEF) and Property and Environment Research Center (PERC) want the agency to adopt the approach used by the National Marine Fisheries Service (NMFS), which develops tailored regulations to recover threatened species guided by science and the specific needs of each species. The Endangered Species Act (ESA) directs agencies to list species and take steps to recover them. To do so, the agency is supposed to design science-based regulations tailored to the needs of each species. Citing administrative convenience, the FWS established the “blanket 4(d) rule” to bypass this process, ignoring science and species-specific considerations. As a result, the agency’s one-size-fits-all approach has yielded poor species recovery rates. By comparison, the National Marine Fisheries Service’s tailored strategy has recovered species at twice the rate of FWS’ blanket approach. “While the blanket rule is certainly easier for continued on page 3

I

looked around the cafe, saw that the rancher’s table was filled and then noticed there was a seat at the farmer’s table, so I considered joining them. I mean how bad could it be? So I went over to the dark side and asked the clodhoppers if they’d mind if I joined them? “Sure, pull up a seat,” said farmer #1. “We have no prejudices here. Your ball cap may advertise a bull while mine advertises a CAT. You go to Denver to see all the newest squeeze chutes, while we go to Tulare’s Farm Equipment Show to see what’s new in heavy metal.” “Some cattlemen have Red Angus,” said farmer #2, “and we have red tractors.” “Yeah,” chimed in farmer #3, “We have a lot in common with you cow pokes. You have trouble finding good cowboys while we have trouble finding good tractor jockeys. And we’re both in a bad mood when we pour out the rain gauge and four inches of dust falls out.” “And we’ve been invaded with imports,” said farmer #4. “You have Charolais from France, Simmental from Switzerland and Kobe from Japan while we have Kubotas from Japan, Argo made in Europe and even some John Deere tractors made in China. America is dominated by John Deere Green while Registered Black Angus wear the pants in your family.” I countered, “But many of our black Angus are bred to cattle of another breed.” “Are you kidding, farmers invented crossbreeding,” said farmer #4. “Have you ever heard of a tangelo, a limequat or an orangelo?” “Yeah,” chimed in farmer #1, “and it’s a common sight in farm country to see a green John Deere pulling a blue New Holland baler. If that’s not crossbreeding I don’t know what is.” “I’ll tell you what it is,” said the grumpy Oliver guy. “It’s heresy. That’s what it is!” “That’s just because you’re so red that you own 35 antique Oliver tractors,” said the county extension agent who’d joined us. “There’s another difference between farmers and ranchers. You don’t see ranchers preserving taxidermy bulls or entering them in the Fourth of July parade. Generally, ranchers don’t have huge shops with

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