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Construction and Built Environment Skills Demand Mapping, and CTEC Prioritisation Rationale Report

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London Construction Technical Excellence College (CTEC), led by New City College (NCC)

Construction and Built Environment Skills Demand Mapping, and CTEC Prioritisation Rationale Report

New City College - Construction Technical Excellence College (CTEC) Building Greater London’s construction workforce of the future ncclondon.ac.uk


London Construction Technical Excellence College (CTEC), led by New City College (NCC)

Construction and Built Environment Skills Demand Mapping, and CTEC Prioritisation Rationale Report

Author: Hazel Mealy, on behalf of NCC Date: 17 July 2026 Version: 1.0

Contents: 1. 2. 3. 4. 5. 6.

Background Summary Methodology Skills Demand Mapping Overview Heritage Skills- Cross Cutting Conclusion Appendix 1

1


1. Background

An initial review of available Construction and Built Environment (C&BE) Skills demand data by the London Construction Sector Technical Excellence College (CTEC), led by New City College, highlighted that there is a breadth of relevant skills projections, surveys and estimates available across the Construction Industry Training Board (CITB) occupational groups and their associated sectors, but the whole picture is not easily found in one place, or easy to cross-reference. The CTEC, its spoke-Skills providers, and other stakeholders require a complete, recent and objective evidence base to inform strategic decision-making and enable achievement of the CTEC objectives namely Boosting Provision, Teaching and Curricula, Leveraging Employers and Promoting Pathways. In consultation with the CTEC working group and the Greater London Authority (GLA), it was agreed to undertake this first phase of the Greater London C&BE Skills Demand Mapping exercise, confined by the CTEC’s remit and timescales1. 2. Summary

This report and associated supplementary documents, is a mapping of secondary sources of relevant recent data, projections, pipelines and skills needs/gaps analyses in the C&BE Sector (as per CITB scope definition2), Building Services Engineering (as per EBSSA definition3), Central Government controlled Infrastructure Pipeline data (As per NISTA pipeline4), and the Housing/ House-building Sector5, compiled by “Occupational Group1” with Industry Sector data, with reference to key CrossCutting demand data (e.g. Heritage), and relevant competing other skills demand data (e.g. data centres, clean energy).

The purpose of this mapping for the CTEC, is as follows: •

•

To establish a broad evidence-base of C&BE skills demand in London, in a concise, objective and compelling comparative user-friendly format for CTEC spokes, sub-regional leads and stakeholders, to be referred to for decision-making, including further work on specific occupational groups and their skills pathways, and deep-dives. To act as an initial skills demand map for the GLA Construction Sector Talent Board (due to begin in the Summer of 2026), to be led by Places for London.

1 CTEC Design Phase, February to July 2026. 2 CITB CWO 2026-30. 3 Engineering & Building Services Skills Alliance (EBSSA) Skills Plan, 2026. 4 NISTA Infrastructure Pipeline Skills Demand, 2026. 5 Represented by Home Builders Federation and London Homes Coalition 2


3. Methodology

I.

Desk-based Research

The review took the form of desk-based research and extraction of data from relevant reports and sources, to bring them together in one place, and cross compare, to build up an objective picture of skills demand data and evidence for London. The list of data sources can be found in Appendix 1, and have all been published in the last 3 years (2023-2026). The reports can be categorised under the following headings: -

Construction and Built Environment Skills Demand (CITB Scope definition) London housing Sector Skills Demand Engineering and building Services Sector Skills Demand (EBSSA Scope definition) Individual Sector Body Skills Demand Cross-cutting Sectors Skills Demand Central Government controlled Infrastructure Pipeline data Sub-regional Pipeline Data where available (for South London Partnership and Central London Forward) Relevant Intersecting Other Skills Demand GLA London Jobs Postings Data Priority Occupation Lists (Skilled Worker Visa Temporary Shortage List 20252, Clean Energy Industries and Home Building Skills Lists)

-

II.

Key Consultations

The CTEC did not undertake any primary research, but consulted with the following stakeholders for guidance, additional data or clarifications, and feedback throughout the process: • • • • • • • • • • • •

Construction Industry Training Board (CITB) Greater London Authority (GLA) Economics team - Authors of the London Skills Improvement Plan (LSIP) Evidence Base work3, 2025. GLA wider team GLA Interim C&BE Sector Talent Board (16th June, 5th March) CTEC Sub-regional leads (6th July, 18th May) Whole Life Consultants -Data consultant on a number of the papers mentioned in this report CTEC Working Group- including representation from brick, plant, infrastructure, electrical and wider construction industry (23rd May) Electrical Contractors Association (ECA) National Roofing Contractors Federation (NRCF) London Heritage Skills Network (Led by Houses of Parliament R+R project) Historic England Central London Forward Subregional Partnership

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4. Skills Demand Mapping Overview

The mapping can be categorized into three layers of information, detailed in the following sections: I. II. III.

CTEC Skills Demand Research and Reports Mapping (2023-2026)- Table 1 GLA Economics LSIP Job Postings Research (2025)- Table 2 UK Government sources highlighting Priority Occupations (2025)- Table 3 and 4

Read together (See table 5) we consider that they give a good indication of where there is significant demand or pressures on occupations or occupational groups, and where concentrating efforts are likely to have the most impact to improve the pipeline, address the bottlenecks and/or improve outcomes for learners, employers and the sector, to achieve the CTEC objectives. I.

CTEC Skills Demand Research and Reports Mapping (2023-2026)

The first layer of information looked at available skills demand research, reports, projections and trade surveys, across the 28 CITB CWO Occupational Groups. See table 1overleaf which identifies the following: -

-

16 Occupational Groups have indicators across a good number of sources of high growth, high priority or have been shown to have pipeline issues- As shown in red 2 Occupational Groups have some indicators of high growth, are a high priority for certain sectors, or have not consistently been shown to have pipeline issues. (Painters and Decorators; Glaziers and Window Trades)- As shown in orange The outstanding 9 Occupational Groups have been deemed as low priorities for the following reasons, as discussed in detail with stakeholders through the process: o

o

o o

Low Demand, and Sector Leadership CIOB/Other is better placed to deal with the skills gaps identified (Directors, Executives and Senior Managers, and Construction Project Managers). The CTEC role will be to raise awareness of these later career opportunities to build aspiration and interest in entering the industry. Attraction Issue as opposed to a skills development one, so generally falls outside of the CTEC Remit for Boosting Provision and Teaching and Curricula, but may feature generally in activities related to Leveraging Employers and Promoting Pathways. (Labourers) Insufficient evidence of high demand, growth or pipeline issues (Plasterers) Outside of CTEC remit as not directly construction related, but construction-enabling sectors (Logistics, Non-construction trades and operatives, Non-construction professional & technical office staff*6, Other non-construction office-based staff)

6 With the Exception of the Occupation “Health and Safety Managers and Staff ” in this OG. 4


Table 1. [See Supplementary documents 1,2,3,4 for further details] 1

Directors, executives and senior managers

Low Demand; Refer to CIOB Skills report for Occupational Group Needs

2

Construction project managers

Low Demand; Refer to CIOB Skills report for Occupational Group Needs

3

Construction trades supervisors

HIGH Except for London Homes Coalition

4

Electrical installation trades

LOW FROM CITB; VERY HIGH FROM OTHER SOURCES+ Strong Granular Sector data

5

Carpenters and joiners

HIGH- For housing only (HBF, LHC)

6

Plumbing and HVAC trades

LOW FROM CITB; HIGH- But not due to housing sector; High demand Net Zero+ Data Centres

7

Labourers

Insufficient evidence of pipeline issues; Attraction issue as opposed to skills issue.

8

Painters and decorators

MEDIUM- Low % Increase indicated by CITB

9

Bricklayers and masons

High- Especially for housing Sector (HBF, LHC)

10

Plasterers

Insufficient evidence of high demand, growth or pipeline issues

11

Logistics

Enabling Sector

12

Plant operatives

HIGH- Consistently, but CPA Skills Report is from 2017.

13

Roofers

VERY HIGH- Consistent data across sources; Pipeline issues identified.

14

Plant mechanics/fitters

HIGH- Consistently, but CPA Skills Report is from 2017.

15

Floorers and wall tilers

VERY HIGH- Consistently shown as in high demand across sources; Pipeline Issues

16

Groundworkers

VERY HIGH- Poor pipeline also identified

17

Scaffolders

HIGH- Recent Sector projections

18

Road and rail construction operatives

Insufficient evidence of high demand, growth or pipeline issues in C&BE Sector

19

Glaziers and window trades

MEDIUM- Mixed Projections; High demand for Retrofit and Heritage Sectors

20

Steel erectors and metal workers

HIGH- Identified as especially high in CLF Subregion’s pipeline

21

Other construction and building trades

HIGH- but not a well-defined sector to focus on- unless further clarity can be provided.

22

Non-construction trades and operatives

OUTSIDE CTEC REMIT

23

Surveyors

VERY HIGH- Consistently shown as in high demand across sources; Pipeline Issues

24

Civil engineers

HIGH- But not due to housing sector

25

Architects

Insufficient evidence of high demand, growth or pipeline issues

26

Other professional & technical staff (construction)

VERY HIGH- dependent on occupation.

27

Non-construction professional & technical office staff

OUTSIDE REMIT (NOTE: HEALTH+SAFETY MANAGERS ARE IN HIGH DEMANDLSIP RESEARCH*)

28

Other non-construction officebased staff

OUTSIDE CTEC REMIT

5


II.

GLA Economics LSIP Job Postings Research (CTEC review of raw data), 2025.

The second layer of information, is a review of the raw data from the GLA Economics LSIP Job Postings Research, for London in 2025, kindly provided to the CTEC by GLA Economics, shown in Table 2 overleaf, which broadly found the following: Of the 28 CITB Occupational Groups, the most in-demand group by job postings density of occupations in the group, and a number of other key metrics (See methodology) 7, were the following Groups: •

•

• •

• •

Other Professional and Technical Staff (Construction)- in the following occupations: o

Engineering Technicians

o

Mechanical Engineers

o

Inspectors of Standards and Regulations

o

Chartered Surveyors

o

Engineering Project Managers and Project Engineers

o

Electrical Engineers

Surveyors - in the following occupations (representing the entire Occupational Group): o

Quantity Surveyors

o

Electricians and Electrical Fitters

o

Skilled Metal, Electrical and Electronic Trades Supervisors

Electrical Installation Trades- in the following occupations: Trade Supervisors- in the following occupations (representing the entire Occupational Group): o

Construction and Building Trades Supervisors

o

Health and Safety Managers

Non-construction professional & technical office staff- in only one occupation: Floorers and Wall Tilers- However, low Growth projections of 2% are noteworthy.

Of the 28 CITB Occupational Groups, the highest projected growths by group to 2030, in Greater London in 2025, were the following: •

Plumbing + HVAC (7%)

•

Construction Trade Supervisors (6%)

•

Roofers (6%) However, showing relatively low job density in 2025

•

Electricians (6%)

•

Engineering Project Managers (6%)

Some notable very low8 job density and growth postings were noted in the following occupations: •

Glaziers (7/100) and low growth (1%)

•

Bricklayers (14/100), and medium growth (4%)

•

Scaffolders (6/ 100), and medium growth (4%)

•

Carpenters/ Joiners (16/100) and medium growth (4%)

7 As per LSIP GLA Report: LSIP sector skills analysis (2025) - London Datastore 8 This could be explained by different recruitment offline recruitment, or multiple roles under one posting. 6


Some notable very high job density of job-postings were noted in the following occupations: •

Electrical Engineers (111/100);

•

Engineering Technicians (149/100);

•

Metal, Electrical and Electronic Supervisors (123/100)

Some notable high job density of job-postings were noted in the following occupations: •

Floorers and Wall Tilers (58/100);

•

Construction Trade Supervisors (60/100);

•

Health and Safety Managers (85/100)

7


Table 2: GLA Economics LSIP Job Postings Research, 2025. Green indicates low density/growth; Red indicates high density/growth

Code

OCCUPATIONAL GROUP

Occupation

Job posting Employment Number of unique density 2025 (2022job postings 2025 (Postings per 100 2024)* (>100) jobs) (>2,000)

Minimum Median Job Growth Expected posting projected to Education duration 2030 Level

1122

Directors, executives and senior managers

Production Managers and Directors in Construction

29,100

1,030

4

30

5%

Level 3

2451 Architects

Architects

14,300

1,250

9

31

2%

Level 6 +

2121 Civil Engineers

Civil Engineers

12,800

4,490

35

31

3%

Level 4/5

2122

Mechanical Engineers

8,200

6,350

77

31

5%

Level 4/5

2123

Electrical Engineers

4,800

5,270

111

30

2%

Level 4/5

2127

Engineering Project Managers and Project Engineers

4,800

1,180

25

31

6%

Level 6 +

3113

Engineering Technicians

6,300

9,360

149

29

5%

Level 3

2452 Other prof. & tech. staff (construction)

Chartered Architectural Technologists, Planning Officers 7,200 and Consultants

2,050

28

30

3%

Level 6 +

3114

Building and Civil Engineering Technicians

220

8

29

3%

Level 3

3120

CAD, Drawing and Architectural 10,900 Technicians

2,270

21

30

3%

Level 3

3581

Inspectors of Standards and Regulations

3,100

1,730

55

28

5%

Level 2

Quantity Surveyors

8,000

6,720

85

31

5%

Level 6 +

Chartered Surveyors

12,400

5,450

44

30

4%

Level 6 +

Construction Project Managers 15,900 and Related Professionals

1,390

9

30

4%

Level 6 +

2453 2454

Surveyors

Construction project 2455 managers and related professionals 3582

Non-construction professional and technical office-based staff

Health and Safety Managers and Officers

7,700

6,530

85

29

5%

Level 3

5213

Steel erectors and metal workers

Welding Trades

3,300

510

15

28

4%

Level 2

5241

Electricians and Electrical Fitters

21,700

6,860

32

29

6%

Level 3

5246

Electrical Service and Maintenance Mechanics and Repairers

2,300

210

9

31

6%

Level 2

Electrical and Electronics Technicians

2,900

800

27

29

5%

Level 3

Skilled Metal, Electrical and Electronic Trades Supervisors

3,600

4,480

123

30

3%

Level 3

Construction and Building Trades Supervisors

9,900

5,940

60

30

6%

Level 3

7,200

1,020

14

21

4%

Level 2

750

25

25

6%

Level 2

Electrical installation trades

3112 5250 5330

Construction Trade Supervisors

5313 Bricklayers and masons Bricklayers and Stonemasons 5314 Roofers

8

2,800

Roofers, Roof Tilers and Slaters 3,000

Plumbing and heating, ventilation, and air Plumbers and Heating and 5315 conditioning (HVAC) Ventilating Engineers trades

18,900

2,710

14

30

7%

Level 2

5316 Carpenters and joiners Carpenters and Joiners

23,000

3,680

16

29

4%

Level 2

Glaziers and window 5317 trades

Glaziers, Window Fabricators and Fitters

2,800

200

7

26

1%

Level 2

Other construction 5319 and building trades

Construction and Building Trades n.e.c.

45,100

3,410

8

29

5%

Level 2

5322 Floorers and wall tilers

Floorers and Wall Tilers

2,300

1,320

58

24

2%

Level 2

Painters and 5323 Decorators

Painters and Decorators

16,700

1,610

10

23

3%

Level 2

8151 Scaffolders

Scaffolders, Stagers and Riggers 5,700

320

6

25

4%

Level 2

8229 Plant Operatives

Mobile Machine Drivers and Operatives n.e.c.

3,000

190

6

19

3%

Below level 2

9129 Labourers

Elementary Construction Occupations n.e.c.

10,600

4,190

39

23

5%

Below level 2


III.

UK Government sources highlighting Priority Occupations, 2025.

The third layer of information was UK Government sources, outlining National Priority occupations, on the “Skilled worker visa temporary shortage list” and “Assessment of Priority Skills to 2030”. The Skilled Worker Visa Temporary Shortage List4 (See Table 3) was generally quite consistent with the above two sources, with the exception of Roofers and Surveyors, which were not included in the list.

Table 3. The Skilled Work Visa Temporary Shortage List Occupation Code

Occupation

3112

Electrical and electronics technicians

3113

Engineering technicians

3114

Building and civil engineering technicians

3120

CAD, drawing and architectural technicians

3541

Estimators, valuers and assessors

5213

Welding trades

5214

Pipe fitters

5223

Metal working production and maintenance fitters

5225

Air-conditioning and refrigeration installers and repairers

5231

Vehicle technicians, mechaniNOcs and electricians

5241

Electricians and electrical fitters

5242

Telecoms and related network installers and repairers

5249

Electrical and electronic trades n.e.c.

5311

Steel erectors

5315

Plumbers and heating and ventilating installers and repairers

5319

Construction and building trades n.e.c.

5322

Floorers and wall tilers

5323

Painters and decorators

5330

Construction and building trades supervisors

The “Assessment of Priority skills to 20305” lists relevant to this report are “ Housebuilding” and “Clean Energy Industries (CEI)”. It is worth noting that London also has a Clean Energy Technical Excellence College, led by London Southbank Technical College, and the CTEC is coordinate closely with it. The CTEC’s primary focus from these two lists should be mainly on those in the Housebuilding Sector. Inconsistent with findings from above, was the inclusion of plastering, and painters and decorators, as priority occupations. Additionally, it was unusual not to find groundworkers in CEI list, while surprisingly glaziers, floorers, carpenters, roofers, bricklayers appeared in both lists. The following Occupational Groups were strongly represented (see table 4) with a high number or all of the occupations within the group included: Other professionals and technical staff working in construction, [12/ 21 Occupations from the OG]; Surveyors [2/2]; Steel Erectors and Metal workers [4/6]; Construction Trade Supervisors [2/2]; Electrical Trades [3/6]; Plumbing and HVAC [2/3];Brick and Stone[2/2];and Civil Engineers, Roofers, Floorers, Glaziers [1/1] etc.

9


Table 4. Assessment of Priority Skills for 2030- Priority Occupation Lists HOUSE BUILDING[HB]-MHLUC

CLEAN ENERGY INDUSTRIES[CEI]- DESNZ

1122 Production managers and directors in construction

1121 Production managers and directors in manufacturing

2121 Civil engineers

1122 Production managers and directors in construction

2151 Conservation professionals

2121 Civil engineers

2152 Environment professionals

2122 Mechanical engineers

2451 Architects

2123 Electrical engineers

2452 Chartered architectural technologists, planning officers and consultants 2124 Electronics engineers 2453 Quantity surveyors

2125 Production and process engineers

2454 Chartered surveyors

2127 Engineering project managers and project engineers

2455 Construction project managers and related professionals

2129 Engineering professionals n.e.c.

3114 Building and civil engineering technicians

2453 Quantity surveyors

3120 CAD, drawing and architectural technicians

2455 Construction project managers and related professionals

3555 Estate agents and auctioneers

3113 Engineering technicians

3581 Inspectors of standards and regulations

3120 CAD, drawing and architectural technicians

5214 Pipe fitters

5213 Welding trades

5241 Electricians and electrical fitters

5221 Metal machining setters and setter-operators

5250 Skilled metal, electrical and electronic trades supervisors

5223 Metal working production and maintenance fitters

5311 Steel erectors

5241 Electricians and electrical fitters

5312 Stonemasons and related trades

5242 Telecoms and related network installers and repairers

5313 Bricklayers

5249 Electrical and electronic trades n.e.c.

5314 Roofers, roof tilers and slaters

5313 Bricklayers

5315 Plumbers and heating and ventilating installers and repairers

5314 Roofers, roof tilers and slaters

5316 Carpenters and joiners

5315 Plumbers and heating and ventilating installers and repairers

5317 Glaziers, window fabricators and fitters

5316 Carpenters and joiners

5319 Construction and building trades n.e.c.

5317 Glaziers, window fabricators and fitters

5321 Plasterers

5321 Plasterers

5322 Floorers and wall tilers

5322 Floorers and wall tilers

5323 Painters and decorators

8114 Plastics process operatives

5330 Construction and building trades supervisors

8120 Metal working machine operatives

8151 Scaffolders, stagers and riggers

8143 Routine inspectors and testers

8221 Crane drivers

8151 Scaffolders, stagers and riggers

9121 Groundworkers

8159 Construction operatives n.e.c. 8160 Production, factory and assembly supervisors

Occupations in the “Other professionals and technical staff” OG shown in dark red in table 4, for ease of identification. Occupations not included in the CITB CWO Occupational Groups (ie. Not in Construction Sector) shown in blue.

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5. Heritage Skills- Cross Cutting

Recalling the CITB-estimate of London construction workforce is c.368,000 in 2025, Historic England’s 2024 Skills Research estimated that a Traditional building skills workforce of c.22,000 would be required by 2027, in London, out of a total of c.39,000 pre-1919 workforce. Historic England’s 2023 Net Zero research estimated that “the greatest need for workers to retrofit historic buildings will be in London, with 30% of its homes built prior to 1919.” The associated dashboard indicates that London needs an estimated average of 16,000 new full time equivalent (FTE) workers per year, with highest numbers in electricians (2400), Plumbing + HVAC (2200) and carpenters (1,900). Historic England notes that “the Houses of Parliament Restoration and Renewal (R&R) Programme will require a core workforce of between c. 2,500 and 2,850 FTE workers on average per year and is estimated to take between 19 years and 43 years, depending on the approach.” The State of Trade Survey by the Federation of Master Builders, highlighted that the top challenge for businesses was finding staff with heritage skills with 58% of respondents highlighting this, on a par with new technologies also at 58%, and sustainable building practices next at 56%. The report notes that: “Shortages in both traditional trades and emerging specialist skills continue to hold back firms as building standards and technical requirements evolve.” The London Heritage Skills Working Group was established by the R+R programme in 2025, with representation from the Crown Estate, Grosvenor Estate, Historic Royal Palaces, St. Paul’s Cathedral and other key Heritage Clients and stakeholders, and the NCC CTEC has participated since April 2026. The main heritage specialist qualification is currently the Level 3 NVQ Diploma in Heritage Skills (Construction), which has a number of pathways which cover many different construction trades, and content which focuses on heritage-specific skills and training. Historic England categorizes9 the pathways as: General/ Cross-occupational, Woodworking, Masonry, Roofing, Plastering, Painting and Decorating and Metal-work. As part of the deep-dives into the occupational groups, applying a heritage lens on each, where relevant, will strengthen the proposals to address the CTEC objectives across each.

9 Heritage Specialist Training and Qualifications | Historic England 11


Table 5. The Layers of Demand Data read together to take an objective view about the Occupational Groups where CTEC work should be concentrated.

HERITAGE SKILLS OVERLAP

COMBINED

12

CITB CWO 2026Occupational Group (OG)

1 % CTEC Skills Demand Mapping Working [Available reports/ projections 2023-26] in Const. Sector

2

3

GLA Economics LSIP Skilled 2030 Govt. 2030 GPO Refresh Data Review worker Priority Occ. List VisaList [Clean Shortage [Housebuilding] Energy] List (2025) HIGH DEMAND 2025; 1/2 2/2 NO HIGH GROWTH

3

Construction trades 48% supervisors

HIGH Except for London Homes Coalition

4

Electrical installation trade

39%

LOW FROM CITB; VERY HIGH FROM OTHER VERY HIGH DEMAND SOURCES+ Strong Granular Sector data 2025

4/6

1/5

YES

5

Carpenters and joiners

68%

HIGH- For housing only (HBF, LHC)

LOW DEMAND 2025; MEDIUM GROWTH

NO

1/3

YES

6

Plumbing and HVAC 80% trades

LOW FROM CITB; HIGH but not due to housing sector; High: Net Zero+ Data Centres

LOW DEMAND 2025; HIGHEST GROWTH(7%)

3/3

2/3

YES

7

Labourers

80%

Insufficient evidence of pipeline issues; Attraction issue as opposed to skills issue.

MEDIUM DEMAND 2025 [HIGH TURNOVER]

NO

NO

YES

8

Painters and decorators

67%

DEMAND 2025; MEDIUM- Low % Increase indicated by CITB LOW LOW GROWTH

1/1

1/1

NO

9

Bricklayers and masons

98%

High- Especially for housing Sector (HBF, LHC)

LOW DEMAND 2025; MEDIUM GROWTH

NO

2/2

YES

10

Plasterers

98%

Insufficient evidence of high demand, growth or pipeline issues

N/A [Below Threshold] NO

1/1

YES, surprisingly

11

Logistics

4%

OUTSIDE CTEC REMIT

N/A

NO

NO

NO

12

Plant operatives

28%

HIGH- Consistently, but CPA Skills Report is from 2017.

LOW DEMAND; LOW GROWTH

NO

1/4

NO

13

Roofers

98%

VERY HIGH- Consistent data across sources; Pipeline issues identified.

MEDIUM DEMAND, HIGH GROWTH

NO

1/1

YES

14

Plant mechanics/ fitters

16%

N/A [Below Threshold] 2/6

NO

NO

15

Floorers and wall tilers

91%

HIGH- Consistently, but CPA Skills Report is from 2017. VERY HIGH- Consistently shown as in high demand across sources; Pipeline Issues; Attraction Issue

HIGH DEMAND 2025; 1/1 MEDIUM GROWTH

1/1

YES, surprisingly

16

Groundworkers

81%

VERY HIGH- Poor pipeline also identified

N/A

NO

1/1

NO, surprisingly

17

Scaffolders

92%

HIGH- Recent Sector projections

LOW DEMAND 2025; MEDIUM GROWTH

NO

1/1

YES

19

Glaziers and window trades

56%

MEDIUM- Mixed Projections; High demand LOW DEMAND; LOW for Retrofit GROWTH

NO

1/1

YES

20

Steel erectors and metal workers

18%

HIGH- Identified as especially high in CLF Subregion’s pipeline

LOW DEMAND 2025; MEDIUM GROWTH

2/6

1/6

YES

21

Other construction and building trades

62%

HIGH- but not a well-defined sector to focus LOW DEMAND; HIGH on- unless further clarity can be provided. GROWTH

1/2

1/1

NO

23

Surveyors

77%

VERY HIGH- Consistently shown as in high demand across sources; Pipeline Issues

HIGH DEMAND 2025; NO HIGH GROWTH

2/2

YES

24

Civil engineers

71%

HIGH- But not due to housing sector

MEDIUM DEMAND 2025

NO

1/1

YES

26

Other professional & technical staff (construction)

25%

VERY HIGH- dependent on occupation.

VERY HIGH DEMAND 5/21 2025; HIGH GROWTH

5/21

YES


6. Conclusion

The list of OG priorities (See table 6) was adopted in July 2026 for the CTEC Sub-regional leads to take forward as working groups, and guidance notes were produced on each OG, using evidence gathered as part of this work. Heritage Skills was adopted as a cross-cutting priority, given demand being concentrated in London, and the opportune alignment of the CTEC programme with prominent project pipelines (R+R project, Crown Estate etc.).

Similarly, the selected OG’s include many “green10” occupations, fundamental for the Net Zero transition, buildings decarbonization and retrofit roll-out, so this is an inherent cross-cutting theme being adopted, in complementarity with the work of the CETEC. Table 6: Final London CTEC Priorities Table Heritage Green PRIORITY OCCUPATIONAL GROUP (OG) H

GNE

Construction trades supervisors

H

GES

Electrical installation trades

H

GES

Plumbing and HVAC trades

H

GES

Roofers

H

GID

Floorers and wall tilers

H

GID

Steel erectors and metal workers

H

GES

Surveyors

H

GID

Other professional & technical staff (construction)

POTENTIAL PRIORITY OCCUPATIONAL GROUP (OG) H

GID

H

Carpenters and joiners Bricklayers and masons

NEXT STEPS Understand role TP/ FE can play in this OG before deciding if should be taken forward GNE: Retrofit Site Supervision (eg. Retrofit - NOCN) ETCA led by ECA and Barnet+ Southgate College; Established in June 2026. Critical to Net Zero, and Data Centres competing for skills; Note: CETEC collaboration Take forward with NFRC and other stakeholders; Note: Solar overlap Take forward with CFA and other stakeholders, subject to TP’s interest in attempting to address the issues, which centre around attraction. Take forward; Of the 6 occupations in this group, take forward only: -Welding trades -Steel erectors Other occupations in this group fall outside of the Construction sector mostly. Take forward with RICS and other stakeholders; Understand bottlenecks in feeder pathways Take forward the following occupations only: -Mechanical engineers -Electrical engineers - Engineering technicians + CTEC to consider inclusion of “Building and Civil Engineering Technicians”Following GLA Construction Pilot Priorities Annex A, released September 2026. NEXT STEPS If capacity allows and if re-prioritized, take forward. A lot of work has been done previously. Note: Formwork carpenters included in this group. Note: Key sector for Heritage work. If capacity allows and if re-prioritized, take forward. Note: Key sector for Heritage work.

Plant operatives

Advocate for CPA to undertake updated skills report (Most recent from 2017)

Plant mechanics/fitters

Advocate for CPA to undertake updated skills report (Most recent from 2017)

Groundworkers

If capacity allows and if re-prioritized, take forward. Understand changes to CISRS training regulations, and whether this creates opportunities for new TPs [About training]; Note: Key enabler for Heritage work. Request breakdown from CITB to understand if this can be taken forward or if the group is too general

Enabling

GID

Scaffolders

H

GID

Other construction and building trades Civil engineers

If capacity allows and if re-prioritized, take forward.

10 Referencing the Green Skills Adult Education Provision in London.pdf categories of “Green Enhanced Skills (GES)”, “Green Increased Demand (GID)” and “Green New and Emerging (GNE)”.

13


A supporting package of information was produced by the CTEC for project team, which includes: • • • • • •

Document 1: London CTEC Occupational Groups Skills Demand Reference Map (1-Pager- A3) Document 2: London CTEC Occupational Groups Skills Demand table (13-Page Table- A4) Document 3: London CTEC Skills Demand Data (Excel document) Document 4: Skills Demand Sources Folder- (Pdfs of Reports/ Data) Document 5: List of careers initiatives within Sector skills plans Document 6: Map of Relevant Skills Plans recommendations against CTEC objectives

Appendix 1: Sources List

Construction and Built Environment Skills Demand (CITB Scope definition) Sources include: •

• •

CITB6 Workforce Outlook, 2026-2030, Greater London data, which covers Housing, Non-Housing and Infrastructure (Water, Sewerage, Electricity, Gas, communications, air transport, railways, harbours, roads) Sectors, across 28 Occupation groups. Skills for a Sustainable Skyline Taskforce Labour Analysis7 (CLF Sub-region),2023- the number of person years required to produce £1m of output. UK Trade Skills Index (Check-a-Trade), 20248

London Housing Sector Skills Demand9 Sources include: • • • •

CBRE Housing Pipeline10, based on Glenigan Projects Data, 2025. Home Builders Federation11 skills gaps analysis, 2025. Housing Forum, Skills Shortage Report, 202412 London Homes Coalition Skills Plan13, (whose pipeline represents about 10% of the overall construction workforce in London), 2024.

Engineering and building Services Sector Skills Demand (EBSSA Scope definition) Sources include: • • • • • • •

14

Engineering & Building Services Skills Alliance (EBSSA) Skills Plan, 202614: 28% of the Built Environment workforce. [Covers 37 Occupational Groups within EBSSA sectors] Electrical Trades and Installation: Electrical Contractors Association (ECA) skills reports15 Lift and Escalator Industry Association (LEIA)- Lift Careers16 Building Engineers Services Association (BESA17)- Skills Advisory Service18 The Chartered Institution of Building Services Engineers (CIBSE)- Skills Conference May 2026 Federation of Environmental Trade Associations (FETA)- To note only, as they are part of EBSSA CIPHE19 2025-27 Manifesto; Plumbing Employers’ Group; Skills Index20


Individual Sector Body Skills Demand:

Sector Body/ “Occupational Group” Sources Include: • • • • • • • • • • • • • •

Senior, Manager and Supervisor: CIOB (Chartered Institute of Building) skills report21 Plant (Mechanics/fitters and Operatives): Construction Plant-hire Association (CPA)22 Building Envelope: Installation Assurance Authority23 Scaffolding: Scaffolding Association with AITS24, NASC25 Skills Report 2026; Lee Marley26 Surveying: RICS (Royal Institution of Chartered Surveyors) Surveying Skills report, 2025. 27 Civil Engineering Operatives: Civil Engineering Contractors Association (CECA) Report, representing 80% of civil engineering work in the UK28 Civil Engineers: Institute of Civil Engineers29 Floorers: Contract Flooring Association (CFA30) Glaziers: GGF31 Painters and Decorators: Painting and Decorating Association, #Careersincolour Campaign Roofers: National Federation of Roofing Contractors (NFRC), Confederation of Roofing Contractors (CORC), Association of Master Roofers (AMR); Research32, Publications33, State of Industry34 Wood Trades and Interior Fit-out: BWF35, BWF Skills Forum36, Institute to Carpenters (IOC); Finishes and Interiors Sector (FIS) Skills Board Minutes37 Brick: The Association of Brickwork Contractors (AofBC38), Masonry Association of Great Britain (MAGB), National Masonry Academy39 Steel erectors / structural fabrication: BCSA40

Cross-cutting Sources Include: • Heritage: Historic England Skills Report41, 2024. • Heritage: Historic England, Net Zero Report42, 2023: • Retrofit: Retrofit Skills demand (In line with Warm Homes Plan, Warmer Homes London, National Retrofit Hub) Relevant Intersecting Other Skills Demand:

Competing Skills Demands Sources: • • • •

Data-centres demand43: “Data centre projects require specialist skill sets, especially within project management teams, general contractors and MEP contractors.” Acceleration of electrification/ grid-related electrical demand- National Grid Skills plan, 202544 NISTA Infrastructure Pipeline data, 202645 GLA London Infrastructure Framework46 Action 7 “Cultivate the skills and supply chains to deliver infrastructure” including by setting target by 2028 to “Improve visibility of future demand of the infrastructure pipeline and the skills required to deliver it across the value chain.”

Other Sources: • • •

ONS (Construction workforce trends; Sector workforce trends/ estimations-TBC) GLA Economics (Mapping of green vacancies; Other relevant data) MI data through platforms like Lightcast (TBC)

15


Exclusions: • • •

Water, Sewerage, Electricity, Gas, communications, air transport, railways, harbours and roads additional research (Except for where already included in CITB data, or where relevant to occupational pathway work) Any sector that is primarily delivered by Higher Education- eg. Architecture (No available pathways in the FE Sector) ECITB1 Sectors: Chemicals, Oil and Gas, Food and drink processing, water treatment, power generation, nuclear, renewables, offshore wind, pharmaceuticals hydrogen, carbon capture, as these sectors are out of scope. Note: Government Consultation1 to join ECITB and CITB.

Priority Occupation Lists • • •

Skills Shortage Visa1 Clean Energy Industries Home Building

References:

1 2 3 4 5 6

p. 38-41)

As per https://www.citb.co.uk/cwo/reports/cwo_explained.pdf Skilled Worker visa: temporary shortage list - GOV.UK LSIP sector skills analysis (2025) - London Datastore https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/skilled-worker-visa-temporary-shortage-list/skilled-worker-visa-temporary-shortage-list https://www.gov.uk/government/publications/assessment-of-priority-skills-to-2030 Construction Workforce Outlook, Labour Market Intelligence Report 2025–2029, England, CITB and Oxford Economics [Greater London,

7

Skills for a Sustainable Skyline Taskforce Labour Analysis; Annex: skills-for-a-sustainable-skyline-taskforce-labour-analysis-technical-

8 9 10 11 12 13 14

Trade Skills Index 2024, Check-a-Trade Report.

annex.pdf

As per DLUHC definition of Net Additional housing, including new housing and conversions etc. London Borough by Borough 2025, CBRE Residential UK, 2025, Housing Pipeline data, p.8. A Hard Hat to Fill, Home Builders Federation, 2025 (Skills estimates per 10,000 additional homes) THF-FN-Skills-Shortage-Report-September-2024.pdf LONDON HOMES COALITION

“E&BS covers the design, installation, commissioning, maintenance and repair of systems essential to building/ infrastructure performance and safety. These include: Electrical power and lighting Heating, ventilation, air conditioning and refrigeration (HVACR) Plumbing and water systems Fire detection and suppression Security and access control Building controls and automation Thermal insulation Lifts, escalators and specialist mechanical systems Network cabling and digital infrastructure” Source: FINAL: EBSSA Sector Skills Plan

15

Skills for the Future; Recharging Electrical Skills Charter 2023, Electrical Skills Index 2026 (Apprenticeship starts 23/24, Course Enrolments 23/24, overall ranking out of 543); ECA-LSIP-Report-Summary.pdf; ECA-Blueprint-Report_0425.pdf

16 17 18 19 20 21 16

https://liftcareers.co.uk/ Skills & Training Hub | BESA Skills Advisory Service | BESA Academy | BESA ciphe.org.uk/campaigns/our-2025-2027-manifesto/ Demand for plumbers set to soar as trade sector vacancies hit record highs Mind the Gap Future skills mapping, CIOB (Chartered Institute of Building), 2024.


22

Skills & Employment Toolkit - Construction Plant‑hire Association (CPA) | UK Plant‑Hire Industry Leader; Most Recent plant hire skills report (2017); Half-Built Britain: Unlocking the nation’s infrastructure growth plans

23 24 25 26 27 28 29 30 31 32 33 34 35 36 37 38 39 40 41 42

Career Pathways | IAA CS - The Installation Assurance Authority Commercial Services AITS – Scaffolding Association Training NASC warns of major scaffolding skills gap Consultations with Sara Calvo, Scaffold Training Manager, Lee Marley, March 2026. Surveying skills report 2025: an exploration of skills shortages in the surveying profession The Civil Engineering Contractors Association (CECA); Skilled Ground Worker Shortage in UK Construction The Institution of Civil Engineers Future Fitters Campaign Training HUB; GGF Skilled Pathways Scheme NFRC NFRC Future (P)roof Research (Full) NFRC Roofing Sector Voices Shape Key Small Business Reform Recommendations NFRC State of Roofing Industry Report–Spring 2025 Available Now British Woodworking Federation BWF WITForum | Skills & Training by the BWF Woodworking Forum Skills Board - FIS Skills & Education – Association of Brickwork Contractors; Membership has over 200 apprentices per year National Masonry Academy Careers in Constructional Steelwork | BCSA Skills Needs Analysis, 2024

Delivering Net Zero for England’s Historic Buildings: Local Data on the Demand for Retrofitting Skills and Economic Growth | Historic England

43

“The UK’s data centre market growth is driven by the increasing demand for AI and cloud computing. The current DC capacity stands at approximately 1.7 GW, with projections indicating a rise to 4 GW across 21.5 million sq. ft. in the coming years. London leads the upcoming data centre market in the UK with over 60% of the total power capacity.”; DC Construction Bottlenecks;

44 45 46 47 48 49

National Grid Skills Plan 2025 Skills, Skills Pipeline Data, NISTA, 2026. And https://pipeline.nista.grid.civilservice.gov.uk/assets/skills_methodology.pdf London Infrastructure Framework | London City Hall Labour Forecasting Tool - ECITB Government launches consultation on ECITB and CITB forming a single body Skilled Worker visa: temporary shortage list - GOV.UK

17


Published October 2026

New City College - Construction Technical Excellence College (CTEC) Building Greater London’s construction workforce of the future ncclondon.ac.uk


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