6ﻣــﺎﺭﺱ 2012
ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﻓﺮﻭﻧﺸﺴﺘﻦ ﺍﻟﺘﻬﺎﺏ »ﺑﻬﺎﺭ ﻋﺮﺏ« ﺩﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ،ﻛﻪ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻴﻢ ﺩﺧﺎﻟﺖ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ،ﻫﻨﺪ ﻭ ﭼﻴﻦ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻮﺍﺿﻊ ﺍﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎﺭﻯ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻭ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﺑﻮﺩ ،ﻏﺮﺏ ﺑﻪ ﻧﺎﭼﺎﺭ ،ﺩﺳﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻘﺐﻧﺸﻴﻨﻰ ﮔﺎﻡ ﺑﻪ ﮔﺎﻡ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻮﺍﺿﻊ ﻣﻌﻤﻮﻝ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺯﺩﻩ .ﺑﺎﺯﺗﺎﺏ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻋﻘﺐﻧﺸــﻴﻨﻰ ﺭﺍ ﻧﺨﺴــﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺨﻨﺮﺍﻧﻰ
ﺑــﺎﺭﺍﻙ ﺍﻭﺑﺎﻣــﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺤﻔﻞ »ﺁﻳﭙــﻚ« ﻣﻰﺑﻴﻨﻴــﻢ .ﺍﻭﺑﺎﻣﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻧﺸﺴــﺖ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻭﺳﺘﻰ 60ﺳﺎﻟﺔ ﻣﻠﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻭ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺳﺨﻦ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ؛ ﺍﺯ ﺗﻌﻬﺪﺍﺕ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺣﻔﻆ ﺍﻣﻨﻴﺖ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻣﺴــﺘﻤﻌﻴﻦ ﺣﻜﺎﻳﺖ ﮔﻔﺖ؛ ﺍﺯ ﺗﻼﺵﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺩﺳﺘﻴﺎﺑﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻠﺢ »ﻗﺼﻪﻫﺎ« ﻧﻘﻞ ﻛﺮﺩ؛ ﺍﺯ ﺑﻪ ﺍﺻﻄﻼﺡ »ﺗﻬﺪﻳﺪ« ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﻰ ﺑﺮ ﻋﻠﻴﻪ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺩﺍﺳﺘﺎﻥ ﺳﺮ ﻫﻢ ﻧﻤﻮﺩ ،ﺍﻳﻨﻬﻤﻪ ﻓﻘﻂ ﻭ ﻓﻘﻂ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺁﻧﻜﻪ ﺩﺭ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺑﮕﻮﻳﺪ: »ﻣــﺎ ﭘﻴــﺶ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳــﻦ ﻧﻴــﺰ ﺩﺭ ﺟﺮﻳــﺎﻥ ﭼﻨﻴــﻦ ﻣﻮﻗﻌﻴﺖﻫــﺎﻯ ﭼﺎﻟﺶﺑﺮﺍﻧﮕﻴــﺰﻯ ﻗــﺮﺍﺭ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﺑﻮﺩﻳﻢ ،ﻭ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻭ ﺍﺳــﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺩﺭ ﻧﻬﺎﻳــﺖ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴــﺘﻨﺪ ﺑﺎ ﻳﻜﺪﻳﮕﺮ ﻛﻨــﺎﺭ ﺁﻣﺪﻩ ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻛﻨــﺎﺭ ﻫﻢ ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﺑﻤﺎﻧﻨﺪ«.
ﺍﻣﻴﺪﻭﺍﺭﻳﻢ ﺑﺎﺭﺍﻙ ﺍﻭﺑﺎﻣــﺎ ﻭ ﺑﻨﻴﺎﻣﻴﻦ ﻧﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎﻫﻮ ﺑﻪ ﭘﺎﻯ ﻫﻢ »ﭘﻴﺮ« ﺷــﻮﻧﺪ .ﺑــﺎﺭﻯ ،ﺍﻭﺑﺎﻣــﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷــﻰ ﺍﺳــﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﻨﮓﻃﻠﺒﺎﻧﺔ ﻭﺍﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ،ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻯﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻗﺎﻋﺪﺗﺎً ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺴــﺖ ﺯﻣﻴﻨﺔ ﺗﻨﺶ ،ﺟﻨﮓ ﻭ ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﮔﺴــﺘﺮﺩﻩﺗﺮ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺧﺎﻭﺭﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ ﻓﺮﺍﻫﻢ ﺁﻭﺭﺩﻩ ،ﻭ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺣﻖ »ﺟﻨﮓﺍﻓﺮﻭﺯﻯ« ﺗﺄﻣﻴﻦ ﻛﻨﺪ ،ﺑﺎﻻﺟﺒﺎﺭ ﻳﻚ ﮔﺎﻡ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻘﺐ ﭘﺮﻳﺪﻩ .ﺍﻣﺮﻭﺯ ﻛﺎﺭ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ »ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ـ ﺗﻞﺁﻭﻳﻮ« ﺑﺠﺎﺋﻰ ﺭﺳﻴﺪﻩ ﻛﻪ »ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﻣﺎﻧﺪﻥﺷﺎﻥ« ﺩﺭ ﻛﻨﺎﺭ ﻳﻜﺪﻳﮕﺮ ﺩﺭ ﮔﺮﻭ ﺗﺮﻙ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻳﭙﻠﻤﺎﺳﻰ »ﺟﻨﮓﺍﻓﺮﻭﺯﻯ« ﺍﺳــﺖ! ﺧﻼﺻــﺔ ﻛﻼﻡ ،ﺍﻳــﻦ ﺩﻳﭙﻠﻤﺎﺳــﻰ ﻧﻔﺮﺕﺍﻧﮕﻴﺰ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺩﻭﺭﺍﻥ ﺑﺤــﺮﺍﻥ ﻛﺎﻧﺎﻝ ﺳــﻮﺋﺰ ،ﻭ »ﺟﻨﮓﻫــﺎﻯ« ﻧﺎﺻﺮ ﺑﺎ ﺍﺭﺗﺶ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﻧﺎﻥﺁﻭﺭ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ، ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺦ ﻣﺼﺮﻑﺍﺵ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺍﺣﺖ ﺑﻪ ﭘﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﺭﺳﻴﺪﻩ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ
ﺩﺭ ﻓﺮﺻﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ ﺍﺳــﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﻣﺴــﻠﻤﺎً ﺩﺭ ﭼﺎﺭﭼﻮﺏ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ ﻧﻮﻳﻦ ﻣﻨﻄﻘــﻪﺍﻯ ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﺍﺗــﻼﻑ ﻭﻗﺖ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺁﻣﺎﺩﺓ ﺻﻠﺢ ﺑﺎ ﻫﻤﺴــﺎﻳﮕﺎﻥ ﺧﻮﺍﻫــﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ .ﭘﺮ ﻭﺍﺿﺢ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻛــﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺍﺯﺍء ﺗﺄﻣﻴــﻦ ﺍﻳﻦ »ﺻﻠﺢ« ﺍﺟﺒﺎﺭﻯ ﻗﺴــﻤﺖ ﻋﻤــﺪﻩﺍﻯ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻨﺎﻓﻊ ﻭﺍﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ،ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﻭ ﺗﻞﺁﻭﻳﻮ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ» .ﻏﻢ ﻭ ﻏﺼﺔ« ﺁﺷﻜﺎﺭ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻴﻤﺎﻯ ﺑﻨﻴﺎﻣﻴﻦ ﻧﺘﺎﻧﻴﺎﻫﻮ ،ﻧﺨﺴﺖﻭﺯﻳﺮ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﺋﻰ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺍﺳﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺩﺭ ﺩﻳﺪﺍﺭ ﺍﺧﻴﺮﺵ ﺑﺎ ﺑﺎﺭﺍﻙﺍﻭﺑﺎﻣﺎ ﺭﻳﺸﻪ ﺩﺭ »ﺻﻠﺢ« ﺩﺍﺭﺩ! ﺣــﺎﻝ ﺍﮔﺮ ﺑــﻪ ﺳــﻨﺎﺭﻳﻮﻯ ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷــﻰ ﺍﺳــﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﻏــﺮﺏ ﺩﺭ ﺳــﻮﺭﻳﻪ ،ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺏ ﻛﻢﺩﺭﺩﺳــﺮ ﭘﻮﺗﻴﻦ ﺑﻪ ﻣﻘﺎﻡ ﺭﻳﺎﺳــﺖ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭﻯ ﻓﺪﺭﺍﺳــﻴﻮﻥ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﺭﺍ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺍﺿﺎﻓﻪ ﻛﻨﻴﻢ ،ﻗﻮﺯﻯ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎﻻﻯ ﻗــﻮﺯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺭﻓﺖ .ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﻭﺍﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻧﻴﻚ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﻧﺴــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﭘﻮﺗﻴــﻦ ﺑﺎﺭ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ »ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺏ« ﻣﻰﺷــﻮﺩ؛ ﻣﺴــﺌﻠﻪ ﺍﻳــﻦ ﺑﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻜﻴــﻪ ﺑﺮ ﻫﻴﺎﻫﻮ ،ﺍﻭﺑﺎﺵﺳــﺎﻻﺭﻯ ﻭ ﺯﻭﺯﻩ ﻭ ﻋﺮﺑﺪﺓ »ﺁﺯﺍﺩﻳﺨﻮﺍﻫﺎﻧﺔ« ﺍﻧﻘﻼﺑﻰﻫــﺎﻯ ﺣﺮﻓﻪﺍﻯ ،ﻏﺮﺏ ﺗﺎ ﻛﺠــﺎ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ،ﻫﻢ ﺍﻳﻦ ﭘﻴﺮﻭﺯﻯ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻳﻨــﺔ ﺭﺳــﺎﻧﻪﻫﺎ »ﻣﺨــﺪﻭﺵ« ﻭﺍﻧﻤﻮﺩ ﻛﻨــﺪ ،ﻭ ﻫﻢ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﻭﺍﺭﺩ ﺁﻭﺭﺩﻥ ﺿﺮﺑﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ »ﻛﺎﺭﻯ« ﺗــﺎ ﭼﻪ ﺣﺪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺍﺯ ﮔﺮﻭﻩ ﻭﻻﺩﻳﻤﻴﺮ ﭘﻮﺗﻴﻦ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺑﻬﻴﻨﻪ ﻛﺮﺩﻥ ﺍﺳﺘﺮﺍﺗﮋﻯﻫﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪ »ﺑﺎﺝﮔﻴﺮﻯ« ﻛﻨﺪ .ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺳﺖ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻭﺍﻗﻌﻰ »ﺁﺯﺍﺩﻳﺨﻮﺍﻫﻰ« ﻳﺎﻧﻜﻰﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ .ﺍﮔﺮ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻭﺍﻗﻌﺎً ﺧﻮﺍﺳﺘﺎﺭ ﺑﺮﻗﺮﺍﺭﻯ ﺭﻭﺍﺑﻂ »ﺩﻣﻜﺮﺍﺗﻴﻚﺗﺮﻯ« ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﻣﻰﺑﻮﺩ ،ﺍﻣﻜﺎﻥ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺩﺭ ﺟﺒﻬﻪﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺮﺍﺗﺐ ﺳﺎﺯﻧﺪﻩﺗﺮ ﻭ ﺳﺮﻧﻮﺷﺖﺳﺎﺯﺗﺮ ﺍﺯ »ﺧﻴﺎﺑﺎﻥ« ﺭﺍ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ .ﻭﻟﻰ ﮔﺮﺑﻪ ﺭﻗﺼﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﺎ ﺗﻮﺳــﻞ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻣﺜﺎﻝ ﻛﺎﺳﭙﺎﺭﻭﻑ ،ﺩﺭ ﻣﻘﺎﺑﻞ ﺩﻳﺎﻓﺮﺍﮔﻢ ﺩﻭﺭﺑﻴﻦﻫﺎ ،ﻭ ﺍﺭﺍﺋﺔ ﺗﺼﻮﻳﺮ »ﻣﺨﺎﻟﻒ ﭘﻮﺗﻴﻦ« ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﺸــﺎﻥ ﻓﻘﻂ ﺑﺎﻋﺚ ﺍﻧﺒﺴﺎﻁ ﺧﺎﻃﺮ ﺗﻤﺎﺷﺎﭼﻴﺎﻥ ﺷﺒﻜﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺗﻠﻮﻳﺰﻳﻮﻧﻰ ﺷﺪ. ﺧﻼﺻﻪ ﺁﻥ ﺟﻤﺎﻋﺖ ﺧﻮﺵﺑﺎﻭﺭﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻫﺮ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻰ ،ﻳﺎ ﻏﻴﺮ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻰ ،ﺍﺯ ﭘﻮﺗﻴﻦ ﺩﻝﺧﻮﺷﻰ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﻧﺪ ،ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﺳﺮﻣﺎﻯ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ،ﺑﺎﺗﻮﻡ ﻭ ﻛﺘﻚ ﻧﻮﺵﺟﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ ،ﺑﻰﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺩﻝﺷــﺎﻥ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ »ﻳﻨﮕﻪﺩﻧﻴﺎ« ﻣﻰﻃﭙﺪ .ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ ﺩﻝ ﻳﻨﮕﻪﺩﻧﻴﺎ ﺑﺎ ﺁﻥﻫﺎ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ؛ ﺩﺭ ﮔﺮﻭ ﺩﻻﺭﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻛﺘﻚﺧﻮﺭﺩﻥ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺁﻗﺎﻳﺎﻥ ﻭ ﺧﺎﻧﻢﻫﺎ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺑﻪ ﺟﻴﺐ ﺑﺰﻧﺪ! ﭘﺲ ﻧﻮﺵ ﺟﺎﻥﺷــﺎﻥ! ﺣﺎﻝ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻛﺘﻚ ﺭﺳﻴﺪﻳﻢ ﺑﺒﻴﻨﻴﻢ »ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ« ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﻛﺎﺭﺵ ﺑﻪ ﻛﺠﺎ ﻛﺸﻴﺪﻩ. ﺍﮔــﺮ ﺑﺎ ﭼﺸــﻢ »ﺑﻴﻨﺎ« ﺑــﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑــﺎﺕ ﺑﻨﮕﺮﻳــﻢ ،ﺁﻧﻘﺪﺭﻫﺎ ﻫﻢ ﺑﻰﺍﺭﺯﺵ ﻧﺒﻮﺩﻩ؛ ﺧﻴﻠﻰ ﭼﻴﺰﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻫﻴﺎﻫﻮ ﺑﻪ ﻭﻗﻮﻉ ﭘﻴﻮﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ
ﺩﺭ ﺷﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﻋﺎﺩﻯ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴــﺖ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺁﻳﺪ .ﻧﺨﺴﺖ ﺑﻰﺁﺑﺮﻭﺋﻰ ﻫﺮ ﭼﻪ ﺑﻴﺸــﺘﺮ ﺟﻨــﺎﺡ ﻣﺤﻤﺪ ﺧﺎﺗﻤﻰ ﻭ ﺩﺍﺭﻭﺩﺳــﺘﺔ ﺳــﺒﺰﻫﺎ ﺑﻮﺩ .ﺍﻳﻨﺎﻥ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺣﺴــﺎﺏ ﺧﻮﺩﺷــﺎﻥ ﻫﻢ »ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ« ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻧﺨﺴﺘﻴﻦ ﺑﺎﺭ ﻃﻰ ﺑﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ﺳﻪ ﺩﻫﻪ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﻓﺎﺷﻴﺴﻢ ﺩﻳﻨﻰ ﺑﺮ ﻛﺸــﻮﺭﻣﺎﻥ »ﺗﺤﺮﻳﻢ« ﻛﺮﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ ،ﻫﻢ ﺧﺎﺗﻤﻰ ﺭﺍ ﻓﺮﺳﺘﺎﺩﻧﺪ ﺩﻡ ﺻﻨﺪﻭﻕﻫﺎﻯ ﺭﺃﻯ ،ﻭ ﻫﻢ ﺩﺭ ﻋﻤﻞ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺩﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺑﻴﻦ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ »ﻣﺮﺩﻣﻰ« ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯﺷﺎﻥ ﺳﻴﻨﻪ ﻣﻰﺯﻧﻨﺪ ﺁﻧﻘﺪﺭﻫﺎ ﻃﺮﻓﺪﺍﺭ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﻧﺪ .ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ» ،ﻣﺮﺩﻡ ﻛﺬﺍ« ﺑﺎﺯ ﻫﻢ ﺷــﺮﻛﺖ ﻛﺮﺩﻧﺪ ،ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﻗﻮﻝ ﺭﻭﺯﻯﻧﺎﻣﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺘﻰ »ﺣﻤﺎﺳﻪ« ﺁﻓﺮﻳﺪﻧﺪ! ﺗﻮ ﮔﻮﺋــﻰ ﺍﺻ ً ﻼ ﺑﺮﻧﺎﻣﺔ »ﺟﻨﺒﺶﺳــﺒﺰ« ﻭ »ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻥ ﺍﻧﺤﺮﺍﻓﻰ« ﻭ »ﺟﺮﻳــﺎﻥ ﻓﺘﻨــﻪ« ﻭ ...ﺍﺯ ﺑﻴﺦﻭﺑــﻦ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻧﺪﺍﺷــﺘﻪ .ﻣﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﻴﻌﺎﺩ ﺑﻪ ﺳــﻬﻢ ﺧﻮﺩ ،ﺑﻪ ﺗﻤﺎﻣﻰ ﻭﺍﺑﺴــﺘﮕﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻧﺎﺕ »ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ« ﺗﺒﺮﻳﻚ ﻭ ﺗﺴﻠﻴﺖ ﻣﻰﮔﻮﺋﻴﻢ .ﺗﺒﺮﻳﻚ ،ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ﺑﺎﻻﺧﺮﻩ ﻧﺸــﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺩﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺑﻴﺖﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ ﻭ ﻭﻻﻳﺖ ﻣﻄﻠﻘﺔ ﻓﻘﻴﻪ ﻭﺍﺑﺴــﺘﻪﺍﻧﺪ؛ ﺗﺴــﻠﻴﺖ ﻫﻢ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺑﺎﺏ ﻛﻪ ﺩﻳﮕــﺮ ﺩﺭ ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻧﺎﺕ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﺓ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺟﺎﺋﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯﺷﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻧﻈﺮ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ .ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺑﺮﻭﻧــﺪ ﭘﻬﻠﻮﻯ »ﺧﺎﻭﺭﻯ« ﺩﺭ ﻳﺦﻫــﺎﻯ ﻛﺎﻧﺎﺩﺍ ﭼﺎﺩﺭ ﺑﺰﻧﻨﺪ ،ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﺧﺎﻧــﺔ »ﻣﻜﺶﻣﺮگﻣﺎﺋﻰ« ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﭘﻮﻝﻫﺎﻯ ﺩﺯﺩﻯ ﺧﺮﻳﺪﻩ ﺑﻪ ﭘﻴﺸﺨﺪﻣﺘﻰ ﻣﺸﻐﻮﻝ ﺷﻮﻧﺪ. ﺑــﺎ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻭﺟــﻮﺩ ،ﺍﻓﻼﺱ ﺑــﻪ ﺩﺍﺭﻭﺩﺳــﺘﺔ ﺍﺻﻼﺡﻃﻠﺐ ﻣﺤﺪﻭﺩ ﻧﻤﻰﺷــﻮﺩ! »ﺑﺮﻧﺪﮔﺎﻥ« ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﻛﺬﺍ ﻫــﻢ ﺣﻜﺎﻳﺖ »ﻋﻠﻰ ﺑﻴﭽﺎﺭﻩ« ﺭﺍ ﺗﺪﺍﻋﻰ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ» .ﻋﻠﻰ ﺑﻴﭽﺎﺭﻩ« ﺍﺯ ﺩﻭﺭ ﻗﺎﻓﻠﺔ ﺷﺘﺮ ﺩﻳــﺪ ﻭ ﺑﺲ ﺷــﺎﺩﻯ ﻛﺮﺩ؛ ﻧﮕﻮ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻧﻨﻪﻋﻠﻰ ﻳﻚ ﺧﻮﺍﺳــﺘﮕﺎﺭ »ﺑﭽﻪﺑﺎﺯ« ﺍﺯ ﺭﺍﻩ ﺭﺳــﻴﺪﻩ .ﺑﻠﻪ» ،ﺑﺮﻧﺪﮔﺎﻥ« ﺑﺪﺍﻧﻨﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺍﮔﺮ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺟﻤﻜﺮﺍﻥ ﻫﻴﭻ »ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻥ« ﺷــﻨﺎﺧﺘﻪ ﺷــﺪﻩﺍﻯ ﭘﺎﻯ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ »ﺩﻋﺎ ﻭ ﺛﻨﺎ« ﻧﮕﺬﺍﺷــﺖ ،ﺩﻟﻴﻠﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﻧﻴﺴﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ »ﻣﺠﻠﺴﻚ« ﺑﻰﺍﻋﺘﺒﺎﺭ ﻧﺘﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺑﺰﺭگ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ »ﭘﺘﻜﻰ« ﺷﻮﺩ ﻫﻮﻟﻨﺎﻙ ﻭ ﺑﺮ ﻣﻼﺝ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﺎﻥ ﻓﺮﻭﺩ ﺁﻳﺪ. ﺷﺎﻫﺪﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﺣﻀﺮﺕ ﺧﺎﻣﻨﻪﺍﻯ ﺁﻧﭽﻨﺎﻥ ﮔﻨﺪ ﻛﺎﺭﺷﺎﻥ ﺩﺭﺁﻣﺪﻩ ﻛﻪ ﺣﺘﻰ ﺧﻮﺩﺵ ﻫﻢ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺧﺎﻣﻨﻪﺍﻯ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ »ﺭﻫﺒﺮﻯ« ﻗﺒﻮﻝ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ .ﻫﻤﻪ ﭼﻴﺰ ﻇﺎﻫﺮﻯ ﺷــﺪﻩ ،ﻭ ﺩﺭ ﭘﺲ ﺻﺤﻨﻪﺳــﺎﺯﻯﻫﺎ
ﻭ ﺁﺭﺍﻳﺶﻫﺎﻯ ﺭﺳــﺎﻧﻪﺍﻯ ﮔﺮﻭﻩﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﺳــﻌﻰ ﺩﺍﺭﻧــﺪ ﭘﺪﻳﺪﻩﺍﻯ ﺑﻪ ﻧﺎﻡ »ﻗﺪﺭﺕ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﻰ« ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺑﻮﻕ ﺑﻴﺎﻧﺪﺍﺯﻧــﺪ .ﻭﻟﻰ »ﺑﺎﺯﻯ« ﻗــﺪﺭﺕ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﻰ ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻰ ﻣﻌﻨﺎ ﻭ ﻣﻔﻬﻮﻡ ﺩﺍﺷــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺭﺑﺎﺏ ﺍﺻﻠﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴــﺖ ﺍﺯ ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ﻫﻞﻣﻦﻣﺒﺎﺭﺯﻃﻠﺒﻰﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﺍﺳــﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺍﺯ ﺁﻥ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻤﻞ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ .ﺣﺎﻝ ﻛﻪ ﻭﺍﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﮔﺮﻩ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺎﺭﺵ ﺍﻓﺘﺎﺩﻩ ،ﺭﻧﮓﻭﺭﻭﻏﻦ ﺯﺩﻥ ﺑﻪ »ﻗﺎﻓﻠﺔ ﺷــﺘﺮ« ﻣﺸﻜﻞ »ﻋﻠﻰ« ﺭﺍ ﺣﻞ ﻧﻤﻰﻛﻨﺪ .ﺧﻮﺍﺳﺘﮕﺎﺭ »ﻧﻨﻪﻋﻠﻰ« ﺑﻪ ﻫﺮ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺍﺯ ﺭﺍﻩ ﻣﻰﺭﺳــﺪ ﻭ ﺍﻳﺸــﺎﻥ ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﺭﻭﻯ ﺳــﺮ ﺩﺍﻣﺎﺩ ﻭ ﻧﻨﻪﺷﺎﻥ ﻗﻨﺪ ﻫﻢ ﺑﺴﺎﺑﻨﺪ!
ﺑــﻪ ﺭﺍﻩ ﺍﻓﺘﺎﺩﻩ ﺭﻭﺑﺮﻭ ﺷــﻮﻧﺪ .ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺸــﻜﻞ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺗﺎ ﻣﺮﺣﻠﺔ ﻧﺎﺑﻮﺩﻯ ﺳــﺎﺧﺘﺎﺭﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﻛــﻪ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﻴﺖ ﺍﻳــﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﻃﻰ 80 ﺳــﺎﻝ ﮔﺬﺷــﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺁﻥﻫﺎ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﻛﺮﺩﻩﺍﻧﺪ ﭘﻴﺶ ﺭﻭﺩ .ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺳﺎﺧﺘﺎﺭﻫﺎ ﻳﺎﺩﮔﺎﺭ ﺑﺪﻩﺑﺴــﺘﺎﻥﻫﺎﻯ ﭘﺴﺎﺟﻨﮓ ﺍﻭﻝ ﺟﻬﺎﻧﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ. ﺩﺭ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﻣﻘﻄﻌﻰ ،ﺍﺭﺩﻭﻏﺎﻥ ﺑﺎ ﺧﻮﺍﻧﺪﻥ ﻧﻤﺎﺯ ﺟﻤﺎﻋﺖ ،ﻭ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺧﺎﻣﻨﻪﺍﻯ ﺑﺎ ﺯﺩﻥ »ﻧﻌﻞﻭﺍﺭﻭﻧﻪ« ﻭ ﺑﺴﺘﻦ »ﭼﻔﻴﺔ« ﻳﺎﺳﺮ ﻋﺮﻓﺎﺗﻰ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴــﺖ ﺳﺮ ﻭ ﺗﻪ ﻗﻀﻴﻪ ﺭﺍ ﻫﻢ ﺑﻴﺎﻭﺭﻧﺪ .ﻛﺎﺭ ﺑﻪ ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮﺍﺗﻰ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺸــﻴﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑــﻪ ﻣﺮﺍﺗﺐ ﺍﺯ ﻳﻚ ﻛﻮﺩﺗﺎﻯ ﺯﭘﺮﺗﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻗﻤﺎﺵ »ﺍﻧﻘﻼﺏ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ« ﻭ ﻳﺎ » 28ﻣﺮﺩﺍﺩ« ﻓﺮﺍﺗﺮ ﻣﻰﺭﻭﺩ.
ﺍﺯ ﺳــﻮﻯ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ،ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺏ ﭘﻮﺗﻴﻦ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ،ﺍﮔﺮ ﺍﺯ ﭘﻴﺶ ﻣﻌﻠﻮﻡ ﻭ ﻣﺸﺨﺺ ﺑﻮﺩ ،ﻫﻤﺎﻧﻄﻮﺭ ﻛﻪ ﮔﻔﺘﻴﻢ ﺑﺪﻭﻥ ﺩﻋﻮﺍ ﻭ ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﻣﻔﺼﻞ ﺧﻴﺎﺑﺎﻧﻰ ﺑﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭ ﺷــﺪ ،ﺩﺭ ﻧﺘﻴﺠــﻪ ،ﺍﻣﺘﻴﺎﺯﺍﺗﻰ ﻛﻪ ﻳﺎﻧﻜﻰﻫﺎ ﺍﺯ ﻗﺒﻞ ﻓﻌﺎﻟﻴﺖﻫﺎﻯ »ﺁﺯﺍﺩﻳﺨﻮﺍﻫﺎﻧﺔ« ﻋﻮﺍﻣﻞﺷﺎﻥ »ﺍﻧﺘﻈﺎﺭ« ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻨﺪ ﺗﺤﺼﻴﻞ ﻧﺸﺪ .ﻭ ﺑﺎﺯﺗﺎﺏ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ ﺑﻰﺳﺮﻭﺻﺪﺍ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺣﺎﻛﻤﺎﻥ ﻭﺍﺑﺴﺘﻪ ﺑﻪ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﻨﻮﺑﻰ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ،ﻳﻌﻨﻰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﺮ ﺩﺭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴــﻪ ﻭ ﺍﻳــﺮﺍﻥ ﻓﺎﺟﻌﻪﺑﺎﺭ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺑﻮﺩ .ﺍﮔﺮ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ،ﺑﺎ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺑﺮ ﺣﻤﺎﻳــﺖ ﺍﺭﺗﺶ ﻧﺎﺗﻮ ،ﺍﺯ ﺁﻏﺎﺯ ﻛﺎﺭ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﻗﻴﻢ »ﺍﻧﻘﻼﺏ ﺳــﻮﺭﻳﻪ« ﺟﺎ ﺯﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ ،ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﻰ ﻧﻌﻞ ﻭﺍﺭﻭﻧﻪ ﻣﻰﺯﺩ .ﺍﻳﻦ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺭﻭﺯﻯﻧﺎﻣﻪﻫﺎ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺣﺎﻣﻰ ﺑﺸــﺎﺭ ﺍﺳــﺪ ﻣﻌﺮﻓﻰ ﻣﻰﻧﻤﻮﺩ ،ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﺯﻳﺮﺟﻠﻜﻰ ﻻﺕﻭﭼﺎﻗﻮﻛﺶ ﺑﻪ ﺷــﻬﺮﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﺷﻮﺏﺯﺩﺓ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺍﻋﺰﺍﻡ ﻣﻰﺩﺍﺷــﺖ ﺗﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺗﻨﺶﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺟﺘﻤﺎﻋﻰ ﺩﺍﻣﻦ ﺑﺰﻧﺪ .ﻭﺍﻗﻌﻴﺖ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺨﻮﺍﻫﻴــﻢ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﺟﻤﻜﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨــﻮﺍﻥ ﻧﻪ ﻃﺮﻓﺪﺍﺭ ﺭژﻳﻢ ﻻﺋﻴﻚ ﺳــﻮﺭﻳﻪ ﺑــﻮﺩ ،ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴــﺖ ﺑــﺎ ﭼﻨﻴﻦ ﺭژﻳﻤﻰ ﻫﻢﺳــﺎﺯﻯ ﻭ ﻫﻤﻜﺎﺭﻯ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ.
ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﺩﺍﺩﻥ ﻳﻚ ﭼﺸــﻢﺍﻧﺪﺍﺯ ﻛﻠﻰ ﺍﺯ ﻣﺴــﺎﺋﻞ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﺓ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ،ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻫﻢ ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻥﻫﺎﻯ ﺩﺍﺧﻠﻰ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﺭﺍ ﺩﻧﺒــﺎﻝ ﻛﺮﺩ ،ﻭ ﻫﻢ ﺭﺍﻫﻜﺎﺭﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﺭﺍ ﺑﺮﺭﺳــﻰ ﻧﻤﻮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺍﻳﺎﻻﺕ ﻣﺘﺤﺪ ﺟﻬﺖ ﺣﻔﻆ ﺳــﻴﺎﺩﺕ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﺧﻮﺩ ،ﺩﺳﺖ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺳﺖ ﺍﺳــﺮﺍﺋﻴﻞ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺮﺣﻠﺔ ﺍﺟﺮﺍ ﺩﺭﻣﻰﺁﻭﺭﺩ .ﺑــﻪ ﻃﻮﺭ ﺧﻼﺻﻪ ،ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ ،ﻣﺸــﻜﻼﺕ ﺩﺭﻭﻥ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﺗﺎ ﺣﺪ ﺯﻳﺎﺩﻯ ﻣﺎﺩﻯ ﻭ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ ﺍﺳــﺖ ،ﻭ ﺩﻭﻟﺖ ﭘﻮﺗﻴﻦ ﺗــﺎ ﺯﻣﺎﻧﻴﻜﻪ ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﻧﻔﺖ ﺭﺍ ﺑــﻪ ﺑﻬﺎﻯ ﺑﺸــﻜﻪﺍﻯ ﺑﻴﺶ ﺍﺯ ﻳﻜﺼﺪ ﺩﻻﺭ ﺑﻪ ﺧﻴﻚ ﻋﻤﻮﺳــﺎﻡ ﺑﺴﺘﻪ ،ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴﺖ ﺍﺯ ﻃﺮﻳﻖ ﺻﺎﺩﺭﺍﺕ ﻣﻮﺍﺩ ﺧﺎﻡ ﻭ ﺑﺎﻻ ﺑﺮﺩﻥ ﺳــﻄﺢ ﺯﻧﺪﮔﻰ ﺗﻮﺩﻩﻫﺎ ،ﺩﺭ »ﻛﻮﺗﺎﻩ ﻣﺪﺕ« ﺑﺮ ﻣﺸــﻜﻼﺕ ﻓﺎﺋﻖ ﺁﻳﺪ .ﺍﻟﺒﺘﻪ ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ ﺍﻗﺘﺼﺎﺩﻯ »ﻣﻴﺎﻧﻤﺪﺕ« ﻭ »ﺩﺭﺍﺯﻣﺪﺕ« ﻣﺴﻠﻤﺎً ﻧﻴﺎﺯﻣﻨﺪ ﺭﺍﻫﻜﺎﺭﻫﺎﺋﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻣﺮﺍﺗﺐ ﭘﻴﭽﻴﺪﻩﺗﺮ ﺍﺳﺖ ،ﻭﻟﻰ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺤﺚ ﻣﺎ ﺟﺎﺋﻰ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ ،ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ ﻋﻤﺮ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﻭﺭﻩﻫﺎ ﻭﺻﺎﻝ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺩﺍﺩ .ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ »ﻧﻔﺖ ﮔﺮﺍﻧﻘﻴﻤﺖ« ﻭ ﺗﺰﺭﻳــﻖ ﺩﻻﺭﻫﺎﻯ ﻧﻔﺘﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﻣﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧــﺪ ﺣﺪﺍﻗﻞ ﺗﺎ ﻳﻚ ﺩﻫﺔ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﺍﺩﺍﻣﻪ ﻳﺎﺑﺪ ﻭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻓﺮﺻﺖ ﺭﺍ ﻣﺴــﻠﻤﺎً ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﺍﺯ ﺩﺳﺖ ﻧﻤﻰﺩﻫﺪ.
ﺣــﺎﻝ ﻛــﻪ ﺭژﻳﻢ »ﺑﻌﺚ« ﻫﻨﻮﺯ ﺑﺮ ﺳــﺮ ﻛﺎﺭ ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﻣﺎﻧــﺪﻩ ،ﻭ ﺣﺘﻰ ﺍﮔــﺮ ﺟﺎﻯ ﺧــﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﺭژﻳﻢ ﺩﻳﮕــﺮﻯ ﺑﺴــﭙﺎﺭﺩ ﺁﻟﺘﺮﻧﺎﺗﻴﻮﺵ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ »ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﮕﺮﺍ« ﻭ ﺭﻳﺶﻭﭘﺸــﻤﻰ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫــﺪ ﺑﻮﺩ ،ﺗﻜﻠﻴــﻒ ﺭژﻳﻢﻫﺎﻯ ﺗﺮﻛﻴــﻪ ﻭ ﺟﻤﻜﺮﺍﻥ ﻧﺎﻣﻌﻠﻮﻡ ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﻣﻰﻣﺎﻧﺪ .ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ ،ﭘﻮﺗﻴﻦ ﺑﺎﺭﻫﺎ ﻭ ﺑﺎﺭﻫﺎ ﺍﻋﻼﻡ ﺩﺍﺷــﺘﻪ ﻛــﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺣﻜﻮﻣﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺬﻫﺒﻰ ﻭ ﻣﺬﻫﺐﮔﺮﺍﺋﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻫﻴﭻ ﺻﻮﺭﺕ ﻣﻤﻜﻦ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻤﻞ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ .ﻭ ﺍﮔﺮ ﻃﻰ ﻫﻔﺘﻪﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﻳﻨﺪﻩ ،ﺗﻐﻴﻴﺮﻯ ﭼﺸﻢﮔﻴﺮ ﺩﺭ ﺩﻳﭙﻠﻤﺎﺳﻰ ﻭ ﺧﻂﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﭘﻴﺶ ﻧﻴﺎﻳﺪ ،ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﮕﺮﺍﻳﺎﻥ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎﺋــﻰ ﺩﺭ ﺁﻧﻜﺎﺭﺍ ﻭ ﺗﻬﺮﺍﻥ ﻣﺸــﻜﻞ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﺗﻮﺍﻧﺴــﺖ ﺑﺎ ﺑﺤﺮﺍﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺯﻳﺮﮔﻮﺵﺷﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻮﺭﻳﻪ
ﺩﺭ ﻧﺘﻴﺠــﻪ ،ﺩﺭ ﺍﺭﺗﺒﺎﻁ ﺑــﺎ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ،ﻳﻚ ﺍﺻــﻞ ﻏﻴﺮﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﺗﺮﺩﻳﺪ ﻣﻰﺷــﻮﺩ ﻭ ﺁﻥ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ،ﺳــﻴﺎﺩﺕ ﻣﻨﻄﻘﻪﺍﻯ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﺩﺭ ﻫﺮ ﮔﺎﻡ ﺍﻓﺰﺍﻳﺶ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻳﺎﻓﺖ ﻭ ﮔﺴﺘﺮﺵ »ﻫﮋﻣﻮﻧﻰ« ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﻨﻮﺑﻰﺍﺵ ﺑﺮ ﺭژﻳﻢﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺗﺄﺛﻴﺮ ﻣﺴــﺘﻘﻴﻢ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﮔﺬﺍﺷﺖ .ﻧﺨﺴﺘﻴﻦ »ﺗﺄﺛﻴﺮ« ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﭘﻴﺸﺘﺮ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻛﺮﺩﻳﻢ :ﻋﻘﺐ ﻧﺸﺴــﺘﻦ ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﮕﺮﺍﻳﺎﻥ ﻭ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻭﺍﺑﺴــﺘﮕﺎﻥ ﺑﻪ
ﻭﺍﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﺍﺯ ﻗﺪﺭﺕﻫﺎﻯ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﻭ ﺗﺸــﻜﻴﻼﺗﻰ .ﻭﻟﻰ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﻃﻰ ﺳــﺎﻝﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺧﻴﺮ ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺍﺣﺖ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﺩﺍﺩﻩ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﻣﻮﺿﻊﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﻣﺴﺘﻘﻴﻢ ﻭ »ﻣﺴﺌﻮﻻﻧﻪ« ﭘﻴﺮﺍﻣﻮﻥ ﻣﺴﺎﺋﻞ »ﺟﻬﺎﻥ ﺍﺳﻼﻡ« ﺑﻪ ﺷﺪﺕ ﺣﺬﺭ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﺪ ﻭ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺭﻭﺷﻦ ﺍﺳﺖ.
ﺑﺮ ﺻﻨﺪﻟﻰﻫﺎﻯ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺟﻤﻜﺮﺍﻥ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﺯﺩ! ﻛﺴــﺎﻧﻴﻜﻪ ﻣﺴــﻠﻤﺎً ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺣﻔﻆ ﭼﻨﺪ ﺻﺒﺎﺡ »ﺁﻗﺎﺋﻰ ﺍﺳــﺘﻴﺠﺎﺭﻯ« ﺩﺳﺖ ﺑﻪ ﻫﺮ ﺧﻮﺩﻓﺮﻭﺧﺘﮕﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ ﻣﻰﺯﻧﻨﺪ .ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﺔ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ :ﺭﺳﻮﺍﺋﻰ ﻫﻤﻪ ﺟﺎﻧﺒﻪ!
ﺗﺠﺮﺑﺔ ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺨﻰ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﺍﺭﺗﺶ ﺳــﺮﺥ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻓﻐﺎﻧﺴﺘﺎﻥ ﺯﺧﻤﻰ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻨــﻮﺯ ﺍﻟﺘﻴﺎﻡ ﻧﻴﺎﻓﺘﻪ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﻫﻴﭻ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎﻯﺍﺵ ﺑﺎ ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﮕﺮﺍﻳﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻣﺒﺎﺣﺚ »ﺍﺳﻼﻡ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ« ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ .ﺑﻪ ﺻﺮﺍﺣﺖ ﺑﮕﻮﺋﻴﻢ ،ﺩﻟﻴﻠﻰ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺩﺭﮔﻴﺮﻯ ﻭﺟﻮﺩ ﻧﺪﺍﺭﺩ.
ﻭ ﺩﻗﻴﻘﺎً ﺑﻪ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﺍﺳــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ »ﻇﺎﻫﺮ« ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﺷــﻮﺭﺍﻯ ﺍﺳــﻼﻣﻰ ﺑﺮﺧﺎﺳــﺘﻪ ﺍﺯ »ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ« ﺍﺧﻴﺮ ،ﻋﻤ ً ﻼ ﻓﺎﻗﺪ ﻫﺮ ﮔﻮﻧﻪ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﺐ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﺷﻨﺎﺧﺘﻪ ﺷﺪﻩ ﺍﺯ ﻛﺎﺭ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻰﺁﻳﺪ؛ ﻧﻪ »ﺧﻂ ﺍﻣﺎﻡ« ﺩﺭ ﺁﻥ ﺩﻳﺪﻩ ﻣﻰﺷﻮﺩ ،ﻭ ﻧﻪ »ﺍﺻﻼﺡﻃﻠﺐ!« ﻧﻪ ﺟﻨﺎﺡ »ﺍﻧﺤﺮﺍﻓﻰ« ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ »ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ« ﻣﻨﺘﺨﺐ ﻣﻰﺑﻴﻨﻴﻢ ﻭ ﻧﻪ ﮔﺮﻭﻩ ﻣﻮﺳﻮﻡ ﺑﻪ »ﻓﺘﻨﻪ« ﺭﺍ! ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﻣﺸﺘﻰ ﺍﻓﺮﺍﺩ ﻓﺎﻗﺪ »ﺧﻂ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ« ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨــﻮﺍﻥ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﻣﻠﺖ ﺑﺮ ﺻﻨﺪﻟﻰﻫﺎ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﺯﺩ ،ﻭ ﺗﺘﻤﺔ ﻧﻴﺮﻭﻯ ﺍﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎﺭﻯ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺭﺍ ﺩﺭ ﺑﻮﻕﻫــﺎ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﺩﻣﻴﺪ .ﺑﻰﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻮﻕﻫﺎﻯ ﺍﺳــﺘﻌﻤﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ »ﺟﻤﺎﻋــﺖ« ﺑﻰﺧﺒﺮ ﺍﺯ ﻫﻤﻪ ﺟﺎ ﺗﺤﺖ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ »ﺍﺻﻮﻟﮕﺮﺍﻳﺎﻥ« ﻳﺎﺩ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ! ﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﭘﺮﺳﻴﺪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺧﺒﺮﮔﺰﺍﺭﻯﻫﺎ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺟﻤﺎﻋﺖ ﻧﺎﺷــﻨﺎﺧﺘﻪ ﻛﺪﺍﻡ »ﺍﺻﻮﻝ« ﺭﺍ ﺩﻳﺪﻩﺍﻧﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺻﻮﻟﮕﺮﺍ ﺧﻄﺎﺏﺷــﺎﻥ ﻣﻰﻛﻨﻨﺪ؟ ﺩﺭ ﺷــﺮﺍﻳﻂ ﻓﻌﻠﻰ، ﻭﺍﺑﺴــﺘﮕﻰ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻠﻰ ﺧﺎﻣﻨﻪﺍﻯ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﺍﺣﺪﻯ ﺁﺏ ﻭ ﻧﺎﻥ ﻧﺨﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺩﺍﺷﺖ؛ ﭼﺮﺍ ﻛﻪ ﺧﺎﻣﻨﻪﺍﻯ ﺧﻮﺩﺵ ﻫﻢ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ »ﺍﺻﻮﻟﮕﺮﺍ« ﻧﻴﺴﺖ!
ﺷﺎﻫﺪ ﺑﻮﺩﻳﻢ ﻛﻪ ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﻛﻮﺩﺗﺎﻯ ﻧﺎﻓﺮﺟﺎﻡ ﻣﻼﻣﻤﺪ ﺧﺎﺗﻤﻰ ،ﻛﻪ ﺗﺤﺖ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ »ﺍﺻﻼﺡﻃﻠﺒﻰ« ﺑﻪ ﺭﺍﻩ ﺍﻓﺘﺎﺩﻩ ﺑﻮﺩ ،ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﺑﺠﺎﻯ ﻧﻘﺶﭘﺬﻳﺮﻯ ﻓﻌﺎﻻﻧﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﺎﺭﻯ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ،ﺧــﻮﺩ ﺭﺍ ﺑﻪ ﻧﻈﺎﺭﻩﮔﺮ ﻋﻤﻠﻴﺎﺕ ﺍﻳﺬﺍﺋﻰ ﻳﺎﻧﻜﻰﻫﺎ ﺗﺒﺪﻳﻞ ﻛﺮﺩ .ﭘﺲ ﺍﺯ ﺷﻜﺴﺖ ﻛﻮﺩﺗﺎﻯ »ﺍﺻﻼﺡﻃﻠﺒﻰ«، ﺷــﺎﻫﺪ ﻟﺸﻜﺮﻛﺸﻰ ﻳﺎﻧﻜﻰﻫﺎ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻓﻐﺎﻧﺴــﺘﺎﻥ ﻭ ﻋﺮﺍﻕ ﺑﻮﺩﻳﻢ ،ﺑﻌﺪ ﻫﻢ ﺍﺣﻤﺪﻯﻧــﮋﺍﺩ ﺑﻪ ﻋﻨﻮﺍﻥ »ﺭﺋﻴﺲ ﺟﻤﻬﻮﺭ« ﺟﻤﻜﺮﺍﻥ ﺳــﺮﻭﻛﻠﻪﺍﺵ ﭘﻴﺪﺍ ﺷــﺪ؛ ﺑﺎﺯ ﻫﻢ ﺭﻭﺳــﻴﻪ ﻋﻜﺲﺍﻟﻌﻤﻠﻰ ﻧﺸﺎﻥ ﻧﺪﺍﺩ! ﺳﺮﻭﺻﺪﺍﻯ ﺍﺑﻠﻬﺎﻧﺔ »ﺳﺎﻳﻤﻮﻥ ﮔﺎﺱ« ﻭ ﺗﻼﺵ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻛﻮﺩﺗﺎﻯ ﺳﺒﺰ ﺗﻮﺳﻂ ﺑﺎﻧﺪ ﻣﻴﺮﺣﺴﻴﻦ ﻣﻮﺳﻮﻯ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺍﺯ ﺟﺎﻧﺐ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺑﻰﺗﻮﺟﻬﻰ ﻛﺎﻣﻞ ﺭﻭﺑﺮﻭ ﺷﺪ! ﻭ ﺍﻳﻨﻚ »ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺑﺎﺕ« ﻧﻤﺎﻳﺸــﻰ ﻣﺠﻠﺲ ﻧﻴﺰ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﮔﺮﺑﻪﺭﻗﺼﺎﻧﻰﻫﺎ ﺍﺿﺎﻓﻪ ﺷﺪﻩ، ﻭﻟﻰ ﺑﺎﺯ ﻫﻢ ﺍﺯ ﻃﺮﻑ ﻣﺴــﻜﻮ ﭘﺎﺳــﺦ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﺩﺭ ﻛﺎﺭ ﻧﻴﺴــﺖ .ﺍﻳﻦ ﺳــﻜﻮﺕ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻧﺪ ﺧﺎﺭﺝ ﺍﺯ ﻳﻚ ﺻﻮﺭﺗﺒﻨﺪﻯ ﻛﻠﻰ ﻗﺎﺑﻞ ﺗﺤﻠﻴﻞ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ، ﻭ ﺁﻥ ﺍﻳﻨﻜﻪ ،ﻛﺮﻣﻠﻴﻦ ﺩﺳــﺖ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﺖ ﺁﻣﺮﻳﻜﺎ ﺭﺍ ﺟﻬﺖ ﻻﺕﺑﺎﺯﻯ ﺑﺎﺯ ﮔﺬﺍﺷــﺘﻪ ،ﺑﻪ ﺍﻳﻦ ﺍﻣﻴﺪ ﻛﻪ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻟﻴﻞ ﻧﺒﻮﺩ ﭘﺸﺘﻮﺍﻧﺔ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻻﺯﻡ ،ﺍﻳﻦ ﺗﺤــﺮﻛﺎﺕ ﻓﻘﻂ ﻳﻚ ﻧﺘﻴﺠــﺔ ﻣﻠﻤﻮﺱ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺎﺭ ﺁﻭﺭﺩ ،ﺭﺳــﻮﺍﺋﻰ ﻫﺮ ﭼﻪ ﻭﺳــﻴﻊﺗﺮ ﻛﺎﻧﺎﻝﻫﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻴﺎﻥ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻧﻴــﺎﻥ .ﻭ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪﺍﻯ ﺍﺳﺖ ﻛﻪ ﺩﺭ ﺣﺎﻝ ﺣﺎﺿﺮ ﺩﺭ ﺑﺮﺍﺑﺮﻣﺎﻥ ﻗﺮﺍﺭ ﮔﺮﻓﺘﻪ. ﺭژﻳﻢ ﺍﺳﻼﻣﻰ ﺣﺎﻛﻢ ﺑﺮ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺑﻪ ﻃﻮﺭ ﻛﻠﻰ ﻣﺮﺩﻩ ،ﻭ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻫﻴﭻ ﺍﻣﻴﺪﻯ ﺑﻪ ﺑﺎﺯﻳﺎﺑﻰ ﺣﻴﺎﺕ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﻰ ﺁﻥ ﻧﻤﻰﺗﻮﺍﻥ ﺩﺍﺷــﺖ .ﺁﻥﻫﺎ ﻛﻪ ﻫﻤﭽﻮﻥ ﻣﺤﻤﺪ ﺧﺎﺗﻤﻰ ،ﺍﺣﻤﺪﻯﻧﮋﺍﺩ ﻭ ﺟﺮﻳﺎﻥ »ﺍﻧﺤﺮﺍﻓﻰ« ﻣﻨﺴﻮﺏ ﺑﻪ ﺍﻭ ،ﻭ ﺣﺘﻰ ﻣﻴﺮﺣﺴﻴﻦ ﻣﻮﺳﻮﻯ ﻭ »ﺧﻂﺍﻣﺎﻡ« ،ﻣﻰﺧﻮﺍﺳﺘﻨﺪ ﺗﺤﺖ ﺣﻤﺎﻳﺖ ﻛﺎﻧﺎﻝﻫﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺏ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻣﺮﺩﺓ ﺑﻰﺭﻭﺡ ﺭژﻳﻤﻰ ﺳﻴﺎﺳﻰ ﻭ ﺳﺮﺯﻧﺪﻩ ﺑﻴﺮﻭﻥ ﺑﻜﺸﻨﺪ ،ﻫﻤﮕﻰ ﭘﺎﻯﺷﺎﻥ ﺩﺭ ﭘﻮﺳﺖ ﮔﺮﺩﻭﻯ ﻫﻤﻴﻦ ﺭژﻳﻢ ﺑﻰﺩﺭﻭﭘﻴﻜﺮ ﻓﺮﻭﺍﻓﺘــﺎﺩ ﻭ ﺷﻜﺴــﺖ .ﺭﻫﺮﻭ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ ﺑﺎﻗﻰ ﻧﻤﺎﻧــﺪﻩ ،ﺟﺰ ﻧﻤﺎﻳﻨﺪﮔﺎﻥ ﺑﻰﻧﺎﻡ ﻭ ﻧﺸــﺎﻧﻰ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺎ ﺑــﻪ ﺍﺻﻄﻼﺡ »ﺁﺭﺍء ﻋﻤﻮﻣﻰ« ﺍﻧﺘﺨﺎﺏ ﺷــﺪﻩ ﻭ
ﺩﺭ ﭼﻨﻴــﻦ ﺷــﺮﺍﻳﻄﻰ ﺍﮔــﺮ ﻏﺮﺏ ﻓﻘــﻂ ﺑﺮ ﻫﻤﺎﻥ ﺷــﺎﺧﻚﻫﺎﻯ ﺳــﻨﺘﻰ ﺳﻴﺎﺳــﺖ ﺧﻮﺩ ﺩﺭ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﺗﻜﻴﻪ ﺩﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷﺪ ﻧﺘﻴﺠﻪ ﻛﺎﻣ ً ﻼ ﺭﻭﺷﻦ ﺍﺳــﺖ :ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷﻰ ﺗﺪﺭﻳﺠﻰ ﺳﻴﺎﺩﺕ ﻭﺍﺷﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻭ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﺩﺭ ﻣﻨﻄﻘــﺔ ﺧﺎﻭﺭﻣﻴﺎﻧﻪ! ﻓﺮﻭﭘﺎﺷــﻰﺍﻯ ﻛﻪ ﺍﺯ ﺍﻳﺮﺍﻥ ﻭ ﺗﺮﻛﻴﻪ ﺷــﺮﻭﻉ ﺷــﺪﻩ ﻭ ﺑﻪ ﺩﻳﮕﺮ ﻣﻨﺎﻃﻖ ﺳﺮﺍﻳﺖ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﻛﺮﺩ .ﺣﺎﻝ ﻳﻚ ﺳﺌﻮﺍﻝ ﻣﻄــﺮﺡ ﻣﻰﺷــﻮﺩ ،ﭘﺎﻳﺘﺨﺖﻫﺎﻯ ﻏﺮﺑﻰ ،ﺟﻬﺖ ﺣﻔﻆ ﺳــﻴﺎﺩﺕ ﺍﺳﺘﻌﻤﺎﺭﻯﺷﺎﻥ ﻛﺎﺭﺕﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﺪﻳﺪﻯ ﺭﻭﻯ ﻣﻴﺰ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﻨﺪ ﮔﺬﺍﺭﺩ ﻳﺎ ﺧﻴﺮ؟ ﺍﮔﺮ ﻟﻨﺪﻥ ﻭ ﻭﺍﺷــﻨﮕﺘﻦ ﻛﺎﺭﺕ ﺩﻳﮕﺮﻯ ﺩﺭ ﺩﺳﺖ ﻧﺪﺍﺷﺘﻪ ﺑﺎﺷــﻨﺪ ،ﻣﻰﺑﺎﻳﺪ ﻗﺒﻮﻝ ﻛﺮﺩ ﻛﻪ ﺑﺮﺍﻯ ﻧﺨﺴــﺘﻴﻦ ﺑﺎﺭ ﻃﻰ ﺗﺎﺭﻳﺦ ﻣﻮﺟﻮﺩﻳﺖ ﻛﺸــﻮﺭ ﺭﻭﺳﻴﻪ ،ﻣﺮﺯﻫﺎﻯ ﺟﻨﻮﺑﻰ ﺍﻳﻦ ﻛﺸﻮﺭ ﺑﻪ ﺭﻭﻯ ﻣﺴﻜﻮ ﺑﺎﺯ ﺧﻮﺍﻫﺪ ﺷﺪ.