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Figure 12: CO2 emissions Scenario 5

Scenario 5

No investment support, no reduction requirement in 2030

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Like Scenario 4, there is a limited uptake of alternative fuels in the period from 2021 to 2030 in Scenario 5. This results in limited CO2 reductions. The analysis estimates a CO2 emission reduction from 4080 ktonnes in 2020 to 3758 ktonnes in 2030. Comparing this with the reference value of 4440 ktonnes from 2005 [15], the decrease is approximately 15 %, far below the national ambitions of 50 % reduction by 2030 [18].

Figure 12: CO2 emissions Scenario 5

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