Indeks

Akurasi; 12, 13, 15, 17, 122, 134, 138, Analis; 2, 8, 9, 17, 18, 20, 21, 44, 60, 61, Analisis; 1, 2, 11, 12, 20, 62, 107, 116, 118, 121, 123, 132, 133, 134, 135 Analisis regresi; 107, 121, Asumsi klasik; 123 Biaya; 3, 6, 10, 14, 15, 18, 106, 110, 111, 113, 123, 125, 127, 128, 130, 138 Bisnis; 1, 2, 3, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 13, 16, 138 Bulanan; 11, 17, 22, 53, 78,79, 81, 82, Dependen; 107, 114, 115, 116, 117, 118, 120, 121, 122, 123, 128, 129, 130 Deret waktu; 18, 29, 34, 39, 44, 61, 63 Double exponential smoothing; 33, 38, 39, 40, 41, 42, 43, 44 Double moving average; 29, 30, 38 Ekonom; 2, 7, 8, 18, 61, 136, Estimasi; 4, 20, 44, 47, 54, 57, 63, 107, 108, 109, 121, 122, 123, 133 ExpertOpinions; 136 F hitung; 117, 118, 122, 124, 129, 130, Forecast; 23, 25, 29, 31, 35, 36, 37, 38, 42, 43, 44, 46, 51,

52, 54, 55, 56, 58, 59, 61, 65 Fluktuasi; 17, 18, 22, 61, 62, 100 Ganjil; 67, 68, 73, 84 Genap; 65, 68, 73, 74, 84, 97 Historical analogy; 136 Holt’s method of exponential smoothing; 34, 43, 44, 45, 46 Indeks; 54, 89, 90, 91, 92, 93, 97, 98, 100, 101, 103 Independent; 115, 116, 117, 118, 120, 121, 129, 130 Industri; 6, 7, 16, 133, 136 Informasi; 2, 3, 8, 13, 15, 22, 33, 59, 61, 134, 138 Jangka pendek; 3, 11, 16, 17, 22, 33 Jangka Panjang; 3, 11, 16, 17, 62, 100 Keputusan bisnis; 2, 6, 8, 9 Kesalahan baku; 109, 110, 111, 113, 114, 124, 128, Keuangan; 1, 6, 7, 16, 18,106 Kinerja; 1, 6, 8 Konstanta; 29, 31, 34, 38, 41, 43, 44, 45, 47, 49, 51, 54, 58, 59 Koefisien; 50, 55, 56, 72, 110, 118, 119, 122, 123, 124, 127, 128 Koefisien determinasi; 118, 119, 122, 123, 124, 127, 128 Korelasi; 119, 120, 123, 124, 128

Kepemimpinan; 8 Kualitatif; 13, 14, 15, 132, 133 Kuantitatif; 13, 14, 15, 107, 132, 133, 134, 138 Manajemen; 2, 6, 7, 8, 9, 10, 11, 12, 53, 106, 134 Manajer;2, 3, 6, 7, 8, 17, 106, 138 Mean absolut error (MAE); 26, 36, 43, 47, 51, 58, 59 Mean absolute percentage error (MAPE); 36, 43, 47, 51, 58, 59 Mean squared error (MSE); 26, 36, 43, 47, 51, 58, 59 Metode rata-rata total; 89, 90 Metode rata-rata sederhana; 89, 91 Metode persentase terhadap trend; 89 Metode persentase terhadap bergerak; 89 Metode kuadrat terkecil; 56, 72, 73, 74,76, 108 Metode setengah rata-rata; 64, 65, 67, 68, 69, 70 Musiman; 18, 21, 29, 47, 53, 54, 57, Naïve; 17, 18, 19, 20, 33 Nonlinear; 84 Observasi; 20, 56, 63, 68, 72, 73, 84, 107, 108, 122, 123 Objektif; 9, 15, 134 Panel consensus; 136 Pemasaran; 3, 7, 12, 106, 135 Pendapatan; 2, 3, 6, 7, 12, Perkiraan; 1, 3, 6, 7, 8, 11, 15, 17, 18, 20, 22, 29, 23, 34 Perencanaan; 1, 7, 8, 11 Produksi; 3, 4, 7, 11, 19, 22, 65, 67, 74, 106, 134, 138 Proyeksi; 3, 5, 6, 7, 9, 11, 51, 65 Presentase error (PE); 37

Regresi sederhana; 106, 107, 111 Regresi liner berganda; 121, 124 Single moving average; 22, 23 Single exponential smoothing; 33, 34, 35, 44 Standar error estimasi; 128 Survei pasar; 135 T hitung; 115, 116, 117, 122, 124, 130, Tahun dasar; 64, 65, 76, 78, 79, 80, 82, 83, 93 Teknik delphi; 15, 135 Time series; 60, 61 Triple exponential smoothing; 34, 47, 49, 51, 52 Trend moment; 76, 78, 79, 81 Trend linier; 29 Trend parabolic; 62, 84 Trial dan error; 34 Trend sekuler; 62 Trend exponential; 87, 88 Variasi musim; 21, 61, 89 Variasi siklis; 61, 89, 100, 102 Variasi random; 61, 89, 103, 104 Winters’ Weasonal Exponential smoothing; 34

TENTANG PENULIS

Rizky Yudaruddin, menamatkan pendidikan di Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Mulawarman Jurusan Manajemen. Mendapatkan gelar Magister Manajemen di Fakultas Ekonomi Universitas Mulawarman. Saat ini bekerja sebagai staf pengajar pada Fakultas Ekonomi dan Bisnis Universitas Mulawarman.

Penelitian yang telah dihasilkan antara lain (1) Sosial Ekonomi Wilayah Perbatasan di Kalimantan Timur: Upaya Meningkatkan Pembangunan Kawasan Strategis di Indonesia, disampaikan dalam Seminar Nasional Penguatan Kebijakan dan Penguatan Industri Nasional Menuju Percepatan dan Perluasan Ekonomi Indonesia yang berlangsung di Semarang, 30 Oktober 2010, (2) Kompetisi Industri Perbankan: Bukti Ologopoli Kolusif, disampaikan dalam acara The 1st Islamic Economic and Finance Research Forum, di Pekan Baru 21–22 November 2012, (3) Coal Mining Operations And Its Impact On Sectoral and Regional Area: An Evidence in East Kalimantan, Indonesia, dipresentasikan pada acara The 3nd ASEAN Consortium on Departement of Economic Conference (ACDEC) 2014 di Universitas Brawijaya, Malang, Indonesia, 4–6 Desember 2014. Ketigakarya ilmiah ini menjadi karya ilmiah terbaik (the best papers). Buku yang diterbitkannya antara lain Statistik Ekonomi Aplikasi dengan Program SPSS Versi 20 dan Riset Operasi: Aplikasi Praktis Menggunakan QM for Windows. Selain pengajar, penulis juga sebagai peneliti di Pusat Studi Perbatasan Universitas Mulawarman.