4th QTR 2023 Oahu Luxury Real Estate Update

Page 1

Aloha

and welcome to The Oahu Quarterly Luxury Market Report from List Sotheby’s International Realty, where we take a closer look at the most recent real estate activity here on Oahu. The Oahu luxury home market report is broken down into four singlefamily home categories and two condominium price segments. Single-family home sales for Q4 2023 priced from $2 to $3 million declined 20% compared to Q4 2022, with 32 homes sold in the fourth quarter of 2023 compared to 40 homes sold during the same period a year ago. Months’ supply of inventory increased 55.1% compared to last year, rising to 7.6 months in Q4 2023 from 4.9 months in Q4 2022. For single-family homes in the $3 to $5 million range, sales fell from 18 in Q4 2022 to 14 in Q4 2023, a decrease of 22.2% from the same time last year. Months’ supply of inventory increased 48.6% to 10.4 months from 7 months last year.

In the $5 to $10 million range, eight single-family homes sold in Q4 2023, up slightly from the seven homes sold during the same quarter last year. Months’ supply of inventory decreased 8% to 12.6 months from 13.7 months in Q4 2022. There were no single-family homes sold at or above $10 million in Q4 2023, which remained unchanged from Q4 2022. Months’ supply of inventory rose from 9.6 months in Q4 2022 to 20 months in Q4 2023. Condo sales in the $1 to $2.5 million range decreased 9.7% in Q4 2023 from Q4 2022, with 84 closed sales in the fourth quarter of 2023 versus 93 closed sales in the fourth quarter the year prior. Months’ supply of inventory increased slightly to 7.8 months from 7.5 months in Q4 2022. Fourteen condos priced at $2.5 million and higher sold in Q4 2023, a decrease of 22.2% compared to the eighteen sales in Q 2022. Months’ supply of inventory increased 53.6% compared to Q4 2022, to 16.9 months, from 11 months the same quarter last year. Continued on Page 2

FOREIGN INVESTMENT $1 - $2 MILLION

Source: Title Guaranty Hawaii, through September 2023.

2023

#

$

2022

#

$

2021

#

$

2020

#

JAPAN

34

$46,060,450

JAPAN

49

$65,003,850

JAPAN

64

$86,855,832

JAPAN

9

$14,331,133

KOREA

3

$4,809,000

KOREA

21

$28,081,200

CANADA

11

$14,210,150

KOREA

3

$3,689,000

CANADA

3

$3,680,400

CANADA

15

$20,052,650

KOREA

7

$10,389,250

HONG KONG

2

$3,030,000

NEW ZEALAND

1

$1,330,000

TAIWAN

3

$3,389,000

UNITED KINGDOM

6

$7,684,475

CANADA

1

$1,925,000

AMERICAN SAMOA

1

$1,275,000

GUAM

2

$2,315,000

SINGAPORE

5

$7,255,150

TAIWAN

1

$1,803,100

2023

#

$

2022

#

$

2021

#

$

2020

#

$

$

$2 MILLION +

JAPAN

18

$70,202,000

JAPAN

13

$40,011,000

JAPAN

19

$80,643,283

JAPAN

13

$48,241,333

KOREA

2

$5,200,000

KOREA

4

$15,750,000

KOREA

4

$20,150,000

CANADA

4

$11,755,000

TAIWAN

1

$3,000,000

HONG KONG

3

$8,613,600

CANADA

4

$14,175,200

SINGAPORE

2

$11,800,000

CHINA

2

$11,550,000

HONG KONG

2

$10,150,000

GUAM

2

$6,925,000

TAIWAN

1

$9,200,000

TAIWAN

1

$4,050,000

NEW ZEALAND

2

$5,800,000

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2024 ShowingTime.

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Continued from Page 1

Six condos sold at or above $5 million in Q4 2023, with five units at Park Lane and one unit at the Ocean Villas at Turtle Bay. The top sale was at $27,500,000 for a unit at Park Lane. Remember that every home and situation is unique. For guidance with your current or future home, visit listsothebysrealty.com and contact one of our experienced agents. That’s the Oahu Quarterly Luxury Market Report for this quarter. Check back soon for the latest.

Sign up for our monthly market newsletter and more at: www.ListSothebysRealty.com or www.ListHawaii-mls.com

OAHU LUXURY NEIGHBORHOOD DETAIL FOR SINGLE FAMILY HOMES

THROUGH FOURTH QUARTER 2023

Neighborhoods

Q-4 2023 Median Sales Price

Q-4 2022 Median Sales Price

Q-4 2021 Median Sales Price

Q-4 2020 Median Sales Price

Q-4 2019 Median Sales Price

Q-4 2018 Median Sales Price

Aina Haina Beach

--

--

$3,000,000

$1,225,000

--

$15,845,000

Beachside

$4,150,000

$4,185,000

$3,100,000

$2,450,000

$1,900,000

$1,964,000

Black Point

--

--

$4,150,000

$1,360,000

$4,025,000

--

$3,900,000

$4,022,500

$3,700,000

$3,612,500

$2,394,000

$2,628,500

Dowsett

$1,845,000

$1,405,000

$1,480,000

$2,177,631

$1,058,000

$1,900,000

Hawaii Loa Ridge

$3,055,000

$2,812,500

$2,850,000

$2,100,000

$2,380,000

$1,975,000

Hillcrest

$1,950,000

$1,475,000

$1,665,000

$1,175,000

$1,250,000

$1,162,500

Kahala Area

Diamond Head

$2,625,000

$3,417,500

$3,700,000

$2,575,000

$1,912,500

$2,375,000

Kakaako

--

--

--

--

--

$1,225,000

Kamehame Ridge

--

$1,500,000

$1,450,000

$2,200,000

$1,202,500

$1,750,000

Koko Kai

--

$3,775,000

$2,987,500

$2,800,000

$2,045,000

$1,800,000

Lanikai

$5,850,000

$2,350,000

$3,612,500

$2,707,500

$2,900,000

$3,200,000

Makiki Heights

$1,710,000

$3,004,600

$1,900,000

$1,720,000

$1,850,000

$1,100,000

Manoa Area

$1,575,000

$1,600,000

$1,667,500

$1,012,500

$1,215,000

$1,299,000

Manoa-Woodlawn

$1,859,900

$1,615,387

$1,600,000

$1,382,500

$1,203,500

$1,217,500

Maunalani Heights

$1,620,000

$1,300,000

$1,812,500

$1,820,000

$1,235,300

$1,888,889

Napali Haweo

$2,925,000

$3,488,000

$3,220,000

$1,930,000

--

$1,710,000

Niu Beach

--

--

$3,244,500

$4,087,500

$3,770,000

--

North Shore

$960,000

$1,314,500

$1,225,000

$1,086,500

$688,500

$977,500

Pacific Heights

$1,125,000

$1,334,500

$1,600,000

$2,344,000

$972,000

$938,000

Paiko Lagoon

$7,200,000

$1,800,000

--

$2,660,000

$1,075,000

$880,000

Portlock

$5,575,000

$3,975,000

$3,700,000

$2,647,500

$2,900,000

$3,100,000

Puupanini

--

$4,650,000

$1,065,000

$1,497,000

$955,000

$2,337,500

Tantalus

--

--

$1,400,000

$1,950,000

--

--

Triangle

$1,078,000

$1,175,000

$910,000

$1,895,000

$791,250

$849,900

Waialae Golf Course

--

--

$3,900,000

--

$1,634,000

--

Waialae Iki

$5,550,000

$2,640,000

$2,467,500

$1,640,000

$1,565,000

$1,900,000

Waialae Nui Ridge

$1,330,000

--

$1,892,500

$1,510,000

$1,283,750

$1,690,000

--

--

$2,437,500

$2,660,000

$1,625,000

$2,312,500

Wailupe Area dash = no sales in the time period

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2024 ShowingTime.

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SALES ACTIVITY SINGLE-FAMILY

CONDO

Year

$2-3 Million

$3-5 Million

$5-10 Million

$10 Million +

$1-2.5 Million

$2.5 Million +

Q4-2018

22

14

3

2

55

10

Q4-2019

25

13

3

2

68

15

Q4-2020

42

19

8

1

41

4

Q4-2021

79

44

11

0

118

21

Q4-2022

40

18

7

0

93

18

Q4-2023

32

14

8

0

84

14

Q4-2018

$2.33

$3.34

$7.20

$14.00

$1.36

$4.64

Q4-2019

$2.39

$3.77

$5.70

$15.45

$1.34

$3.70

Q4-2020

$2.30

$3.95

$5.82

$12.50

$1.17

$3.86

Q4-2021

$2.50

$3.61

$6.40

--

$1.24

$3.30

Q4-2022

$2.34

$3.91

$6.33

--

$1.29

$3.55

Q4-2023

$2.33

$3.84

$6.16

--

$1.30

$4.30

Q4-2018

12.1

14.8

20.4

13.5

9.8

18.3

Q4-2019

12.9

18.6

29.3

23.0

10.0

19.3

Q4-2020

8.1

11.4

18.0

24.0

18.4

25.0

Q4-2021

3.0

4.2

9.8

21.0

6.5

10.7

Q4-2022

4.9

7.0

13.7

9.6

7.5

11.0

Q4-2023

7.6

10.4

12.6

20.0

7.8

16.9

Metric

CLOSED SALES

MEDIAN SALES PRICE (in millions)

MONTHS SUPPLY OF INVENTORY

SINGLE FAMILY & CONDO

HISTORICAL GRAPH

$ 1 Million +

Q4 2020

Q4 2021

Q4 2022

Q4 2023

Q4 2021

Q4 2022

Q4 2023

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory

CONDOMINIUM

HISTORICAL GRAPH

$1 Million +

Q4 2020

Closed Sales Median Sales Price Months Supply of Inventory

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2024 ShowingTime.

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List Sotheby’s International Realty 4211 Waialae Avenue, Suite 8060 | Honolulu, HI 96816 (808) 735-2411

ARTFULLY UNITING EXCEPTIONAL HAWAII HOMES WITH EXTRAORDINARY LIVES

SALES ACTIVITY CONDOMINIUM

SINGLE FAMILY $2-3 MILLION

$3-5 MILLION

$1-2.5 MILLION

$5-10 MILLION

$10 MILLION +

$2.5 MILLION +

All Data from the HiCentral MLS, Ltd. Report © 2024 ShowingTime.

Visit www.ListSothebysRealty.com | 4


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