Годовой отчет компании Agility

USB, LLC

USB, LLC

USB, LLC

#0

Contents

USB, LLC

12 US$, MM

9 6

% of GDP

40 000,0

70,0

35 000,0

60,0

30 000,0

3

50,0

25 000,0

1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 -3 -6

40,0

20 000,0

0

30,0

15 000,0

20,0

10 000,0

10,0

5 000,0 0,0

-9 -12

0,0

1996

1998

2000

2002

2004

2006

2008

2010

2012

Long-term Short-term as % of GDP

USB, LLC

4 000,0 2 000,0 0,0 -2 000,0

Transfers Income Services Trade Current account surplus / deficit

-4 000,0 -6 000,0 -8 000,0 -10 000,0 -12 000,0

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

400 35,00

Net lending, borrowing and stat. discrepancy Changes in Inventories

25,00

Gross Fixed Capital Formation Capital Payable Capital Receivable

15,00

350 300 250 Real wages

200

Labor productivity

Gross Saving

GDP

150 5,00

100 2000 (5,00)

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

50 0

(15,00)

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

USB, LLC

Liabilities in SDR 1,7% Other 0,1%

Intercompany credits 3,4% Bills and deposits 3,9% Bonds 5,6%

100% 90% 80% 70% 60%

0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 0% 4% 5% 4% 3% 3% 3% 5% 6% 7% 5% 7% 7% 7% 6% 9% 7% 9% 16% 18% 13% 18% 22% 7% 18% 10% 21% 20% 20% 36% 44% 64% 68% 68%

50%

71%

40%

Loans 60,0%

Trade credits 25,4%

40% 75% 68% 69% 63%

64%

54%

48%

35%

38% 40%

10% 0%

Monetary Authorities Financial Institutions Other sectors

30% 20%

Intercompany loans

Government

48% 44% 27% 25% 22%

38% 35% 36% 37% 16% 15% 11% 9% 10% 12% 9%

24%

1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011

2012

USB, LLC

400 35,00

Net lending, borrowing and stat. discrepancy Changes in Inventories

25,00

Gross Fixed Capital Formation Capital Payable Capital Receivable

15,00

350 300 250 Real wages

200

Labor productivity

Gross Saving

GDP

150 5,00

100 2000 (5,00)

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

50 0

(15,00)

2001

2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

USB, LLC

US$ MM

% of GDP 14

9000 8000

12

7000 10 6000 5000

8

4000

6

Interest Payments

3000 4 2000 2

1000 0

0 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012

Principal Repayment Servicing costs as % of GDP

USB, LLC

16 000

$,MM

14 000

$,MM

2 500

9 000 8 000

2 000

12 000 10 000

7 000

1 500

6 000

8 000 6 000

1 000

5 000

4 000

500

4 000

2 000

3 000 jan.11

-500

sep.12

2012

may.12

2011

sep.11

2010

jan.12

2009

may.11

2008

sep.10

2007

jan.10

2006

may.10

2005

sep.09

Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3

jan.09 may.09

0

0

-1 000 Russia $1.5B loan

Exports of goods and services

IMF $3.52B loan Russia $1B loan

EurAsEC $3B loan, 1st tranche Foreign exchange reserves

2 000 1 000 0

Balance: persons + companies

Reserves

$,MM

USB, LLC

3

$MM 9 000

months of imports

8 000 7 000

2,5

6 000 5 000

2

4 000 3 000 2 000

1,5

1 000 0

1 NBRB borrowing from commercial banks

Foreign exchange reserves of Belarus

0,5

0

3 month of imports

USB, LLC Table 1. Relative size of each component of foreign reserves of Belarus (2003-2013).

Asset type

Value as of Feb 1, 2013, $MM

Maximum over the entire period, % of total

Minimum over the entire period, % of total

Average over the last 2 years, % of total

Monetary gold

2 319,9

43,1%

5,5%

31,6%

SDR

569,2

16,5%

0,0%

10,1%

0,0

0,0%

0,0%

0,0%

Reserve position with the IMF Reserve assets

3 320,7

94,3%

29,6%

42,5%

Other assets

1 821,9

30,6%

0,0%

15,8%

Total

8 024,6

-

-

-

$MM %

16 000 120

14 000 12 000

100

10 000

80

8 000

60

6 000

40

4 000

20

2 000

0

0

short-term external debt

foreign exchange reserves

Gross external debt/exports of goods and services Gross external debt/cash receipts under current account

USB, LLC

25,0

4,0% %

3,0% 20,0

2,0% 15,0

1,0% 0,0%

10,0

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

-1,0% 5,0

-2,0% 0,0

1996

1997

1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010

servicing costs for the gross external debt (as a % of export revenues) servicing costs for the government external debt (as a % of budget revenues)

2011

2012

-3,0% Consolidated state budget without Social Fund Consolidated state budget including Social Fund

2010

2011

2012

USB, LLC

600 000

12 000,0 500 000

10 000,0 5 929,5

6 000,0 3 085,3

4 000,0 2 000,0 (2 000,0) (4 000,0) (6 000,0) (8 000,0) (10 000,0)

922,4 2008

(93,0) 2009

(857,4) 2010

2011

2012

400 000

Oil products balance

300 000

Solvents and diluters balance

200 000

Crude oil balance Lubricating oils balance Total surplus/deficit

100 000

-

July'10 August'110 September'10 October'10 November'10 December'10 January'11 February'11 March'11 April'11 May'11 June'11 July'11 August'11 September'11 October'11 November'11 December'11 January'12 February'12 March'12 April'12 May'12 June'12 July'12 August'12 September'12 October'12 November'12 December'12 January'13

8 000,0

Total export of lubricating oils

Export of lubricating oils to Russia

Total export of solvents and diluters

Export of solvents and diluters to Russia

Export of lubricating oils outside CIS

Export of solvents and diluters outside CIS

USB, LLC

15 000,00 $2.5B sale of 50% shares of OJSC Beltransgaz

10 000,00

Direct

5 000,00 (5 000,00) (10 000,00)

Other 2002

2003

2004

2005

2006

2007

2008

2009

2010

2011

2012

Current account deficit

USB, LLC

USB, LLC