JUNE 2020 | ISSUE #9
w w w. b b u l le t i n . c o . z a
COVID-19 CHILLING
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PREDICTIONS
I N C R E A S E A MILLION PEOPLE WILL BE INFECTED AND 40,000 WILL DIE IN SPRING
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BUSINESS JOHANNESBURG - The data modelling for COVID-19 team presented projections by Dr Sheetal Silal on a recent virtual meeting chaired by Department of Health Minister Mkhize. The brief was unsettling, to say the least. Her projections on the progression of COVID-19 infections and anticipated deaths a shows a chilling future ahead.
VUSI MABENA
TAELO MOJAPELO
What is going on now, is like grey clouds are forming and these pregnant clouds are growing dark wide and think, soon it will not just rain it will pour, and people will fall instead of rain droplets. The projections paint a devastating picture with an estimation of a million to 1.5 million infections cases and over 40000 people will die from the virus in November. To-date over 37,000 confirmed cases and nearly 800 deaths including a two-day-old infant in South Africa, with at least 1500 new cases recorded at the time of publication the numbers would have changed as you are reading. The team also advised that the death toll could go over 400 at the end of the month
of May 2020 with at least infections leading Scientist in his advisory committee Prof Glenda Gray “We rising to 30,000, done and dusted. will keep emphasising this: as govDr Sheetal Silal of The Modeling and ernment, we do not claim to have Simulation Hub advised on a pro- it all figured out when it comes to jected scenario what to expect in Covid-19. No country does.” He the short term,it is a grim unsettling said. and chilling prediction, the infection part is palatable the projected He continued to say “The president deaths hit right in the bone with has constantly and correctly stated that we are in uncharted waters. fear. But we are committed to doing evThis is what, the Dr said concern- erything in our powers to protect ing the short term projections. “We the lives of our citizens.” do project that by the end of May, that there will be 30,000 detected The modelling team said the lockcases. We are estimating that by the down has had a positive impact it end of the month, the accumulative reduced the rate of infections by death projection will be 475.” While 60%. This was a piece of good newsthe country finds it’s self between but such did not last because of the a rock and a hard place, Minister easy of lock-down level 4 will reduce Mkhize had to fend the brewing it by 35%, meaning this is the beginning of the infections and death. storm in a teacup from a
The professor a member of the Ministerial Advisory Committee on COVID-19, appointed by the Minister Dr Zweli Mkhize, turned a corner in an interview she did with the News24 recently. She claimed that the country’s nationwide lockdown that the government’s lockdown strategy is not based in science and is completely unmeasured. We know now that the level 4 and 3 lockdown are Uncostitutional with the HighCourt directing CoGTA to revise the amendments of the lockdown. The Ministers response was that what the Prof said is factually incorrect and unfounded statements. The minister said it is “important to publicly place on record that made factually incorrect and unfounded statements”. Interesting.