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June–August 2020 air temperatures are most likely to be above average (50 percent chance) in the east of the South Island and about equally likely to near average (40 percent) or above average (40–45 percent chance) in all other regions.

REGIONAL PREDICTIONS FOR JUNE TO AUGUST 2020

Probabilities are assigned in three categories: above average, near average, and below average.

Northland, Auckland, Waikato, Bay of Plenty • Temperatures are about equally likely to be near average (40 percent chance) or above average (45 percent chance). • Rainfall totals are about equally likely to be near normal (40 percent chance) or below normal (45 percent chance). • Soil moisture levels and river flows are most likely to be below normal (50 percent chance).

Central North Island, Taranaki, Whanganui, Manawatu, Wellington • Temperatures are about equally likely to be near average (40 percent chance) or above average (45 percent chance). • Rainfall totals are equally likely to be near normal (40 percent chance) or below normal (40 percent chance). • Soil moisture levels and river flows are equally likely to be near normal (40 percent chance) or below normal (40 percent chance).

Gisborne, Hawke’s Bay, Wairarapa • Temperatures are about equally likely to be near average (40 percent Rainfall totals are most likely to be below normal (50 percent chance). • Soil moisture levels and river flows are about equally likely to be near normal (40 percent chance) or below normal (45 percent chance).

Tasman, Nelson, Marlborough, Buller • Temperatures are equally likely to be near average (40 percent chance) or above average (40 percent chance). • Rainfall totals are most likely to be near normal (45 percent chance). • Soil moisture levels and river flows are most likely to be near normal (45 percent chance).

West Coast, Alps and foothills, inland Otago, Southland • Temperatures are equally likely to be near average (40 percent chance) or above average (40 percent chance). • Rainfall totals are most likely to be near normal (45 percent chance). • Soil moisture levels and river flows are most likely to be near normal (45 percent chance).

Coastal Canterbury, east Otago • Temperatures are most likely to be above average (50 percent chance). • Rainfall totals are most likely to be below normal (50 percent chance). • Soil moisture levels and river flows are most likely to be below normal (45 percent chance).

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