Political power play

Polarisation se ems to be trending in modern democraci es

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\ BY NOEL G DE SOUZA

Many of the world's democracies are suffering from polarisation.

This means tba r electoral support for the C\VO main contenders is about equal and just a shift of o ne or C\vo per cent can couJd res ult in a change o f government Howeve r, there is often the Congress party. Now Kejriwal's party, w ith the oms.idc support of the Congress Party, has formed the gove rnment and many within tbeAAP are in favour.

De lhi is of6ciaUy called tl1e National Capital Territor)' of India With a population of 22 million, ir in cludes several cities within its 1,484 square kilometres area, Alwar, Baghpat, Gurgaon, Sonepat, Faridabad, Ghazi abad, o ida and Greater o .ida It i s well .indusa:ialised and has the highest per capita income of any state in L1dia.

Dr.Navdeep Dhillon

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Delhi's election resuJts a third fo rce and it is th is trurd force tha t can hold the ke y co who forms t he next gover nm ent. If one of the main contenders for power l ends support co the third force, then the third force by itsel f could form the exemplifies tl1e two and three party resuJt t hat is to become tl1e norm in various couna:ies, suc h as the split vote between the H ouse of Represe ntatives and the Senate in Au stralia, a similar break-up in the USA and also in Britai n. government.

This sort of political power p lay is viv idly seen in the dram a being enacted in

''This sort of pol itical power play is viv idly see n i n the dra ma being enacted in the Union Territory of Delhi the U n ion Territory of D elhi Soon afte r the inconclusive recent elections, Lr-Governor i ajeeb Jung had to inform the President of lndia that currentl y there was a political impasse but efforts to resolve the issue were in progress

There are three majo r parties in tbe makeup of the new Delhi legislature, th e BJP, the Con gress and Arvind Kejriwal's Aam AcLni Party (tl1 is can b e translated as " \ '!le, The People's Party'' or "The Common Man's Part)''). The BJP won 28 seats and tl1erefore fell short of an absolute majori ty, the Co ngress Par ty won just eight seats with even jts leader, the forme r Chief Minister Sheela Dixit, losing ber seat a n d the A.AP winning a surprise 28 seats.

To add to the complicated political picture, the Indian Lokpal (people's Ombudsman) b ill came up before the

Indian Parliament. Its chief protagonist was the avowed Gandhian Anna Hazare who l ed a big campaign for its passing Kejriwal, a Hazare supp orte r, was nor as keen on tl1e content of the bill and actually criticised ic.

At the sa me time Kejriwal considers himself to be a follower of the GandhianGuru like figure of Hazare. K.ejriwal and Hazare worked together in their anticorruptio n campaign which culminated in tl1e passing of tl1e Lokpal Bill by the Indian

Kejriwal's Government in Delhi will have to be cautious as it is dependent o n Congress sup por t. In 1996, neithe r theBJP nor the Congress parties had sufficient numbers to form a gove rnmem for the whole of India It was then a du.rd pa.rty, t he Janata Dal Party, which formed the government with the support of the Congress. The man chosen for this cask was the almost unknown Deve Gowda. He was famous for sleeping during parliamentary sessions There was n o mention of any medical reason for thi s habit. He lasted less than a year in the Prime Ministerial position. He was succeeded by anotl1e r member of the same Parry Inder Krnnar Gujral. There ate .instances of parries havi ng co me to p ower with wafer- tlun majorities which later became p opu.lar. In New Soutb Wales, rhe Bob Cart Government came to power in 1995 with just one seat majority. He was ren1med at tbe next C\VO elections w it h substantial majorities. H e had run a cautiou s and centrist government. That could be the key to Kejriwal. c o ntinuing in office.

Th ere w ere ru mb lings in the BJP camp that Kejriwal was secretly negotiat ing wit h the Cong ress party

Parliament. \Vbile conrinuing to say d1at Hazare is his Guru, who "lives in his heart," Kejriwal made the dubious assertion that nlillio ns of rupees have been spent to drive a wedge beC\veen him and Hazare.

Kejriwal supposedly wanted the BJP to form the Delhi Government but, in turn, tl1e BJP said that it was Kejriwal's parry which sbould form the Government. There were rumblings in tl1e BJP camp that Kejriwal was secretl y negoriacing w itl1

In the Ukr aine ("Little Russ ia"), we are shown in news bulJecins very large g atl1erings from the air. But on the grotu1d tl1e sto ry is d ifferent where there are two op posi ng parties at logger heads, one wishing m join the Em:opean Union and tl1e other wishing to realign. themselves with Rus sia. The current president has decided to throw rus Jot with his former Soviet parmer Russia. Russia is going to lend t he Ukraine the equiv>1lenr of ninetee n billio n emos a nd bes.ides give a c o ncession (reportedly o f thirty percent) for gas supplies. lt is too earl y to judge the AA P party and the new government in Delhi because it will depend on how Kejriwal runs that government. H e has begun by givi ng free water to every household up to a certain limit. However, Kejriwal's a:ials have just begun.