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CT 2026 Q3 Market Report

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Western Connecticut

Q3 2026 Market Update • Residential — Single Family Residence

Market Analysis Western Connecticut, Connecticut • Q3 2026 • Prepared for homeowners and prospective buyers

Western Connecticut's housing market remained firmly in sellers' territory through the third quarter of 2026, even as a few early signs suggested the landscape is beginning to shift. The median sale price rose to $1,128,500, up 7.0% from the same period last year, and homes continued to sell above their asking prices on average — a sale-to-list ratio of 104% means that buyers, on the whole, were paying more than what sellers initially asked. At the same time, homes sat on the market a bit longer than they did a year ago, with the median days on market rising from 16 to 22 days. That's still a very brisk pace by historical standards, but it's a meaningful change from the frantic, blink-and-you'll-miss-it conditions that defined the market in recent years. One of the most notable developments this quarter was a significant increase in new listings. Sellers brought 1,573 homes to market — nearly 33% more than during the same quarter last year — and active inventory now stands at 976 homes. That's a real improvement for buyers who have spent the past few years frustrated by a near-empty field of options. The story nationally mirrors what we're seeing here: more homeowners who had been holding onto low pandemic-era mortgage rates are finally deciding to make a move, gradually loosening the inventory constraints that have kept prices elevated across the country. In Western Connecticut, that influx of new supply hasn't been enough to tip the market in buyers' favor just yet, but it is creating more choices and, in some cases, more room to negotiate. For sellers, the numbers remain encouraging. Fewer homes closed this quarter compared to last year — 1,434 sales versus 1,513 — but prices held strong and total sales volume for the quarter topped $2.5 billion. The takeaway is that demand hasn't dried up; it has simply become more selective. Sellers who price their homes thoughtfully from the start are still attracting strong offers, while overpriced listings are more likely than before to sit and require reductions. With a median list price among active homes currently at $1,099,000, the market is telling sellers that realistic pricing remains the smartest strategy. For buyers, the road is still challenging, but the quarter offered some genuine reasons for optimism. More listings, slightly longer days on market, and a small but real softening in the pace of competition all suggest that the white-knuckle bidding wars of recent years may be easing — even if homes are still frequently selling above asking price. The 599 homes currently under contract show that motivated, well-prepared buyers are absolutely finding success. If you're serious about purchasing in Western Connecticut, getting pre-approved, knowing your priorities, and being ready to move decisively when the right home appears remain your most powerful advantages in a market that rewards preparation.

HOWARD HANNA | RAND REALTY Data sourced from SmartMLS. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Report generated September 2026.


Western Connecticut

Q3 2026 Market Update • Residential — Single Family Residence

Recent Sales Trends Current Period

Last Quarter

Change From

Last Year

Change From

Homes Sold

1,434

1,238

▲ 16%

1,513

▼ 5%

New Listings Added

1,573

2,237

▼ 30%

1,184

▲ 33%

Median Sale Price

$1,128,500

$1,200,000

▼ 6%

$1,055,000

▲ 7%

Median List Price

$1,050,000

$1,095,000

▼ 4%

$995,000

▲ 6%

Sale to List Price Ratio

104.0%

105.0%

▼ 1%

103.0%

▲ 1%

Sales Volume

$2559.00M

$2296.92M

▲ 11%

$2542.89M

▲ 1%

Median Days on Market

22

19

▲ 3 days

16

▲ 6 days

Homes Sold Year to Date

3,370

1,933

▲ 74%

3,575

▼ 6%

Q3 2026

Q2 2026

Last Quarter

Q3 2025

Last Year

Current Market

976

$1,099,000 MEDIAN LIST PRICE

MEDIAN DAYS ON MARKET

599

$100,000,000

$125,000

HOMES FOR SALE

HOMES UNDER CONTRACT

HIGH PRICE

22

LOW PRICE

HOWARD HANNA | RAND REALTY Data sourced from SmartMLS. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Report generated September 2026.


Western Connecticut

Q3 2026 Market Update • Residential — Single Family Residence

Market Conditions by Price Range Price Range

Active Listings

Months of Inventory

3 Month Trend

Sales (Sep 2026)

6 Month Avg Sales

Market Climate

All Price Ranges

976

2.6

0.3

381

446

● Sellers

< $250K

2

1.0

—

2

1

● Sellers

$250K - $500K

61

2.7

0.4

23

30

● Sellers

$500K - $750K

191

1.7

0.0

110

98

● Sellers

$750K - $1M

153

2.4

0.2

64

72

● Sellers

$1M - $1.25M

57

1.4

0.0

40

37

● Sellers

$1.25M - $1.50M

77

3.0

0.4

26

34

● Sellers

$1.50M - $1.75M

29

1.6

0.2

18

26

● Sellers

$1.75M - $2M

63

4.8

0.6

13

18

● Balanced

$2M - $2.25M

24

3.0

0.7

8

16

● Sellers

> $2.25M

28

1.9

0.2

15

17

● Sellers

● SELLERS MARKET

● BALANCED MARKET

● BUYERS MARKET

Less than 4 months of inventory. High demand relative to supply — favorable conditions for sellers.

4–6 months of inventory. Supply and demand are roughly in equilibrium.

More than 6 months of inventory. More supply than demand — favorable conditions for buyers.

HOWARD HANNA | RAND REALTY Data sourced from SmartMLS. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Report generated September 2026.


Western Connecticut

Q3 2026 Market Update • Residential — Single Family Residence

Homes Sold 600 480 360 240 120 0

2026

Jan

2025

Feb

Mar

Apr

May

Jun

Jul

Aug

Sep

Oct

Nov

Dec

2024

Sale to List Price Ratio 107%

Average

104% SALE TO LIST PRICE RATIO Q3 2026

106% 105% 104% 103% 102% 101% 100% Sep

Nov

Jan

Mar

May

Jul

Sep

HOWARD HANNA | RAND REALTY Data sourced from SmartMLS. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Report generated September 2026.


Western Connecticut Market Conditions

BALANCED MARKET

104%

22

AVG SALE TO LIST PRICE RATIO

MEDIAN DAYS ON MARKET

Q3 2026

2.0

Months of Inventory Buyer's

Seller's

Buyer's vs. Seller's Market This graphic explains the key similarities and differences between a buyer's and seller's market, and how these market factors impact each group. Buyer's Market

Seller's Market

More homes than buyers

More buyers than homes

HOW IT IMPACTS BUYERS

— More homes to choose from — Could spend less than asking price — Price reductions more common — Rarely competing offers

— Fewer homes to choose from — Need to be able to close quickly — May pay more than asking price — Competition from other buyers

HOW IT IMPACTS SELLERS

— Takes more time to sell — Fewer offers received — Could get less than asking price — May need to make repairs or concessions

— Homes sell quickly — Multiple offers likely — Could get more than asking price — Buyers willing to overlook repairs

HOWARD HANNA | RAND REALTY Data sourced from SmartMLS. Information is deemed reliable but not guaranteed. Report generated September 2026.


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