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HCM Outlook: A Comback Quarter

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Human Capital Management

Q3 2025 Report

Q3 2025 HCM Summary & Outlook

M&A Trends & Outlook:

Following three quarters of muted deal activity, the HCM market rallied for one of the most active periods in recent years. With 89 transactions in Q3 2025, M&A activity was up 35% from the same period a year prior, signaling renewed investor confidence amid easing interest rates. Lower borrowing costs and stabilizing valuations encouraged buyers to reenter the market and put sidelined capital to work

Core HR led the quarter’s increase, accounting for nearly half of all HCM deals as investors gravitated toward mission-critical platforms supporting payroll, benefits, and compliance Talent Acquisition and Talent Management followed closely, with 21 and 29 transactions, respectively underscoring broad-based momentum across the sector.

VC & Growth Equity Trends & Outlook:

Venture capital & growth equity activity slowed in Q3 2025 compared to the same period last year Deal count totaled 81 transactions, a 22% decline from Q3 2024, while capital raised fell 21% to just under $950 million. With only one fundraising round crossing the $100M mark compared to 4 in Q3 2024, the absence of large, late-stage rounds was the most significant contributor to the year-over-year decline in capital deployment.

CORE HR

89 M&A DEALS Q3 2025 versus Q3 2024

81 VC DEALS

$948M VC ACTIVITY

The Core HR sector delivered one of the best quarters in recent years, with 40 acquisitions. Workforce management led the activity with 11 acquisitions, while HRIS followed closely with 8 transactions on the quarter. Acquirers targeted adjacent workforce tools to unify HRIS, scheduling, and communications under one platform.

Workforce Management:

• Dayforce (DAY), amid its take-private announcement by Thoma Bravo, acquired Jitjatjo, a platform for shift-based frontline workforce management.

• RingCentral (RNG), an AI-powered communications platform for voice, video, messaging, and collaboration, acquired CommunityWFM, a provider of onboarding, customer success, cloud hosting, managed services, and custom integrations to support its contact center workforce management suite. HRIS:

• HR Path, a provider of payroll outsourcing, HRIS implementation, and managed services for global organizations, acquired Next Generation, an HRIS, workforce management, and ERP system integration specialist.

TALENT ACQUISITION

Talent Acquisition activity increased as organizations sharpened their focus on efficiency and automation, driving demand for AI-enabled hiring, sourcing, and candidate engagement solutions. Hiring tools and sourcing solutions made up the majority of deal activity for the sector with 7 and 6 transactions, respectively.

Hiring Tools:

• Workday (WDAY), a cloud-based enterprise platform that unifies HR, payroll, finance, and planning, acquired Paradox, a candidate experience agent that uses conversational AI to simplify job applications, particularly in frontline industries. Sourcing:

• ProRank, an AI-driven healthcare talent intelligence and sourcing platform, merged with Goodwork, a healthcare job marketplace and talent platform that connects clinicians with employers and provides AI-assisted matching, ATS integrations, application limits, and weekly feedback and reputation stats.

TALENT MANAGEMENT

Talent Management providers capitalized on rising employer investment in culture, learning, and well-being, fueling a wave of platform consolidation across engagement, L&D, and analytics tools. The sector recorded 28 transactions in the quarter with employee engagement solutions leading the charge with 8 acquisitions, followed by learning tools with 6 deals.

Employee Engagement:

• Engagedly, an AI-powered talent management and employee experience platform, acquired Butterfly.ai, an employee-engagement platform that provides real-time frontline feedback and manager tools to improve retention, productivity and well-being.

Learning:

• Workday (WDAY), in its second transaction of the quarter, announced its acquisition of Sana Labs, an AI-native platform that combines LMS, LXP, authoring, and virtual classroom capabilities in one system.

HCM Public Markets

Comparative Multiples

YoY Median EBITDA Multiples

Source: PitchBook, Data as of Sep 2025, Median Trading Multiples

Sub-Sector Ecosystem

One-Year Historical Index Performance

Although the Core HR Index outpaced the S&P 500 for several quarters, a recent broad market upswing has since pushed the S&P ahead. Core HR remains up 7% year-to-date, while Talent Acquisition and Talent Management have continued to struggle in the public markets, declining 10% and 26%, respectively.

HCM Public Trading Statistics

Talent Acquisition

Talent Management

Count by Sector

Recent Notable Transactions

$1.1B

SEP 2025

$125M JUL 2025

• Sana Labs is an AI powered learning platform that includes workplace training and a knowledge assistant which integrates with company applications to streamline information search, communication, and task automation

• Workday’s (WDAY) acquisition rounds out its platform with enterprise search, AI assistants, and personalized learning that integrate with its current offerings

• Beekeeper is a mobile-first platform that aims to connect and engage frontline workers in hospitality, healthcare, manufacturing, and retail

• LumApps, an AI-driven employee intranet platform, is expanding into a unified, company-wide employee hub with its acquisition of Beekeeper, adding a mobile-first solution for frontline workers

$12.3B IN PROCESS

UNDISCLOSED

AUG 2025

UNDISCLOSED

AUG 2025

UNDISCLOSED SEP 2025

• Dayforce (DAY) is a cloud HCM platform that provides human resources, payroll, workforce management, benefits, and talent intelligence functionalities

• Thoma Bravo, a software and technology focused investor, is expected to acquire Dayforce in late 2025 / early 2026. Private ownership and focused AI investment position Thoma Bravo to accelerate global growth, expand innovation, and solidify Dayforce’s HCM leadership.

• Guideline is a retirement plan platform for small businesses whose products and services include 401(k) plans and IRA accounts, as well as investment advisory and record-keeping services

• Gusto’s acquisition of Guideline adds on to its SMB 401(k)/IRA product, deepening Gusto’s benefits stack by adding retirement expertise and strengthening cross-sell within its platform

• Datapeople is an AI-powered recruiting and job description management platform that helps organizations post jobs and analyze hiring data to improve recruiting efficiency and outcomes.

• Payscale is a compensation management and analytics platform that helps organizations benchmark pay, build equitable salary structures, and maintain compliance with pay-transparency regulations

• SmartRecruiters is a platform that offers applicant tracking, job advertising software, job posting distribution, recruitment CRM software, and onboarding software

• SAP (SAP) is an enterprise-software leader best known for cloud ERP and the SuccessFactors HCM suite. The acquisition of SmartRecruiters plugs an AI-driven talent-acquisition platform into SuccessFactors to strengthen its ATS, sourcing, and screening offerings

HCM Active Buyer Summary

The HCM M&A landscape has been defined by a race to build both scale and specialization. On one end of the market, platform acquirers like ADP and Mitratech have acquired complementary functionalities to create all-in-one systems of record that create end-to-end value for enterprise clients. On the other end, hyper-focused players like DISA (compliance screening) and JobGet (hourly hiring) have consolidated fragmented vertical markets to become the dominant solution for specific, high-value workflows.

HCM M&A Transactions

Jul

Jul

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

HCM M&A Transactions

TALENT MANAGEMENT

Jul 2025 Elevo Assessio

Jul 2025 tilr Skillwaze

Jul 2025 Whistle Systems One10

Jul

Aug

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep

HCM M&A Transactions

TALENT ACQUISITION

Jul

Jul

Jul

Aug

Sep 2025 Beehire WiiSmile

Sep

Sep

Sep

Sep 2025 Beetween Capza

Sep 2025 Roi Rekrytering Optivio

HCM Financing Activity

Financing Activity by Sub-Sector

Q3 2025

Raises Over $100M

Q3 2025, while not matching the pace of the prior two quarters, had one round exceeding the $100M mark

HCM Financing Summary

Compensation and Benefits Notable

$100M AUG 2025

RECEIVED INVESTMENT FROM

RECEIVED INVESTMENT FROM Applicant Tracking

$50M JUL 2025

Financings

Growing Average Deal Sizes

In a reversal of the trend from late 2021 to early 2024, average deal size has risen even as deal volume declined.

$50M SEP 2025

RECEIVED INVESTMENT FROM Learning

RECEIVED INVESTMENT FROM Sourcing

$37M AUG 2025

Annual Financing Activity

HR Tech Unicorn Tracker

Newly Minted Unicorns

In Q3 2025, there were no newly minted HR tech unicorns, marking the fourth time in the last eight quarters with no additions

HRTech Unicorns

HCM Financing Summary

EARLY-STAGE VENTURE CAPITAL

HCM Financing Summary

LATER-STAGE VENTURE CAPITAL

HCM Financing Summary

PRIVATE EQUITY GROWTH / EXPANSION

About Harbor View Advisors

Operating at the intersection of investment banking and management consulting, we partner with inspiring companies and private equity firms to help them design and execute their strategies for growth or exit. With decades of successful client outcomes, we help growing teams improve their opportunities for success. We provide Sell-side advisory, Buy-side advisory and Strategic Consulting to innovative companies and financial sponsors.

The material in this report is for information purposes only and is not intended to be relied upon as financial, accounting, tax, legal or other professional advice. This report does not constitute and should not be construed as soliciting or offering any investment or other transaction, identifying securities for you to purchase or offer to purchase, or recommending the acquisition or disposition of any investment. Harbor View Advisors does not guarantee the accuracy or reliability of any data provided from third party resources. Although we endeavor to provide accurate information from third party sources, there can be no guarantee that such information is accurate as of the date it is received or that it will continue to be accurate in the future.

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