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Melbourne CBD Office Market Report - October 2026

Page 1

MELBOURNE CBD OFFICE MARKET REPORT OCTOBER 2026 WE KNOW OFFICES. WE KNOW MELBOURNE.


CONTENTS 03

SUPPLY

05

PRE COMMITMENTS

06

DEMAND

08

VICTORIAN EMPLOYMENT

09

TENANT ENQUIRY

11

VACANCY

13

VACANCY BY GRADE

14

OUTLOOK

15

RENTS & INCENTIVES

16

OFFICE LEASING TEAM


SUPPLY In line with Victoria’s growing economy, Melbourne’s CBD office market continued to increase with total stock now surpassing 5.3 million square metres for the first time

MELBOURNE CBD OFFICE SPACE BY PRECINCT Melbourne CBD Office Space by Precinct

on record. Melbourne’s CBD office market increased by 29,823 square metres over the first half of 2026 and remains Australia’s second largest office market.

33%

Melbourne’s CBD office market grew as a result of the recent completion of the new

5%

developments of 7 Spencer Street and 51 Flinders Lane which collectively added 73,300 square metres to the market. In contrast, 46,575 square metres were

9%

withdrawn from the CBD office market largely through refurbishments with some stock permanently removed due to obsolescence and mooted for redevelopment. The Western precinct continues to hold the most office space in the Melbourne CBD with 33% followed by the Docklands which comprises 1.2 million square metres having increased by almost 60% over the past 10 years. As at July 2026, A-Grade space accounts for more than half of all office space across the Melbourne CBD. Over the past 10 years, the level of A-grade office stock has grown the most with 569,752 square metres added to the Melbourne CBD market.

Civic Docklands Eastern Flagstaff North Eastern Spencer Western

10%

5%

14% 24% Source: Property Council of Australia

In contrast, the levels of both C-Grade and D-Grade office stock in the Melbourne CBD office market declined over the past decade as the demands of tenants have led to the withdrawal of several obsolete buildings.

3

FITZROYS CBD OFFICE MARKET REPORT | OCTOBER 2026

In terms of quality of space, as at July 2026, A-Grade quality office space accounts for more than half of all office space across the Melbourne CBD. Over the past 10 years, the level of Agrade office stock has grown the most with 569,752 square metres added to the Melbourne CBD market. In contrast, the levels of both C-Grade and D-Grade office stock in the Melbourne CBD office market declined over the past decade as the demands of tenants have led to the withdrawal of several obsolete buildings to be redeveloped for either alternative uses or new office developments.


SUPPLY

Impacted by the persistently elevated vacancy rates and high construction costs, the level of new development across the Melbourne CBD office market continues to decline. Currently there are four new developments which are under construction or have begun siteworks. Looking ahead through to 2029, the pipeline of new supply is expected to deliver almost 135,000sqm of new and refurbished space across the Melbourne CBD, around 40% the longterm average. Of the stock currently under development and refurbishment, the location of the new supply is largely focused in the Western precinct followed by the Docklands and Civic precincts.

MELBOURNE CBD NEW OFFICE SUPPLY

Impacted by persistently elevated vacancy rates and high construction costs, the level of new development across the Melbourne CBD office market continues to decline. Currently there are only four new developments which are under construction or have begun siteworks. Looking ahead through to 2029, the

square metres

400,000

pipeline of new supply is expected to deliver 135,000sqm of new and refurbished

Under Construction

space across the Melbourne CBD, around 40% of the long-term average. Of the stock currently under development and refurbishment, the location of the new

Melbourne CBD New Office Supply Completions

Forecast

300,000

supply is largely in the Western precinct followed by the Docklands and Civic precincts. 200,000

100,000

0

2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 Source: Property Council of Australia

Pre-commitments

4

FITZROYS CBD OFFICE MARKET REPORT | OCTOBER 2026

While just over half of the space that is under construction is pre-committed, given the relatively modest level of new supply, the volume of un-committed space stock which will be delivered to the market, is unlikely to substantially adversely affect the vacancy rate of Melbourne CBD office market in coming years; in fact, with development activity projected to remain below average levels for the medium term, it is likely that pre-leasing activity within offices under construction will rise as tenants relocate from older buildings.


PRE-COMMITMENTS While just over half of the space under construction is pre-committed,

Beyond those offices currently under construction, there are some

given the relatively modest level of new supply, the volume of un-committed

projects holding development approvals, that have been postponed including

space delivered to the market is unlikely to substantially adversely affect the

60 Collins Street (42,182sqm) and 600 Collins Street (60,000sqm).

vacancy rate in coming years. In fact, with development activity projected to remain below average levels for the medium term, it is likely that pre-leasing activity within offices under construction will rise as tenants relocate from older buildings.

Given the elevated vacancy rate, it is likely that there will be no significant new office developments until after 2030 with refurbishments the likely main source of additional office space.

cbd OFFICE projects - under construction/SITEWORKS Building Address

Type

Tenant

Total NLA (sqm approx)

Target Completion

435 Bourke Street

New Development

CBA, Baker McKenzie, Korda Mentha, Host Plus

62,500

Q4 2026

720 Bourke Street

Refurbishment

Coles

29,000

Q3 2027

26 Flinders Street

New Development

N/A

10,000

Q1 2028

393 Swanston Street

New Development

N/A

13,000

Q3 2028

25 Swanston Street

New Development

N/A

16,000

Q4 2028

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FITZROYS CBD OFFICE MARKET REPORT | OCTOBER 2026


DEMAND Despite the uncertainty resulting from global economic conditions, tenant enquiry

In terms of net absorption by precinct, over the six months to July 2026, the Eastern

levels within the CBD are improving. The Melbourne CBD recorded its strongest annual

precinct led all other Melbourne CBD office precincts, having recorded net absorption

level of net absorption in the 12 months to July 2026 in seven years.

of 18,911 square metres followed by the Flagstaff precinct which recorded net

According to the Property Council of Australia, the Melbourne CBD office market recorded positive net absorption of 26,779 square metres in the six months to July 2026, equating to a total of 54,808 square metres absorbed over the year to July 2026. In fact, the Melbourne CBD office market recorded the strongest annual level of net absorption level across all of Australian office market in the 2026 financial year. Boosted by tenants’ growing optimism and knowledge of the constrained development pipeline, tenants are bringing forward their space commitments. Annual tenant demand levels have reached seven-year highs, with occupiers remaining focused on better quality well-located offices offering superior amenities. This flight to quality trend is demonstrated by A-grade offices outperforming all other grades in the Melbourne CBD with 53,460 square metres absorbed within A-grade office stock over the six months to July 2026. While Premium-grade offices recorded

absorption of 15,455 square metres. The Civic and Docklands precincts recorded positive net absorption in the first half of

Demand

2026 however, the Western Core, Spencer and North Eastern precincts, all recorded

Despite the uncertainty from globaltoeconomic negative net absorptionresulting over the six months July 2026. conditions, promisingly, leasing activity is picking up across the Melbourne CBD with tenant enquiry levels having also risen. The Melbourne CBD office market recorded its strongest annual level of net absorption in the 12 months to July 2026 in seven years. square metres

Melbourne CBD Annual Net Absorption

150,000 100,000 50,000

negative net absorption, overall, prime (Premium and A-grade) stock recorded positive net absorption over the first half of 2026. In contrast, B-grade and C-grade

MELBOURNE CBD ANNUAL NET ABSORPTION

10-year average 17,800sqm

0

offices both recorded negative net absorption in the six months to July 2026, equating to secondary office space experiencing negative net absorption of 11,698 square metres in the six months to July 2026. In fact, over the past eight financial years, secondary office space in the Melbourne CBD office market recorded negative annual net absorption.

6

FITZROYS CBD OFFICE MARKET REPORT | OCTOBER 2026

-50,000 -100,000 -150,000

Source: Property Council of Australia


VICTORIAN EMPLOYMENT

Victoria's labour market has weakened noticeably through 2026. The state's unemployment rate climbed to 5.1% in July 2026, the highest in the nation and the state's worst reading since October 2021. Employment has only grown modestly in 2026 to date, adding only 13,700 jobs with full-time roles shrinking offset by growth in part-time roles. The state's long-declining manufacturing sector has left it overly reliant on lower-productivity service industries, while job advertisements have also been trending down. Absent a pickup in business investment, Victoria's jobless rate is likely to keep drifting higher through the rest of 2026.

Victoria’s labour market has weakened noticeably through 2026. The state’s unemployment rate climbed to 5.1% in July 2026, the highest in the nation and the state’s worst reading since October 2021. Employment has only grown modestly in 2026 to date, adding only 13,700 jobs with full-time roles shrinking offset by growth in part-time

annual employment change

VICTORIAN EMPLOYMENT (ALL)

Victorian Employment

300,000

roles. The state’s long-declining manufacturing sector has left it overly reliant on lower-productivity service industries, while job advertisements have also been trending down. Absent a pickup in business investment,

200,000

100,000

Victoria’s jobless rate is likely to keep drifting higher through the rest of 2026.

0

-100,000

Source: ABS / Fitzroys

In terms of net absorption by precinct, over the six months to July 2026, the Eastern core led all other Melbourne CBD office precincts, having recorded net absorption of 18,911 square metres followed by the Flagstaff precinct which recorded net absorption of 15,455 square metres. The Civic and Docklands precincts also recorded positive net absorption in the first half of 2026, however the Western Core, Spencer and North Eastern precincts all recorded negative net absorption over the six months to July 2006. 7

FITZROYS CBD OFFICE MARKET REPORT | OCTOBER 2026

Tenant Enquiry


TENANT ENQUIRY Despite the uncertain economic conditions, tenant enquiry in the Melbourne CBD office market has strengthened through the first half of 2026, reaching its strongest levels

SIGNIFICANT BRIEFS

since 2020. Seemingly out of alignment with the elevated vacancy rate, the pick up in

Tenant

NLA (sqm) Required

tenant demand may be stimulated by the constrained development pipeline rather than

Deloitte

22,000 - 27,000

underlying economic weakness. For smaller occupiers, fitted space continues to be

HESTA

9,000- 11,000

Sportsbet

8,000 - 10,000

Dorevitch Pathology (Fringe)

7,500 - 11,000

Demand remains strongest for high-quality space in the Melbourne CBD’s Eastern Core,

Nine

7,000 - 9,000

particularly Premium and A-grade towers along Collins, Exhibition and Bourke Streets,

WSP

5,000 - 7,000

where proximity to public transport, key amenities and high sustainability credentials

MUFG Pension & Market Services

5,000 - 7,000

continue to drive tenant preference.

La Trobe University

4,000 - 6,000

Federal Government Office Accomodation

4,500 - 5,000

City FM

4,500 - 5,000

favoured as tenants prioritise minimal disruptions to business operations and an aversion to fund fitouts themselves.

Tenant enquiry for Melbourne CBD office accommodation remains diverse, with demand continuing to be led by Finance and Insurance followed by Professional Services, IT and Telecommunications, Healthcare and Logistics. In contrast, office demand from the State Government sector continues to decline. The outlook for tenant enquiry is becoming more positive. With no new office construction currently anticipated to 2030, the growing disconnect between improving tenant demand and a constrained future supply pipeline, is expected to support tighter market dynamics.

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FITZROYS CBD OFFICE MARKET REPORT | OCTOBER 2026


TENANT ENQUIRY LEASING TRANSACTIONS - CBD & DOCKLANDS

9

Building Address

Grade

Tenant

NLA (sqm)

700 Bourke Street

A

NAB

63,000

181 William Street

A

Court Services Australia

10,000

120 Harbour Esplanade

A

CQU

8,922

8 Exhibition Street

Premium

Insignia

8,424

One Melbourne Quarter, 699 Collins Street

A

Jetstar

7,000

2 Lonsdale Street

A

IBAC

5,783

35 Collins Street

A

BDO

5,200

51 Flinders Lane

New

WPP

4,600

161 Collins Street

A

APA

3,900

435 Bourke Street

New

Korda Mentha

3,600

435 Bourke Street

New

Hostplus

3,600

530 Collins Street

Premium

Toll

3,485

567 Collins Street

Premium

Vestas

2,604

530 Collins Street

Premium

Equity Trustees

2,516

130 Lonsdale Street

A

ESS Super

2,400

80 Collins Street

A

AON

2,235

664 Collins Street

A

SG Fleet Australia Pty Ltd

2,235

567 Collins Street

Premium

Oracle

2,100

51 Flinders Lane

New

FM Global

2,025

181 William Street

A

Engineers Australia

1,975

101 Collins Street

Premium

BGH Capital Group

1,821

8 Exhibition Street

Premium

Kingside

1,618

FITZROYS CBD OFFICE MARKET REPORT | OCTOBER 2026


VACANCY

Vacancy The vacancy rate of the Melbourne CBD office market marginally fell to 18.9% over the six months to July 2026, down from 19.0% six months earlier, aided by the above-average level of withdrawal of stock. According to the Property Council, the total Melbourne CBD office vacancy rate continues to sit more than double its 30-year average of 9.2%.In comparison to the other Australian CBD office markets, Melbourne’s vacancy is higher than all other markets with Sydney’s CBD vacancy rate sitting at 13.3% - slightly lower than its level recorded in January 2026 and Brisbane at 10.2%. Elsewhere the office vacancy rate rose in Adelaide, and Canberra in the six months to July 2026. Overall, the total Australian CBD office vacancy rate increased to 14.9% as at July 2026, the highest rate since 1995. Outside of the CBD office markets, the overall vacancy rate of the Australian non-CBD office markets remained elevated, increasing to 18.9%, its highest rate since 1993.

The vacancy rate of the Melbourne CBD office market fell only marginally to 18.9% over the six months to July 2026, down from 19.0% six months earlier. This was aided by the above average level of withdrawal of stock. According to the Property Council, the total Melbourne CBD office vacancy rate continues to sit more than double its 30-year average of 9.2%. In comparison to the other Australian CBD office markets, Melbourne’s vacancy is higher than all other markets with Sydney’s CBD vacancy rate sitting at 13.3% and Brisbane at 10.2%. Elsewhere the office vacancy rate rose in Adelaide and Canberra in the six months to July 2026. Overall, the total Australian CBD office vacancy rate increased to 14.9% as at July 2026, the highest rate since 1995. Outside of the CBD office markets, the overall vacancy

Brisbane 10.2%

Perth 15.4%

Sydney 13.3% Canberra 14.7%

rate of the Australian non-CBD office markets increased to 18.9%, its highest rate since 1993.

Adelaide 16.3% Melbourne 18.9%

Elsewhere in Melbourne, the vacancy rate of the St Kilda Road office market continued to increase, having risen to record high as at July 2026, reaching 31.8%. The

Hobart 5.2%

vacancy rate in the Southbank office market increased to 18.8%; its highest level since 1995 with vacancy remaining relatively steady in the East Melbourne office precinct at 10.0%.

Elsewhere in Melbourne, the vacancy rate of the St Kilda Road office market continued to

increase, having risen toJuly record high as at July 2026, reaching 31.8%, while2026 the vacancy rate in Market 2026 January the Southbank office market also rose, increasing to 18.8%; its highest level since 1995 with vacancy remaining relatively steady in the East Melbourne office market at 10.0%.

Stock (sqm)

Market St Kilda Road

Southbank St Kilda Road EastSouthbank Melbourne

East Melbourne

Vacancy Rate

July 2026 589,868 31.8% Stock (sqm) Vacancy Rate 413,159 18.8%31.8% 589,868 413,159 182,472 10.0%18.8% 182,472 10.0%

Vacancy Rate

January 2026 Vacancy Rate 15.0%31.6% 10.1%15.0% 10.1%

31.6%

Source: Property Council of Australia

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FITZROYS CBD OFFICE MARKET REPORT | OCTOBER 2026


VACANCY

Vacancy by Grade Despite the mixed fortunes of Premium and A-grade Melbourne CBD office stock, the prime vacancy rate of the Melbourne CBD office market fell in the six months to July 2026, its first decline in six years. Boosted by the withdrawal of space for refurbishment, the vacancy rate of Premium office stock in the Melbourne CBD office market fell to 13.1%, albeit continues to remain more than double the 10-year average. In contrast, despite positive take up, the vacancy rate of A-grade office space in the Melbourne CBD office market, continued to increase, rising to 20.8% - its highest level in 22 years. Although the vacancy rate of B-grade and D-grade Melbourne CBD offices recording marginal declines, the secondary office vacancy rate of the Melbourne CBD office market rose to 18.6% over the six months to July2026.

MELBOURNE CBD OFFICE VACANCY

The vacancy rate of prime grade buildings fell in the six months to July 2026, its first decline in six years. Boosted by the withdrawal of space for refurbishment, the vacancy rate of Premium office stock in the Melbourne CBD office market fell to 13.1%, albeit continues to remain more than double the 10-year average. In contrast,

20.0%

Prime

despite positive take up, the vacancy rate of A-grade office space in the Melbourne CBD office market, continued to increase, rising to 20.8% - its highest level in 22

Melbourne CBD Office Vacancy

total vacancy

Secondary

Total

15.0%

years. SUB LEASE VACANCY The sub-lease vacancy rate and the quantum of sub-lease vacancy has continued to fall in the CBD, having declined to six-year lows as at July 2026. As at July 2026,

10.0%

5.0%

sub-lease vacancy totalled 44,868 square metres, resulting in a sub-lease vacancy rate of 0.8%, with both measures now also below their respective 10-year averages.

0.0%

Collectively, Premium and A-grade office space account for 89% of total sub-lease vacancy across the Melbourne CBD office market as at July 2026. With the exception of Flagstaff, all individual office precincts recorded decreases in sub-lease levels

Source: Property Council of Australia

over the six months to July 2026. The North Eastern precinct still records the highest level of sub-lease space with almost 13,300 square metres, accounting for approximately 30% of the Melbourne CBD office market’s total sub-lease vacancy.

11

FITZROYS CBD OFFICE MARKET REPORT | OCTOBER 2026

Sub-lease Vacancy Pleasingly, both the sub-lease vacancy rate and the quantum of sub-lease vacancy on offer across the Melbourne CBD office market has continued to fall, having declined to six-year lows as at July 2026. As at July 2026, sub-lease vacancy totalled 44,868 square metres, resulting in a sub-lease vacancy rate of 0.8%, with both measures now also below their respective 10-year averages. Collectively, Premium and A-grade office space account for 89% of total sub-lease vacancy across the Melbourne CBD office market as at July 2026. With the exception of Flagstaff, all individual office precincts recorded decreases in sub-lease levels over the six


VACANCY

Vacancy by Precinct Across Melbourne’s CBD office market, by precinct, vacancy rates fluctuated – impacted by the withdrawal and addition of stock along with tenant commitments. The Civic, Flagstaff and Spencer precincts recorded decreases in their vacancy rates in the six months to July 2026. In contrast, the vacancy rates of the Docklands, Eastern, North Eastern and Western precincts increased over the six months to July 2026. Collectively, the Western and Docklands precincts account for 60% of the Melbourne CBD office market, whereas the precinct with the lowest level of vacant office space was the North Eastern precinct which accounted for less than 6% of all office vacancy across the Melbourne CBD office market.

VACANCY BY PRECINCT

MELBOURNE OFFiceVacancy vacancy by by precinct Melbourne CBDCBD Office Precinct

square metres

The Civic, Flagstaff and Spencer precincts recorded decreases in their vacancy rates in the six months to July 2026. In contrast, the vacancy rates

400,000

Jul-26

of the Docklands, Eastern, North Eastern and Western precincts increased over the six months to July 2026. Collectively, the Western and Docklands precincts account for 60% of the Melbourne CBD office market, whereas the

Jan-26

Jul-25

Docklands

Eastern

300,000

precinct with the lowest level of vacant office space was the North Eastern precinct which accounted for less than 6% of all office vacancy.

200,000

100,000

0

Civic

Flagstaff

North Eastern

Spencer

Western

Source: Property Council of Australia

12

FITZROYS CBD OFFICE MARKET REPORT | OCTOBER 2026


OUTLOOK

Outlook While the total vacancy rate of the Melbourne CBD office market recorded a marginal decrease over the six months to July 2026, for the short term; the vacancy rate is projected to remain relatively stable as the government contracts and full-time employment across the state also declining. Although the attractive leasing terms on offer within the CBD office market will stimulate tenants to move, the constrained development pipeline of projects currently under construction and unlikelihood of launch of additional new office developments is expected to underpin a decline in the total vacancy rate in coming years.

While the total vacancy rate of the Melbourne CBD office market recorded a marginal decrease over the six months to July 2026, the vacancy rate is projected to remain relatively stable as government contracts and full-time

total vacancy

25.0%

Forecast

employment across the state declines. A combination of attractive leasing terms and the constrained development pipeline is expected to underpin a

MELBOURNE CBD vacancy projection Melbourne CBD Vacancy Projection

20.0%

decline in the total vacancy rate in coming years. 15.0% 10.0% 5.0% 0.0%

Source: Property Council of Australia / Fitzroys

13

FITZROYS CBD OFFICE MARKET REPORT | OCTOBER 2026


RENTS & INCENTIVES

Although average gross face Melbourne CBD office rents increased over the year to July 2026, growth was diverse across grades and precincts, reflecting the demand for quality of individual office buildings and competing vacancies. On average, Melbourne CBD office prime net face rents increased by 2.9% over the year to July 2026, however incentive levels continue to remain at historic highs mirroring the elevated vacancy rate. While secondary net face rental levels also increased, average levels rose marginally overt the 12 months to July 2026, reflecting the modest tenant demand and competitive leasing terms on offer with Premium and A-grade office stock. Looking forward, prime offices in the Melbourne CBD are projected to record more solid net effective rental growth from early-2027 as incentives levels begin to trend down from their current historical highs. In contrast, rental growth for secondary offices will likely stay modest until vacancy rates peak, with tenants remaining selective due to the abundance of potential opportunities to relocate.

Melbourne CBD office prime net face rents on average increased by 2.9% over

annual change

the year to July 2026 however, incentive levels continue to remain at historic

10%

Prime Melbourne CBDCBE Office Face Rents PRIME MELBOURNE OFFICE Net NET FACE RENTS

highs mirroring the elevated vacancy rate. While secondary net face rental levels increased, average levels rose marginally over the 12 months to July 2026, reflecting the modest tenant demand and competitive leasing terms on

8%

offer with Premium and A-grade office stock. Looking forward, prime offices in the Melbourne CBD are projected to record net effective rental growth from 2027 as incentives levels begin to plateau and trend down from their current historical highs. In contrast, rental growth for

6%

4%

secondary offices will likely stay modest until vacancy rates peak, with tenants remaining selective due to the volume of potential relocation options.

2%

0%

Civic

Docklands

Eastern

Flagstaff

North Eastern

Spencer

Western Source: Fitzroys

14

FITZROYS CBD OFFICE MARKET REPORT | OCTOBER 2026


OFFICE LEASING TEAM Phillip Cullity DIRECTOR cullityp@fitzroys.com.au

established

1973

Stephen Land ASSOCIATE DIRECTOR lands@fitzroys.com.au

Sam Flockart LEASING NEGOTIATOR flockarts@fitzroys.com.au

WE KNOW OFFICES. WE KNOW MELBOURNE.


MELBOURNE CBD OFFICE MARKET REPORT

We Know Melbourne. Endnotes: All data presented in this report is considered to be true and correct at the time of publication and for general information only; Fitzroys make no warranties or representations with respect to the accuracy or completeness of that information after publication and bear no liability with respect to this information. Fitzroys strongly recommends that readers obtain any appropriate professional financial or investment advice relevant to their particular circumstances. To the maximum extent permitted by law, Fitzroys disclaims all liability for any loss, damage, expense and costs incurred by any person arising out of accessing, downloading, using or relying on any information in this report. Links to external websites: This report contains reference links to external websites which may contain views or recommendations of third parties, hypertext links, frames or other references to other parties and their websites. Fitzroys does not warrant or accept any legal liability whatsoever arising from or in connection with, the accuracy, reliability, currency or completeness of any material contained on any linked site.

16

Licensed Estate Agents Auctioneers Asset Managers Consultant and Valuers fitzroys.com.au 9275 7777 360 Collins Street Melbourne


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Melbourne CBD Office Market Report - October 2026 by Fitzroys - Issuu