the GREEN sheet | June-July 2020

J U N E | J U L Y 2 0 2 0

t he

GREEN sheet

TA L EGA’S RED-HOT RE A L ESTAT E MA R KE T

R E A L E S TAT E M A R K E T C H O K I N G ?

Covid-19 has had a dramatic effect on demand and inventory in Orange County’s real estate market. February through June is typically when agents are listing homes at a rapid pace, with demand running parallel (please refer to the charts). When Covid-19 hit and everything came to a grinding halt, housing demand fell rapidly and people assumed the market would tank as unemployment began to rise.

The market’s inventory virtually froze in early March until mid-April, when agents received instructions from governing boards and state officials on how they could operate. Once agents started working, buyers wanted to take advantage of low interest rates. Countless citizens found themselves with jobs that had changed and required relocating, and others elected to move for a variety of reasons. Demand skyrocketed!

Prospective buyers found that the supply of homes had greatly diminished, with sellers either taking their homes off the market or deciding not to list them during the shutdown. Looking at the Active Inventory Chart, we are significantly lower than previous years, yet the demand is almost equal. Add historically low interest rates to this mix and you have one of the hottest markets we have seen since June, 2013.

My predictions on this market is that it will remain strong through October of this year. Inventory will not recover to the levels of the demand because we are just simply too low as we head into July. Interest rates are likely to stay very low, which will keep buyer demand strong. In addition, it is an election year, which typically comes with the "wait and see what happens" attitude starting in September or October. Buyers hold off on decisions and that is when demand starts to cool down to normal levels.

Yes, unemployment is a talking point, but what agents are seeing is Corporate America restructuring how they work, who actually needs to physically be in an office, and who can live anywhere they want while still performing their job. The Covid-19 shutdown also accelerated decisions to retire, to live in a different location, or to change their living environments.

Here in San Clemente, we are blessed to be living in such an amazing and desirable location.

Combined, all of these dynamic factors have added fuel to our real estate market and will continue to do so as we change the way we work and live. No, the market is not choking the way you may think, it is simply choking because there is not enough supply.

Echelberger Group provides the expertise and resources necessary to make it easier for their clients. More than 20 years of experience has given the team an edge in local knowledge and connections. Echelberger Group provides a comprehensive range of services, from industry-leading technology—backed by its partnership with Pacific Sotheby’s International Realty— and custom marketing strategies to regular updates and prompt communication that makes transactions efficient and stressfree. For more information, visit www.echelberger.com or call 949.498.7711.

F E AT U R E D R E S I D E N C E

23 Via Jacobea

Abundant Space & Luxury

5 bed | 4 bath | 3,547 sq ft | 5,575 sq ft lot

Surrounded by gently rolling natural hillsides, the gated neighborhood of Catania is among the finest within San Clemente’s sought-after Talega

community. Here, on a tranquil cul-de-sac street, a home of genuine distinction is newly enriched with upgrades and offers ample room and an abundance of luxury. Fresh designer paint, graceful archways, plantation shutters, high ceilings, crown molding, high-end carpet and tile flooring characterize the sophisticated interior of the two-story design, which measures approximately 3,547 square feet. Five bedrooms and four baths include a main-floor bedroom, a second-level ensuite with Juliet balcony, and a master suite with view deck, walk-in closet, jetted spa tub, shower with bench, and separate vanities. separate custom media system featured in the upstairs loft. New stainless-steel KitchenAid appliances shine in a dual-island kitchen with mocha-finished cabinetry, a desk, built-in refrigerator, fashionable quartz countertops, and a large breakfast room with French doors opening to the backyard. A unique and elegant staircase accesses both the foyer and the kitchen.

Canyon, hill and city-light views are enjoyed from a homesite of 5,575 square feet that features a turn-in driveway, loggia, and a built-in BBQ island with stone top. www.23ViaJacobea.com

2 | w w w.E c hel berg er.c om

Formal living and dining rooms complement a casual great room with fireplace and built-in entertainment center, with a

TA L E G A R E S I D E N C E S

3 | w w w.E chel berger. co m

Re p rese n te d by Do u g Ech elberger

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

ADDRESS active 1 | 2| 3| 4| 5| 6| 7|

TRACT

PRICE

BED

BATH

SQFT

27 Via Conocido

23 Via Jacobea 52 Via Regalo

34 Avenida Cristal 2 Camino Sendero 98 Paseo Vista 54 Paseo Rosa

Lucia Catania Portomarin Carmel Carmel Santalana Alassio

$3,350,000 $1,195,000 $1,099,000 $818,000 $815,000 $625,000 $514,900

5 5 5 2 3 3 2

6.5 4 4 3 2 2 2

6,046 3,547 2,816 2,527 2,066 1,292 1,356

p e n d i n g 8 | 10 Calle Castillo 9 | 15 Calle Saltamontes 10 | 40 Paseo Del Rey

Pacifica Summit Sansol Alassio

$1,239,000 $1,150,000 $524,995

5 5 2

4.5 3.5 2.5

3,886 3,238 1,232

Alta Carillon Mirador Alora Alora Cazadero Monterey Portomarin Caprizi Farralon Ridge Solana Sabella Santalana Trinidad

$2,225,000 $1,588,000 $1,500,000 $1,330,000 $1,265,000 $1,238,750 $1,200,000 $1,000,000 $977,000 $889,000 $825,000 $820,000 $679,000 $539,000

5 4 5 5 5 5 4 4 4 4 4 3 3 2

6 4.5 5.5 5.5 5.5 4.5 3.5 3 3 3 2.5 2.5 2.5 2

4,752 ** 3,975 * 4,631 * 4,094 *** 4,499 *** 4,082 *** 3,519 * 2,872 *** 2,583 * 1,924 * 1,972 * 2,088 * 1,776 *** 1,367 *

2 0 2 0 YTD closings

36 Via Alcamo 13 Corte Cabrito 18 Calle Gaulteria 15 Calle Loyola 15 Via Lampara 22 Calle La Espalda 218 Via Sedona 42 Via Regalo 16 Via Adrian 504 Corto Del Oro 5 Calle Boveda 28 Calle Akelia 17 Paseo Vista 9 Camino Celeste

* Represented Seller

call us today , for a

** Represented Buyer

COMPLIMENTARY

***Represented Seller and Buyer

home evaluation

DOUG ECHELBERGER 949.498.7711 | doug @echelberger .com

We respect your time, and value your business. We know you could go anywhere for your real estate needs, and appreciate having the opportunity to serve you the best way we can. For more information, or to be the first to learn about pocket listings, open houses, market reports, and local events vis it u s o n lin e or call 949. 498.7711 .

4 | w w w.E chel berger. co m

from talega ' s most experienced real estate agent

the

sheet

YO U R TA L EG A M A R K E T R EP O R T F O R H O M E VA LU E S I N J U N E

TOWNHOMES TRACT/STREET

STATUS

PRICE

PRICE/SQ FT

SQ FT*

BED/BATH

GARAGE

LOT SIZE*

COE

Active

$529,000

$390

1,356

2/2

2

--

Pending

$524,995

$426

1,232

2/3

2

--

SOLD

$530,000

$356

1,487

2/2

2

--

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Active

$898,900

$356

2,527

2/3

2

2,380

34 Avenida Cristal

Active

$818,000

$324

2,527

2/3

2

--

2 Camino Sendero

Active

$815,000

$394

2,066

3/2

2

--

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Pending

$859,000

$416

2,066

3/2

2

3,200

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Pending

$830,000

$325

2,550

3/3

2

--

Active

$625,000

$484

1,292

3/2

2

--

Pending

$639,000

$366

1,748

3/3

2

1,200

36 Paseo Verde

SOLD

$752,000

$385

1,952

3/3

2

--

4/7/20

100 Paseo Rosa

SOLD

$705,000

$361

1,952

3/3

2

--

6/9/20

17 Paseo Vista

SOLD

$638,500

$360

1,776

3/3

2

--

5/28/20

134 Paseo Vista

SOLD

$606,000

$347

1,748

3/3

2

--

6/12/20

Active

$669,900

$353

1,896

4/3

2

--

9 Camino Celeste

Pending

$539,000

$394

1,367

2/2

2

--

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Pending

$538,500

$388

1,388

2/2

2

--

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Pending

$533,000

$384

1,388

2/2

2

--

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Active

$659,900

$351

1,881

3/3

2

1,881

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Active

$649,900

$353

1,840

3/3

2

--

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Active

$525,000

$389

1,351

2/2

2

--

13 Corte Javier

SOLD

$515,000

$381

1,351

2/2

2

--

4/21/20

23 Via Almeria

SOLD

$510,000

$378

1,351

2/2

2

1,351

4/10/20

Alassio 54 Paseo Rosa 40 Paseo Del Rey 56 Paseo Luna

5/1/20

Carmel

Santalana 98 Paseo Vista Email Info@Echelberger.com

Trinidad Email Info@Echelberger.com

5 | w ww.E che l berg er.co m

Verano

VIRTUAL HOME STAGING TIPS | A GREATER FOCUS ON VIRTUAL VIEWINGS Virtual home tours and showings are increasingly popular in real estate. They allow prospective home buyers to view the property on their own time and reduce unnecessary contact. For additional information, please visit: w w w. e c h e l b e r g e r. c o m /bl o g

the

sheet

YO U R TA L EG A M A R K E T R EP O R T F O R H O M E VA LU E S I N J U N E

S I N G L E - FA M I LY H O M E S TRACT/STREET

STATUS

PRICE

PRICE/SQ FT

SQ FT*

BED/BATH

GARAGE

LOT SIZE*

COE

SOLD

$1,330,000

$325

4,094

5/6

3

6,389

Pending

$1,900,000

$358

5,303

5/6

3

8,843

12 Via Alcamo

SOLD

$1,975,000

$372

5,303

5/6

3

11,690

4/3/20

26 Via Alcamo

SOLD

$1,740,000

$325

5,355

6/7

2

9,532

4/9/20

Active

$898,000

$350

2,567

3/3

2

4,101

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Active

$1,199,900

$319

3,757

4/3

3

6,330

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Pending

$1,295,000

$345

3,757

4/3

2

6,482

Pending

$1,154,000

$450

2,566

4/3

2

4,461

SOLD

$959,900

$369

2,600

4/3

2

4,430

6/3/20

SOLD

$1,630,000

$348

4,689

4/5

3

9,235

6/4/20

SOLD

$1,588,000

$400

3,975

4/5

2

8,642

6/12/20

Active

$1,195,000

$337

3,547

5/4

2

5,575

Pending

$1,079,999

$367

2,941

4/4

2

6,229

SOLD

$1,290,000

$364

3,548

5/4

2

7,400

Pending

$1,225,000

$320

3,823

5/5

3

5,972

13 Corte El Brazo

SOLD

$1,280,000

$318

4,024

5/5

3

7,165

5/12/20

22 Calle La Espalda

SOLD

$1,238,750

$303

4,082

5/5

3

5,750

4/2/20

34 Calle Loyola

SOLD

$1,195,000

$310

3,849

5/5

3

8,631

6/3/20

Alora 15 Calle Loyola

5/20/20

Alta Email Info@Echelberger.com

Amalfi Email Info@Echelberger.com

Bella Vista

Caprizi Email Info@Echelberger.com 19 Via Canero

Careyes 9 Calle Careyes

Carillon 13 Corte Cabrito

Catania 23 Via Jacobea Email Info@Echelberger.com 60 Via Cartama

4/7/20

Email Info@Echelberger.com

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Cazadero

the

sheet

YO U R TA L EG A M A R K E T R EP O R T F O R H O M E VA LU E S I N J U N E

S I N G L E - FA M I LY H O M E S TRACT/STREET

STATUS

PRICE

PRICE/SQ FT

SQ FT*

BED/BATH

GARAGE

LOT SIZE*

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Active

$925,000

$373

2,478

4/3

2

4,245

Email Info@Echelberger.com

COE

Escala Pending

$830,000

$346

2,400

4/3

2

6,188

9 Via Apuesto

SOLD

$969,000

$385

2,520

4/3

2

8,088

4/13/20

5 Calle Frutas

SOLD

$940,000

$373

2,520

4/3

2

5,053

4/8/20

SOLD

$904,000

$374

2,414

4/3

2

4,550

4/28/20

Farralon Ridge 207 Corte Tierra Cielo

Lucia 27 Via Conocido

Active

$3,350,000

$554

6,046

5/7

4

15,698

19 Via Conocido

SOLD

$2,375,000

$403

5,889

5/6

4

12,784

5/20/20

Mirador Email Info@Echelberger.com

Active

$1,169,000

$302

3,870

4/4

3

8,789

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Pending

$1,625,000

$328

4,951

6/7

3

10,767

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Pending

$1,499,000

$303

4,951

6/7

3

8,718

SOLD

$1,500,000

$324

4,631

5/6

3

8,772

18 Calle Gaulteria

6/11/20

Miraleste Email Info@Echelberger.com

Active

$1,059,000

$351

3,015

5/3

3

5,090

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Pending

$1,145,000

$356

3,219

5/3

2

8,571

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Pending

$1,099,000

$342

3,218

5/4

3

9,505

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Pending

$975,000

$323

3,015

4/3

2

5,040

SOLD

$1,100,000

$342

3,219

5/3

2

7,511

Pending

$1,525,000

$319

4,785

5/6

3

8,310

SOLD

$1,550,000

$346

4,480

4/5

3

11,392

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Pending

$1,150,000

$370

3,111

5/5

2

7,056

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Pending

$1,015,000

$337

3,011

4/3

3

6,813

SOLD

$1,200,000

$341

3,519

4/4

3

7,082

9 Via Cancion

4/20/20

Montellano Email Info@Echelberger.com 29 Calle Vista Del Sol

6/11/20

Monterey

218 Via Sedona

4/21/20

Pacifica Summit Email Info@Echelberger.com 10 Calle Castillo

Active

$1,395,000

$341

4,085

4/4

3

9,216

Pending

$1,239,000

$319

3,886

5/5

2

7,886

Active

$1,598,800

$414

3,866

6/6

3

7,088

Pacifica Talega 7 | w w w.E c hel be rger.c o m

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Portofino No Activity

DIY: RAISED GARDEN BEDS Planning out a garden can be a great idea; it helps to keep you occupied now and yields a variety of healthy vegetables and other foods later in the year. For additional information, please visit: w w w. e c h e l b e r g e r. c o m /bl o g

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YO U R TA L EG A M A R K E T R EP O R T F O R H O M E VA LU E S I N J U N E

S I N G L E - FA M I LY H O M E S TRACT/STREET

STATUS

PRICE

PRICE/SQ FT

SQ FT*

BED/BATH

GARAGE

LOT SIZE*

6,020

COE

Portomarin 52 Via Regalo

Active

$1,099,000

$390

2,816

5/4

2

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Active

$1,059,000

$391

2,710

4/3

2

5,823

13 Via Jenifer

SOLD

$1,299,000

$418

3,108

4/3

2

5,588

5/15/20

Ravenna No Activity

Sabella Email Info@Echelberger.com

Active

$935,000

$356

2,627

4/3

2

5,017

20 Calle Akelia

SOLD

$830,000

$398

2,088

3/3

2

4,978

SOLD

$1,075,000 $957,000

$366

2,615

4/3

2

5,634

Active

$1,238,000

$364

3,398

4/4

3

6,209

Active

$1,125,000

$367

3,069

4/4

3

6,804

6/15/20

San Lucar 5 Corte Limonada

29 Calle Verdadero

SOLD

$362

2,969

4/4

3

6,822

5/26/20

6/12/20

San Rafael Email Info@Echelberger.com

Sansol Email Info@Echelberger.com Email Info@Echelberger.com

Active

$1,100,000

$358

3,069

3/3

3

7,171

Pending

$1,150,000

$355

3,238

5/4

2

6,450

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Active

$1,225,000

$489

2,506

4/3

3

6,691

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Pending

$949,000

$372

2,550

4/3

3

5,242

15 Calle Saltamontes

Seaside

Solana Email Info@Echelberger.com

Active

$855,000

$434

1,972

3/3

2

3,306

17 Camino Azulejo

SOLD

$835,000

$372

2,244

4/3

2

4,022

7 Corte Estante

SOLD

$830,000

$362

2,294

4/3

2

5,319

4/3/20

6/8/20

Stella Mare Email Info@Echelberger.com

Pending

$1,298,000

$348

3,729

5/5

3

7,616

SOLD

$1,058,000

$312

3,388

4/4

2

5,180

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Active

$1,050,000

$318

3,305

5/3

2

6,056

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Pending

$989,900

$366

2,702

5/3

2

6,944

Active

$2,549,000

$453

5,633

5/6

3

16,867

45 Paseo Lerida

6/15/20

Terra Linda

Vittoria

Vizcaya Email Info@Echelberger.com

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8 | w w w.E c hel berg er.c o m

No Activity

the

sheet

YO U R TA L EG A M A R K E T R EP O R T F O R H O M E VA LU E S I N J U N E

SENIOR 55 & OLDER TRACT/STREET

STATUS

PRICE

PRICE/SQ FT

SQ FT*

BED/BATH

GARAGE

LOT SIZE*

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Active

$1,295,000

$355

3,650

4/3

2

6,624

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Active

$1,095,000

$406

2,699

2/2

2

8,026

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Active

$1,050,000

$437

2,401

3/2

2

6,598

Pending

$989,000

$387

2,554

3/2

2

6,968

Email Info@Echelberger.com

Active

$899,000

$391

2,297

3/3

2

4,545

3 Corte Miro

SOLD

$830,000

$397

2,092

2/2

2

4,951

COE

Sandbridge

Seagarden No Activity

Waterleaf Email Info@Echelberger.com

Wavecrest

6/15/20

Taleg a A verag e s Single Family List Price ACTIVE (24) $1,250,983 PENDING SALE (20) $1,206,595 SOLD (26) $1,287,454

SqFt DOM List $ PSF Sold Price Sold $ PSF 3,219 79 $383 3,294 71 $365 3,520 34 $358 $1,249,179 $355

Condo/Townhouse ACTIVE (8) PENDING SALE (7) SOLD (7)

SqFt DOM List $ PSF Sold Price 1,857 59 $372 1,745 64 $381 1,660 30 $374 $608,071

List Price $691,338 $563,000 $620,686

call us today , for a

COMPLIMENTARY

Sold $ PSF $366

home evaluation

9 | w w w.E c hel berger.c o m

from talega ' s most experienced real estate agent

DOUG ECHELBERGER 949.498.7711 | doug @echelberger .com *Approximate The Green Sheet is based on information from the Association of REALTORS®/Multiple Listing Service as of 6.17.2020 and/or other sources. The Talega Green Sheet and MLS data is deemed reliable, but is not guaranteed accurate by the MLS. The Broker/Agent providing the information contained herein may or may not have been the Listing and/or Selling Agent. The properties listed above are not all Pacific Sotheby's International Realty and include listings from other brokers. If you notice any incorrect information or a property that is not listed, please call my office immediately at 949.498.7711. To preserve space, old sales before 4.1.2020 have been eliminated. If you would like the name, address, and phone number of the firm representing a specific property listed above, please email info@echelberger.com.

the

sheet

YO U R TA L EG A M A R K E T R EP O R T F O R H O M E VA LU E S I N J U N E

ORANGE COUNTY MARKET SUMMARY •

The active listing inventory decreased by 94 homes in the past two-weeks, down 2%, and now totals 4,950. Since March, there have been 33% fewer homes that have come on the market compared to the prior 5-year average.

That is 4,580 fewer FOR-SALE signs. COVID-19 is still suppressing the supply of homes. Last year, there were 7,493 homes on the market, 2,543 more than today, a 51% difference.

•

Demand, the number of pending sales over the prior month, increased by 494 pending sales in the past twoweeks, up 24%, and now totals 2,529. It has grown by 56% in only 4 weeks. COVID-19’s effect on housing has vanished. Last year, there were 2,529 pending sales, 5% more than today.

•

The Expected Market Time for all of Orange County decreased from 74 days to 59, a Hot Seller’s Market (less than 60 days). The drop was due to the surge in demand and a subsequent drop in the supply. It was at 84 days last year, much slower than today.

•

For homes priced below $750,000, the market is a hot Seller’s Market (less than 60 days) with an expected market time of 41 days. This range represents 35% of the active inventory and 50% of demand.

•

For homes priced between $750,000 and $1 million, the expected market time is 42 days, a hot Seller’s Market.

This range represents 18% of the active inventory and 25% of demand.

•

For homes priced between $1 million to $1.25 million, the expected market time is 70 days, a slight Seller’s Market (between 60 and 90 days).

•

For luxury homes priced between $1.25 million and $1.5 million, in the past two weeks, the Expected Market Time decreased from 98 to 89 days. For homes priced between $1.5 million and $2 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 116 to 96 days. For luxury homes priced between $2 million and $4 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 258 to 175 days. For luxury homes priced above $4 million, the Expected Market Time decreased from 455 to 315 days.

•

The luxury end, all homes above $1.25 million, accounts for 36% of the inventory and only 16% of demand.

•

Distressed homes, both short sales and foreclosures combined, made up only 0.5% of all listings and 1% of demand. There are only 9 foreclosure s and 15 short sales available to purchase today in all of Orange County, 24 total distressed homes on the active market, down 14 from two-weeks ago. Last year there were 53 total distressed homes on the market, slightly more than today.

There were 1,386 closed residential resales in May, 53% fewer than April 2019’s 2,941 closed sales. This is entirely due to COVID-19 suppressing both supply and demand. May marked a 19% drop compared to April 2020. The sales to list price ratio was 95.4% for all of Orange County. Foreclosures accounted for just 0.6% of all closed sales, and short sales accounted for 0.4%. That means that 99% of all sales were good ol’ fashioned sellers with equity.

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ONLINE EVENTS | V isit O u r B lo g F o r M o re

Drop In on Wild Elephants, Lions & Leopards Ongoing | https://www.africam.com/wildlife/

Africam features a number of live cams you can choose from, all trained on different wildlife watering holes and other hotspots in South Africa. Bliss out to scenes of wild dogs tearing apart a hippo carcass. You’ve earned it

Get Schooled in Science

Ongoing | https://www.pacificsciencecenter.org/live-science-stage/

The Pacific Science Center is offering live streamed science shows, which are a handy way to keep your brain from turning further into oatmeal during self-isolation.

Hangout at the Soggy Dollar Bar Ongoing | https://www.soggydollar.com/webcam

The Soggy Dollar, iconic beach bar of the British Virgin Islands and birthplace of the Painkiller cocktail, turns 50 this year. Celebrate by visiting the bar’s live webcam.

Check-in on an Active Volcano

Ongoing | https://www.arenalobservatorylodge.com/en/live-cam/

This live cam is trained on the Arenal Volcano, the youngest volcano in Costa Rica and also one of the most famous. You can sometimes see spews of water vapor and gas to keep you on your toes.

DOUG ECHELBERGER OVER 700+ SUCCESSFULLY CLOSED TRANSACTIONS IN TALEGA #Keeping ItRealEstate in San Clemente Since 1994

artfully uniting extraordinary homes with extraordinary lives®: we believe luxury is an experience, not a price point.

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DOUG ECHELBERGER DRE#01176379 949.498.7711 Doug@Echelberger.com

Broker and agent do not guarantee accuracy of all data, including all measurements and calculations of area. Information is obtained from various sources and has not been, and will not be, verified by Broker or Agent of MLS. All information should be independently reviewed and verified for accuracy. Sotheby’s International Realty and the Sotheby’s International Realty logo are registered (or unregistered) service marks used with permission. If your property is listed with a real estate broker, please disregard. Each Office Is Independently Owned And Operated. Broker DRE #01767484 | Doug Echelberger DRE #01176379