JON MIRMELLI REAL ESTATE GROUP
MARKET UPDATE
February 2022
Just Listed
Moon Valley Country Club Golf Lot
39 W TAM OSHANTER DR | Phoenix, AZ 85023 $989,900 - See back page for details.
E GROU AT
Rebecca Ponte 602.390.7096
JM
AL ES T RE
PRESENTED BY
JON M MELLI IR
P
Still
tight inventory supply and rising interest rates aren’t slowing down Buyers! As I write this (3/21), there are only 3,500+ homes listed as available and 750+ “coming soon” listings in our MLS system within all of Maricopa county – almost identical numbers to last month. However, in the past 30 days we have 9,450 homes under contract that have not yet closed and 7,400 closed sales over the past 30, closed sales up 15%+ over the prior month with pending sales relatively unchanged. Still a very strong Seller’s market with supply insufficient to meet Buyer’s needs. Interest rates on the rise will increase cost of home ownership: For March 2022 interest rates for a 30 year conforming loan had the largest weekly increase that they have seen since March of 2020 jumping above the 4.5% threshold. Inflation is the name of the game that has sent rates on such a rapid rise. To control the increase of inflation and tighten monetary policy, the Federal Reserve has two choices, increase the Federal Funds Rate and/or reduce the Fed’s balance sheet. Increasing the shorter term Fed Funds Rate will eventually turn positive for long term mortgage rates as inflation is stalled and the Bond continues to provide fixed returns. A reduction in the Fed’s balance sheet where the Fed no longer reinvests in the Bonds each month would cause more supply on the market that has to be absorbed. The only way to absorb the extra supply is to increase the rate of return, or interest paid on those bonds, to attract additional buyers, which would increase long term rates. The majority of Federal Reserve members are expecting seven additional hikes this year but there are only six remaining meetings, which would imply that a 50 basis point hike may be proposed at one of those meetings. The significant jump for rates this month fell on the heels of the Fed’s comments about their $9 trillion balance sheet. After a review of the transcription of the meeting, it was confirmed that the Fed said they would start to reduce their balance sheet at “a coming meeting” and in the Q&A session, Fed Chair Jerome Powell said they may finalize their plan at their next meeting in May. The key going forward will be a careful balance between short-term rate hikes and how the Fed handles their balance sheet run-off for the remainder of 2022.
1/17/22 – 2/17/22
VS. MAR. 2022 2/17/22 – 3/17/22
# OF CLOSED LISTINGS
CAVE CREEK/CAREFREE`
Jon Mirmelli Real Estate Group
AVERAGE SOLD PRICE
AVERAGE SALE/ LIST PRICE
AVERAGE $/SQFT
68
79
$947,587
$921,701
102%
102%
$352.06
28
44
$1,220,924
$1,527,136
101%
102%
$402.83
85255 85254 85260 85259 85258 85250 85251 85257
101 89 68 44 64 48 102 68
130 102 103 49 111 55 108 65
$1,548,186 $934,874 $1,076,335 $1,313,009 $921,848 $646,491 $683,703 $565,925
$1,779,883 $974,766 $990,487 $1,268,347 $882,253 $731,002 $715,076 $577,250
102% 102% 102% 102% 101% 102% 101% 101%
103% 103% 104% 103% 103% 104% 102% 103%
85268
73
104
$767,729
$780,091
101%
85253
50
72
$3,623,075
$3,593,245
85028 85016 85018
40 61 63
35 80 83
$725,649 $718,160 $1,210,836
$731,886 $733,568 $1,235,565
85331
SCOTTSDALE 85266
HOMES RECENTLY SOLD
FEB. 2022
ZIP
85262
53
FOUNTAIN HILLS PARADISE VALLEY
60
JM
PRESENTED BY
$1,373,114
PHOENIX/ARCADIA/BILTMORE
$1,786,436
AL ES T RE
CLOSED
E GROU AT
MARKET WATCH
JON M MELLI IR
P
AVERAGE DOM
$344.42
31
32
$433.32
36
45
$452.23 $421.32 $411.32 $403.04 $420.24 $383.52 $409.68 $346.73
$502.69 $431.04 $419.97 $410.82 $413.13 $395.56 $429.37 $376.37
35 25 34 41 28 31 38 43
32 24 26 47 23 17 35 28
103%
$331.87
$341.82
39
37
98%
99%
$663.96
$719.87
98
75
101% 99% 100%
104% 101% 102%
$344.62 $354.79 $471.08
$360.37 $377.68 $492.94
38 53 44
27 33 26
100%
101%
$406.65
$456.38
95
56
ZIP CODE MAP
79
SCOTTSDALE
60
44
homes closed
homes closed
homes closed
130
homes closed
102
homes closed
103
homes closed
49
homes closed
111
35
homes closed
homes closed
72
homes closed
80
homes closed
104
homes closed
55
homes closed
83
homes closed
108
homes closed
65
homes closed
The properties on this list have been listed/sold by various members of the MLS. If your home is currently listed, this is not a solicitation for that listing. Data reported is based upon sales information provided by the MLS as of Apr. 17, 2022. Data deemed to be reliable but not guaranteed. Each office is independently owned and operated.
LISTED
MARKET
WATCH
PRESENTED BY
Jon Mirmelli Real Estate Group
Jon Mirmelli Real Estate Group - Featured Listing
Need help selling your existing home or looking to buy? Please call Jon today! Referrals always appreciated.
ACTIVE
Moon Valley
39 W Tam Oshanter Dr | Phoenix, Az 85023
4 Beds | 3.5 Baths | 3,525 SQFT | $989,900 Highly desired golf course lot in Moon Valley with South facing backyard with great views of North Mountain. Split floor plan with 4bd/3.5ba with North/South exposure - no interior steps! Spacious great room opens up to the kitchen with nice floor-to-ceiling height with lots of windows from the great room to the spacious backyard / patio that backs to the Moon Valley golf course with mountain views. Home includes RV gate and RV slab. Home is in very nice condition with pride of ownership. Please see floor and site plan. No HOA fees! Moon Valley Country Club is a private golf course and membership options available through the Country Club.
If your home is currently listed, this is not a solicitation for that listing.
E GROU AT
JON M
JM
AL ES T RE
Jon Mirmelli | 602.300.1900
P
MELLI IR
Jon Mirmelli Real Estate Group
Produced by Prime Source & DLP • 480.921.0511 • PrimeSourceAZ.com