2025 South Hayling Coastal Processes and Climate Change

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25thFebruary2025

Settingthescene

CarolineTimlett

SouthHaylingcoastalprocessesandclimatechange

SamanthaCope

WestBeach

CarolineTimlett

25thFebruary2025

Settingthescene

CarolineTimlett

SouthHaylingcoastalprocessesandclimatechange

SamanthaCope

WestBeach

CarolineTimlett

Ourvisionistomanagecoastlines,improvecommunity resilienceandenhancethenaturalenvironment.

Fareham
GosportPortsmouthHayling Island
Havant
Chichester

25thFebruary2025

Settingthescene

CarolineTimlett

SouthHaylingcoastalprocessesandclimatechange

SamanthaCope

WestBeach

CarolineTimlett

SouthHaylingcoastalprocessesandclimatechange

Whatweknow

-Sedimenttransport -Increasedstorminessoverpast20years -Climatechangeprojections

-Floodandcoastalerosionrisk

SouthHaylingcoastalprocessesandclimatechange

Whatweknow

-Sedimenttransport -Increasedstorminessoverpast20years -Climatechangeprojections

-Floodandcoastalerosionrisk

Sedimenttransporthttps://www.scopac.org.uk/sts/

Howdoweknowthis?Monitoring

Geomaticssurveydata

NationalNetworkofRegionalCoastal MonitoringProgramme

https://coastalmonitoring.org/

Tracerstudies

NativepebblesarecollectedfromsiteandauniqueRadioFrequencytagissealedinside

Wehaveover10,000pebblesdeployedonthesouthcoast! https://southerncoastalgroup-scopac.org.uk/tracer-pebble-studies/)

Lidardifferenceplotandtracers

SouthHayling

Blue=accretion

Red=erosion Includes beach management activities

Sedimenttransporthttps://www.scopac.org.uk/sts/

Beachdifferenceplotsandtracers

South-westHayling

1832–2007(HaylingIslandBMP)

1963©OrdnanceSurvey

1984©HampshireCounty Council

Firstsection removed

Firsthaul routebuilt

Secondsection removed

SouthHaylingIslandBMP

•InitialbeachrechargeatEastokeundertakenin 1985,withbeachmanagementcontinuingto presentday.

•Themaintainedbeachreducesflood/erosion riskto1,555propertiesatEastoke.

•Onaverage,28,000m3shingleisrecycled annually,generallyacrosstwocampaigns (September&March).

•TheBMPsetsoutthekeysourcesofmaterial forworks,includingrecyclingfromthebeach, rechargefrommaintenancedredging,import viaroadandimportviapumpashore.

•OverallBMPcosts:£5.1m2024-2029

Pre-worksbeach condition,Hayling (10/03/23) Mid-works,Hayling (21/03/23)

Post-worksbeachcondition, Hayling(31/03/23)

SouthHaylingcoastalprocessesandclimatechange

Whatweknow

-Sedimenttransport -Increasedstorminessoverpast20years -Climatechangeprojections

-Floodandcoastalerosionrisk

Weymouth
Boscombe
Milford
SandownBay
HaylingIsland
BrackleshamBay
Rustington
Chesil
WestBay

Increasingoccurrenceofswellandbi-modalevents

Waveheighttrend

Windwaveperiodtrend

Swellwaveperiodtrend

Wavedirectiontrend

Bimodalseastrend

Coastalmanagersfeltimpactofthisoverpastdecade,withmorefrequentbeach managementcampaigns,beachdrawdown,overtopping,flooding,re-activationofcliff erosionandassetdeterioration.

Weymouth
Boscombe
Milford
SandownBay
HaylingIsland
BrackleshamBay
Rustington
WestBay
Chesil

Increasingoccurrenceofswellandbi-modalevents

Pureswellevent1stFeb2021

Barelya1in4yrreturnperiodaccordingtotraditionalJointProbabilitymethods(waveheightandstillWaterLevel(©Dhoop,TCCO,2021). Infact-largestwaveenergy(Te)recordedin20years(©Dhoop,TandThompson,C2021).

1stFebruary2021:swellevent

NotjustcentralsouthcoastofEngland

SouthHaylingcoastalprocessesandclimatechange

Whatweknow

-Sedimenttransport -Increasedstorminessoverpast20years -Climatechangeprojections

-Floodandcoastalerosionrisk

GlobalTemperatureChange(1850-2023)

Governmentclimatechangeallowances

Sealevelrise(SLR)UKCP18

-Allprojectstoadoptthe“RepresentativeConcentrationPathway8.5(RCP8.5)highemissionsscenario70th%ile(for designpurposes)and95th%ile(forsensitivitytesting).”Thisequatesto1.2mand1.6mofSLRby2124respectively.

-Assumesglobaltemperatureincreaseof ~4.5degreesabovepre-industriallevelsin 100yearstime.2024averaged1.5degrees.

Extremestormsurgeevents

-AllprojectstouselatestCoastalFlood BoundaryDataset(CFBD2018).These includetheeffectsofextremewaterlevels +stormsurgesandastronomicaltides.

Increaseinwaveheight

-10%increaseappliedtowaveheight

SouthHaylingcoastalprocessesandclimatechange

Whatweknow

-Sedimenttransport -Increasedstorminessoverpast20years -Climatechangeprojections

-Floodandcoastalerosionrisk

WestBeachmonitoring

WestBeacherosionprojections

Currentarea ofstability

Continued cutback

Hotspotsoferosionand accretioncontinuein

LangstoneHarbourrun.

IOTBisactingasacontrolstructure, influencingcoastupdriftanddowndrift

Newareaofstability fromrecyclingand creationofhaulroute. Reliantonrecycling fromGunnerPoint. GunnerPointcontinues toaccrete.Relianton recycling.

WestBeachcontinues toerode

EastWinner continuesto accrete

-Nolongerastrongonshorefeedof materialatEastoke,hencetheBMP

-Sedimenttransportiseasttowest fromdriftdivideatEastoke,feeding SWHayling

-Increasedstorminessoverlast20 yearsimpactingcentralsouthcoast ofUK

-Governmentguidance-Sealevels arepredictedtoriseby~1.2mby 2125

Coastalprocessesandclimatechange

Whatweneedtoknow

-ImpactoffuturemanagementinterventionsoncoastalprocessesatSWHayling

-Betterunderstandingofswellandbimodalwaves

-Futuremonitoring

-ShorelineManagement

-JourneyatWestBeach

-Acollaborativeapproach -FAQs

WestBeach CarolineTimlett

ShorelineManagement

ThreeTiredApproachtoCoastalManagement

Tier1-NorthSolentShorelineManagementPlan(2010)

ThecoastalpolicyvariesalongthesouthcoastofHaylingIsland;froma‘HoldtheLine’policyattheeastand centralareasoftheisland,toanareaof‘naturalevolution’atWestBeachandGunnerPoint.

Tier2-HaylingIslandCoastalManagementStrategy

WestBeach(ODU10)Allowthecoasttoevolvenaturallyalongsideprivatemaintenanceorreplacementofdefencesor adaptationbylandowners

TheStrategydoesNOT…

xGuaranteephysicalworks

xGuaranteefunding

xRecommenddefenceseverywhere

TheStrategydoes

Identifyashorttermprogrammeof works

Outlinealongtermplanforcoastal management

Respondtofuturecoastalchangeover thenext100years

Provideapoliticallyendorsedmandate forfuturecoastalmanagement

EnvironmentAgencyapprovedStrategy

Betterprepared,better-informed residents

HaylingIslandCoastalManagementStrategy

Finalstrategyoptions

*PropertyResilience …modificationsaddedtoabuildingto loweritsfloodrisk.Itcanreducetherisk ofwatergettingintopropertiesand speeduprecoveryafteraflood.

WestBeach(ODU10)Allowthecoasttoevolvenaturallyalongsideprivatemaintenanceor replacementofdefencesoradaptationbylandowners

PolicyOverview JourneyatWestBeach

Timberseadefencesbuilt1976

InresponsetocoastalerosiondowndriftoftheInnonthe Beach,timberseadefenceswereconstructed.

HBCPolicyDecision2008

“Oncethecoastaldefencesreachtheendoftheirserviceable lifeorbecomeahealthandsafetyrisk,thestructuresshould beremovedandthebeachallowedtoevolvenaturally”.

Implementation

Failedandhazardoussectionsoftimberrevetmentand associatedgroyneswereremovedbetween2012and2021

HBCPolicyDecision2024

“Amodestcapitalinvestmenttowardsa‘DoMinimum’ collaborativeapproachwouldgivemorecertaintyinthis dynamicsituation”

1970’s

TheWestBeachtimberrevetmentandgroyneswereeffective andenableddevelopmentofthecarparkandprovisionofbeach huts.

PolicyOverview JourneyatWestBeach

Timberseadefencesbuilt1976

InresponsetocoastalerosiondowndriftoftheInnonthe Beach,timberseadefenceswereconstructed.

HBCPolicyDecision2008

“Oncethecoastaldefencesreachtheendoftheirserviceable lifeorbecomeahealthandsafetyrisk,thestructuresshould beremovedandthebeachallowedtoevolvenaturally”.

Implementation

Failedandhazardoussectionsoftimberrevetmentand associatedgroyneswereremovedbetween2012and2021

HBCPolicyDecision2024

“Amodestcapitalinvestmenttowardsa‘DoMinimum’ collaborativeapproachwouldgivemorecertaintyinthis dynamicsituation”

Despiteover£1millionofroutinemaintenancewhichhas extendedtheirlife,in2008thesetimberstructureswere identifiedtobeattheendoftheirlifeandtheCouncilagreedto notrepairofreconstructthesewhenfailureoccurred.

Timberseadefencesbuilt1976

InresponsetocoastalerosiondowndriftoftheInnonthe Beach,timberseadefenceswereconstructed.

“Oncethecoastaldefencesreachtheendoftheirserviceable lifeorbecomeahealthandsafetyrisk,thestructuresshould beremovedandthebeachallowedtoevolvenaturally”.

Failedandhazardoussectionsoftimberrevetmentand associatedgroyneswereremovedbetween2012and2021

“Amodestcapitalinvestmenttowardsa‘DoMinimum’ collaborativeapproachwouldgivemorecertaintyinthis dynamicsituation”

Followingaperiodofstormyconditions,failureofa150mofthe timberrevetmentoccurredin2012.Thissectionwasremoved, leavingonlythefrontingtimbergroynes.

AnincreaseinstormactivityalongthesouthcoastofEngland droveacceleratedcoastalerosionwhicheventuallyoutflanked thegroynesin2018,whichwerethenremoved.

PolicyOverview JourneyatWestBeach

Timberseadefencesbuilt1976

InresponsetocoastalerosiondowndriftoftheInnonthe Beach,timberseadefenceswereconstructed.

HBCPolicyDecision2008

“Oncethecoastaldefencesreachtheendoftheirserviceable lifeorbecomeahealthandsafetyrisk,thestructuresshould beremovedandthebeachallowedtoevolvenaturally”.

Implementation

Failedandhazardoussectionsoftimberrevetmentand associatedgroyneswereremovedbetween2012and2021

HBCPolicyDecision2024

“Amodestcapitalinvestmenttowardsa‘DoMinimum’ collaborativeapproachwouldgivemorecertaintyinthis dynamicsituation”

In2020furthersectionsofdefenceshaddeterioratedtoafailed statefollowingaseriesofwinterstormsandcontinuederosion andwereremoved.

Timberseadefencesbuilt1976

InresponsetocoastalerosiondowndriftoftheInnonthe Beach,timberseadefenceswereconstructed.

HBCPolicyDecision2008

“Oncethecoastaldefencesreachtheendoftheirserviceable lifeorbecomeahealthandsafetyrisk,thestructuresshould beremovedandthebeachallowedtoevolvenaturally”.

Implementation

Failedandhazardoussectionsoftimberrevetmentand associatedgroyneswereremovedbetween2012and2021

HBCPolicyDecision2024

“Amodestcapitalinvestmenttowardsa‘DoMinimum’ collaborativeapproachwouldgivemorecertaintyinthis dynamicsituation”

Leaving50mofthetimberrevetment(adjacenttoInnonthe Beach)andthetimbergroynesastheycurrentlyremaineffective.

Timberseadefencesbuilt1976

InresponsetocoastalerosiondowndriftoftheInnonthe Beach,timberseadefenceswereconstructed.

HBCPolicyDecision2008

“Oncethecoastaldefencesreachtheendoftheirserviceable lifeorbecomeahealthandsafetyrisk,thestructuresshould beremovedandthebeachallowedtoevolvenaturally”.

Implementation

Failedandhazardoussectionsoftimberrevetmentand associatedgroyneswereremovedbetween2012and2021

HBCPolicyDecision2024

“Amodestcapitalinvestmenttowardsa‘DoMinimum’ collaborativeapproachwouldgivemorecertaintyinthis dynamicsituation”

HaylingIslandCoastalManagementStrategy

WestBeach(ODU10)Allowthecoasttoevolvenaturally alongsideprivatemaintenanceorreplacementofdefencesor adaptationbylandowners

Dominimumadaptiveapproach

•Implementa"dominimum"adaptableandsustainable solutiontogainmorecertaintyonthecoastalevolutionof WestBeachdeliveringmutualbenefitstoallpartners

•TheHaylingGolfClubaredevelopingoptionstoprotect theirland.

•TheInnontheBeachownersareawareoftheriskthat theirbuildingcouldbelostinthenextfewyears.

•Byworkinginpartnership,thereistheopportunityto developaschemethatwillgivemoreconfidencetothe restofthecoastlineforthenext20-50years.

•Anysolutionneedstobesensitivetothecoastal managementpolicy,theenvironmentandfunding.

EnvironmentalDesignations

HaylingGolfClub

Removed defences

SSSI–nationallyimportantsite

ValuableVegetatedShingle,sanddunesand speciesrich,supportingpopulationsofUK’s scarceplantspecies.

Remaining Beachhuts

SpecialProtectionArea(SPA) &

SpecialAreasofConservation(SAC)

Remaining defences

Innon the Beach

OurCollaborative-Adaptiveapproach

FirstStage

EngagewithHaylingGolfClubandInnontheBeachtounderstandopportunitiesandenvironmentalconstraints

SecondStage

Agreeappropriateobjectives,governance,timelinesandfinancialcontributionsdrivers,opportunitiesandenvironmental constraints

Construction(subjecttofundsandconsents)2026-2027

RevetmentConditionFebruary2025

FAQs

Whatisthepolicyforthisarea?

‘naturalevolution’atWestBeachand GunnerPoint

Whyhasthetimberbeenremovedandnot replaced?

TheHavantBoroughCouncilpolicyforthesea defencesatWestBeachistoremovelifeexpired structuresastheybecomeahealthandsafetyrisk inlinewiththepolicyforthisarea.

Thestructureswerebeyondrepairandwouldneed acapitalreplacement.Thiswasunaffordableand notinlinewiththePolicy.

CanHBCbuildanewcarparkinland?

No.Inlandofthebeachisenvironmentally importantanddesignatedSSSI.

Canyoupredictwhatwillhappenoncethe defencesareremoved?

In2020AdaptationZoneshavebeendeveloped whicharepresentedinthefollowingfigureandwill informfuturelanduseplanningatWestBeachover thenext100years.

FAQs

CantheEnvironmentAgencyfundingforHaylingIslandbe usedfortimbermaintenance?

No.TheEAfundingawardedtoHBCistomanagefloodriskat Eastoke,throughtherecyclingandimportofshingletohelp reducefloodanderosionrisktothehighnumberofproperties andresidentshere.Thefundingcannotbeusedforthe maintenanceofcoastalstructures.

Who’sresponsibleforfloodriskmanagement?

Defra–Overallresponsibilityandfundingallocations

EA*–Strategicoversight–permissivepowers(no legalobligation)

HBC*–permissivepowers(nolegalobligation)

Landowners*–responsibletoprotecttheirownland

Thereiscurrentlynogov.fundingavailableto funddefencesatWestBeach.Fundingwill needtobethroughprivateowners.

Whatisthelong-termplanforWestBeach?

TheimportanceoftheInnontheBeachinmanagingthe widercoastlineisrecognisedintheHaylingIsland CoastalManagementStrategy,whichhighlightsthatit currentlyactsasdominantcontrolstructurewhichallows sedimenttoaccumulatetotheeast.Assuch,policyisto implementa"dominimum"adaptableandsustainable solutiontogainmorecertaintyonthecoastalevolutionof WestBeach Whowillpayforascheme?

*Mustactwithinstatutoryplanningregulationsandotherapplicablelegislationwithanappropriateengineeringsolutionthatis achievableandaffordable.

HISTORYOFWESTBEACH-FAQS:

https://coastalpartners.org.uk/project/history-of-west-beach-faqs/

BriefoverviewofWestBeach

https://coastalpartners.org.uk/project/brief-overview-of-westbeach/

ThankyouforListening

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