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Ras Al Khaimah Residential Market Performance H1'2026 3

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Ras Al Khaimah Residential Market Performance H1 2026

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Executive Summary Ras Al Khaimah’s economy remained broadly supportive during H1 2026, with continued investment, business formation and employment growth supporting residential demand. The emirate attracted AED 771.5 million in new investment, while 967 new businesses joined the Ras Al Khaimah Chamber of Commerce. RAK Economic Zone’s commercial employment also increased during the period, while the trade balance improved to AED 3.08 billion. These developments point to continued underlying economic resilience, although higher inflation and regional geopolitical uncertainty has introduced some caution.

market’s ability to absorb this pipeline will depend on continued population, employment and investment growth. The anticipated opening of Wynn Al Marjan Island remains a key demand catalyst, with the potential to support employment creation, boost tourism inflows and generate additional housing demand. The performance of the market in H2 2026 will therefore provide greater clarity on whether the recent moderation in prices and rents is temporary or signals a broader shift towards more measured market conditions.

The residential market, however, has shown some signs of moderation in recent months. Freehold ready residential transaction values reached AED 625.2 million in H1 2026, down 3.3% year-on-year but 24.1% higher than H2 2025. Sales prices remained above H1 2025 levels, with apartment and villa prices increasing by 6.5% and 5.9%, respectively, although both segments recorded modest declines over the past three months. Rental rates also remained higher year-on-year, rising by 7.1% for apartments and 8.0% for villas, but apartment rents declined over the past three months. Supply is expected to become an increasingly important factor, with around 1,600 units due for delivery in H2 2026, followed by approximately 4,700 units in 2027 and 7,500 units in 2028. The

Market Snapshot for H1 2026 Residential Sales Value

AED 625.2 Million (-3.3%) Y-on-Y

Apartment Sales Price

Residential Supply

+6.5% Y-on-Y

+7.1% Y-on-Y

600 units

4,700 units

Villa Sales Price

Villa Rental Price

Completed in H1 2026

Expected in 2027

Expected in H2 2026

Expected in 2028

+5.9% Y-on-Y

2

Apartment Rental Price

Ras Al Khaimah Market Performance H1 2026

+8% Y-on-Y

1,600 units

7,500 units


Macroeconomic Overview and Outlook Ras Al Khaimah’s economic environment remained broadly

contributed to an improvement in the overall trade balance,

supportive during H1 2026, with continued investment, business

which increased from AED 1.95 billion in H1 2025 to AED 3.08

formation and trade activity. S&P Global affirmed the emirate’s

billion in H1 2026. Meanwhile, inflationary pressures have

‘A/A-1’ sovereign credit rating with a stable outlook, while

increased,

forecasting real GDP growth to average around 2.2% in 2026–27

year-on-year in June 2026, potentially placing some pressure on

before strengthening over the medium term. Investment activity

household costs.

with

the

Consumer

Price

Index

rising

4.9%

also remained healthy, with Ras Al Khaimah attracting AED 771.5 million in new investment during H1 2026, according to the Ras Al

Looking ahead, regional geopolitical uncertainty introduces

Khaimah Chamber of Commerce. A total of 967 new businesses

some caution to the near-term outlook. However, Ras Al

joined

Khaimah

the

Chamber,

bringing

1,399

investors

from

68

has

remained

resilient

through

H1

2026,

with

nationalities to the emirate. These investments are expected to

investment inflows and business formation continuing to support

generate approximately 2,449 new jobs.

economic activity.

Business activity and employment also expanded. The RAK Economic Zone’s commercial licence base reached 63,258 by June 2026, while commercial employment increased to 85,989, from 67,107 at the end of 2025. Industrial employment stood at 61,527 at the end of H1 2026. International trade through RAK’s ports also remained active in H1 2026, with total imports reaching approximately AED 6.4 billion, while exports stood at AED 6.5 billion. Re-exports rose sharply to around AED 3 billion, compared with approximately AED 1.9 billion in H1 2025. This

Ras Al Khaimah’s underlying economy remains

resilient.

Strong

inflows,

business

investment

formation

and

employment growth will continue to support housing demand. While recent price and rental moderation reflects a more

cautious

market

environment,

underlying fundamentals remain sound as we move into the second half of the year.

Yousir Habib

Associate Director, Commercial Valuation

3

Ras Al Khaimah Market Performance H1 2026


Freehold Ready Residential Market: Sales Value (AED Millions) Ras Al Khaimah’s freehold ready residential market recorded total transaction values of AED 625.2 million during H1 2026, representing a 3.3% year-on-year decline compared with H1 2025. However, transaction values were 24.1% higher than in H2 2025. The annual decline was primarily driven by the villa segment, where transaction values fell by 7.4% year-on-year to AED 297.7 million. In contrast, the apartment segment remained broadly stable, with transaction values increasing by 0.7% year-on-year to AED 327.6 million. On a quarterly basis, total transaction values reached AED 353.8 million in Q2 2026, increasing by 30.3% quarter-on-quarter, while remaining 0.3% below the same period last year. Apartments accounted for AED 155.6 million in transaction value, while villas accounted for AED 198.2 million.

Sales Values 800M

600M

646.5M

630.3M

700M 541.2M

504M

500M

325.1M

334.1M

400M

625.2M

327.6M

334M

260M

300M 200M 321.3M

296.2M

100M 0M

244M

207.2M

H1 2024

H2 2024

H2 2025

H1 2025 Villas

Apartments

297.7M

H1 2026

Total Sales Transactions

Change in Transaction Value (%) H-on-H

+22%

+26%

+24.1%

Y-on-Y

-7.4%

+0.7%

-3.3%

Source: Cavendish Maxwell, Ras Al Khaimah Statistics Centre

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Ras Al Khaimah Market Performance H1 2026


Residential Supply Residential supply in Ras Al Khaimah remained relatively contained during H1 2026, with approximately 600 units added to the market. The development pipeline, however, points to a step-up in deliveries over the coming years. Around 1,600 units are expected in H2 2026, followed by approximately 4,700 units in 2027 and 7,500 units in 2028, representing an increase from the more measured pace of recent periods. As this volume of supply enters the market, demand absorption becomes an increasingly important consideration. The market’s ability to accommodate the pipeline will depend primarily on continued employment growth and the emirate’s capacity to attract and retain residents, with infrastructure development, connectivity improvements and community amenities serving as supporting factors that strengthen the emirate’s residential appeal.

8k

7k

6k

5k

4k

7.5k

3k 4.7k

2k 1.6k

1k 1.2k

0k

0.6k 2025

2026 (E) Completed Supply

Source: Cavendish Maxwell, MEED Projects

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Ras Al Khaimah Market Performance H1 2026

2027 (F*) Upcoming Supply

2028 (F*)


Sales Price Change (%) Residential sales prices in Ras Al Khaimah remained higher year-on-year during H1 2026, with apartment prices increasing by 6.5% and villa prices by 5.9%. However, price growth has started to ease, with apartment prices declining by 0.7% and villa prices by 0.2% over the past three months. The recent easing reflects a more cautious approach among buyers amid broader macroeconomic uncertainty. The performance during H2 2026 will therefore be important in determining whether the recent easing is temporary or marks a shift in price momentum.

10% 8%

6.5%

5.9%

6% 4% 1.2%

2%

1.5%

0% -2%

-0.7%

-0.2%

Past 3 Months

Past 6 Months Apartments

Past 12 Months

Villas

Source: Cavendish Maxwell, Property Monitor

Rental Rate Change (%) Rental rates in Ras Al Khaimah remained higher year-on-year during H1 2026, with apartment rents increasing by 7.1% and villa rents by 8.0%. However, the recent trend has been more mixed, with apartment rents declining by 1.4% over the past three months, while villa rents increased by 0.9%. The divergence between the two segments indicates that rental performance is becoming more uneven within the emirate, with apartment rents showing greater near-term sensitivity to the more cautious market environment.

10% 8% 7.1%

8% 6% 3.8%

4%

2.4% 0.9%

2% -1.4%

0% -2%

Past 3 Months

Past 6 Months Apartments

Source: Cavendish Maxwell, Property Monitor

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Ras Al Khaimah Market Performance H1 2026

Villas

Past 12 Months


2026 Real Estate Market Outlook Ras Al Khaimah’s residential market enters the second half of 2026 with growth momentum showing signs of easing. While the underlying economic environment remains supportive, with continued investment inflows, business formation and employment growth providing a foundation for residential demand, heightened regional geopolitical uncertainty has introduced greater caution among buyers and tenants, contributing to softer near-term price and rental performance. The supply pipeline will also become an increasingly important factor for the market. Around 1,600 units are expected in H2 2026, followed by approximately 4,700 units in 2027 and 7,500 units in 2028. The ability of employment and population growth to absorb this incoming supply will therefore be important, particularly as increased competition between developments could result in more measured price and rental growth. The anticipated opening

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Ras Al Khaimah Market Performance H1 2026

of Wynn Al Marjan Island remains a key medium-term demand catalyst, with the potential to support tourism inflows, stimulate employment creation and generate additional housing demand, particularly in communities in proximity to Al Marjan Island. Regional geopolitical developments remain an important factor to monitor through H2 2026, particularly given their potential impact on buyer and tenant sentiment. However, Ras Al Khaimah's economy has so far remained relatively resilient, with continued investment, business formation and employment growth during H1 2026. The performance of the residential market during the second half of the year will provide greater clarity on whether the recent moderation in sales prices and rental rates is temporary or marks a broader shift towards more measured market conditions.


Authors Julian Roche

Ali Siddiqui

Chief Economist Cavendish Maxwell julian.roche@cavendishmaxwell.com

Research Manager ali.siddiqui@cavendishmaxwell.com +971 50 877 0190

Key Contacts Yousir Habib

Zacky Sajjad

Director, Business Development and Client Relations zacky.sajjad@cavendishmaxwell.com +971 50 644 5089

Associate Director, Commercial Valuation yousir.habib@cavendishmaxwell.com +971 50 367 9511

Ras Al Khaimah +971 7 203 7822 rak@cavendishmaxwell.com S-01, Unit 8, Level 42, Julphar Tower, Al Hisn Road, Dafan Al Nakheel P.O. Box 94254, Ras Al Khaimah, United Arab Emirates Dubai

Abu Dhabi

Sharjah

Ajman

Ras Al Khaimah

Muscat

Kuwait City

Riyadh

cavendishmaxwell.com

Disclaimer: The information and analysis contained in this publication are derived from sources generally considered reliable and based on assumptions deemed reasonable and current at the time of undertaking market research. However, no representation or warranty, express or implied is made regarding their accuracy or completeness. We reserve the right to vary our methodology and to amend or discontinue the indices at any time for regulatory or other reasons. The information and its analysis in this publication do not constitute legal, financial, or any other form of advice. Furthermore, it does not constitute a formal valuation, feasibility study or analysis of any property interest and should not be construed as such. Such analysis, including forward-looking statements are opinions and estimates only, and are based on a wide range of variables which may not be capable of being determined with accuracy. Variation in any of these indicators can have a material impact on the analysis and we draw your attention to this. Cavendish Maxwell accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss or damage whether direct or indirect arising from reliance on this information.


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