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Is Age Just a Number?
Nancy Volpe Beringer Destined to Design PLUS The Healthcare Puzzle Creative Disruption 5G: What’s It All About Lending a Hand
FALL 2020
At CAPTRUST, we believe we have a profound responsibility to share our success with those less fortunate than we are. One way we do that is through the activities of the CAPTRUST Community Foundation, our in-house, employee-run charitable foundation. Its mission is to enrich the lives of children in communities we serve. The foundation, a registered 501(c)(3) charity, was formally organized in 2007 to provide our employees with opportunities to participate as a group in community outreach efforts and to offer their time, passion, and financial support as a way to give back.
“Children learn more from what you are than what you teach. � W.E.B. Du Bois We invite you to like the CAPTRUST Community Foundation on Facebook.
COMMUNITY FOUNDATION
captrustcommunityfoundation.org | toll-free: 855.649.0943 4208 Six Forks Road, Suite 1700 | Raleigh, NC 27609
Volume 6, Issue 3 | Fall 2020
While it started off quietly enough, 2020 quickly turned out to be a newsdriven year—between the COVID-19 pandemic, a record-breaking market selloff and rally, a contentious election season, and a long-overdue national conversation on police violence and systemic racism. I hope this issue provides a brief and constructive distraction from the news as we wind down the final months of this eventful year. This issue’s Second Act hero is Nancy Volpe Beringer, a name that may be familiar to fans of Project Runway as the show’s oldest contestant and season 18 runner-up. After a rewarding career in education, she pursued a lifelong interest in fashion design. Two years later, Beringer graduated at the top of her class from Drexel University’s Westphal College of Media Arts & Design, and she hasn’t looked back. This issue also features a wide range of other topics, including: • The cost and complexity of health care during retirement; • How to avoid falling prey to confirmation bias; • Finding flow by immersing yourself in your interests and passions;
PUBLISHER J. Fielding Miller Chief Executive Officer EDITORS John Curry Editor-in-Chief
EDITORIAL ADVISORY BOARD
This issue’s must-read feature, “Is Age Just a Number?” by long-time contributor Kim Painter, explores the emerging concept of biological age, what it means, how to measure it, and how to influence it for the better. Hint: You probably already know what to do for a better, longer, and healthier life. Lastly, in this issue’s investment feature, Chief Investment Officer Kevin Barry and Investment Strategist Sam Kirby take a look at how technology has impacted our response to the COVID-19 pandemic and how the crisis has accelerated a number of trends. As with any disruption, we are on the lookout for winners, losers, and potential impacts on investment strategy. As always, we appreciate your article ideas, reactions, and feedback. Please keep them coming. All the best,
• Intra-family lending to help put adult children on a sound financial path; and • The promise of fifth-generation wireless—otherwise known as 5G.
Alysa Cronin Managing Editor
Jeremy Altfeder Financial Advisor
Linda McBrayer Associate, Advisor Group
Kathleen Carlson Vice President, Financial Advisor
Jon Meyer Chief Technology Officer
Rhonda Downum Manager, Client Solutions Group
Greg Middleton Director, Advisor Group
Philip D’Unger Senior Team Leader, Client Solutions Group
Steve Morton Principal, Financial Advisor
Kathleen Hopkins Manager, Advisor Group
Michelle Scarver Vice President, Financial Advisor
Mario Giganti Senior Vice President, Financial Advisor
James Stenstrom Senior Manager, Client Solutions Group
Wat Keys Vice President, Financial Advisor
Tiffany Walker Financial Advisor
Ted Lew Vice President, Financial Advisor
Colby Warren Manager, Advisor Group
ART DIRECTION AND MARKETING Lonzetta Allen Design Consultant
Harrison Brackett Associate Art Director
Elizabeth Altman Distribution Manager
John Curry Art Director
WITH THE ASSISTANCE OF
J. FIELDING MILLER CAPTRUST Chief Executive Officer
Azul Photography Raleigh, NC
Worth Higgins & Associates, Inc. Richmond, VA
Gabrielle Burke Pittsburgh, PA
Getty Images Seattle, WA
Justin Gartman Raleigh, NC
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CONTENT AND CONTRIBUTORS
Gabrielle Burke
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18
Gabrielle Burke
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KEVIN BARRY
JOHN CURRY
NEIL DOWNING
SAM KIRBY
Kevin Barry is CAPTRUST’s chief investment officer and leads the Investment Group, the team responsible for investment manager due diligence, asset allocation, and discretionary investment management for the firm’s wealth management and institutional advisory clients. Barry studied finance at La Salle University in Philadelphia and the University of London, where he received a Master of Science degree in financial management.
As chief marketing officer, John Curry is responsible for all areas of strategic marketing and branding for CAPTRUST. In the industry since 1986, Curry has served in senior management roles with firms such as ProShares and AllianceBernstein and has experience in areas of strategic marketing, including product development and design, market research, branding, and sales campaign management.
Neil Downing is a CERTIFIED FINANCIAL PLANNER™ professional and enrolled agent, licensed by the U.S. Treasury Department to represent taxpayers before the Internal Revenue Service. A newspaper reporter, editor, and columnist for 35 years, Downing has authored several publications focused on maximizing the value of employee benefits and retirement savings vehicles.
As leader of CAPTRUST’s Investment Strategist team, Sam Kirby works with the firm’s financial advisors to assist clients with investment strategy, portfolio construction, and monitoring. He has 15 years of financial services experience. Kirby earned a Bachelor of Arts degree in journalism from the University of North Carolina and a Master of Science degree in management from North Carolina State University. He is a CFA charterholder.
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Features
Columns
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IS AGE JUST A NUMBER?
15
PASSION PURSUITS
35
LASTING LEGACY
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DESTINED TO DESIGN
23
EXPERT ANGLE
38
GLEANINGS
THE HEALTHCARE PUZZLE
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MARKET REWIND
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CLIENT CONVERSATIONS
32
MONEY MINDSET 42
CAPTRUST HAPPENINGS
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by Kim Painter
by Sylvana Smith
Going with the Flow by Jeanne Lee
5G: What’s It All About by Laura Sydell
Lending a Hand by Neil Downing
by Kim Painter
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CREATIVE DISRUPTION by Kevin Barry and Sam Kirby
Say It Ain’t So by John Curry
JEANNE LEE
KIM PAINTER
SYLVANA SMITH
LAURA SYDELL
Jeanne Lee is a freelance writer living in the lovely college town of Oberlin, Ohio. She has written about consumer and business topics for 20 years, including stints at Fortune and Money. Her work has appeared in publications like USA TODAY, Fortune Small Business, and Health. She loves thinking about ways for people to hack their finances and daydreams of paying off her mortgage before she has to pay for college for her two boys.
Kim Painter is a freelance writer specializing in health and lifestyle issues. She was a USA TODAY staffer for many years and has continued to contribute to the newspaper as a reporter, columnist, and blogger. She lives in McLean, Virginia, where she practices what she preaches: wearing sunscreen, eating broccoli, and getting at least 10,000 steps a day.
Sylvana Smith is a freelance writer living on an antebellum farm in central North Carolina. Educated at Carnegie Mellon University and the University of North Carolina, she writes marketing communications for Fortune 100 companies. She has been a professional journalist and marketing writer for more than 20 years.
Laura Sydell has been a correspondent with NPR for over 16 years covering the impact of technology on society and culture. Her award-winning journalism has been heard regularly on NPR’s daily news magazines, Morning Edition and All Things Considered. Prior to joining NPR, she was senior technology reporter for American Public Media’s popular radio program Marketplace, and a reporter at NPR’s largest member station, WNYC in New York City.
All publication rights reserved. None of the material in this publication may be reproduced in any form without the express written permission of CAPTRUST: 919.870.6822. ©2020 CAPTRUST Financial Advisors. The opinions expressed in this report are subject to change without notice. This material has been prepared or is distributed solely for informational purposes and is not a solicitation or an offer to buy any security or instrument or to participate in any trading strategy. CAPTRUST does not render legal, accounting, or tax advice. If you require such advice, you should contact the appropriate legal, accounting, or tax advisor. The information and statistics in this report are from sources believed to be reliable but are not warranted by CAPTRUST Financial Advisors to be accurate or complete. Performance data depicts historical performance and is not meant to predict future results.
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Is Age Just a Number? by Kim Painter
Age is just a number, the saying goes. But that’s not really true. Age is at least two numbers—your chronological age and your biological age. Chronological age is think of it this way: We are all on a journey toward frail, worn-down, illness-prone bodies, but some of us are getting there more quickly than others. Our biological ages differ, sometimes by a lot. 4
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Gabrielle Burke
the one you count with birthday candles. Biological age is trickier to pin down. But
“There’s no question we all do not age at the same rate—just go to a high school reunion and look around,” says S. Jay Olshansky, a professor of epidemiology and biostatistics at the University of Illinois at Chicago.
The differences that start in young adulthood accelerate from there. By their mid-70s, “some people are bedridden, while others are active and working,” says Eric Verdin, president and chief executive officer of the Buck Institute for Research on Aging.
Slow biological aging is what we perceive in a friend who looks younger than her chronological age. Fast biological aging is what we fear when we say stress has taken years off our lives.
“What happens when you are 70 is a reflection of things that have been happening to you throughout your life,” says Verdin.
Our bodies “are constantly subjected to stress and damage,” Verdin In 2020, biological age is more than just a feeling—it’s a science. says. Mental and physical trauma, gravity, radiation, and other forces Researchers are developing new take a daily, invisible toll. Still, ways to measure it. They also are most of us manage to function There are a lot of studies that show working on ways to slow it down well and recover from illness and with drugs, dietary regimens, and injury for many decades, thanks about 25 percent of how healthy you other approaches. They don’t to repair mechanisms built into remain and how long you live is due to expect to cure aging, “but what our cells. we’d like to do is change the rate at genetics, which you can’t control. The which that happens so that, in 20 “What happens is that the repair rest is due to environment, much of years, you might age 10 years,” says mechanisms eventually become Steven N. Austad, a distinguished damaged and we get into trouble,” which you can control. professor and biology department Verdin says. chair at the University of Alabama Steven N. Austad at Birmingham. Trouble tends to begin sooner in people with a history of stressful We aren’t there yet, he and other researchers say. But we already childhood experiences, such as poverty and abuse, according to know enough for all of us to take biological aging seriously and to research by Belsky and others. try to do something about it while the scientists keep working on better braking systems. Well-known health risks, such as smoking, obesity, and poor diets also speed up aging, research shows. Genes matter, but maybe not as Differences Start Early much as people assume.
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Young adults often live like they are invincible, and most are outwardly pretty healthy. They are free of deep wrinkles and gray hair and have yet to develop any chronic ailments. But researchers have discovered something that might startle many young people. By their late 30s, some will be biological 60-year-olds. That was the conclusion of a study of nearly 1,000 people born in the same New Zealand hospital in the same year. Using 18 different biomarkers—measurements that included cardiorespiratory fitness, body mass index, cholesterol counts, liver and kidney tests, immune status, and even gum health—researchers compared participants at ages 26, 32, and 38.
Gabrielle Burke
While most people aged about 1 year biologically for each calendar year, some aged more than twice as fast and some aged barely at all. At 38, their biological ages ranged from 28 to 61. Rapid agers felt older, according to their own health reports, and looked older, according to strangers asked to guess their ages. They also did worse on tests of physical and mental agility. Those striking results upended the view that aging differences begin much later in life, says researcher Daniel Belsky, assistant professor of epidemiology at Columbia University.
“There are a lot of studies that show about 25 percent of how healthy you remain and how long you live is due to genetics, which you can’t control,” says Austad, the Alabama researcher. “The rest is due to environment, much of which you can control.” We can affect our aging rates, even in our 60s and beyond, Austad says, with basic healthy habits and, perhaps, some still-experimental interventions. Belsky agrees but adds, “It can be true that it’s never too late, but also be true that to get the best response, it’s best to start early.”
Testing, Testing—How Old Are You Really? Of course, most of us don’t know our biological ages. That suggests there’s both a scientific need and a commercial market for more streamlined tests. Several have been developed. For example, consumers have long been able to buy blood or cheek-swab tests that estimate biological age based on the length of telomeres, the protective caps at the ends of chromosomes. In studies of large groups of people, short telomeres are associated with short lives. But the measure has never been shown to accurately track individual aging rates.
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“The telomere length thing was a bit of a fad,” says David Stewart, founder of a media company called Ageist. Stewart recently tried a newer kind of test. He sent off a saliva sample to a company called Elysium Health. The company is one of several that sell tests to consumers based on epigenetic markers—chemical tags that attach to the DNA in our cells, turning genes on and off. While our genes do not change as we age, these epigenetic markers do. Certain epigenetic patterns are thought to reflect not only the ravages of time but the cumulative effects of our habits and environments. Scientists have developed aging trackers, dubbed epigenetic clocks, based on these patterns. According to the Elysium test called Index, the 61-year-old Stewart is biologically 54. “I thought I was doing OK, but I didn’t know,” says Stewart, who swears by a low-glycemic diet, intense exercise, and plenty of sleep. “Now I know I’m doing OK. That’s a good data point.” But consumers considering shelling out $499 should know that the test has not been reviewed or approved by the Food and Drug Administration and can’t predict longevity or the risk of any disease. The same is true of other aging tests on the market. The test is intended to give you a snapshot of how quickly you’ve aged so far, says Morgan Levine, bioinformatics advisor for Elysium. “It’s a readout of how you are doing, almost a report card for your health,” she says. While Levine hopes users will be inspired to maintain or add healthy habits (and take follow-up tests to track their progress), she does not have data showing that changes in health habits can alter future results. Several other aging tests are under study. Some, used in research labs, look at blood proteins that change with age. One experimental test uses a scanner to look for signs of molecular aging in the lenses of your eyes. Another idea: Using a computer program to analyze facial features that change with age. Olshansky, the Illinois aging researcher, is a leading promoter of that concept. Verdin, of the Buck Institute, says he’s tried a variety of lab and photographic tests and, at age 63, consistently tests about five years younger. “I take it as a sign that I might be doing something right.”
Doing the Right Thing—and Wondering What’s Next We all want to do the right things to slow down aging. So, what are they? “I always tell people that we know what to do,” Verdin says. “We could gain ten years of life expectancy if everyone would start exercising, eating well, sleeping well, and managing their stress.”
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Belsky agrees that such lifestyle changes “are the best prescription for healthy aging that science has today.” Olshansky concurs, and says that exercise, in particular, is like an “oil, lube, and filter change” for your body and brain, better than any theoretical fountain of youth. That’s not to say that scientists are not looking for new interventions. Studies of eating patterns, medications, and supplements that might affect the pace of aging are underway. Among the experimental approaches: • Calorie restriction. Mice and worms put on very low-calorie, nutrient-dense diets have been shown to live longer, healthier lives. But humans are not mice or worms, and studies in people have yet to show longevity benefits, according the National Institute on Aging (NIA). • Fasting (also known as time-restricted eating). Some preliminary studies suggest that people who limit eating to a few hours a day or limit calories on some days each week might get some protection from age-related decline. But the evidence is not strong enough to recommend such practices, the NIA says. • Medication. Several medications appear to extend the lives of animals. One that has shown some promise in humans is an inexpensive, already-available diabetes drug called metformin. A large human trial that will look at whether metformin can delay the onset or slow the course of heart disease, cancer, and dementia in older adults without diabetes is getting underway. • Supplements. No supplement has been proven to slow down aging. That includes resveratrol, a substance found in red wine that some people take in concentrated pill form, despite a lack of safety or effectiveness data. And it includes newer supplements that promise to increase levels of nicotinamide adenine dinucleotide (NAD), a molecule important to energy metabolism that declines with age. Supplements that increase your NAD levels have not been proven to affect health or longevity.
HOW LONG COULD WE LIVE? Could the first 150-year-old human be alive right now? Aging researcher Steven N. Austad says yes. “She’s probably a Japanese woman,” and, by his best guess, she will reach that historic birthday before the year 2150. Austad believes medical advances will make it possible. Japanese women have an edge, he says, because they already have the longest life expectancies. Fellow researcher S. Jay Olshansky says no: Despite what he expects will be great progress toward expanding the human health span, life spans will not stretch that much, ever. “One hundred fifty isn’t going to happen.” Austad and Olshansky happen to be friends. So, a few years ago, they placed a friendly bet. If someone alive at the turn of the millennium makes it to 150 years old, Austad’s heirs will win the bet; if the feat isn’t accomplished by 2150, Olshansky’s heirs will win. The men put down $150 apiece in 2000 and another $150 a few years later. They calculate that the invested cash could be worth $1 billion by the payoff date. Olshansky thinks his heirs will be rich, because stretching the longest known life from 122 years to 150 years “is roughly like saying someone is going to run a three-minute mile sometime soon.” (The mile record is 3 minutes, 43 seconds.) Human biology has limits, he says. Even optimistic Austad says that while he expects life expectancy to increase, “I don’t think people are going to routinely live to be 150.” But he and his heirs need just one winner.
For now, the best advice, Levine says, is “doing everything your mother told you to do.”
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DESTINED TO DESIGN by Sylvana Smith
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Fashion designer Nancy Volpe Beringer captured the hearts of judges and viewers on season 18 of Bravo’s Project Runway, a Survivor-style reality show that aired last winter. At 64, she made history as the oldest contestant ever on the show, which features up-and-coming designers, mostly in their 20s and 30s. Yet Beringer herself was an up-and-coming designer. Rewind just seven years, and you would find a 58-year-old Beringer behind a desk for her 18th year at the New Jersey Education Association. It had been a good journey for a good mission. The association promotes excellence and equity in public schools and colleges across the state. Beringer helped drive that cause in many roles, from advocacy to program development, communications, and outreach. She had recently married, gotten a much-sought-after promotion, and enjoyed a financially secure life. However, that coveted promotion landed her in an ill-fitting realm. Throughout her career, her roles had always had a creative component; now, she was managing people. Her creative side was stifled. “I felt like my oxygen was being siphoned off when I was at work,” said Beringer. “I felt like I was suffocating.” It was time for a change.
That Aha Moment Beringer remembers the exact moment she made the life-altering decision. “It was three in the morning, and I wasn’t sleeping again because I was not happy with my job.” Inspired by her sons’ successes as young college grads following their dreams, she felt a twinge of envy and asked herself, “If I was young again, what would I want to learn?” “It was a simple question, but that question changed my life. I had that aha moment. It was fashion design,” says Beringer. She had learned to sew at age 12 and enjoyed vintage and thrift store shopping to create her own distinctive looks. But she had no other fashion experience, and her degree was in business education. So, this was a bold leap into new territory. With encouragement from her husband and sons, Beringer left her education career at the top of her game and enrolled in a three-year Master of Science program in fashion design at Drexel University’s Westphal College of Media Arts & Design. “I loved it,” says Beringer. “Once I got to Drexel, I felt like I found my home,” she says. “I felt like this is where I belonged, and most times, I forgot that I looked different than my classmates.” Beringer even came to see the humor in frequently being mistaken for the professor. She was having the time of her life, but it wasn’t an easy path. The intensive program consumed 70 or 80 hours a week, often more. She had little time for anything else and was coping with the onset of painful arthritis. Ultimately, Beringer graduated at the top of her class, with a 4.0 grade point average and a record-setting seven awards at the 2016 Drexel Fashion Show.
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And, while many of her classmates went to New York or Los Angeles to apprentice with other designers after graduation, Beringer didn’t have the luxury of time. She immediately started designing under her own label out of her Philadelphia studio.
perhaps? The organizers asked for something more dramatic—one of her sweeping, oversized Rosa coats.
Joan Shepp’s Window
“So, I designed this big coat,” says Beringer. “The funny thing is when I cut the first piece, I made a mistake. I cut it upside down.” Beringer goes on to explain.
For nearly 50 years, Joan Shepp in Philadelphia has been a premier fashion destination. The store is known for its collection of creative European, Japanese, and hard-to-find designers.
“Picture your hair as we’re sitting here; it’s just flat. If I hold you upside down, [your hair would be] fighting gravity, and that’s what this faux fur did. So that mistake was the magic of the coat.”
Beringer recalls that during her time at Drexel, it was always “‘You’ve got to see Joan Shepp’s new window.’ They are pieces of art.”
After the charity show, the coat went into the window at Joan Shepp, where it was spotted by Philadelphia-based musical artist Tierra Whack. The 22-year-old star was looking for something to wear on the red carpet at the 61st Annual Grammy Awards. As soon as she saw the coat, she said, “That’s it.”
Recognized as one of the country’s style leaders by publications such as Harper’s Bazaar and Departures, the store welcomed fashion students and encouraged them to explore the collections. “It is just an iconic place; I thought of it as a research lab, and that’s where I would always go.”
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I remember it well because the woman came out of the dressing room in the Dior-inspired skirt and just started twirling and got teary-eyed. She said, ‘I haven’t felt this beautiful in years.’ That’s when it really hit me how the power of fashion goes beyond the aesthetics; it goes into how you feel inside your heart and soul. Nancy Beringer
Beringer’s first sale was at Joan Shepp. “I remember it well because the woman came out of the dressing room in the Dior-inspired skirt and just started twirling and got teary-eyed. She said, ‘I haven’t felt this beautiful in years.’ That’s when it really hit me how the power of fashion goes beyond the aesthetics; it goes into how you feel inside your heart and soul.” Beringer started freelancing with Joan Shepp and designing those window displays, including one featuring her 2016 collection of evening wear. “This was in my first year out of fashion school. It was such an honor to be able to offer some of my work at her store.” One garment in the Joan Shepp window would catapult Beringer’s new career to the next level.
Mistake Gone Magic Beringer was designing for a runway benefit based on a progressive dark-to-bright theme, symbolic of the emergence from substance abuse. A rainbow-colored swath of faux fur beckoned. A cape,
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Beringer and Whack struck up a friendship on social media. “I wanted her to know the back story—that it represented empowering and helping women,” says Beringer.
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Whack was enchanted by the coat. When she shared the news of her nomination for a Grammy for best music video, Beringer asked the artist to come to her studio in Philadelphia. When Whack stepped out of the car, “it was like a lightning bolt,” says Beringer, “a creative explosion. We had this instant connection.” What followed was a whirlwind of preparations. One fitting, then another, and Whack leaves for Los Angeles before deciding on shoes. The coat will have to be hemmed on location. In Los Angeles, Beringer finds herself at a private party with Whack’s entourage. “I look around the room and I realize I’m the oldest person in the room, designing for the coolest person in the room. Lucky me.” The coat and its wearer were a sensation on Grammy night. “As a designer of evening wear,” says Beringer, “you fantasize of designing something for the red carpet, but what was important to me was that I had the trust of this genius artist in this big moment of her life.”
Clockwise from the top: Beringer poses with the models who wore her final collection on Project Runway; Beringer at work in her Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, studio; Beringer poses with one of her futuristic fluid designs; Beringer poses with her mentees from the Refugee Women’s Textile Initiative; a one-of-a-kind piece from Beringer’s Avant Garde Collection: The Metallic Opera Coat.
Dali Wearable Art Coat and Bottoms This magical Wearable Art Coat is a tribute to Spanish surrealist painter Salvador Dali, displaying his most well-known pieces.
The next day’s New York Times featured three looks. The Technicolor Coat was one of them. Adding to the notoriety, E! named the ensemble one of the night’s most outrageous outfits. The coat earned Beringer a Best in Philly fashion design award. As the Grammy event was going on, Beringer was invited to be a featured designer for Philly Fashion Week. A few months later, Philadelphia Magazine named her Best in Philly Fashion Designer for Artsy Dresses.
A Gift and an Opportunity Beringer first saw Bravo’s Project Runway 10 years earlier. She harbored a secret, unspoken desire to be a contestant, vying to become the next great American designer. She didn’t even tell her Drexel classmates, thinking they might scorn reality television. As a fresh Drexel graduate, she applied to be on the show. After making it to the second selection—the callback in New York—she was cut from the cast. But she didn’t take the rejection personally. “When I didn’t make it to the final stage, I viewed it as a gift and an opportunity, because I had affirmation from the judges and former contestants that my work was good enough to be on the show.” Beringer viewed it as having another year to improve her craft. She took an intense online draping class out of Paris, a two-week patternmaking class in London, and couture classes. In 2019, she made it onto the show. Sixteen designers showcased their talents in weekly challenges, with experiments directing them to use animal prints and thrift shop clothes, even taking a shot at designing the tuxedo of the future.
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When I didn’t make it to the final stage, I viewed it as a gift and an opportunity, because I had affirmation from the judges and former contestants that my work was good enough to be on the show. Nancy Beringer
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Beringer won the episode 11 challenge, which paired the designers with Olympic and Paralympic athletes to create a victory night celebration outfit. Beringer worked with Tatyana McFadden, a Russian-American athlete who has won 17 Paralympic medals in wheelchair track and field. Beringer wowed the judges with a silver ensemble: a feather bustier with fantasy skirt that doubles as a cape. Week after week, Beringer kept up with the frenetic energy of the show and its timeconstrained challenges, rising to the final four contestants by the last week. “That whole time, I felt it was my destiny,” she says. Beringer’s on-air effervescence belied the personal physical challenges. “I’m 65 now, and I wake up in pain every day, but, because I’m active in designing, I feel better throughout the day,” she says.
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Her Project Runway final collection featured futuristic, metallic, and fluid designs. A sculptural cut-out jumpsuit. A printed, tailored pantsuit. Shimmering dresses in liquid-look fabrics that danced in the runway lights. The looks are eclectic, often androgynous and fantastical. “I don’t have a checkbox of ‘I design for this particular clientele or this look.’ It’s really a journey of exploration with my fabric, and I’m just delighted when it finds the right person to wear it, that it makes them feel empowered and gives them a sense of joy.” Beringer finished as a runner-up and earned high praise from the judges, who admitted they had initially underestimated her. “I didn’t get the title. I didn’t get the money, which would have been really nice, but I did walk away as the winner because I left it all out there.” Beringer chose the 10 models for her final collection to represent diversity and inclusion. “When we brought the models together for their first fitting, they looked around at each other, and they all got it,” says Beringer. “They saw that we were making a moment. They felt it.”
Fast-Forward to 2020 Life in pandemic days is quieter, with travel and shows on hold. The Joan Shepp store is temporarily closed. Beringer is selfquarantining in her studio, working 12 or more hours a day, seven days a week, on her craft. She avoids the news as much as possible. When the world emerges from this forced pause, Beringer will be ready with unexpected new designs born out of the colorful chaos of her studio. She is where she is meant to be. “I found out fashion designing is not something I want to do; it’s something I need to do. It is pure oxygen for me.” Alone in her studio, she will pick up fabrics, drape them over dress forms, transform them with novel techniques, and immerse herself in the joyous journey of letting the materials say what they want to be. “I have this creative outlet. I can bring empowerment and joy to people, and I can also use my platform to give back and help make the world a little better. I just hope I am inspiring people to see that no matter what their challenge, age, or situation, it’s OK to hope, persevere, and pursue their dream.”
FOUR KEYS TO FOLLOWING YOUR DREAM FEATHER YOUR NEST EGG. In making the career shift, Beringer was walking away from financial security. “But I could do it because of how financially conservative I had been all along. I led a life that allowed me to follow this dream.” From her first job out of high school, making $100 a week, Beringer still set aside savings, then faithfully maxed out 401(k) contributions, invested, and minimized debt. REJOICE IN THE PROCESS. In today’s world, we are accustomed to instant gratification, information, and results, says Beringer. Everything is so immediate, right there. “It doesn’t always happen the first time or the second. My professional background easily translated into an understanding that design is a process.” BE FEARLESS. Beringer is all about pushing the boundaries. “When working on a design or experimenting on a fabric, I’m like, ‘I’ll try it.’ What’s the worst that can happen? When you look at what's happening in the world right now, whether or not it works or I need to start over, that’s not really significant.” DON’T WAIT FOR THE PERFECT TIME. Had she waited until she was ready to be a red-carpet designer, that moment would have never arrived, says Beringer. “I seem to be drawn to jobs I don’t know how to do,” she says with a laugh. “It’s OK to not know how to do something. Ask questions. Embrace the unknown. Embrace the learning and find your own joy.”
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Going with the Flow by Jeanne Lee
“Ask yourself what makes you come alive. And then go and do that. Because what the world needs is people who have come alive,” wrote author, philosopher, theologian, educator, and civil rights leader Howard Thurman. Even before research told us that pursuing our individual passions can have benevolent effects on the body and soul, Thurman could see that passion sparks a happy life and provides a way to transcend the ordinary. And if you move through life with passion, people notice. Consider symphony musicians, who have polished skills but often become bored performing pieces over and over. A Harvard University researcher recorded one group of musicians that was asked merely to replicate a past performance. A second group was instructed to refresh their performance of a piece through subtle changes. Audiences overwhelmingly found the mindful performance to be more enjoyable, even though they didn’t know why.
Why does passion bring happiness? The answer may lie in flow, an enjoyable state that comes when you’re so absorbed that you forget yourself and tune out the world. This positive psychology concept from the University of Chicago’s Mihaly Csikszentmihalyi has reportedly influenced slews of world leaders and sports luminaries, including Bill Clinton, Tony Blair, and former Dallas Cowboys coach Jimmy Johnson.
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The psychology concept known as flow has reportedly influenced slews of world leaders and sports luminaries, including Bill Clinton, Tony Blair, and former Dallas Cowboys coach Jimmy Johnson. Flow is “being completely involved in an activity for its own sake. The ego falls away. Time flies. Every action, movement, and thought follows inevitably from the previous one, like playing jazz. Your whole being is involved, and you’re using your skills to the utmost,” Csikszentmihalyi told Wired magazine in an interview. For a deeper look at the play of flow in a passionately lived life, we asked three people with extraordinary passions to share their thoughts.
Roy Heger, Ultramarathoner Roy Heger found his passion for ultramarathons in middle age. He completed his first 50-mile race in Punxsutawney, Pennsylvania, shortly after his 40th birthday. Now 66, he has an astonishing 75 100-mile races under his belt. One favorite, the Massanutten Mountain Trails 100 Mile Run in Virginia, he’s completed 20 times. Most humans of any age would consider running nearly four regular marathons in a row to be grueling, if not unbearable. But Heger makes it sound like nirvana. “Running on trails like that, you lose track of everything except where you’re going to put your next step, and then next step. At night, your world goes down to a circle—you see only the light from your headlamp,” says Heger, who lives in Wadsworth, Ohio. “In the deepest, darkest parts of night, you’re supposed to be sleeping,” says Heger. “When you run all night, you overcome that, and it changes your brain chemistry. As it gets closer to the second sunrise [of the race], there is a slight brightening in the eastern sky. You feel yourself getting stronger with the light returning. With that little boost, you begin to see, maybe I can make it.” Heger runs without headphones or music, not even a watch. “A watch is a distraction and hinders achievement of flow. There’s no time inside of flow,” he says.
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LOOKING FOR YOUR PASSION? Here are some steps you can take to get started, according to Psychology Today’s Susan Biali Haas, M.D.: Inventory our talents. What are you good at or have a natural aptitude for? Are there things you like to do that other people have complimented you on? Perhaps you even dismissed or rejected their enthusiasm. Identifying what you love and what you’re good at is a great way to unearth potential passions. Remember that you don’t have to be good at something for it to quality as a passion. You don't have to ever earn a penny of income from it either. Talent can simply be a clue.
Think of what you loved to do as a child. This is probably the simplest way to figure out what pursuits hold the potential to light up your days. Were you obsessed with flying? Maybe you should take a class in aviation. Did you like to sing at the top of your lungs until people begged you to stop? Think about joining a local choir or starting your own garage band.
Notice when you lose track of time or what you don’t want to stop doing. Think about what kind of things you do that you need to make yourself stop doing in order to sleep and eat and play. Notice what you love. Notice what makes you feel like a kid. Notice what you long to have more time for.
See your passion hunt as a fun, joyful adventure. Don’t put pressure on yourself to find a passion. It’s important to cultivate an unserious childlike attitude of play, wonder, and adventure. You’re learning and growing as you go and it’s all an adventure. Happiness research shows that trying new things increases dopamine levels in the brain, contributing to sustained levels of contentment. So when you deliberately open yourself up to noticing things you might enjoy doing, don’t be afraid of getting it wrong.
“Flow comes during exercise when all the fluids in your body are up to operating temperature, and you’re in the moment. Trying to achieve flow is like trying not to think about something,” says Heger. Instead, something about the long exertion, repetitive motions, and sheer physical exhaustion does the trick. Heger says once you’ve tapped into flow, it spills into other parts of your life—when washing dishes, mowing grass, or weeding the garden. “When you see a dandelion, twisting this way and that, and you pull it just right so that you get the whole root out—that’s flow,” says Heger.
John Bukovac, Modern Gold Prospector Did you know there are still flecks and nuggets of gold in creeks and streams across the U.S.? John Bukovac used to daydream about prospecting and finding “enough gold to make an engagement ring for a future fiancée or wife.” A few years ago, when he finally tried panning for gold, what he found was a hobby that he enjoys passionately and wants to continue for life. Bukovac uses a plastic pan with grooves on one side and a classifier—a type of sieve for separating rocks from material that might contain gold. He also has a sluice, a narrow box with a multi-textured bottom that sits in the flowing water to separate gold from lighter material. It’s a modern version of the wooden sluices used by 19th-century prospectors. “Every time you see gold in your pan or sluice, it brings a smile to your face. It never gets old, seeing that shiny, bright yellow popping out of the black sands when you’re washing your concentrates in your pan,” says Bukovac, 50, an engineer in Oberlin, Ohio. Standing in the water and working with extreme concentration lulls him into a meditative zone. “The gold is so small here [in Ohio] that it can easily float on the surface and get washed out. You have to really focus on how much water you have in your pan, and the movements you use to clean the concentrates. It’s very easy to get lost in the process and lose track of time,” he says. It’s not even about potential riches. “There’s nothing more relaxing to me than being on a creek or a river listening to the sounds and watching nature unfold around you,” says Bukovac. “You can make a little bit of money, but the pay is really the adventure. That’s invaluable to me.”
Stephanie Han, Writing Instructor and Author A longtime writer and teacher, Stephanie Han says recent life upheavals threw her passions into sharp relief. The surprising
result was that she was able to zero in on her true calling: guiding women and girls to be storytellers. “I was divorced a few years ago. And, really, divorce is a type of death. But it also offers an opportunity to reexamine and reinvent. Like the phoenix, one rises from the ashes,” says Han, 55, who lives in Honolulu, Hawaii. Then came the pandemic. Sheltering at home, Han pondered a new path. She loved teaching, but she’d been especially passionate about women’s issues from a young age. Her book of short stories, Swimming in Hong Kong, was chock-full of women protagonists. The writing group she’d started in the 1990s had attracted all women writers. “I saw there how the real narratives, even among those who occupy a privileged position in society, are often untold,” says Han. The realization hit: “There is a gap in education for girls and women. Women want to write their stories down. It’s my mission to help them to craft their narrative. The better we write, the more clear we are with our prose, the more we can write into our dreams and stories and move to manifesting our lives,” says Han, who launched an online platform to offer writing workshops at drstephaniehan.com. Getting clarity on her desire to help women storytellers has brought her great joy. “I am different now,” she says. “I wake up excited to think about what I will teach. I experience flow for most of my waking hours because I am living my life’s purpose now. I feel free,” says Han.
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I wake up excited to think about what I will teach. I experience flow for most of my waking hours because I am living my life's purpose now. I feel free. Stephanie Han
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It’s never too late to pursue an interest that you may have put on the sidelines. Just put some time aside. Make it a gift to yourself. This commitment is what’s necessary, more than having any particular skills. “Especially as we age, it’s more important to have a great deal of passion about what you’re doing than it is to be good at it,” says Heger.
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THE HEALTHCARE PUZZLE by Kim Painter
The American healthcare system is, in a word, complicated. It also can be extremely expensive. And that’s before we even reach retirement age. As many people nearing or past their 65th birthdays can attest, you haven’t really experienced the byzantine nature of the nation’s health insurance system until you face signing up for Medicare, the federal insurance program for seniors. The complexity of a system that contains an alphabet soup of parts may come as no surprise. But the costs of health care in retirement might come as a shock.
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“A lot of people think that, once they retire, they are going to go on Medicare and they’ll pay nothing out of pocket,� says Ted Lew, a CAPTRUST vice president and financial advisor based in San Ramon, California.
The number one reason for leaving health care out of planning was the misperception that Medicare would cover everything, the survey found. And the number two reason for lack of planning was uncertainty about how much health care might cost.
The truth: Healthcare costs in retirement are significant and should be a major part of your financial planning, Lew and other experts say.
How Expensive Is It?
Yet, a survey from the Insured Retirement Institute found that just 25 percent of people aged 56 to 72 in 2019 had factored healthcare costs into their retirement savings plans. The number was a little better, 48 percent, among those consulting with financial advisors.
Cost estimates vary. One calculation, from Fidelity Investments, found that a 65-year-old couple retiring in 2020 could, over their lifetimes, expect to pay $295,000 in current dollars for insurance premiums, co-pays, and out-of-pocket expenses, not including non-prescription drugs or most dental services.
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HealthView Services put the lifetime bill for the same couple at $387,644 in 2019, with a calculation that included some additional expenses, such as hearing, dental, and vision care. Neither estimate included the costs of long-term care, which can be substantial and are not covered by Medicare. As of 2019, a private room in a nursing home cost a median of $8,500 a month, and a home health aide cost more than $4,000 a month, according to Genworth, an insurance company. “People can experience a bit of sticker shock” when they read such numbers, says Matthew Rutledge, a researcher at the Center for Retirement Research at Boston College. In a paper published in 2019, Rutledge and a colleague reported that people over age 75 spend an average of 20 percent of their annual incomes on out-of-pocket healthcare costs. They concluded that, while most people can manage those costs, the picture becomes more worrisome when long-term care is included—and when those with the greatest healthcare needs are considered. Using data that included long-term care, they found that, at ages 75 to 84, the top 10 percent of spenders needed more than half of their incomes for health care; at ages 85 and over, the top 10 percent needed 142 percent of their incomes to cover health costs. “It gets scary when you are in the top five to ten percent,” Rutledge says. Of course, no one knows whether they will end up as a big spender, needing years of support after developing dementia, frailty, or other costly problems. But here’s an important consideration: If you are quite healthy in your mid-life and early retirement years, you are likely to spend more than your unhealthy peers. “It’s a surprising fact,” Rutledge says. “We tend to think that the unhealthy ones will be the big spenders, but they tend to die sooner, so they don’t spend as much.” HealthView Services provides this example: A healthy 55-year-old woman can expect to live to age 89, paying $13,165 a year for health care, while a 55-year-old woman with type 2 diabetes can expect to live to age 80, spending $16,635 a year. That nine-year gap in life expectancy means the healthy woman will spend $424,875, while the woman with diabetes spends $266,163. Such calculations are no reason to give up healthy habits. But they are a reminder that even the healthiest among us need to plan for substantial costs.
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They found that, at ages 75 to 84, the top 10 percent of spenders needed more than half of their incomes for health care; at ages 85 and over, the top 10 percent needed 142 percent of their incomes to cover health costs. The Medicare Decision Ready or not, at age 65, most people face a decision: whether to sign up for Medicare. Usually, the answer should be yes, says Sarah Murdoch, director of client services at the Medicare Rights Center, a nonprofit advocacy and education group. That’s because you could face costly penalties and gaps in coverage if you do not sign up when you become eligible for Medicare Part B, the part that covers most routine care and requires premiums, she says. That initial eligibility period spans the three months before and three months after your 65th birthday. If you are working for and insured by a large employer, you don’t have to sign up for any part of Medicare until you leave your job. That also goes for your covered spouse. Just about everyone else needs to take action. That includes people without health insurance, but also those with individual policies, retiree coverage, COBRA policies, or coverage from an employer with fewer than 20 workers, Murdoch says. Those policies no longer have to act as your primary insurance once you are eligible for Medicare, meaning they could stop covering your bills. That’s not all. If you sign up for Medicare Part B late, you pay higher premiums for the rest of your life. You also can expect to wait months for coverage to kick in. “It is really important for people to know their timelines,” Murdoch says. “We see people making truly innocent mistakes all the time, and it can have sad consequences.” When you do sign up, you face another choice. Your first option is to stick with traditional Medicare, with its core Part A (hospital) and Part B (doctor and outpatient) coverage. The alternative is Medicare Advantage, coverage from a private insurer that combines Parts A and B, often with additional benefits. Medicare Advantage typically restricts you to a network of providers. The best choice varies, Lew says. He says some clients go for traditional Medicare because they have doctors who don’t
participate in an Advantage plan or because they are retiring in an area with few or no network providers. Others like the one-stop shopping of a network plan. “If you do choose traditional Medicare, be sure to add a supplemental Medigap plan,” Lew says. “That’s because traditional Medicare puts no cap on out-of-pocket costs, but all supplemental policies do.”
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If you do choose traditional Medicare, be sure to add a supplemental Medigap plan. That’s because traditional Medicare puts no cap on out-of-pocket costs, but all supplemental policies do. Ted Lew, Financial Advisor
But buyer beware: While your mailbox may overflow with pitches from supplemental insurers, you can get better information at medicare.gov, Lew says.
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Tailoring a Plan for You When Doug and Teresa Wright started retirement planning a few years ago, the couple realized they would face some new costs when Doug left his job that provided health insurance for both of them. They would have to pay Medicare premiums for Doug and buy individual coverage for Teresa, who is a decade younger. “When I worked, I didn’t pay anything,” says Doug, 65, now retired from his job as vice president of a Silicon Valley manufacturing company. The couple now pays about $1,000 a month just for premiums, mostly for Teresa, “but we planned for that,” Teresa says. Planning for such individual circumstances is crucial, Lew says. How much you need for health costs can vary widely, depending on factors ranging from your health history to where you plan to live. For example, if you live outside the country, you won’t be able to use Medicare while abroad. How you save for retirement healthcare expenses can also vary. One increasingly popular choice is to fund a health savings account (HSA) while you are still working. The accounts are not available to everyone—you can only contribute if you are enrolled in a high-deductible health insurance plan. But, if you are eligible, it’s smart to open an HSA as soon as possible, Lew says, because the accounts “have a triple tax advantage.” Contributions, earnings, and withdrawals for eligible health expenses are all tax-free. Many people also consider buying long-term care insurance, but that can be a difficult decision, Lew says. Generous, affordable policies available years ago turned out to be a bad deal for insurers, who “lost their shirts,” he says. As a result, “the current policies tend to be very pricey,” but some people will find them worthwhile, he says. An alternative is to set apart some money as a self-insurance pot for long-term care, says Lew. In the end, he says, health isn’t just one more thing to consider in your retirement planning—it may be the most important thing. “If you don’t have your health,” he says, “nothing else really matters.”
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READY FOR MEDICARE? If so, you need to know your ABCs and D—the major parts of the government health insurance plan for people over age 65 (and for some younger disabled people).
PART A | Hospital Coverage
PART B | Doctor and Outpatient Services
This covers hospital stays, hospice care, and some short-term skilled nursing care—such as when you need a rehabilitation center after you’ve been hospitalized for an illness or injury.
This covers doctors’ bills, outpatient lab tests, preventative services, mental health visits, ambulance transport, and some medical supplies.
Most people don’t pay premiums for Part A because they’ve already paid for it through payroll taxes. But you still pay deductibles and co-pays for certain services. The 2020 deductible for a hospital stay is a hefty $1,408. Many people buy supplemental Medigap policies to help cover such costs.
You pay a premium for Part B. The 2020 rate is $144.60 for people with individual annual incomes up to $87,000. Those with higher incomes pay more—as much as $491.60. There’s also a modest annual deductible and a 20 percent co-pay for many services.
PART C | Medicare Advantage
PART D | Prescription Drug Coverage
This is not really a third part of Medicare. It’s private insurance that covers everything in Medicare’s Parts A and B. These plans often cover services, such as routine vision, hearing, and dental care and fold in prescription drug coverage. You may pay an added premium on top of your Part B premium.
You buy this coverage through a private insurer, as part of a Medicare Advantage plan or in addition to traditional Medicare Parts A and B.
These plans are generally run by health maintenance organizations (HMOs) or preferred provider organizations (PPOs) that restrict you to network providers. Costs and coverage vary. Some rural areas have no Medicare Advantage providers; some urban areas have dozens.
These plans generally come with premiums and other out-of-pocket costs, which can include deductibles and co-pays. Different plans cover different medications, so it’s crucial to check their drug lists—called formularies—through medicare.gov for any medications you take regularly. This coverage can be invaluable given the high prices of many medications.
To Learn More: In addition to medicare.gov, you can get free counseling from the Medicare Rights Center at 800.333.4114. The center also offers Medicare Interactive, a free online reference tool for consumers, and Medicare Interactive Pro, paid online courses for professionals.
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5G: What’s It All About? by Laura Sydell
Doctors will operate from thousands of miles away, stoplights will adjust to traffic conditions in real time, and your Internet-connected fridge will tell you when you’re out of milk. These are just a few of the innovations that cheerleaders for the fifth generation of wireless communication, known as 5G, are promising. Faster Internet speeds have helped generate innovative new services and products. Think back to the early days of smartphones. Americans learned patience, along with the word buffering, as they waited in anticipation for a YouTube video to load on their phones. Now, 4G networks allow us to watch live events on our handsets and get real-time traffic reports on apps like Waze.
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Game Changer Proponents of 5G say it will be a greater leap than previous upgrades. “5G is a game changer,” according to Global Head, Telecoms & Media Alex Holt from accounting and corporate consulting firm KPMG. In a blog post earlier this year, Holt wrote that 5G “will connect everything and everyone and unleash the potential of technologies like artificial intelligence (AI), the Internet of things (IoT), augmented reality (AR), virtual reality (VR), and robotics.” 5G will push these technologies forward because of lower latency and greater bandwidth. Latency is the time it takes for data to move from one place to another across the network. Greater bandwidth means more devices can be online at the same time, moving us closer to connecting pretty much everything, including appliances, medical devices, automobiles, trucks, and traffic lights. This will push us further down the path of IoT. Experts say IoT will be the key to innovations in energy, traffic management, autonomous vehicles, and manufacturing because it will allow real-time interactions.
possible for physicians to input symptoms they are seeing in patients and make more accurate diagnoses. Virtual reality headsets may finally stop making people dizzy and nauseous because images load too slowly. Live performances can incorporate virtual reality experiences that can be seen through the lens of a mobile phone as an overlay on reality; virtual balloons or bouncing balls can appear to be thrown in the air by a performer. Unfortunately, the road to 5G is filled with potholes. Earl Lum, founder of ELJ Wireless Research, thinks many of the promises of 5G, such as remote surgery, will take a while to reach most people. “Availability of something like that is probably five to 10 years away in terms of someone trusting their life to someone thousands of miles away,” he says.
The Lengthy Deployment Deployment of 5G is being hindered by concerns about security, health, and regulatory issues.
However, there is a darker side to IoT: security. More devices mean hackers with nefarious intentions will have more ways to break into On the health front, there have been some wild conspiracy theories systems like the power grid. Such making their way across the Internet, security concerns will need to be including the belief that 5G causes assuaged before certain operators and COVID-19, a claim that has no Verizon says a video that took over two manufacturers jump into the IoT scientific basis. The Federal minutes to download on 4G will take 30 world with both feet. Communications Commission (FCC) says “the weight of scientific seconds on 5G. That’s fast enough to Mobile phone and tablet users will evidence has not effectively linked download an entire season of Game of experience these advances in the exposure to radio frequency energy form of very, very fast downloads. from mobile devices with any known Thrones in about a minute. For example, Verizon says a video health problems.” that took over two minutes to download on 4G will take 30 seconds on 5G. That’s fast enough to But health concerns about 5G may have some merit, and they may be download an entire season of Game of Thrones in about a minute. a real hindrance to its deployment. In fact, more than 400 scientists in Europe have signed a petition asking for a delay in the rollout of 5G Let’s look at health care as a sample of the potential of 5G networks. until further study of its health impact. Imagine if you need brain surgery, you’re too sick to travel, and the greatest surgeon for your condition is in Europe. The low latency Some scientists and lawmakers are skeptical of the FCC’s assessment. times of 5G combined with advanced robotics will finally make it “The exposure limits aren’t even government standards,” says Joel M. possible to do precision surgery remotely. In fact, according to the Moskowitz, director of the Center for Family and Community Health Robotics Industry Association, a trade group, a surgeon in China at the University of California, Berkeley. “They were adopted from successfully operated on a Parkinson’s patient from 1,500 miles away. industry in the 1990s.” 5G experts at the consulting firm McKinsey predict a revolution at home for medicine. Sensor devices on or underneath the skin can send heart rate, blood pressure, glucose level, and oxygen saturation readings to your doctor in real time. This can help patients manage diseases such as diabetes, chronic obstructive respiratory disease, heart failure, and hypertension, and cut down on doctor visits. 5G will also make it easier for artificial intelligence to scan vast amounts of data stored in the cloud or online. This will make it
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Moskowitz argues there is a lot we just don’t know: “With regard to electromagnetic radiation, we hardly do any research.” Part of the pushback against 5G has to do with the need for many small cells in order to get the lightning-fast speeds of what’s known as high-band or millimeter wave. Current cell towers cover a severalmile radius, but they are the size of tall pine trees. High-band 5G cells are the size of laptops, and they cover only a radius of around a couple thousand feet. Their reach also can be hindered by buildings,
It’s likely to take a while for entrepreneurs to develop applications that take full advantage of what 5G has to offer. trees, and other objects in dense urban environments. So, telecom companies are hanging the cells fairly close together on telephone and light polls, and that is sparking pushback in many communities. Residents in Northern California have been especially active in fighting against deployment. Cities like Mill Valley have enacted bans on placement of 5G cells in residential areas. However, a recent lawsuit gave the FCC the power to overrule most municipal ordinances, but cities still have some power over the deployment for aesthetic reasons. There are two other types of 5G that don’t require such close placement of cells—mid- and low-band 5G. Neither mid- nor low-band wave has the lightning speed of millimeter or high-band wave, and low-band 5G is only slightly faster than 4G. But, because they need fewer cell towers and the signals are less easily obstructed, mid- and low-band 5G are likely to be much more common than high-band 5G. The immediate question most of us may be asking is: Do I run out and get the latest 5G phone? If you’re an iPhone user, you’re still waiting on Apple to release a 5G phone. For others, “It’s an incredible amount of hype from the operators and the industry,” says ELJ Wireless Research’s Lum. He thinks most people will be fine with their 4G phones for quite some time. “At the end of the day, you have to ask yourself, what do I really need?” Lum thinks initially the only use for 5G on a handset will be for people who want to take and upload 4K video and photos. Ultimately, faster speeds have always sparked new innovations—such as real-time traffic maps and live streaming. But it’s likely to take a while for entrepreneurs to develop applications that take full advantage of what 5G has to offer. For most of us, the promise of 5G will only slowly materialize over the next decade. That might be just in time for the launch of 6G.
5G INNOVATIONS There is already some amazing work being done to harness the power of 5G. Below are some of the projects getting attention around the world. City Infrastructure The smart city vision includes driverless cars, artificial intelligence, smart street lighting, and smart parking. 5G promises to help towns and cities reduce costs and generate economic growth and resilience while increasing sustainability and improving public services and quality of life. Smart cities will allow city managers to address the needs of citizens efficiently by, for example, forecasting and planning for population expansion and identifying traffic control issues. Agriculture The integration of 5G technologies into farming practices will increase the amount of agricultural products available—while optimizing use of water, fertilizers, and pesticides—and raise the quality of food grown. 5G technologies can also improve the quality of life for farm workers by reducing heavy labor and tedious tasks. According to engineering.com, agricultural robots—or AgBots— are already taking a load off of farm workers by performing tasks like planting, watering, harvesting, and sorting. Drones 5G-enabled drones can transmit high-definition footage in real-time to complete hazardous jobs like infrastructure safety inspections, where the drone operator must be able to see patches of rust or smalls cracks or access difficult spaces. Drones using artificial intelligence with computer vision can rapidly scan items in a warehouse and recognize patterns, which can improve efficiency and free up human workers to do more complicated tasks.
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Creative Disruption by Kevin Barry and Sam Kirby
The turn of the 20th century was a time of high optimism and enthusiasm for the future. This Age of Hope was fueled by technological innovations such as mass communication, mass the extension of education to nearly everyone.
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Gabrielle Burke
mobility—with the advent of affordable personal automobiles—and
The mood of an era is perhaps best captured by its futurists’ visions of tomorrow. An article by John Elfreth Watkins Jr., published in the December 1900 issue of The Ladies’ Home Journal (LHJ) titled “What May Happen in the Next Hundred Years,” envisioned a future of pneumatic tubes, airships, two-day Atlantic crossings, fantastically large fruits and vegetables, and other strangely specific predictions, such as the elimination of the letters C, X, and Q from our alphabet. However, a few of the author’s predictions are strikingly relevant today, in the wake of the jarring disruption caused by the COVID-19 pandemic. Although many of the changes predicted in the article have been underway for years or decades, the pandemic has served as a growth catalyst for some.
Food Watkins writes, “Ready-cooked meals will be bought from establishments similar to our bakeries of today. They will purchase materials in tremendous wholesale quantities and sell the cooked foods at a price much lower than the cost of individuals cooking. Food will be served hot or cold to private houses in pneumatic tubes or automobile wagons.” Today’s pandemic has rapidly accelerated online ordering and delivery of food, whether restaurant meals (Uber Eats, GrubHub), groceries and other staples (InstaCart, Postmates), or meal kits (Blue Apron, HelloFresh). Of course, these meals are delivered not by pneumatic tube but by a decentralized workforce of smartphone-wielding
gig-economy contractors. The widespread availability of food-delivery services during lockdowns helped both consumers and restaurants struggling to keep their doors open, although there are concerns about the long-term impact on restaurant profitability with such services often charging restaurants a 15 to 30 percent commission on every order.
Entertainment With entertainment and sports venues shuttered by social distancing requirements, we turned in record numbers to at-home digital streaming entertainment. The digital availability of the Broadway megahit Hamilton helped drive more than 60 million paying subscribers to the Disney+ streaming service in the first nine months the service was available. Watkins hits the mark again, writing in the December 1900 LHJ article, “Grand Opera will be telephoned to private homes and will sound as harmonious as though enjoyed from a theatre box. Automatic instruments reproducing original airs exactly will bring the best music to the families of the untalented.”
Consumer Staples Watkins even forecasted a sophisticated system of package delivery in his LHJ piece. “Pneumatic tubes, instead of store wagons, will deliver packages and bundles. These tubes will collect, deliver, and transport mail over certain distances, perhaps for hundreds of miles.” 27
Again, the fascination with pneumatic tubes! E-commerce has grown at a breakneck pace since 2000 when Amazon extended its platform beyond books to a wide range of product categories. The pandemic has rapidly increased the range of products bought online, especially supplies difficult to find on store shelves, such as paper goods, personal protective equipment, home office equipment, and other essentials.
The digital platforms underpinning this transition were richly rewarded in the ensuing stock market recovery. Today, Apple alone has a larger weight in the S&P 500 Index than the entire energy and utilities sectors combined. And, as shown in Figure One, at $7.1 trillion, the combined market cap of the five largest U.S. firms— Facebook, Apple, Amazon, Microsoft, and Alphabet (Google), otherwise known as the FAAMG stocks—is greater than the national wealth of all but the 12 wealthiest nations on earth.
In this article, we will explore how technology has impacted our response to the COVID-19 pandemic and how the crisis rapidly accelerated trends already underway. As with any disruption, winners and losers have emerged, with potential impacts to investment strategy. Pneumatic tube investors of the 1900s were likely disappointed, while fortunes were made in the auto industry—and we seek to understand which firms will prosper, strengthen, and gain market share in our post-pandemic future.
In addition to these technology providers, businesses and organizations that were leaders and early adopters of digital transformation also benefited relative to their competitors. Firms that were well on their way to moving infrastructure to the cloud and collaboration platforms; retailers with online and mobile ordering, curbside pickup, and contactless payment systems; and educational institutions with mature virtual learning platforms found themselves in a strong competitive position. Meanwhile, laggards that had resisted change faced a stark decision: invest in digital transformation or close their doors.
The Quick Shift As the COVID-19 pandemic forced the global economy into suspended animation earlier this year, markets reacted with the fastest-ever bear market. The S&P 500 Index fell 30 percent in just 22 trading days. Yet amid this uncertainty, businesses, organizations, and communities quickly adapted and found creative ways to do business in a bubble.
A 2019 study by Accenture sought to measure the performance gap between technology leaders and laggards. The authors surveyed more than 8,000 companies across the globe and assigned scores in three categories, including implementation of a wide range of key technologies, degree of adoption of these technologies once implemented, and their organization and culture of innovation. The performance gap was significant, with companies scoring in the top 10 percent (the leaders) showing double the revenue growth of the laggards in the bottom 25 percent.
Clearly, many have suffered and continue to suffer from illness and the loss of loved ones, employment, and income, and we do not minimize the remaining challenges. But a potent combination of technology platforms—including widespread connectivity, e-commerce, cloud computing, and collaboration technologies—allowed many businesses to adapt to a fully remote, work-from-home world far more quickly than feared in mid-March. Technology is the only way to remain connected while physically distant.
This performance gap has likely grown significantly in 2020, creating a winner-take-all environment where larger, better-capitalized, and more innovative firms stand to gain significant market share from those less willing or able to innovate.
Figure One: Wealth of FAAMG versus 12 Wealthiest Nations (Amounts in Trillions)
$106.0
$63.8
$25.0 $7.1
$7.2
$7.3
$7.8
$8.6
Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet
Australia
South Korea
Spain
Canada
Sources: visualcapitalist, Bloomberg
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$11.4
$12.6
$13.7
$14.3
$14.7
Italy
India
France
United Kingdom
Germany
Japan
China
United States
Figure Two: U.S. Adult Broadband Users, by Income
100%
80%
60%
40%
20%
0% 2000
2002
2004
2006
Less than $30,000
2008
2010
$30,000-$49,999 $30,000 to $49,999
2012 $50,000-$74,999 $50,000 to $74,999
2014
2016
2018
$75,000+
Source: Pew Research Center
Tubes in the Walls
In July, Microsoft reported that the use of its Teams online meeting software reached 5 billion meeting minutes in a single day.
As painful as the pandemic has been, it is interesting to think about how much better prepared we were to withstand such a shock in 2020 than we would have been just two decades ago, when phones were used mainly for talking, medical records existed in manila folders, and business data and applications were locked in company-owned data centers. But when COVID-19 emerged early this year, critical pieces of infrastructure were already in place to support sheltering-in-place and the shift to work-from-home. The pneumatic tubes were already installed, ready to be turned on. Three technology trends in particular have supported our ability to adapt to the crisis: the three Cs of connectivity, cloud computing, and commerce. Connectivity The single biggest contributor to our pandemic response is likely the pervasiveness of high-speed Internet connectivity. Imagine how different the work-from-home transition would have been if nearly everyone didn’t have a powerful, fully networked computer on their desk and in their pocket at all times. And consider how much less effective (and more frustrating) working and learning from home would have been over slow, dial-up connections.
As of last year, almost 80 percent of U.S. adults had broadband Internet access at home, a number likely to grow with the expansion of high-speed 5G wireless networks. However, there are significant gaps in broadband access, with racial minorities, older adults, rural communities, and those with lower incomes showing a significantly lower degree of broadband adoption. As shown in Figure Two, only 56 percent of those with incomes less than $30,000 have broadband
access at home, versus 92 percent for those with incomes greater than $75,000. The longer the pandemic crisis continues, the more damaging these gaps will become.
An enduring shared experience of the pandemic will be the informal Zoom social gatherings, not to mention weddings and, tragically, funerals. In July, Microsoft reported that the use of its Teams online meeting software reached 5 billion meeting minutes in a single day.1 Social media platforms served as a vital way to connect and share information with friends and family while stuck at home, and as platforms for social movements. Cloud Computing Futurists in 1900 may have envisioned doing business in the clouds from the comfort of an airship. But today, cloud computing refers to the movement of computer hardware, data, and applications away from on-premises servers to Internet data centers, often providing advantages in reliability, security, the ability to scale up (or down) based upon demand, and greater speed to integrate future capabilities, such as machine learning. The migration of computing applications to the Internet has been underway for more than two decades. But the modern era of cloud computing began in 2006 with the launch of Amazon’s Elastic Compute Cloud, a breakthrough service that allowed any business to rent Amazon’s world-leading Internet infrastructure. New consumer applications of the technology are also emerging, such as cloud gaming, offering anyone with a high-speed Internet connection access to the latest cutting-edge gaming hardware. And regardless of their physical location, students studying artificial intelligence or even quantum computing can affordably access and experiment with highly specialized, extremely expensive hardware in the cloud. 29
An industry survey completed before the pandemic indicated that almost 60 percent of technology buyers expected to be mostly or completely in the cloud within 18 months.2 Polls taken after the pandemic show that the trend is only accelerating, with 40 percent reporting an acceleration of cloud efforts and 76 percent reporting an increase on cloud spending.3
Figure Three: U.S. E-Commerce Penetration
10-years’ growth in 3 months
35% 30% 25%
Commerce 15%
There was a time at the height of stay-at-home orders when it seemed that vehicles on the road came in just three colors: gray (Amazon), brown (UPS), and white (FedEx, USPS). While e-commerce has been a steadily growing influence on the retail world over the past 25 years, the pandemic has both accelerated and broadened it to include more product categories, businesses, and customers, representing both challenges and opportunities for traditional retailers. During the early days of the pandemic, as shown in Figure Three, it is estimated that e-commerce witnessed 10-years of growth in a span of just three months.
10% 5% 0%
2009 2010 2011
Source: McKinsey
Implications for Investment Strategy The CAPTRUST Investment Committee has been following these changes closely to consider potential impacts to investment strategy. Key themes include: • Dominant business models. The pandemic has pulled forward years of expected change into a matter of months. In an expected low-growth environment, we favor companies and sectors with strong balance sheets, higher return on equity, and higher earnings growth rates.
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Q1 2020
• Uneven landscape. An uneven economic recovery creates winners and losers. Some businesses will continue to struggle and ultimately fail, while others will prosper. We continue to examine these dynamics for more resilient business models with tailwinds, search for shorter-term opportunities when price action overshoots, and consider the long-term impact of changes to corporate budgets and priorities.
Historically, the growth of e-commerce has been driven by three factors: convenience, product selection, and price. However, as physical stores moved to restrict occupancy and with store shelves laid bare by demand spikes and supply chain disruptions, consumers turned to e-commerce out of necessity in new categories of goods. In March, the largest year-over-year e-commerce sales increases occurred in the categories of disposable gloves, bread machines, cough and cold medicine, staple food items, and exercise gear. The largest declines were seen in luggage and briefcases, swimwear, and bridal clothing/formalwear.4 It was not just the digital-native platforms such as Amazon that benefited from the surge in online shopping. The largest percentage change in online purchases was seen by traditional chain stores, signaling that the long-heralded transition to the hybrid clicks and mortar or omnichannel model has arrived. Firms such as Target that already offered this service saw usage soar by more than 700 percent, as others scrambled to launch their own. One survey of large retailers found that the number offering curbside pickup increased from 7 percent at the end of 2019 to nearly 44 percent in August.5
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
• Lean into disruption. We have begun developing disruptive innovation portfolios that seek to capture the potential long-term investment opportunities created by foundational technologies that will drive change and growth over the next 100 years, such as genomics, automation, autonomous vehicles, and artificial intelligence. Amid the fear, uncertainty, and loss triggered by the pandemic, it is heartening to consider the resiliency and adaptability of businesses and communities in the face of a significant threat. While we may not yet enjoy the peas as large as beets delivered by pneumatic tubes (as predicted in 1900), we have witnessed rapid shifts in behavior, technology, and productivity, many of which will remain long after the virus threat has passed.
Microsoft Q4 2020 Earnings Call Transcript, June 2020
1
2
Knorr, Eric, “The 2020 IDG Cloud Computing Survey,” infoworld.com, 2020
3
Donnelly, Caroline, “Coronavirus: Enterprise Cloud Adoption Accelerates in Face of COVID-19, Says Research,” computerweekly.com, 2020
4
“Top 100 Fastest Growing & Declining Categories in E-commerce,” Stackline, 2020
5
Ali, Fareeha “Charts: How the Coronavirus Is Changing Ecommerce,” digitalcommerce360.com, 2020
STRONG Q3 RESULTS Despite September’s pullback, all asset classes have rallied from March’s market lows, including solid gains in the third quarter. Historic levels of fiscal stimulus and monetary policy support buoyed markets mid-year, but uncertainties about the spread of COVID-19, a contentious election season, and the future of another round of stimulus have recently crept into investors’ psyches. • U.S. stocks posted strong gains in the third quarter and are now in positive territory for the year. A deeper look reveals a sharp contrast between the performance of this year’s leading and lagging stocks. • International developed and emerging market stocks rallied in the third quarter as well, but they trail U.S. stocks by a wide margin for the year. Emerging market stocks were this quarter’s standout performer, benefiting from China’s economic recovery and a weaker U.S. dollar. • Bonds have outpaced stocks so far this year and have played an important portfolio stabilizer role as interest rates have fallen to historically low levels amid stock market volatility. • While real estate typically benefits from falling interest rates, that has not been the case this year due to the impact of COVID-19-related office closures and the economic shutdown on the office and retail sectors. • Strategic opportunities have managed a modest gain for the year.
MARKET INDEX PERFORMANCE (as of 9.30.2020)
Strategic Opportunities
International Stocks
U.S. Bonds
Real Estate
9.2% 6.8%
6.3%
2.1%
U.S. Stocks
5.4% 2.1%
2.2% 0.6%
Q3 2020 2020
-5.4%
-12.1%
LOOKING FORWARD We expect continued monetary and fiscal stimulus around the world to provide support to the markets. The Federal Reserve plans to keep interest rates at low levels for at least several years and continue its bond-buying program. Despite significant policymaker actions, virus containment remains key to a sustainable recovery and a return to normalcy. Economic activity has surged in the past six months, but many parts of the economy are still under stress, and unemployment remains high. Given the market’s rebound from its lows in March, valuations have become stretched, which, combined with uncertainties related to the elections, COVID-19, additional stimulus, and geopolitical tensions, will certainly lead to more volatility in the near term.
Asset class returns are represented by the following indexes: Russell 3000 Index (U.S. stocks), MSCI All-Country World ex-U.S. Index (international stocks), Bloomberg Barclays U.S. Aggregate Bond Index (U.S. bonds), Dow Jones U.S. Real Estate Index (real estate), and HFRX Absolute Return Index (strategic opportunities).
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SAY IT AIN’T SO by John Curry
BELIEF The 2015 movie The Big Short chronicles the market and economic forces that led to the financial crisis in 2007. Based on a Michael Lewis book of the same name, the film’s all-star cast explains the crisis’s origins through the stories of a handful of analysts and investors who saw the meltdown coming, bet on it, and made a lot of money. The movie opens with this pithy and prescient quote (erroneously attributed to Mark Twain): “It ain’t what you don’t know that gets you into trouble. It’s what you know for sure that just ain’t so.” No doubt Adam McKay, the film’s director, was making a statement about the massive financial risks hiding in plain sight in the mid-2000s while the rest of the world remained oblivious to the imminent collapse. In hindsight, a growing housing bubble, lax bank lending standards, and risky mortgage products were obvious warning signs. But if these risks were there to be seen by everyone, why did so few people notice and sound the alarm? Why were the rest of us caught off guard? The answer: The rest of us saw what we wanted to see, a growing economy with rising stock prices and real estate values. This phenomenon is known as confirmation bias, one of several behavioral biases that affect us all. Confirmation bias is at work when we look for, interpret, and remember information in a way that confirms our existing ideas. No matter how impartial we believe ourselves to be, we cannot help but favor information that supports what we already believe (or want) to be true. It contributes to overconfidence in personal beliefs and can support or strengthen beliefs—even in the face of contrary evidence. 32
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FACT
Find What You're Looking For Many examples of confirmation bias’s influence exist in our day-today activities. For example, if you decide to buy a car and fall in love with the look of a particular model, you will certainly find ample evidence—reviews, videos, celebrity endorsements, whatever—to confirm your desire. Conversely, if your dinner date suggests a restaurant that you’re not wild about, you can easily find ample evidence of poor service and bad food. Confirmation bias can also create costly mistakes for investors. Imagine talking to a friend at a party. He shares with you his latest money-making stock idea and suggests that you check it out—but don’t wait too long, he says, or you might miss out on a big move. Because you are a savvy investor, you jump on the Internet and do your own due diligence.
“
For it is a habit of humanity to entrust to careless hope what they long for, and to use sovereign reason to thrust aside what they do not fancy. Thucydides, Greek historian
”
Unfortunately, confirmation bias causes your brain to latch on to information that supports your friend’s suggestion. Meanwhile, it rejects data that goes against your beliefs. Your research complete, you make your trade the next day. A week later, the stock tanks on a disappointing earnings release. We’ve all done it, and it’s not our fault. Confirmation bias is tricky to detect in ourselves. While the Internet certainly enables it, social media has amplified confirmation bias in recent years. Social media platforms like Facebook use algorithms to target users with content that they will agree with—and exclude content they are likely to oppose. The content presented strengthens one’s views, resulting in what experts call filter bubbles, where an individual becomes closed off to new ideas, subjects, and information. But confirmation bias is not all bad and, like many behavioral biases, likely developed to help our ancient ancestors cope with the world. It drives us to surround ourselves with people who share our values, traditions, religious beliefs, and political leanings. The upside is that this behavior leads to more enjoyable and fulfilling lives as we surround ourselves with like-minded people who validate the way we live. But how can we know the difference between a positive effect and a negative effect? And what can we do to make sure we are making better decisions?
Hold on Loosely The best cure for confirmation bias’s negative effects is to hold onto your opinions less tightly. But that, of course, is easier said than done. Here are a few tips and tricks that might help: • Stew on it. Don’t act immediately. Giving yourself time to conduct research, talk to experts, and seek out different or opposing points of view can reduce the risk of confirmation bias. Take it all in and refuse to jump to conclusions. Put it in the stew, let it simmer for a while, and draw your own conclusions. • Be humble and open to change. Recognize that you don’t know everything and practice humility when listening to others. As the saying goes, “We have two ears and one mouth so that we can listen twice as much as we speak.” Give yourself permission to change your mind as you encounter new information on a topic.
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FACTS
WHAT CONFIRMS YOUR BELIEFS WHAT YOU ACTUALLY SEE
• Challenge your thinking. Confirmation bias partly explains why two people can see the same information or fact pattern and come to opposite conclusions—and neither will be completely correct. Make it a personal policy to seek opposing views or other possible explanations to problems or topics you’re exploring. The more viewpoints the better. This will add nuance to your thinking and help you draw richer conclusions. • Find a sparring partner. Whether it’s your spouse, best friend, or a trusted colleague, find someone to become your thinking partner. Authorize him or her to challenge your views by playing devil’s advocate—and return the favor. Many people process their thinking by speaking, so having a trusted sparring partner to debate—one who won’t judge you—can be a helpful way to expand your thinking.
“
What the human being is best at doing is interpreting all new information so that their prior conclusions remain intact.
”
Warren Buffett, American investor and philanthropist
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In our role as financial advisors, we often act as thinking partner with our clients when they find themselves in a filter bubble. Most recently, during the depths of the COVID-19-related market sell-off in March, we found ourselves helping clients manage fight-orflight responses induced by their fears of lost money and stoked by an inflammatory news media. The fire was further fueled by the virus’s then-unknown impact on lives and our healthcare system. In most cases, our counsel and long-term perspective on the markets and investing helped expand clients’ thinking enough to stifle their knee-jerk reactions. And time has brought new information—on the virus, economy, and markets—to the discussion that has tempered reactions. Whether you are hoping to become a better investor, a better businessperson, or just a better thinker, overcoming behavioral biases is a challenge—but one worth accepting. If philosophers, astronomers, and scientists had been closed to new information, we would still believe the world is flat and that the sun revolves around the Earth. Thinking for yourself doesn’t require you to follow every new idea that comes along. It simply means being humble enough to realize that no matter how much you know, a fair amount of what you know for sure just ain’t so.
Lending a Hand by Neil Downing
Your adult child plans to borrow $400,000 to buy a home. You want to help. You could provide that sum in the form of a gift, but that would trigger federal gift-tax complications. Besides, giving away that much might leave you a little uneasy—and take a bite out of your portfolio. Instead, consider providing the money as a loan—an intra-family loan. Your adult child would not have to pay the fees associated with a residential mortgage loan through a bank if you provide the loan at a lower interest rate than commercial lenders would charge. Also, the loan is as an income-generating asset in the fixed-income portion of your investment portfolio, says Jeremy A. Altfeder, CFP®, senior financial advisor at CAPTRUST.
Maxie says she gets the parents involved in a strategic discussion at the start, including their legal advisor, financial advisor, and others, to make sure they understand the details. She also brings in the prospective borrower early on, making sure he or she understands the benefits and obligations. “We tell them it’s a loan, not a gift, and that it has to be repaid,” Maxie says.
An intra-family loan, in the right circumstances, can be “a really easy tool for parents looking for a way to do something nice for their children,” Altfeder says.
First Steps
Parents may be uncomfortable with formalizing the loan, and they may not want the added expense of engaging various advisors, says Eric L. Green, an attorney with Green & Sklarz LLC, a Connecticut-based law firm, whose practice includes taxpayer representation before the Internal Revenue Service (IRS).
This is not a do-it-yourself proposition, especially given the potential tax, legal, and other complications, says Lauren Campbell Maxie, an attorney and partner at NC Planning in North Carolina, whose primary practice area is estate planning for high-net-worth families.
“But the reality is, if you do it correctly, you’re protecting your investment—and protecting the child” from creditors or wouldbe creditors, says Green, author of The Accountant’s Guide to IRS Collection. 35
Figure One: Interest Rates for Conventional Mortgage versus Applicable Federal Rates for Intra-Family Loans 4.57 4.22
4.54 4.1
3.89
3.55
3.51
Percent (%)
3.23
1 percent. That makes the intra-family loan “a great tool to look at while we’re in this low-interest-rate environment,” Maxie says.
3.78
3.49
3.46 2.98
2.93 2.61
2.16
2.93
2.57 2.19
1.88
1.00
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
Federal Rates
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
Conventional Rate
Sources: Freddie Mac, Internal Revenue Service. Data is for 30-year fixed rate as of first week in September of each year. Data for conventional (i.e., bank) loans is based on Freddie Mac survey. Data for intra-family loans uses Internal Revenue Service's long-term applicable federal rate.
“Everyone hates lawyers. I’m a lawyer, and I hate lawyers. But you’ve got to take the proper steps,” he says. For example, have the loan and related documents formally drawn up, signed, and officially recorded. That also helps avoid family fights down the road. “You don’t want a family to rip itself to pieces” over financial disagreements later on, he says. Also, keep track in writing of each payment to avoid unfavorable tax treatment. Overall, you have to take a step back and make sure that the intra-family loan is the right fit for all involved, “because there’s lots of tools in the toolbox,” Maxie says. Altfeder agrees, saying, “It’s all about it financially making sense for both parties.”
A True Loan—with Interest An intra-family loan must be a true loan, not a gift. Otherwise, it can trigger tax snags. To avoid such problems, charge at least a minimum amount of interest, using the rate from the table of applicable federal rates published monthly by the IRS. Conventional rates for 30-year, fixed-rate residential mortgages lately have been among the lowest in at least 10 years—and the applicable federal rates for long-term intra-family loans have been even lower, as shown in the rate survey illustrated in Figure One.
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Over the life of the loan, he’d pay about $201,687 in interest on the conventional mortgage, but about $63,161 on the intra-family loan—saving about $138,526 in interest expense overall.
An intra-family loan can also be from a grandparent, aunt, uncle, or any high-net-worth family member to a child or other relative. Such loans aren’t just for mortgages. They can also help the child or other relative pay college expenses, start a business, or accomplish other long-term family goals. By following the proper procedures, no federal gift tax will apply and the interest paid by the adult child can generally be deductible as personal mortgage interest or as a business expense (depending on the purpose of the loan and other factors). And the interest received by the parent will be treated as ordinary income.
Flexibility Intra-family loans can be more flexible than working with a bank, Maxie says. For instance, you can structure the loan as interestonly, with a balloon payment at the end, she says. Another option is for parents to forgive some principal, perhaps annually, Altfeder says. Forgiving some principal on the back end
Figure Two: 30-Year Residential Mortgage versus Intra-Family Loan
Monthly Payment
At the time of the survey, the average fixed rate charged by banks was 2.93 percent, while the applicable federal rate for a long-term intra-family loan rate was
Suppose Harold and Maude plan to lend their son, Bud, $400,000 to buy a house. With a conventional 30-year, fixed-rate loan of 2.93 percent, he might pay about $1,671 a month in principal and interest as shown in Figure Two. But if he takes the loan from his parents, who use the longterm applicable federal rate of 1 percent, he’ll pay about $1,287 a month—saving about $384 monthly.
Total Interest
Conventional Loan with 2.93% Interest Rate
Intra-Family Loan with 1% Interest Rate
Savings
$1,671
$1,286
$384 Monthly
$201,686
$63,160
$138,526 Life of Loan
Sources: Freddie Mac, Internal Revenue Service
can be the “icing on the cake,” turning a 30-year loan into a 15-year or 10-year loan, he says. Altfeder explains that to avoid federal gift-tax complications, be sure that the portion of the principal you forgive is within the annual federal gift-tax limit. The annual limit—the annual exclusion—applies to each person to whom a gift is made and can increase each year, as shown in Figure Three. For 2020, the limit is $15,000 and the total amount of the gift can double if both spouses agree. In our example, Harold and Maude could forgive up to $30,000 of the loan’s principal each year, with no federal gift-tax consequences.
Figure Three: Federal Gift Tax Annual Exclusion Amount Year(s)
Annual Exclusion
2002 - 2005
$11,000
2006 - 2008
$12,000
Suitability
2009 - 2012
$13,000
An intra-family loan is best suited for those who can afford to offer it—typically high-net-worth couples who have a portfolio that sustains them in retirement and who are looking to help their adult children with a life-cycle event, such as buying a house or starting a business, Altfeder says.
2013 - 2017
$14,000
2018 - 2020
$15,000
Source: Internal Revenue Service
Maxie says it’s not suitable if the parents need cash flow, or if the loan would affect the parents’ retirement. And according to Altfeder, he typically only recommends intra-family loans if the parents have at least $3 million to $5 million of liquid net worth. Consider family issues, too. You may want to avoid making a loan if “it’s going to cause a big upheaval” in the family, Maxie says. Make sure that the family member borrowing the money will be in a position to repay it consistently. Overall, the intra-family loan is “a great tool. It’s just got to make sense for the family,” Maxie says.
Risks Understand the risks involved. At the top of the list: “The kids stop paying,” Altfeder says. Family relations may suffer, too. So, follow the proper procedures from the start.
If the money is for buying a house, make sure the loan is formalized, with the various parties signing all of the mortgage, security, and related documents that would be involved if a bank were doing the loan.
If the money is for buying a house, make sure the loan is formalized, with the various parties signing all of the mortgage, security, and related documents that would be involved if a bank were doing the loan, including having the formalized mortgage recorded in the local land-office records, Green says.
The same principle applies if the loan is for another purpose, such as helping the adult child establish, buy, or expand a business. Make sure there’s a promissory note [the written promise to pay], and a security agreement [giving the lender a security interest in the assets], Green says. Be sure, too, that the terms of the security agreement are filed under the Uniform Commercial Code with the Secretary of State and the local land-office records, he adds. Intra-family lending isn’t for everyone, but in the right circumstances, “It has the opportunity to be mutually beneficial to the parents and the children,” Altfeder says. Just make sure to get professional advice first, understand the family dynamics and risks involved, and make sure the proper steps are followed.
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Debt.org reports 6 percent of first-time home buyers use money from family to buy a house.
With artificial intelligence, augmented reality, virtual reality, and 5G networks, holographic interactive receptionists and even a holodeck—like in Star Trek— are becoming a not-sodistant idea according to interestingengineering.com.
Bits Worth Keeping
In Japanese culture, the concept called ikigai (pronounced eye-kaguy) loosely translates to one’s reason for being. It is believed that every person has an ikigai and once it is found, you devote your life to it.
In making this issue of VESTED we found ourselves studying up on the Large Hadron Collider and pondering what it’s like to be greeted by a holographic receptionist. From bits about
According to insider.com, contestants on Bravo’s Project Runway are filmed for 18 hours a day and often wake up with cameras looming over them.
autonomous vehicles and a look at family financing, we’ve Nancy Volpe Beringer uses a technique called nuno felting, which uses an electric sander and water in a pressing motion on fabric, to create her signature futuristic and liquidlooking designs.
gathered up the issue’s best gleanings and placed them here for you.
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According to the Kaiser Family Foundation, the percentage of household budgets spent on health expenses is nearly 3 times as much for retirees on Medicare as for working households.
Entrepreneuer.com reports Bill Gates has a passion for touring things with his kids. They’ve seen the Large Hadron Collider, power plants, garbage dumps, and missile silos, to name a few.
$89B According to the Federal Reserve Board Survey of Consumer Finances, loans from family and friends amount to $89 billion each year in the U.S.
3X
Lifehack.org says that by 2030 the use of autonomous taxis could reduce greenhouse gas emissions by 87 to 94 percent per mile.
A long life is not synonymous with good genes. In fact, the U.S. National Library of Medicine says the length of life spans is more than 75 percent dependent on non-genetic, epigenetic, and environmental factors.
READER Q & A In this issue, VESTED explores what readers need to know
?
about insuring jewelry and other valuables, how taxes might factor into a relocation decision, and what near-retirees can do to prepare for retirement in today’s markets and economy.
I have inherited jewelry and collectibles from family members over the years. Are they covered under my homeowner’s policy?
A
It depends. Typically, insurance carriers don’t assume you have expensive items or rare collections. If you have valuable jewelry, a coin collection, furs, or a room full of expensive guitars, it might be worth getting extra coverage to insure them. You don’t want to find out too late that your policy doesn’t cover them. Start by understanding what your homeowner’s policy includes and how much coverage is in place to ensure your items are going to be covered in the event of a claim. Know what situations the policy does cover: fire, theft, accidental breakage, water damage, and damage while traveling, for example. And be sure to understand what your responsibilities are under the policy requirements, such as storing your collection under certain conditions like out of direct sunlight, in a temperature-controlled room, or in a dry space. If the value of your items exceeds the limits on your policy, you can increase your coverage by purchasing either an endorsement or floater. You can also purchase a standalone policy designed to cover specific valuables, such as a collection of expensive handbags or couture clothing. Your insurer will require you to have a professional appraisal to obtain additional coverage for your valuables. The appraisal establishes an objective value for your property, which may be significantly different from what you think it’s worth. And remember that you’re adding premium for the endorsement on top of what you’re paying on your regular homeowner’s insurance policy. If you’re interested in such a standalone policy, talk with the insurance professional from whom you purchased your homeowner’s policy. That’s the best place to start. You may also be able to save money by insuring your valuable items with the same company that carries your auto, life, or homeowner’s insurance. When you’re confident that you’ve purchased the proper coverage at a good price, then it’s time to go enjoy your possessions with the peace of mind that comes from being well-protected.
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I want to go live in a warmer state. What do I need to think about from a tax perspective?
A
Moving to another state for the weather, greater access to the outdoors, or to be closer to loved ones is a big life decision—one that will impact the taxes you pay no matter where you land. But to make a good decision, it’s important to consider all the taxes that can apply to a state resident. In fact, it’s possible you could pay higher or lower property taxes, income taxes, or sales taxes when you move. How much you’ll pay depends on the individual state’s laws: • Property taxes. Many states, such as Nevada and Florida, that don’t have income taxes make up for them with property taxes. These spots draw a lot of retirees, but it’s important to consider that they have relatively high property taxes. Some states offer property tax relief programs for older individuals or those with limited income or disabilities. If you’re set on moving to a high property tax state like Texas or California, consider renting as a cheaper alternative to owning a home. • Income taxes. Many states’ income tax rates range between 1 percent and 10 percent. Some states have no income tax. In Tennessee, for example, regular income is generally not subject to state tax, but a flat tax rate applies to dividends and interest income. Income tax rates will affect different forms of retirement income, as well, such as Social Security, retirement accounts, and other investments. New Mexico and West Virginia are two of the 13 states in the country that apply taxes to Social Security benefits. • Sales taxes. Thirty-eight states have local sales taxes that can vary widely. A state with a moderate statewide sales tax rate like Louisiana and Alabama could actually have a very high combined state and local rate compared to other states. Paying attention to tax efficiencies can help you stretch your savings; however, these implications are just one piece of the bigger picture. It’s important to get an accurate analysis of the true cost of living in your desired location. In addition to state and local taxes, get familiar with the day-to-day life and expenses in the areas you are
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interested in moving to, such as transportation, groceries, access to good health care, and cultural resources. While it’s important to consider taxes, deciding to move solely based on this factor might have you missing the bigger picture. Moving to another state can save you money if you plan ahead to maximize all available benefits. Just be sure to consider all the implications before you start packing those boxes. Do some research and contact a financial planner and a tax professional for perspective on your new state. Taking these steps will help you look at the many factors that come with moving and help you avoid making a bad decision that could be difficult and expensive to unwind.
I am planning to retire next year. What should I be doing to prepare given uncertainties in the markets and economy?
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Your question is understandable in light of current economic and market circumstances. In addition to the pandemic’s human and healthcare impacts, we will feel the economic fallout for years to come. But that doesn’t necessarily mean you have to rethink or postpone your retirement. Much of what you should do has nothing to do with the pandemic or current market realities. If you have not worked with an advisor to create a plan for your retirement, do so. If you already have a plan, now is a good time to refresh it to make sure it provides the assurance you need to retire with confidence. Here are a few recommendations as you enter your home stretch before ending career work: • Understand your income sources. Social Security benefits provide a foundation for most Americans’ retirements. When do you plan to file for benefits? What benefits do you expect? Do you have other sources of income, such as a pension plan or rental real estate? While you may not be thinking about work during retirement, it’s a great way to stay engaged and keep you from dipping into your savings.
(plus inflation) for 30 years—more if you have extra-long-lived family members. Your portfolio needs a growth element that is balanced with more stable investments to moderate volatility. Make sure to use up-to-date capital market assumptions that reflect the low-interest-rate environment we expect for quite a while. • Run the numbers. With an understanding of your income, expenses, and portfolio mix, you can validate your plan. Try a retirement calculator that uses Monte Carlo simulation. This kind of simulation incorporates a range of potential market conditions and provides a sense of best case, worst case, and expected outcomes. Tweak the inputs to come up with a plan that you can live with. You may decide to work a little longer to provide a bigger margin of safety—or to retire immediately if the numbers look good. • Stress test your plan. While a Monte Carlo simulation incorporates a wide range of market conditions, you may find it comforting to further stress test your plan. What if the market falls 20 percent during your first year of retirement? What if you decide to spend more early in retirement? What if you run into a big healthcare expense? Exploring these possible scenarios can provide further confidence in your plan’s durability.
• Get a handle on your expenses. This can be tough. While you will spend less on some things during retirement, you will probably spend more on others. Less on dry cleaning, for example, and more on travel or entertainment. Paying off your mortgage or downsizing your home can also have a big impact on your expenses. Keep a log of expenses to get a sense of your current spending—and note items you think will increase, decrease, or go away altogether. This can provide a good starting point.
It’s important to realize that retirement is not a set-it-and-forget-it endeavor. Make your decision to retire based upon a thorough analysis that builds in a comfortable margin of error in case things don’t play out as expected. Then, rerun your plan every three to five years or when something significant happens—like a big market move, selling your home, receiving an inheritance, or the death of your spouse.
• Assess your portfolio. It’s important to remember that, even if you’re retiring in your 60s, you are still a long-term investor. You should plan for your portfolio to sustain your expenses
Remember: Your goals and situation are unique, so make sure that you sit down with your financial, tax, and legal advisors to make sure that your plan is right for you.
If you have a question for the VESTED team, we’d love to hear from you and see if we can help. Please send your questions to us at VESTEDmagazine@captrust.com.
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GIVING BACK CAPTRUST colleagues volunteering at Note in the Pocket in Raleigh, North Carolina.
From stockpiles for donation to a virtual run for the CAPTRUST Community Foundation, our colleagues have been busy. Find out what we have been doing to stay active in the community.
2020 Hops for Hope
For a sixth year, CAPTRUST participated in Triangle Hops for Hope, an event that pairs corporate teams with Raleigh-area craft breweries to create an original beer to raise money for charity. The event raised more than $90,000 to benefit Children’s Flight of Hope, a local nonprofit that provides air transportation for children to access specialized medical care. CAPTRUST’s team, The Roth IPAs, brewed a Berliner Weisse named Nobody Puts Baby in a Cake and raised more than $2,400 for the cause.
9/11 Day of Service
CAPTRUST colleagues were masked up and ready to make their contributions at the Food Bank of Central and Eastern North Carolina this past September 11. Volunteers sorted foods and assembled family-sized boxes containing healthy meals for families in the community. 42
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Bond Brothers 5K
From September 19 to 26 the CAPTRUST Community Foundation partnered with Bond Brothers Beer Company to host the fourth annual Bond Brothers 5K race—virtually! The cyberevent pulled in 272 runners, joggers, and walkers who completed and reported the time and date of their own five-kilometer runs across roads, trails, and treadmills around the country. The race raised more than $3,000 for the CAPTRUST Community Foundation.
Metropolitan Ministries
Colleagues from our Tampa office worked diligently over the summer months to collect hygiene, baby care items, and other necessities for families in need in our communities. In August, the group arranged for their stockpile to be delivered to Metropolitan Ministries.
Sleep in Heavenly Peace
Last month volunteers from CAPTRUST’s Salt Lake City office teamed with Sleep in Heavenly Peace, a nonprofit organization that builds and delivers beds to children who do not have a place to sleep. The team created five bunkbed sets that afternoon, which will provide ten children with beds to sleep in.
Grand Rapids, MI
CAPTRUST GROWTH We are pleased to announce two new regional offices, one senior hire, and four new financial advisors. Melissa Stamatiades, CTFA
Stamatiades joined CAPTRUST’s Raleigh, North Carolina, office in September as a senior manager within the firm’s Wealth Solutions Group. She is charged with consulting with our advisors and clients to design and implement investment portfolios and financial planning solutions. Stamatiades received a Bachelor of Science Business Administration degree in finance from the University of North Carolina at Charlotte.
New Offices in Grand Rapids and Southfield, Michigan In September, we added the retirement plan advisory practice of Plante Moran Financial Advisors, one of the nation’s largest independent registered investment advisors, to our growing firm. Led by Partners Dori Drayton and Susan Shoemaker, this team brought an additional 11 team members and more than $6.27 billion of client assets under management to CAPTRUST’s growing retirement plan advisory practice. In addition to Drayton and Shoemaker, please welcome financial advisors Jeremy Chambers, Justin Domber, Cameron Kleinheksel, Brett Reardon, and Jeremy Tollas.
Phil Epting, CFP®
Frank Pyles, CFP®, CIMA®
CAPTRUST welcomed Epting to the Greensboro, North Carolina, office in September as a financial advisor responsible for providing investment advisory services to high-net-worth individuals, families, and institutions. Prior to CAPTRUST, Epting held the position of wealth advisor at Financial Directions Group and was a senior financial consultant at TD Ameritrade before that. He earned his Bachelor of Science Business Administration degree in finance and economics from the University of North Carolina at Wilmington.
In July, CAPTRUST welcomed Pyles as vice president and financial advisor. He is responsible for developing new institutional client relationships and is integral in bringing the firm’s industry-leading institutional advisory services to the Southwestern U.S. region. He earned his Bachelor of Arts degree in telecommunications and film from California State University, Los Angeles, and a Master of Business Administration degree in international business from Saint Joseph’s University–Erivan K. Haub School of Business.
Ron Homer, AIF®
John Zick, AIF®, CPFA
Homer joined the firm in late September as a vice president and financial advisor responsible for providing investment and fiduciary advisory services to retirement plan sponsors of defined benefit, defined contribution, and nonqualified retirement plans. He came to us after spending nearly two decades with TIAA as a senior director and branch leader in the New York City area. Homer received his Bachelor of Science degree in organizational behavior from New York University. He has been in the industry since 2001.
Zick joined CAPTRUST in August as a vice president, financial advisor, responsible for providing investment and fiduciary advisory services to retirement plan sponsors and endowments and foundations. He has been in the financial industry since 2002 and spent 15 years in a director role at Prudential Financial. Zick earned his Bachelor of Music degree in music performance from the University of Hartford and a Master of Music degree in music performance from Johns Hopkins University.
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CAPTRUST RECOGNITION The firm is proud to announce several local and national accolades and our latest initiatives focused on providing advocacy, support, and resources for all CAPTRUST employees. CAPTRUST Named Largest RIA for Fifth Year
The August 2020 issue of Financial Advisor magazine ranked CAPTRUST #1 among registered investment advisors with assets of more than $1 billion, making it the firm’s fifth consecutive year to achieve this distinction. The magazine’s annual survey analyzes several metrics, including assets under advisement, asset growth over the trailing year, and assets per client, as well as other indicators of business success.
Firm Ranks on Barron’s List
CAPTRUST was named #8 on Barron’s annual list of the Top 100 RIA Firms. The ranking is based on a formula that this year includes several new metrics, including technology spending, staff diversity, and succession planning.
Top 300 U.S. Registered Investment Advisor Firms
CAPTRUST was included in Financial Times’ annual FT 300 list of the Top Registered Investment Advisers. This list, now in its seventh year, is based on assets, expertise, and other credentials desirable to investors.
CAPTRUST Named Largest Wealth Management Firm in Houston
CAPTRUST was recently named the largest wealth management firm (with investment minimums of less than $1 million) in the Houston area by the Houston Business Journal. This is CAPTRUST’s first appearance on the list, following the addition of the South Texas Money Management (STMM) team in August 2019, which helped CAPTRUST to significantly expand its presence in Texas.
CAPTRUST Named Largest RIA in Tampa, Florida
CAPTRUST was recently named the largest investment services firm in Tampa by the Tampa Bay Business Journal based on its $10.7 billion of client assets and 33 employees in the market.
CAPTRUST Named Largest RIA in North Carolina
In June Business North Carolina recognized CAPTRUST as the largest registered investment adviser in the state of North Carolina. The annual ranking based on AUM puts CAPTRUST at the top of the list among 34 other investment advisory and mutual fund firms across the state.
CAPTRUST Named a Best Place to Work The Triangle Business Journal again named CAPTRUST to its Best Places to Work list. This is the seventh year CAPTRUST has received this honor from the Journal. A group of CAPTRUST dignitaries learned that the company placed #2 in the extra-large companies category (250-plus employees) in September. The publication honors top-ranked businesses in four size categories: small, medium, large, and extra-large. Businesses on the list are scored and ranked based on the results of a survey voluntarily completed by employees. To be eligible for recognition, companies must be rated highly by employees and meet an employee participation threshold.
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Fall | 2020
Excellence Award Winners The Excellence Award is a way for CAPTRUST associates to recognize co-workers who go above and beyond and consistently perform at the highest levels. The award winners represent an elite group whose attitudes and performance have positively impacted CAPTRUST’s clients and company. The following are the Excellence Award winners for the second quarter of 2020.
Inclusion & Diversity Council
As part of the firm’s commitment to inclusion and diversity, CAPTRUST senior leaders recently rolled out the Inclusion & Diversity Council (IDC). The IDC is the firm’s latest initiative focused on providing advocacy, support, and resources for all CAPTRUST employees to ensure that every employee feels seen, heard, and respected. The IDC’s first initiative included the creation and launch of four new employee resource groups: Black, Indigenous, People of Color Professionals Network; Women’s Leadership Forum; PRIDE; and a MultiFaith Employee Group.
Lonzetta Allen Associate II, Marketing
Lyuda McNees Senior Client Management Consultant
Courtney McGuirk Client Management Consultant
Francher Wins C-Suite Award
In February, the Triangle Business Journal recognized CAPTRUST Chief Human Resource Officer Mark Francher as one of its outstanding business leaders. The C-Suite Awards identify and honor the region’s outstanding corporate leaders for their contributions to the Triangle community and the significant impacts they make toward the success of their respective organizations.
WealthManagement Awards
New Website Launch In August, the firm launched a refreshed CAPTRUST Community Foundation (CCF) website with the help of design firm Skookum. The newly revamped captrustcommunityfoundation.org brings numerous enhancements to the site’s navigation, with an updated look and feel along with easy access to news, resources, and information on ways to get involved and share in the CCF’s mission to enrich the lives of children in communities we serve.
In September, CAPTRUST was honored as part of the sixth annual WealthManagement Awards recognizing outstanding companies, individuals, and organizations that have had notable impact on the financial advisory industry. CAPTRUST received two awards in the category of Individual RIA Firm Leaders: Fielding Miller was named CEO of the Year, and Director of Strategic Growth Rush Benton was named M&A Leader of the Year. Finalists hosted virtual watch parties across the country as winners were announced, and awards judges provided color commentary throughout the entertaining and fast-paced event. 45
We know that investors are looking for experienced and trusted advisors who can provide wealth management services that are focused on their unique circumstances and tailored to their goals. In more than 30 years of acting as a fiduciary to some of the country’s biggest retirement plans, we have gained valuable insights that we can apply to your
Mario C. Giganti, AIFA®, CEPA®, CFP®, CPA Senior Vice President, Financial Advisor Green, OH Amanda Bernier, AIF®, CFP® Financial Advisor Relationship Manager Green, OH Daniel R. Harsh, CFP® Financial Advisor, Financial Planning Green, OH
wealth planning and investment challenges.
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