‘Close borders, cut Omicron exposure risk’ Moody’s Analytics: Slower PHL GDP growth in Q3 By Cai U. Ordinario
with their loved ones, while foreigners living in temperate regions economic “Weaker conditions in mausually want to relax in tropical growth is expected to slow jor developed markets such as LOSING the countries like the Philippines. incountry’s the thirdborders quarter comEurope, and to a lesserThis extent is one of the immediate year’s influx of OFWs is expectedimpact to pared to most the April to June period, the US, will increasingly courses of action the governbe heavier since many in of 2023,” them were according to Moody’s Analytics. manufacturers Moody’s ment must take to prevent the latunable to come home for the holidays In its Asia-Pacific Economic Analytics said. est Covid-19 variant, Omicron, from in December 2020. Review, Moody’s Analytics said In the Philippines, industrial reaching Philippine shores, is to protect the country’s GDPaccordis expected to “My recommendation production is expected to slow to ing to localaverage economists. the borders. Do not allow people withfrom 6.45 percent in the third 2.6 percent in September T he new var iant is a threat, a history of travel to countries with quarter. This is slower than the the 3.5 percent in August. e s p e c i a l l 7.4 y wpercent it h t he hol id positive cases posted in ay thes second Thistoisenter,” slowerOplas thansaid. the 13 coming upquarter and more foreigners “We should be more restrictive. [We this year. percent expected for Malaysia’s being a llowed the thirdhave to industrial be] more protective in terms Thisto istravel highertothan production growth, Philippines, De La Sa lle Univerof our measures.” quarter GDP growth expectation but faster than India’s which is sit y economist Mar ia Ella said that this0.3 willpercent be for Indonesia at 6.1Oplas percent, but Oplas forecast to while contract told BusinessMirror. a setback to some industries, this slower than the forecast for Main September. The holidays bring in is a fair measure considering that laysia atusually 12.8 percent. T he Philippine Statistics Overseas Filipino Workers (OFWs) this could help prevent placing the who are eager to spend Christmas country in another strict lockdown,
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@caiordinario HE country’s
THE WORLD ›› A8
UN REPORT: CLIMATE WOES BAD, GETTING WORSE FASTER
Monday, November 29, 2021 Vol. 17 No.52 n Tuesday, November 8, 2022 Vol. 18 No. 27
which, she said, the economy can no longer afford. (PSA) is expected to Authority “It is better weMonthly do protective release thethat latest Intepreventive measures than exgrated Survey of Selectedget Indusposed again. We have a lotIndex to lose,” tries or the Production and Oplas said. “We should now so Net Sales Index datado onitTuesday, thatNovember we can open just before Christ8. mas. If it gets contained, we can open Third quarter economic perit again.” formance, meanwhile, will be Ateneo Center Economic Rereleased by thefor PSA on Thursday, search and Development (ACERD) November 10. Associate Ser the Percival In itsDirector recent report, InterK. Peña-Reyes said closing the national Monetary Fund (IMF) country’s bordersthe would be effecsaid it expects country’s GDP tivegrowth but should adhere to the to be still slower this year and standards set by the World Health in 2024, in contrast to its July Organization forecast. (WHO). What is needed, Peña-Reyes told Based on IMF’s latest projecthis newspaper, is for travel restrictions to be put in place swiftly and
for government to be proactive in imposing tions, thethem. country’s GDP is now Previous instances expected to average 6.5 when percentthe country had the opportunity to imin 2022; 5 percent in 2023; and pose travelinrestrictions did not pre6 percent 2024. ventThe the estimate spread of Covid-19. for 2022 That is 0.2was mainly because the decision was percentage points lower than thenot made immediately, he said. July 2022 forecast in the IMF’s “Kung papatayOutlook patay (WEO) [If we’re World Economic slow] and we get caught flat-footbut the same as the April WEO. ed, The [that’s risky]for We2023 wereistoo forecast thereactive instead of proactive before. same as the July WEO but 1.3 We should learn Peñapercentage pointsfrom lowerthat,” than the Reyes a delicate balancing April said. 2022“It’s WEO estimates. For act. Wethe need to push 2024, forecast is 0.5testing percent-and tracing to be properly informed age points below the estimates of our decisions. Blanket/shotgun made in the July and April WEO approaches have dire consereports. Cai U.could Ordinario quences on the economy.” See “Omicron,” A2
NATL GOVT BORROWINGS GIR INCHES UP IN OCT, FOR 10 MOS DIP TO P2.75T BUT STILL BELOW $100B w w
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P25.00 nationwide nationwide || 22 sections sections 28 20 pages pages || P25.00
By Bernadette D. Nicolas
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Omicron risk spurs revival Senate chief of quarantine vows: NoPHL rules in
@BNicolasBM
By Cai U. Ordinario
HE national government’s HE level gross of the borrowings as of country’s end-October shrank dollar defenses by almost 6 percent against economic year-on-year to imbalances P2.75 trillion. @caiordinario
improved but remained Latest data frombelow the Bureau of the Treasury showed that the govern$100 billion ment’s gross borrowings during the 10-month period fell by 5.99 percent in October, from P2.92 trillion a year ago. according theleft for With only two to months this year, the latest figure is already Bangko equivalent to Sentral 89.6 percent ng of its P3.07-trillion borrowing program. Pilipinas (BSP). Broken down, gross domestic bor-
rowings from January to October settled P2.23 trillion, down by The at country’s gross interna5.08 percent from P2.35 tional reserves (GIR) level,trillion based in 2020. on preliminary data, rose to $94.1 Theasbulk of the amount was billion of end-October 2022 from sourced from Fixed Rate Treasury the end-September 2022 GIR level Bonds of $93 (P1.19 billion.trillion), followed by short-term borrowings from BangA year ago, BSP data showed, the ko SentralGIR ng Pilipinas orto BSP (P540 country’s amounted $107.89 billion),This Retail Treasury billion. means, the Bonds/PreGIR level of myo Bonds (P463.3 billion), the country in October 2022Retail conOnshore Dollar Bonds (P80.84 biltracted year on year by 12.8 percent. lion). In the same period, there was “The latest GIR level represents a also athan net adequate redemption of Treasury more external liquidBills amounting to P43.94 billion. ity buffer equivalent to 7.5 months’ Netofdebt redemption means worth imports of goods and paythere were more debts comments of services and repaid primary inpared tothe theBSP amount come,” said, borrowed however. during“It theisperiod. also about 6.7 times the Meanwhile, gross external foreign debt borcountry’s short-term rowings in the same period also based on original maturity and 4 contracted by 9.7 percent to P518.7 times based on residual maturity,” billion from last year’s P574.4 billion. it added. This raised On awas month onthrough month global basis, bonds (P146.17 billion), program BSP said, the GIR level improved loanspercent. (P139.98This billion), euro-de1.15 improvement, nominated bonds (P121.97 billion), the BSP said, was attributed to the aNational project loan (P86.41 billion), Government’s (NG) and net yen-denominated samurai bonds foreign currency deposits with the (P24.19 billion). BSP. Seedeposits “Borrowings,” A2 These included proceeds from its issuance of ROP Global Bonds, and upward valuation adjustments in foreign currency-denominated reserves or non-gold reserves. “The level of GIR, as of a particular period, is considered adequate, if it provides at least 100-percent cover for the payment of the country’s foreign liabilities, public and private, falling due within the immediate 12-month period,” BSP explained.
PESO EXCHANGE RATES
reenacted budget in ‘23 By Samuel P. Medenilla @sam_medenilla
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NTER NATIONA L concerns over the possible spread ENATORS are keen on of the more infectious Omicron wrapping up the final Covid-19version variantofprompted next year’sthe government to reimpose P5.268-trillion nationalmandatory budget facility-based quarantine for all to avert government operating arriving passengers2022 in the country. under a reenacted budget on Acting JanuaryPresidential 1, 2023. spokesperson“We Karlo B. Nogralesto announced are planning sponsor on Sunday that the Inter-Agency the [new] budget tomorrow, Task Force 8, foratthe Management November 3 p.m.,” Senate of Emerging Infectious Diseases President Juan Miguel Zubiri (IATF) suspended the implemensaid Monday. tation of its partly Resolution No. 150Speaking in Filipino, A (s.2021), effectively imposing the Senate leader explained stricter protocols for we’ll all inbound to reporters, “What do travelers. is, there’ll be a sponsorship To note, IATFJuan Resolution 150speech by Sen. Edgardo A had allowed fully vaccinated Angara as the chairman of the PEOPLE walk past the mural of Gat Andres Bonifacio at Manila City Hall Underpass. non-visa travelers from Green Committee on Finance, and List The country will celebrate the 158th birth anniversary of Filipino revolutionary areas to enter the country withthen we will proceed with the hero Gat Andres Bonifacio on Tuesday, November 30. ROY DOMINGO out the need for facility-based plenary debates on the 9th, quarantine 10th, 11th.”as long as they secure negative Senate Reverse PresidentTranscriptionZubiri said Polymerase Reaction the senators Chain will then suspend(RTPCR) test within 72 hours prior session on November 8, “which to their departure. is tradition every time there’s a “Except for countries Jasper Emmanuel Y.frantic Arcalas dating registry the to continuing them.the This allows everyone to seea wholeprograms as President Duterte VAX,By BABY, VAX Despite the calls for anti-Covid jabs,its there’s an evenfollowing greater urgency immunization program against slew of childhood diseases for which vaccines budget deliberation, and classified then, as ‘Red,’ the testing and quarantine @jearcalas enactment of the Coconut Farmwho are listed in the registry and if is expected to sign the industry we’ll come to work every 10 have been tested and used for decades. The Department of Health has tied up with local governments to encourage immunization against Vaccine-Preventable Diseases (VPDs) such as polio, measles, protocols for all inbound internaand Industry TrustImmunization Fund law. in Taguig farmer doesn’tVax-Baby-Vax, see his name then he development planinfants in early 2022. o’clock in the morning, until it’s mumps, rubella, diphtheria, and hepatitis B. The 10-dayers Intensive Routine Catch-up City, dubbed aims to immunize the remaining 137,048 ages 0-23 tional travelers in allweek, ports the of entry ORE 3 million Rosalescrippling, explained thatfatal, about shallwas coordinate with theMayor PCALani im-Cayetano; Dr. Rosales said the PCAHealth will Officer not finished, until next months old who are yet tothan get protection against these sometimes sometimes VPDs. The event witnessed by Taguig Robert Kezaala, Medical shall comply with the testing and coconut farmers andGloria Balboa 500,000 coconut and Development. mediately,” he explained at a recent stop updating its list of coconut NONIE REYES 18th.” of the World Health Organization; and Director of the Metro Manilafarmers Center for Health quarantine protocols for our ‘Yellow’ workers are now regisworkers were added to the PCA’s dialogue with coconut farmers. farmers and enjoined them to regHe added: “So, that’s list countries,” Nograles said, citing tered with the government’s reg2018 list that had about 2.5 million “On the other hand, if people ister in order to reap the benefits schedule natin. We start the the provision of IATF Resolution istry, which serves as the basis coconut farmers and farm workers. would see names on the list and of the decades-long idled coconut plenary sponsorship on the No. 151-A. for the number of people to be The PCA’s next step is to conthey think they are not coconut levy fund. “We will not stop at 3.1 8th, on the 9th we start the He noted Hong which has covered by the utilization of the duct an exclusion-inclusion profarmers or their details are incormillion. We hope that more indidebates. Wala na Kong, po tayong confirmed a case of the P75-billion coconut levy fund. cedure by making the updated rect, they can report it to the PCA viduals will register in our coconut session ‘yan, it’s all goingOmicron to By Ma. Stella F. Arnaldo to travel to Coronaction,” island as “a infarmers order to heal and including world’s largestprovidsolarvariant, will also fall underso the YelPhilippine Coconut Authority farmers’ the registry public, for immediate hewell, added. registry,” he rejuvenate; said. be budget deliberations, @akosistellaBM ferryThe ridePCA away…[and] to some cultural powered off-grid mall.” to lowa.m. list countries. (PCA) Deputy Administrator Roel ing everyone theshopping opportunity officialhome noted that The hotspots updatingthat of are theplagued coconut 10 to sawa, every day, Special to the BusinessMirror But the it noted that thelist, provspectacular wreckof dives Asia.”list with overcrowding resource The suspension of the M. Rosales said about 3.11 million check veracity of the Rothe completion the in initial farmers registry isand mandated by from November 9 to 11, rules and for ince’s charms were away from depletion; and locations around the “Green List” countries will coconut farmers and farm worksales added. of coconut farmers registry would Republic Act (RA) 11524 or the then back again [on] 14, 15,be 16in HE popular Fodor’s Travel ‘No List’ the city sun as “dreamy powdery world immediately and dramatieffect from November 28, 2021 to ers have been registered with the “The list will be posted in public be just in time for the expected Coconut Industry Trust Fund Act. hanggang 18.” Guide has put Palawan on its OTHER Asian sites on Fodor’s beaches, lagoons, and swathes cally impacted by water crises.” December 15, 2021. government since it started upspaces where people can easily see rollout of coconut levy-funded See “3-M farmers,” A2 The target is to approve the “Go List” in Asia for 2023, deOn the list are: France’s Cliffs Go List include: Ayutthaya, Thaiof jungle. And underneath the on A2 budget onContinued second and third scribing the province as “The very and Calanques; Lake Tahoe; Antland; Bangladesh; Ho Chi Minh waves lie some of the best diving reading on November 21, or definition of eco-luxury, [and] one arctica; Venice and Amalfi Coast; City; Madhya Pradesh, India; and and snorkeling locations on the 23 BSP at(November the latest. As the Philippines’ Cornwall, Phan Don, Laos. Fodor’s is planet, where n USof50.4600 n JAPAN most 0.4374magical n UK 67.2329 n HK 6.4722underwater n CHINAcoral 7.9013 n SiSINGAPORE 36.8968 n Travel AUSTRALIA 36.2807 nEngland; EU 56.5758Amsterdam; n SAUDI ARABIANovember 13.4531 Source: 26, 2021) islands where underwater worlds soon as the Senate approves its Maya Bay, Phi Phi Leh, and Koh an 80-year-old travel guide based in cities teem with life.” meet lush jungles.” Fodor also cites the Puerto Ta Island, in Thailand; Maui; along Los Angeles. It’s the first time since version of the budget, it will Fodor cited Palawan’s capital Princesa Subterranean River, a with the Southern European Wa2019 that the company published promptly form a bicameral panel Puerto Princesa as “the first carbonUnesco World Heritage Site “and tershed, where climate change an international Go List. tasked to reconcile differing neutral city in South East Asia and Fodor’s Travel also issued a “No the longest navigable underground has resulted in low water levels provisions in the Senate- and is still one of the only few in the reList” for 2023, “which encourages river on Earth at 8.2 kilometers,” affecting Malaga and Greece; and House-approved versions of the gion. Not only that, but it is, in fact, travelers to reexamine the impacts as a must-visit. “Small boats take the American West, where years of annual money measure. carbon-negative. Known as ‘The of tourism and reevaluate where to visitors along the river into the drought have brought down water “And then the week after, City in the Forest,’ Puerto Princspend valuable dollars and time…. heart of the mountain through the reservoirs affecting Arizona, Nebicam, and hopefully, we can esa is surrounded by dense trees, [These are categorized as] natural cathedral-like cave system.” vada, California, Utah. pass it and ratify it before the See “Fodor’s travel,” A2 and much of it is solar-powered, Likewise, it recommends visitors attractions that could use a break 30th.”
OVER 3-M FARMERS LISTED FOR P75-B COCO LEVY FUND
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FODOR’S TRAVEL NAMES PALAWAN ON GO LIST FOR ‘23
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See “GIR,” A2
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 58.6220
See “Senate,” A2
n JAPAN 0.3982 n UK 66.3015 n HK 7.4681 n CHINA 8.1502 n SINGAPORE 41.7744 n AUSTRALIA 37.6119 n EU 58.0827 n KOREA 0.0418 n SAUDI ARABIA 15.6013
Source: BSP (November 7, 2022)