‘Oil prices could push inflation past target’ ‘Close borders, cut Omicron exposure risk’
P Gov.
By Bianca Cuaresma @BcuaresmaBM
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By Cai U. Ordinario
HE rising oil prices due to @caiordinario Russia’s invasion of Ukraine could local inflation LOSING thekick country’s borders upwards 4 percent this year, Bangko is one of the most immediate Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) Governor courses of action the governtold reporters mentBenjamin must takeDiokno to prevent the lat- via a Viber message on Monday. est Covid-19 variant, Omicron, from said shores, they areaccord“carefully reachingDiokno Philippine monitoring” the pass-through of ing to local economists. international prices to domestic T he new var iant is a threat, appropriate e s p e inflation c i a l l y wto it hcalibrate t he hol id ay s actions going forward. coming up and more foreigners its February 17 policy meetbeing a“At llowed to travel to the ing, based on data available at Philippines, De La Sa lle Univer-that time, the BSP staff projected sit y economist Mar ia Ella Oplasthat average inflation will be 3.7 percent told BusinessMirror. in 2022 and 3.3 percent in 2023— The holidays usually bring in bothFilipino within Workers BSP’s target range,” Overseas (OFWs) Diokno said. who are eager to spend Christmas
with their loved ones, while foreigners living in temperate regions usually want to relax in tropical countries like the Philippines. This year’s influx of OFWs is expected to be heavier since many of them were unable to come home for the holidays “With the Russia-Ukraine conflict, conditions in December 2020. changed.”—BSP Gov. Benjamin Diokno “My recommendation is to protect the borders. Do not allow people with “With the Russia-Ukraine cona history of travel to countries with flict, conditions changed,” he added. positive cases to enter,” Oplas said. The governor said their sensitiv“We should be more restrictive. [We ity analysis has shown have to be] more protective potentially in terms elevated inflation rates for the year, of our measures.” with new forecasts thewill table: Oplas said that whileon this be If average world price of oil is $95 a setback to some industries, thisper local inflation would hit 4 is a barrel, fair measure considering that percent; if it is $120 per barrel, this could help prevent placing the it will be 4.4 percent. country in another strict lockdown,
However, if the global price of oil hits $140 per barrel, local inflation will hit percent. which, she4.7 said, the economy can no The government’s target range longer afford. of inflation is at 2 to 4 percent. “It is better that we do protective Meanwhile, the governor said preventive measures than get exthat in terms of trade, direct links posed again. We have a lot to lose,” of the withdoRussia Oplas said.country “We should it now and so Ukraine are “negligible.” that we can open just before ChristDiokno said mas. IfInit2021, gets contained, we exports can opento Russia amounted to $120 million— it again.” about 0.2 percent of the country’s total Ateneo Center for Economic Reexports. Exports to Ukraine, meansearch and Development (ACERD) while, were even lower at $5 million. Associate Director Ser Percival “Other economic link K. Peña-Reyes said closing ages, the throughborders investments, remittances, country’s would be effecand tourism limited,” the tive but shouldwere stillalso adhere to the governor said. standards set by the World Health “The Philippines’s Organization (WHO). geographic distance and economic What is needed,limited Peña-Reyes told link to both Russia and this newspaper, is for travelUkraine, restricas to well macroecotions be as putits in strong place swiftly and
nomic fundamentals, could insulate the domestic economy during thegovernment current risk-off for to beepisode,” proactivethe in governor added. imposing them. In terms instances of policy actions to Previous when the curb inflation, Diokno said initial country had the opportunity to imconditions matter. pose travel restrictions did not pre“Some countries are That starting vent the spread of Covid-19. was from high levels of inflation, mainly because the decision wasothnot ers atimmediately, moderate levels and others made he said. are within the range forecasts. For “Kung papatay patay [If we’re example, US inflation is at 7.9 perslow] and we get caught flat-footcent, UK atrisky] 5.5 percent and the ed, [that’s We were tooEuro rearea is at 5.1 percent. The Philippine active instead of proactive before. inflation at 3 percent—well-thin We shouldislearn from that,” Peñathe forecast range of 2 to 4balancing percent,” Reyes said. “It’s a delicate the governor said. act. We need to push testing and “There greater sense of urtracing to is bea properly informed gency to act for countries with high of our decisions. Blanket/shotgun inflation,” he added. The BSP Monapproaches could have dire conseetary Board is set to have its next quences on the economy.” meeting next week, March 24. See “Omicron,” A2
INTERIM FUEL RESERVES NATL GOVT BORROWINGS EYED OILDIP PRICES SOAR FOR 10AS MOS TO P2.75T w w
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n Tuesday, March 29, 15, 2021 2022 Vol. 17 No.52 No. 158 Monday, November
Universal social protection Omicron risk spurs revival possible with progressive of quarantine taxation, say devt experts rules in PHL
By Bernadette D. Nicolas
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@BNicolasBM
HE national government’s gross borrowings as of end-October shrank by almost 6 percent year-on-year to P2.75 trillion.
By Bernadette D. Nicolas @BNicolasBM
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Latest data from the Bureau of the Treasury showed that the government’s gross borrowings during the 10-month period fell by 5.99 percent from P2.92 trillion a year ago. With only two months left for this year, the latest figure is already equivalent to 89.6 percent of its P3.07-trillion borrowing program. Broken down, gross domestic borrowings from January to October settled at P2.23 trillion, down by 5.08 percent from P2.35 trillion in 2020. A GASOLINE attendant in Las Piñas City readies the gasoline The bulk of the amount was nozzle to fill up a tank on Monday. People are bracing for walk past the mural of Gat Andres Bonifacio at Manila City Hall Underpass. PEOPLE sourced from Fixed Rate Treasury another big-time price hike on petroleum products,The thecountry 11th will celebrate the 158th birth anniversary of Filipino revolutionary Bonds (P1.19 trillion), followed by consecutive week for such spikes. NONIE REYES hero Gat Andres Bonifacio on Tuesday, November 30. ROY DOMINGO short-term borrowings from Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas or BSP (P540 By Lenie Lectura @llectura billion), Retail Treasury Bonds/Premyo Bonds (P463.3 billion), Retail Onshore Dollar Bonds (P80.84 billion). In the same period, there was By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas dating its registry following the them. This allows everyone to see also a net redemption of Treasury @jearcalas enactment of the Coconut Farmwho are listed in the registry and if Bills amounting to P43.94 billion. By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas model, work then fromhe ers and Industry Trust Fund law. farmeremployees doesn’t seecan his name Net debt redemption means @jearcalas both onsite and offsite locations, ORE than 3 million Rosales explained that about shall coordinate with the PCA imthere were more debts repaid comPEZA said. he explained at a recent coconut farmers and 500,000 coconut farmers and mediately,” pared to the amount borrowed durHE Philippine Economic “We are constantly in talks workers are now regisworkers were added to the PCA’s dialogue with coconut farmers. ing the period. Zone Authority (PEZA) on with IBPAP to still look into tered with the government’s reg2018 list that had about 2.5 million “On the other hand, if ways people Meanwhile, gross foreign borMonday said it supports to include or aon hybrid work istry, which serves as the basis coconut farmers and farm workers. would seeWFH names the list and rowings in the same period also theThe adoption of a step hybrid workmodel in the they IT-BPO opfor the number of people to be PCA’s next is to conthey think aresector’s not coconut contracted by 9.7 percent to P518.7 from-home (WFH) arrangement eration We covered by the utilization of the duct an exclusion-inclusion profarmersinorthe theirPhilippines. details are incorbillion from last year’s P574.4 billion. for the IT and business process should learn from the likes of P75-billion coconut levy fund. cedure by making the updated rect, they can report it to the PCA This was raised through global outsourcing industries until the India, one of our top competiPhilippine Coconut Authority farmers’ registry public, providfor immediate action,” he added. bonds (P146.17 billion), program endeveryone of the year. torsThe for IT-BPOs, wherein they (PCA) Deputy Administrator Roel ing the opportunity to PCA official noted that loans (P139.98 billion), euro-deIn a statement, PEZA Director are adjusting its policies and taxlist M. Rosales said about 3.11 million check the veracity of the list, Rothe completion of the initial nominated bonds (P121.97 billion), General Charito Plaza said they breaks to adopt hybrid workwould arcoconut farmers and farm worksales added. of coconut farmers registry a project loan (P86.41 billion), and Energy officials told senators, per liter, and kerosene by P10.50 support the IT & Business Prorangement,” Plaza said. ers have been registered with the “The list will be posted in public be just in time for the expected yen-denominated samurai bonds meanwhile, of plans to put in place per government liter. Other since oil firms are excess Association ofcan theeasily Philip“PEZAofand IBPAP levy-funded are doing it started upspaces where people see rollout coconut (P24.19 billion). by AprilSee an “Borrowings,” interim strategic petropected to follow suit. pines (IBPAP) proposal of contintheir best effort to have the A2 leum reserves program—focused The DOE met with oil firms late ued WFH arrangement for their Fiscal Incentives Review Board on diesel—to cushion consumers Monday afternoon. A proposal to industries beyond the March 31 [FIRB] consider immediately US 50.4600 JAPAN 0.4374 hike, n UK 67.2329 n HKset 6.4722 nFiscal CHINAIncen7.9013 n the SINGAPORE 36.8968 n AUSTRALIA from the hard impact of the run- n stagger this n week’s oil-price deadline by the hybrid work scheme with away prices, driven further by the according to sources, did not sit tives Review Board (FIRB). its three schedules proposed to Ukraine-Russia conflict. well with the oil firms. Plaza said the PEZA and IBadopt the 60:40, 40:60, or 50:50 On Monday, oil firms announced Based on DOE computation, the PAP have come up with a prostaggered implementations and the 11th consecutive week of price year-to-date adjustments stand at posal for a hybrid work scheme let the new administration deincrease starting Tuesday morning. a total net increase of P13.25 per for the concerned industry that termine the appropriate work Caltex Philippines and Cleanliter for gasoline, P17.50 per liter involves a staggered implemenscheme considering the suggesfuel were the first to announce for diesel, and P11.40 per liter for tation of both onsite and offtion,” Plaza added. See “Peza,” A2 they will raise diesel prices by kerosene as of March 8, 2022. site work. Under a hybrid work P13.15 per liter, gasoline by P7.10 Continued on A2
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P25.00 P25.00 nationwide nationwide || 22 sections sections 20 20 pages pages ||
OVERNMENT must pursue a more progressive taxation system and improve its tax administration to address the fiscal constraints in providing universal social protection in the country, experts said. In a University of the Philippines (UP) PILIpiLUNAS 2022 Webinar on National Social Protection Floor on Monday, former Labor Undersecretary Rene E. Ofreneo said countries with very strong social protection programs are implementing a progressive taxation system, where the tax rate increases as the taxable income goes up. Ofreneo, a former dean of the UP School of Labor and Industrial Relations (Solair), lamented that the Philippine government pursued “regressive” tax measures with the passage of the Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion (TRAIN) and Corporate Recovery and Tax Incentives for Enterprises (CREATE) laws. “Make [the] taxation system more progressive. ThisDuterte has long programs as President been pushed by progressive econois expected to sign the industry mists like Joseph Stiglitz, but development plan in early 2022.the
PEZA PUSHES HYBRID WFH COCO LEVY FUND OVER 3-M FARMERS LISTED FOR P75-B FOR I.T.-BPO UNTIL YEAR-END
HOULD world oil prices continue to soar in the next few weeks, gasoline prices are expected to reach P86.72 per liter and diesel at P81.10 per liter, the Department of Energy (DOE) warned on Monday, as oil firms frowned on an option to stagger this week’s huge oil-price hike to blunt its impact.
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PESO EXCHANGE RATES
PESO EXCHANGE RATES n US 52.2680
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Rosales said the PCA will not stop updating its list of coconut farmers and enjoined them to register in order to reap the benefits of the decades-long idled coconut levy fund. “We will not stop at 3.1 million. We hope that more individuals will register in our coconut farmers registry,” he said. The updating of the coconut farmers registry is mandated by Republic Act (RA) 11524 or the Coconut Industry Trust Fund Act. See “3-M farmers,” A2
By Samuel P. Medenilla @sam_medenilla
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NTER NATIONA L concerns over the possible spread of the more infectious Omicron Covid-19 variant prompted the government to reimpose mandatory “Make [the] taxation system more facility-based quarantine for all progressive. This has long been pushed by arriving passengers in the country. progressive economists like Joseph Stiglitz, Acting Presidential spokesperbut the opposite happened here.” son Karlo B. Nograles announced —Prof. Rene Ofreneo on Sunday that the Inter-Agency Task Force for the Management opposite happened here. There was of Emerging Infectious Diseases TRAIN, which had focus on more (IATF) suspended the implementaxes excise on tationfor of the its masses, Resolution No.tax 150oil and then we also had CREATE, A (s.2021), effectively imposing giving fiscal incentives biginbound corporastricter protocols fortoall tions,” said Ofreneo, speaking partly travelers. in Filipino. Providing universal To note, IATF Resolution social 150protection is a wayfully to combat poverty A had allowed vaccinated and inequality, he added. non-visa travelers from Green List Assistant Professor Herisadel P. areas to enter the country withFlores of the UP Diliman-National out the need for facility-based College of Public quarantine as longAdministration as they secure and Governance agreed negative Reverse(NCPAG) Transcriptionwith Ofreneo that it is vital for the Polymerase Chain Reaction (RTgovernment to pursue more proPCR) test within 72 hours prior gressive taxation, but pointed out to their departure. that improving tax administration “Except for countries classified is equally important. as ‘Red,’ the testing and quarantine See “Social protection,” A2 protocols for all inbound international travelers in all ports of entry shall comply with the testing and quarantine protocols for ‘Yellow’ list countries,” Nograles said, citing the provision of IATF Resolution No. 151-A. He noted Hong Kong, which has confirmed a case of the Omicron variant, will also fall under the Yellow list countries. The suspension of the rules for “Green List” countries will be in effect from November 28, 2021 to December 15, 2021. Continued on A2
36.2807 n EU 56.5758 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.4531
n JAPAN 0.4455 n UK 68.1732 n HK 6.6771 n CHINA 8.2442 n SINGAPORE 38.3252 n AUSTRALIA 38.0981 n EU 57.0610 n SAUDI ARABIA 13.9329
Source: BSP (November 26, 2021)
Source: BSP (March 14, 2022)