BusinessMirror June 17, 2022

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PHL now feeling impact of food crisis–DA chief PHL PHLto tofix fixweak weakspots spotsin inpath pathto to$500-B $500-Bdream dream By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas B S A @jearcalas B A C S A Bloomberg A News C

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HE Bloomberg food crisis is now felt News HILIPPINES’S incoming ecoin the Philippines as prices nomic planning secretary ArHILIPPINES’S incoming ecoof goods continue to soar, senio Balisacan plans to bol-Arnomic planning secretary driven by global economic chalster thesenio economy’s weak spots as Balisacan plans topanbolcaused by 6-percent the Covid-19 helenges targets least ster the ateconomy’s weak annual spots as demic andatthe ongoing growth throughout the termUkraineof Preshe targets least 6-percent annual Russia Agriculture Secretary ident-elect Ferdinand Marcos Jr. growthwar, throughout the term of PresThe next administration William D.Ferdinand Dar said Thursday. ident-elect Marcosmust Jr. boostDar investment in agriculturein and Th e gave nexthis administration must assessment his manufacturing and build infrastrucboost investment in and speech addressed toagriculture management ture to grow the and economy between manufacturing build infrastrucofficials of the Department 6-8 percent annually to 2028,between Bali-of ture to grow the economy Agriculture(DA), which was delivsacan in an interview Wednes6-8 said percent annually to 2028, Baliered by Agriculture Undersecreday. sacan said in an interview Wednestary and Chief-of-Staff Leocadio Farm and industry output curday. rently account less than 40 perSebastian onfor his behalf. Farm and industry output curcent of gross domestic product, while rently account for less than 40 per“In the last ManCom [Managecent ofCommittee], gross domesticthe product, while ment Secretary

the WorLd »a10

Fed’s aggressive rate hikes raise prospect oF recession

ROTARY CLUB OF MANILA JOURNALISM AWARDS

spoke contributes of a looming food crisis. services the majority. Well, it’s like hereto now,” said Sebas“I would see those weakest services contributes the majority. tian, reading from Dar’s speech at points the priority of the adminis“Ias would like to see those weakest tration,” said 64-year-old, who’s the start ofthe the two-day points as the priority of theNational adminiscurrently of the nation’s Management Committee meeting tration,”chairman said the 64-year-old, who’s antitrust commission. currently chairman of the nation’s of the DA. Consistently growing the rate antitrust commission. Dar noted that theat fertilizer of 6 percent for sixgrowing years will make Consistently at the rate prices havea tripled since the start Philippines half-a-trillion dollar of 6 percent for six years will make of the Ukraine-Russia war while economy, according to Bloomberg Philippines a half-a-trillion dollar food inflation in the West is reachcalculations. economy, according to Bloomberg Theasnation’s ing high asfi8rst-quarter percent. expancalculations. sion “Here of percent already among in thefiis Philippines, we Th8.3 e nation’s rst-quarter expanAsia’s thanksinflation the reopensionfastest, of percent istoalready among have an8.3 enviable of 5.4 ingAsia’s fromfastest, the pandemic. Marthanks toStill, the reopenpercent, considering. Still way cos’s team faces immediate challenging from the pandemic. Still, Maroff-target for our Central Bank. es:cos’s inflation is at its fastest inchallengthree team faces immediate That isation driven bycit food energy years, budget hasand widened es: infl isdefi at its fastest in three prices,” he said. and the global outlook dimmed. years, budget deficithashas widened Still, said the the economy Dar added that and theBalisacan global outlook haspredicted dimmed. can expand by at least 7 percent this Still, Balisacan said the economy geopolitical shifts are happening can expand byfood at least 7 percent this already with export restric-

tions being by various year, within theimposed official growth esticountries tothe secure theirfrom supplies. mate, riding recovery year, within the official growththe esti“ The geopolitical shifts are record contraction in 2020 due to mate, riding the recovery from the the pandemic. He saidinas he2020 will push moving as predicted well: India record contraction due to for more targeted support measures isthe rising as a food security superpandemic. He said he will push topower easemore infl ation’s on the poor for targeted support measures and the burden next viable source while ensuring “tight” government to ease infl ation’s burden on the poor of wheat and rice for importing finances are managed properly. while ensuring “tight” government countries,” he said. canare achieve moreproperly. with less,” fi“We nances managed “Elsewhere, export bans are behe said, adding that a review and “We can achieve more with less,” ing instituted about 20 counstreamlining of by benefi are he said, adding that aciaries review and needed. Theprotect nation af-are tries, to theircannot domestic streamlining of also benefi ciaries ford removal certain onafsupplies. palm oil, sunneeded. ThWheat, e of nation also taxes cannot goods proposed by some sectors, ford asremoval certain taxes on flower oil, andoffertilizer compohegoods said. as proposed by some sectors, nents are scarce,” he added. he In said. May, Dar warned of a loomExperienced economist ing food crisis that from the country BALISACAN will draw his exExperienced economist could feel in will the second half, perience in crafting a newfrom economic BALISACAN draw hisdue exdevelopment plan. economic Before taking to various chalperience in global crafting a new economic helm of the antitrust he served development plan.body, Before taking lenges that drove up prices of helm of thefood, antitrust he served domestic bothbody, locally-pro-

and imported. asduced economic planning secretary of “Thepresident Philippines’s precarious theas late Benigno Aquino of economic planning secretary position as2016. a net food-importing from the2012 late to president Benigno Aquino To sustain growth of not at country demands from 2012 toeconomic 2016. innovation least 6in percent, the nextactivities, administrajustTo our existing but sustain economic growth of at tion must addresslegislation,” rednext tape administraandhe build least percent, the also in6 related said. infrastructure needed attract intion must address redtotape and build The BusinessMirror broke vestment in manufacturing and ag-ininfrastructure needed to attract the story earlier that riculture, said whoFilipinos holds vestment inBalisacan, manufacturing and aagwill grapple with more PhD in Economics from the Univerriculture, said Balisacan, expensive who holds a rice comingfrom months as the sity of in Hawaii. PhD inthe Economics the UniverGiven athe budget cit infl ated price stapledefi could increase sity ofofHawaii. bybypandemic-era Given a budget defiprograms, cit inflated as much assupport P6 per kilogram companies and multilateral develby pandemic-era support programs, due to higher production costs opment agencies may be tappeddevelto companies and multilateral both locally and internationally. finance roads, rail and irrigation, heto opment agencies may be tapped (R e l Balisacan a te d s to r y: h t t p manage s: // b u s i nthe e sssaid. finance roads, helped rail and irrigation, he mirror.com.ph/2022/06/06/higherAquino administration’s fl agship said. Balisacan helped manage the rice-produc tion-costsseen-to-spurpublic-private partnership fl infraAquino administration’s agship %e2%82%a76-kilo-price-hike/) public-private partnership infraS “PHL,” A S “PHL,” A A2 See “food crisis,”

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2006 National Newspaper of the Year CLUBNewspaper OF MANILA JOURNALISM AWARDS 2011 ROTARY National of the Year National Newspaper the Year 2013 2006 Business Newspaper of theofYear National Newspaper the Year 2017 2011 Business Newspaper of theofYear Business Newspaper the Year 2019 2013 Business Newspaper of theofYear Business Newspaper of the Year 20212017 Pro Patria Award 20192018 Business Newspaper of the Year PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY Data Champion 2021 Pro Patria Award PHILIPPINE STATISTICS AUTHORITY 2018 Data Champion

AAbroader look at today’s business look at today’s business A■broader broader look at today’s business Thursday, June 2, 2022 Vol. 17 No. 237

EJAP JOURNALISM AWARDS

BUSINESS NEWS EJAP JOURNALISM AWARDS SOURCE OF THE YEAR BUSINESS (2017, 2018, 2019,NEWS 2020) SOURCE OF THE YEAR

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‘PHL’S H2 RESTS ‘PHL NOT AT NEAR-TERM ‘PHL’S H2 GROWTH GROWTH RESTS www.businessmirror.com.ph www.businessmirror.com.ph www.businessmirror.com.ph

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Friday, JuneJune 17, 2022 Vol. 17 No. 252 Thursday, 2, 2022 Vol. 17 No. 237

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ON NEW ECONOMIC TEAM’ ON NEW ECONOMIC TEAM’ RISK OF STAGFLATION’

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By Cai U. Ordinario

@caiordinario

MID rising commodity prices and the slow global economic recovery, the Philippines remains in no danger of experiencing “stagflation” in the near term, according to the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP).

BSP said the economy is not in immediate risk of experiencing stagflation which is “an economic condition characterized by slow growth, high unemployment, and rising inflation.” The BSP noted that the country’s GDP growth of 8.3 percent in the first quarter of the year and the steady decline of unemployment to 5.7 percent in April are good omens that the country’s economic recovery is well under way. “The steady upturn in credit activity, ample domestic liquidity,

and favorable market sentiment should also help boost economic activity. Consumer confidence has improved in Q1 [first quarter] 2022, while the country’s foreign direct investments yielded net inflows in March,” BSP also said in a statement. Domestic labor conditions, BSP said, are expected to improve and are now approaching prepandemic levels due to the eased mobility restrictions earlier imposed to prevent the spread of Covid-19. See “PHL,” A2

MIGRANTS’ REMITTANCE FLOWS BOOSTED BY DIGITALIZATION

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Quezon City Disaster Risk Reduction and Management (QCDRRM) and Quezon City Hall personnel conduct a nationwide simultaneous earthquake drill at City Hall grounds on Thursday, June 9, 2022. The drill trains participants on the during prepare them forand theUbo so-called “big one,” a major temblor deemed very possible for the Philippines, which lies on an earthquake belt. NONOY LACZA TILAPIA fish pens areproper seen inreactions Lake Sebu, the disasters ancestral and domain of the T‘boli indigenous people in South Cotabato. The lake is one of the prime ecotourism destinations in Mindanao. JOEL PAREDES

PHL’s competitiveness rank better, but problems flagged

IGRANTS worldwide By Andrea E. San Juan who support their family memstructure ranking because it has are expected to send bers and communities of origin improved, there are other areas THE BRP Melchora Aquino, the second of two worth multi-role response vessels procured by the Philippine from Japan, is welcomed by the Philippine Coast Guard at the Port Areahave in Manila on Wednesday, 1, 2022, completing its maiden voyage from Japan. Constructed by Mitsubishi Shipbuilding Co. in Japan, the ship, named LTHOUGH the Philippines home trillions through the money they government send that been left outJune under this after Sora, the Grand Woman ofofthe Revolution during thevessels Spanish colonialbyperiod, is part ofgovernment the Maritimefrom Safety Capability Improvement Project ofCoast the Coast Guard. ROY DOMINGO THETandang BRP Melchora Aquino, the second two multi-role response procured the Philippine Japan, is welcomed by the Philippine Guard at the Port Area in Manila on Wednesday, June 1, 2022, moved two notches up in of dollars in remittances until back home. pillar or which are causes of con-completing its maiden voyage from Japan. Constructed by Mitsubishi Shipbuilding Co. in Japan, the ship, named after Tandang Sora, the Grand Woman of the Revolution during the Spanish colonial period, is part of the Maritime Safety Capability Improvement Project of the Coast Guard. ROY DOMINGO its infrastructure ranking 2030, with theBflows boosted IFAD expects global remitcern, such as health and education. C U. O @caiordinario based on the 2022 World Comby greater digitalization which tances to reach $5.4 trillion Khatiwada highlighted educaB C U. O @caiordinario petitiveness Yearbook (WCY), it blunted the adverse impact of in less than a decade. In 2021, tion because he said that “this is remains the weakest factor for the pandemic, according to the low- and middle-income coungoing to play out in the next few the country due to the underlying International Fund for Agricultries (LMICs) grew 8.6 percent years.” In fact, he added, there problems on social infrastructure tural Development (IFAD). Citing the latest World Bank was already something called the which places education under the The report was made as the data, IFAD said remittances flow “learning crisis” even before the UTGOING Senate PresiDrilon moved to elect Majority microscope, among others. global community observed on at $605 billion was more than pandemic hit the Philippines. B J M N. D C our political andthat dent Vicente Sotto III Leader Juanmoved MigueltoZubiri as the At a webinar on Thursday, Asian and strengthened June 16 the International Day tripled the total amount of interHe illustrated by saying UTGOING Senate PresiDrilon elect Majority B J@joveemarie M N. (ADB) D C and strengthened our political and declared at 7:41 Sotto pm ofIII acting Senate Pro Temdent Vicente Leader Juan President Miguel Zubiri as the Development Bank South- governmental of Family Remittances (IDFR), national official development “When you institutions. test students at differ“Despite the institutions. many challenges @joveemarie governmental as adjourned sinepm dieof pore fromSenate noon President of June 30 declared at 7:41 acting Prountil Temeast Asia Department’s Social Secan annual event to raise awareassistance at $178.6 billion. ent grade levels, they aren’t really Wednesday HE House of Representatives that “Despite happenedthe during mychallenges tenure many the third regular session of thedie July 25,from when the of 19th Congress Wednesday as adjourned sine pore noon June 30 until tor Specialist Sameer Khatiwada ness of the hard work and sacrilearning as much as they should be onHEWednesday ended the asthat your happened Speaker, we have risen and House of Representatives during my tenure See “Migrants,” A2 18th on thesession part ofofthe convenes. the Congress third regular the first July 25, when the 19th Congress pointed out that although he’s opfice of the millions of migrants 18th highlighting ourselves to be One Conon Congress, Wednesday ended the proven as your Speaker, we have risen and Senate, capping what Minority Earlier in the day, colleagues See “Rank,” A2 18th Congress on the part of the fi rst convenes. timistic over the country’s infraits 3-year achievements, including gress, ready to servetoour people,” 18th Congress, highlighting proven ourselves be One Con- Leader Franklin Drilon thatinZubiri had colleagues secured Senate, capping whatdescribed Minority signaled Earlier the day, laws to helpachievements, the country navigate histo colleagues. its 3-year including Velasco gress, told ready serve our people,” asLeader cabinet can handle the emerging scenario,” the In its latest Market Call report, First Metro “one of Franklin the most Drilon productive sesthe “votes” that of majority senators described signaled Zubiri of had secured emerge strongernavigate from “One Congress, ready to scrutilaws toand help the country Velasco told his colleagues. report stated. Investment University of Asia First and the sions” of the chamber, an featSAUDI made who will sitSource: in 19th Senate, a cabinet handle n the japan emerging scenario,” In itsCorp. latestand Market Call report, Metro as “one of the most productive sesthe “votes” ofthe majority of senators n US can 53.3700 0.3988 then UKthrough 64.9566 n HK 6.7990 n CHINA 7.9470 n singapore 38.4954 n australia 37.3910 n EU 55.7556 arabia 14.2248 BSP (June 16, 2022) the Covid-19 pandemic. the national budget, pass through and emerge stronger from nize “One Congress, ready to scrutiOne of the major risks that post the most Pacifi c (FMIC-UA&P) Capital Markets Research remarkable by chamber, the fact that much confisit rmed by Drilon. report stated. Investment Corp. and University of Asia and the sions” of the a feat made matter who will in the 19th Senate, a In Covid-19 his valedictory laws, conduct hearings, the pandemic. speech, nizetothe national budget,totopropass ofremarkable uncertainty is the Russia-Ukraine saidPacifi thecgrowth momentum which gave rise to One to of the the economy major risks that post the most (FMIC-UA&P) Capital Markets Research it was in a pandemic. Zubiri confi appears to be the by the fact that much matter rmednow by Drilon. Speaker Velascospeech, said vide oversight on the implementaIn Lord his Allan valedictory waruncertainty which willtomark its first 100 days. The war thesaid 8.3-percent growth in the fiwhich rst quarter laws, to conduct hearings, to prothe economy is the Russia-Ukraine the growth momentum gave will rise to peers heaped praise on only Zubiri likely candidate to stand ofHis it was in a pandemic. appears now to befor the the 18th Congress was Velasco a key and of oversight laws, and on to generally make Speaker Lord Allan said tion began February 24 this anddays. will The reachwar spillthe over to the second quarter. vide the implementawar in which will mark its fiyear rst 100 8.3-percent growth in the first quarter will SottoHis for his leadership, and laudelection as the next Senate Presi-for peers heaped praise on only likely candidate to stand steady partner of President easier theand next 100began days on 3. FMIC-UA&P Capital However, of the economy in the 18th Congress was aDuterte key and it tion offor laws, to Congress generally and make edSotto in June February 24 this year and Markets will reach spill over tothe theperformance second quarter. and thanked as well theand seven after as Sen. Cynthia Villar, earfor his leadership, laud- dent, election the next Senate Presiinsteady passing lawsof that promoted Research saidoncommodity prices, particularly oil the third and fourth quarters will of bethe determined to continue the legpartner President Duterte itsitleadership, easier for the next Congress and other 100 days June 3. FMIC-UA&P Capital Markets However, the performance economy in “graduating” members of seven the lier touted a strong contender, ed and thanked as well the dent, afterasSen. Cynthia Villar, earprices, could remain elevated until the particularly war in East- oil by the the third policies be implemented the new economic development, work for the sake of our in passing laws thatstrengthpromoted islative Research said commodity prices, andtofourth quarters will by be determined its leadership, to continue thekaleg- chamber, including two other of pilwithdrawing other “graduating” members the announced lier toutedshe as awas strong contender, ernprices, Europecould is resolved. This uncertainty lead economic will greet ened the administration justice babayans,” he added. remain elevated until the will war in Eastby the team. policiesMuch to beuncertainty implemented by thethenew economic development,ofstrengthislative work for the sake of our ka- lars—Drilon and Senate President from the race. chamber, including two other pilannounced she was withdrawing to an ation of above 5 percent in economic managers as the pandemicwill continues and thethe ruleadministration of law, enhanced the ernaverage Europe infl is resolved. This uncertainty willthelead economic team. Much uncertainty greet the He said the ened of justice babayans,” hepandemic added. forced the Pro Tempore Ralph “Walathe nang [There is no] SP race,” lars—Drilon and Recto. Senate President from race. country year. inflation of above 5 percent in the andeconomic commodity prices remain protection of labor andenhanced social welto anthis average managers as theelevated. pandemic continues to be dynamic, and the rule of law, the House Heleadership said the pandemic forced the As his “last offi cial act,” Drilon she told reporters, Pro Tempore Ralph Recto. “Wala nang [Thadding, ere is no]“ISPwant race,” In April, “Thecommodity robustness in the economic country thisthe year.Philippine Statistics Authority and prices remain elevated.recovery, fare, improved of and and proactive. protection of the laborquality and social wel- innovative House leadership to be dynamic, introduced a resolution meant to a simple life” and explained she As his “last offi cial act,” Drilon she told reporters, adding, “I want (PSA) reported that infl ation nationwide increased founded“The heavily on employment gains, should In April, the Philippine Statistics Authority robustness in the economic recovery, increased access to “Despite the lingering threat fare, improved theeducation quality ofand and innovative and proactive. prevent a month-long leadership just wanted to “take care of my adintroduced a resolution meant to a simple life” and explained she to 4.9 percent in April 2022. The average infl ation spillfounded over intoheavily Q2 [theonsecond quarter]. And while (PSA) reported that inflation nationwide increased employment gains, should information, enhanced our health increased access to education and “Despite the lingering threat gap in the aSenate, as the terms of vocacy, agriculture,” heradprevent month-long leadership just wanted to “takesignaling care of my for tothe4.9first four months of theThe yearaverage stood at a tighter fiscal andsecond inflation pose And serious percent in April 2022. infl3.7 ation spill over intospace Q2 [the quarter]. while C  A and emergencyenhanced response our system, information, health Sotto and endasatthenoon ofof desire to keep her chairmanship gap in theRecto Senate, terms vocacy, agriculture,” signaling of her headwinds anation economic for the first four months of the year stood at 3.7 a tighterinfiH2 scal[second space half], and infl poseteam serious C  A and emergency response system, S “H,” A Butch Fernandez June 30. and Recto end at noon of that committee. Sotto desire to keep her chairmanship of of high-quality the new President’s headwinds intechnocrats H2 [secondinhalf], an economic team S “H,” A June 30. that committee. Butch Fernandez of high-quality technocrats in the new President’s

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HE performance of the Philippine HE performance of thehalf Philippine economy in the second the second half ofeconomy the year in will rest squarely of the yearofwill squarely on the shoulders therest incoming on the shoulderseconomic of the incoming administration’s team, administration’s economic team, according to a local think tank. according to a local think tank. PESO exchange rates

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Sotto closes ‘productive’ Sotto closes ‘productive’ PANDEMIC CHALLENGE PANDEMIC CHALLENGE session; Zubiri next SP? MARKS 18TH CONGRESS session; Zubiri next SP? MARKS 18TH CONGRESS

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PESO EXCHANGE RATES ■ US 52.4120 ■ JAPAN 0.4073 ■ UK 66.0496 ■ HK 6.6799 ■ SINGAPORE 38.2625 ■ AUSTRALIA 37.6004 ■ SAUDI ARABIA 13.9750 ■ EU 56.2643 ■ CHINA 7.8555 Source: BSP (June 1, 2022) PESO EXCHANGE RATES ■ US 52.4120 ■ JAPAN 0.4073 ■ UK 66.0496 ■ HK 6.6799 ■ SINGAPORE 38.2625 ■ AUSTRALIA 37.6004 ■ SAUDI ARABIA 13.9750 ■ EU 56.2643 ■ CHINA 7.8555 Source: BSP (June 1, 2022)


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