BSP keeps low rates despite risks of inflation By Bianca Cuaresma
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@BcuaresmaBM
HE Monetar y Board on Thursday decided to keep its all-time low interest rate for the last time this year, even amid the threats of upside risks to inflation coming into 2022. In its last meeting for the year, the Bangko Sentral ng Pilipinas (BSP) maintained the interest rate on the BSP’s overnight reverse repurchase facility at 2.0 percent. The interest rates on the overnight deposit and lending facilities were likewise kept at 1.5 percent and 2.5 percent, respectively. This means that the BSP kept the all-time low interest rate for the entire year, keeping true to
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BSP Governor Benjamin Diokno’s forward guidance of keeping an accommodative monetary policy environment for “as long as possible” to support economic recovery. The monetary policy levers were left unchanged on Thursday despite risks to the country’s inflation outlook for next year. In the post-monetary policy meeting press conference, the BSP said they now expect inflation to average at 4.4 percent in 2021, up from their earlier projection of 4.3 percent. For next year, the forecast was also raised to 3.4 percent from the earlier forecast of 3.3 percent. “The latest baseline forecasts for 2021 and 2022 are slightly higher from the previous assess-
ment round owing to the higherthan-anticipated inflation outturn in November. Nevertheless, the projected inflation path remains within the inflation target band of 2-4 percent over the policy horizon,” Diokno said. “Average inflation is seen to settle close to the midpoint of the target range in 2023. Inflation expectations also continue to be anchored to the target level,” he added. The governor also said that the risks to these inflation forecasts are tilted toward the upside for 2022. Upside risks are linked mainly to the potential impact of continuing constraints on the supply of key food items and petitions for transport fare hikes. Strong global
demand amid lingering supplychain bottlenecks could also exert further upward pressures on international commodity prices. On the other hand, Diokno said the emergence of new variants continues to pose downside risks to the outlook for growth and inflation. “The Monetary Board observed that economic growth now appears to be on firmer ground, supported by the government’s accelerated vaccination program and calibrated relaxation of quarantine protocols. In particular, credit activity has gradually recovered in recent months, reflecting improved business activity and market sentiment,” the governor said. Continued on A9
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Sunday, December5,5, 2021 Vol.Vol. Friday,December 17, 2021 17No.No. Sunday, 2021 Vol. 1717No. 585870
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Economists pin hopes on amendments in PSA law
By Jasper Emmanuel Y. Arcalas @jearcalas
& Cai U. Ordinario
F
@caiordinario
ILIPINOS are expected to have a Merrier Christmas this year as lockdowns are eased, but they will most certainly be greeted by high commodity prices, economists said.
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OCAL economists and stakeholders are hoping that many of the amendments contained in the House of Representatives version of the Public Service Act (PSA) would be retained in the final version of the law. These amendments include two additional criteria needed to provide justification in maintaining Filipino ownership. These two criteria are the maintenance of life or occupation of the public and providing adequate service on demand. Marikina 2nd District Representative Stella Luz A. Quimbo said in her discussion that this will help address concerns raised by stakeholders, such as the University of the Philippines Marine Science Institute, on the possible destruction of natural resources by foreign investors. “I think there’s little from Economics that can help us with this. Arguably, Economics is agnostic to where capital comes from. Capital is capital, regardless of where it comes from. So, I believe that the justification must be outside the purview of Philippines.” Economics,” Quimbo said. “I think He explained that the lost revthat the most important of these is enues are substantial funding ‘maintenance of life,’ which I believe source for goverment projects and is synonymous to protection of life.” pandemic response. In a recent forum of the UP In addition, it could have offSchool of Economics and Ayala set the tax burden of the Filipinos Corporation, UP MSI’s Laura David showsofofproducts, products, with hosts and shows with hosts and amid the financial struggles in initially expressed her misgivings guests providing more details and guests providing more details and pandemic, the official pointed out. on thetestimonies, PSA, particularly in efforts giving testimonies, Zalora said. giving Zalora said. Smuggled goods entering the to liberalize maritime transport, wouldalso alsohelp helpbrands brandsininItItwould Philippines, Arranza said, would on account of the destruction novateon onflexible flexiblesales salespromopromonovate eat into the market share of locals, wrought by as China on discounts, Philippine tions,such such asgiving giving discounts, tions, putting domestic industries at the corals in the West Philippine Sea. and offering easier and attracand offering easier and attraclosing end. tivepayment paymentoptions optionssuch suchasasthe the tive See “Economist,” A2 buy-now-pay-later (BNPL) opbuy-now-pay-later (BNPL) opContinued on A8 tion,which, which,ititsaid, said,emerged emergedasas tion, themost mostpopular popularoption optionamong among the Asian shoppers. Asian shoppers. 36.0744 n EU 56.8221 n SAUDI arabia 13.4170 Source: BSP (December 16, 2021) Indonesia, for for example, example, InIn Indonesia, Google saw saw a a “10x “10x increase increase inin Google searchesfor fore-wallet e-walletservices servicesand and searches 15xrise riseininBNPL BNPLservices servicesininthe the 15x lastfive fiveyears. years.Other Otherappealing appealing last payment options options like like monthly monthly payment installments,toto00percent percentinterinterinstallments, estfees feeson oncredit creditcards, cards,provide provide est access toto quality quality products products and and talsavviness savvinessand andtaste tastefor forluxury luxury access tal serviceswhile whilealso alsoimproving improvingfi-fiandsustainability. sustainability. services and nancialinclusion. inclusion. “Thereport reportisispositioned positionedasasa a nancial “The Zalora,for forinstance, instance,offers offers21 21 referencepoint pointthat thathelps helpsZalora’s Zalora’s Zalora, reference paymentmethods methodsacross acrossthe therere900brand brandpartners partnersnavigate navigatethe the payment 900 gion, including including cash-on-delivery cash-on-delivery region’sdiversity diversityand andevolving evolvingreregion, region’s andBNPL BNPLoptions optionsacross acrossthe themarmartaillandscape,” landscape,”Zalora’s Zalora’sCEO CEOGunGunand tail kets.ItItlaunched launchedits itsfirst firstco-brandco-brandjanSoni Sonisaid. said. kets. jan creditcard cardininpartnership partnershipwith with Aside from from digital digital partners partners ededcredit Aside RCBCand andMastercard Mastercardininthe thePhilPhillike Google, Google, Mastercard, Mastercard, H&M, H&M, RCBC like ippines,the thefirst-ever first-everfashion fashionand and Lush,Paula’s Paula’sChoice, Choice,HABIB, HABIB,AtAtippines, Lush,
‘DIGITAL DIASPORA’
The shipping crisis and the RESCUERS assist residents cross a bridge as they are evacuated to higher grounds in Tubay, Agusan del surge in domestic demand would Norte, on Thursday, December 16, 2021. Tens of thousands of people were being evacuated to safety likely account for the more exin the southern and central Philippines as Typhoon Odette (international code name Rai) approached pensive Christmas, according to Thursday at a time when authorities were warning the public to avoid crowds after the first infections them. caused by Covid-19’s omicron strain were reported in the country, officials said. Story on page A3. Former University of the Philippines School of Economics Dean Ramon L. Clarete told the BusinessMirror that delayed shipments caused by global logistics concerns would likely increase the price of Christmas goods, especially this month. “[With] delayed shipments of By Tyrone Jasper C. Piad losing about P250 billion in terms Christmas goods, even food... @TyronePiad of value-added tax annually due we would therefore expect some to smuggling based on a study it shortages and maybe our prices HE Federation of Philipcommissioned a few years ago. This may slightly go up,” Clarete told pine Industries (FPI) asked figure has gone up now, factoring this newspaper. the government to tighten in the price increases of the goods, Christmas goods, Clarete said, the monitoring of smuggling of he explained. ByManuel Manuel Cayon consumers become morediscerndiscernshould have been shipped two By T.T. Cayon consumers become more goods, saying the lost revenues Nevertheless, Arranza stressed ingand and connected,could weare are seeing months to a month before Deing we seeing from the illegal activity could have that lostconnected, revenues have betincredible innovations happening incredible innovations happening cember. But these goods could been used to boost economic deter served the country if they were inthe theretail retail sectorthat that completely in sector encounter delays due to existvelopment in the countryside and properly accounted for.completely reimagine theto shopping experireimagine the shopping experiing bottlenecks in shipping to strengthen pandemic response “We appeal the government ence,” GunjanSoni, Soni, chief executive ence,” Gunjan several countries—increasing amid the ongoing crisis. to concentrate onchief this.executive The FPI officer the Zalora Group, toldany an officer ofofthe Zalora Group, told an FPI Chairman Jesus Lim Arhas been doing this without their cost. online presentation of its Trender online presentation of its Trender ranza said in a virtual briefing let up, but we really need the govReport2021. 2021. Report See “High,” A2 on Thursday that the country is ernment to do its part because it Shedescribed describedthe the“shoppers “shoppersofof She tomorrow”asas“digital “digitaland anddiverse diverse tomorrow” across Southeast Asia.” across Southeast Asia.” n US 50.3340 n japan 0.4414 n UK 66.7731 n HK 6.4513 n CHINA 7.9042 “It’s a a digital digital diaspora,” diaspora,” she she “It’s said,citing citingGoogle Googletrend trendmonitormonitorsaid, ingthat thatshows shows40 40million millionnew newInIning ternetusers userscame cameonline onlineinin2021, 2021, ternet “bringingthe theinternet internetpenetration penetration “bringing SoutheastAsia Asiatoto75 75percent.” percent.” ininSoutheast “Infact, fact,eight eightout outofof10 10InterInter“In netusers usersininthe theregion regionare aredigidiginet talconsumers. consumers.Recognizing Recognizingthis this tal For one, one, the the Southeast Southeast Asia Asia shiftininadoption, adoption,brands brandsquickly quickly For shift Trender Report Report 2021 2021 byby Zalora Zalora expandedtheir theironline onlinepresence presencetoto Trender expanded showsthat that40 40million millionAsians Asiansmade made reachthese thesenew newdigital digitalconsumconsumshows reach theirdebut debutininInternet Internetuse useand and70 70 ers,and andZalora Zalorareported reporteda a19-per19-pertheir ers, millionhave havemade madetheir theirfirst firstonline online centincrease increaseininnew newbrands brandsthat that million cent purchasewithin withinthe the2020 2020and and2021 2021 joinedthe theplatform platforminin2021,” 2021,”she she purchase joined period, many many ofof them them attracted attracted added. period, added. anddrawn drawninto intoactual actualpurchase purchasebyby Withmore moreSoutheast SoutheastAsians Asians and With productsales salespromotion promotionand anddisdisbrowsingnow nowand andgetting gettingthemthemproduct browsing countofferings. offerings. selves more more online, online, the the average average count selves
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AVAOCITY—A CITY—Aleading leading AVAO onlinebrand brandretailer retailerin inAsia Asia online seeingaasharp sharpbehavioral behavioral isisseeing shiftamong among consumers consumersand andbrand brand shift makersthat thatmay mayreinvent reinventand andinnovate innovate makers approaches, especially fromthe thelatter, latter, approaches, especially PESO exchange rates from asdata dataanalytics—since analytics—sincethe theonset onsetof ofthe the as pandemic—indicatethe theemergence emergenceof of pandemic—indicate morediscerning discerningconsumers consumersadaptive adaptiveto to more electronic,or oronline, online,shopping shoppingexperience. experience. electronic,
has all the power given to them by law and we will be there to help as we have been doing,” the FPI official said. He said that it can be used to incentivize manufacturers to locate their operations in the regions with less economic development. “That way, you will decongest traffic in Metro Manila and you will also create a balanced economic development in the farflung provinces,” he explained. “And if you have a balanced economic development, there will be no second-class workers in the
n singapore 36.8720 n australia
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Onlineshopping shoppingplatform platformnotes notesbehavioral behavioralshift shift Online amongconsumers, consumers,brand brandmakers makersamid amidCovid Covid among
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FPI warns govt on huge cost of smuggling