BusinessMirror April 07, 2016

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Friday, April 7, 2017 Vol. 12 No. 177

HIGHER INFRASTRUCTURE SPENDING TO CUSHION IMPACT OF GLOBAL GLOOM ON PHL

‘Golden age of infra’ key to high GDP growth–ADB

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By Cai U. Ordinario

@cuo_bm

he Asian Development Bank (ADB) on Thursday urged the Duterte administration to deliver on its promise of ushering in the “golden age of infrastructure” in the country, so that GDP could grow by at least 7 percent. Based on the ADB’s latest Asian Development Outlook (ADO) report, Philippine economy will ex-

pand by 6.4 percent this year and 6.6 percent next year. These projections, however, are lower than the

6.4% The GDP growth forecast of the ADB for the Philippines this year

7-percent to 8-percent GDP growth target of the Duterte administration for 2017 and 2018. The Manila-based multilateral development bank said the Philippines is the only country in Southeast Asia that could grow Continued on A2

Duterte’s promised tax plan may reverse exodus of foreign funds P

hilippine equities can lose their tag as the only emerging Asian market to suffer foreign-fund outflows this year —with a helping hand from President Duterte. Strategists said progress on Duterte’s promised tax reforms is needed to bring back global asset managers, who have off-loaded $230 million of Manila-listed equities in 2017, while pouring $6.7 billion into India and $1.4 billion into Malaysia. Investors are also looking for company profit growth to justify an index valuation that’s at the widest premium to emergingmarket peers in six months. “The Philippines is a very attractive market to invest in, but there are more obviously better oppor-

We like the Philippines for its potential for increased infrastructure spending, but how will the government get to finance that without getting this tax-reform package through?”—Columbia Threadneedle Investments

tunities elsewhere, and there have been some headwinds in terms of the tax reform not passing, the earnings momentum depleting and also geopolitical risks,” said Vanessa Donegan, who helps manage $456 billion as managing di-

PESO exchange rates n US 50.1630

rector at Columbia Threadneedle Investments. “We like the Philippines for its potential for increased infrastructure spending, but how will the government get to finance that without getting this tax-reform package through?”

Duterte has been a boon and a curse for stock traders, helping spark a rally before his May 2016 election through fiscal-spending pledges, and then spooking international investors with volatile responses to critics of his deadly antidrugs campaign and verbal attacks against the US. His tax plan has yet to pass its first hurdle in Congress, as lawmakers seek to replace his proposal, while Teneo Intelligence predicts a June target for the bill’s approval probably won’t be met. Duterte’s tax package, which aims to raise levies on fuel and cars while cutting income taxes, is estimated to raise P163 billion a year. The funds are needed See “Tax plan,” A2

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LOPEZ’S TOUGHEST TEST MAY COME FROM WITHIN

DEPARTMENT of Environment and Natural Resources employees stage their “black Thursday” protest. By Jonathan L. Mayuga

@jonlmayuga

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lmost all employees came to report for work as usual on Thursday. But they were all in black; and none of them were willing to talk about it. “It’s a silent protest. We are fed up,” one employee told the BusinessMirror through a text message. The protest was to express indignation over Environment Secretary Regina Paz L. Lopez’s decisions to bring in her own team, replacing career officials in the process. This shows that, while Lopez is being attacked left and right over her hard-line stance against miners, her toughest challenge could actually be coming from within her own department’s ranks. Members of the employees’ union of the Department of Environment and Natural Resources (DENR) held a meeting on Thursday to discuss plans on how to call the attention of Lopez, and issue a stern warning about their discontent. See “Lopez,” A2

PHL slips 5 notches in tourism ranking

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eav y traffic and poor transport infrastructure caused the Philippines to decline by five notches in the latest World Economic Forum (WEF) tourism-competitiveness ranking. Based on the Travel and Tourism (T&T) Competitiveness Report 2017, the WEF ranked the Philippines 79th out of 136 economies, from 74th out of 141 economies in 2015. The WEF expressed concern that, if left unaddressed, “these

factors may not have had their full effect yet, and may reduce tourism activity in the future”. “This country attains a lower competitiveness performance this year due to a more restrictive visa policy that reduces its openness performance; a reduction of the government budget dedicated to the development of the T&T [travel and tourism] sector by almost half; and reduced efficiency of ground transport,” WEF said. See “PHL,” A12

n japan 0.4532 n UK 62.6335 n HK 6.4575 n CHINA 7.2726 n singapore 35.8154 n australia 37.9533 n EU 53.4938 n SAUDI arabia 13.3775

Source: BSP (6 April 2017 )


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